Hizbollah's Primary Agent of Change

Hizbollah’s Primary Agent of Change: Dani Berkovich UN Security Council resolution 1701 stipulates deployment of the Lebanese army in south- ern Lebanon, disarming the region of any non-government-held weapons, and prevention of hostilities. It places the major burden of implementation on the shoulders of the Lebanese army, as the principal executive arm of the Lebanese government, a situation that implies po- tential friction with Hizbollah. However, in terms of actual steps to disarm Hizbollah, there is a long way from theory to practice. The Lebanese government, led by Fouad Siniora, has no intention of acting against Hizbollah, since it is well aware that this will jeopardize the fragile domestic stability in the country. Nevertheless, deploying the Lebanese army lays the foundation for trends that, if actual- ized, will have a positive impact on Israel’s security, including instilling the concept of the Lebanese state and reinforcing its authority, sovereignty, and responsibility; and on the op- posite side, gradual containment of Hizbollah as a military organization. This is a complex and arduous process that Israel should support and Hizbollah is bound to try to sabotage, and its success depends not only on the capabilities of the Lebanese army but also on the government’s determination to advance it. But in any case, the very launching of this process is one of the recent war’s achievements. The Lebanese Dilemma: Hizbollah’s Weapons S \ \ S S P RS \ QDaily Star J ]D Balance of power – quantitative but not necessarily qualitative ad- vantage SK PS Q B S S E \ S\ Can the Lebanese Army Do K the Job? G _ ] D PQ G E S PQ PQH PQ L_ N S_ DMMMM M ] S B Volume 9, No. 3, November 2006 5 G N N G \ E Hizbollah-Lebanese army rela- E \S tionsD _M burden.S \ G GN D N B D _ The Shiite component in the army.S ] \ _ S 5 E ] ` \ _ ` _ K E P N The Lebanese army as a sym- ` D bol of fragile unity. J The Middle DK E ES ` \ \ E K _ S D S S S Hizbollah’s central position in S G B G S H PSSQ S P ] G E N S Hizbollah’s Perspective N \ ` PSQ S \ G al-Manar K _ PQ \, Volume 9, No. 3, November 2006 S D B S \ S B G S N PQ BN \ \ N N S S S D PQ The Lebanese Army: An S Agent of Change, not P Disarmament \Q _ \ ] P Daily Star S P Q P P S D DMMGM D G MQJR G S www P K S 700000E 710000E 720000E 730000E 740000E 750000E 760000E S 3700000N 3700000N HQ INDIA Harat al Hart 4-2 Hasbayya i Shwayya an it L Marjayoun Ibil Hebbariye 4-1 as 4-7A 4-7 Saqy Kafr Hammam 4-14 Shaba S 4-7C Al Khiyam Kafr Shuba 4-13 Zawtar ash Sharqiyat Al Qulayah 4-30 3 000 3 000 690 N Halta 690 N an LEBANON KHIAM 4-31 Tayr Lit i Mediterranean 9-66 (OGL) SYRIAN l a Falsayh s INDBATT Bastra s Arab Sea Shhur A Shabriha Tura FMR l- Mine Action a 9-15 4-28 i Republic Coordination d Frun a Cell (MACC) Kafr Kila Metulla Marakah Barish Al Ghajar W Majdal Shams 9-1 At Tayyabah 9-64 HQ UNIFIL Sur 9-10 Mughr Shaba (Tyre) Yahun Tulin Addaisseh Misgav Am LOG POLAND Tayr Qabrikha 9-63 \ Dan Ar Rashidiyah Zibna Markaba Kefar Gil'adi Mas'adah 3680000N COMP FRANCE Jwayya 8-18 3680000N Kafr Majdal Ayn Bal Khirbat Silm MAR HaGosherim Dafna MP COMPOSITE Dayr Dunin (OGL) Margaliyyot Qana Silm 8-33 Qanun 8-31 HQ GHANA INDIA Hula Qiryat Shemona Shaqra 8-32 Al Qulaylah HQ CHINA 6-43 Tibnin 8-32A Manara 6-16 ITALY 6-5 Al Hinniyah 6-40 POLAND 5-10 Kafra Mays al Jabal H OGL Al Mansuri Brashit Zibqin Haris Haddathah 1-26 8-34 Al Bayyadah Yatar 6-41 Bayt Yahun UNIFIL 3670000N Shama Majdal Zun 6-44 Blida GHANBATT Deployment Rshaf At Tiri Aynata Yiftah Tayr Shihin Bayt Lif Aytarun as of September 2006 Naqoura Harfa HIN Dibil Bint Jubayl Ramot 1-0A (OGL) Ramyah 3-1 Alma Naftali ash Shab Ya r i n 1-21 5-42 RAS 9-10 Position Ayta ash Shab (OGL) 6-52 \ 5-20 9-66 1-32A LAB 1-31 Marwahin Zarit Observation post Ya r u n Avivim Shomera Rmaich Dishon Operational boundary Rosh Hanita Shetula Yesud HaNiqra Adamit 5-22 Yir'on Hamaala Ya ra Even 6-50 Inter-battalion boundary Shelomi Menahem Alma Eilon Nahariyya Baram 0123456789 10 km Sede Dovev Rihaniya The boundaries and names shown and the 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 mi designations used on this map do not imply Fassut Eliezer official endorsement or acceptance by the ISRAEL United Nations. 700000E 710000E 720000E 730000E 740000E 750000E 760000E Map No. 4144 Rev.

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