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health Funding Authority
Health Funding Authority Special Report 4
The Public Health of the Central Region
7.North 4 MHonARohOT.Rki
Boom NOW Midland
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A H, Kokma, Tkwa I
Health Funding Authority Special Report 4
The Public Health of the Central Region
Barry Borman, PhD
Deborah Read, MB, ChB, FAFPHM
Sandy Brinsdon, BSc, DPH
Public Health Group, Central Office, Health Funding Authority
IJealth Funding Authority Published by the Health Funding Authority (Central Office) Wellington New Zealand. September 1998
ISBN 0-478-20278-4 I
Acknowledgements 2
Introduction 3
Highlights 6
Determinants of Health 13
Physical environment 14
Emergent public health issues 17
Demographic structure 23
Socio-economic factors 42
Tobacco 57
Patterns of health 67
Communicable disease 68
Non communicable disease 73
Age groups 99
Under 1 year 99
1-4 years 112
5-14 years 118
15-24 years 124
25-44 years 131
45-64 years 139
65-74 years 148
75+ years 154
Special Health Issues 163
Cervical cancer 164
Sexually transmitted diseases 166
Unintentional injury 170
Hearing 183
Abuse notifications 185
Mental health 190
Appendix tables 195
The Public Health of the Central Region - Page 1 Acknowledgements
We would like to thank a number of people, who contributed to the production of this report. Cynthia Malmg, Manager, Public Health Group, Central Office, Health Funding Authority (HFA), gave constant support and encouragement and provided the environment for the authors to bring the project to fruition.
Jim Fraser and Tracey Stewart, NZHIS, were most generous in their time and effort in fulfilling our almost constant requests for data. We also had tremendous cooperation in the provision of data from Paul Graham, LTSA, Josephine Ryan, Statistics New Zealand, Yvonne Galloway, ESR:Kenepuru Science Centre, Michael Parkin, Ministry of Education, Annalisa Manaton, ACC, Di Best, Philip Saysell and Sandi Matcham, National Cervical Screening Register, Andy Elvey, CYPFS, and Peter Crampton, Health Services Research Centre
Rachel Lamb, Public Health Group, Central Office, HFA, and Jo Harvey, assisted us in collating, entering and checking data.
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The report has two aims. Firstly, to describe the state of public health in the Central region , and secondly, to provide public health providers and others involved in the design and delivery of public health programmes with a compendium of public health. Attempts have been made to include the most up-to-date data available from a variety of sources. It is intended to provide regular updates of these data.
The publication has three sections. The first section, determinants of health, provides data on factors in the physical environment (eg, drinking and recreational water, food quality and safety, and emergent public health issues), hazardous substances, the demographic structure (eg, age, gender, ethnicity), socio-economic environment (eg, levels of education, income, employment, household characteristics) and tobacco consumption which influence the public health status of Hawkes Bay, Wanganui, Manawatu, Wellington, Wairarapa, and Nelson/Marlborough subregions.
The second section, patterns of public health, presents numbers and rates of communicable disease and deaths, hospitalisations and cancer registration in the subregions by age groups.
The third section, special health issues, includes data on cervical cancer, sexually transmitted diseases, unintentional injury, hearing loss, abuse notifications and mental health.
A perennial problem associated with data from a variety of sources is that the geographical boundaries of individual areas/regions are not always consistent. We have indicated when boundaries are different from those used to demarcate the areas within the Central region.
Under the new locality management structure of the HFA, the Central Office, based in Wellington will cover the Tairawhiti, Hawkes Bay, Wanganui, Manawatu, Wellington, and Wairarapa areas. Nelson/Marlborough, included in this report as part of the region covered by the previous Central Regional Health Authority, will be managed from the Christchurch office of the HFA.
The Public Health of the Central Region - Page 3 U Areas covered by the Central region
In this report the areas encompassed by the Central region are:
Subregion Territorial local authority
Hawkes Bay Wairoa District Hastings District 11 Napier City Central Hawkes Bay District Chatham Islands District
Wanganui Waimarino Ward2 Waiouru Ward Wanganui District Rangitikei District
Manawatu Manawatu District Palmerston North City Tararua District Horowhenua District
Wellington Kapiti Coast District Porirua City Upper Huff City 1] Lower Huff City Wellington City
Wairarapa Masterton District Carterton District LI South Wairarapa District
Nelson/Marlborough Tasman District Nelson City [} Marlborough District LI Some data sources do not distinguish the Waimarino Ward and Waiouru Ward, which are included in the Central region, from the other constituent areas (Ohura Ward, Taumarunui Ward, National park Ward) of the Ruapehu District.
ci U
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Sources and analyses of health data
Mortality data Mortality data for the Central Region for the period 1990 to 1994 were obtained from the New Zealand Health Information Service (NZHIS). Cumulative rates for the five-year period - not averaged rates - were calculated using the 1991 Census usually resident population for the region and subregions.
Morbidity data Morbidity data for the Central Region for 1995 and 1996 were obtained from NZHIS. Throughout the text these discharges from hospitals are referred to as hospitalisations. Cumulative rates for the two years were calculated.
For purposes of comparison, tables of hospitalisations by subregion and ethnicity show the leading causes of hospitalisation for Maori, and these may not be the main leading causes for nonMaori. For this reason, the tables for nonMaori males and females have been labeled Selected leading causes of hospitalisation.... .
Injury data Morbidity data were obtained from NZHIS for the years 1995 and 1996, giving the external cause (E code) for cases of injury and poisoning. These were classified into two groups, intentional injury (E950-E969) and unintentional injury (E800-E949, which includes adverse effects from therapeutic use of drugs, medicinal and biological substances). Cumulative rates for the two years were calculated.
Cancer data Cancer registration data from NZHIS Cancer Registry for the years 1990 to 1993 were used to calculate cumulative rates for the 4-year period. Populations used were the 1991 Census usually resident populations for the region and subregions.
Mental health data Inpatient mental health care data for 1992 and 1993 were obtained from NZHIS and used to calculate cumulative rates for the two-year period. Populations used were the 1991 Census usually resident populations for the region and subregions.
Small numbers Rates have not been calculated where numbers for a particular category are less than five.
The Public Health of the Central Region - Page 5 Environment • 49 percent of the population in the Central region (excluding Wairarapa) are served by a registered supply receive drinking water with at least a Bb grading
• in the Wellington/Hutt area about 15,000 people receive water with an A grading for its source and treatment, but only a d grading for its distribution
• Nelson and Wanganui have unsatisfactory water supplies In 1996-97 there were:
• 31 disease outbreaks reported to the Public Health Group, Central Health
• outbreaks of viral gastroenteritis reported in two rest homes
• an outbreak of salmonellosis in a prison, and four outbreaks of campylobacteriosis
• 9 of the 16 foodbome disease outbreaks associated with food premises
• 595 food complaints reported to CHEs
• 27 chemical incidents were reported with lead the most common hazardous substance reported
Population • the population in the Central region at the 1996 Census was 892,302, almost a 4 percent increase from the 1991 Census
• 42 percent of the regional population resides in the Wellington subregion and 30 percent are aged 25-44 years
• Maori comprise 14 percent of the total regional population, but 25 percent of the Hawkes Bay population
• almost 4 percent of the Central region s population are Pacific Islanders with 30 percent living in the Porirua/Kapiti area
• between 1996-2010 the population in the region is expected to increase by more than 4 percent with the largest increases in the 45-64 years age group and in the Kapiti Coast District and Nelson/Marlborough region
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Social-economic
Income there are wide disparities in income levels within the Central region
• the median income for males and females in Wellington City is at least 30 percent higher than the respective national medians
• more than half the population in Horowhenua District are receiving income support
Education • the proportion of the populations in Wellington City, Palmerston North City and Lower Huff City with a university qualification is higher than the national average
• at least 40 percent of the populations in the districts of Wairoa, Horowhenua and Tararua have no academic qualifications
• more than half the schools in Wairoa District, Horowhenua District and Porirua City have low socio-economic status
Employment • less than 40 percent of the population in the districts ofKapiti Coast, Horowhenua, Wanganui and Wairoa are in fulltime employment
• more than seven percent of the population in Wairoa District and Porirua City are unemployed and actively seeking work, compared to a national average of 5 percent
• professionals comprised almost 22 percent of the workforce in Wellington City and 16 percent in Palmerston North City, compared to a national average of 12 percent
• a quarter of the employed population in Ruapehu District were service and sales workers
Households • more than 20 percent of households in Wairoa District, Porirua City, Wanganui District and Hastings District are at least one sole parent families
• in Wellington City 32 percent of households were non-family households and one in every two households had an annual income exceeding $50,000
• 80 percent of households in the districts of Horowhenua, Wairoa, Wanganui, and the Wairarapa had an income less than $50,000
• in the Central region, the estimated average household expenditure on alcohol ($892.81) is almost three times higher than expenditure on fresh fruit and vegetables, milk, cream, and yoghurt
Determinants of Health - Page 7 Tobacco • almost 37 percent of Maori males aged 15 years and over smoke regularly compared to 22 percent of nonMaori males
• about 46 percent of Maori females aged 15 years and over smoke regularly compared to 19 percent of nonMaori females
• in the Central region, smoking prevalence is highest in Wairarapa and lowest in Wellington and Nelson/Marlborough subregions
• in Porirua City, the proportion of deaths from the major tobacco-related cancers and respiratory disease is four and five percent higher than the respective averages for the Central region
Communicable disease In 1996:
• campylobacteriosis, salmonellosis, and hepatitis Awere the most frequently notified diseases • there are high rates of pertussis in all subregions except Wanganui
• notifications of campylobacteriosis have increased since 1990 and the highest rates in the Central region occur in the Wellington area and among those aged 15-24 years • Hutt had a high rate of tuberculosis
• 36 cases of foodbome hepatitis A were reported following hepatitis Ain a food handler
• there was a high rate of meningococcal disease in Nelson/Marlborough
• there was the start of a measles epidemic in the Central region; eventually there would be 39 confirmed cases during August 1996-August 1997
• two cases of typhoid fever were reported in the Wellington region
Non-communicable disease All ages:
• during 1990-1994, half of all deaths in the Central region were due to either ischaemic heart disease or cancer
• male mortality rates are higher than female rates, but the highest rates for both sexes occurred in Wanganui and Wairarapa subregion
• the third leading cause of death for Maori males was unintentional injury compared to cerebrovascular disease for nonMaori males
• females had higher hospitalisation rates than males
• Maori males had higher hospitalisation rates than nonMaori in Hawkes Bay, Wanganui, and Wairarapa
• female hospitalisation rates were highest in Wanganui for Maori, and in Wairarapa for nonMaori
• the leading cause of hospitalisation for males was injury and poisoning and for females it was pregnancy, labour, delivery and their complications
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• falls were the most common cause of hospitalisation because of injury for both males and females
• the most common site for cancer registration for Maori males was lung, compared to prostate and large bowel for nonMaori males
in all subregions a quarter of all female cancer registrations were for cancer of the breast
Infants • Maori infant mortality rates are generally twice as high as nonMaori rates; the highest Maori rates occurred in Hastings District, Napier City and Lower Hurt City
• the major causes of infant mortality were sudden death and birth defects
• the nonMaori late fetal death rate in the Central region is almost 19 percent greater than the New Zealand rate
• the Maori postneonatal mortality rate is more than three times higher than the nonMaori rate
• about 60 births out every 1,000 livebirths in the Central region had a birthweight under 2500g; the Maori rate was 67.8 per 1,000 livebirths compared to the nonMaori rate of 57.6 per 1,000
• the highest rates of sudden infant death syndrome occurred in Wanganui and PorirualKapiti
1-4 year olds • 40 percent of all deaths were due to unintentional injury of which 49 percent were due to motor vehicle crashes
• diseases of the respiratory system and injury and poisoning were the leading cause of hospitalisation
• Maori rates of hospitalisation for asthma were about 1.5 times higher than the nonMaori rates
• falls and poisoning were the most common injuries requiring hospitalisation
• Hawkes Bay had high rates of hospitalisation for males and Wanganui for females
5-14 year olds • 41 percent of deaths among 5-14 year olds were due to unintentional injuries, with males having higher death rates than females
• the major causes of hospitalisation were due to injury and poisoning, specifically fractures and intracranial injury, and diseases of the respiratory system
• the highest rates of hospitalisation occurred in Hawkes Bay and Wanganui
• falls accounted for 45 percent of all hospitalisations for unintentional injury with the male rate 1.5 times higher than the female rate
• lymphomas, leukaemia, and brain cancer accounted for 71 percent of all cancer registrations
Determinants of Health - Page 9 15-24 year olds • unintentional injuries, primarily motor vehicle crashes, were the major cause of death for both sexes; the highest death rates for males occurred in Wairarapa and for females in PorirualKaptiti; the lowest death rates were in Wellington
• 48 percent of male hospitalisations were due to injury and poisoning; Maori rates were lower than nonMaori rates for most causes
• 58 percent of the female hospitalisations were for pregnancy, childbirth and complications; generally, the rates of hospitalisation for Maori females were higher than the rates for nonMaori females
• motor vehicle crashes and falls were the leading causes of male and female hospitalisations for unintentional injuries
• for both sexes Maori had the highest hospitalisation rates for homicide and injury inflicted by others and nonMaori the highest rates for suicide and self-inflicted injury
melanoma was the most common cancer site for female cancer registrations
25-44 year olds • in all subregions unintentional injuries were the leading cause of death for males; the majority of these deaths were due to motor vehicle crashes
• cancer accounted for 39 percent of all female deaths; the highest rates were in Wanganui and among nonMaori
• for most causes of hospitalisation Maori rates generally exceeded the nonMaori rates
• injury and poisoning was the leading cause of hospitalisation in each subregion
• for males, falls, motor vehicle crashes and cutting/piercing accounted for 45 percent of all hospitalisations from unintentional injuries; 61 percent of hospitalisations from intentional injuries were due to homicide
• cancer registration rates for males were highest in PoriruaiKapiti and for females in Wairarapa
45-64 year olds • ischaemic heart disease and cancer were the leading causes of male mortality in each subregion; the highest rates occurred in PorirualKapiti
• cancer accounted for about half of all female deaths in the subregions
• diseases of the circulatory system were the leading cause of hospitalisations for males
• diseases of the circulatory system were the major causes of hospitalisation for Maori females, compared to diseases of the digestive system for nonMaori females
• Maori rates of hospitalisation from diseases of the respiratory system were more than twice as high as the nonMaori rates; cancer rates were highest for nonMaon
• 31 percent of male and 39 percent of female hospitalisations for unintentional injury were due to medical and surgical complications
• for Maori males lung cancer was the leading cause of cancer registration compared to large bowel cancer among nonMaori males
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• breast cancer was the leading cause of female cancer registrations
• the highest large bowel cancer rates were in the Wairarapa and lung cancer rates in Porirual Kapiti
65-74 year olds 48 percent of male and 43 percent of female deaths were due to diseases of the circulatory system
• for males, Maori had higher death rates from ischaemic heart disease than nonMaori, but lower rates from cerebrovascular disease
• death rates from cancer were highest for nonMaori
• generally, rates of hospitalisation were highest for Maori and males
• late effects of injury accounted for 42 percent of male Maori hospitalisations for unintentional injuries, but only 3 percent of nonMaori hospitalisations
• for Maori males, the most common cancer registrations were of lung compared to the large bowel and prostate for nonMaori
• Manawatu had the highest rates of cancer registration in the Central region
75 years and older • ischaemic heart disease was the most common cause of death in this age group followed by cerebrovascular disease for females and cancer for males
• diseases of the circulatory and respiratory systems were the major causes of hospitalisation
• falls accounted for 54 percent of the hospitalisations for unintentional injuries with the highest rates for males in Hawkes Bay and for females in Hutt
• 58 percent of cancer registrations among males were for cancers of the prostate, large bowel and lung
• large bowel cancer and breast cancer were the most common sites for female cancer registration
Cervical cancer • up to May 1998, 88 percent of eligible women in the Central region were enrolled on the National Cervical Screening Register
• the highest enrolment rates are in Wellington, Nelson/Marlborough; the lowest enrolment rate is in Hawkes Bay
• with the exception of Hawkes Bay, at least 75 percent of women in the region have had at least one smear result on the Register in the previous three years
Sexually transmitted diseases - .• in the Central region, generally the highest rates of gonorrhoea, chlamydia, herpes and warts occur in the Hastings and Napier areas
Determinants of Health - Page 11 Unintentional injury • the highest rates of motor vehicle crashes were in the districts of Rangitikei, Tararua, Ruapehu and Central Hawkes Bay
• the cities ofWellington, Palmerston North and Nelson had the highest rates of pedestrian accidents
• there were high rates of accidents involving motorcyclists in Palmerston North City, Hastings District, Napier City, and Wanganui and Manawatu districts
• the rate of pedal cyclist accidents in Nelson City was more than double the New Zealand average
• the approximate social cost of all road crashes in the Central region is about $792 million per year
• the average per-capita social costs of crashes in the country areas is more than twice as high as the cost in either towns or cities
• the average social costs of crashes per road kilometre per year was highest in the cities of Porirura, Wellington, Lower Hutt, and Nelson
• during 1994-1997 all new entitlement claims to the ACC from the Central region cost $184 million, while the cost of motor-vehicle-related injury accidents on a public road was $19 million, new work related entitlement claims $35 million, new claims for non-work injuries $64 million, and new sport and recreation claims $24 million
Hearing • the highest hearing failure rates for new school entrants were for Pacific Island children and in the Hutt Valley area
among three year olds, the highest failure rate occurred in the area covered by Wairarapa Health
Abuse notifications • more than 30 percent of abuse notifications to the Wairoa and Dannevirke CYPFS Units were for behaviour/relationship problems
• 10-15 percent of notifications to the Dannevirke, Hastings, Porirua, Palmerston North and Napier Units were for neglect
17 percent of notifications to the Porirua Unit were concerned with physical abuse
Mental health • of all mental health first admission in the Central region in 1992-1993, 53 percent were male and 72 percent were aged 15-44 years
admission rates were highest in Wanganui and lowest in Manawatu and Wairarapa
• generally, in all age groups up to 65 years, the most common cause of admission for males was alcohol dependence or abuse and for females it was affective psychoses and stress and adjustment
• over the aged of 65 years, senile and presenile organic psychoses was the most common cause of admission
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Determinants of Health
Determinants of Health - Page 13 WATER
Drinking water
Public health grading Community drinking water supplies are graded according to the quality of the source water, its treatment and the distribution system. Source water and its treatment are graded from A to E. The distribution system is graded a to e. Lower gradings do not mean the water is contaminated but indicate a high level of risk as the treatment and /or quality control systems are not adequate to protect against contamination.
Larger communities eg Wellington may have several distribution zones delivering water from different sources or treatment plants, each with a different grade. The lowest of those grades has been used in this assessment.
Definition of public health grading of community drinking water supplies: • A or a completely satisfactory, very low level of risk
• B or b satisfactory, low level of risk
• C or c marginal, moderate level of risk, may be acceptable in small communities
• D or d unsatisfactory, high level of risk
• E or e completely unsatisfactory, very high level of risk
A C grading provides protection against bacteria, viruses and Giardia but not against Ciyptosporidium.
Registration and grading began in 1993 and is carried out by CHE public health units.
At the start of 1997 at least 783,033 people (88% of the population) in the Central region were receiving drinking water from a registered community supply (excluding school supplies). A community drinking water supply is defined as a supply that serves 25 or more people for at least 60 days a year. This figure is conservative as some small supplies on the Register of Community Drinking- Water Supplies in New Zealand have no population data recorded. About 40,000 were receiving water from supplies that were listed as ungraded. Except for Masterton, these were small supplies.
There were 380,334 people receiving water from a supply with at least a Bb grading. This represents 49 percent of the population served by a registered supply. No grading results were available for Wairarapa. For the other CHE areas the proportion of the population known to be receiving Aa, Ab, Ba, or Bb drinking water ranged from five percent in Wanganui to 67 percent in Wellington! Hurt health districts.
In the Wellington/Hurt area about 15,000 people receive water with an A grading for its source and treatment but only a d grading for its distribution.
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There are four New Zealand cities with a population of over 20,000 that have unsatisfactory water supplies. Two - Nelson (Ed) and Wanganui (Da) - are in the Central region.
There are an additional seven zones in the region covering a population of about 93,000 that although they have a C grading indicating the quality of the water delivered is variable the distribution grading is satisfactory.
A grading below Cc is unsatisfactory. The reasons for low grades include poor water quality, unknown water quality due to inadequate monitoring, and inadequate protection against contamination (Mattingley and Ferguson 1996).
Monitoring of drinking water It is the water supplier s responsibility to carry out monitoring of Priority 1 and Priority 2 (P2) determinands to show compliance with the Drinking- Water Standardsfor New Zealand 1995. Priority 1 determinands are microbiological and apply to all supplies. Priority 2 determinands may be microbiological, chemical or radiological and are supply specific. Priority 2 chemical determinands are chemicals known to have significant health effects.
Microbiological quality is more important for public health than chemical quality unless there is a major chemical spillage. In general poor microbiological water quality results from inadequate water treatment (Ball 1998).
Microbiological quality
A survey of microbiological quality in 1996 was based on information for 1452 of the 1558 distribution zones registered at January 1997 supplying about 3,110,000 people.
The discrepancy between this figure and the Census total of of 3,618,300 is due to missing population data for some supplies, some supplies that are not yet registered and households that have private water supplies (Ball 1998).
Adequacy of microbiological monitoring is determined by whether a sufficient number of samples was taken for the population supplied in the zone and whether the interval between successive samples was satisfactory.
In 1996 44 percent of zones supplying 95 percent of the surveyed New Zealand population were monitored. Although the percentage of zones monitored decreased compared with those monitored in 1995 and 1994 this is largely due to increases in the number of registered supplies. Most of these are small supplies eg schools, campsites.
The percentage of zones complying decreased from 1994 to 1996 for the same reason. Lack of monitoring is the main reason for non-compliance. Monitoring receives less attention in small supplies than large supplies, both in terms of the percentage of zones monitored and the percentage adequately monitored.
In 1996 Wanganui (83%) and Northland (54%) had the lowest percentages of the population living in monitored zones. There were no zones in the Central region of 5,000 population or greater that were not monitored.
Faecal coliforms were found in CHE surveillance samples from eight zones - including Himatangi Beach (Manawatu), Havelock and Okiwa Park (Nelson/Marlborough) that were reported by the water supplier as complying. This indicates that the sampling and analysis practices used by the supplier in monitoring these zones need to be investigated (Ball 1998).
Determinants of Health - Page 15 Chemical quality The Ministry of Health started a national programme in July 1995 to identify whether P2 chemicals are present or not in community drinking water supplies. To date not all supplies, in particular small supplies, have been sampled, or have had their results listed in the Register. At the start of 1997 there were few supplies in the region that had P2 determinands listed. With the exception of fluoride for supplies in the Wellington, Hutt and Manawatu health districts, arsenic was listed for Napier (Hawkes Bay), boron and copper for Bulls (Wanganui), lead for Picton! Waikawa and nitrate for Richmond (Nelson/Marlborough). The population served by fluoridated supplies was 411,331(53% of the total population); this is conservative as the P2 identification programme is still in progress.
Recreational water quality Oversight of swimming pools is a responsibility of territorial local authorities. In some health districts the CHE public health unit runs swimming pool maintenance seminars for pool operators and audits compliance with standards.
It is important that chlorine levels in swimming pools are maintained at a level that allows adequate disinfection of the water.
Of 50 school, public and institutional swimming pools in Nelson that were tested for free available chlorine, pH, alkalinity and cyanuric acid in March 1997, 33 (66%) were satisfactory and 17 (34%) were outside the public health guidelines. The percentage of satisfactory pools declined slightly from the 1995-96 results (75%). Of the pools tested that were outside public health guidelines most were due to a lack of cyanuric acid. Cyanuric acid is used to prevent chlorine loss due to sunlight.
The number of pools recommended for closure until appropriate chemical levels were obtained declined from six (11%) in 1994-95 to three (5%) in 1995-96 and two (4%) in 1996-97. Storage of pool chemicals, in particular chlorine, and storage and quality of safety equipment was unsatisfactory in some pools (Molloy 1997).
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Central Health s Public Health Group is notified by providers whenever significant actual or potential emergent issues arise. The threshold for reporting varies among providers so the following information is incomplete. Most of these issues concern health protection, in particular communicable disease control.
Natural hazards
Mt Ruapehu eruption Volcanic ash from the 1995 and 1996 eruptions had effects on air quality with implications for individuals with respiratory conditions, and drinking water sourced from roofs and surface water. Affected health districts in the region were Wanganui, Manawatu, Hawkes Bay, and Wairarapa.
Flooding A state of emergency was declared in Wairoa District in June 1997 due to flooding.
Marine biotoxins Shellfish have been monitored for the presence of marine biotoxins since January 1993 when an outbreak ofneurotoxic shellfish poisoning occurred in New Zealand. Some areas of New Zealand coastline have been more commonly associated with elevated toxin levels. In the Central region these areas are the Marlborough Sounds (paralytic shellfish poisoning and amnesic shellfish poisoning toxins) and Queen Charlotte Sound (diarrhoeic shellfish poisoning toxin).
Disease outbreaks
There were 31 outbreaks reported to the Public Health Group in 1996-97. This is likely to be an under-estimate of the actual number. Information about the type of outbreak was reported for 27 and about the source for 17. Sixteen were reported as foodborne and one as waterborne.
Viral gastroenteritis Outbreaks were reported in two rest homes and a public hospital medical ward. The latter affected staff and patients and resulted in temporary closure of the ward to admissions.
Salmonellosis An outbreak of salmonellosis occurred in a prison with five confirmed and 15 suspected cases. Chicken was thought to be the most likely source.
Cam pylobacte rios is There were four outbreaks of campylobacteriosis reported.
Marlborough 1997 - Nineteen cases were notified associated with a school camp. The water supply was identifed as the most likely source of infection.
Determinants of Health - Page 17 Havelock North 1997 - Thirty-three cases were notified in Hawkes Bay during a week in June, 24 of whom lived in Havelock North. Epidemiological investigation was highly suggestive of a common source outbreak with a food outlet as the most likely source of infection.
During 1996-97 two other smaller outbreaks of campylobacteriosis were reported in the Manawatu and Wellington health districts. The latter involved a food premise.
Food quality and safety
Sixteen foodbome disease outbreaks were reported in 1996-97. Nine outbreaks were associated with food premises eg restaurant, sandwich bar and four with function catering. One of the latter four outbreaks involved an unlicensed caterer manufacturing food from domestic premises. The other three foodborne outbreaks were associated with a private club, a school camp and a prison.
There were 595 food complaints reported to CHEs in 1996-97 (table 3). Four food recalls were reported to the Public Health Group. Information was available for three.
Ham was recalled in the South Island following detection by the Marlborough manufacturer of contamination with the bacteria Listeria. This was found during the manufacturer s routine food safety testing.
Meat was recalled in Nelson, Blenheim and Christchurch following detection of a rural slaughterhouse selling uninspected meat.
Cooked Christmas hams from a butchery in the Wellington region were recalled as a result of an outbreak of Staphylococcal food poisoning.
In the Wellington region, packaged biscuits were detained under the Food Act and tested in case of contamination following a spill of phosphoric acid during transportation. No contamination was found. This incident also was a violation of transport requirements that prohibit packing of food and toxic substances in the same consignment.
Hazardous substances
Public opposition to the use of 1080 for possum control as part of the bovine TB control programme by district councils has occurred in several areas. In 1995 an alleged cluster of miscarriages in Wairarapa was attributed by the public to 1080 use. Investigation did not support the existence of a cluster.
Twenty-seven chemical incidents were reported (table 4). Where details were given, lead was the most common hazardous substance reported.
Incidents included:
• Copper chrome arsenic (CCA) contamination from a timber treatment site of stormwater that drained through a residential area (Manawatu)
• Temporary closure of two early childhood centres following lead contamination from lead based paint during renovations (Manawatu, Nelson). In one instance Occupational Safety and Health are prosecuting the contractor responsible.
• Lead contamination of a home and the adjoining property by a contractor using inappropriate lead based paint removal practices (Wanganui)
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• Industrial burning of 1080 pellets and alleged health effects among people in nearby industries (Wanganui) • Agrichemical spraydrift from an adjacent vineyard and alleged health effects related to chronic exposure of the property s owners to the spraydrift (Marlborough)
• Three chemical incidents of unexplained odours at Kenepuru and Wellington Hospitals. Some staff from the affected Nuclear Medicine Department at Wellington Hospital were seen at the Emergency Department with acute symptoms.
• Industrial burning of tertiary butyl mercaptan resulted in reports of an odour nuisance (Hutt). One medical centre reported increased respiratoryillness but there was no evidence that this was the direct result of the bumoff.
• Chemical spillage from a truck and trailer carrying a mixed goods consignment following a crash on State Highway 2 (Hutt)
• Spillage of paraquat at rail yards (Wellington)
• Leakage of organophosphate from a container (Wellington) • Spillage of organophosphate resulting in five people being taken to hospital for observation after possible inhalation (Manawatu)
Elevated blood lead level notifications to ESR were five in 1994, six in 1995 and six in 1996. The notification level reduced from 25 to 15 mg/dl from June 1996 and all six cases reported were at this revised level. Use of the ESR EpiSurv database for lead notifications is however incomplete as 20 cases of elevated blood lead levels were investigated in 1996-97 by Hutt Valley Health alone. Investigation of a child with elevated blood lead levels in Nelson suggested that the most likely cause was renovations involving lead based paint at a creche. Four health districts reported cases of poisonings that attended hospital emergency departments (table 5). The rate of poisonings among those aged under five years was 1281.4 cases per 100 000 in Hawkes Bay, 1081.3 cases per 100 000 in Marlborough and 916.9 cases per 100000 in Manawatu.
Drinking water contamination incidents
Contamination of the Te Awanga water supply in Hawkes Bay with faecal coliforms was reported on two occasions in November 1996. The likely causes were farms near the reservoir that were not fitted with backflow preventers and inadequate supply to the distribution system caused by inadequate capacity of the supply main. (This was thought to result in negative pressures in areas of the distribution system during periods of maximum demand). Emergency chlorination and flushing, inspection of the town for potential backflow and installation of backflow prevention on to the farm supplies was carried out. Planned fitting of a new supply main to the distribution to prevent negative pressures being developed has been brought forward by Hastings District Council.
A boil water notice was issued to Te Horo beach in 1997 (Wellington).
Determinants of Health— Page 19 A Li References 11 Ball A. 1996. Microbiological Quality of Drinking Water in New Zealand 1995. Unpublished report for the Ministry of Health. 9 Ball A. 1998. Annual Review of the Microbiological Quality of Drinking Water in New Zealand. Wellington: Ministry of Health.
Lewis S, Hales S, Slater T, Pearce N et al. 1997. Geographical variation in the prevalence of asthma symptoms in New Zealand. NZ Med J 110: 286-9.
Mattingley B, Ferguson A. 1996. Register of Community Drinking-water Supplies in New Zealand. 51 ed. Wellington: Ministry of Health. Molloy M. 1997. School and Public Swimming Pool Inspections 1996-1997 Swimming Season. 9 Unpublished report for Nelson/Marlborough Health Services. 0 I
II Eli I Ii ii I I I LII II ii Page 20 - The Public Health of the Central Region 9 Li
Table 1: Public health grading of community drinking water supplies 1996
Population Population Population % total with supplies with graded with ungraded population with graded: supplies supplies satisfactory water
A B Health district a b a b Hawkes Bay 5000 500 0 59956 111894 1791 57.6 Wanganui 0 0 2800 0 60470 842 4.6 Manawatu 3500 68300 0 0 139160 490 51.4 Wellington &Hutt 101108 65560 2070 66660 353036 620 66.6 Wairarapa 0 30825 Nelson/Marlborough 3680 0 0 1200 78493 5412 5.8 Central region 113288 134360 4870 127816 743053 39980 48.6 Source: ESR
Table 2: Microbiological quality of community drinking water supplies 1995 & 1996
Population supplied by: Complying zones Adequately monitored zones 1995 1996 1995 1996
Health district n % n n % n
Hawkes Bay 18411 16 104317 89 34251 29 105419 90
Wanganui 12270 20 49820 82 14090 22 50120 83
Manawatu 113145 79 113020 79 114330 80 113790 80
Wellington & Hutt 303811 86 347334 98 315971 89 355034 100
Wairarapa 28412 92 29301 94 30621 100 30915 100
Nelson/Marlborough 43143 50 83823 89 76043 88 85303 91
Central region 519192 66 727615 91 585306 74 740581 92
New Zealand 2119588 70 2682064 86 2288250 76 2742309 88 Source: Ball 1996; Ball 1998 Source: ESR
Table 3: Food complaints by health district 1996-97
Health district n Hawkes Bay 92 Wanganui 50 Manawatu 142 Wairarapa 21 Wellington & Hutt 251 Nelson/Marlborough 39 Central region 595 Source: Central region provider quarterly reports
Determinants of Health - Page 21 Ii Table 4: Chemical incidents by health district 1996-1997
Health district n Hawkes Bay 2 Wanganui 2 Manawatu 4 Wairarapa 1 Wellington & Hutt 17 Nelson/Marlborough 1 Central region 27 Source: Central region provider quarterly reports £1 Table 5: Poisonings by health district 1996-97
Number Health district 0-4 years Total population Hawkes Bay 148 nr Manawatu 104 231 Wairarapa nr 11 Marlborough 29 61 nr not reported Source: Central region provider quarterly reports
9 9 £1 0 9 11 U U U U
Page 22 - The Public Health of the Central Region I
At the 1996 Census, there were 892,302 people usually resident in the Central region, an increase of 3.9 percent from the 1991 Census (table 6).
Forty-two percent of the regional population resided in the Porirua-Kapiti (9.5%), Hutt Valley (14.9%) and Wellington (17.7%) areas. The Manawatu (16.9%) was the second most populous region, followed by Hawkes Bay (16.1%), Nelson-Marlborough (13.1%), and Wanganui (7.6%). In all regions, there were more females than males.
Population change since 1991 Census
The largest population increases since the 1991 Census have occurred in Tasman District (11.9%), Kapiti Coast District (10.7%), Nelson City (10.6%), and Marlborough District (9.3%) (table 7).
The population declined between 1991-1996 in Tararua District (-4.0%), South Wairarapa District (-2.4%), Wairoa District (-2.2%), and Rangitikei District (-1.3%).
Population projections
Based on the assumptions of medium fertility, medium mortality and medium migration, the population in the Central region is projected to increase by 4.5 percent between 1996-2010 (table 8). There will be an increase of 38.1 percent in the 45-64 year age group and 18.5 percent in the 65+ age group. In contrast, the population in the 0-4 year age group is projected to decline by 17.4 percent.
In the age group 15-24 years, the male population will increase by 4.8 percent, but there will be little change in the female population. Females will have the greatest increase in the 45-64 age group (41.4% compared to 34.8% for males), while in the 65+ age group the number of males will increase by 23.2 percent compared to 14.8 percent for females.
Kapiti Coast (17.7%), Nelson/Marlborough (15.5%), Wellington (8.15%), Manawatu (5.6%), and Hawkes Bay (2.2%) will experience increases in their populations to 2010. However, the populations will decline in Upper Huff (6.3%), Wairarapa (5.5%), Wanganui (3.9%), Porirua (2.2%), and Lower Huff (1.3%).
Between 1996-2010, the populations in the respective 65+ and 45-64 year age groups of Porirua and Nelson/Marlborough are projected to increase by about 50 percent.
Age distributions
At the time of 1996 Census, 8.0 percent of the population in the Central region were aged 0-4 years, 15.9 percent were 5-14 years, 15.0 percent were 15-24 years, 30.4 percent were in the age group 25-44 years, 20.4 percent were aged 45-64 years, and 10.4 percent over 65+ years of age (table 6).
Determinants of Health - Page 23 Wairoa District (29.6%), Waimarino Ward (29.0%), Waiouru Ward (28.4%), Porirua City (27.9%), Rangitikei District (26.7%), and Tararua District (26.5%) had higher proportions of people under the age of 15 years than the New Zealand average (23.0%). In contrast, only Wellington City (183%), Nelson City (20.6%), Palmerston North City (20.7%), Napier City (22.1%), Marlborough District (22.1%), Kapiti Coast District (21.4%), had fewer under 15 year olds than the national mean.
In the Waiouru Ward (28.3%), and the cities of Palmerston North (22.2%), Wellington (16.9%), Upper Hurt (15.6%) and Ponrua (14.9%) the proportion of the population in the 15-24 year age group was greater than the New Zealand average (14.8%). The Nelson/Marlborough and Wairarapa regions and Kapiti Coast District had proportionally fewer people in this age group (15-24 years) than the national average.
Almost 40 percent of the population in the Waiouru Ward (38.4%) was aged 25-44 years, compared to the New Zealand average of 30.6 percent. More than one-third of Wellington City s population (36.8%) were in this age group.
In Kapiti Coast District (21.3%), Horowhenua District (17.3%), Wanganui District (15.1%), and Napier City (14.7%), Nelson City (14.3%) and Marlborough District (14.2%), the proportion of the population in the 65+ year age group was considerably higher than the New Zealand average (11.7%). In Waiouru Ward, only 0.6 percent of the population was aged 65+ years.
Born overseas
Porirua City (28.2%), Wellington City (27.8%), and Lower Hurt City (1.5%) were the only areas in the Central region where the proportion of the population born overseas is higher than the New Zealand average (21.3%) (table 9). In the districts of Central Hawkes Bay (-9.1%), Tararua (-9.1%), Chatham Islands (9.7%), and Wairoa (-10.3%) and Waiouru Ward (-10.2%), the proportion of overseas born in the populations was less than the national average.
Ethnicity
At the 1996 Census, Maori comprised 14.3 percent and Pacific Islanders 3.7 percent of the population of the Central region (table 6). About one in every four Maori (25.1%) of the Central region resided in the Hawkes Bay subregion, compared to 7.5 percent in the Nelson/Marlborough subregion and 4.6 percent in the Wairarapa subregion.
The proportion of Maori in the populations of the Wairoa District (57.8%), Chatham Islands District (61.1%), the Wards of Waimarino (39.2%) and Waiouru (39.5%), Rangitikei District (24.5%) and Hastings District (23.9%) were markedly higher than the national average (15.1%). In contrast, there were fewer Maori than the New Zealand average in the populations of Palmerston North City (13.1%), Manawatu District (12.6%), Carterton District (11.1%), Kapiti Coast District (11.4%), Upper Hurt (13.0%) and Wellington (8.0%) cities, Tasman District (7.1%), Nelson City (7.8%), and Marlborough District (10.6%).
Thirty percent of Pacific Island people in the Central region were living in the PorirualKapiti area at the time of the 1996 Census. Specifically, 21.6 percent of the population of Porirua City were of Pacific Island ethnicity. Lower Hurt City (7.3%) was the only other area in the Central region with a higher proportion of Pacific Island people than the national average (5.0%).
Nine percent of the population in Wellington City were ofAsian ethnicity compared to the national average of 4.6 percent. The populations of Lower Hurt City (5.4%) and Palmerston North City (5.2%) also had above average proportions of Asians.
Page 24— The Public Health of the Central Region I
Life expectancy
Life expectancy is an accepted measure of the health status of a population (table 10). At birth, males in the Central region have a life expectancy of 72.7 years, and females 78.6 years. While there is little variation between the subregions, Nelson/Marlborough has the highest, and Wanganui the lowest, life expectancy in the Central region.
Number of children
Table 11 clearly shows that the trend for younger mothers to have fewer children. However, in all maternal age groups, the average number of children born to mothers in Wairoa district and the Chatham Islands exceeds the national average.
The average number of children is less than the New Zealand average in the cities of Palmerston North, Wellington, Lower and Upper Hutt, Nelson, and Napier. Porirua City is the only area within the Wellington region where the number of liveborn children is higher than the New Zealand average.
Determinants of Health - Page 25 Ii Table 6: Population by subregion, age, sex and ethnicity, 1996 Census 111 HAWKES BAY Ethnicity 9 sex age group (yrs) Maori Pacific Island Other Not specified Total Males 0-4 2298 177 3396 126 5997 5-14 3942 288 7317 573 12120 15-24 2856 240 6003 606 9705 25-44 4032 414 14277 1041 19764 621 14769 9 45-64 1965 165 12018 65+ 489 42 6906 288 7725 Total 15582 1326 49917 3255 70080
Females 0-4 2073 168 3189 108 5538 5-14 3936 264 6822 495 11517 15-24 2928 234 5916 480 9558 25-44 4773 381 15081 990 21225 9 45-64 2133 159 12183 531 15006 65+ 633 33 9390 417 10473 Total 16476 1239 52581 3021 73317
Both sexes 0-4 4371 345 6585 234 11535 5-14 7878 552 14139 1068 23637 15-24 5784 474 11919 1086 19263 25-44 8805 795 29358 2031 40989 45-64 4098 324 24201 1152 29775 65+ 1122 75 16296 705 18198 Total 32058 2565 102498 6276 143397 B ID U ID U ID ID 9
Page 26- The Public Health of the Central Region I
Table 6: Population by subregion, age, sex and ethnicity, 1996 Census, continued...
WANGANUI Ethnicity sex age group (yrs) Maori Pacific Island Other Not specified Total Males 0-4 1041 63 1722 54 2880 5-14 1839 99 3600 255 5793 15-24 1287 87 3129 276 4779 25-44 1938 150 6999 549 9636 45-64 771 42 5238 351 6402 65+ 225 15 3411 177 3828 Total 7101 456 24099 1662 33318
Females 0-4 987 57 1599 51 2694
5-14 1782 99 3489 219 5589
15-24 1353 63 2850 228 4494
25-44 2181 138 7203 426 9948
45-64 882 45 5451 264 6642
65+ 258 9 4668 261 5196
Total 7443 411 25260 1449 34563
Both sexes 0-4 2028 120 3321 105 5574
5-14 3621 198 7089 474 11382
15-24 2640 150 5979 504 9273
25-44 4119 288 14202 975 19584
45-64 1653 87 10689 615 13044
65+ 483 24 8079 438 9024
Total 14544 867 49359 3111 67881
Determinants of Health - Page 27
Table 6: Population by subregion, age, sex and ethnicity, 1996 Census, continued...
MANAWATU Ethnicity sex age group (yrs) Maori Pacific Island Other Not specified Total Males 0-4 1569 168 3960 96 5793 5-14 2715 291 8457 387 11850 15-24 2196 285 10134 426 13041 25-44 2901 384 17208 729 21222 45-64 1128 153 12348 393 14022 65+ 288 15 7248 201 7752 Total 10797 1296 59355 2232 73680
Females 0-4 1482 144 3873 93 5592
5-14 2550 300 8037 345 11232
15-24 2286 291 9936 357 12870
25-44 3066 351 18204 618 22239
45-64 1179 141 12747 363 14430
65+ 324 42 9681 321 10368
Total 10887 1269 62478 2097 76731
Both sexes 0-4 3051 312 7833 189 11385
5-14 5265 591 16494 732 23082
15-24 4482 576 20070 783 25911
25-44 5967 735 35412 1347 43461
45-64 2307 294 25095 756 28452
65+ 612 57 16929 522 18120
Total 21684 2565 121833 4329 150411
Page 28- The Public Health of the Central Region I
Table 6: Population by subregion, age, sex and ethnicity, 1996 Census, continued...
PORIRUAIKAPITI
sex age group (yrs) Maori Pacific Island Other Not specified Total Ethnicity Males 0-4 1032 678 1848 96 3654 5-14 1728 1179 4014 432 7353 15-24 1107 903 3009 399 5418 25-44 1644 1248 7689 807 11388 45-64 756 651 6618 600 8625 65+ 144 132 4401 312 4989 Total 6411 4791 27579 2646 41427
Females 0-4 942 630 1755 99 3426 5-14 1650 1065 3756 339 6810 15-24 1185 945 2892 330 5352 25-44 1953 1500 8532 747 12732 45-64 801 672 6969 519 8961 65+ 192 201 5682 417 6492 Total 6723 5013 29586 2451 43773
Both sexes 0-4 1974 1308 3603 195 7080 5-14 3378 2244 7770 771 14163 15-24 2292 1848 5901 729 10770 25-44 3597 2748 16221 1554 24120 45-64 1557 1323 13587 1119 17586 65+ 336 333 10083 729 11481 Total 13134 9804 57165 5097 85200
Determinants of Health - Page 29 U
Table 6: Population by subregion, age, sex and ethnicity, 1996 Census, continued... fl HUTT fl Ethnicity sex age group (yrs) Maori Pacific Island Other Not specified Total Males 0-4 1308 522 3639 84 5553 5-14 2214 864 7071 408 10557 15-24 1929 798 6639 384 9750 25-44 2733 1137 15702 765 20337 45-64 1014 498 11349 423 13284 65+ 141 90 5385 249 5865 Total 9339 3909 49785 2313 65346
Females 0-4 1239 432 3465 78 5214 5-14 2070 837 6726 330 9963 15-24 1929 816 6654 360 9759 25-44 2904 1170 16287 603 20964 45-64 933 501 11412 381 13227 65+ 195 132 7422 396 8145 Total 9270 3888 51966 2148 67272
Both sexes 0-4 2547 954 7104 162 10767 5-14 4284 1701 13797 738 20520 15-24 3858 1614 13293 744 19509 25-44 5637 2307 31989 1368 41301 45-64 1947 999 22761 804 26511 65+ 336 222 12807 645 14010 Total 18609 7797 101751 4461 132618 U ci 0 U U El El
Page 30 - .The Public Health of the Central Region I
Table 6: Population by subregion, age, sex and ethnicity, 1996 Census, continued...
WELLINGTON Ethnicity sex age group (yrs) Maori Pacific Island Other Not specified Total Males 0-4 708 417 4224 75 5424 5-14 1062 708 7380 525 9675 15-24 1284 741 9963 645 12633 25-44 2070 1128 24015 1116 28329 45-64 708 516 13227 588 15039 65+ 84 69 5358 366 5877 Total 5916 3579 64167 3315 76977
Females 0-4 645 408 4089 72 5214 5-14 1047 648 7011 438 9144 15-24 1482 771 11142 597 13992 25-44 2163 1362 25107 990 29622 45-64 696 519 13086 483 14784 65+ 129 114 7281 411 7935 Total 6162 3822 67716 2991 80691
Both sexes 0-4 1353 825 8313 147 10638 5-14 2109 1356 14391 963 18819 15-24 2766 1512 21105 1242 26625 25-44 4233 2490 49122 2106 57951 45-64 1404 1035 26313 1071 29823 65+ 213 183 12639 777 13812 Total 12078 7401 131883 6306 157668
Determinants of Health - Page 31 Ii
Table 6: Population by subregion, age, sex and ethnicity, 1996 Census, continued... 9
WAIRARAPA [1 Ethnicity sex age group (yrs) Maori Pacific Island Other Not specified Total Males 0-4 438 51 996 15 1500 5-14 744 87 2370 111 3312 15-24 513 75 1737 87 2412 25-44 699 96 4152 189 5136 45-64 351 45 3663 120 4179 65+ 75 12 2172 81 2340 Total 2820 366 15090 603 18879
Females 0-4 393 33 1017 24 1467 5-14 771 72 2238 96 3177 15-24 558 51 1662 78 2349 25-44 810 102 4404 177 5493 45-64 372 27 3651 105 4155 65+ 105 21 2778 114 3018 Total 3009 306 15750 594 19659 9 Both sexes 0-4 831 84 2013 39 2967 5-14 1515 159 4608 207 6489 15-24 1071 126 3399 165 4761 25-44 1509 198 8556 366 10629 45-64 723 72 7314 225 8334 65+ 180 33 4950 195 —__5358 Total 5829 672 30840 1197 38538
0 Eli Eli 0 ED 9 0 Page 32 - The Public Health of the Central Region 9 U
Table 6: Population by subregion, age, sex and ethnicity, 1996 Census, continued...
NELSON/MARLBOROUGH Ethnicity sex age group (yrs) Maori Pacific Island Other Not specified Iota Males 0-4 666 57 3453 54 4230 5-14 1173 102 7335 333 8943 15-24 909 102 6492 363 7866 25-44 1389 144 14880 753 17166 45-64 546 48 11760 447 12801 65+ 123 24 6597 243 6987 Total 4806 477 50517 2193 57993
Females 0-4 603 51 3216 69 3939 5-14 1113 99 7008 294 8514 15-24 879 45 5913 309 7146 25-44 1389 129 15498 570 17586 45-64 594 42 11517 336 12489 65+ 147 15 8454 306 8922 Total 4725 381 51606 1884 58596
Both sexes 0-4 1269 108 6669 123 8169
5-14 2286 201 14343 627 17457
15-24 1788 147 12405 672 15012
25-44 2778 273 30378 1323 34752
45-64 1140 90 23277 783 25290
65+ 270 39 15051 549 15909
Total 9531 858 102123 4077 116589
Determinants of Health - Page 33
El
Table 6: Population by subregion, age, sex and ethnicity, 1996 Census, continued... fl
CENTRAL REGION Ethnicity [I sex age group (yrs) Maori Pacific Island Other Not specified Total. Males 0-4 9060 2133 23238 600 35031 5-14 15417 3618 47544 3024 69603 15-24 12081 3231 47106 3186 65604 25-44 17406 4701 104922 5949 132978 fl 45-64 7239 2118 76221 3543 89121 65+ 1569 399 41478 1917 45363 Total 62772 16200 340509 18219 437700
Females 0-4 8364 1923 22203 594 33084 5-14 14919 3384 45087 2556 65946 15-24 12600 3216 46965 2739 65520 25-44 19239 5133 110316 5121 139809 45-64 7590 2106 77016 2982 89694 65+ 1983 567 55356 2643 60549 Total 64695 16329 356943 16635 454602
Both sexes 0-4 17424 4056 45441 1194 68115 5-14 30336 7002 92631 5580 135549 15-24 24681 6447 94071 5925 131124 25-44 36645 9834 215238 11070 272787 45-64 14829 4224 153237 6525 178815 65+ 3552 966 96834 4560 105912 Total 127467 32529 697452 34854 892302 Source: 1996 Census fl U U ci ci ci ci ci Page 34- The Public Health of the Central Region ci I
Table 7: Population change by area, 1991-1996 Censuses
Area % change Tasman District 11.6 Kapiti Coast District 10.4 Nelson City 10.4 Marlborough District 9.3 Wellington City 6.2 Waiouru Ward 6.0 Palmerston North City 5.1 Napier City 4.2 Hastings District 3.5 Manawatu District 3.5 Waimanno Ward 2.5 Central Hawkes Bay District 1.7 Horowhenua District 1.1 Lower Hutt City 1.0 Masterton District 0.8 Wanganui District 0.8 Porirua City 0.2 Upper Hun City -0.4 Carterton District -0.8 Rangitikei District -1.3 Wairoa District South Wairarapa District -2.4 Tararua District -4.0 Central region 3.9 Source: 1996 Census
tr,,in,r,fc t- ili - -U Table 8: Population projections by area, 2000, 2005, 2010 a a w LA MALES- Projected populations Age Year Hawkes Wanganui Manawatu Kapiti Porirua Upper Lower Wellington Wairarapa Nelson! Central group Bay Coast Hutt Hutt Marlborough region C a- 0-4 2000 5855 2740 5600 1310 2250 1300 3880 5360 1430 4210 33935 2005 5240 2470 5270 1280 2000 1180 3500 4980 1270 3920 31110 a 2010 4775 2290 4980 1290 1790 1080 3190 4580 1160 3730 28865 a- a 5-14 2000 12270 5780 11850 3080 4400 2970 7850 10080 3130 9480 70890 4170 2730 7630 10160 2890 9530 68935 rD 2005 11985 5320 11470 3050
rDI 2010 11100 4860 10790 2930 3740 2340 6930 9580 2620 9060 63950 a 15-24 2000 9205 4630 13060 1960 3260 2760 6350 12420 2380 7630 63655 8400 66945 a 2005 9565 5000 13720 2370 3360 2740 6570 12760 2460 a 3 2010 9780 5000 13760 2640 3370 2770 7000 13210 2250 8960 68740 a 25-44 2000 19600 9240 21490 4700 6840 5460 14720 29350 4730 18020 134150 2005 18255 8270 20880 4770 6440 5010 13770 29000 4200 17430 128025 2010 16865 7410 20550 4840 6050 4520 12540 27720 3900 17040 121435 45-64 2000 16155 6840 15280 4550 4890 3850 10020 16260 4580 14570 96995 2005 18155 7670 17180 5150 5340 4200 11170 18600 4980 16990 109435 2010 19525 8340 18950 5690 5590 4480 12150 21490 5160 18800 120175 65+ 2000 8165 3900 8120 3770 1640 1790 4290 6050 2430 7590 47745 2005 8790 4020 8590 4000 1880 1850 4320 6070 2580 8390 50490 2010 9950 4230 9440 4400 2280 1960 4710 6500 2800 9660 55930 All Ages 2000 71230 33100 75400 19400 23300 18100 47100 79500 18700 61500 447330 2005 71850 32700 77200 20600 23200 17700 47000 81600 18400 64600 454850 2010 72070 32100 78500 21800 22800 17200 46500 83100 17900 67300 459270 Assuming ,nediuui ferlility, ,,iediuni mortality, medium migration Source: Statistics NZ
I ------Table 8: Population projections by area, 2000, 2005, 2010, continued...
FEMALES- Projected populations Age Year Hawkes Wanganui Manawatu Kapiti Porirua Upper Lower Wellington Wairarapa Nelson/ Central group Bay Coast Hutt Hutt Marlborough region 0-4 2000 5475 2600 5310 1220 2040 1240 3700 5200 1310 3950 32045 2005 5005 2380 4960 1210 1840 1100 3360 4760 1180 3730 29525 2010 4560 2210 4720 1210 1640 1010 3060 4380 1090 3550 27430 5-14 2000 11640 5430 11540 2970 4040 2740 7370 9620 3100 9080 67530 2005 11270 5020 11070 2900 3780 2540 7130 9820 2840 8980 65350 2010 10465 4670 10340 2780 3280 - 2180 6530 9300 2460 8580 60585 15-24 2000 8470 4290 12340 1880 3100 2580 6240 13020 2230 6620 60770 2005 8720 4530 12850 2170 3120 2440 6310 13190 2260 7420 63010 2010 8960 4400 13140 2490 3180 2450 6540 13760 2180 8050 65150 25-44 2000 21035 9660 22440 5300 7500 5400 15620 31190 5180 18380 141705 2005 19295 8720 21360 5290 6860 4980 14730 30850 4510 17590 134185 2010 17225 7740 20090 5070 6150 4380 13340 29090 4040 16620 123745 45-64 2000 16655 6990 15780 5060 4880 3860 10080 16450 4520 14460 98735 2005 18915 7810 18020 5750 5450 4260 11280 19280 5040 17070 112875 - 2010 20885 8650 20180 6500 5910 4610 12530 22810 5370 19350 126795 65+ 2000 10890 5210 10580 4920 1950 2350 5920 7890 3090 9430 62230 2005 11530 5230 11020 5230 2220 2470 5890 7760 3180 10130 64660 2010 12535 5400 11770 5610 2600 2630 6120 8130 3370 11320 69485 0
0 All Ages 2000 74230 34200 78000 21400 23500 18200 48900 83400 19400 62000 463230 3 2005 74650 33600 79200 22500 23300 17800 48700 85700 19100 64900 469450 1) 2010 74660 33100 80200 23700 22800 17300 48100 87500 18600 67400 473360 1
-I, Assuming ,nediu,n fertility. medium mortality, medium migration Source:Statis,ics NZ
-4
0
0
-AJ -J Table 8: Population projections by area, 2000, 2005, 2010, continued...
BOTH SEXES - Projected populations Age Year Hawkes Wanganui Manawatu Kapiti Porirua Upper Lower Wellington Wairarapa Nelson/ Central group Bay Coast Hutt Hutt Marlborough region 0-4 2000 11350 5330 10920 2540 4290 2540 7580 10560 2740 8170 66020 2005 10255 4840 10210 2490 3830 2290 6860 9740 2460 7640 60615 2010 9330 4480 9680 2500 3440 2070 6250 8960 2250 7280 56240 5-14 2000 23915 11220 23400 6050 8440 5710 15230 19700 6250 18540 138455 2005 23240 10340 22580 5950 7930 5270 14750 19980 5730 18510 134280 2010 21570 9540 21140 5710 7020 4530 13460 18870 5090 17660 124590 15-24 2000 17665 8910 25420 3840 6350 5350 12590 25450 4620 14240 124435 2005 18275 9540 26560 4550 6480 5180 12880 25950 4720 15840 129975 2010 18770 9400 26870 5130 6550 5240 13530 26970 4440 17000 133900 25-44 2000 40635 18890 43910 9980 14340 10860 30350 60540 9940 36370 275815 2005 37570 16950 42220 10060 13310 10000 28490 59840 8730 35010 262180 2010 34070 15140 40660 9910 12190 8910 25870 56820 7940 33650 245160 45-64 2000 32780 13840 31070 9600 9770 7710 20120 32690 9110 29050 195740 2005 37025 15460 35190 10880 10780 8430 22460 37880 10050 34060 222215 2010 40395 16990 39120 12180 11510 9080 24680 44300 10550 38140 246945 65+ 2000 19070 9090 18710 8700 3570 4150 10210 13940 5520 17010 109970 2005 20280 9260 19630 9220 4110 4320 10210 13820 5770 18510 115130 2010 22470 9640 21230 10020 4880 4600 10830 14630 6190 21020 125510 All Ages 2000 145460 67200 153400 40700 46800 36300 96100 162900 38200 123300 910360 2005 146600 66400 156400 43200 46400 35500 95700 167200 37400 129500 924300 2010 146620 65200 158800 45400 45600 34400 94600 170500 36400 134700 932220