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The Techcast Expert Panel

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The Techcast Expert Panel APPENDIX The TechCast Expert Panel TechCast is a virtual think tank in the sense that we integrate the knowledge of roughly 100 experts working online around the world. To maintain excellence, we require applicants to have advanced degrees, experience in their field, patents and publications, and other proven results. Some are invited on the basis of their reputations, and others provide their qualifications on the site and pass a multiple choice quiz. We make a point of ensuring diversity among the panel by including women, people from around the globe, a variety of disciplines, and age differences. The wide range of backgrounds can be seen below to include executives of high-tech companies, government researchers, academics, consultants, forecasters, and futurists. The caliber of our authorities is often unsurpassed, but not all experts must be famous to be included. These guidelines help provide a varied group that collectively represents the best knowledge available in science and technology. The responsibility of experts is to review the scanning analyses online, and use their best judgment to provided forecasts for roughly a dozen technologies in seven fields. Not all experts respond to each item, so sample sizes typically run in the 50 to 60 response range, which is more than ample. In return for their service, experts receive a free subscription, prominent visibility, consulting work, profes- sional contacts, and an opportunity to participate in the best online technology forecasting system. For more details see www.TechCast- org/About/Method. Denis Lima Balaguer, MSc Professor of Strategic Management and Innovation Management Vale do Paraiba University, Brazil [email protected] Enric Bas, PhD Professor of Social Foresight Department of Sociology II, Faculty of Economics University of Alicante, Spain [email protected] 162 Appendix: The TechCast Expert Panel 163 Harvey Bazarian, CEO Bazarian Technology Consulting, USA Hellmuth Broda European CTO Sun Microsystems, Germany Lynn Burton, PhD Chair, Humanties Department Simon Fraser University, Canada Dennis Bushnell Chief Scientist NASA Langley Research Center, USA Kemal Cakici, PhD Lead Systems Analyst Anteon Corporation, USA Kelly Carnes, JD President and CEO TechVision21, USA Arun Chainani, MD Senior Advisor Strategy & Corporate Development, USA Andrew Chan Yik Hong Managing Consultant IBM Global Business Services, Malaysia Jose Cordeiro Founder, World Future Society, Venezuela Chair, The Millennium Project, Venezuela www.cordeiro.org Donnelly Donnelly, PhD George Washington University, USA Jerald Feinstein, PhD The MITRE Corporation [email protected] http://home.gwu.edu/~jerry 164 Technology’s Promise Robert Fisher President The Consortium International, USA Arnold Foudin, PhD Chief Agriculturalist U.S. Department of Agriculture, USA Thomas Frey DaVince Institute, USA Leon Fuerth Research Professor of International Affairs Eliott School of International Affairs George Washington University USA John Geraghty Senior Principal Information Systems Engineer The MITRE Corporation, USA Adam Gerber PhD Candidate Conservatoire National des Arts et Métiers, Paris Jerry Glenn Director Millennium Project World Federation of UN Associations Theodore J. Gordon Senior Research Fellow and Co-founder of the Millennium Project World Federation of United Nations Associations Sam Gordy Vice President SAIC Corporation, USA Janice Graham, PhD President Janice M. Graham Inc. USA 703.608.9421 Ext. Appendix: The TechCast Expert Panel 165 Martin Guyotte US Navy War College, USA William Halal, PhD Professor Emeritus of Science, Technology & Innovation George Washington University, USA [email protected] http://home.gwu.edu/~halal Ken Harris Chairman The Consilience Group, LLC, USA Aharon Hauptman, PhD Senior Researcher Interdisciplinary Center for Technology Analysis and Forecasting Tel-Aviv University, Israel [email protected] www.ictaf.tau.ac.il Henry Heilbrunn, MBA Shapiro Fellow School of Media and Public Affairs, GWU, USA [email protected] www.interactivedirections.com William Herman, PhD Deputy Director Office of Science & Engineering Laboratories Federal Drug Administration, USA David Herrelko, PhD Bernhard M. Schmidt Chair University of Dayton Retired General, USAF Brad Hughes, MS, MBA Director Qwest Corporation, USA [email protected] 166 Technology’s Promise Sohail Inayatullah, PhD Professor, Futures Studies, Social Sciences Tamkang University, Taiwan Lester Ingber, PhD Lester Ingber Research, USA [email protected] http://www.ingber.com Michael Jackson, PhD Chairman Shaping Tomorrow, U.K. [email protected] 07966 155912 Ext. Nikhil Jagga Systems Analyst Accenture Corporation, USA Niilo Kaartinen, MD Managing Director KRI Kaartinen Tutkimus OY, Finland Guy Kemmerly NASA Langley Research Center, USA Peter King, PhD Environmental Consultant, Thailand Formerly Asian Development Bank Angela Klein, MS Assistant Professor of Computer Science William Jewell College, USA Jeff Krukin, MS Executive Director The Space Frontier Foundation, USA [email protected] www.jeffkrukin.com Michael Kull, PhD President Amplifi Inc, USA Appendix: The TechCast Expert Panel 167 Young Hoon Kwak, PhD Associate Professor Department of Decision Sciences, School of Business The George Washington University, USA [email protected] http://home.gwu.edu/~kwak John A. “Skip” Laitner, MA Senior Economist for Technology Policy American Council for an Energy-Efficient Economy, USA [email protected] www.aceee.org Richard Lamm Former Governor of Colorado Director, Public Policy & Contemporary Issues University of Denver, USA Al Leedahl, MS President Engineering Design Concepts, USA http://www.leedahl.com/engineering/design/concepts.htm Xin-Wu Lin Director of Research Division III Taiwan Institute of Economic Research, Taiwan [email protected] Bob Locascio Strategy Development Consultant, USA David Luckey, MA, MS, MBA Operations Analyst and Subject Matter Expert Engineering Documentation Systems, Inc., USA [email protected] Tim Mack, JD President World Future Society, USA 168 Technology’s Promise Michael Mainelli, PhD Professor of Commerce, Gresham College Chairman, Z/Yen Group Limited, U.K. [email protected] http://www.zyen.com +44 207-562-9562 Ext. Dr. (Econ.) Mika Mannermaa President Futures Studies Mannermaa Ltd., Finland Joe Martino, PhD Principal JPM Associates, USA Dennis McBride, PhD President Potomac Institute for Policy Studies Research Professor, Krasnow Institute for Advanced Study, George Mason University, USA [email protected] www.potomacinstitute.org John Meagher, BS International Center for Environmental Technology, USA Danila Medvedev, PhD General Director KrioRus, Russia +7 905 768-0457 [email protected] Michael Michaelis President Partners in Enterprise, Inc., USA [email protected] 301-986-1950 301-986-1501 fax Riel Miller, PhD President XperidoX Consulting, USA [email protected] Appendix: The TechCast Expert Panel 169 Steve Millett Partner Social Technologies Inc., USA [email protected] Patrick Moorhead Vice President AMD Corporation, USA Phillip Nelson, PhD Acceleration Studies Foundation, USA [email protected] Eric Newman System Architecture AOL Corporation, USA Bruce Niven, M. Eng. Director Advent Technologies ITOCHU Aviation Inc., USA [email protected] Amy Oberg, MS Corporate Futurist Kimberly Clark Corporation, USA Bob Olson Senior Fellow Institute for Alternative Futures, USA Erik F. Øverland Expert on Foresight and Innovation Policy The Ministry of Education and Research, Norway [email protected] or [email protected] www.subito.as 95963817 Ext. 0047 David Passig, PhD Head, Graduate Program in ICT & Education Bar Ilan University, Israel http://www.passig.com 170 Technology’s Promise Ian Pearson Futurologist BT Group Chief Technology Office, USA http://www.btinternet.com/~ian.pearson Jonathan Peck President Institute for Alternative Futures, USA Leonardo Pineda, PhD CEO Qubit Cluster, Mexico http://www.qubitcluster.com Joanne Pransky Robotics Consultant, USA http://www.robot.md James Richardson Futurist, USA Carlos Ross, PhD President Proa Consultores, Mexico Harry Rothman, PhD Editor Technology Analysis & Strategic Management, U.K. www.tandf.co.uk/journals/titles/09537325.asp Herb Rubenstein, JD Chief Operating Officer International Center for Appropriate and Sustainable Technology, USA Steve Ruth, PhD Professor of Information Systems George Mason University International Center for Applied Studies in IT, USA Appendix: The TechCast Expert Panel 171 John Sagi, PhD Associate Professor of Business Anne Arundel Community College, USA http://www.ola4.aacc.edu/jsagi/ Walid Saliby Director International Project Management AOL Corporation, USA Alison Sander, JD/MBA Consultant, USA Miriam Sapiro, JD President Summit Strategies International, USA Carlos Scheel, PhD Professor of Technological Innovation EGADE, Tecnologico de Monterrey, Mexico [email protected] Jerry Schneider, PhD Professor Emeritus University of Washington, USA Torsten Scholl, MBA CEO, omniwatt AG, Germany [email protected] Chadwick Seagraves, MS Library Systems Analyst Indiana Cooperative Library Services Authority, USA [email protected] http://infosciphi.info Yair Sharan, PhD Director Interdisciplinary Center for Technological Analysis & Forecasting Tel Aviv University, Israel [email protected] 172 Technology’s Promise Art Shostak, PhD Professor of Sociology Emeritus Drexel University, USA Hugues Sicotte, PhD Scientist SAIC Corporation, USA S. Fred Singer, PhD
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