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Seat Projection
www.ekospolitics.ca EKOS Seat Projection: Special thanks go to Earl Washburn and Graham Pressey, who were the principal investigators in creating this seat forecast. [Ottawa – October 19, 2015] With just hours to go until the polls close, EKOS is offering a seat projection based on what we believe to be perhaps the strongest riding prediction model extant at this time. We have been constantly refining our model which is populated with the nearly 130,000 cases we have collected since January. We have made a number of qualitative adjustments based on each riding’s history and candidates. Before digging into the numbers, we would like to provide two very important caveats: 1.) Our model assumes that our final numbers are accurate. There were a lot of last minute movements, particularly in Quebec. For example, our final poll had the Liberals at 36 points. However, the Liberals were clearly on an upward trend at the time our final poll was conducted and they could easily find themselves a few points higher this evening. With the large number of three- and four-way races in this country, a difference of one or two points could easily translate to a difference of 10 or 20 seats. 2.) There are a lot of close calls in Quebec. Many Quebec ridings are tight four-way races, meaning that many of these seats will be won with less than 30 per cent of the vote. With margins this thin, there is a very wide margin for error in terms of final seat tally. Also, there were a lot of late movements in the province, including a last minute surge in support for the Bloc Québécois. -
Core 1..146 Hansard (PRISM::Advent3b2 8.00)
CANADA House of Commons Debates VOLUME 140 Ï NUMBER 098 Ï 1st SESSION Ï 38th PARLIAMENT OFFICIAL REPORT (HANSARD) Friday, May 13, 2005 Speaker: The Honourable Peter Milliken CONTENTS (Table of Contents appears at back of this issue.) All parliamentary publications are available on the ``Parliamentary Internet Parlementaire´´ at the following address: http://www.parl.gc.ca 5957 HOUSE OF COMMONS Friday, May 13, 2005 The House met at 10 a.m. Parliament on February 23, 2005, and Bill C-48, an act to authorize the Minister of Finance to make certain payments, shall be disposed of as follows: 1. Any division thereon requested before the expiry of the time for consideration of Government Orders on Thursday, May 19, 2005, shall be deferred to that time; Prayers 2. At the expiry of the time for consideration of Government Orders on Thursday, May 19, 2005, all questions necessary for the disposal of the second reading stage of (1) Bill C-43 and (2) Bill C-48 shall be put and decided forthwith and successively, Ï (1000) without further debate, amendment or deferral. [English] Ï (1010) MESSAGE FROM THE SENATE The Speaker: Does the hon. government House leader have the The Speaker: I have the honour to inform the House that a unanimous consent of the House for this motion? message has been received from the Senate informing this House Some hon. members: Agreed. that the Senate has passed certain bills, to which the concurrence of this House is desired. Some hon. members: No. Mr. Jay Hill (Prince George—Peace River, CPC): Mr. -
Map of Canada, Official Results of the 38Th General Election – PDF Format
2 5 3 2 a CANDIDATES ELECTED / CANDIDATS ÉLUS Se 6 ln ln A nco co C Li in R L E ELECTORAL DISTRICT PARTY ELECTED CANDIDATE ELECTED de ELECTORAL DISTRICT PARTY ELECTED CANDIDATE ELECTED C er O T S M CIRCONSCRIPTION PARTI ÉLU CANDIDAT ÉLU C I bia C D um CIRCONSCRIPTION PARTI ÉLU CANDIDAT ÉLU É ol C A O N C t C A H Aler 35050 Mississauga South / Mississauga-Sud Paul John Mark Szabo N E !( e A N L T 35051 Mississauga--Streetsville Wajid Khan A S E 38th GENERAL ELECTION R B 38 ÉLECTION GÉNÉRALE C I NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR 35052 Nepean--Carleton Pierre Poilievre T A I S Q Phillip TERRE-NEUVE-ET-LABRADOR 35053 Newmarket--Aurora Belinda Stronach U H I s In June 28, 2004 E T L 28 juin, 2004 É 35054 Niagara Falls Hon. / L'hon. Rob Nicholson E - 10001 Avalon Hon. / L'hon. R. John Efford B E 35055 Niagara West--Glanbrook Dean Allison A N 10002 Bonavista--Exploits Scott Simms I Z Niagara-Ouest--Glanbrook E I L R N D 10003 Humber--St. Barbe--Baie Verte Hon. / L'hon. Gerry Byrne a 35056 Nickel Belt Raymond Bonin E A n L N 10004 Labrador Lawrence David O'Brien s 35057 Nipissing--Timiskaming Anthony Rota e N E l n e S A o d E 10005 Random--Burin--St. George's Bill Matthews E n u F D P n d ely E n Gre 35058 Northumberland--Quinte West Paul Macklin e t a s L S i U a R h A E XEL e RÉSULTATS OFFICIELS 10006 St. -
Core 1..186 Hansard (PRISM::Advent3b2 17.25)
House of Commons Debates VOLUME 147 Ï NUMBER 017 Ï 2nd SESSION Ï 41st PARLIAMENT OFFICIAL REPORT (HANSARD) Friday, November 8, 2013 Speaker: The Honourable Andrew Scheer CONTENTS (Table of Contents appears at back of this issue.) 915 HOUSE OF COMMONS Friday, November 8, 2013 The House met at 10 a.m. substances, especially really hard drugs. I therefore wanted to know how the government was amending section 56. I encourage hon. members to read this atrocity. It is truly a legal atrocity. The original provision was five lines long. Now I have lost track of how many Prayers pages it is. When I say that it is many pages long, I mean that I could probably spend the next 18 minutes of my speech in the House reading out the changes that this government is trying to make. GOVERNMENT ORDERS In Canada v. PHS Community Services Society, the nine Supreme Ï (1005) Court justices rendered a unanimous decision that was a major slap [Translation] in the face to the government. The Supreme Court told the government that its actions were inappropriate. RESPECT FOR COMMUNITIES ACT This bill is the Conservative government's response to the The House resumed from November 4 consideration of the motion Supreme Court of Canada. In its ruling, in very plain and clear that Bill C-2, An Act to amend the Controlled Drugs and Substances language, the court said that InSite provides essential services and Act, be read the second time and referred to a committee, and of the should remain open under the exemption set out in section 56 of the amendment. -
Parliamentary Report Card
Corporate Accountability for Canada’s Mining, Oil and Gas Sectors Abroad Parliamentary Report Card anadian extractive sector companies have a significant presence around the world, including in developing and emerging economies.1 Increasingly, Canadian companies’ overseas operations are associated with Ccredible accusations of human rights abuse- including forced labour, sexual violence and involuntary relocation. The Government of Canada has an important role to play in promoting corporate accountability and an obligation to ensure that Canadian companies respect international human and labour rights wherever they operate. This Parliamentary Report Card documents • the commitments made by Canadian federal political parties to adopt corporate accountability mechanisms in Canada and • the MP voting record on legislation to create an Ombudsman for the international extractive sector in Canada. 1VOTING RECORD: DOES YOUR MP SUPPORT THE CREATION OF AN EXTRACTIVE SECTOR OMBUDSMAN? (See a detailed breakdown of how MPs voted on the next pages) Second Reading Vote on Bill C-584, Extractive Sector Ombudsman Bill October 1, 2014 Voted in SUPPORT of the Ombudsman bill Voted AGAINST the Ombudsman bill Conservative Party: 0 Conservative Party: 149 New Democratic Party: 86 New Democratic Party: 0 Liberal Party: 34 Liberal Party: 0 Bloc Québécois: 2 Bloc Québécois: 0 Green Party: 2 Green Party: 0 Independent: 3 Independent: 1 1 For example, over half of the world’s mining and mineral exploration companies are headquartered in Canada, with operations -
Canadian Federation of University Women Fédération Canadienne
Canadian Federation of University Women Fédération Canadienne des Femmes Diplômées des Universités 305 – 251 Bank Street, Ottawa, Ontario, K2P 1X3 Telephone: (613) 234-8252 Fax: (613) 234-8221 www.cfuw.org; E-mail: [email protected] The Right Honourable Stephen Harper, Prime Minister of Canada House of Commons, Ottawa. Ontario K1A 0A6 October 4, 2011 RE: Request for support to ensure that Afghan Women are present at the Bonn Meetings Dear Mr. Harper: The Canadian Federation of University Women (CFUW) applauds your government’s continued support for the development and emancipation of Afghan women. CFUW is confident that Canada will have a strong voice at the Bonn meetings in support of women. As signatories to the United Nations Security Council Resolution 1325 and subsequent UNSC Resolutions dealing with women in conflict situations, CFUW asks that your Government call for the presence of Afghan women at the negotiating table at the meetings in Bonn. CFUW supports UNSCR 1325, 1820, 1882, 1888, 1889 and the UN Conventions that speak to women’s equality, empowerment, human rights, and protection under the law and to their full participation in civil society and in government. CFUW also promotes the implementation of the UN Convention on the Rights of the Child. The time has come to reclaim children from the violence of war and to ensure that women are an integral part of the peace negotiations and follow-up process. Canada has often demonstrated its strength internationally as a negotiator in the resolution of conflict. Achieving a culture of peace must be the primary goal in paving the way towards equality, democracy and stability for all and for building a safe, non-violent future for women and children. -
41St GENERAL ELECTION 41 ÉLECTION GÉNÉRALE
www.elections.ca CANDIDATES ELECTED / CANDIDATS ÉLUS a Se n n A col ol R Lin inc ELECTORAL DISTRICT PARTY ELECTED CANDIDATE ELECTED e L ELECTORAL DISTRICT PARTY ELECTED CANDIDATE ELECTED C er d O T S M CIRCONSCRIPTION PARTI ÉLU CANDIDAT ÉLU C I bia C D um CIRCONSCRIPTION PARTI ÉLU CANDIDAT ÉLU É ol A O N C C t C A Aler 35050 Mississauga South / Mississauga-Sud Stella Ambler N E H !( A A N L T e 35051 Mississauga—Streetsville Brad Butt R S E 41st GENERAL ELECTION C I B 41 ÉLECTION GÉNÉRALE NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR 35052 Nepean—Carleton Pierre Poilievre T I A Q S Phillip TERRE-NEUVE-ET-LABRADOR 35053 Newmarket—Aurora Lois Brown U H I s In May 2, 2011 E T L 2mai,2011 35054 Niagara Falls Hon. / L'hon. Rob Nicholson E - É 10001 Avalon Scott Andrews B E 35055 Niagara West—Glanbrook Dean Allison A 10002 Bonavista—Gander—Grand Falls—Windsor Scott Simms I N Niagara-Ouest—Glanbrook I Z E 10003 Humber—St. Barbe—Baie Verte Hon. / L'hon. Gerry Byrne L R N D 35056 Nickel Belt Claude Gravelle a E A n 10004 Labrador Peter Penashue N L se 35057 Nipissing—Timiskaming Jay Aspin N l n E e S A o d E 10005 Random—Burin—St. George's Judy Foote E D P n und ely F n Gre 35058 Northumberland—Quinte West Rick Norlock E e t a L s S i a R U h AXEL 10006 St. John's East / St. -
Map of Canada, the 38Th Parliament
www.elections.ca T N E NUMBER OF DISTRIBUTION OF VALID M VOTES CAST (%) A PERCENTAGE DISTRIBUTION OF VALID VOTES CAST AND NUMBER OF CANDIDATES ELECTED: JUNE 28, 2004 A ELECTORS VOTES CAST I PARTY L CANDIDATE ELECTED ON THE Political Affiliation R THE HOUSE OF COMMONS ELECTORAL DISTRICT R ELECTED A LISTS C P h t VALID REJECTED T S The Speaker – The Honourable Peter Milliken 7 a 3 I i MAJORITY (%) b NEWFOUNDLAND PRINCE EDWARD C D um NOVA SCOTIA NEW BRUNSWICK QUEBEC ONTARIO ol CANADA EC 62353 EC C AND LABRADOR ISLAND The Deputy Speaker – Chuck Strahl O N C t C Aler E A !( A L 48.0% 52.5% 39.7% 44.6% 33.9% 44.7% The Prime Minister – The Right Honourable Paul Martin, PC 35045 Markham—Unionville Hon. John McCallum, PC x 82,256 45,908 239 66.3 22.5 8.7 2.5 43.8 N 4.6% S 35046 Middlesex—Kent—Lambton Rose-Marie Ur 39.7 39.4 15.1 5.8 0.3 I 36.7% x 78,129 48,965 245 0.1% 0.3% The Leader of the Opposition – The Honourable Stephen Harper, PC 0.7% 0.7% Ph 0.6% 1.3% 35047 Mississauga—Brampton South Navdeep Bains 81,037 43,307 321 57.2 24.1 14.8 3.9 33.1 H illips 3.3% 3.4% 3.2% In 15.7% 1.6% 4.2% Hon. Albina Guarnieri, PC 56.7 26.0 11.7 5.6 30.7 T 18.1% 4.4% 35048 Mississauga East—Cooksville x 75,883 39,566 221 E 1.3% 17.5% 12.5% 28.4% 8.8% 20.6% 48.9% 35049 Mississauga—Erindale Carolyn Parrish x 86,640 51,950 269 54.4 32.0 9.8 3.8 22.4 B 4.3% 32.3% 30.7% 28.0% 31.1% A 31.5% Z THE 38th FEDERAL ELECTION, JUNE 28, 2004: 35050 Mississauga South Paul John Mark Szabo x 75,866 47,665 183 51.7 33.6 10.5 4.2 18.0 I 12.4% NORTHWEST N D L MANITOBA SASKATCHEWAN ALBERTA BRITISH COLUMBIA YUKON NUNAVUT Wajid Khan 35051 Mississauga—Streetsville 78,265 45,029 260 50.6 31.7 9.5 8.2 18.8 E a TERRITORIES n 29.6% N CANDIDATES ELECTED AND DISTRIBUTION OF VOTES CAST s 35052 Nepean—Carleton Pierre Poilievre 40.1 45.7 9.1 5.2 5.6 e 9.5% 45.7% 51.3% 89,044 66,623 225 N l n 33.2% 39.4% e CANADA S A o d 27.2% E P n un y F 23.4% d el 35053 Newmarket—Aurora Belinda Stronach 77,203 51,435 269 41.1 42.4 9.9 6.6 1.3 E e n Gre 22.0% 26.6% 28.6% a L a U h AXEL r 23.5% Q y C 35054 Niagara Falls Hon. -
The House of Commons' Ad Hoc Process to Review
Feature Courting Controversy: The House of Commons’ Ad Hoc Process to Review Supreme Court Candidates In 2006, Canadians were introduced to a new ad hoc parliamentary process to review Supreme Court candidates prior to their appointment. This article explores how the English-language news media framed this appointment and review process. The authors note the media emphasized conflict surrounding the process over its scrutiny of the candidates themselves and conclude that it remains an open question whether the process of parliamentary vetting actually provided a meaningful educative function for Canadians. 2015 CanLIIDocs 308 Erin Crandall and Andrea Lawlor he Supreme Court’s appointment system is Many Canadians would have been oblivious to the focus of frequent criticism.1 Its historically the Supreme Court’s new appointment process and Texecutive-driven selection process has its abrupt end if it were not for its strong play in the been heavily scrutinized, though few contest the media. As the public’s most prominent source for high calibre of judges it produces. That said, a information on governmental procedure and decision- consequentialist defence of the appointment process making, news media had the ability to not only cover, became inadequate long ago. The Court’s judges are but also frame the discussion surrounding the Supreme simply too important and too powerful to be selected Court’s appointment process. By analysing the English through a process that lacks any formal requirement language media coverage of the eight judges who for transparency or accountability on the part of those were nominated to the Supreme Court between 2006 charged with the job of judicial selection – the prime and 2014, this paper considers how the media covered minister and cabinet. -
Party Politics and the French-English Cleavage in Canadian Federal Elections
INSTITUTE OF INTERGOVERNMENTAL RELATIONS WORKING PAPER Party Politics and the French-English Cleavage in Canadian Federal Elections Jacob Robbins-Kanter [email protected] Institute of Intergovernmental Relations School of Policy Studies, Queen’s University Working Paper 2017-01 Robbins-Kanter J. Party Politics and the French-English Cleavage in Canadian Federal… Page 1 Working Paper – Please Do Not Cite Without Permission How does Canada’s principal linguistic cleavage affect electoral politics? This paper argues that French- English dualism has produced four political outcomes for federal parties. These include boosting a party’s cultural credentials, linguistic marginalization, linguistically-defined separate parties, and linguistic message dissonance. In this respect, parties navigate the demands imposed by linguistic difference with varying degrees of success. The political effects of linguistic duality are evidenced in the dynamics of party competition and vote choice. The paper begins by examining two background conditions which shape party responses to linguistic diversity: the development of language as a political issue and the nature of linguistic diversity. Canada’s English-French cleavage is then examined to illustrate these background conditions and contextualize the demands of language politics. Following this, the effects of linguistic duality for party politics are outlined in a fourfold typology (see Table 1). First, a party can boost its cultural credentials through sustained effective communication with its linguistically-defined audience, as accomplished by the Liberal Party. Second, by contrast, marginalization of parties within a linguistic community occurs when they fail to communicate credibly and effectively in the target language, as observed with the Conservative and New Democratic parties. -
The House of Commons' Ad Hoc Process to Review Supreme Court
Feature Courting Controversy: The House of Commons’ Ad Hoc Process to Review Supreme Court Candidates In 2006, Canadians were introduced to a new ad hoc parliamentary process to review Supreme Court candidates prior to their appointment. This article explores how the English-language news media framed this appointment and review process. The authors note the media emphasized conflict surrounding the process over its scrutiny of the candidates themselves and conclude that it remains an open question whether the process of parliamentary vetting actually provided a meaningful educative function for Canadians. Erin Crandall and Andrea Lawlor he Supreme Court’s appointment system is Many Canadians would have been oblivious to the focus of frequent criticism.1 Its historically the Supreme Court’s new appointment process and Texecutive-driven selection process has its abrupt end if it were not for its strong play in the been heavily scrutinized, though few contest the media. As the public’s most prominent source for high calibre of judges it produces. That said, a information on governmental procedure and decision- consequentialist defence of the appointment process making, news media had the ability to not only cover, became inadequate long ago. The Court’s judges are but also frame the discussion surrounding the Supreme simply too important and too powerful to be selected Court’s appointment process. By analysing the English through a process that lacks any formal requirement language media coverage of the eight judges who for transparency or accountability on the part of those were nominated to the Supreme Court between 2006 charged with the job of judicial selection – the prime and 2014, this paper considers how the media covered minister and cabinet. -
Core 1..92 Hansard (PRISM::Advent3b2 7.00)
CANADA House of Commons Debates VOLUME 140 Ï NUMBER 021 Ï 1st SESSION Ï 38th PARLIAMENT OFFICIAL REPORT (HANSARD) Wednesday, November 3, 2004 Speaker: The Honourable Peter Milliken CONTENTS (Table of Contents appears at back of this issue.) All parliamentary publications are available on the ``Parliamentary Internet Parlementaire´´ at the following address: http://www.parl.gc.ca 1149 HOUSE OF COMMONS Wednesday, November 3, 2004 The House met at 2 p.m. these conflicts. Their sacrifices were gigantic and not all of them came home. Prayers Recently, my constituency office staff had the honour of a visit from Rudy Deutsch who served in Italy during World War II. This gentleman recounted some of the experiences he faced during the Ï (1400) war. The stories were amazing. It is because of people like Mr. [English] Deutsch and many others that we live in freedom today. The Speaker: As is our practice on Wednesday we will now sing I urge all members to attend Remembrance Day events in their O Canada, and we will be led by the hon. member for Essex. communities. It is the perfect time and place to show their [Members sang the national anthem] appreciation to our veterans. *** [Translation] STATEMENTS BY MEMBERS MAISON DE LA CULTURE IN GATINEAU [English] Ms. Françoise Boivin (Gatineau, Lib.): Mr. Speaker, the salle Odyssée of Gatineau's Maison de la culture, whose board it has been AGRICULTURE my honour to chair was recognized as the performance venue of the Hon. Peter Adams (Peterborough, Lib.): Mr. Speaker, supply year at the latest ADISQ gala.