International Negotiation 24 (2019) 407–436 brill.com/iner Refining Intractability: A Case Study of Entrapment in the Syrian Civil War Siniša Vuković a,b and Diane Bernabeia a School of Advanced International Studies, The Johns Hopkins University, 1740 Massachusetts Avenue, NW, Washington, DC 20036, USA b Institute of Security and Global Affairs, Leiden University, The Hague, The Netherlands
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[email protected] Received 14 February 2019; accepted 25 April 2019 Abstract Intractability is generally associated with prolonged tensions, employment of destruc- tive means, suspicion and mistrust, inflammatory rhetoric and polarized solutions that are usually presented as ultimatums. Existing studies on intractability have empha- sized the resistance to solution as a crucial indicator of intractability, and subsequently explored the phases through which intractability evolves and key characteristics these conflicts possess. What is largely missing is a nuanced explanation of at what point resistance turns into intractability. Building on earlier studies from social-psychology on entrapment in negotiations this article will develop a novel conceptual framework of entrapment as a precondition to intractability, and apply it to assess the causes and consequences of entrapment in an escalating conflict using the Syrian Civil War as a case study. The study will demonstrate that resistance to solution, which is a conse- quence of entrapment, does not automatically lead to intractability. * Siniša Vuković, is Senior Lecturer and Associate Director of the Conflict Management Program, School of Advanced International Studies, Johns Hopkins University. He is also Visiting Assistant Professor at the Institute of Security and Global Affairs, Leiden University.