Polish Labor Market
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Marcin Karlik “Polish labor market - a summary of 25 years of socio-economic reforms on the road from centrally Journal planned economy to the fi rst decade of the European Union membership (1989-2015)”, of International Journal of International Studies, Vol. 8, No 3, 2015, pp. 224-233. DOI: 10.14254/2071-8330.2015/8-3/18 Studies c Papers c Polish labor market - a summary of 25 years of socio-economic © Foundation fi of International reforms on the road from centrally planned economy to the fi rst Studies, 2015 © CSR, 2015 decade of the European Union membership (1989-2015) Scienti Marcin Karlik University of Occupational Safety Management in Katowice Poland [email protected] Abstract. Th e article tackles the issue of changes that have taken place in the Polish labor Received: June, 2015 market in the period 1988-2015. It also shows political conditions and Polish mac- 1st Revision: roeconomic situation at the beginning of system transformation in 1988 and 1989. September, 2015 Th e author also presented the Polish labor market in the years 1989 - 2015, the source Accepted: December, 2015 of the crisis on the labor market and its impact on the socio-economic situation of Poland. DOI: Keywords: labour market, transformation, Poland 10.14254/2071- 8330.2015/8-3/18 JEL classifi cation: J40, P23 INTRODUCTION SITUATION OF POLAND AT THE BEGINNING OF THE EARLY POLITICAL AND MARKET REFORMS IN 1989 In the early 1939 Poland entered into an alliance with France and Great Britain. In September 1939 Poland was invaded by Germany (Th ird Reich) and the Soviet Union (USSR). During World War II (1939- 1945), approx. 6 million Polish citizens died and material losses amounted to approx. 258 billion PLN (ap- prox. 50 billion USD) according to the value on 1 September 1939 (Biuro odszkodowań wojennych, 1947, pp. 24, 30) and approx. 838 billion USD according to the value of 8 August 20151. Poland also lost nearly 1/5 of its territory. Polish losses included cities important for Polish history and culture, such as Lviv, Vilnius, Brest and Grodno. Poland’s industry also lost Lviv – Volyn Coal Basin, Boryslav-Drohobych Oil Basin and majority of Ostrava-Karvina Coal Basin. Poland regained its territory in the west and north of the country with major cities like Gdansk (Danzig), Wrocław (Breslau), Szczecin (Stettin), Opole and cities in western part of Upper Silesia Industrial Region. Th ese cities played a major role in Polish heavy industrial production during the socialist period and were a major source of employment. As a result of military and political activities conducted in 1945-1948 the Soviet Union imposed dominance in the political sphere (the dictatorship of the Polish United Workers Party) and the economic and social situation (centrally planned economy system and favoring foreign trade with the Soviet Union). After the death of Joseph Stalin (1953) leader of the USSR, the Polish authorities received greater autonomy in the area of economic policy and defense. After October 1956 Polish government signifi cantly increased civil and economic liberties. Th e 1 USD (1939) = 16,77 USD (2015) on the basis of: http://www.in2013dollars.com/1939-dollars-in-2015?amount=1 224 Polish labor market - a summary of 25 years of socio-economic reforms on the road Marcin Karlik from centrally planned economy to the fi rst decade... new Polish leader Władysław Gomułka continued to rebuild the country and tried to develop political and economic cooperation with the United States, France, Italy and Great Britain and other Western coun- tries. One of the successes was the purchase of a licenses from Fiat, and then start the production and export of a modern car - the Fiat 125p. In December of 1970 Edward Gierek became the new secretary of the Polish United Workers’ Party. Th e new leader signifi cantly increased investment in the economy fi nanced by foreign loans. In the 70s fi nally rebuild the country from war damages and realized a lot of investment in infrastructure and housing. It also built, among other things: car factory in Bielsko-Biala and Tychy (Fiat 126p), Katowice Steel Works, the refi nery and the North Harbour in Gdansk. Th e increase in foreign debt caused the economic and political crisis. Deteriorating economic conditions led to mass protests and fi nally to military coup (13.12.1981). Th e new government led by General Wojciech Jaruzelski tried to carry out economic reforms eg. increasing the autonomy of public enterprises and greater freedom for the cooperative and private economic activity. However, the changes did not result in a signifi cant and rapid improvement in socio-economic situation. In addition, the Polish economy was characterized by high offi cial infl ation (62.2% in 1988) and hidden infl ation (rationing of food and basic commodities) (Kołodko, 1999, p. 42). Polish foreign debt was in 1989. Approx. 41 billion USD. (Hunter & Ryan, 1998, p. 82) In addition, Poland is also characterized by the strong position of trade unions - both workers’ and farmers. At the begin- ning of the transformation, the level of socio-economic development in the most developed countries of Central Europe (Czech Republic, Slovenia) was comparable with the level of socio-economic development of the poorest countries in Western Europe (Greece, Portugal) (tab 1). Albania, Poland and Bulgaria were in the worst socio-economic situation (Balcerowicz, 1997, p. 360). Table 1 Comparison of the level of socio-economic development of selected European countries in 1990. (Sig) GDP per capita GDP per capita Human Development Country (current USD) (PPP) Index 1234 Leading Western European Countries France 21.833 17.557 0,779 Germany 22.219 19.054 0,782 Sweden 30.162 20.099 0,807 Switzerland 38.332 26.765 0,829 Poorest Western European Countries Greece 9.763 13.367 0,749 Portugal 7.885 11.198 0,708 Leading Eastern European Countries Czech Rep.(Czechoslovakia) 3 901 12 731 0,762 Hungary 3 186 7 612 0,701 Russian Federation (USSR) 3 485 8 013 0,729 Slovakia (Czechoslovakia) 2 395 7 697 0,747 Slovenia (Yugoslavia) 8 671 12 392 0,769 Middle income Eastern European Countries Belarus (USSR) 1 704 5 229 Bulgaria 2 377 5 409 0,696 Poland 1 698 (1989) 6 002 (1989) 0,714 225 Journal of International Studies Vol. 8, No.3, 2015 1234 Romania 1 650 5 193 0,703 Ukraine (USSR) 1 569 6 797 0,705 Poorest Eastern European Countries Albania 639 2 843 0,609 Armenia (USSR) 636 2 416 0,632 Moldova (USSR) 972 4 152 0,645 Sources: UNDP, World Bank. Given the very diffi cult economic situation, considerable social expectations and favored by Mikhail Gorbachev - the leader of the Soviet Union the Polish authorities have taken a landmark decision to begin discussions of the Round Table and sharing the power with the opposition (elections June 4, 1989). In ac- cordance with the will of the majority of society a large part of the Polish political elite has taken action to abandon the centrally planned economy and change the geopolitical orientation of the Soviet Union (the withdrawal of Soviet troops from Poland) to the countries of Western Europe and the United States. Leszek Balcerowicz – doctor of economics and lecturer from the School of Planning and Statistics in Warsaw – took the post of Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Finance in the government of Tadeusz Mazowiecki (1989-1991) and Jan Krzysztof Bielecki (1991) . With the support of Polish and foreign economists (includ- ing prof. J. Sachs) based on the recommendations of the so-called Washington Consensus was developed and it implemented program of socio-economic reforms (ie. Balcerowicz Plan). Th e aim of the action plan was to achieve macroeconomic stability, the elimination of shortages and changing the structure of the economy through privatization of state enterprises and the change in the legal system. Also continued eff orts to devel- op private entrepreneurship and create a stable banking system, which was initiated by the last communist government of Prime Minister Mieczysław Rakowski in 1988-1989. POLISH LABOUR MARKET 1988 2015 At the beginning of the transformation in 1988 polish labor market compared to other European coun- tries work was characterized by a comparable level of employment in industry and construction (36,1%), a relatively higher share of employed in agriculture (27.1%) and a relatively lower proportion of employees in services (25.8%) (Leszczyńska & Jezierski, 2010, p. 482). In the survey conducted by the Center for Public Opinion Research (OBOP) in November 1988 only 25% of respondents indicated that they may fi nd itself in a situation of loss of work, and 70% of respondents indicated that this situation is in their case unlikely. For comparison, in November 1989 46% of respondents indicated that they may fi nd itself in a situation of losing their jobs, while only 48% of respondents indicated that such a situation is unlikely for them (OBOP, 1989, p. 3). In 1991 unemployment rate hit 12.2%, which represented a signifi cant surprise to the public, which expected to maintain a typical level of unemployment for the economies of Western Europe for example 4-7 %. Contrary to the expectations of the public and the authorities from 1991 unem- ployment rate was more than ten percent. Particularly high levels of unemployment persisted in 2002-2004, when the unemployment rate was approx. 20% and the number of unemployed persons exceeded 3 million (Figure 1). Noteworthy is the fact that in the years 1989 - 2013 the number of employed decreased signifi - cantly from 17.5 million people to 14.2 million people, which was also confi rmed by the lower economic activity of the BAEL (GUS, 2014b, pp.