Political Mobilization and the Institutional Origins of National Developmentalist States: the Cases of Turkey, Mexico, Argentina, and Egypt

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Political Mobilization and the Institutional Origins of National Developmentalist States: the Cases of Turkey, Mexico, Argentina, and Egypt Political Mobilization and the Institutional Origins of National Developmentalist States: the Cases of Turkey, Mexico, Argentina, and Egypt A Dissertation Presented to the Faculty of the Graduate School of Cornell University In Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements for the Degree of Doctor of Philosophy by Berk Esen January 2015 © 2015 Berk Esen Political Mobilization and the Institutional Origins of National Developmentalist States: the Cases of Turkey, Mexico, Argentina, and Egypt Berk Esen, Ph.D. Cornell University 2015 My dissertation examines why the common challenge of late development has generated starkly different responses in the Global South. I focus in particular on a cluster of cases that reacted to trade imbalances and political turmoil at the international stage with a combined agenda of economic nationalism, social progress and state-led industrialization, establishing what I term national developmentalist states. Why then, despite facing similar adaptive pressures, did these regimes markedly differ in terms of their durability and socio-economic policies? Through a careful study of such regimes in Turkey, Mexico, Argentina and Egypt during the middle third of the twentieth century, the dissertation specifies four variants of the national-developmentalist state and articulates how each type produced a distinct policy set with varying redistributive implications and political outcomes. I argue that where leaders invested heavily in building cohesive ruling-party and/or state organizations, regimes proved durable even with only moderate levels of economic redistribution. Where such institutions were weak, leaders could expand their popularity through excessive redistribution and risk elite polarization or establish a limited base but remain vulnerable to elite defections and popular opposition. These regime institutions were in turn conditioned by the intensity of intra-elite conflict and the differing ability of reformist elites to mobilize popular classes at the onset of their rule. I employ multiple strategies of inquiry, including paired comparisons and process tracing, to identify the causal mechanisms that link initial political conflict to institutions, and eventually to regime trajectories. BIOGRAPHICAL SKETCH Berk Esen holds a Ph.D. in Government from Cornell University, with a specialization in comparative politics and international relations. Before joining the PhD program, he received a BA from Vanderbilt University in 2004 and obtained MA degrees in political science from Sabanci University, in integrated social sciences from Jacobs University Bremen, and in government from Cornell University. He spent 18 months conducting research in Buenos Aires and Istanbul and was a visiting fellow at Torcuato Di Tella University, Buenos Aires and Sabanci University, Istanbul. His research interests are in the fields of authoritarian regimes, social movements and political parties in the Middle East and Latin America, and political economy of development. Berk's work appeared in Middle East Review of International Affairs (MERIA) and Turkish Studies. In the fall 2014 semester, he was a visiting scholar at Columbia University. In February 2015, he will join Sabanci University as a postdoctoral fellow. v To my parents, Mine and Saffet Esen vi ACKNOWLEDGMENTS This dissertation emerged out of my fascination with the remarkable, yet surprising, similarities between modern Argentine and Turkish histories. What started off as a two case study soon grew into a much larger project that focuses on four countries and possibly has relevance for other countries elsewhere. My research has taken me to several cities in three continents over the years. During this period, I have incurred significant debt to many people who assisted me along the way. My gratitude to them goes beyond anything I can write in these few pages. My deepest gratitude goes to my dissertation committee, especially my adviser and mentor, Kenneth Roberts. After I met Ken during a campus visit before starting my PhD, I did not again consider another graduate program. In many ways, Ken affected my decision to come to Cornell and over the years I have always felt that I made the right choice. Ken was always generous with his time and offered great advice as well as support that helped me to overcome various hurdles in graduate school. Above all, I greatly benefited from his vast knowledge of Latin American politics, which made this cross-regional study feasible. Sid Tarrow played an important role in my development as a scholar. His sympathetic but critical observations helped me narrow the scope of this project and move forward with the empirical chapters. After submitting a chapter, Sid was always the first to send his comments and this project improved tremendously thanks to them. Nic van de Walle offered great insight and sound advice on the theoretical claims of this dissertation with the rigor of a political economist. His seminar in my first year at vii graduate school was my first foray into development studies and this dissertation brings me full circle to those days. It addresses some of the questions I initially raised six years ago during his seminar. Finally, I am deeply grateful to Sebnem Gumuscu, an expert of Turkish and Egyptian politics, who served as an external reader of this dissertation. Despite her busy schedule, she gave insightful comments and provided much needed advice during the tumultuous final weeks of my dissertation writing. I felt honored to have the chance to work with her. I was fortunate to attend an excellent Political Science Department, which enticed my curiosity to ask grand questions and provided me with the much needed resources to explore them. Despite its somewhat inhospitable weather, Ithaca proved to be an academically rigorous and intellectually stimulating environment and I am truly grateful for all the opportunities that I had there. At Cornell I interacted with an amazing community of scholars and graduate students, whose comments, questions, and suggestions guided my path both intellectually and emotionally in graduate school. Many ideas I pursued in my dissertation germinated in conversations at classrooms and beyond. Beyond my dissertation committee, Thomas Pepinsky, David Patel, Jonathan Kirshner, Valerie Bunce, and Peter Katzenstein provided valuable advice at different stages of my graduate studies. While working as a Teaching Assistant for their classes, Thomas Zittel, David Patel, and Gustavo Flores-Macias provided excellent role models of effective teaching. Lastly, I am extremely grateful to Tina Slater, who, with her energetic spirit and positive attitude, always made sure that viii I met all the deadlines, satisfied important departmental requirements, and solved problems which to me seemed like bureaucratic nightmares. Reaching the end of my educational career makes me appreciate and acknowledge the inspiring teachers I have had over the years until I reached Cornell. Matthijs Bogaards, my advisor and mentor in the MA program at Jacobs University Bremen, was instrumental in introducing me to most recent research in political science and eased my way to Cornell. I benefited immensely from my undergraduate courses taught by Matthew Ramsey, William Caferro, and John Vasquez. I am grateful that Professor Vasquez allowed me to take his graduate seminar while still an undergraduate student. Lastly, Chilton Watrous, Ersin Aybars, and Hafize Deger, my high school teachers at Robert College, instilled in me a deep appreciation of history and literature that proved useful throughout my graduate school career. To say that graduate school was challenging and stressful would be an understatement. My friends at Cornell offered support, advice, and encouragement during difficult moments, while sharing my happiness and having fun with me. Together they made life in the cold and small Ithaca more bearable. I learned almost as much from my comparativist colleagues - particularly Don Leonard, Igor Logvinenko, and Philip Ayoub - in the cohort as from my readings. Satyaki Prasad, my ex-flatmate, was one of the first people I met at Cornell and I have greatly enjoyed our conversations and benefited from his friendship during the ups and downs of graduate school. Many thanks also to Emre Ekinci, Can Dalyan, Deniz Yonucu, Khaled Malas, Gokce Gunel, Oguz and Asli Tarhan, Murat Keyder, Bhavna Devani, Deondra Rose, Janice Gallagher, Pinar Kemerli, Simon Gilhooley, Defne Over, and ix Steffen Blings. My deep gratitude goes to Amy Kohout, who witnessed both the joys and excitement, and the worries and disappointments of my pre-fieldwork period. Last, but very far from least, is Lesley Turnbull, who made a surprising but very rewarding entrance to my life in the beginning of our final year in graduate school. She spent hours listening to me talk about various versions of my theoretical framework, Turkish politics, and Latin American culture, tolerated my panicky state of mind during the last few months, read the entire manuscript and gave valuable feedback, and shared many happy moments in Ithaca and, then, in New York City. Without her support, friendship, and love, my writing would have taken longer and my life would have been duller. During fieldwork I have benefited from the assistance of several institutions and numerous individuals. In Turkey, Sabanci University offered excellent academic contacts, library support, and work space, not to mention a stimulating intellectual environment. Having studied there for a
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