MESSAGE FROM THE DIRECTORS

IDEAS was formed at the LSE to encourage a critical but serious dialogue between academics and policy makers, all the time recognising that its principal raison d’être was to add substantially to the intellectual life of a School famed for its public engagement and known around the world for its high quality research.

IDEAS thus situated itself within what its two Directors understood to be a long LSE tradition, and since its formation can reasonably claim to have added to the LSE’s footprint: first in London as a global city; then more widely in Europe and the United States; and finally in the wider world where its reputation now stretches from China to Latin America, India to Indonesia, Africa to the Balkans. Through its various self-standing programmes, its hugely well attended public events at the LSE, its publications, and the active role it is now playing at such leading institutions as Peking and Columbia universities, IDEAS has expanded enormously on its activities since it was originally launched by Sir Peter Ricketts – now National Security Adviser to the coalition government – back in February 2008. We have not yet moved mountains. That is for sure. But it would not be too immodest to suggest that we have fulfilled at least part of our original ambition of creating another point of serious intellectual activity at one of the greatest universities in the world.

All successful projects collect several debts, and it would only be right as Co-Directors of IDEAS to mention just a few of these here. A great vote of thanks must go first to the Director of LSE: Sir Howard Davies. IDEAS would never have moved as far forward, and as fast as it has, without his advice and support. Secondly, we would wish to register a very big thank you to the IDEAS Board. Chaired in its early stages by Lord William Wallace (and now by Sir David Manning) the whole Board including Gordon Barrass, Jonathan Powell, Sir Mark Allen, Sir Richard Mottram, Sir Colin Budd, Patrick Salmon and Baroness Liz Symons have been quite indispensable in providing us with guidance and encouragement. In a very different, but equally crucial way, so too have all those who have contributed to the work of IDEAS, most notably Emmanuel Roman who has made possible the creation of a Chair in his father’s name (currently held by Niall Ferguson); Dr Munir Majid whose support and intellectual leadership has made IDEAS a presence in South East Asia; Cato Stonex and Maurice Pinto who have donated so generously to the funding of our many brilliant PhDs studying respectively in the departments of International Relations and International History; and last but not least, to the two departments themselves. Their backing and recognition that IDEAS could only add to their already established reputations as centres of excellence has been absolutely critical.

Finally, a very special, and especially warm, vote of thanks has to go to all those many hard-working students and colleagues within IDEAS itself, most centrally Dr Svetozar Rajak our Academic Director, Dr Emilia Knight the hardest working manager that any Centre could have, and Ms Tiha Franulovic whose patience and personal (as well as personnel) skills have helped keep the two Directors on the straight and narrow. In these straitened times, there are many reasons why some academics might find reasons for not going into work. But we can think of few ourselves! Going into IDEAS you get the very real feeling that something hugely dynamic, potentially significant, and definitely great fun, is going on. We can only hope that this Annual Report conveys the sense of excitement and pride we feel about what has been created on the second floor of Columbia House over the past few years. We can only hope that the next few years will be as exciting and productive.

Professor Michael Cox Professor Arne Westad

Co-Directors, LSE IDEAS

2 AT A GLANCE

LSE IDEAS 2009 - 2010

LSE IDEAS is a centre for the study of international affairs, diplomacy and grand strategy. Its mission is to use LSE’s vast intellectual resources to help train skilled and open-minded leaders and to study international affairs through world-class scholarship and engagement with practitioners and decision-makers. As its name implies, IDEAS aims at understanding how today’s world came into being and how it may be changed, in line with LSE’s old motto: rerum cognoscere causas - to understand the causes of things.

»» £2.5 million from 25 sources in 2 years »» Delivery of 137 events in 2009 - 2010 »» 24 IDEAS public lectures »» 60 IDEAS seminars »» 19 IDEAS book launches »» 19 IDEAS conferences and workshops »» 6 IDEAS programme launches »» 9 dinner debates »» Participation in over 100 non-IDEAS events across the globe »» 2 journals »» 6 special reports »» 5 strategic updates »» 11 Situation Analysis briefings »» 6 issues of IDEAS Today magazine »» Helping administer the LSE-PKU Double Degree »» Launching the Executive Masters Degree on International Strategy and Diplomacy »» 7 scholarships »» 9 programme Fellowships »» 4 Visiting Chevening Fellows »» 2 Visiting FCO Fellows »» 2 Visiting Senior Fellows »» 6 Senior Fellows »» 12 distinguished advisors to the IDEAS Board from the public, private and academic sectors

3 LSE IDEAS: A CENTRE OF EXCELLENCE

RESEARCH AGENDA

IDEAS is a Centre for the study of international affairs, diplomacy and strategy with a clear research agenda executed through nine research Programmes. Eight of the Programmes are organised on a regional basis: Southeast Asia; East Asia; the Middle East; the Balkans; Russia; Africa; Latin America and Transatlantic relations, together with the Cold War Studies Programme which is thematic.

Every year IDEAS offers high level fellowships and scholarships to a wide range of scholars from around the world. The Chevening Programme provides two Fellowships each year to bring high-level diplomats from the Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs; the Pinto post-doctoral fellowship in contemporary international history is awarded annually; two Maurice Pinto PhD scholarships and one Fellowship have been awarded each year for research into Cold War topics; under the Southeast Asia International Affairs Programme two full scholarships are offered for PhD students in the field of politics, security and international affairs in Southeast Asia. This Programme also has two research Fellows and one Senior Visiting Fellow. The Balkan International Affairs Programme offers an annual Sotirov Fellowship for the study of international affairs of Bulgaria and the Balkans in the twentieth century and beyond. The Russia Studies Programme each year awards four Paulsen Fellowships to early-career historians from regional Russian universities for the study of Imperial Russia’s foreign policy, military and diplomatic services. IDEAS together with the International Relations and International History departments have also awarded two Stonex PhD scholarships

INTERDISCIPLINARY - GLOBAL - ACADEMIC NETWORK

Several Heads of Programmes are senior academics from the LSE International Relations and International History Departments and Programme Associates are drawn from distinguished academics from across the school, other UK universities and universities and institutions across the world. The IDEAS vast network of Associates include Professor George Philip, Dr Matias Spektor, Professor Fawaz Gerges, Professor Gilles Kepel, Professor Thandika Mkandawire, Dr Anna Mart van Wyk, Professor Francois Godement, Professor Wang Jisi, Professor Mary Kaldor, Professor Mark Kramer, Professor Frederico Romero, Professor Evanthis Hatzivassiliou, Professor Athar Hussein, Professor James Putzel, Professor John Ikenberry, Professor Charles Kupchan – to name just a few.

IDEAS also houses the Philippe Roman Chair in History and International Affairs: a one-year distinguished visiting professorship for leading scholars based outside the UK. The Philippe Roman Chair is awarded to a scholar and public intellectual of international repute, whose presence at the LSE will enhance the institution’s standing in the competitive world of global higher education. The current Chair holder is Professor Niall Ferguson.

FINANCIAL SUSTAINABILITY

LSE IDEAS has exceeded expectations in achieving sustained funding. For three consecutive years since the Centre started in 2008, 95% of funding has been from external funding agencies. The Centre spend for FY09-10 was over three times the set level, and funding over five times the set level. This is a further improvement on the previous year when spend was twice the set level.

In addition to its role in research and scholarship, the Centre also participates in teaching collaboration with Peking University, coordinating and administering a double MSc in the International Affairs of East Asia and the World, and running two international Affairs courses of the LSE-PKU summer school in Beijing. IDEAS also offers an Executive Masters Programme in International Diplomacy & Strategy for the study of international affairs, defence, and international business and finance.

ENGAGEMENT WITH STAKEHOLDERS

Our goal is to study international affairs through world class scholarship and engagement with practitioners and decision makers. During the period 2009-2010, IDEAS has successfully organised and hosted 137 events including Public Lectures, seminars, workshops and conferences, and has published six special reports, five Strategic Updates, eleven Situation Analysis briefings, and six issues of IDEAS Today magazine. The IDEAS website receives online visitors from 142 countries with a 120% increase in web traffic year on year.

VIBRANT WORKING ENVIRONMENT

The team‘s culture is dynamic, collaborative and entrepreneurial. This environment attracts highly qualified staff and exceptional PhD students, Researchers and Programme Assistants, all with a passionate commitment to IDEAS and the LSE.

4 THE DIRECTORS

PROFESSOR MICHAEL COX PROFESSOR ODD ARNE WESTAD

Michael Cox is a world-reknowned Arne Westad is professor of expert on international relations. international history and an expert He has held appointments at the on contemporary international Queen’s University of Belfast (1972- affairs. He is the general editor 1995), California State University of the forthcoming three-volume at San Diego (1986), the College of Cambridge History of the Cold War William and Mary in Virginia (1987- and an editor of the journal Cold War 1989), the University of Aberystwyth History. His latest book, The Global (1995-2001), the Catholic University Cold War, won the Bancroft Prize, the of Milan (2003-2008), the University Harrington Award of the American of Melbourne (2004-2005), and the Political Science Association, and Centre for Defence and Strategic the Akira Iriye International History Studies in Canberra, Australia (2004- Award. It has been translated into 2008). He was appointed to a Chair in twelve languages. International Relations at the London School of Economics in 2003. Born in Norway, Professor Westad studied history, philosophy and modern languages at the University Professor Cox is also Chair of the European Consortium for Political of Oslo and received his PhD in history from the University of North Research (ECPR). In addition, he has served on the Executive Committee Carolina in 1990. During the 1980s he worked for several international of the British International Studies Association and The Irish National aid agencies in Southern Africa and South Asia. He has taught at the Committee for the Study of International Affairs. He is also an associate University of North Carolina and at Johns Hopkins University and research fellow at Chatham House, London, and between 2001 and served for eight years as Director of Research at the Norwegian Nobel 2002 was Director of the David Davies Memorial Institute for the Institute. Since 1998 he has been in the Department of International Study of International Politics. In 2002 and 2007 he was appointed History at LSE, where he teaches Cold War history and the history of a Research Fellow at the prestigious Nobel Institute in Oslo, and in East Asia. He served as head of department from 2004-07 and is now 2003 Chair of the United States Discussion Group at the Royal Institute co-director of LSE IDEAS, the LSE’s centre for the study of international of International Affairs. In 2007 Professor Michael Cox became an affairs, diplomacy and grand strategy. Associate Fellow on the Transatlantic Programme at The Royal United Services Institute (RUSI) Whitehall. He is an alumnus of and has taught Professor Westad is the general editor (with Professor Melvyn Leffler at the Salzburg Seminar, Austria. of the University of Virginia) of the three volume Cambridge History of the Cold War (CHCW), to be published by Cambridge University Press A highly experienced international lecturer, Professor Cox has in 2009. With 75 contributors from 18 countries, the CHCW is the spoken worldwide over the last twenty years to senior Executives, preeminent international history of the conflict and its repercussions. business people, military and intelligence personnel and government organisations in Brussels, Beijing, Paris, Canberra, London, Rome, Professor Westad has held visiting fellowships at Cambridge University, Madrid, Washington, Boston and New York. He has spoken on a range Hong Kong University, and New York University. He has been the of contemporary global issues, though most recently he has focused recipient of major grants from the John D. and Catharine T. MacArthur on US foreign policy, the state of transatlantic relationship, the role of Foundation and the British Arts and Humanities Research Council. He the United States in the international economy, the rise of Asia and has served as the international co-ordinator of the Russian Foreign the longer term problems facing the European Union. He is also the Ministry’s Advisory Group on Declassification and Archival Access author, editor and co-editor of over twenty books and has also served and has advised several other governments on such issues. He now as editor of several leading academic journals including the Review heads the British Academy’s documentary project on British-Russian of International Studies, International Relations and currently relations during the Cold War. He is also widely known as a reviewer, International Politics and Cold War History. Since 2003 he has been lecturer and external examiner (including at the University of Hong a member of the board of the Cambridge Studies in International Kong, which he has served since 2004). In 2000, Professor Westad Relations and is general editor for the Palgrave series, Rethinking World was awarded the Bernath Lecture Prize from the Society for Historians Politics. In 2010 he will publish two volumes of his own writings: The of American Foreign Relations. Rise and Fall of the American Empire and The United States and World Order: From the Cold War to the “War on Terror”. In 2011 he will also Professor Westad often lectures to general audiences in different parts release two four-volume editions of key writings on the Cold War and of the world on key issues in international affairs, such as China’s US Foreign Policy. foreign policy and the situations in Korea, Afghanistan, and Iran.

5 ADVISORY BOARD

LORD WALLACE OF SALTAIRE SIR DAVID MANNING Chair of the Advisory Board of LSE IDEAS Lord Wallace is an Emeritus Professor in the Department of International Relations at the London School of Economics and has a long Sir David has wide-ranging experience of foreign affairs. He has served distinguished record in British politics. He was made a peer in 1995 as British ambassador to Israel, NATO and the United States. From and became the Liberal Democrat spokesman on Foreign Affairs and 2001-2003 he was Foreign Affairs Adviser to Prime Minister Blair. Sir Defence. He subsequently sat on the Select Committee on European David is currently a non-executive Director of several company boards Communities and was Chairman of the Sub-Committee on Justice and and the new Chair of the Advisory Board of LSE IDEAS. Home Affairs from 1997-2000. 2004 saw him elected Deputy Leader of the Liberal Democrat Peers.

“On behalf of all at IDEAS, we would like to express our greatest thanks to our outgoing Advisory Board Chair, Lord Wallace of Saltaire. Lord Wallace has been the staunchest supporter of IDEAS, lending his great knowledge, energy and enthusiasm in support of a project he believes passionately in. We are delighted that he will continue to give us the benefit of his great experience on the board over the coming years.”

Arne Westad and Mick Cox

SIR MARK ALLEN PROFESSOR PATRICK SALMON

Sir Mark is an eminent authority of Middle Eastern affairs. During three Professor Salmon is the Chief Historian at the Foreign and Commonwealth decades in the British Diplomatic Service he also worked on East-West Office. His research focuses on the history of Scandinavia and twentieth- relations and the emerging problems of globalisation. Since retiring, century international relations. He is the author of Scandinavia and the he has taken on a variety of advisory roles in energy, IT and strategic Great Powers 1890-1940 and co-editor of Documents on British Policy consultancy. Overseas and Slavery, Diplomacy and Empire Britain and the Suppression of the Slave Trade, 1807–1975.

MR GORDON BARRASS BARONESS SYMONS OF VERNHAM DEAN Gordon Barrass is a Visiting Professor at LSE IDEAS, where he specialises on strategy, assessments and perceptions. After more than 20 years in Baroness Symons has held numerous governmental positions during her the British Diplomatic Service he served as Chief of the Assessments tenure in public service. She was a junior Foreign Office Minister from Staff in the Cabinet Office. He then spent nearly a decade helping PwC 1997-99 and subsequently Minister of State for Defence Procurement. expand its business in China’s rapidly growing financial services sector. She was named Minister of State for Trade in 2001 and then Minister of State for the Middle East, International Security, Consular and Personal Affairs in the Foreign and Commonwealth Office, and Deputy Leader SIR COLIN BUDD of the House of Lords after being made a Labour life peer in 1996. Since 2005 she has held the position of non-executive Director of British Sir Colin is an expert on European affairs. He was in charge of European Airways. and Economic Affairs in the FCO and then served as Ambassador to the Netherlands. He has also held senior positions in the Cabinet Office. He currently advises governments that are preparing to take over the MR JONATHAN POWELL rotating presidency of the EU. As a British diplomat Jonathan Powell was closely involved in negotiations with the Chinese over Hong Kong and German unification. SIR HOWARD DAVIES As Chief of Staff to Prime Minister Blair he played a key role in reaching an agreement with the IRA on a political settlement in Northern Ireland. Sir Howard is Director of the London School of Economics and has been He is currently Managing Director at Morgan Stanley. actively engaged in developing ‘Strategy in an Age of Global Risk.’ Prior to becoming Director he served as Chairman of the British Financial Services Authority, Deputy Governor of the Bank of England and MR CATO STONEX Director General of the Confederation of British Industries. Cato Stonex graduated from the London School of Economics, of which he is now a governor. In 1986, he joined the European government SIR RICHARD MOTTRAM bond trading department at Morgan Grenfell. In 1989 he joined J. Rothschild Investment Management and began his association with Nils Sir Richard is an expert on defence, security, strategy and planning. He Taube and John Hodson. Together they formed THS Partners in 1997. was one of Britain’s top civil servants, heading several departments, including the Ministry of Defence, and Security and Intelligence in the Cabinet Office. His current roles include Chairman of the Defence THE LSE IDEAS’ OPERATIONS ARE MONITORED BY A Science and Technology Laboratory. MANAGEMENT COMMITTEE WHOSE MEMBERS ARE:

Prof Michael Cox, Professor of International Relations and PROFESSOR CHRISTOPHER COKER Co-Director of LSE IDEAS Prof Arne Westad, Professor of International History and Christopher Coker is Professor of International Relations. He is also a Co-Director of LSE IDEAS fellow of the Tokyo National Institute of Defence Studies, the Moscow School of Politics and the Washington Strategy Seminar, and has twice Prof Nigel Ashton, Professor of International History at LSE served on the Council of RUSI. He has written extensively on strategy and lectures at defence academies around the world. Dr Svetozar Rajak, Lecturer in International History and Academic Director of IDEAS

Dr George Lawson, Lecturer in International Relations at LSE

6 PROGRAMME PROFILES

Co-Heads of Programme Dr Sue Onslow & Dr Chris Alden Programme Assistant Christian Kramer

BRIEF SUMMARY

The LSE IDEAS Africa International Affairs Programme (AIAP) is designed to promote greater understanding of the extent to which the recent past in Africa has a particular importance, and relevance for contemporary domestic politics and economies, inter-state relations, and the continent’s relationship with the wider world. It aims at assistance and support for historical and political theory research and its publication, as well as the promotion of young African academics.

HIGHLIGHTS

»» Launch of the AIAP: Roundtable discussion on Africa and the World. Speakers: Prof. Thandika Mkandawire; Prof. Michael Chege; Dr Fantu Cheru and Dr Chris Alden.

»» Panel Discussion on Niger Delta: Confronting the Crisis between Nigerian representatives of Bayelsa State Expenditure and Transparency Initiative (BEITI), and Revenue Watch; (March 2010).

»» Public Lecture: Obama Administration’s view of Africa. Speaker: Dr Howard Wolpe, Prof. Thandika Mkandawire: Africa International former Special Envoy to the Great Lakes Region for President Obama (November 2010). Affairs Programme Launch ‘Africa and the World’ »» Seminar series: Three evening seminars on the Western Sahara Conflict; South Africa’s nuclear programme and Dino Mahtani (rapporteur of Secretary General Ban Ki Moon’s special committee on Arms and Conflict in the DRC). Second annual working seminar, jointly organized by LSE/IPRI on Legacies of Conflict and Decolonization in Lisbon.

»» Publications: Strategic Update on Africa and the World

LIST OF ASSOCIATES

The AIAP research network is comprised of 30 established scholars, post-doctoral researchers and doctoral students.

Prominent associates include: Prof. Thandika Mkandawire; Prof. Adrian Guelke; Prof. Chris Saunders; Prof. Vladimir Shubin; Dr Anna Mart Van Wyk; Prof. Michael Chege; ** the late Sir Prof. Yahia Zoubir: The Geopolitics of the Western Marrack Goulding Sahara Conflict.

FUNDING TO-DATE

AIAP has raised to date £30,344 from the LSE Annual Fund.

7 PROGRAMME PROFILES

Head of Programme Dr Svetozar Rajak Programme Assistant Eirini Karamouzi / TBA

BRIEF SUMMARY

The Balkan International Affairs Programme (BIAP) aims to promote the understanding of the troubled past of the region; assist in the search for the answers to the challenges of today; and contribute to defining the vision of a Balkan future. Among other things, we hope to promote integration of the historical legacy into contemporary experience as lessons of history; to engage in debates on current issues and challenges and, together with Balkan institutions, scholars and practitioners, work to formulate specific and qualified responses; to assist in defining a platform for the strategic assessment of future regional challenges and their interdependence with the wider, global challenges; and to promote and actively work towards full integration of the region’s academic capabilities and intellectual potential into European scholarship.

HIGHLIGHTS

»» Public Lecture: Launch of BIAP, Balkans 2020: The Ministerial Debate with the Bulgarian and Serbian Foreign Ministers as guest speakers. Sheikh Zayed Theatre, 18 November 2010, with an audience of 400.

»» Research Seminar series From History as a Burden to Shared History and Future. First seminar on Greek Foreign policy: From Ideas to Policies. Speaker: Prof Evanthis Hatzivassiliou (November 2010).

Serbian Foreign Minister, H.E. Vuk Jeremic: »» Fellowship: Mladena and Dianko Sotirov BIAP Visiting Fellowship thanks to the Securing Peace and Stability in the Balkans: generous endowment of £71.675 by Mrs Sotirova. The Fellowship is offered annually European Perspectives and International Law and the recipients will be invited to spend up to three months in LSE IDEAS.

»» Conference: Three day International Conference of the ‘Balkans in the Cold War’, Athens 27-29 May 2011. Co-organised with Konstantinos Karamanlis Institute for Democracy.

»» Website: recently created blog Balkania which intends to become a hub for Balkan research. Also pod casts and mini video interviews from our events are now integrated in the website.

LIST OF ASSOCIATES

BIAP is building a database of academic and policy makers, and now hosts a research network H.E. Vuk Jeremic, Dr Svetozar Rajak, H.E. Nickolay of 15 young scholars working on the Balkans who also contribute to the programme’s activities. Mladenov: Balkan International Affairs Programme Launch ‘Balkans 2020: The Ministerial Debate’ Prominent associates include: Dr Marietta Stankova, Prof Evanthis Hatzivassiliou.

FUNDING TO-DATE

BIAP has raised nearly £33,000. The Programme was awarded the LSE Annual Fund grant of £13,000 for the organisation of a series of projects and has already generated considerable donations from the region amounting to £20,000.

8 PROGRAMME PROFILES

Head of Programme Dr Arne Hofmann Programme Assistant Wes Ullrich / Chris Parkes

BRIEF SUMMARY

The Cold War Studies Programme (CWSP) is one of the foremost centres for the advanced study of the international history of the Cold War, its origins, dynamics and consequences for the present day. It promotes the ‘New Cold War History’ that has emerged since the end of the Cold War: interested in how newly available sources change and heighten our understanding of the Cold War; complementing political, military and economic concerns with questions about ideology and culture; supplementing the traditional focus on the superpower conflict with a focus on other states and societies, both in Europe and in the Third World; moving from the study of national foreign policies towards a multi-perspective international history of the Cold War; and seeking to integrate Cold War Studies with wider 20th century world history.

HIGHLIGHTS

Mr Gordon Barrass: Top Secret - How Intelligence »» Website Upgrades: RSS Feed: enables the CWSP to ‘push’ information on coming Changed the Cold War and the Lessons for Today events and newly published materials to subscribers. Video Integration: As with other programmes, video interviews from events are now integrated directly into our webpages.

»» The Cold War Summer School in Forli: The second annual European Summer School on the Cold War was held September 2010 at the Alma Mater Studiorum, Forlì, of the Università di Bologna. Fifteen doctoral candidates, recent PhDs and advanced Masters students met to present their latest work in the field and debate its ramifications for international history, historiography and the present day.

»» Publications: Long time CWSP associate and former Pinto Post-Doctoral Fellow Dr Artemy Kalinovsky will be publishing his PhD thesis, A Long Goodbye with Harvard University Press. Former CWSP programme assistant Wes Ullrich published ‘Preventing Peace’ in Cold War History.

»» Seminar with Mary Fulbrook: Prof Fulbrook kept the audience captivated with what may have been the best historical analysis yet at an IDEAS event

LIST OF ASSOCIATES

The CWSP has created the most extensive research network of associates at IDEAS, with 63 associates confirmed, and possibly more on the way. Prominent associates include: Prof. Mary Fulbrook: German Unification Before and After - Generations, Dictatorship, Society »» Peter Hennessy »» Ned Lebow »» Frederico Romero »» Anne Deighton »» Mary Elise Sarotte »» Antonio Varsori »» Robert Jervis »» Campbell Craig »» Hope Harrison »» Mary Kaldor »» Michael Dockrill »» Jussi Hanhimaki »» Mark Kramer »» Mario Del Pero »» Steve Casey

FUNDING TO-DATE

LSE Annual Fund: £9,568.00 awarded for seminar series: Twenty Years of ‘New Cold War History’: New Sources, New Approaches, New Lessons. The series intends to not only have a real impact on the LSE’s students, staff and alumni, but also globally by creating the foundation for an interactive website that would aspire to become a global hub for Cold War studies research.

9 PROGRAMME PROFILES

Co-Heads of Programme Professor Odd Arne Westad & Professor Barry Buzan Programme Assistant Jie Yu

BRIEF SUMMARY

The LSE IDEAS East Asia International Affairs Programme (EAIAP) studies the relationship between the three countries in the region (China, Japan and Korea) and between the region and the main outside powers. It seeks to discuss the changing nature of East Asia’s international affairs through an engagement with academics, practitioners, and representatives from business and organisations within the region and elsewhere. We are particularly interested in the historical development of East Asia’s international affairs and what it can tell us about the future, in analysing the links between the domestic and foreign affairs of the region’s countries and in looking at the interaction between different aspects of international affairs in the region: trade and technology, security and military strategy, and culture and ‘soft power’, among others. To promote this discussion, the Programme brings together interested parties through its many research associates and visiting fellows, its inter-disciplinary conferences and workshops and through the provision of an electronic network within the IDEAS website.

HIGHLIGHTS

»» Chevening Programme: EAIAP hosts an advanced training programme in International affairs for Chinese diplomats, supported by the British Foreign Office and the Chevening Foundation. Current Chevening Fellow: Dr Xu Zhaoyang. Prof. Barry Buzan: East Asia International Affairs Programme Launch ‘The East Asian Century?’ »» Assistance with the development of LSE IDEAS’s Masters Degree in International Affairs (with Peking University’s School of International Studies).

»» “Beyond the Korean War” grant awarded to LSE IDEAS: EAIAP received a grant from the Academy of Korea Studies with a total amount of over 2 million USD over ten years. The project represents the first interdisciplinary and international Collaboration to consolidate the contemporary scholarship of Korean War History.

It involves two co-directors, four fellows and five research assistants. The co-directors for this project are Dr Heonik Kwon, an Associate of EAIAP and Prof Arne Westad, who is the director of the Programme.

LIST OF ASSOCIATES

The EAIAP has created an extensive research network of 22 associates confirmed, and possible Previous Chevening Fellow, Mr Guo Xuejun at his presentation seminar ‘Managing Economic Crisis’ more on the way. Prominent associates include:

»» Prof. Shaun Breslin »» Prof. Rana Mitter »» Prof. Francois Godement »» Prof. Chung In Moon »» Dr Heonik Kwon »» Prof. Wang Jisi

FUNDING TO-DATE

‘Beyond the Korean War’ grant in progress. Major fundraising activities are ongoing. The programme was launched in April 2010.

10 PROGRAMME PROFILES

Head of Programme Dr Tanya Harmer Programme Assistant George Adelman

BRIEF SUMMARY

The LSE IDEAS Latin America International Affairs Programme (LAIAP) is dedicated to furthering understanding of Latin America by supporting research, facilitating intelligent dialogue and providing up-to-date analyses about current regional affairs. Housed within the resource rich environment of the LSE, this programme creates invaluable, thought-provoking international conferences, important publications and exciting events.

HIGHLIGHTS

»» International Conference: Chile and the Cold War: Beyond Washington and Moscow April 2009, Institute of History Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Santiago, Chile

»» Public Lecture: The International Economy and the Process of the Citizen’s Revolution President Rafael Correa Delgado of Ecuador: The in Ecuador October 2009, Old Theatre, Speaker: Rafael Correa Delgado (President of International Economy and the Process of the Ecuador) Citizen’s Revolution in Ecuador »» International Conference: Brazil and the Cold War in Latin America: New Research and New Sources, September 2010, Centre for International Relations, CPDOC – FGV, Rio de Janeiro

»» Public Lecture: A Lecture by Álvaro García Linera, Vice President of Bolivia November 2010, Old Theatre, Speaker: Álvaro García Linera

ASSOCIATES »» Guy Burton (LSE) »» Maria Montt Strabucchi (PUC) »» Thomas Field (LSE) »» Eugenia Palieraki (University of »» Victor Figueroa Clark (LSE) Paris I – Sorbonne) »» Martin Gonzalez (LSE) »» Vanni Pettina (CSIC, Madrid) »» Felipe Heusser (LSE) »» Fernando Purcell (PUC) »» Francesca Lessa (LSE) »» Alfredo Riquelme Segovia (PUC) »» Fernando Llanos (Universidad de San Andrés) »» Matias Spektor (CPDOC-FGV) »» Federico Merke (Universidad de San Andrés) »» Olga Ulianova (USACH) »» Juliana Bertazzo (Oxford) Venezuelan Ambassador, Dr Samuel Moncada: Venezuela’s ‘Bolivarian’ Process: Achievements, Advisory Board: Dr Francisco Panizza (LSE) - Prof. George Philip (LSE) - Dr James Dunkerley Challenges and Prospects after 10 years (Queen Mary) - Dr Julia Buxton (University of Bradford) - Prof. Andrew Hurrell (Oxford) - Dr Harry Walker (LSE) - Min. Miguel Angel Jiménez (Embassy of Mexico)

FUNDING TO-DATE

LAIAP has raised nearly £40,000. It was awarded £19,000 from the LSE Annual Fund and £19,950 from the British Academy Grant.

11 PROGRAMME PROFILES

Head of Programme Professor Nigel J Ashton Programme Assistant Christopher Phillips

BRIEF SUMMARY

Since its launch in November 2009 the Middle East International Affairs Programme (MEIAP) has successfully brought together policy makers, academics and members of the public to discuss and debates key issues in the Middle East today. Having secured funding from academic, institutional and corporate sources and with more events and publications planned, including an international workshop on ‘Democracy in the Arab World’ and a special report on Turkey, we anticipate further success for the programme in its second year.

HIGHLIGHTS Prof. Gilles Kepel and Prof. Fawaz Gerges: Middle East Programme Launch ‘What next for the Middle »» Second Annual Meeting: “Britain and France in their Middle East and Muslim East?’ Environment,” co-hosted by LSE IDEAS and Science Po, 19 March 2010, Foreign & Commonwealth Office.

»» Blog: The programme has further raised its profile through its website and blog, Shifting Sands, which attracts contributions from emerging researchers and established commentators

»» Conference: “Reappraising the Iran-Iraq War Thirty Years Later”, International conference held at LSE IDEAS 23-24 September 2010.

»» Publications: Ranging from special reports and magazines produced by LSE IDEAS, including work by Prof. Nigel Ashton, Prof. Fawaz Gerges and Dr. Toby Dodge, to numerous articles published by members of the MEIAP in The Times and The Guardian.

»» Public Seminars and Lectures: from key academics and policy formers such as Sir Lawrence Freedman, Prof. Avi Shlaim and Dr. Antonio Giustozzi.

LIST OF ASSOCIATES

»» Prof. Fawaz Gerges »» Prof. Gilles Kepel »» Dr Toby Dodge Prof. Lawrence Freedman: ‘The US and Iran: The Start of the End Game’ »» Dr Antonio Giustozzi »» Dr Michael Kerr »» Dr Amnon Aran

FUNDING TO –DATE

MEIAP has raised nearly £19,000 from LSE HEIF 4, the British Institute for the study of Iraq (BISI), British Academy and the LSE Annual Fund.

12 PROGRAMME PROFILES

Co-Heads of Programme Professor Dominic Lieven & Professor Janet Hartley Programme Administrator Liza Ryan

BRIEF SUMMARY

The LSE IDEAS Russia Studies Programme was set up in early 2010 and focuses on the history of Russia, particularly the history of Imperial Russia’s foreign policy, military and diplomatic services. It is jointly headed by Prof Janet Hartley and Prof Dominic Lieven.

HIGHLIGHTS

»» The Paulsen Fellowship Programme aims to bring four early-career academic historians from several Russian universities, particularly regional ones, to study as fellows at LSE IDEAS for one, two or three months each year for five years.

»» International Academic Conference: The Russia Programme will present an international academic conference in 2012 or 2013 focusing on Russia’s Struggle with Napoleon, timed to coincide with the bi-centenary of 1812. Final dates and venue to be confirmed.

»» Publications: Prof. Dominic Lieven’s book, Russia against Napoleon: the Battle for Prof. Dominic Lieven: ‘The Tsar Liberates Europe? Europe, 1807 to 1814 (Penguin, 2009) was awarded the Annual Prize of the Fondation Russia against Napoleon 1807-1814’ Napoléon, worth €5000 as well as the Wolfson History Prize.

LIST OF VISITING FELLOWS

For academic year 2010-11:

»» Stanislav Malkin, Senior Lecturer at Samara State Academy of Social Sciences and Humanities

»» Viktor Apryshchenko, Deputy Head of Modern History Chair, Dept of History, Southern Federal University.

»» Artem Dankov, Senior Lecturer at Tomsk state university. Faculty of History, World Politics Department.

»» Yan Vaslavsky, Senior Lecturer, Chair of Comparative Politics, Faculty of Political Science, MGIMO University.

FUNDING TO-DATE

The Russia Studies Programme has raised in total £477,500. In particular, £470,000 from the Dr Frederik Paulsen Foundation.

13 PROGRAMME PROFILES

Head of Programme Tan Sri Dr Munir Majid Programme Administrator Vinna Baptist

BRIEF SUMMARY

The LSE IDEAS Southeast Asia International Affairs Programme (SEAP) focuses on the contemporary challenges in the international affairs of Southeast Asia. Issues and topics that have been covered include regional economic integration, climate change, democratisation and voter mobilisation, human rights and elections, religion and politics. The aim of SEAP is to integrate and involve practitioners from diplomacy, administration and business with academic experts from the LSE and elsewhere to engage in debates and dialogue regarding key issues. In addition, the Programme aims to stimulate the research of younger scholars in the field, especially from the region itself, through PhD studentships and Postdoctoral fellowships.

HIGHLIGHTS

»» Events: Since March 2009, 17 events have been organised including two workshops held in Malaysia and Indonesia with guest speakers from Thailand, Indonesia, the Philippines, Malaysia, Singapore, Germany and the UK including the President of President of Indonesia, Dr Susilo Bambang Indonesia, Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono. The climate change workshop in Indonesia was Yudhoyono: Southeast Asia Programme Launch hosted and participated by the ASEAN Secretariat and the Secretary-General, Dr Surin ‘Indonesia: Regional Role, Global Reach’ Pitsuwan.

»» Publications: three Special Reports on ‘Asian Perspective on Economic Integration’, ‘Climate Change: Is Southeast Asia up to the challenge?’ and ‘Democratisation and New Voter Mobilisation in Southeast Asia’.

»» Strategic Analysis: In response to current affairs in the region, a number of timely strategic analyses were written. Covered events included the Indonesian bombing in July 2009 and the more recent Southern Philippines massacres, the South China Sea dispute and October 2010’s disasters in Indonesia (Wasior flood, Merapi eruption and the Mentawai tsunami).

»» Seminar and Roundtable: In November 2010, the realities and issues of Islam and the State were discussed at a seminar. We also followed up the much talked about Myanmar 2010 Elections in a roundtable with region experts.

LIST OF RESEARCH FELLOWS AND PHD CANDIDATE

SEAP has two research fellows and one PhD scholarship candidate:

»» Dr. Eva-Lotta Hedman has expertise in the areas of governmentality, comparative Previous ASEAN Secretary-General, Dr Surin democratisation, migration and citizenship in Southeast Asia. Pitsuwan: ‘Climate Change: Is Southeast Asia up to the Challenge?’ »» Dr. Emmanuel Yujuico area of research and expertise is in social marketing, information and communication technologies for development and international political economy.

»» Hadianto Wirajuda has recently been offered a PhD scholarship by the Programme. His area of research for his thesis is on the Impact of Democratisation on Indonesia’s Foreign Policy.

FUNDING TO-DATE

SEAP is funded by the Yayasan Albukhory Foundation for £700,000.00 for a period of four years.

14 PROGRAMME PROFILES

Head of Programme Professor Michael Cox Programme Coordinator Dr Nicholas Kitchen

BRIEF SUMMARY

The LSE IDEAS Transatlantic Relations Programme serves as a bridge between the academic and policy worlds to better understand and expand on the defining elements of transatlantic relations past and present. It provides a forum for practitioners, academics, and policy analysts on both sides of the Atlantic to integrate information on issues of mutual concern and to address questions such as the implications of US power, the future of Europe, and the ability of the US and EU to tackle global challenges as partners and allies.

HIGHLIGHTS

»» Events: Since January 2009, 15 events have been organised including 3 major public roundtables.

»» Publications: Two Special Reports on ‘Obama’s Foreign Policy One Year On’ and ‘The Future of UK Foreign Policy’. This latter report was featured on the BBC’s Today programme, and the Programme has been asked to submit written submissions to Parliament’s Foreign Affairs Committee, to which the Head of Programme, Professor Michael Cox, will also be submitting oral evidence in person. Prof. Sergio Fabbrini: ‘EU Foreign Policy after Lisbon’ »» Blog: Transatlantia has featured over twenty posts in the last year alone. Transatlantic Relations has also contributed a number of articles for IDEAS’ research magazine, IDEAS Today.

»» Conferences: In 2011, Transatlantic Relations is organising two conferences, the first in association with the AHRC Research Network on the Obama Presidency and the Eccles Centre on ‘American Power Today’ and the second, funded by the Airey Neave Foundation and the LSE Annual Fund, on ‘The Lessons of Northern Ireland for Contemporary Counterterrorism Policy’.

LIST OF ASSOCIATES

Transatlantic Relations has a board of 20 senior academics and policymakers, and now has a network of 12 research associates from other institutions who actively contribute to the programme’s activities, and hosts a Research Network of scholars working on transatlantic relations.

Prominent members include: Jamie Shea; Prof. John Ikenberry; Prof. Charles Kupchan; Prof. John Dumbrell; Prof. James Goldgeier; Simon Lunn.

Prof. Stephen Brooks: ‘US Power and Leadership in the Obama Presidency’ FUNDING TO-DATE

Transatlantic Relations has raised nearly £13,000 in the past calendar year from the LSE Annual Fund and the Airey Neave Foundation. Major fundraising activities are ongoing.

15 TEACHING PROGRAMMES

LSE-PKU DOUBLE MASTERS DEGREE IN INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS

The LSE-Peking University (PKU) Double Masters Degree in International Affairs is an MSc programme that LSE IDEAS has helped set up on behalf of the LSE International History and International Relations Departments. It was the first double degree in its field in China and Britain, and among the first in the world. The Programme provides world-class preparation for careers in academia, business or consulting, government or international agencies, the media, politics and law. The MSc degree extends LSE’s graduate curriculum into new areas by integrating the teaching of international relations and international history, and by operating in partnership with China’s leading university in international affairs to provide a student experience that is truly unique.

The intake has risen year on year over the past three years, with the current class of 24 drawn from over 350 applications, ensuring the students are of the highest calibre from throughout the world: last year we received applications from 32 countries. Students spend the first year at PKU and the second year at LSE, engaging with the latest academic research and gaining first-hand insight into the differentiated diplomacies of China and the West in a global context.

The MSc is taught jointly by the International Relations and International History departments at LSE and administered by LSE IDEAS. Our counterpart at PKU is the School of International Studies (SIS), one of the most prominent Chinese academic institutions of its kind.

LSE IDEAS is devoting much attention and effort to the development of the Programme aimed at ensuring quality and innovation. We are using the Programme as platform to further strengthen the cooperation with Peking University, in particular with the School of International Studies. Each year we introduce new aspects into the Programme. As of this year, among other things, we have introduced a programme of staff and PhD students’ exchange and are setting up a series of seminars on current international issues related to China that will run concurrently at the LSE and at PKU.

Beijing Summer School

16 TEACHING PROGRAMMES

PHILIPPE ROMAN CHAIR IN HISTORY AND INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS

LSE IDEAS is proud to host the Philippe Roman Chair in History and International Affairs. Made possible by a private donation the Philippe Roman Chair is a one-year distinguished visiting professorship for leading scholars based outside the UK. The Philippe Roman Chair is awarded to a scholar and public intellectual of international repute, whose presence at the LSE will enhance the institutions standing in the competitive world of global higher education. In addition to conducting research and representing IDEAS and the LSE more broadly in public engagements, the Philippe Roman Chair teaches a unique postgraduate course of his/her design at the LSE.

CURRENT CHAIR HOLDER

PROFESSOR NIALL FERGUSON of Harvard University is the Philippe Roman Chair in History and International Affairs for the 2010-2011 academic year. Professor Ferguson is an academic historian, journalist and television presenter. He is Laurence A Tisch Professor of History at Harvard University, a contributing editor of the Financial Times and a senior research fellow at Jesus College, Oxford. He is also William Ziegler Professor of Business Administration at Harvard Business School and a senior fellow at the Hoover Institution, Stanford University. He has presented several television documentaries based on his books - the most recent being The Ascent of Money on Channel 4. After publishing Colossus: The Rise and Fall of the American Empire in 2004, Time magazine to name him one of the hundred most influential people in the world.

Areas of Expertise Select Publications »» Economic History »» High Financier: The Lives and Time of Siegmund Warburg, (London: »» Financial History Penguin Press, 2010) »» International Relations »» The Ascent of Money: A Financial History of the World, (New York: »» Military Conflict Penguin Press, 2008) »» Colossus: the rise and fall of the American empire, (London: Allen Lane/Penguin Press, 2004) »» Empire: how Britain made the modern world, (London: Allen Lane/ Penguin Press, 2003) News

PREVIOUS CHAIR HOLDERS

PROFESSOR GILLES KEPEL of Sciences Po held the Philippe Roman PROFESSOR PAUL KENNEDY of Yale University was the inaugural Chair during the 2009-10 academic year. holder of the Philippe Roman Chair during the 2007-08 academic year. He is a Senior Fellow of LSE IDEAS. Professor Kepel is best known for his books on the Middle East and North Africa, and for his work on Islamism, including Islamism in Europe. Professor Kennedy is currently the J Richardson Dilworth Professor of Professor Gilles Kepel holds degrees in Arabic, English and philosophy, History at Yale University, where he teaches on political, economic, a PhD in sociology and a PhD in political science. Previous international and strategic issues. He is one of the most well-known international teaching experience includes a visiting professorship at New York historians working in the field today, and has reached a global audience University (1994) and a visiting professorship at Columbia University through his books The Rise and Fall of the Great Powers(1987) and (1995-1996). He is Director of the Chaire Moyen-Orient/Méditerranée Preparing for the Twenty-First Century (1993). Kennedy is known for and of the doctoral program on the Muslim World at Sciences Po, and his writings on global politics, the influence of economics on grand Director of the “Middle East” book series at the Presses Universitaires de strategies, and strategic issues. He is on the editorial board of numerous France. journals and writes for The New York Times and The Atlantic.

PROFESSOR CHEN JIAN of Cornell University held the Philippe Roman Chair during the 2008-09 academic year. He is a Senior Fellow of LSE IDEAS.

Professor Jian is the Michael J Zak Chair of the History of US China Relations at Cornell University, where he serves as Director of the China and Asian-Pacific Studies Program and is a distinguished research scholar, writer and teacher. Chen received his M.A. from Fudan University and East China Normal University in Shanghai and his Ph.D. from Southern Illinois University. He is a member of the editorial board for The China Review and The Chinese Historical Review and is Associate Editor of The Journal of American-East Asian Relations. He is author of Mao’s China and the Cold War and China’s Road to the Korean War: the making of the Sino-American confrontation, which is regarded as a modern classic, and shared honours for the 2005 Emmy Award for Outstanding Achievement in News and Documentary Research for Declassified: Nixon in China. 17 TEACHING PROGRAMMES

EXECUTIVE MASTERS IN INTERNATIONAL STRATEGY AND DIPLOMACY

This is a new and unique Executive Masters Programme being run by LSE IDEAS on Strategy in an Age of Global Risk. It is intended for high-flyers dealing with international affairs, defence, and international business and finance. Established with the full support of the LSE’s Department of International Relations, the FOR THE Programme has been designed by a team of leading practitioners and academics SELECT FEW. as a combination of four individual intensive weeks’ tuition, and interim weekly evening seminars. The programme, which will begin teaching in September 2011, will also be running a number of exercises and case studies dealing with contemporary threats, devising strategies and managing crises. In the event that a participant is unable to attend a particular discussion, they will be able to view it on-line. To ensure that participants gain the best possible results from these discussions, as well as from their contact academics and practitioners, only a carefully selected number of participants will be accepted.

The programme begins by taking a fresh look at the nature of strategy and This new and unique Executive Masters Programme explaining why a new approach is needed, one based on ‘getting inside the mind’ is for high-flyers dealing with all aspects of of others. This is followed by modules analysing the changing nature of strategic international affairs. trends, the power of the main players and the institutional environment within A team of LSE’s leading academics and top which they operate. practitioners will coach you in challenging conventional thinking, exploiting the latest techniques for assessing risk and threats, and devising effective strategies to This innovative year-long programme consists of both classroom and practical address them. elements: This course has been especially tailored so that you »» Four one-week intensive study sessions can accelerate your career while holding a demanding position in public affairs. »» Twenty evening seminars »» Two policy weekends CONTACT US »» Institution visits Executive Masters Programme Manager Dr Sue Onslow The specific themes will be: Email: [email protected] Phone: +44 (0)20 7852 3796 »» Facing the Future - A New Approach

http://lse.ac.uk/ideas »» Strategic Trends - The Impact of Globalisation »» Strategic Decisions - The Global Financial Crisis »» Changing Perspectives - Global, Regional & National Advertisement in The Economist, December 2010 »» The Influence of International Institutions

Within this framework, the programme will look at strategic assessments, intelligence, diplomacy, negotiations, sanctions and deterrence - and how they can be used to best effect. The final part of the programme provides coaching on risk assessment, contingency planning, war games, crisis management and the development of credible and robust strategies. Participants will have the option of doing a Dissertation to acquire Masters accreditation.

The leading academics involved are Professor Michael Cox (Co-Director of LSE IDEAS and Professor of International Relations.), Gordon Barrass (Visiting Professor at LSE IDEAS), Professor Christopher Coker (International Relations Department), Professor Arne Westad (Co-Director of LSE IDEAS and Professor of International History); Professor Saul Estrin (Head of the Department of Management), Professor Danny Quah (of the Economics Department and Co- Director of LSE Global Governance), Professor Emeritus Margot Light (International Relations Department). The senior policy practitioners are Howard Davies, Director of the LSE; former leading diplomats and civil servants Sir Mark Allen; Jonathan Powell, Sir David Manning, Sir Richard Mottram, Sir Colin Budd; and Ambassador Marc Grossman. Tan Sri Dr Munir Majid, President of Malaysian Airlines and head of LSE IDEAS South East Asia Programme will also contribute.

The course is unique as it is specifically tailored to enable busy mid-level and senior professionals to continue their high pressure posts while studying at a world class institution.

18 IDEAS REPORTS

SUMMARY HIGHLIGHTS

IDEAS publishes three reports series: Since March 2009, IDEAS has published 5 Strategic Updates, 6 Special Reports and 11 Situation Analysis briefings. IDEAS Today Magazine is about to release its sixth issue. »» Strategic Updates offer up-to-the-minute analysis on major issues in international affairs, featuring contributions from the world’s leading These reports have covered major international affairs issues around experts in their fields. the world, from Energy in Latin America to Climate policies in Asia; from the UK’s Defence Review to peace building in the Middle East. »» Special Reports provide in-depth analysis and harness world-class IDEAS Reports have been featured in news media and are selling expertise to produce technically specialised reports. through the LSE eShop.

IDEAS Reports have had impact in policymaking circles, both as the »» Situation Analysis briefings provide expert reaction to events and outcome of major policy engagement conferences, for example on crises in international affairs as they happen. ASEAN’s economic integration, and through shaping the policy debate, as evidenced by the request of the UK Parliament’s Foreign Affairs IDEAS Reports also publishes a bimonthly research magazine, IDEAS Today. Committee following an IDEAS Report for IDEAS to submit corporate and individuals evidence to a Committee enquiry.

In 2011, IDEAS Reports will launching a major report on the Implications of Turkey’s Foreign Policy for its relations with the West, and coordinating the Iran Study Group, a policy report based on elite evidence submissions assessing the effectiveness of efforts to combat Iran’s nuclear programme.

STRATEGIC IDEAS Reports will also be linked to a membership scheme from 2011. UPDATES

Afghanistan: Now you The Iranian Elections - See Me? - March 2009 May 2009

SPECIAL REPORTS

The Middle East: Intractable Resurgent Continent? Powering Up: Latin The World Crisis ASEAN Perspective on Climate Change: Is Conflict? - November 2009 Africa and the World - America’s Energy - March 2009 Economic Integration Southeast Asia up to the February 2010 Challenges - March 2010 - June 2009 challenge? - November 2009

17 July 2009 Jakarta Bombing: Iran After the Elections The aftermath and longer-term

Special Report North Korea’s Nuclear Test Situation Analysis Situation Analysis

Situation Analysis implications by Tan Sri Dr Munir Majid orth Korea’s nuclear test serves several purposes. Its first purpose is to bolster the flagging legitimacy of the Nregime and, by drumming up war hysteria, achieve domestic mobilization in the face of mounting internal Just hours after polls closed on June 12, the Guardian The campaign platforms, which were dominated not difficulties. Throughout North Korea’s turbulent history, the regime has periodically resorted to war hysteria, at Council announced that in the Iranian Presidential only by the obvious economic issues but also by civil lthough the carnage in Indonesia was not as great continued challenge of the outcome of the election, even times on even grander scale than what we have recently seen. North Korea’s Songun (army-first) policy requires election: Mahmoud Ahmadinejad had won an rights, have subsequently continued on the streets. Aor as bloody as in 2002, 2003 or 2005, the political after he had been so overwhelmingly re-elected, SBY went on periodic crises to maintain the myth of enemy encirclement and the army prestige. If history is any judge, the astonishing 62% of the vote. Shortly after that, the Discontent on issues of gender discrimination, judicial lessons to be learned in the immediate aftermath of the the offensive after an event which threatened to undermine North Koreans will step away from the brink when their domestic aims have been achieved. major thoroughfares of Iran filled with demonstrators transparency, paramilitary intrusion, international July 17 2009 bombing are not to be neglected. There are what he hoped to achieve for the future of the country even and 30 years of grievance poured into the streets. isolation, and religious control have combined with a also various implications of the outrage on Indonesia’s as his political rivals sought to deny him that chance. highly questionable election result to trigger levels of Another reason for North Korea’s militancy, ironically, is to Given the value of this deterrent, it is unlikely that Pyongyang anger and social unrest not seen since the revolution. self-confidence which bear reflection as the world’s most break out from international isolation. For years Pyongyang would ever give it up, either for aid or for security guarantees. Of course, investigations by police of his own administration These are the protests that will finally effect significant populous Muslim nation and Southeast Asia’s largest has sought direct dialogue with the United States with an eye It may well negotiate and even agree to dismantle its nuclear have established the bombing was the work of Islamist change in the Islamic Republic, the result of a sense of economy moves towards playing a regional role with to obtaining security guarantees and economic aid. Six party programme. But living up to such promises would not only go terrorists thought to be linked to a splinter group of Jemaah panic within the regime that appears to have led to the The Supreme Leader himself has been openly defied for global reach, which was how President Susilo Bambang talks have put Pyongyang into a five-against-one situation, against the essence of Songun politics but, from North Korea’s Islamiah, a well-known group with previous links to al Qaeda. manufacturing of electoral results on a massive scale. the first time ever, not only by the people on the streets and although the North Koreans have accepted the format perspective, reduce the country’s international leverage. Yodhoyono (SBY) had described it in a lecture at the A full analysis of the results is not yet possible, but a but also a select few establishment elites. With an But, just as Megawati and, to an extent Kalla, were not they do not regard them as a replacement for direct talks So whist we might expect negotiations and even progress LSE on 31 March 2009. preliminary academic study of the official results has economy facing heights of inflation and unemployment, giving any quarter despite the challenge the bombing posed with Washington. we should not expect a solution to the North Korean shown that turnout in some provinces topped 100%, a government that responds to protests with force and particularly to the Indonesian economy, SBY was not letting nuclear problem. and that in a third of all provinces Ahmadinejad would by imposing further limitations on social freedoms is October 2010 Thirdly, this latest round of militancy signals Pyongyang’s Bitter after-taste of the presidential election them off the hook by associating their actions with those of growing irritation with ‘hardline’ policies of Yi Myongbak’s Few options other than talks are on the table. A war on the have had to claim up to 44% of all former reformist likely to face an increasing number of Iranians with campaign the bombers. In other words, if they did not care that the conservative administration. Brandishing the new South Peninsula is unthinkable, not least because of South Korea’s voters in addition to sweeping the board with former little to lose and everything to gain from agitating bombing was designed to harm foreign investment (the 1 Korean President a “national traitor,” Pyongyang awkwardly vulnerability. Economic sanctions have been tried before and conservative and former centrist voters. for change. When the bombs went off, it had been a long four years bombing at the Marriott was aimed at a regular meeting of attempts to undermine found to work very well as an alternative to doing nothing. since such an outrage, a period which largely coincided with the top 50 foreign investors in the country) and domestic his domestic standing China’s and Russia’s cooperation will be limited, as it has SBY’s first term in office. Coming as it did nine days after his tourism, then they were as bad as the merchants of terror. and hopefully exacerbate been before, and for a good reason: a genuine sanctions The protests that have resulted are the next and perhaps What remains to be seen is how exactly this system victory in the first ever democratic re-election of an Indonesian conflict in US-South regime, which would leave North Korea completely isolated, most difficult stage of a century of mass movements will be changed. That will depend on the opposition’s The upshot is it’s politics as usual. SBY’s re-election, with president, the bombing obviously marred a propitious event Korean relations. In could have extremely grave consequences for the viability geared toward bringing democratic principles to Iran continued defiance as well as the public and persistent 61 per cent of the votes, has not cleared the way for him and reigning in the clerical elites’ domination of power support of some establishment elites. The people’s whose clear outcome was already being challenged by the view of this policy, Kim of the regime - and that would be bad news for all parties to govern with a clear mandate without challenge to his in Iran. From the 1906 Constitutional Revolution to opposition since the election has been coupled with defeated parties. Thus it was perhaps not too surprising that Jong Il’s condolences involved. As long as there are talks about North Korea’s legitimacy. It is no big deal and it is not likely the challenge to the deceased South denuclearization, there is hope for calming the nerves of the removal of the Qajar dynasty in the mid-1920s, vocal demands that Mir Hossein Mousavi publicly a ruthless act of terror became enmeshed in formal domestic will be sustained, but his rivals are intent on putting a Korean President Roh regional powers, in particular Japan, and so averting what the nationalist uprising of the early-1950s, the 1979 support the opposition and stand by them as they call politics. Anger at the turn of events was translated into Revolution and all the way through to the 1999 student for change. He is being thrust into the role of opposition question mark against him even as he seeks to move on Moo-hyun and the potentially could be a very damaging nuclear arms race in a presidential public reaction that was seen and heard as demonstrations, Iranian resistance has been a consistent leader and many believe that a significant reason he to address Indonesia’s many problems of political stability, nuclear test are mutually the region. near-accusation and attack on the Megawati-Prabowo team, reinforcing rather struggle to take Iran’s governance out of the hands has embraced this position is his religio-feminist wife, corruption, infrastructure-building, distribution of income and There are, of course, reasons to worry, not least because we which was the most adamant on challenging the outcome than contradictory of the few and into the hands of the many. At each Dr. Zahra Rahnavard. Formerly an establishment figure, economic growth . There was no rallying around him and the don’t know who is in charge in North Korea. Kim Jong Il may stage, the overriding objective has been to create a since the election Mousavi has definitively sided with of the presidential election, a position restated when the measures. government when the bombs went off, and there is not likely be strong, he may be weak, or he may be dead, for all we government that is accountable to its people. the opposition on two points: that the election results official result was declared on July 24. Megawati rejected to be full-throated support as he tries to get at the root of the Fourth, there is no doubt that Pyongyang is in great need of know; in any case, it is clear that the struggle for succession were questionable and that people have a right to the outcome, citing various electoral irregularities. The other terror networks which may pit him against Muhammadiyah, economic aid. The North Korean leadership believes that the is already under way. What role the current nuclear crisis plays peacefully protest. His support must persist and broaden contestant Jusuf Kalla mildly indicated he would challenge the second largest Muslim group in the country. US and South Korea have used economic levers to extract in this struggle is unclear, and there can be no guarantees Under the Islamic Republic in particular, the decreasing if any semblance of coherence is to remain on the side the result in the constitutional court which was rather odd of the opposition. concessions and the current sabre-rattling, specifically the that the nuclear button will not end up under the finger of an value placed on public opinion and participation in as his Golkar party had said it would support the president On the contrary, he has come under attack, most notably severance of economic contacts in the Kaesong industrial irrational maniac? The one shred of hope in such a scenario is government decisions has been transparent. In the in parliament and government. Thus, while the country was in the English language Jakarta Post, which had supported area, are a way for North Korea to signal its defiance to this that, as the historical precedent of Mao in the 1960s attests, weeks ahead of the 2009 election, years of discontent economic pressure. At the same time the North Koreans nuclear-armed maniacs turn out much more rational than with this control was fomented in the public rallies of It is now clear that the Islamic Republic is in the midst spared a second round of the presidential election – something Jusuf Kalla in the presidential campaign, for associating are once again pumping-up tensions to raise the price of they may seem at first sight. Mousavi’s ‘green campaign’ and the openness of the of a final showdown within its once relatively cohesive not desired by many businessmen and professionals given it Prabowo – Megawati’s running mate – with the bombing. compliance once things get back to the negotiating table. Presidential debates. People on both sides of the political but now factionalized establishment. Ever since the had followed an already long parliamentary election campaign Some other Indonesian commentators, however, expressed spectrum suddenly got into the long-suppressed habit attempts at reform of the late 1990s, the establishment - the bitterness of the contest continued to live on with the the view that on the day he made that veiled allegation, Fifth, North Korea badly needed a demonstration of a viable of making their views known publicly. It was never allegation of electoral fraud which, in turn, found a reaction on July 17, he became the true politician which he hitherto deterrent. The first atomic test (in October 2006) was an Sergey going to be easy to put an abrupt halt to such freedom unconvincing performance; at the time, many observers in SBY’s immediate statement that the bombing could have had not been – putting his opponents on the run, having SITUATION of expression once the votes had been cast. been the work of his political rivals. to deny any involvement with the bombing. But, if he had thought it fizzled out. Despite significant progress in missile Sergey Radchenko is a Fellow in International History at Shirin intended that by being put on the defensive, they would technology in the last few years, North Korea has not done the London School of Economics. He is the author of In the face-to-face TV debates of the campaign, there was as well as some military experts expected, as attested by the Shirin Sadeghi a Middle East consultant and journalist not challenge the outcome of the presidential election, SBY The Future of Two Suns in the Heavens: the Sino-Soviet Struggle for a civility which belied the no-holds-barred contest on the recent satellite launch fiasco. The A-bomb test erases any Supremacy (Woodrow Wilson Centre Press & Stanford 1 Ali Ansari, Daniel Berman and Thomas Rintoul, who has produced and reported for the BBC and Al was to be disappointed. Not only are they carrying on with ground. The more restrained SBY was at the receiving end doubts about Pyongyang’s membership in the nuclear club UP, 2009) and the co-author (with Campbell Craig) of “Preliminary Analysis of the Voting Figures in Iran’s 2009 Jazeera English. She is also a regular contributor to the the challenge, they have counter-attacked him vigorously for of some vicious tactics, including the use of pictures of the - a serious deterrent by any measure. The Atomic Bomb and the Origins of the Cold War (Yale Presidential Election”, Chatham House and the Institute of Huffington Post. daring to suggest they were involved in the bombing in any Iranian Studies, University of St Andrews, 21 June 2009 president for shooting target practice. There was an inner UK Foreign Policy UP, 2008). way. As in any democracy, terror bombing or not, politics will ANALYSIS venom obscured by the outward calm seen from afar. With International Affairs, Strategy & Diplomacy Diplomacy and Strategy@LSE Diplomacy and Strategy@LSE May 2009 Diplomacy and Strategy@LSE Obama Nation? US Democratisation & New The Future of UK Foreign North Korea’s Nuclear Test Iran after the Elections Jakarta Bombing: The Foreign Policy One Year Voter Mobilisation - Policy - October 2010 - May 2009 - June 2009 aftermath & implications On - January 2010 May 2010 - July 2009

The Gerrymandered Asia-Pacific: The Maguindanao Massacre, The Global 1989? The real story behind the Indonesia in Mourning... Afghan Presidential Elections: Just What is Happening China, Japan, and US Envision Critical Elections and Armed Conflict Situation Analysis Situation Analysis Situation Analysis Situation Analysis South China Sea dispute Situation Analysis The year that changed the world by Eva-Lotta Hedman Situation Analysis but optimism remains Situation Analysis A mirror of self-deception In Algeria? Regional Integration in the Philippines

As we approach the twentieth anniversary of ‘1989 The ‘when’, ‘where’ and ‘what’ of 1989 The Maguindanao Massacre has sent shock waves at expanding the repertoire of oppositional politics in the uring the last ASEAN Regional Forum (ARF) meeting in Hanoi, Vietnam, US Secretary of State The assassination of the Algerian chief of national police Colonel Ali Tounsi coincides with the standoff between he truism that political geography is often manufactured economic regionalism frequently overlaps security concerns, he largest archipelago in Southeast Asia has, once again, been devastated by natural disasters. One year after Judgement over the 20 August Afghan elections has registration cards were openly for sale in the bazaars and the and all that’, it might be worth ducking for cover. Lest is much in evidence in the Asia-Pacific. With the economic China set the template for those wanting to follow in its through the Philippines and beyond. A convoy of forbidding context that is contemporary Maguindanao. Hillary Clinton created a stir during the usually low-key gathering. She declared that “The United To that end, it is worth assessing the impact of 1989 in three the Turkish Government and the military establishment. In Algeria, a conflict of similar colouring has been T D the election of Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono – known in Indonesia by his initials SBY - for his second term, the varied widely among observers. The most critical has registration of under-age voters was widespread, having been underway for several months. balance of power shifting eastward, the vaunted “Pacific footsteps for signing a free trade with ASEAN—the emerging cars was caught in an armed ambush on Monday While the placing of women and journalists in harm’s way States has a national interest in freedom of navigation, open access to Asia’s maritime commons and T we forget, the year ‘1989’ has become something of nations are faced with three natural disasters happening almost simultaneously. First is the flood and landslide domains: the ‘when’, the where’ and the ‘what’ i.e. in terms Century” inevitably begs the question: who comprises centre of a hub-and-spoke regional arrangement. 23 November, leaving at least 57 persons dead, failed to deter the fatal attack, the swift public reaction to respect for international law in the South China Sea” and that America seeks “a collaborative diplomatic been the Free and Fair Election Foundation, which estimated at as much as 20% of the total. In some Pashtun- a cliché, caught in a sense of its own triumphalism, of its temporal, spatial and substantive impact. First, in terms with mutilated bodies and crushed vehicles found the massacre is nonetheless testimony to the power of the in Wasior, West Papua, second, the volcanic eruption of Mount Merapi in Central Java, and third the earthquake populated provinces expected to support Karzai, large scale this region? The demise of the Cold War and the United process by all claimants for resolving the various territorial disputes without coercion.” Though the reported widespread fraud. The EU observers, by considered by all and sundry (or at least by most) to and resultant tsunami in Mentawai, in the island of Sumatera; the two latter happened one day after the other. of the ‘when’, 1989 should be understood as a conjunctural he spectacular decapitation of the top management of ollowing the ‘resignation’ of Chadli in January 1992, States’ focus on more pressing matters at home due to the buried in large pits. The convoy was destined for the individual courage and collective action demonstrated by United States has maintained a potent naval presence in the region since WWII, this incident broke contrast, judged that the elections were ‘free and proxy registration and voting on ‘behalf’ of women was be the ur-contemporary demarcation point in world the Algerian state oil company Sonatrach six weeks ago General Larbi Belkheir, Algeria’s cardinal as he was called, The three disasters claimed approximately 560 lives in total. rather than as an epochal shift. In other words, 1989 did not subprime crisis and other regions due to the global war Having joined the ASEAN Regional Forum (ARF) for discussing Commission of Elections office in Shariff Aguak town, those who joined in this convoy. new ground in identifying American interests regarding the South China Sea. However, matters are fair’ despite widespread violence. Most diplomats observed. In many cases the police reportedly cooperated in has shocked the world economic circles and convinced declared the state of emergency and had the smart historical time, a normative, analytical and empirical T F on terror has left a lacuna for Asian countries to fill. In security issues, China was the second country outside the Magindanao Province in the Autonomous Region of congratulated Afghanistan over a voter turnout organising the fraud. Although it will never be possible to mark the emergence and institutionalisation of a novel set of all those familiar with Algerian affairs that the war of clans for tactic to resurrect Mohammed Boudiaf ( a historic leader of not as straightforward as they initially appear since the US action must be viewed in light of shifting referent point par excellence. particular, the region’s economic infrastructure for trade, region to sign on to the Treaty of Amity and Cooperation Muslim Mindanao (ARMM). The purpose was to file The particular circumstances and suspected culprits behind WASIOR FLOOD political, economic and social relations. Rather, it materialized power and influence has taken a serious turn. Indeed, the news the Algerian war of liberation exiled in Morocco since 1963 geopolitical trends identified here. estimated at 40-50%, which despite being well below tell with certainty, the fraud seems to have been on a scale (TAC) after TAC was opened to non-ASEAN states. As local vice mayor Esmael Mangudadatu’s certificate of first reported by El Watan (Algerian daily of wide circulation) following his disagreement with Ben Bella) from his exile in aid, and investment is now up for grabs in an undeclared this massacre have attracted considerable attention, in the the official 70% of 2004 is believed to be acceptable in comparable with Ahmadinejad’s in Iran, a few months ago. out of collapse and implosion – the disappearance, virtually contest for the heart of this pivotal region. Here, I focus on we shall see, it is important to note that Australia and candidacy to run for the governorship of Maguindanao Philippines and elsewhere. While details and evidence have that the military Intelligence and Security Department (DRS) Morocco and appoint him as Algeria’s President capitulating Two groups of islands are under contention which China claims possession of in their entirety: the Paracel Islands that are While many eyes are centralised to the volcanic eruption and the tsunami, only a little attention has been drawn to the without a shot, of the Soviet Union and, with it, the final how the three main protagonists offer contrasting views of New Zealand, South Korea, and India have followed suit province in the May 2010 Philippine elections. Among yet to be heard in a court of law, the deeper causes and the face of ‘widespread’ violence. has launched a probe in corruption allegations related to the on that on Boudiaf’s historic symbolism among Algerians. contested by China, Taiwan, and Vietnam; and the Spratly Islands disputed by China and ASEAN members Brunei, Indonesian people in Wasior Village, West Papua. The flood and landslide, occurring in 4 October 2010, took 161 lives. One strand of the Cold War order, much of which had already regional economic integration—while gerrymandering its using the ARF -> TAC -> FTA progression China established the victims of the massacre were at least 30 journalists, consequences of this massacre can be gleaned from analyzing regularity of the awarding of major energy projects contracts It worked; and in the meantime Algeria started its gradual Malaysia, the Philippines, and Vietnam. (Note Taiwan is not an ARF participant) While the US is hundred and forty-five people are missing, while thousands have been forced to flee. The flood and landslide was caused However, the main problem with Friday’s elections is not that has led in its initial phase to placing Sonatrach’s CEO, three descent into the abysses of political violence as some factions geography in the process. with ASEAN. more than 20 women, including the wife and two sisters the wider political context and dynamics – in Maguindanao, melted away, whether by this we mean the ideological rather keen on safeguarding its commercial and military interests by keeping routes passing through these by the overflowing of four rivers, namely Rado, Sanduai, Manggurai, and Anggiris. Surrounded by 80% of conservational there was widespread fraud. In the context of an ongoing of the four of the vice-Presidents, two of the CEO’s sons, the of the Islamists took to arms while the military inaugurated its of Mangudadatu. in Muslim Mindanao, and elsewhere in the Philippines. There areas open, China believes it to be interference in the sense that America is not a party to these than the geopolitical dimensions of the Cold War, or the forests and slopes with gradients of 70%, Wasior was particularly vulnerable in the event of sustained heavy rainfall. There son of the former director of a states bank and number of counter-terrorism war in the name of saving the Republic as are at least three important patterns to consider in this regard: longstanding territorial disputes. To curry favour, the US also portrays itself to ASEAN members as being willing to bring and worsening insurgency, which is beginning to look like Keynesian post-war settlement institutionalised in the Bretton- other third-level managers within the company under judicial was presented then. Five months later President Boudiaf was Chinese and Japanese variations on an “ASEAN plus” theme Meanwhile, the Asian financial crisis of 1997/98 and the As news of the massacre spread quickly, UN Secretary- i) the practice of election-related violence; ii) the integration up the matter in multilateral forums and to check China’s tendency to negotiate individually with weaker Southeast were allegations of deforestation as the primary caused of the flood, but President SBY denied them after making a field trip a civil war, even the most committed statesman would Woods agreement. The key ideas and ordering mechanisms supervision and custody. In brief, Sonatrach, whose revenues assassinated by a member of his elite Presidential Guard while have made the Association of Southeast Asian Nations— subprime contagion of 2008 have raised awareness of General Ban Ki-Moon and the U.S. Embassy in Manila called of the Muslim minority population; and iii) the emergence of Asian states. Although mainstream media often portrays Secretary Clinton speaking up as evidence of renewed US to the affected area, saying that “the forest is still well-maintained.’ probably have made recourse to fraud to secure stability and account for 98% of Algeria’s exports and hence hard currency giving a speech in Annaba.The assassination was blamed on of the post-1989 period (marketisation, post-Fordism, neo- nominally a grouping of secondary states in the region—a ASEAN+3’s shared regional concerns. The Asian financial upon President Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo to ensure that zones of impunity in the southern provinces of the Philippines. engagement in the region, there are reasons to put these claims in doubt: has been decapitated overnight to say the least, while the the Islamist armed groups and political violence intensified. continuity over chaos. If Karzai cheated, his reasons are at least liberalism and privatisation) were both ascendant and had clear political-economic beneficiary in the process of Asian crisis reminded that regional production chains of “Factory those responsible for the attack be brought to swift justice. The majority of Wasior people are migrants from South Sulawesi working as traders, fourth remaining vice-President has been ‘spared’ it seems understandable. The problem is instead with the expectation, regionalism. On the other hand, the United States has long Asia” could be disrupted if a constituent part or region was taken institutional form well before 1989, and the central to run the company in the mean time. For the DRS to resort At this writing, a local mayor and scion of the powerful 1. Military exercises between the US Navy and ASEAN who as a result of the disaster have been forced to run their businesses from the originally entertained by the Bush administration but then severely affected by balance of payments problems. Thus, legitimating ideas of the epoch (freedom, democracy, self- to such a bold measure it is clear that things have gone General Zeroual then was called back from retirement to step championed the oxymoronic principle of “open regionalism” Ampatuan family, Andal Ampatuan Jr., has been charged members have been exceedingly common - even roadside. In response to the disaster, the government was quick to act, immediately transmitted to its successor in Washington and to its European that extends the geographical remit of the Asia-Pacific to subsequent ASEAN+3 efforts have aimed to reduce such with 25 counts of murder and remains in police custody in so during the George W. Bush administration. Since determination, sovereignty, justice, the market etc.), while really bad between the two classic clans of Algeria’s ruling into Boudiaf’s shoes and to be elected later as President in issuing a status of “emergency response (tanggap darurat)”. The rehabilitation allies, that these elections would have improved the prospects establishment, namely, the presidency civilian facade and 1995. As soon as he was elected, Zeroual wanted to loosen virtually all countries sharing shores with the Pacific Ocean. vulnerabilities: First, the $120 billion Chiang Mai Initiative a Manila prison. A number of other people have also been 1995, Cooperation Afloat Readiness And Training (CARAT) powerful and important, were either time honoured or and reconstruction process was planned and relocation-policy was decided. The the military represented by its intelligence branch the DRS. the grip of the DRS on the political establishment and decision Simply put, America’s anxieties centre on regional exclusion. Multilateralisation (CMIM) pools East Asian countries’ recommended to face murder charges, including at least naval exercises have been conducted annually between of stabilising Afghanistan, by somehow legitimising a political Coordinating Minister for People’s Welfare Agung Laksono estimated that new associated with notions of ‘return’, ‘normalcy’, ‘joining in’ making in Algeria. He started to reshuffle positions and roles considerable foreign exchange reserves so they may be six other Ampatuans (the provincial governor, the ARMM the US and six out of 10 ASEAN members: Brunei, system imported from abroad and demonstrating the rewards houses will be ready in six months and temporary shelters are set to be in use by and the like. In short, actors at the centre of 1989 sought not within the DRS to place his trusted men such as General used to help crisis-hit states in the future. The recent governer, another mayor, a vice mayor, and the head of Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore and of competing for power peacefully. Such a belief may have Thailand. This year, Cambodia became the first new CARAT This has been a classic phenomenon of Algeria’s ruling Betchine and General Fodil Saidi. Zeroual’s measures were CHINA establishment of an ASEAN+3 Macroeconomic Research so-called ‘police auxiliary forces’). In the aftermath of the 1 November. The government plans to build around 3000 new permanent homes to remake international relations in their own image but to participant in 16 years. Additionally, the Philippines and been held only half-heartedly, but nonetheless during 2008 establishment modus operandi since the first multiparty not appreciated by the DRS, which triggered a bras de fer China is keenest on maintaining emphasis on ASEAN+3 Office (AMRO) in Singapore will help reduce reliance on massacre, Maguindanao was first placed under a state with an estimated cost of Rp.300-400 billion. The budget will be derived from actively relinquish power, not least by signing away authority the US have held regular exercises in the wake of the In reality, violence on election day was quite limited, with a and 2009 it shaped the planning and the behaviour of the Of course, to some extent, this is a perfectly reasonable parliamentary election results were scraped in January 1992 within the Army. It started with a campaign of smear and processes including the ten Southeast Asian members plus external bodies like the International Monetary Fund (IMF) of emergency, and the entire locally appointed police force the 2011 reserves as well donations from the private sector. The state electricity to international organisations ranging from the EU to the IMF. and the President Chaldi Ben Djedid was shown the door. corruption allegations against Betchine, then escalated with global war on terror. As for other ASEAN members, Laos total of 26 fatalities including insurgents and Afghan security international coalition operating in Afghanistan. assumption – it would be pretty odd to claim that 1989 was China, Japan, and South Korea. Initially forged during for performing surveillance on member countries to head off of more than 1,000 men dismissed. Subsequently, Arroyo company (PLN) has successfully operated 2 of 3 diesel-engine power plants to Sonatrach is more than an energy company; it is indeed the killing of General Saidi. When it appeared that Zeroual is landlocked, while Myanmar and the US are famously the sidelines of the Asia- incipient trouble. Second, the Asian Bond Market Initiative has moved to declare martial law in the province, thus restore power to the area, despite the challenges for aid provision of Wasior’s forces; several civilian casualties were the result of long- insignificant, particularly for those living in the former Soviet the state. If the military ‘institution’ is the state’s backbone, was not impressed at all and that he was not backing down, at loggerheads. Despite its symbolism coming some As such, the shifts and reconfigurations of social, economic Europe Meeting (ASEM) as (ABMI) aims to help channel regional savings to regional distance rocket firing. It is obvious that the Taliban could sphere of influence. But looking back now, some two decades Sonatrach is its blood and vital lifeline with the international summer 1997 saw unprecedented surge in terrorist massacres effectively authorizing thousands of government troops to decades after the Vietnam conflict, the recent emergence topology and its poverty of infrastructure, particularly roads. and political power associated with 1989, dramatic and these countries discovered investment instead of relying on external markets for make arrests without court warrants and otherwise crack of US-Vietnam naval exercises is not exceptional when have done much more (worse) had they been determined on, is it possible to generate a balance-sheet of 1989’s broader, community. Sonatrach is the sacred cow of the regime, all in remote villages and rural communities. Zeroual knew that extensive though these have been, remain locked primarily differences and disagreements have always spared it. For the the next phase would be his head so he called for anticipated their common interests, intermediation. During the Asian crisis, excessive reliance on down on the Ampatuan clan and its private army of so-called viewed in the wider regional context. to disrupt the elections. global significance? In other words, can we assess the impact MERAPI ERUPTION within existing relational configurations. To put this in old DRS to dare to decimate Sonatrach’s management down to Presidential elections in 1998. ASEAN+3 is arguably the Western markets engendered difficulties for many Southeast ‘auxiliary’ police forces or ‘civilian volunteer organizations.’ of ‘1989’ against longer-term historical trends, on key issues third level at once means that they wanted to send a strong most organic grouping in Asian firms since they borrowed in foreign currencies as their 2. Consider the implications of trade, especially the language, the organic tendencies of the old have reasserted In contrast to the Wasior flood, foreign and local media have extensively covered the eruption of Mount Merapi (literally in international politics, and on places beyond its immediate signal to the other clan about who is really in charge. By terms of shared culture and local ones declined in value. Making regional savings more The targeting of women and media representatives in such Many observers have noted that election-related violence China-ASEAN FTA. From a political-economic standpoint, Instead, the Taliban leadership has largely confined itself to means ‘mount of fire’) in Central Java. Over the past few years, the Indonesian authority of meteorology, climatology, and Antonio zone of impact? And taken from this perspective, perhaps a breaching the consensus and touching the sacred cow, the economic concerns. Indeed, readily available should again help this cause, and recent large numbers and brutal manners during broad daylight, remains a familiar and widespread practice not merely in the economic subtext is of China rapidly leaving the US rhetorically hostile statements, probably considering that DRS wanted to say publically to the President’s clan that they China’s active diplomacy in increases in Asian bond issuance indicate rising demand. behind in trade volume terms with ASEAN. Having surpassed geophysics (BMKG), as well as the volcanology and geological disaster mitigation centre (PVMBG) had been continuously more complex picture emerges than the conventional wisdom possibly resulting in more journalists killed in a single attack southern Philippines but in many other parts of the country Antonio Giustozzi is a Research Fellow at the Crisis States really meant business. This came as a surprise to even those the US as ASEAN’s third largest trading partner in 2008, the elections did not represent a threat to its strategic and George proposing an ASEAN-China than anywhere else in the world, was not merely shocking. as well. In recent memory, for example, a reported 186 issuing alerts on the possibility of volcanic eruption as well tsunami across the country. Volcanic activity in Merapi increased allows: a story of both continuity and rupture, varied across familiar with Algerian affairs in that the forced amendment China emerged as ASEAN’s outright largest trading political interests. When diplomats and observers try to sell Research Centre at the London School of Economics and Free Trade Area to ASEAN over the weekend of 23-24 October, reaching its peak on the 26 October, causing 13 casualties mostly as a result of raining of the Constitution through the Parliament late 2008, which Lakhdar It was also the fatal outcome of a deliberate strategy candidates and supporters were killed in election-related partner in 2009 followed by the EU, Japan, and the author of War, Politics and Society in Afghanistan, 1978- time and place, uneven in origin and outcome. Dr. George Lawson is a Lecturer in International Relations in 2001 (which came into Comparatively speaking, ASEAN+3 is arguably the most hot ash and rock. The exact numbers of casualties is difficult to predict as more are added to the list everyday, but officials the elections as free and fair and as an achievement in the removed the clause restricting the Presidential terms to two for launching an electoral challenge against the grip on violence across the country in 2004, and another 126 in United States. Moreover, at midyear 2010, trade between 1992 (Georgetown, 2000) and of Koran, Kalashnikov and at LSE and a member of the LSE IDEAS Management Lakhdar Ghettas is a Phd candidate in the International effect this year) reflects its logical grouping under consideration here. China’s comfort face of extremist violence, they have mainly in mind their only and paved the way for Bouteflika’s re-election for a power exercised by the Ampatuans through elective and the 2007 elections. More generally, ‘guns, goons, and gold’ ASEAN and China is up 55% year-on-year at $136.5 billion. have been reportedly given a guide of over 150, with around 38 dead. On October 25, the BBC reported that Indonesian Laptop: the Neo-Taliban insurgency (Columbia, 2007). History Department at the London School of Economics increasingly sophisticated in negotiating via the “ASEAN Way” of non-interference home constituencies in Europe and America; the Afghan Committee. He is the author of Negotiated Revolutions: third term last April 2009 was obviously the result of a green appointive government positions, as well as through local have long been a mainstay of Philippine electoral politics, as While a global recovery partly accounts for this increase, authorities had raised the alert for Mount Merapi to its highest level and warned villagers in the potentially-affected area The Czech Republic, South Africa and Chile (Ashgate, and a Programme Assistant of the LSE IDEAS North Africa economic diplomacy. and consensus-building is evident. Moreover, China has public had low expectations from the beginning since voter light from the military establishment. So what has changed police and private armies, in Maguindanao, and beyond have national citizens’ movements that seek to safeguard the China-ASEAN Free Trade Agreement which came as far as 6 miles (10km) from the location to evacuate to safer ground. According to authorities, there were 13,000 more Again demonstrating that the least historical baggage amongst Japan and America. It 2005. so gravely to upset the deal passed a year ago and end the Initiative. (the ARMM governor is also an Ampatuan as of 2005). That ‘free and fair’ elections against violence, vote-buying and into effect at the start of 2010 has helped China cement people also in need of evacuation within 10 miles (16km) radius of the volcano. honeymoon between the presidency and the military? is, Mangudadatu’s convoy itself represented an attempt electoral fraud. its status in terms of trade volume with ASEAN.

Diplomacy and Strategy@LSE August 2009 Diplomacy and Strategy@LSE November 2009 Diplomacy and Strategy@LSE International Affairs, Diplomacy and Strategy @ LSE Diplomacy and Strategy@LSE International Affairs, Diplomacy and Strategy @ LSE International Affairs, Diplomacy and Strategy @ LSE November 2010 Afghan Presidential The Global 1989: The year Just What is Happening in The Gerrymandered Asia- The Maguindanao South China Sea Dispute Indonesia in Mourning - Elections - August 2009 that changed the world Algeria? - March 2010 Pacific - April 2010 Massacre - December 2009 - September 2010 November 2010 - November 2009

Western Sahara:

Situation Analysis No longer a low intensity frozen conflict The People onflicting reports have been emerging regarding the violence that broke out in a protest camp near Laayoune, CSahara’s main town, when Moroccan forces moved in at dawn to dismantle it. The Popular Front for the Liberation of Saguia el-Hamra and Río de Oro (POLISARIO) is reporting 11 dead and over 700 wounded while in Charge: Morocco set the figure to 8 dead among its security forces. What has been considered until now a ‘frozen conflict’ since the UN-brokered cease-fire in 1991 has definitely become volatile. The violent clashes coincided with the Civil Society and State Deals, resumption of the UN mediated informal direct talks between Morocco and POLISARIO in Manhasset, New York this Monday. The sketchy footage which came out of the conflict zone, thanks to mobile phones in the absence of international media correspondents, showed chaotic scenes proportionate with the heavy loss of lives of 20 Building in the Democratic Denials and dead in a single day. Hands of Hope The Great Fears of Republic of Congo Declassification The Moroccan Foreign Minister Taieb Fassi Fihri explained to Reuters that the use Refugees in Malaysia of violence was inevitable following failed negotiations with the representatives Afghanistan of the Sahrawi protest camp, set up about a month ago to demand improvement Israeli-South African of the living conditions of the Sahrawis in towns within the Moroccan-controlled The BIG IDEA: territory of Western Sahara. These events (which are developing as we put this to How wild rumours st Nuclear Collaboration print) come just two weeks after Al-Nagem Al-Qarhi, a 14-year old Sahrawi boy China in the 21 century was shot dead by Moroccan security forces outside the same protest camp; and shape politics for which Amnesty International has called for an immediate investigation in the circumstances of the killing. The End of Liberal The BIG IDEA: Interventionism: US Diplomacy in Rising Asia: Western Sahara, which is about the size of Britain and mostly controlled by Morocco The BIG IDEA: since its annexation exactly 35 years this month, is rich in phosphates, enjoys a long Interview with IDEAS Fellow The BIG IDEA: Through the Glass Darkly fishing coastline and probably oil and gas reserves. The region has been dubbed Russian Transition Toby Dodge What next for Iran? ‘Africa’s last colony’, whose fate continues to be hostage to the geopolitics of the and the West interests of regional and international actors namely, Morocco, Algeria, France, 65 years on: Why the War Spain and the US. The question in the minds of most observers is now: Did King IRAQ on the The New Gold Rush still Matters in Japan Mohammed VI deliberately aim to abort this week’s informal talks in Manhasset, Eve of Elections Can Greece meet NY, by deploying his forces literally as the politicians were about to sit down at the Silent Majority in the Sahel the Challenge? negotiating table? After all, the King could have delayed the operation a day or General Petraeus Goes to Kabul two until the two-day negotiations were over. Or did Rabat misread the situation Palestinian Jordanians and the and hence make the tactical mistake that could turn into a strategic blunder? Drifting or rifting? Sino-Russian competition A ‘Cold War Love Affair’ and the search for identity America and Europe Morocco has been pushing a diplomatic offensive in the last few years promoting in Mongolia Future of Anglo-Swiss Relations Moroccan Foreign Minister Taieb Fassi Fihri its large autonomy solution for the Western Sahara conflict: a sort of a compromise Interview with IDEAS in the age of Obama between total annexation of the territory and the self-determination referendum demands of the POLISARIO in conformance with the UN resolutions. Rabat has Chevening Fellow, Ouyang Huifeng “Solid, not Slavish”: been active in Washington and the key EU capitals presenting its proposal as a New fuel for the UK-US Relations under courageous concession to which the other parties (POLISARIO and Algeria) should IDEAS Barack Obama: The LAST Cameron and Clegg meet halfway and agree for a ‘third way’ solution framework where the Sahrawis Transatlantic President? Falklands dispute? would benefit from self rule. The sticking issue in the negotiations is POLISARIO’s insistence that self-determination should be an option in any solution proposal, and that is exactly what Rabat refuses. King Mohammed VI set the scene for the The Fall of the BERLIN WALL talks with an inflammatory speech last weekend, on the occasion of the 35th and the end of the APARTHEID anniversary of the Green March (the annexation of Western Sahara in 1975) in TODAY ISSUE 05.10 ISSUE 12.09

International Affairs, Diplomacy and Strategy @ LSE November 2010 ISSUE 02.10 ISSUE 04.10

IDEAStoday_5.indd 1 07/09/2010 10:45:07 ISSUE 03.10 IDEAStoday.indd 1 07/12/2009 17:31:21 IDEAStoday_4.indd 1 28/06/2010 15:41:10 Western Sahara Conflict Issue 01 - December 2009 IssueIDEAStoday_2.indd 1 02 - February 2010 15/02/2010 10:25:27 Issue 03 - April 2010 Issue 04 - June 2010 Issue 05 - September 2010 - November 2010 19 JOURNALS & OTHER PUBLICATIONS

Volume 00 Number 00 January 2010 ISSN 1468-2745

ColdWar HISTORY WAR COLD HISTORY

Contents Knowledge management in engineering design: ColdWar personalization and codification Chris McMahon, Alistair Lowe, Steve Culley Ontology-based systematization of functional knowledge HISTORY Yoshinobu Kitamura and Riichiro Mizoguchi Techniques for the integration of expert knowledge into the development of environmentally sound products Sebastian Leibrecht, Tri Ngoc Pham Van, Reiner Anderl Knowledge-based support of rapid product development Dieter Roller, Oliver Eck, Stavros Dalakakis Product data management system-based support for engineering project management Samir Mesihovic, Johan Malmqvist, Peter Pikosz Plastics design: integrating TRIZ creativity and semantic knowledge portals Gaetano Cascini and Paolo Rissone Volume 00 Number 00 January2010 00 Number Volume00

th Anniversary 10

COLD WAR HISTORY INTERNATIONAL POLITICS

The leading journal in its field, in 2010 Cold War History International Politics is a leading peer reviewed journal has celebrated its first decade. It continues to publish dedicated to transnational issues and global problems. groundbreaking articles by top experts as well as by emerging It subscribes to no political or methodological identity, talents. Past issues have included articles by Wilfrid Loth (“The and welcomes any appropriate contributions designed to German question from Stalin to Khrushchev: The meaning communicate findings and enhance dialogue. of new documents,” Vol.10, Issue 2, May 2010), Antonio Varsori (“Cold War History in Italy”, Vol. 8, Issue 2, May 200), International Politics defines itself as critical in character, and Hope Harrison (“Teaching and scholarship on the Cold truly international in scope, and totally engaged with the War in the United States”, Volume 8, Issue 2 May 2008), The central issues facing the world today. In keeping with IDEAS’ journal has also published a number of special issues, such interdisciplinary approach, it provides a global forum for a as the November 2009 one on Détente and its Legacy and rapidly expanding community of scholars from a range of the November 2009 issue on the Cold War in Film. A special academic backgrounds. issue on ‘Europe: Americanized?’ is scheduled to appear in February 2011. In the last few years International Politics has published Special Issues on the emerging field of Historical Sociology Cold War History has steadily improved its rejection rate year and International Relations, on approaches to Resolving on year and continues to work successfully with its publisher International Crises of Legitimacy and on the place of Ethics Taylor and Francis through the recently purchased online in World Politics. Leading scholars published include Robert journal management system Manuscript Central. Journal Kagan, Barry Buzan and Robert Singh on United States’ articles are also available and citeable online in advance of foreign policy; Mary Sarotte and Christopher Layne on the print publication through the iFirst system. transatlantic alliance; as well as Andrew Linklater, Richard Ned Lebow, Mary Kaldor and many others.

20 CAMBRIDGE HISTORY OF THE COLD THE GLOBAL 1989: CONTINUITY AND WAR CHANGE IN WORLD POLITICS

Edited by Melvyn P. Leffler and Odd Arne Edited by George Lawson, Chris Armbruster Westad and Michael Cox

The Cambridge History of the Cold War is 1989 signifies the collapse of Soviet a comprehensive, international history of communism and the end of the Cold the conflict that dominated world politics War, a moment generally recognized as a in the twentieth century. The series, written triumph for liberal democracy and when by leading international experts in the field, capitalism became global. The Global 1989 elucidates how the Cold War evolved from challenges these ideas. An international the geopolitical, ideological, economic, group of prominent scholars investigate the and socio-political environment of the mixed, paradoxical and even contradictory two world wars and the interwar era, and outcomes engendered by these events, explains the global dynamics of the Cold unravelling the intricacies of this important War international system. moment in world history.

RUSSIA AGAINST NAPOLEON: THE SOFT POWER AND US FOREIGN POLICY BATTLE FOR EUROPE 1807 TO 1814 Edited by Inderjeet Parmer and Michael Cox By Dominic Lieven The rise of widespread negative attitudes Russia Against Napoleon reveals the Russian towards US foreign policy, especially due story of the 1812 French invasion of Russia. to the war of aggression against Iraq and It follows the Russian army’s advance across the subsequent military occupation of the Europe in the following eighteen months, country – has brought new attention to the culminating in the capture of Paris and the meaning and instruments of soft power. In overthrow of Napoleon. Russia Against this edited collection, an outstanding line up Napoleon: the battle for Europe, 1807 to of contributors provides the most extensive 1814 (Penguin, 2009) was awarded the discussion of soft power to date. prize by The Wolfson Foundation.

THE GREAT COLD WAR: A JOURNEY PERFORATING THE IRON CURTAIN – THROUGH THE HALL OF MIRRORS EUROPEAN DTENTE, TRANSATLANTIC RELATIONS AND THE COLD WAR, By Gordon S. Barrass 1965-1985

In a richly informed and perceptive ‘insider’s Edited by Poul Villaume and ODD Arne account’, former British diplomat Gordon Westad Barrass shows that while there were times when each side did understand the other’s Cold War history research of the recent years intentions, there were also times when they suggests that the East-West détente process were wildly wrong - leading to the chilling of the 1970s was a more significant element revelation that the situation was far more than previously believed in understanding serious than most people knew at the time, and explaining the processes on both sides or imagine now. of the East-West divide which led to the peaceful end of the Cold War in the late 1980s. This anthology is a contribution to

Spine 19mm this research. YUGOSLAVIA AND THE SOVIET C4

Royal UNION IN THE EARLY COLD WAR: Demy

early cold war yugoslavia and the soviet union in the RECONSILIATION, COMRADESHIP,

yugoslavia and the soviet B-format union in the early cold war CONFRONTATION 1953 - 1957 TWO SUNS IN THE HEAVENS: Reconciliation, comradeship, confrontation, 1953–1957 THE SINO-SOVIET STRUGGLE FOR By Svetozar Rajak SUPREMACY 1962 - 1967

svetozar rajak

Svetozar Rajak This book, based on Yugoslav and By Sergey Radchenko Soviet archival documents, provides an

ISBN 978-0-415-38074-4 explanation for the collapse of the process Using newly available archival sources,

9 7 8 0 4 1 5 3 8 0 7 4 4 Cold War History Series www.routledge.com • an informa business of normalization of Yugoslav-Soviet that Two Suns in the Heavens examines

Bottom edge the dramatic deterioration of relations Spine 19mm occurred at the end of 1956 and the renewal of their ideological confrontation. between the USSR and China in the 1960s, It also explain the motives that guided the whereby once powerful allies became two main protagonists, Josip Broz Tito of estranged, competitive, and increasingly Yugoslavia and the Soviet leader Nikita hostile neighbors. Sergeevich Khrushchev.

21 IDEAS EVENTS

IDEAS has delivered 137 events for the period 2009-2010. This The IDEAS events focused on our ongoing research and represents an average of 68 events per year versus the average of 24 programmes as follows: events per year over the previous five years.

DINNER DEBATES/ PROGRAMME SPONSORED LAUNCHES/ RECEPTIONS Africa International Affairs 15 BESPOKE PUBLIC EVENTS LECTURES Balkan International Affairs 8 9 6 Cold War Studies 17 BOOK 24 LAUNCHES East Asia International Affairs 6 19 Latin America International Affairs 13

Middle East International Affairs 13

Russian Studies 19 1 Southeast Asia International Affairs 17 CONFERENCES / 60 WORKSHOPS Transatlantic Relations 15

SEMINARS & Other IDEAS events 32 ROUNDTABLE

PUBLIC LECTURES

21 January 2009 07 May 2009 27 October 2009 The Reality of Hope: Obama and Explaining the End of Communism The International Economy, and the Europe after the Inauguration in Europe Process of the Citizen’s Revolution in Robert Kagan, Charles Grant, Dr Robin Professor Archie Brown Ecuador Niblett, Professor Michael Cox Rafael Correa Delgado, President of Ecuador 23 May 2009 22 January 2009 The Power of Analogy: The Post-Cold 03 November 2009 The Great Transformation: How War World in Historical Perspective China Changed in the Long 1970s Professor Niall Ferguson Torture & Accountability: Where does Chen Jian President Obama go from here? Karen Greenberg, Professor Phillipe Sands 28 May 2009 24 February 2009 Tiananamen Square Remembered 24 November 2009 Democracy in America: Jefferson, Professor Chen Jian, Professor Atta Tocqueville, and Lincoln Hussain, Martin Jacques, Dr Debin Ma Jihad: The trail of Political Islam Professor Peter Onuf Professor Gilles Kepel

08 October 2009 17 March 2009 12 January 2010 The Tsar Liberates Europe? What is the significance of 1949? Russia against Napoleon, 1807-1814 Muslims in Modern Europe Professor Chen Jian Professor Chai Lieven Professor Gilles Kepel

31 March 2009 13 October 2009 20 January 2010 Indonesia: Global Reach, Beyond Terror & Martyrdom: Obama Nation? Rating the President’s Regional Role The Future of the Middle East First Year in Office Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono, Professor Gilles Kepel Professor Michael Cox, Professor Rob President of Indonesia Singh, Justin Webb, Dr Robin Niblett 22 ...CONTINUED

23 February 2010 18 October 2010 11 November 2010 Barack Obama and the Muslim World The Political Economy of the Cold War A Lecture by Álvaro García Linera Professor Gilles Kepel Professor Niall Ferguson Álvaro García Linera, Vice President of Bolivia

10 March 2010 19 October 2010 24 November 2010 The Philanthropy Challenge: Could you The New Machiavelli: How to Wield be the next Bill Gates? Power in the Modern World The Third World’s War Dame Stephanie Shirley, Nicholas Ferguson, Jonathan Powell Professor Niall Ferguson Professor Arne Westad

13 October 2010 25 October 2010 30 November 2010 Power Shift: West to East Israel Confronts its Past:The ‘New Africa and the World: The View Professor Michael Cox, Historians’ and their Critics from Washington Professor Arne Westad Professor Avi Shlaim Ambassador Howard Wolpe

SEMINARS AND ROUNDTABLES

14 January 2009 30 March 2009 - 5 April 2009 13 May 2009 The West: Last Gasp or Making a The Balkans and the World: From the Declining Hegemon? The United Comeback? Cold War to the Economic Crisis of 2008 States and the World of Crisis Professor Charles A. Kupchan, (Taugh Seminar, Belgrade, Serbia) Professor Michael Cox, Professor Thomas Carothers Professor Arne Westad, Danny Quah Professor Chen Jian, Dr Svetozar Rajak

20 January 2009 26 May 2009 29 April 2009 The Balkans in Turmoil: Yugoslav A Transnational Community Political Crisis and its Position Between The Rise and Decline of Putin’s Russia of Solidarity? Western Social the Blocs 1966-1971 Professor Margot Light, Professor Marie Reaction to the Polish Crisis Ante Batovic Mendras, Dr Bobo Lo 1980-82 Dr Idesbald Goddeeris

23 January 2009 30 April 2009 27 May 2009 NATO: From Kosovo to Afghanistan China Into Africa Jamie Shea Dr Chris Alden Continuity in an Era of Upheaval: Sino-Chilean Relations, 1970-1974 Maria Montt Strabucchi 26 January 2009 01 May 2009

Serbian Political and Military The Last New World Order: The Rise 06 October 2009 Transformation and Current of American Multilateralism and and Future Security Challenges Historical Lessons for Today Myanmar: The Long Shadow of in the Region Dr Stewart Patrick the Military Junta Dr Svetozar Rajak Tan Sri Razali Ismail

05 May 2009 25 February 2009 14 October 2009 Rising Asia in the World Crisis How Individual Rights Transformed Professor Danny Quah, The Brazilian military, from the World Politics Professor A. Hussain, Professor Chen Jian Cold War to the Amazonian War Professor Chris Reus-Smit Professor Celso Castro

06 May 2009 26 February 2009 21 October 2009 Venezuela’s ‘Bolivarian’ Process: Soft Power: Means to China’s Achievements, Challenges and Rebuilding the East Asian Pagoda: Peaceful Rise Prospects after 10 years China’s Role in the Construction of Xu Jian Amb. Dr Samuel Moncada, Dr Julia Buxton Regional Order Pablo Pareja-Alcaraz

03 March 2009 08 May 2009 Japan and the Cold War: An Overview Indonesia: The Next Political Phase Dr Antony Best Mr Karim Raslan 23 IDEAS EVENTS

...CONTINUED

22 October 2009 02 February 2010 11 March 2010 The United States and North Korea: Colombia: Bases of Stability or the The Niger Delta: Confronting the Dealing with Irrationality Basis for Conflict Crisis Seminars and Roundtables Professor Bruce Cummings Mauricio Rodríguez Múnera (Colombian Abiodun Alao, Dauda Garuba, Ed Kashi, Ambassador in the U.K.), Grace Michael Peel, Dimieari Von Kemedi Livingstone, Liam Craig-Best, 29 October 2009 Spencer Wood 26 April 2010 Opportunity and Risk in 21st century Africa Seminars and Roundtables Building Regions? ASEAN and the EU 03 February 2010 Mark Ashurst Approaches to Economic Integration What Next for Iraq? Dr Emmanuel Yujuico 09 November 2009 Dr Toby Dodge

Obama, AFRICOM, and the 28 April 2010 Militarization of Africa 09 February 2010 Dr Daniel Volman What Next for Lebanon? What Next for Yemen? Nadim Shehadi, Dr Michael Kerr Professor Fawaz Gerges 26 November 2009 29 April 2010 Thailand: A Nation in the Making 11 February 2010 Dr Thitinan Pongsudhirak The Geopolitics of the Western The Triangular Relationship: China, Sahara Conflict the US and the EU Professor Yahia Zoubir 01 December 2009 Ouyang Huifeng

What Next for Afghanistan? 12 May 2010 Dr Antonio Giustozzi 02 March 2010 Elections in the Philippines From Nuclear Pariah to Non- Louis Alferez 02 December 2009 Proliferation Hero: Legacies of South Africa’s Nuclear Policy Was Yugoslavia a Doomed State? A Dr Anna-Mart Van Wyk 13 May 2010 Theoretical Approach to Yugoslavia’s Evolution from 1946 to 1989 US Power and Leadership in the Antonio Moneo Obama Presidency 04 March 2010 Professor Stephen Brooks Papua Road Map: Negotiating the 03 December 2009 Past, Improving the Present, and Securing the Future 20 May 2010 Democratic Republic of Congo and Dr Muridan Widjojo Armed Conflict Soviet Capitulation: Kabul, Berlin- Dino Mahtani Warsaw, Moscow Professor Stephen Kotkin 05 March 2010 09 December 2009 Missing (1982) (Film Showing and Debate) 25 May 2010 Latin America Elections and Victor Figueroa Clark Democracy 2009 China and the International Dr Francisco Panizza; Dr Guy Burton; System: Joining, Contributing, or Felipe Heusser; Victor Figueroa Clark Hollowing Out? 09 March 2010 Professor François Godement Peace and the Human Person: 10 December 2009 The “Foreign Policy” of the Polish Catholic Intelligentsia Clubs with 08 June 2010 Southern Philippines, Frontier Politics France,Belgium and West and Violence EU Foreign Policy after Lisbon Germany, ‘56-78 Mr Eric Gutierrez Professor Sergio Fabbrini Piotr Kosicki

26 January 2010 14 June 2010 11 March 2010 Neutrality in the Early Cold War: The US and Iran. The Start of the Dissecting the Duch Case: Arms Import and Neutrality End Game? Reflections on the Khmer Rouge Marco Wyss Professor Lawrence Freedman Tribunal and International Criminal Justice Mr Alex Bates

24 ...CONTINUED

16 June 2010 20 October 2010 16 November 2010 Regional Governance in Latin Contesting Asian Economic Myannar’s Elections: Outcomes and America: Institutions and Normative Integration: US, China, and Japan Implications Discourses in the Post-Cold War Professor Shaun Breslin, Professor Derek Tonkin, Bo Bo Lansin Period Christopher Dent Dr Andrea Ribeiro Hoffmann 23 November 2010 27 October 2010 17 June 2010 What next for Morocco? German Unification Before and Dr Claire Spencer Managing Economic Crisis: The After: Generations, Dictatorships, G20 and the New Economic Society Multilateralism Professor Mary Fulbrook 06 December 2010 Guo Xuejun Conflict and Conflict Resolution in Latin America Today 02 November 2010 11 October 2010 Dr Juliana Bertazzo, Dr Jennifer Schirmer, From Ideas to Policies: Greek Dr Julia Schunemann US, Venezuela, Argentina: A Analysis on the Cold War and the Triangular Relationship? Balkans, 1944-1989 John Hughes Dr Evanthis Hatzivassisiliou

14 October 2010 09 November 2010 Migrant Workers and Human Rights Islam and the State: A Southeast in Southeast Asia Asian Perspective Donna Guest Dr Bachtiar Effendy

BOOK LAUNCHES

11 February 2009 19 January 2010 20 May 2010 A Cultural Theory of International Why Won’t America Be Realistic? Cambridge History of the Cold War Relations Book Launches Dr Adam Quinn Professor Melvyn Leffler, Professor Richard Ned Lebow Professor Arne Westad

25 February 2010 03 June 2009 07 June 2010 “If you leave us here, we will die”: Two Suns in the Heavens How Genocide was Stopped in Putin’s Oil Wars Sergey Radchenko East Timor Martin Sixsmith Professor Geoffrey Robinson

15 October 2009 05 October 2010 16 March 2010 An Authorised History of MI5 (co- Power, Profit and Prestige: A History of branded with IH) Forbidden Fruit: Counterfactuals American Imperial Expansion Christopher Andrew and International Relations Professor Philip Golub Professor Ned Lebow

05 November 2009 12 October 2010 19 May 2010 Did the US betray Russia? NATO, Land, Liberation and Compromise in the End of the Cold War, and the Soft Power and US Foreign Policy Southern Africa Consequences for International Professor Michael Cox, Professor Dr Chris Alden Politics 20 Years Later Inderjeet Parmar, Professor Joseph Nye, Mary Sarotte Christopher Hill 10 November 2010

08 December 2009 19 May 2010 The Global 1989: Continuity and Change in World Politics Cold War in Southern Africa The Somalia Syndrome Dr George Lawson, Professor Michael Cox, Dr Sue Onslow Professor Robert Patnam Professor Anthony Giddens, Professor Alex Callinicos, Professor Richard Ned Lebow

25 IDEAS EVENTS

...CONTINUED

25 November 2010 01 December 2010 After Hiroshima: The United States, Yugoslavia and the Soviet Union in the Race, and Nuclear Weapons in Asia, Early Cold War, 1953-1957 1945-1965 Dr Svetozar Rajak Professor Matthew Jones

02 December 2010 29 November 2010 Experiencing War: A Launch and Discussion Why Nations Fight? Professor Christine Sylvester, Dr Heonik Kwon, Professor Richard Ned Lebow Dr Jill Gibbon, Professor Stephen Chan

CONFERENCES AND WORKSHOPS

23 January 2009 29 May 2009 28-29 May 2010 CCBH / IDEAS Witness Seminar - The Cold War in the Caribbean: The IDEAS / IPRI Working Experts Seminar Britain and South Africa: Road Grenada Intervention, 1983 - Legacies of Conflict, Decolonisation to Democracy Cold War Studies and Cold War” (Lisbon, Portugal) Africa International Affairs Africa International Affairs

3-5 September 2009 30-31 January 2009 1-4 September 2010 2009 European Summer School Oral History Conference - Southern on Cold War History (Settignano/ 2010 European Summer School on Africa in the Cold War era, post-1974 Florence, Italy) Cold War History (Forli, Italy) Africa International Affairs Cold War Studies Cold War Studies

23 April 2009 24-26 September 2009 23-24 September 2010 Chile y la Guerra Fría: Más allá The End of the Cold War and the Reappraising the Iran-Iraq War Thirty de Washington y Moscú Third World Years Later (Santiago, Chile) Cold War Studies Middle East International Affairs Latin America International Affairs

5-6 November 2009 27-28 September 2010 24-26 April 2009 Climate Change: Is Southeast Brazil and the Cold War in Latin GWU-UCSB-LSE Annual Graduate Asia up to the Challenge? America: New Research and New Student Conference 2009 (Jakarta, Indonesia) Sources (Rio de Janeiro, Brazil) Cold War Studies Southeast Asia International Affairs Latin America International Affairs

28-29 April 2009 14 January 2010 13 December 2010 The Path to ASEAN Economic Intervention in the Modern World - Intervention in the Modern World -- Integration (Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia) ESRC Seminar Series on Intervention ESRC Seminar Series on Intervention Southeast Asia International Affairs (First Workshop) (Penultimate Workshop) Dr George Lawson, Professor John Dr George Lawson, Professor John MacMillan, Professor Richard Little MacMillan, Professor Richard Little 8 -9 May 2009

IDEAS / IPRI Working Experts Seminar 12 February 2010 - Southern Africa in the Cold War Era (Lisbon, Portugal) Democratisation and New Forms of Africa International Affairs Voter Mobilisation in Southeast Asia Southeast Asia International Affairs

26 PROGRAMME LAUNCHES AND OTHER BESPOKE EVENTS

12 October 2009 04 March 2010 27 April 2010 Top Secret: How Intelligence Africa International Affairs East Asia International Affairs Changed the Cold War and the Programme Launch - Africa and the Programme Launch - The East Asian Lessons for Today World Century? Gordon Barrass Professor Thandika Mkandawire, Professor Professor Barry Buzan, Fantu Cheru, Professor Michael Chege, Dr Professor Arne Westad Chris Alden, Dr Sue Onslow 10 November 2009 18 November 2010 Middle East International Affairs 19 March 2010 Programme Launch: What Next for Balkan International Affairs the Middle East IDEAS - FCO Conference: Britain and Programme Launch - Balkans 2020: Professor Gilles Kepel; France in the Middle East and the The Ministerial Debate Professor Fawaz Gerges Muslim Environment (Foreign and HE Nickolay Mladenov, Foreign Minister Commonwealth Office, London, U.K.) of Bulgaria; HEVuk Jeremi?, Foreign Bertrand Gaume (Ministry of Interior, Minister of Serbia 07 December 2009 France), David Frost (FCO), Professor Gilles Kepel, Professor Michael Cox Securing Peace and Stability in the Balkans: European Perspectives and International Law Vuk Jeremic, Foreign Minister of Serbia

DINNER DEBATES AND SPONSORED RECEPTIONS

20 March 2009 18 January 2010 16 October 2010 The Legal Aspects of the Political Dinner Debate on Afghanistan Annual Millennium Conference Crisis in the State of Perak Gordon Barrass, Professor Arne Westad, Reception (Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia) Dr Artemy Kalinovsky Dr Munir Majid 3-4 November 2010 18 May 2010 17 October 2009 The Historical Sociology of Fred Dinner Discussion Halliday – Reception Annual Millennium Conference Gordon Barrass Reception

30 September 2010 03 December 2009 LSE-CU and LSE-PKU Induction Day LSE-PKU Christmas Reception

EXTERNAL PARTICIPATION

In addition to the 137 events organised by LSE IDEAS, the Directors, Fellows and Associates attend over 100 non-IDEAS events across the globe each year.

27 FELLOWSHIPS AND SCHOLARSHIPS

SENIOR FELLOWS SCHOLARSHIPS

»» Professor Barry Buzan »» Pinto PostDoc Scholarship »» Professor Chen Jian Dr Emmanuel Mourlon-Druol »» Professor Gilles Kepel »» Professor Paul Kennedy »» Pinto PhD Scholarship »» Professor Dominic Lieven Wes Ullrich »» Professor Danny Quah 2nd scholarship TBA

»» Southeast Asia Programme PhD Scholarship Muhammad Hadianto Wirajuda SENIOR VISITING FELLOWS 2nd scholarship TBA

»» Mr Martin Jacques 2008 – 2010 »» Stonex PhD Scholarships Gregorio Bettiza »» Tan Sri Dr Munir Majid 2008 – 2012 Mohammed Lakhdar Ghettas

VISITING PROFESSORS

VISITING FELLOWS »» Mr Gordon Barrass 2010 – 2012 »» Southeast Asia Fellowships Dr Eva-lotta Hedman Dr Emmanuel Yujuico VISITING CHEVENING FELLOWS »» Russia Programme Fellowships »» Mr Xu Jian Dr Stanisalv Malkin Sep.2008 – Mar. 2009 Dr Artem Dankov »» Mr Ouyang Zhibing Dr Viktor Apryshchenko Mar. 2009 - Sept. 2009 Dr Yan Vaslavskiy »» Mr Ouyang Huifeng Oct.2009 – Mar.2010 »» Latin America Programme Fellowships »» Mr Guo Xuejun Dr Fernando Purcell Mar.2010 – Aug.2010 Dr Federico Merke

»» Mr Xu Zhaoyang Sep.2010 – Mar.2011 »» Balkan Programme Fellowship TBA

FCO VISITING FELLOWS

In addition, we have a substantial international network of »» Dr Rhodri Williams distinguished Associates (linked to a specific programme) 2010 who are actively involved in the development of the programmes. »» Mr Will Shield 2010 - 2011 For details, see lse.ac.uk/IDEAS/programmes/

28 ONLINE REPORT

TOTAL PAGE VIEWS AVERAGE PAGE VIEWS KEY RESULTS

»» Users from 142 different Page Views since 13 Oct 2009: 217,502 Since 31 Mar 2010, we have consistent countries »» Web Total: 181,193 traffic data on the external website, blog, and Facebook: »» Over 20,000 page views »» Blog: 15,520 per week »» Facebook: 17,504 »» Per Year: 242,396 »» 1400+ social media »» YouTube: 3,285 »» Per Month: 20,200 ‘friends’ Our users primarily access our content from 142 »» Per Day: 664 »» 1000 unique visitors every different countries, primarily the United Kingdom week in current year (39%) and United States (22%) but also from a broad array of other countries, including »» Visitor numbers more than Pakistan, Saudi Arabia, Nigeria, Palestinian doubled over last year Territories, United Arab Emirates, Jordan, Iran, Vietnam, Costa Rica, Iraq, Brunei, Qatar, Djibouti, Afghanistan, Eritrea, Cuba, Zambia, Lesotho, and Mozambique.

FACEBOOK AND TWITTER 1000

800 We launched our Facebook Page on 13 Oct 2009. We now have 902 fans (people who have ‘Liked’ our Page). 600 Our Twitter account was launched on 18 September 2010. We now have 492 followers. These fans/followers from 400 both tools come from a broad array of countries, again mostly the United Kingdom and United States but also 200 places such as Vietnam, Singapore, Oman, Poland, Russia, Nepal, Japan, Indonesia, Chile, and Argentina. 0 18 Sept 2009 18 Oct 2010

YEAR OVER YEAR Mon 2009

Tues 2010 Compared to the past, 2010 has been a massive improvement in web traffic with a 120% increase in the weekly Wed number of visitors: 907 weekly visitors in early November 2009 compared with 1999 in early November 2010. Thur

Fri

Sat

Sun

0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700

29 FUNDING SUMMARY 2008 - 2010

FUNDING SOURCE % OF TOTAL EXTERNAL £30,000 BA-RA 1.19% £35,000 Chevening Programme 1.39% £2,000 University of Brighton 0.08% £18,505 LAC British Academy 3.40% £470,000 Paulsen Foundation 18.69% £18,620 Chiang Ching Kuo 0.74% £9,818 SA grant 0.39% £700,000 SE Asia grant 27.84% £600,000 Philippe Roman 23.87% £170,500 Pinto PhD Studentships 6.78% £100,000 Stonex PhD Studentships 3.98% £2,000 BISI 0.08% £71,675 Sotirov endowment 2.85% £1,600 National Bank of Greece 0.06% £2,000 EFG Eurobank 0.08% £8,100 Actor Concessions 0.32% £2,000 Global Finance 0.08% £2,432 Latsis Foundation 0.10% £5,000 Aegean Oil 0.20% £109,325 Leverhulme trust 4.35% £7,500 BP 0.30% TOTAL EXTERNAL FUNDING 94.11%

INTERNAL £49,800 Special Reports Research Publications 1.98% 1 £88,228 LSE annual grant 3.51% £5,000 Global Governance 0.20% £5,000 HEIF 0.20% TOTAL LSE FUNDING 5.89%

£2,514,103 TOTAL, FROM 25 SOURCES 100.00%

TOTALS PER CATEGORY OVERSEAS FOUNDATION £1,198,438

47.67%

UK GOVERNMENT £85,505 3.40%

LSE 5.89% £148,028

0.30% 4.35% 38.40% UK INDUSTRY & COMMERCE £7,500 ENDOWMENTS / LEVERHULME DONATIONS TRUST £946,175 £109,325

30 2009 - 2010 FINANCIAL REPORT

NEW FUNDING AWARDS: FY 2009-10 INCOME & EXPENDITURE STATEMENT * Amount Awarded £ Amount £ RESEARCH COUNCILS 7 INCOME FROM 2 Leverhulme Trust £109,235.00 Research Councils Nuffield Foundation Leverhulme Trust £109,235.00 Wellcome Trust Nuffield Foundation Other Charities Wellcome Trust 3 UK Government £30,505.00 Other Charities UK Industry & Commerce £7,500.00 UK Government £30,505.00 European Commission UK Industry & Commerce £7,500.00

4 Overseas Foundations £470,000.00 European Commission

5 Endowments or Donations £103,093.00 Overseas Foundations £280,000.00 Other Sources Endowments & Donations £253,093.00 Sub-total £720,333.00 Other Sub-total £680,333.00 NON-CONTRACT RESEARCH FUNDING

6 LSE Funding £24,435.00 NON-CONTRACT RESEARCH INCOME HIEF £5,000.00 LSE Funding £24,435.00 Publications & Subscriptions HIEF £5,000.00 Other Publications & Subscriptions Sub-total £29,435.00 Other Sub-total £29,435.00

TOTAL £749,768.00 TOTAL INCOME £709,768.00

EXPENDITURE 1 Received after end of FY 09-10 and therefore not Staff Costs £302,221.00 reflected in this Financial report Non-Staff Costs £193,695.00 2 Research grant for Professor Arne Westad TOTAL DIRECT COSTS £495,916.00 3 Chevening and BA funding

4 Paulsen Foundation donation OVERHEADS £40,805.00

5 Pinto, BISI and Balkan funding Overhead Recovery Rate as a % of Staff Costs 13.50%

6 LSE Annual grant Overhead Recovery Rate as a % of Total Costs 8.23%

7 Includes income from funding previously awarded * Total income FY 09-10: £709,768 compared with FY 08-09: £312, 082 Total expenditure FY 09-10: £495,916 compared with FY 08-09: £293,000

31 CONTACT

DR EMILIA KNIGHT LSE IDEAS Centre Manager

Email [email protected] Web lse.ac.uk/IDEAS