FROM LONGITUDE to ALTITUDE: INDUCEMENT PRIZE CONTESTS AS INSTRUMENTS of PUBLIC POLICY in SCIENCE and TECHNOLOGY Clayton Stallbau
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Robin Hanson Statement on Teaching
Robin Hanson Statement on Teaching Long ago I was one of the top teaching assistants at the University of Chicago physics department. I had to learn to translate this ability into teaching economics here. For example, I learned that students are far more willing to believe physicists about physics, than to believe economists about economics. To help overcome this skepticism, I run some classroom experiments in my microeconomics courses. These experiments give students a good initial hook for the concepts of marginal value and cost, and they show that standard theory predicts experimental outcomes reasonably well. One physics practice that translates well to economics is “back of the envelope” analysis. For example, I ask why poets are paid less than romance novelists, and teachers are paid less than garbage men (hint: note supply side effects). And I ask whether a subsidy or tax would best correct for law mower externalities (hint: neighbors can negotiate easily). While many undergraduates prefer teachers to give them the one true answer on policy questions, I try to avoid taking sides. In class discussions, I ask students to take and defend policy positions, and then I defend any undefended major positions, and mention any unmentioned major criticisms of these positions. The important thing is for students to understand the sorts of arguments that an economist would respect. I am big on normative analysis. I review how normative economics differs from normative analysis elsewhere, and the basic types of market failure. I cover counter- arguments that most teachers don’t cover, such as consistency checks (e.g., if this were the failure then we should also see that) and minimal interventions (e.g., this milder alternative should work just as well). -
The Transhumanist Reader Is an Important, Provocative Compendium Critically Exploring the History, Philosophy, and Ethics of Transhumanism
TH “We are in the process of upgrading the human species, so we might as well do it E Classical and Contemporary with deliberation and foresight. A good first step is this book, which collects the smartest thinking available concerning the inevitable conflicts, challenges and opportunities arising as we re-invent ourselves. It’s a core text for anyone making TRA Essays on the Science, the future.” —Kevin Kelly, Senior Maverick for Wired Technology, and Philosophy “Transhumanism has moved from a fringe concern to a mainstream academic movement with real intellectual credibility. This is a great taster of some of the best N of the Human Future emerging work. In the last 10 years, transhumanism has spread not as a religion but as a creative rational endeavor.” SHU —Julian Savulescu, Uehiro Chair in Practical Ethics, University of Oxford “The Transhumanist Reader is an important, provocative compendium critically exploring the history, philosophy, and ethics of transhumanism. The contributors anticipate crucial biopolitical, ecological and planetary implications of a radically technologically enhanced population.” M —Edward Keller, Director, Center for Transformative Media, Parsons The New School for Design A “This important book contains essays by many of the top thinkers in the field of transhumanism. It’s a must-read for anyone interested in the future of humankind.” N —Sonia Arrison, Best-selling author of 100 Plus: How The Coming Age of Longevity Will Change Everything IS The rapid pace of emerging technologies is playing an increasingly important role in T overcoming fundamental human limitations. The Transhumanist Reader presents the first authoritative and comprehensive survey of the origins and current state of transhumanist Re thinking regarding technology’s impact on the future of humanity. -
Are Disagreements Honest?
Are Disagreements Honest? Tyler Cowen Robin Hanson* Department of Economics George Mason University August 18, 2004 (First version April 16, 2001.) *The authors wish to thank Curt Adams, Nick Bostrom, Geoff Brennan, James Buchanan, Bryan Caplan, Wei Dai, Hal Finney, Mark Grady, Patricia Greenspan, Kevin Grier, Robin Grier, Hans Haller, Claire Hill, Mary Hirschfeld, Dan Houser, Stephen Hsu, Michael Huemer, Maureen Kelley, Arnold Kling, Peter McCluskey, Tom Morrow, William Nelson, Mark Notturno, David Schmidtz, Susan Snyder, Aris Spanos, Damien Sullivan, Daniel Sutter, Alexander Tabarrok, William Talbott, Nicolaus Tideman, Eleizer Yudkowsky, and participants of the Virginia Tech economics department seminar for useful comments and discussion. We thank the Center for Study of Public Choice and the Mercatus Center for financial support. * Correspondence to Robin Hanson, [email protected], MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030-4444, 703-993-2326 FAX: 703-993-2323 Are Disagreements Honest? ABSTRACT We review literatures on agreeing to disagree and on the rationality of differing priors, in order to evaluate the honesty of typical disagreements. A robust result is that honest truth-seeking agents with common priors should not knowingly disagree. Typical disagreement seems explainable by a combination of random belief influences and by priors that tell each person that he reasons better than others. When criticizing others, however, people seem to uphold rationality standards that disapprove of such self- favoring priors. This suggests that typical disagreements are dishonest. We conclude by briefly considering how one might try to become more honest when disagreeing. KEYWORDS: agreeing, disagree, common, prior, truth-seeking, Bayesian 2 I. Introduction People disagree all of the time, especially about politics, morality, religion, and relative abilities. -
Una Historia Del Pensamiento Transhumanista 1 a History of a Transhumanist Thought
UNA HISTORIA DEL PENSAMIENTO TRANSHUMANISTA 1 A HISTORY OF A TRANSHUMANIST THOUGHT NICK BOSTROM Universidad de Oxford [email protected] RECIBIDO: 24/05/2011 ACEPTADO: 04/07/2011 Resumen: Este artículo repasa algunos de los antecedentes e hitos del pensamiento transhumanista. Lo hace recordando narrativas y pensadores –principalmente occidentales- que han exhibido ideas o deseos convergentes con, anticipadores, o inspiradores de los del transhumanismo, tales como la milenaria empresa de mejorar la condición humana a través del desarrollo tecnológico. También se lleva a cabo una recapitulación de asuntos y debates surgidos en torno al transhumanismo desde finales del siglo pasado hasta 2005. Esta recapitulación concluye con una llamada al entendimiento entre bandos enfrentados –especialmente, transhumanistas y bioconservadores. Asimismo, se incluye una presentación de la gestación e ideas básicas de la World Transhumanist Association (Asociación Transhumanista Mundial), cuya declaración fundacional (en su versión de 2009) se incluye al final del artículo. Palabras clave: transhumanismo, posthumano, humanismo, posthumanismo, perfeccionamiento humano, singularidad. Abstract: This paper traces some of the historic antecedents and landmarks of transhumanist thought. It does so by recalling narratives and thinkers –primarily Western- that have exhibited ideas or desires that are convergent with, anticipations of, or inspirations for those that characterize transhumanism, such as the age-old quest for improving the human condition through technical development. There is also a recapitulation of topics and debates merging or emerging around transhumanism during XXth century and up to 2005. This recapitulation concludes with a call to the quarrelling sides -primarily, transhumanists and bioconservatives- for mutual understanding. It also includes a brief account of the historic gestation and basic ideas of the World Transhumanist Association (WTA), whose foundational declaration (in its 2009 version) is included at the end of the paper. -
2. Descriptive Astronomy (“Astronomy Without a Telescope”)
2. Descriptive Astronomy (“Astronomy Without a Telescope”) http://apod.nasa.gov/apod/astropix.html • How do we locate stars in the heavens? • What stars are visible from a given location? • Where is the sun in the sky at any given time? • Where are you on the Earth? An “asterism” is two stars that appear To be close in the sky but actually aren’t In 1930 the International Astronomical Union (IAU) ruled the heavens off into 88 legal, precise constellations. (52 N, 36 S) Every star, galaxy, etc., is a member of one of these constellations. Many stars are named according to their constellation and relative brightness (Bayer 1603). Sirius α − Centauri, α-Canis declination less http://calgary.rasc.ca/constellation.htm - list than -53o not Majoris, α-Orionis visible from SC http://www.google.com/sky/ Betelgeuse https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Messier_objects (1758 – 1782) Biggest constellation – Hydra – the female water snake 1303 square degrees, but Ursa Major and Virgo almost as big. Hydrus – the male water snake is much smaller – 2243 square degrees Smallest is Crux – the Southern Cross – 68 square degrees Brief History Some of the current constellations can be traced back to the inhabitants of the Euphrates valley, from whom they were handed down through the Greeks and Arabs. Few pictorial records of the ancient constellation figures have survived, but in the Almagest AD 150, Ptolemy catalogued the positions of 1,022 of the brightest stars both in terms of celestial latitude and longitude, and of their places in 48 constellations. The Ptolemaic constellations left a blank area centered not on the present south pole but on a point which, because of precession, would have been the south pole c. -
The Challenge Prize— History and Opportunity
1 THE CHALLENGE PRIZE— HISTORY AND OPPORTUNITY By Larry E. Tise, PhD Historian President, International Congress of Distinguished Awards February 2006 © Larry E. Tise 2006 The Challenge Prize: What Is It? The “Challenge Prize” is a special type of award or prize that has been employed throughout human history to encourage new creative, innovative, and often heroic achievements. The offer of a challenge reward has been used historically to draw forth previously unknown individuals to lead armies to conquests, to motivate individuals or teams in sport to championships, to find hidden secrets in nature, to discover mysteries in science, to innovate new tools to facilitate research, and to produce products that might prove adaptable in altering or “improving” life or the human condition. Kings, generals, and the captains of industry have understood the usefulness of throwing out a challenge that might just captivate the imagination or spirit of a single human being to produce a product or result that can advance national leadership, military conquest, or a hefty profit. Whether issued in the form of promised reward heralded by royal trumpeters and posted on every tree in the realm, issued before throngs of citizenry or soldiery, or posted on the internet as a request for proposals (RFP), the notion of a earning or winning a prize for producing a result that surpasses all others or solves a particular problem, humans— particularly in competitive and entrepreneurial societies—are fully familiar with the notion of the challenge prize and recognize—viscerally if not consciously—the allurement and romance of meeting a challenge, being proclaimed the victor, and securing the promised reward. -
And Transhumanism Robert Ranisch & Stefan Lorenz Sorgner Scientific and Technological Advances Have Questioned Predominant Doctrines Concerning the Human Condition
Introducing Post- and Transhumanism Robert Ranisch & Stefan Lorenz Sorgner Scientific and technological advances have questioned predominant doctrines concerning the human condition. Transhumanism and posthumanism are among the most recent and prominent manifestations of this phenomenon. Debates on trans- and posthumanism have not only gained a considerable amount of aca- demic and popular attention recently, but have also created a widespread con- ceptual confusion. This is no surprise, considering their recent dates of origin, their conceptual similarities, and their engagements with similar questions, top- ics, and motifs. Furthermore, trans- as well as posthumanism frequently question their relationship to humanism1 and reconsider what it means to be human. In this regard both movements are streaming beyond humanism. What this means, however, is far from clear and shall be subject of discussion in this volume. In order to make sense of these two approaches and to investigate their inter- relationship, a clarification of these concepts is necessary. As a first approxima- tion, transhumanism can be seen as a stance that affirms the radical transfor- mation of human’s biological capacities and social conditions by means of tech- 1 We will not be able to address the complex histories and varieties of humanism in this chapter. Yet, the following must be noted: The word “humanism” (Humanismus) was coined in 1808 by the German theologian and philosopher Friedrich I. Niethammer in the context of educational curricula, as it is derived from the Latin word humanitas. This word has a variety of meaning but has strongly been identified with the Greek word paideia (παιδεία), e.g., i.) in Cicero’s De Oratore (I, 71) the meaning of the concept hu- manitas corresponds to that of the concept paideia; ii.) in the text Noctes Acticae (XIII, 17) by the Latin author Aulus Gellius, who lived in the 2nd century, an explicit identifi- cation of paideia and humanitas can be found. -
Rewarding Energy Innovation to Achieve Climate Stabilization
Case Western Reserve University School of Law Scholarly Commons Faculty Publications 2011 Eyes on a Climate Prize: Rewarding Energy Innovation to Achieve Climate Stabilization Jonathan H. Adler Case Western University School of Law, [email protected] Follow this and additional works at: https://scholarlycommons.law.case.edu/faculty_publications Part of the Environmental Law Commons, and the Science and Technology Law Commons Repository Citation Adler, Jonathan H., "Eyes on a Climate Prize: Rewarding Energy Innovation to Achieve Climate Stabilization" (2011). Faculty Publications. 656. https://scholarlycommons.law.case.edu/faculty_publications/656 This Article is brought to you for free and open access by Case Western Reserve University School of Law Scholarly Commons. It has been accepted for inclusion in Faculty Publications by an authorized administrator of Case Western Reserve University School of Law Scholarly Commons. \\jciprod01\productn\H\HLE\35-1\HLE101.txt unknown Seq: 1 14-MAR-11 12:33 EYES ON A CLIMATE PRIZE:REWARDING ENERGY INNOVATION TO ACHIEVE CLIMATE STABILIZATION Jonathan H. Adler* Stabilizing atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases at double their pre-in- dustrial levels (or lower) will require emission reductions far in excess of what can be achieved at a politically acceptable cost with current or projected levels of tech- nology. Substantial technological innovation is required if the nations of the world are to come anywhere close to proposed emission reduction targets. Neither tradi- tional federal support for research and development of new technologies nor tradi- tional command-and-control regulations are likely to spur sufficient innovation. Technology inducement prizes, on the other hand, have the potential to significantly accelerate the rate of technological innovation in the energy sector. -
Overruling As a Speech Act: Performativity and Normative Discourse
Prepublication Draft 2009 Overruling as a speech act: performativity and normative discourse Ross CHARNOCK Université de Paris Abstract: In the common law system, judges are said to be bound by precedents decided in courts of the same level or above. However, in higher courts, under certain conditions, they have the right to overrule. Overruling declarations may be analysed as performative speech acts, having the effect of changing the law. This analysis raises both linguistic and legal problems, discussed with reference to English and American law and language. As the judges are reluctant to be seen to be assuming a legislative function, they tend to use indirect rather than explicit language, especially in the most significant cases. Alternatively, they present their overruling decisions not as new legislation, but rather as declarations of the true state of the unchanging common law. However, this view implies increased illocutionary force, as it may involve retrospective application. Secondly, the legal validity of overruling declarations depends to a large extent on their perlocutionary effects. Even after successful performance, these effects may be cancelled by later decisions in higher courts. Finally, the legal effect of overruling decisions suggests a close relation between performativity and normativity. However, this relation does not in itself provide a satisfactory explanation of the normativity of judicial discourse. 1. Introduction It is trivially true that legal procedure involves performative utterances. In criminal trials, in the common law system at least, the accused is required to plead guilty or not guilty. During the interrogation of witnesses, legal representatives may declare an objection to a particular line of questioning, using either the explicit performative form (“I object”), or, perhaps more typically through the conventional use of the single word “objection”. -
Ÿþc R Y O N I C S M a G a Z I N E , Q 1 2 0
2007 RECAP 1st Quarter 2008 • Volume 29:1 2007 ANnual Review page 5 Member Profile: Wes Du Charme page 3 7th Alcor Conference Recap page 13 Cryonics and Religion: Friends or Foes? page 19 INSIDE CRYONICS 2 From the Editor 1ST QUARTER 2008 • VOLUME 29:1 19 Cryonics and Religion: Friends or Foes? The cryonics community recognizes the importance and challenge of being 1st Quarter 2008 • Volume 29:1 understood by the general 2007 RECAP public. Religion plays a sub- Cover shows opening reception stantial role in our diverse at the 7th Alcor conference. 2007 ANnual society and may seem to Review Photo by Brian Harris. page 5 some to be at odds with many facets of scientific COVER STORY: PAGE 5 advancement. Meet one theologian who feels the 2007 Annual Review: Today, over ultimate success of cryonics 850page people 3 in the world rely on the is contingent upon the sup- Member Profile: Wes Du CharmeAlcor Life Extension Foundation for Recap port of more than just great Conferencecryopreservation page 13 services. Enrich your 7th Alcor scientific minds. understanding of present-day clinical advancements with the potential to CryonicsFriends and Religion: or Foes?page 19 significantly benefit Alcor’s growing 22 Book Review: Ending membership base in years to come. Aging Likened to a good detective novel, Ending Aging allures the reader into a real- life tale of the mysteries of aging. The author, Dr. 3 Member Profile: Wes Du Charme Aubrey de Grey, has been Wes Du Charme – psychologist, author and barber shop quartet the center of controversy singer – celebrates his thirteenth year as an Alcor member in since proposing a systematic June 2008. -
Ray Kurzweil Reader Pdf 6-20-03
Acknowledgements The essays in this collection were published on KurzweilAI.net during 2001-2003, and have benefited from the devoted efforts of the KurzweilAI.net editorial team. Our team includes Amara D. Angelica, editor; Nanda Barker-Hook, editorial projects manager; Sarah Black, associate editor; Emily Brown, editorial assistant; and Celia Black-Brooks, graphics design manager and vice president of business development. Also providing technical and administrative support to KurzweilAI.net are Ken Linde, systems manager; Matt Bridges, lead software developer; Aaron Kleiner, chief operating and financial officer; Zoux, sound engineer and music consultant; Toshi Hoo, video engineering and videography consultant; Denise Scutellaro, accounting manager; Joan Walsh, accounting supervisor; Maria Ellis, accounting assistant; and Don Gonson, strategic advisor. —Ray Kurzweil, Editor-in-Chief TABLE OF CONTENTS LIVING FOREVER 1 Is immortality coming in your lifetime? Medical Advances, genetic engineering, cell and tissue engineering, rational drug design and other advances offer tantalizing promises. This section will look at the possibilities. Human Body Version 2.0 3 In the coming decades, a radical upgrading of our body's physical and mental systems, already underway, will use nanobots to augment and ultimately replace our organs. We already know how to prevent most degenerative disease through nutrition and supplementation; this will be a bridge to the emerging biotechnology revolution, which in turn will be a bridge to the nanotechnology revolution. By 2030, reverse-engineering of the human brain will have been completed and nonbiological intelligence will merge with our biological brains. Human Cloning is the Least Interesting Application of Cloning Technology 14 Cloning is an extremely important technology—not for cloning humans but for life extension: therapeutic cloning of one's own organs, creating new tissues to replace defective tissues or organs, or replacing one's organs and tissues with their "young" telomere-extended replacements without surgery. -
DARPA Grand Challenge - Wikipedia 1 of 11
DARPA Grand Challenge - Wikipedia 1 of 11 DARPA Grand Challenge The DARPA Grand Challenge is a prize competition for American autonomous vehicles, funded by the Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency, the most prominent research organization of the United States Department of Defense. Congress has authorized DARPA to award cash prizes to further DARPA's mission to sponsor revolutionary, high- payoff research that bridges the gap between fundamental discoveries and military use. The initial DARPA Grand Challenge was created to spur the development of technologies needed to create the first fully autonomous ground vehicles capable of completing a substantial off-road course within a limited time. The third event, the DARPA Urban Challenge extended the initial Challenge to The site of the DARPA Grand Challenge on race autonomous operation in a mock urban environment. day, fronted by the Team Case vehicle, DEXTER The most recent Challenge, the 2012 DARPA Robotics Challenge, focused on autonomous emergency- maintenance robots. The first competition of the DARPA Grand Challenge was held on March 13, 2004 in the Mojave Desert region of the United States, along a 150-mile (240 km) route that follows along the path of Interstate 15 from just before Barstow, California to just past the California–Nevada border in Primm. None of the robot vehicles finished the route. Carnegie Mellon University's Red Team and car Sandstorm (a converted Humvee) traveled the farthest distance, completing 11.78 km (7.32 mi) of the course before getting hung up on a rock after making a switchback turn. No winner was declared, and the cash prize was not given.