<<

SCOTIA WEALTH MANAGEMENT Midday Update  January 25, 2021

Featured in this report

Midday market performance update Canadian equities: U.S. equities: International equities:  Market summary  Market summary  Market summary  Companies in the news: T-CA  Companies in the news: KMB, MRNA  Company in the news: PHG

Midday market performance update

Intraday returns

S&P 500 NASDAQ S&P/TSX Index Stoxx Europe 600 Nikkei 225 Shanghai Comp 3,831 13,586 17,820 405 28,822 3,624 -0.3% 0.3% -0.1% -0.8% 0.7% 0.5%

Canada 10-year yield U.S. 10-year yield 0.81% 1.04% Low High Low High 0.23 1.43 0.31 1.68

CAD/USD USD (trade-weighted) $0.78 103.1 Low High Low High 0.68 0.79 102.18 117.03

Gold WTI (oil) $1855.07 $52.27 Low High Low High 1451.55 2075.47 27.66 53.94

Bar charts display current values relative to 52-week ranges.

SCOTIA WEALTH MANAGEMENT

Canadian equities

 Canadian equities, as measured by the S&P/TSX Composite Index, are S&P/TSX Composite Index Intraday (1:00 PM) Level Pts Chg % Chg trading slightly lower at midday. 17,820 -25.7 -0.1% 19,000 1,000  Six of the index’s eleven sectors are higher, with the Information 850 17,000 Technology sector seeing the largest gains. 700 15,000 550 400 13,000 S&P/TSX biggest movers 250 Last price %∆ 11,000 100 Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Blackberry Ltd 23.38 30.6% 30.6% Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Inc 23.47 24.4% 24.4% Issues Tfi International Inc 79.37 21.9% 21.9% < Advancing 89 First Majestic Silver Corp 18.63 4.7% 4.7% < Declining 128 < Unchanged 4 Fairfax Financial Holdings Ltd 465.42 3.1% 3.1% Hudbay Minerals Inc 7.99 -7.0% 7.0% Index stats: < 1-yr return 1.4% Seven Generations Energy Ltd 6.50 -6.2% 6.2% < P/E 26.1x < Dividend yield 3.0% Vermilion Energy Inc 6.38 -5.8% 5.8% Air 20.88 -5.5% 5.5% Ltd 22.38 -4.9% 4.9%

In corporate news:

Telus Corp. (T-CA)

< Telus filed its IPO for the Telus International division on January 8th, and has now disclosed the IPO terms, offering 33.33 million subordinate voting shares with an expected price between US$23-$25/share. With 223.73 million shares outstanding after the IPO, the pricing values the division at US$5.4 billion at the mid- point and implies a valuation of ~14x enterprise value based on FY2020 EBITDA of ~US$390 million. Following the IPO, TELUS and Baring Private Equity Asia are expected to hold approximately 66.6% and 31.5% of the voting power of Telus International, respectively. Telus International will trade under the ticker “TIXT”. Telus International is a provider of digital IT service solutions including digital consulting, risk management, process transformation, omnichannel solutions and back office support. TELUS is tentatively scheduled to report its Q4/20 results on February 12th. T-CA shares are trading higher at midday.

2

SCOTIA WEALTH MANAGEMENT

U.S. equities

 U.S. equities, as measured by the S&P 500 Index, are trading lower at S&P500 Index Intraday (1:00 PM) Level Pts Chg % Chg midday as investors prepare for a busy week of earnings featuring reports 3,831 -10.5 -0.3%

from the largest tech companies. 3,950 2,250  Six of the index’s eleven sectors are trading lower, with the Energy sector 3,700 3,450 1,750 down ~1.8%. 3,200 1,250 2,950

2,700 750 S&P 500 biggest movers 2,450 2,200 250 Last price %∆ Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Iron Mountain Inc 32.80 8.8% 8.8% Kroger Co/The 36.15 7.7% 7.7% Issues < Advancing 179 Viacomcbs Inc 48.61 6.6% 6.6% < Declining 323 Clorox Co/The 213.83 5.7% 5.7% < Unchanged 2

J M Smucker Co/The 120.16 5.2% 5.2% Index stats: Expedia Group Inc 127.81 -6.4% 6.4% < 1-yr return 16.0% < P/E 30.6x Freeport-Mcmoran Inc 28.60 -6.2% 6.2% < Dividend yield 1.5% Technipfmc Plc 10.54 -6.0% 6.0% Westrock Co 43.90 -5.9% 5.9% L Brands Inc 42.60 -5.9% 5.9% In corporate news:

Kimberly-Clark Corp. (KMB)

< Kimberly-Clark, the American personal care company, reported better-than-expected Q4/20 results. Revenue of US$4.84 billion and adjusted EPS of US$1.69 beat Bloomberg consensus estimates of US$4.72 billion and US$1.61, respectively. Revenue growth was driven by the increased need for disposable care products due to the pandemic with the Consumer Tissues segment up 14% YoY and the Personal Care Segment up 5% YoY. Gross margins compressed due to increased input and manufacturing costs. Operating margins declined YoY due to higher spend on marketing and administrative costs. KMB announced a dividend increase of 6.5% to US$4.56 per share from US$4.28 and a new US$5 billion share repurchase program which represents 11% of KMB’s market cap. Management provided an outlook for FY2021, projecting revenues to grow 5.0%, at the midpoint. In addition, EPS was guided to US$7.88 per share, exceeding street expectations of US$7.79. KMB shares are trading higher at midday.

Moderna Inc. (MRNA)

< Moderna has announced it is working on a Covid-19 booster vaccine that will guard against the highly transmissible variant that has been identified in South Africa. Company researchers have tested the current vaccine against strains found in both the U.K. and South Africa and in a laboratory setting they appear to protect against the virus strains. As a precaution, Moderna will start testing a booster to help improve immune response. Moderna CEO, Stephane Bancel said, “out of an abundance of caution and leveraging the flexibility of our mRNA platform, we are advancing an emerging variant booster candidate against the variant first identified in the Republic of South Africa into the clinic to determine if it will be more effective to boost titers against this and potentially future variants”. MRNA shares are trading higher at midday.

3

SCOTIA WEALTH MANAGEMENT

International equities

 European equities, as measured by the Stoxx Europe 600 Index, ended Stoxx Europe 600 Index (Market Closed) Level Pts Chg % Chg the session lower as investor continue to monitor the coronavirus 405 -3.4 -0.8% pandemic and potential increase in travel restrictions. 450 8,000  Seventeen of the index’s twenty sectors ended the day lower, with the 400 6,000

Banks sector finishing the session down ~2.9%. 350 4,000

300 2,000 Stoxx Europe 600 biggest movers 250 0 Last price %∆ Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Nokia Oyj 3.83 12.9% 12.9% Issues Varta Ag 144.90 10.8% 10.8% < Advancing 149 Cd Projekt Sa 275.70 10.2% 10.2% < Declining 449 < Unchanged 2 Chr Hansen Holding A/S 561.60 6.1% 6.1% Hellofresh Se 72.50 5.9% 5.9% Index stats: < 1-yr return -4.4% Electricite De France Sa 10.45 -15.6% 15.6% < P/E 53.2x Dufry Ag 46.40 -11.1% 11.1% < Dividend yield 3.0% International Consolidated Airlines Group Sa 140.00 -7.7% 7.7% Itv Plc 99.30 -6.7% 6.7% Carnival Plc 1,185.00 -6.5% 6.5%

In corporate news:

Koninklijke Philips N.V. (PHG) < Koninklijke Philips reported Q4/20 earnings that beat on both the top and bottom lines. Revenue of €6.0 billion and adjusted EPS of €0.94 beat Bloomberg consensus estimates of €5.94 billion and €0.88, respectively. Revenue growth was mainly driven by an increase in the Connected Care segment, up 24% YoY, reflecting double digit growth in the Monitoring & Analytics and Sleep & Respiratory Care resulting from Covid-19. Additionally, the Personal Health segment increased 5% YoY and the Diagnosis & Treatment increased 1% YoY. During the quarter the company signed 25 new long-term strategic partnerships, including a 5-year technology and innovation partnership wit Rennes University Hospital. In 2021, Frans van Houten, CEO of Royal Philips, said the company plans “to deliver low-single-digit comparable sales growth, driven by solid growth in Diagnosis & Treatment and Personal Health, partly offset by lower Connected Care sales, and an Adjusted EBITA margin improvement of 60-80 basis points.” PHG shares are trading higher at midday.

4

SCOTIA WEALTH MANAGEMENT

Disclaimer This report is provided to you for informational purposes only and is not intended to provide personal investment advice. This report does not include or constitute an investment recommendation and does not take into account the particular investment objectives, financial conditions, or specific needs of individual clients. Any statements regarding future prospects may not be realized. Before acting on this material, you should consider whether it is suitable for your particular circumstances and talk to your investment advisor. The author(s) of the report and the supervisors of the Global Portfolio Advisory Group may own securities of the companies included herein. Scotia Capital Inc. is what is referred to as an “integrated” investment firm since we provide a broad range of corporate finance, investment banking, institutional trading and retail client services and products. As a result, we recognize that there are inherent conflicts of interest in our business since we often represent both sides to a transaction, namely the buyer and the seller. While we have policies and procedures in place to manage these conflicts, we also disclose certain conflicts to you so that you are aware of them. Please note that we may have, from time to time, relationships with the companies that are discussed in this report. The Global Portfolio Advisory Group prepared this report by analyzing information from various sources. Information obtained in the preparation of this report may have been obtained from the Equity Research and Fixed Income Research departments of the Global Banking and Markets division of Scotiabank. Information may be also obtained from the Foreign Exchange Research and Scotia Economics departments within Scotiabank. In addition to information obtained from members of the Scotiabank group, information may be obtained from the following third-party sources: Standard & Poor’s, Morningstar, Bloomberg, Credit Suisse AG, Perimeter Markets Inc., and FactSet. The information and opinions contained in this report have been compiled or arrived at from sources believed reliable but no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to their accuracy or completeness. While the information provided is believed to be accurate and reliable, neither Scotia Capital Inc., which includes the Global Portfolio Advisory Group, nor any of its affiliates makes any representations or warranties, express or implied, as to the accuracy or completeness of such information. Neither Scotia Capital Inc. nor its affiliates accept any liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from any use of this report or its contents. Nothing contained in this report is or should be relied upon as a promise or representation as to the future. The pro forma and estimated financial information contained in this report, if any, is based on certain assumptions and analysis of information available at the time that this information was prepared, which assumptions and analysis may or may not be correct. There is no representation, warranty or other assurance that any projections contained in this report will be realized. Opinions, estimates and projections contained herein are those of the Global Portfolio Advisory Group as of the date hereof and are subject to change without notice. For that reason, it cannot be guaranteed by The of or any of its subsidiaries, including Scotia Capital Inc. This report is not, and is not to be construed as: (i) an offer to sell or solicitation of an offer to buy securities and/or commodity futures contracts; (ii) an offer to transact business in any jurisdiction; or (iii) investment advice to any party. Products and services described herein are only available where they can be lawfully provided. Scotia Capital Inc. and its affiliates and/or their respective officers, directors or employees may from time to time acquire, hold or sell securities and/or commodities and/or commodity futures contracts mentioned herein as principal or agent. Trademarks are the property of their respective owners. Copyright 2021 Scotia Capital Inc. All rights reserved. This report is distributed by Scotia Capital Inc., a subsidiary of The Bank of Nova Scotia. Scotia Capital Inc. is a member of the Canadian Investor Protection Fund and the Investment Industry Regulatory Organization of Canada. ® Registered trademark of The Bank of Nova Scotia, used under licence. Scotia Wealth Management® consists of a range of provided by The Bank of Nova Scotia (Scotiabank®); The Bank of Nova Scotia Trust Company (Scotiatrust®); Private Investment Counsel, a service of 1832 Asset Management L.P.; 1832 Asset Management U.S. Inc.; Scotia Wealth Insurance Services Inc.; and ScotiaMcLeod®, a division of Scotia Capital Inc. Private banking and 5

SCOTIA WEALTH MANAGEMENT

International private banking services are provided in Canada by The Bank of Nova Scotia. Estate and trust services are provided by The Bank of Nova Scotia Trust Company. Portfolio management is provided by 1832 Asset Management L.P. and 1832 Asset Management U.S. Inc. Insurance services are provided by Scotia Wealth Management Insurance Services Inc. Wealth advisory and brokerage services are provided by ScotiaMcLeod, a division of Scotia Capital Inc. International investment advisory services are provided in Canada by Scotia Capital Inc. Financial planning services are provided by The Bank of Nova Scotia, 1832 Asset Management L.P., and ScotiaMcLeod, a division of Scotia Capital Inc. Scotia Capital Inc. is a member of the Canadian Investor Protection Fund and the Investment Industry Regulatory Organization of Canada. Scotia Wealth Insurance Services Inc. is the insurance subsidiary of Scotia Capital Inc., a member of the Scotiabank group of companies. When discussing life insurance products, ScotiaMcLeod advisors are acting as Life Insurance Agents (Financial Security Advisors in ) representing Scotia Wealth Insurance Services Inc. Scotia Wealth Management consists of a range of financial services provided, in , by Scotiabank (Bahamas) Limited and The Bank of Nova Scotia Trust Company (Bahamas) Limited. International private banking services are provided in The Bahamas by Scotiabank (Bahamas) Limited, an entity registered with The of The Bahamas. International investment advisory services are provided in The Bahamas by Scotiabank (Bahamas) Limited, an entity registered with The of The Bahamas. International wealth structuring solutions are provided in The Bahamas by The Bank of Nova Scotia Trust Company (Bahamas) Limited, an entity registered with The Central Bank of The Bahamas. Scotia Wealth Management consists of international investment advisory services provided, in , by The Bank of Nova Scotia, Barbados Branch, an entity licensed by the Barbados Financial Services Commission. Scotia Wealth Management consists of a range of financial services provided, in the , by Scotiabank & Trust (Cayman) Ltd. International private banking services, international investment advisory services and international wealth structuring solutions are provided in the Cayman Islands by Scotiabank & Trust (Cayman) Ltd., an entity licensed by the Cayman Islands Monetary Authority. Scotia Wealth Management consists of international private banking services provided, in , by Scotiabank Peru S.A.A, an entity supervised by the Peru Superintendence of Banking and Insurance.

6