Afghanistan 2005 and Beyond Prospects for Improved Stability Reference Document Barnett R. Rubin Humayun Hamidzada Abby Stoddard Netherlands Institute of International Relations ‘Clingendael’ Conflict Research Unit April 2005 Desk top publishing: Carola van der Heiden Netherlands Institute of International Relations ‘Clingendael’ Clingendael 7 2597 VH The Hague P.O. Box 93080 2509 AB The Hague Phonenumber: # 31-70-3245384 Telefax: # 31-70-3282002 Email:
[email protected] Website: http://www.clingendael.nl/cru © Netherlands Institute of International Relations Clingendael. All rights reserved. No part of this book may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted, in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, or otherwise, without the prior written permission of the copyrightholders. Clingendael Institute, P.O. Box 93080, 2509 AB The Hague, The Netherlands. © Clingendael Institute iii Afghanistan 2005 and Beyond Prospects for Improved Stability Reference Document Center on International Cooperation, New York University For the Clingendael Institute1 1 This paper was prepared by Barnett R. Rubin with the assistance of Humayun Hamidzada and Abby Stoddard with the support of the Government of the Netherlands. Laura Sitea prepared Figure 1. The first draft benefited from comments from Luc van de Goor, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Netherlands, Robert Kluijver, Ishaq Nadiri, and another reviewer. The final draft benefited from comments by participants in the seminar held by the Royal Netherlands Embassy at the Intercontinental Hotel, Kabul, on February 23, 2005. All views are those of the authors, not of the Clingendael Institute, the Royal Government of the Netherlands, reviewers, or seminar participants.