AB Election Tables Part 2
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Alberta Politics Study Detailed tables (Ed Stelmach and the Progressive Conservatives) Since the start of this election campaign, has your impression of ... improved, worsened or stayed the same? Region Gender Age Income Total Calgary Edmonton Rest of AB Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ <$50K $50K-<$80K $80K+ Base: All respondents 804 297 270 237 368 436 149 361 262 234 182 272 Weighted 804 287 267 251 399 405 262 299 216 246 194 267 Ed Stelmach and the Progressive Conservatives Improved 11% 8% 11% 15% 12% 10% 7% 11% 16% 13% 11% 10% Worsened 23% 24% 26% 20% 24% 23% 21% 28% 20% 20% 23% 28% Stayed the same 60% 63% 58% 59% 60% 59% 66% 57% 58% 57% 62% 61% (DK/NS) 6% 5% 5% 7% 4% 8% 6% 5% 6% 10% 5% 1% Vote Likelihood to Vote Wildrose Absolutely Total PC Lib NDP Alliance Green Non-PC certain All others Base: All respondents 804 329 169 74 34 31 312 478 319 Weighted 804 311 176 86 33 28 326 457 339 Ed Stelmach and the Progressive Conservatives Improved 11% 21% 3% 5% 8% 8% 4% 11% 11% Worsened 23% 10% 40% 35% 43% 36% 39% 28% 18% Stayed the same 60% 68% 53% 54% 50% 56% 53% 59% 62% (DK/NS) 6% 1% 4% 7% - - 4% 2% 10% Ipsos February 18, 2008 Alberta Politics Study Detailed tables (Kevin Taft and the Liberals) Since the start of this election campaign, has your impression of ... improved, worsened or stayed the same? Region Gender Age Income Total Calgary Edmonton Rest of AB Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ <$50K $50K-<$80K $80K+ Base: All respondents 804 297 270 237 368 436 149 361 262 234 182 272 Weighted 804 287 267 251 399 405 262 299 216 246 194 267 Kevin Taft and the Liberals Improved 15% 15% 17% 12% 15% 14% 16% 13% 15% 14% 14% 17% Worsened 12% 11% 12% 12% 15% 9% 7% 12% 16% 12% 8% 13% Stayed the same 64% 66% 63% 62% 63% 65% 68% 66% 57% 59% 72% 65% (DK/NS) 10% 8% 9% 13% 7% 13% 8% 9% 13% 16% 6% 5% Vote Likelihood to Vote Wildrose Absolutely Total PC Lib NDP Alliance Green Non-PC certain All others Base: All respondents 804 329 169 74 34 31 312 478 319 Weighted 804 311 176 86 33 28 326 457 339 Kevin Taft and the Liberals Improved 15% 11% 26% 18% 6% 16% 21% 18% 10% Worsened 12% 18% 2% 7% 46% 6% 8% 13% 11% Stayed the same 64% 64% 68% 67% 46% 76% 66% 63% 65% (DK/NS) 10% 8% 5% 8% 2% 3% 5% 7% 14% Ipsos February 18, 2008 Table: 8 Alberta Politics Study Detailed tables (Brian Mason and the New Democrats) Since the start of this election campaign, has your impression of ... improved, worsened or stayed the same? Region Gender Age Income Total Calgary Edmonton Rest of AB Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ <$50K $50K-<$80K $80K+ Base: All respondents 804 297 270 237 368 436 149 361 262 234 182 272 Weighted 804 287 267 251 399 405 262 299 216 246 194 267 Brian Mason and the New Democrats Improved 13% 11% 19% 8% 13% 13% 18% 12% 10% 15% 8% 17% Worsened 9% 11% 8% 7% 12% 6% 6% 8% 12% 9% 8% 9% Stayed the same 66% 65% 65% 70% 66% 67% 66% 70% 64% 60% 73% 68% (DK/NS) 12% 13% 8% 15% 9% 15% 10% 10% 14% 16% 10% 6% Vote Likelihood to Vote Wildrose Absolutely Total PC Lib NDP Alliance Green Non-PC certain All others Base: All respondents 804 329 169 74 34 31 312 478 319 Weighted 804 311 176 86 33 28 326 457 339 Brian Mason and the New Democrats Improved 13% 6% 14% 44% 6% 15% 21% 14% 11% Worsened 9% 11% 7% 2% 27% 12% 8% 10% 8% Stayed the same 66% 72% 74% 50% 68% 62% 66% 67% 65% (DK/NS) 12% 11% 6% 3% - 12% 5% 8% 16% Ipsos February 18, 2008 Table: 9 Alberta Politics Study Detailed tables (Paul Hinman and the Wildrose Alliance) Since the start of this election campaign, has your impression of ... improved, worsened or stayed the same? Region Gender Age Income Total Calgary Edmonton Rest of AB Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ <$50K $50K-<$80K $80K+ Base: All respondents 804 297 270 237 368 436 149 361 262 234 182 272 Weighted 804 287 267 251 399 405 262 299 216 246 194 267 Paul Hinman and the Wildrose Alliance Improved 7% 8% 6% 7% 10% 5% 7% 6% 10% 7% 6% 9% Worsened 7% 7% 8% 8% 10% 5% 11% 5% 6% 4% 8% 12% Stayed the same 62% 64% 63% 58% 62% 62% 67% 68% 49% 60% 67% 64% (DK/NS) 24% 21% 23% 28% 19% 28% 16% 21% 36% 30% 19% 16% Vote Likelihood to Vote Wildrose Absolutely Total PC Lib NDP Alliance Green Non-PC certain All others Base: All respondents 804 329 169 74 34 31 312 478 319 Weighted 804 311 176 86 33 28 326 457 339 Paul Hinman and the Wildrose Alliance Improved 7% 6% 1% 11% 34% 16% 8% 6% 9% Worsened 7% 6% 12% 14% - 9% 11% 9% 5% Stayed the same 62% 65% 70% 56% 56% 50% 63% 63% 61% (DK/NS) 24% 24% 17% 19% 11% 26% 18% 22% 25% Ipsos February 18, 2008 Table: 10 Alberta Politics Study Detailed tables And what is your main reason for supporting that party? Is it... Region Gender Age Income Total Calgary Edmonton Rest of AB Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ <$50K $50K-<$80K $80K+ Base: Decided voters 641 239 217 185 313 328 113 292 216 181 135 241 Weighted 638 229 215 193 337 300 200 242 179 187 143 236 The party's stance on the issues 46% 52% 47% 40% 44% 49% 56% 46% 35% 47% 52% 45% The leader 14% 10% 17% 14% 15% 12% 13% 12% 17% 16% 13% 14% Your local candidate 24% 21% 21% 31% 24% 24% 26% 26% 22% 21% 23% 28% (DO NOT READ) Other reason 14% 15% 14% 13% 16% 12% 4% 14% 25% 13% 10% 13% (DK/NS) 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 3% 2% 2% 2% 3% 2% 1% Vote Likelihood to Vote Wildrose Absolutely Total PC Lib NDP Alliance Green Non-PC certain All others Base: Decided voters 641 329 169 74 34 31 312 411 226 Weighted 638 311 176 86 33 28 326 391 243 The party's stance on the issues 46% 40% 45% 62% 56% 77% 53% 48% 45% The leader 14% 16% 15% 8% 3% 6% 11% 14% 13% Your local candidate 24% 29% 23% 21% 11% 6% 19% 23% 27% (DO NOT READ) Other reason 14% 13% 16% 8% 28% 12% 15% 15% 12% (DK/NS) 2% 2% 2% 1% 2% - 2% 1% 4% Ipsos February 18, 2008 Table: 4 Alberta Politics Study Detailed tables As you may know, Premier Ed Stelmach has announced that a provincial election will be held in Alberta on March 3rd. What are the one or two most important issues you would like to hear debated during this election campaign? Region Gender Age Income Total Calgary Edmonton Rest of AB Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ <$50K $50K-<$80K $80K+ Base: All respondents 804 297 270 237 368 436 149 361 262 234 182 272 Weighted 804 287 267 251 399 405 262 299 216 246 194 267 Health care / Hospital Funding / User Fees 40% 45% 39% 36% 35% 46% 31% 40% 52% 41% 31% 46% NET Education 18% 23% 12% 19% 16% 20% 18% 22% 13% 17% 20% 19% Education - K to 12 9% 12% 6% 10% 8% 11% 10% 13% 5% 7% 11% 11% Education - Post Secondary 9% 10% 6% 10% 8% 9% 8% 9% 8% 10% 9% 8% NET Environment 15% 13% 20% 11% 14% 15% 19% 15% 8% 8% 22% 16% Environment - General 14% 13% 18% 11% 13% 14% 17% 15% 8% 8% 20% 16% Climate Change / Greenhouse Gasses 1% 1% 2% 0% 1% 1% 2% 1% 0% - 2% 0% Housing Affordability / Shortages 11% 9% 16% 8% 11% 12% 13% 11% 11% 14% 7% 12% Royalties / Royalty review / Oil revenues 7% 7% 6% 7% 8% 5% 7% 8% 5% 4% 4% 10% Infrastructure spending 7% 9% 7% 4% 8% 5% 9% 6% 5% 3% 7% 11% Taxes / Tax Reform 6% 5% 5% 7% 6% 5% 4% 7% 5% 4% 7% 5% Economy - general 5% 5% 5% 4% 5% 4% 3% 5% 7% 2% 3% 7% Crime / Justice 2% 3% 2% 2% 3% 2% 2% 3% 3% 2% 2% 3% Childcare / Daycare 2% 2% 3% 2% 1% 3% 2% 4% 0% 2% 3% 2% Poverty / The Poor / Welfare / Homeless 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 1% 3% 1% 2% Seniors Issues 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 2% - - 4% 3% - 0% Oil industry/ oil and gas development 1% 1% 1% 3% 1% 2% 1% 1% 2% 1% 2% 2% Social Services 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 2% 1% 1% Transportation / Transit 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% - 2% 1% 2% 0% 1% Farming / Agriculture 1% - 0% 3% 1% 1% - 1% 2% 1% - 2% Government corruption / scandal 1% - 1% 2% 1% 1% - 2% 1% 1% 2% 1% Government Overspending / Not Saving for Future 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% - 1% 2% 0% 1% 1% Jobs - creation and unemployment 1% 1% - 1% 1% - - 1% 1% 0% 1% 1% Cutbacks / Government Spending Cuts 1% 1% 1% 0% 1% - - 1% 2% 0% 1% 0% Leadership in government 1% 1% 0% 0% 1% 1% - 0% 1% 0% 1% 1% Auto insurance 1% 1% 1% - 0% 1% - 1% 0% 1% - 0% Beef / Cattle 0% 1% 0% 0% - 1% 1% - 1% - 1% 0% Drugs / Substance Abuse 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% - - 1% - 1% - Native Issues / Land Claims / Self- government 0% 0% - - 0% - - 0% - - - 0% Jobs - shortages of labour 0% - - 0% 0% - - 0% - - - - Other 8% 7% 8% 8% 9% 7% 5% 9% 8% 8% 11% 6% None/ no other 1% 2% 0% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% (DK/NS) 18% 14% 19% 21% 19% 17% 27% 13% 16% 23% 20% 12% Ipsos February 18, 2008 Table: 1 Alberta Politics Study Detailed tables As you may know, Premier Ed Stelmach has announced that a provincial election will be held in Alberta on March 3rd.