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This is a repository copy of Environmental Impact of Taxis: Is there a Business Case for Hybrids?.

White Rose Research Online URL for this paper: http://eprints.whiterose.ac.uk/93927/

Version: Published Version

Conference or Workshop Item: Tate, JE, Riley, R, Wyatt, D et al. (1 more author) Environmental Impact of Taxis: Is there a Business Case for Hybrids? In: Investigation of Air Pollution Standing Conference, 01 Dec 2015, Birmingham, UK. (Unpublished)

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[email protected] https://eprints.whiterose.ac.uk/ Environmental Impact of Taxis Is there a Business Case for Hybrids

Dr James Tate, Institute for Studies CONTENTS

TAXI operations NETWORK impacts

2 Background THE LEEDS TAXI FLEET (Feb 2015) Vehicles registered in Leeds 337,779 UK passenger average mileage ~ 8,000 miles p.a.

 Hackney 536  Average mileage ~ 30,000 miles p.a.  Private HireVehicles (PHV) 3851  Average mileage ~ 60,000 miles p.a.

 License Restrictions  Proportion of Hackney licenses wheel chair accessible  Vehicles up to five years old can be first registered as a taxi  Maximum age of a taxi 10 years  Mostly bought second-hand (lower purchase cost)

3 Background AGE OF THE LEEDS TAXI FLEET (Feb 2015)

4 Background THE LEEDS TAXI FLEET (Feb 2015)

HACKNEY CARRIAGE PHV

5 TAXI operations AN INSTRUMENTED TOYOTA PRIUS

Portable Activity Monitoring CAR Systems (PAMS)  Toyota Prius 1.8VVT-I T  GPS (Vbox Lite II)  Petrol 1798 cc  Road gradient from Digital Surface Model  Kerb weight 1370 kg  IMU (X,Y,Z acceleration etc)  OBD logger (HEM mini logger)  CO2 emission rating 92 g/km  Vehicle operation  ICE, Electric Motor,Battery (SOC)

6 TAXI operations SURVEYS

 Routes selected after interviewing taxi drivers  Trip distance frequencies  Start or End point railway station  Mix of Peak and Off-peak periods (28th April & 21st May 2015)  Different Driving styles

Parameter Calm Normal Aggressive Number of Runs 24 24 24 Total Time (hours) 17.3 16.3 15.9 Total Distance (km) 260 260 260

7 TAXI operations SURVEYS

8 TAXI operations DRIVING STYLE

9 TAXI operations DIESEL COMPARISON

 Simulated using Instantaneous Emission Model (IEM) PHEM*

INPUT  Observed (hybrid-petrol) speed profile  Road gradient from GPS + Digital Surface Model (cleaned)  Comparator vehicle:  Toyota Avensis saloon 2.0D-4D

10 * Zallinger, M.,Tate, J., and Hausberger, S. 2008.An instantaneous emission model for the passenger car fleet.Transport and Air Pollution conference, Graz 2008 PHEM validation e.g. MPV EU5 diesel – TfL* Drive Cycle

-1 -1 -1 Time series – Speed (km.h ), CO2 and NOX (grams.sec ) Scatter Plot – CO2 (grams.sec ) ) 1  Counts 8 241 171 121

2 86 6 61 43

Speed (km.h 31

0 20 40 60 80 4 22 16 0 100 200 300 400 500 11 8 Observed_CO 2 6 4 3 2 0 ) 1 1

 1 0 2 4 6 8

Modelled_CO2 (g.sec 2 -1 Scatter Plot – NOX (grams.sec ) CO 01234567

0 100 200 300 400 500 Counts 535 0.03 361 244

x 165 111 )

1 75

 0.02 51 34 23

(g.sec 16

X 0.01 11 Observed_NO 7

NO 5 3

0.00 0.02 0.04 0.06 2 0.00 1 0 100 200 300 400 500 1 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.03 Time (seconds) Modelled_NOx

11 * . 2015. In-service emissions performance of Euro 6/VI vehicles. https://www.london.gov.uk/sites/default/files/In- service%20emissions%20performance%20of%20Euro%206VI%20vehicles%20WEBSITE%20COPY.pdf TAXI operations

CO2 300

250 ) -1 200

150 (grams.km 2 100 CO

50 Hybrid Diesel 0 Calm Normal Aggressive DRIVING STYLE

12 TAXI operations FUEL CONSUMPTION 70

60

50

40

30

20 Fuel consumption (mpg) 10 Hybrid Diesel 0 Calm Normal Aggressive DRIVING STYLE

13 TAXI operations BUSINESS CASE

PURCHASE COST  Conventional passenger car £5,000 (5 years old Diesel car)  Toyota Prius £10,700 (5 years old)

INSURANCE No difference

MAINTENANCE No difference?  Prius acknowledged as being more reliable (less down time)  Less brake-wear

FUEL  Assumed mileage 48,280 km p.a.  Fuel price (AA, May 2015) 109.0 p/L petrol | 110.6 p/L diesel

14 TAXI operations BUSINESS CASE SWITCH HYBRID

Driving Annual Fuel Payback Time style Saving (£) (Years, Months) Calm 2,086 2, 9 Normal 1,926 2, 11 Aggressive 1,698 3, 4

ASSUMPTIONS: Diesel (ICE) saloon car Annual mileage 48,280 km p.a. Fuel price 109.0 p/L petrol | 110.6 p/L diesel

15 TAXI operations PAYBACK TIME Investing in a Hybrid

16 TAXI operations NOx emissions Euro 5 passenger

17 Network Impacts METHOD

 Traffic Simulation (www.aimsun.com)  Vehicle emission simulation (PHEM)

18 Network Impacts METHOD

 Simulate the operational fleet (composition)  24-hour ANPR survey (9th February 2015)  Cross reference number plates (VRMs) with UK detailedVehicle registration database (www.carweb.co.uk)

19 Network Impacts MODELLING FRAMEWORK

20 TRAFFIC MICROSIMULATION: Headingley 2015 AM Peak www.aimsun.com

21 Network Impacts MODELLED EMISSION FACTORS

Euro 0 Euro 1 Euro 2 Euro 3 Euro 4 Euro 5 Euro 6 DIESEL PETROL

0.8

) 0.6 1  (g.km

X 0.4 NO

0.2

0.0

Euro 0 Euro 1 Euro 2 Euro 3 Euro 4 Euro 5 Euro 6 Euro standard

22 Network Impacts MODELLED EMISSION CONTRIBUTIONS (24-hours)

40

30 (%)

X 20 NO

10

0 Taxi LGV HGV CAR-petrol CAR-diesel

23 ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT OF TAXIS Summary & Conclusions

 Hybrid-PETROL technology is Low Emission (CO2 and NOX)  Mature, good value CleanVehicleTech (growing second-hand market)  Hybrid-PETROL urban Taxis: A rare “win-win”  Greater profitability drivers/ operators  Communicate to the Taxi community

 Cleaner air (  7% NOX emissions on Leeds A660 arterial)  Incentives needed for Hybrid-PETROL (HEV) and Plugins (PHEV)  ULEV Taxi scheme  London ULEZ “Zero emission capable”  Declare PRIORITYTaxi ranks “Green vehicle only” by 2020? 2025?  MPV and LGV Hybrid-PETROL vehicles needed (close to market)

24 Environmental Impact of Taxis Is there a Business Case for Hybrids

Dr James Tate, Institute for Transport Studies