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Haftar's Calculus for Libya: What Happened, and What Is Next? ICSR Insight by Inga Kristina Trauthig
Haftar's Calculus for Libya: What Happened, and What is Next? ICSR Insight by Inga Kristina Trauthig In recent days, a battle for Tripoli has At the time of writing, fighting is been raging that bears the forlorn ongoing. On Sunday, 8 April, Tripoli’s possibility of regression for Libya as a only functioning civilian airport at Mitiga whole. A military offensive led by was forced to be evacuated as it was General Khalifa Haftar, commander of hit with air strikes attributed to the LNA. the so-called “Libyan National Army” These airstrikes took place the same (LNA) that mostly controls eastern day that the “Tripoli International Fair” Libya, was launched on April 3, to the occurred, signalling the formidable level dismay of much the international of resilience Libyans have attained after community. A few days after the launch eight years of turbulence following of the military campaign by Haftar, Qaddafi’s overthrow. some analysts have already concluded that “Libya is (…) [in] its third civil war since 2011”. The LNA forces first took the town of Gharyan, 100 km south of Tripoli, before advancing to the city’s outskirts. ICSR, Department of War Studies, King’s College London. All rights reserved. Haftar's Calculus for Libya: What Happened, and What is Next? ICSR Insight by Inga Kristina Trauthig What is happening? Haftar had been building his forces in central Libya for months. At the beginning of the year, he claimed to have “taken control” of southern Libya, indicating that he was prepping for an advance on the western part of Libya, the last piece missing. -
Gaddafi Supporters Since 2011
Country Policy and Information Note Libya: Actual or perceived supporters of former President Gaddafi Version 3.0 April 2019 Preface Purpose This note provides country of origin information (COI) and analysis of COI for use by Home Office decision makers handling particular types of protection and human rights claims (as set out in the basis of claim section). It is not intended to be an exhaustive survey of a particular subject or theme. It is split into two main sections: (1) analysis and assessment of COI and other evidence; and (2) COI. These are explained in more detail below. Assessment This section analyses the evidence relevant to this note – i.e. the COI section; refugee/human rights laws and policies; and applicable caselaw – by describing this and its inter-relationships, and provides an assessment on whether, in general: • A person is reasonably likely to face a real risk of persecution or serious harm • A person is able to obtain protection from the state (or quasi state bodies) • A person is reasonably able to relocate within a country or territory • Claims are likely to justify granting asylum, humanitarian protection or other form of leave, and • If a claim is refused, it is likely or unlikely to be certifiable as ‘clearly unfounded’ under section 94 of the Nationality, Immigration and Asylum Act 2002. Decision makers must, however, still consider all claims on an individual basis, taking into account each case’s specific facts. Country of origin information The country information in this note has been carefully selected in accordance with the general principles of COI research as set out in the Common EU [European Union] Guidelines for Processing Country of Origin Information (COI), dated April 2008, and the Austrian Centre for Country of Origin and Asylum Research and Documentation’s (ACCORD), Researching Country Origin Information – Training Manual, 2013. -
After Gaddafi 01 0 0.Pdf
Benghazi in an individual capacity and the group it- ures such as Zahi Mogherbi and Amal al-Obeidi. They self does not seem to be reforming. Al-Qaeda in the found an echo in the administrative elites, which, al- Islamic Maghreb has also been cited as a potential though they may have served the regime for years, spoiler in Libya. In fact, an early attempt to infiltrate did not necessarily accept its values or projects. Both the country was foiled and since then the group has groups represent an essential resource for the future, been taking arms and weapons out of Libya instead. and will certainly take part in a future government. It is unlikely to play any role at all. Scenarios for the future The position of the Union of Free Officers is unknown and, although they may form a pressure group, their membership is elderly and many of them – such as the Three scenarios have been proposed for Libya in the rijal al-khima (‘the men of the tent’ – Colonel Gaddafi’s future: (1) the Gaddafi regime is restored to power; closest confidants) – too compromised by their as- (2) Libya becomes a failing state; and (3) some kind sociation with the Gaddafi regime. The exiled groups of pluralistic government emerges in a reunified state. will undoubtedly seek roles in any new regime but The possibility that Libya remains, as at present, a they suffer from the fact that they have been abroad divided state between East and West has been ex- for up to thirty years or more. -
Libya Conflict Insight | Feb 2018 | Vol
ABOUT THE REPORT The purpose of this report is to provide analysis and Libya Conflict recommendations to assist the African Union (AU), Regional Economic Communities (RECs), Member States and Development Partners in decision making and in the implementation of peace and security- related instruments. Insight CONTRIBUTORS Dr. Mesfin Gebremichael (Editor in Chief) Mr. Alagaw Ababu Kifle Ms. Alem Kidane Mr. Hervé Wendyam Ms. Mahlet Fitiwi Ms. Zaharau S. Shariff Situation analysis EDITING, DESIGN & LAYOUT Libya achieved independence from United Nations (UN) trusteeship in 1951 Michelle Mendi Muita (Editor) as an amalgamation of three former Ottoman provinces, Tripolitania, Mikias Yitbarek (Design & Layout) Cyrenaica and Fezzan under the rule of King Mohammed Idris. In 1969, King Idris was deposed in a coup staged by Colonel Muammar Gaddafi. He promptly abolished the monarchy, revoked the constitution, and © 2018 Institute for Peace and Security Studies, established the Libya Arab Republic. By 1977, the Republic was transformed Addis Ababa University. All rights reserved. into the leftist-leaning Great Socialist People's Libyan Arab Jamahiriya. In the 1970s and 1980s, Libya pursued a “deviant foreign policy”, epitomized February 2018 | Vol. 1 by its radical belligerence towards the West and its endorsement of anti- imperialism. In the late 1990s, Libya began to re-normalize its relations with the West, a development that gradually led to its rehabilitation from the CONTENTS status of a pariah, or a “rogue state.” As part of its rapprochement with the Situation analysis 1 West, Libya abandoned its nuclear weapons programme in 2003, resulting Causes of the conflict 2 in the lifting of UN sanctions. -
Libya's Growing Risk of Civil War | the Washington Institute
MENU Policy Analysis / PolicyWatch 2256 Libya's Growing Risk of Civil War by Andrew Engel May 20, 2014 ABOUT THE AUTHORS Andrew Engel Andrew Engel, a former research assistant at The Washington Institute, recently received his master's degree in security studies at Georgetown University and currently works as an Africa analyst. Brief Analysis Long-simmering tensions between non-Islamist and Islamist forces have boiled over into military actions centered around Benghazi and Tripoli, entrenching the country's rival alliances and bringing them ever closer to civil war. n May 16, former Libyan army general Khalifa Haftar launched "Operation Dignity of Libya" in Benghazi, O aiming to "c leanse the city of terrorists." The move came three months after he announced the overthrow of the government but failed to act on his proclamation. Since Friday, however, army units loyal to Haftar have actively defied armed forces chief of staff Maj. Gen. Salem al-Obeidi, who called the operation "a coup." And on Monday, sympathetic forces based in Zintan extended the operation to Tripoli. These and other developments are edging the country closer to civil war, complicating U.S. efforts to stabilize post-Qadhafi Libya. DIVIDING LINES I slamists and non-Islamist forces have long been contesting each other's claims to being the legitimate heart of the 2011 revolution. Islamist factions such as the Muslim Brotherhood-related Justice and Construction Party and the Loyalty to the Martyrs Bloc have dominated the General National Congress (GNC) since summer 2013, when the forcibly passed Political Isolation Law effectively barred all former Qadhafi regime members -- even those who had fought the regime -- from participating in government for ten years. -
January 2021 Libya Emergency Type: Complex Emergency Reporting Period: 01.01.2021 to 31.01.2021
HEALTH SECTOR BULLETIN January 2021 Libya Emergency type: Complex Emergency Reporting period: 01.01.2021 to 31.01.2021 Total population People affected People in need People in need Health People in acute Sector health need 7,400,000 2,470,000 1,250,000 1,195,389 1,010,000 PIN (IDP) PIN (Returnees) PIN (Non- PIN (Migrants) PIN (Refugees) displaced) 168,728 180,482 498,908 301,026 46,245 Target Health Required Funded Coverage Sector (US$ m) (US$ m) (%) 450,795 40,990,000 TBC TBC KEY ISSUES 2020 PMR (Periodic Monitoring Report) related indicators Impact of devaluation of the Libyan currency Number of medical procedures provided on humanitarian workers (including outpatient consultations, referrals, mental health, trauma 376.468 Situation with public health funding consultations, deliveries, physical rehabilitation) Update on COVID-19 vaccine introduction Number of public health facilities supported with health services and 302 Consolidated draft of the COVID-19 national commodities response plan. Number of mobile medical teams/clinics 58 (including EMT) Overview of COVID-19 isolation centers Number of health service providers and across Libya CHW trained through capacity building 7793 and refresher training EWARN Libya evaluation Number of attacks on health care reported 36 Percentage of EWARN sentinel sites 68 Health priorities for 2021 submitting reports in a timely manner Percentage of disease outbreaks responded 78 WHO Libya main roles and COVID-19 to within 72 hours of identification activities Number of reporting organizations 25 Percentage of reached districts 100 Update on Health Diplomacy project Percentage of reached municipalities 92 (UNDP/UNSMIL) Percentage of reached municipalities in areas of severity scale higher than 3 51 1 HEALTH SECTOR BULLETIN January 2021 SITUATION OVERVIEW • The UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres called on foreign fighters and mercenaries in Libya to immediately leave because "the Libyans have already proven that, left alone, they are able to address their problems". -
Crisis Committee
CRISIS COMMITTEE Lyon Model United Nations 2018 Study Guide Libyan Civil War !1 LyonMUN 2018 – Libyan Civil War Director: Thomas Ron Deputy Director: Malte Westphal Chairs: Laurence Turner and Carine Karaki Backroom: Ben Bolton, Camille Saikali, Margaux Da Silva, and Antoine Gaudim !2 Director’s Welcome Dear Delegates, On behalf of the whole team I would like to welcome you to LyonMUN 2018 and this simulation of the Libyan Civil War. It is strange to feel that such an important topic that we all remember happening is already over 7 years old. Therefore, we felt it would be a good time to simulate it and think about the ways it could have gone. As delegates you will each be given characters to play in this crisis. These were real people who made a difference within the actual Civil War and have their own objectives and goals. You are tasked with advancing the goals of your character and making sure that they end up doing well out of this crisis. Every action will have consequences, everything you do will have ramifications, and mistakes can be deadly. Your chairs will be there to help but they will also be representing characters and have their own interests, meaning they may not be fully trustworthy. Behind the scenes you will have a backroom which will interpret your directives and move the plot forward. We will be there to read what you say and put it into action. However, a word to the wise, the way your wish may be interpreted may not be ideal. -
Minority Ethnic Groups
Country Information and Guidance Libya: Minority ethnic groups 18 February 2015 Preface This document provides guidance to Home Office decision makers on handling claims made by nationals/residents of - as well as country of origin information (COI) about - Libya. This includes whether claims are likely to justify the granting of asylum, humanitarian protection or discretionary leave and whether – in the event of a claim being refused – it is likely to be certifiable as ‘clearly unfounded’ under s94 of the Nationality, Immigration and Asylum Act 2002. Decision makers must consider claims on an individual basis, taking into account the case specific facts and all relevant evidence, including: the guidance contained with this document; the available COI; any applicable caselaw; and the Home Office casework guidance in relation to relevant policies. Within this instruction, links to specific guidance are those on the Home Office’s internal system. Public versions of these documents are available at https://www.gov.uk/immigration- operational-guidance/asylum-policy. Country Information The COI within this document has been compiled from a wide range of external information sources (usually) published in English. Consideration has been given to the relevance, reliability, accuracy, objectivity, currency, transparency and traceability of the information and wherever possible attempts have been made to corroborate the information used across independent sources, to ensure accuracy. All sources cited have been referenced in footnotes. It has been researched and presented with reference to the Common EU [European Union] Guidelines for Processing Country of Origin Information (COI), dated April 2008, and the European Asylum Support Office’s research guidelines, Country of Origin Information report methodology, dated July 2012. -
Security Council Provisional Asdfsixty-Ninth Year 7194Th Meeting Monday, 9 June 2014, 10.10 A.M
United Nations S/ PV.7194 Security Council Provisional asdfSixty-ninth year 7194th meeting Monday, 9 June 2014, 10.10 a.m. New York President: Mr. Churkin ..................................... (Russian Federation) Members: Argentina ....................................... Mrs. Perceval Australia ........................................ Mr. White Chad ........................................... Mr. Cherif Chile ........................................... Mr. Llanos China .......................................... Mr. Shen Bo France .......................................... Mr. Araud Jordan .......................................... Mr. Hmoud Lithuania ........................................ Mr. Kalindra Luxembourg ..................................... Ms. Lucas Nigeria ......................................... Mr. Laro Republic of Korea ................................. Ms. Paik Ji-ah Rwanda ......................................... Mr. Gasana United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland .... Sir Mark Lyall Grant United States of America ........................... Mrs. DiCarlo Agenda The situation in Libya This record contains the text of speeches delivered in English and of the translation of speeches delivered in other languages. The final text will be printed in the Official Records of the Security Council. Corrections should be submitted to the original languages only. They should be incorporated in a copy of the record and sent under the signature of a member of the delegation concerned to the Chief of the Verbatim Reporting -
Summary of Information on Jihadist Websites the Second Half of September 2015
ICT Jihadi Monitoring Group PERIODIC REVIEW Bimonthly Report Summary of Information on Jihadist Websites The Second Half of September 2015 International Institute for Counter Terrorism (ICT) Additional resources are available on the ICT Website: www.ict.org.il This report summarizes notable events discussed on jihadist Web forums during the second half of September 2015. Following are the main points covered in the report: Sheikh Ayman al-Zawahiri, the leader of Al-Qaeda, criticizes the establishment of the Islamic Caliphate by Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi and emphasizes that it is not legally valid and, therefore, Muslims are not obligated to swear allegiance to it. According to him, it is of considerable importance at the present time to unite the ranks of the mujahideen and to exercise caution when declaring takfir on Muslims. In addition, he emphasizes the importance of focusing the war effort against the West, especially the United States, Israel, secular Arab regimes, Iran and its allies. Khalid bin ‘Umar Batarfi, a senior leader of Al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula, praised the wave of knife terrorist attacks by Palestinians against Jews in Israel. He justifies these attacks as a response to Israel’s harsh oppression of the Palestinians and its efforts to Judaize Al-Aqsa Mosque. According to him, it is a religious conflict closely related to the Muslim Nation and in order to free Palestine, they must fight against the Jews, the Christian West (especially the United States), and the Arab regimes surrounding Israel that abandoned the Palestinian problem and are interested in strengthening their relationship with Israel. -
Anupropaz A2016.Pdf
Impresión: Diseño: Lucas J. Wainer ISBN: Depósito Legal: B-14.344.2008 Este anuario ha sido elaborado por Vicenç Fisas, director de la Escola de Cultura de Pau de la UAB. El autor agradece la información facilitada por varias personas del equipo de investigación de la Escola, particularmente Ana Ballesteros, Iván Navarro, Josep Maria Royo, Jordi Urgell, Pamela Urrutia, Ana Villellas y María Villellas. Vicenç Fisas es también doctor en estudios sobre paz por la Universidad de Bradford, premio Nacional de Derechos Humanos 1988 y autor de más de treinta libros sobre conflictos, desarme, investigación sobre la paz o procesos depaz. Algunos de los títulos publicados son: Diplomacias de paz: negociar con grupos armados; Manual de procesos de paz; Procesos de paz y negociación en conflictos armados; La paz es posible; y Cultura de paz y gestión de conflictos. Índice Glosario 7 Europa 195 a) Sudeste de Europa 195 Presentación: definiciones y tipologías 13 Chipre 195 Kosovo 201 Fases habituales en los procesos de Moldova (Transdniestria) 208 negociación 15 Turquía (PKK) 213 Ucrania 223 Principales conclusiones del año 19 b) Cáucaso 233 Armenia-Azerbaiyán 233 Los procesos de paz en 2015 26 Georgia (Abjasia y Osetia del Sur) 238 Los conflictos y los procesos de paz al Oriente Medio 245 finalizar 2015 27 Israel-Palestina 245 Los conflictos y los procesos de paz de los últimos años 31 Análisis por países Anexos África 31 1. Procesos analizados en los capítulos a) África Occidental 31 de los anuarios, de 2006 a 2016. 253 Malí (Tuaregs) 31 Senegal (Casamance) 38 2. Acuerdos de paz y ratificación del Estatuto b) Cuerno de África 42 de Roma de la Corte Penal Internacional. -
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35 Militia Institutionalisation and Security Sector Reform in Libya Ziad A. Akl IEMed. European Institute of the Mediterranean Consortium formed by: Executive President: Senén Florensa Board of Trustees - Business Council: Corporate Sponsors Partner Institutions Papers IE Med. Publication and coordination: European Institute of the Mediterranean Proof-reading: Neil Charlton Layout: Núria Esparza ISSN: 1888-5357 June 2017 This series of Papers brings together the result of research projects presented at the EuroMeSCo Annual Conference 2016. On the occasion of the EuroMeSCo Annual Conference “Towards a New Security Architecture in the Euro-Mediterranean”, held in Brussels on 13-15 April 2016, distinguished analysts presented their research proposals related to the overall theme of the security situation in the Euro-Mediterranean region and the challenges lying ahead. The papers were articulated around the three main tracks that were discussed at the annual conference: hard security challenges, socio-political challenges and energy and environmental challenges. This publication has been produced with the assistance of the European Union. The contents of this publication are the sole responsibility of the author and can in no way be taken to reflect the views of the European Union or the European Institute of the Mediterranean. CONTENTS Militia Institutionalisation and Security Sector Reform in Libya Ziad A. Akl* INTRODUCTION 6 CONCEPTUALISING MILITIA INSTITUTIONALISATION 10 LIBYA’S MILITIA DILEMMA (A BRIEF HISTORY) 16 The Rule of the National