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Typhoon Risk in China: Wind Or Water? 中国的台风灾害: 是风还是雨?

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Typhoon Risk in China: Wind Or Water? 中国的台风灾害: 是风还是雨? Typhoon Risk in China: Wind or water? 中国的台风灾害: 是风还是雨? Margaret Joseph Model Product Management Typhoon Fitow, October 2013 台风菲特, 2013年10月 TYPHOON FITOW – RECORD BREAKING RAINFALL 台风菲特 - 破纪录的雨量 Landfall October 2013 登陆 2013 年10月 Category 2 at landfall 登陆时为第二级 ESCAP/WMO Typhoon Committee 8th Integrated Workshop: Member Report (2013) China ©2014 Risk Management Solutions, Inc. Confidential MY PICTURE TITLE Typhoon Fitow - Insured loss of ~USD1bn 台风菲特 - 约10亿美元的保险损失 www.news.cn Tropical Cyclone Precipitation Flooding 热带气旋降水驱动的洪水 Precipitation Model Rainfall-Runoff Model Riverine Surface Water 河流 地表水 Defence Model Defence Model Inundation Inundation ©2014 Risk Management Solutions, Inc. Confidential CAPTURING COMPLETE VIEW OF FLOOD RISK – RIVERINE AND SURFACE Riverine and WATER Riverine Surface Water Average Annual Loss Riverine 完整的模拟洪水 Surface Water 风险 河流和内涝 - Residual ©2014 Risk Management Solutions, Inc. Confidential Tropical Cyclone Precipitation Flooding 热带气旋降水驱动的洪水 Precipitation Model Rainfall-Runoff Model Riverine Surface Water 河流 地表水 Defence Model Defence Model Inundation Inundation ©2014 Risk Management Solutions, Inc. Confidential TYPHOON RAMMASUN 台风威马逊 Landfall July 2014 登陆 2014 年 7 月 Category 4 at landfall 登陆在第四类 Strongest typhoon landfall over Hainan in over 60 years 在60年内海南最强的 台风登陆 ©2014 Risk Management Solutions, Inc. Confidential MODELLING TYPHOON RAMMASUN 模拟台风威 马逊 ©2014 Risk Management Solutions, Inc. Confidential TYPHOON RAMMASUN 台风威马逊 Landfall July 2014 登陆 2014 年 7 月 Category 4 at landfall 登陆在第四类 Strongest typhoon landfall over Hainan in over 60 years 在60年内海南最强的 台风登陆 http://english.caixin.com/ ©2014 Risk Management Solutions, Inc. Confidential Storm Surge Flooding Tropical Cyclone Precipitation Flooding STORM SURGE Precipitation Model MODELLING Storm Surge Model Rainfall-Runoff Model 风暴潮模拟 The (typhoon) flood model Riverine Surface Water combines inland (tropical 河流 地表水 cyclone precipitation driven) and coastal (surge driven) risk). Defence Model Defence Model Defence Model 台风洪水模型涵盖内陆( Inundation Inundation Inundation 热带气旋导致的强降雨) 和沿海（风暴潮） Stochastic Flood Footprint ©2014 Risk Management Solutions, Inc. Confidential STORM SURGE MODELLING 风暴潮模拟 7.2m 5.5m 4.8m 4.7m 4.4m Mesh for MIKE 21 Flow Model around Hong Kong ©2014 Risk Management Solutions, Inc. Confidential STORM SURGE MODELLING 风暴潮模拟 Typhoon 5612 (1956) Peak Surge: 5.02m Typhoon Joe (1980) Peak Surge: 5.94m SURGEDAT: http://surge.srcc.lsu.edu/data.html ©2014 Risk Management Solutions, Inc. Confidential Thank you /謝謝 .
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