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Captain Andrew Carroll Safety Services Office

© 2014 Birdstrike Hazard Mitigation and Analysis

© Ryanair 2014 15th January 2009

© Ryanair 2014 © Ryanair 2014 © Ryanair 2014 © Ryanair 2014 Costs Of A Birdstrike - Operational

EU passenger compensation rules: 261/2004

Cost of refreshments if a flight is delayed ( X 189)

Up to €400 per passenger if a flight is cancelled ( X 189)

Overnight accommodation and transportation cost ( X 195)

Wet lease operating cost for a replacement ~€10,000 per hour

7 © Ryanair 2014

Ryanair’s Network

 200

 32 countries

 1,600+ routes

 113m pax p.a.

 369 x B737-800’s

 320 x B737s on order

 Over 2000 sectors per day

8 © Ryanair 2014

Recognising the risk

© Ryanair 2014 SMS Mental Model

Safety Policy & Objectives

SMS

© Ryanair 2014 Risk Mitigation Using the Bow Tie Methodology

© Ryanair 2014 Example of a Full Bow Tie Analysis

© Ryanair 2014 Post Event Mitigation Controls

© Ryanair 2014 Post Event Mitigation Controls

Airframe impact/Engine system malfunctions

• Aircraft and system design • Standard operating procedures • Flight crew normal checklist

• Captain’s inspection and release to service if there is no damage

• QRH Non normal checklists

• Recurrent flight crew training

© Ryanair 2014 Threats To Ryanair Operations

© Ryanair 2014 ARMS Methodology

© Ryanair 2014 EU no 139/2014 ADR.OPS B.020

© Ryanair 2014 REPORTING

“Without data, you don’t have an SMS”

Captain D Maurino

Safety Management Advisor, ICAO

© Ryanair 2014

Ryanair Risk Assessment Model

 The Ryanair strike risk assessment process focuses on serious multiple bird strikes (SMBs) and strikes by large species (single or multiple)

 It incorporates analysis of single bird strikes of medium and small species for the purposes of identifying trends which may indicate changing circumstances at each

© Ryanair 2014 Number of Birdstrikes per airport 2011-2016 (De-identified)

© Ryanair 2014 Risk Probability Assessment

Follow up communications with airport operators and national authorities

© Ryanair 2014 Data Analysis – What Causes the Peaks?

Birdstrike 2016 6

5

4

3

21000 per Rate

1

0 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2015 Rate Mean 2015 2016 Rate 1 SD 2 SD 3 SD

© Ryanair 2014 The Ryanair Procedure

 Crew files an ASR on completion of duty . Height?

. Weather conditions? . Number of seen/struck?

. Aircraft lights (on or off)? . Pilots warned of birds (ATC/ATIS)? . Bird remains retrieved? . Damage to aircraft?  Processed through the Ryanair SMS

 Numbers of birdstrikes analysed per 10,000 movements

23 © Ryanair 2014 Data Analysis

© Ryanair 2014 Data Analysis

© Ryanair 2014 Regulatory Environment

COMMISSION REGULATION (EU) No 139/2014

 Article 10 –

. Wildlife strike hazard reduction

 (a) The establishment of a national procedure for recording and reporting wildlife strikes to aircraft;

 (b) The collection of information from aircraft operators, aerodrome personnel and other sources on the presence of wildlife constituting a potential hazard to aircraft operations; and

 (c) An ongoing evaluation of the wildlife hazard by competent personnel.

. ALL EU/EEA airports are mandated to be EASA compliant by the end of

2017 (31/12/2017)

26 © Ryanair 2014

The Aerodrome Operator Shall:

• Assess the wildlife hazard on, and in the surroundings of, the aerodrome;

• Establish means and procedures to minimise the risk of collisions between wildlife and aircraft, at the aerodrome; and

• Notify the appropriate authority if a wildlife assessment indicates conditions in the surroundings of the aerodrome are conducive to a wildlife hazard problem

© Ryanair 2014 Means of Compliance:

a) Wildlife Risk Assessment

b) Wildlife Risk Management Programme

c) Training For Wildlife Control Staff

d) Recording And Reporting Wildlife Strikes And Observed Wildlife

© Ryanair 2014 Industry wide problem needs an Industry wide solution

© Ryanair 2014 Joint Airline Initiative - Feedback To Airports

• Change in emphasis from an audit based approach to a collaborative approach

• Aims to achieve maximum benefit to customer airlines through cooperation

• Use of a third party expert provides an objectivity applicable to all airlines and airports

• Assesses the effectiveness of existing wildlife management practices

• Suggestions and recommendations on improvements to WHMP

• Guidance and assistance to airports to comply with COMMISSION REGULATION (EU) No 139/2014 ADR.OPS.B.020

© Ryanair 2014 Joint Airline Initiative - B e n e f i t s

 My favourite radio station W.I.I. FM What’s in it for me? • Leverage of airline corporate knowledge through data combination and analysis • Airport selection based on maximum benefit to the airlines (common destinations and risk probability) • Creating a repository of information for use by airlines and airports • Appointment of an independent consultant ornithologist to provide expert advice • Assessment of airport bird and wildlife management process • Engagement between airlines and airports on wildlife management • Suggestions for improvement in accordance with EU no 139/2014 ADR.OPS B.020

© Ryanair 2014 Our Strength is our Process

• Striving to comply with EU regulations ahead of the deadline

• Collective improvement to airport WHMPs through pooling of information and resources

• Provision of expert consultant assistance

• Mitigation of birdstrikes contributing to flight safety

• Reduction of costs

© Ryanair 2014 Lets Hear it for Harold

© Ryanair 2014 Ryanair Wishes you a Happy Christmas

© Ryanair 2014