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Use of In-Depth Data in Comparing Euroncap and Real-World Crash Results

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Use of In-Depth Data in Comparing Euroncap and Real-World Crash Results Quality Criteria for the Safety Assessment of Cars Based on Real-World Crashes Use of In-Depth Data in Comparing EuroNCAP and Real-World Crash Results Report of Sub-Task 2.3 CEA/EC SARAC II QUALITY CRITERIA FOR THE SAFETY ASSESSME OF CARS BASED ON REAL-WORLD CRASHES Funded by the European Commission, Directorate General TREN SARAC II Quality Criteria for the Safety Assessment of Cars based on Real-World Crashes Project Number: SUB/B27020B-E3-S07.17321-2002 Report of Sub-Task 2.3 Use of In-Depth Data in Comparing EuroNCAP and Real-World Crash Results Stuart Newstead, Amanda Delaney and Max Cameron Monash University Accident Research Centre March 2006 CEA/EC SARAC II QUALITY CRITERIA FOR THE SAFETY ASSESSME OF CARS BASED ON REAL-WORLD CRASHES Funded by the European Commission, Directorate General TREN International Project Management Comité Européen des Assurances (CEA) Prof. Dr. Klaus Langwieder SARAC Members European Commission (EC) Comité Européen des Assurances (CEA) DG TREN 26 Boulevard Haussmann 28 Rue Demot FR-75009 Paris B-1040 Brussels Monash University Helsinki University of Technology Accident Research Centre (MUARC) Laboratory of Transportation Engineering Building 70, P.O. Box 2100 Clayton, 3800 Victoria, Australia FIN-02015 HUT, Finland BMW Group Bundesanstalt für Straßenwesen Centro Zaragoza Vehicle Safety (BASt) Instituto de Investigación Sobre D-80788 München Brüderstraße 53 Reparación de Vehiculos, S.A. D-51427 Bergisch Gladbach Carretera Nacional 232, km 273 E-50690 Pedrola (Zaragoza) DaimlerChrysler AG Department for Transport FIA Foundation for the Automobile Zone 1/29a Great Minister House and Society D-71059 Sindelfingen 76 Marsham Street 8 Place de la Concorde London, SW1P 4DR United Kingdom Paris 75008 France Ministry of Transport and Finnish Motor Insurers’ Centre FOLKSAM Insurance Group Communications of Finland (VALT) Research/Traffic Safety P.O. Box 31 Bulevardi 28, S-106 60 Stockholm FIN 0023 Helsinki FIN-00120 Helsinki Ford Motor Company German Insurance Association Honda Motor Europe Safety Data Analysis (SDA) (GDV) Wijngaardveld 1 Automotive Safety Office (ASO) German Insurance Institute for Traffic 9300 Aalst Belgium Köln-Merkenich / Spessartstraße Engineering D-50725 Köln Friedrichstrasse 191, D-10117 Berlin Insurance Institute for Highway ITARDA IVT Heilbronn Safety (IIHS) & Institute for Traffic Accident Institut für Verkehrs- und Highway Loss Data Institute (HLDI) Research and Data Analysis Tourismusforschung e. V. 1005 N. Glebe Road Kojimachi Tokyu Bldg. 6-6 Kojimachi, Kreuzäckerstr. 15 Arlington, VA 22201 USA Chiyoda-ku Tokyo 102-0083 Japan D-74081 Heilbronn Japanese Automobile Research Laboratory of Accidentology, Loughborough University Institute (JARI) Biomechanics and Human Vehicle Safety Research Centre 2530 Karima, Tsukuba Behaviour PSA Peugeot- Holywell Building Loughborough Ibaraki 305-0822, Japan Citroën/RENAULT (LAB) Leicestershire LE 11 3 UZ UK 132 Rue des Suisses 92000 Nanterre (France) National Organisation for Swedish Road Administration Technische Universität Automotive Safety and Victims Aid (SRA) Braunschweig (NASVA) Röda Vägen Institut für Mathematische Stochastik 6-1-25, Kojimachi Chiyoda-Ku, S-78187 Borlange Pockelsstr. 14 Tokyo, 102-0083, Japan D-38106 Braunschweig Verband der Automobilindustie Volkswagen AG (VDA) Westendstr. 61 1777 Unfallforschung D-60325 Frankfurt/Main D-38436 Wolfsburg CEA/EC SARAC II QUALITY CRITERIA FOR THE SAFETY ASSESSME OF CARS BASED ON REAL-WORLD CRASHES Funded by the European Commission, Directorate General TREN Document Retrieval Information Report No. Date Pages 251 March 2006 12 Title and Subtitle Use of in-depth data in comparing EuroNCAP and real-world crash results. Author(s) Newstead S., Delaney A, Cameron M. Performing Organisation Accident Research Centre Building 70 Monash University, 3800, Victoria Australia Sub-Task Participants Pilot: Monash University Accident Research Centre Sub-contractors: Monash University Accident Research Centre BASt Advisors: LAB Observers: NASVA GDV JARI UK Department for Transport Ford Abstract In previous SARAC work comparing the relationship between injury outcomes in real crashes and the results of EuroNCAP testing, injury outcomes in real crashes have been assessed at the broadest level with the real crash outcome measure being an average overall risk of death or serious injury to the vehicle driver across all body regions. Being able to make comparisons between injury outcomes on a finer injury severity scale and by body region with results from EuroNCAP testing by body region on the crash test dummy would allow much finer assessment of the ability of EuroNCAP to reflect real world outcomes in crashes. The aim of this sub task was to assess the suitability of available European in-depth crash data sources for comparing real world crash outcomes by body region and on a finer injury severity scale with results of EuroNCAP testing by body region. This study examines the suitability of two existing European databases for in-depth analysis and summarises the data requirements for future analysis. Keywords NEW CAR ASSESSMENT PROGRAM (NCAP), REAL-WORLD DATA, CRASHWORTHINESS, CORRELATION The views expressed are those of the authors and do not necessarily represent those of CEA or any of the participants of the SARAC committee. CEA/EC SARAC II Table of Contents Table of Contents EXECUTIVE SUMMARY......................................................................................................................... 1 1 BACKGROUND AND AIMS ........................................................................................................... 3 2 AUSTRALIAN RESEARCH EXPERIENCE.................................................................................... 3 3 EUROPEAN IN-DEPTH DATA SOURCES .................................................................................... 6 3.1 CCIS ........................................................................................................................................ 6 3.2 PENDANT................................................................................................................................ 7 4 SUITABILITY OF IN-DEPTH DATA SOURCES ............................................................................ 8 4.1 CCIS DATA.............................................................................................................................. 8 4.2 PENDANT DATA ..................................................................................................................... 9 4.3 SUMMARY .............................................................................................................................. 9 5 SUMMARY OF DATA REQUIREMENTS FOR FUTURE ANALYSIS ......................................... 10 5.1 OTHER POSSIBLE DATA SOURCES ............................................................................................ 11 6 REFERENCES .............................................................................................................................. 12 CEA/EC SARAC II EXECUTIVE SUMMARY EXECUTIVE SUMMARY In previous SARAC work comparing the relationship between injury outcomes in real crashes and the results of EuroNCAP testing, injury outcomes in real crashes have been assessed at the broadest level with the real crash outcome measure being an average overall risk of death or serious injury to the vehicle driver across all body regions. Being able to make comparisons between injury outcomes on a finer injury severity scale and by body region with results from EuroNCAP testing by body region on the crash test dummy would allow much finer assessment of the ability of EuroNCAP to reflect real world outcomes in crashes. The aim of this sub task was to assess the suitability of available European in-depth crash data sources for comparing real world crash outcomes by body region and on a finer injury severity scale with results of EuroNCAP testing by body region. Earlier Australian analysis shows the potential for comparing injury severity outcomes in real crashes and NCAP testing score components by body region and using the finer AIS injury severity scoring system. It was able to identify significant correlations between score components and real crash outcomes in specific body regions in each of the test configurations considered. The analysis was limited, however, in that it did not include adjustment for differences in driver characteristics and crash circumstances between vehicle models that may have confounded the results presented. Ideally, analysis should have included adjustment of such differences. However, the limited data available for analysis meant the adjusted analysis was not feasible. Two European in-depth crash inspection data sources were made available for assessing the general suitability of such data sources for examining the relationship between real crash outcomes and EuroNCAP test results by body region of injury. Suitability of both the CCIS and PENDANT databases for assessing the relationship between EuroNCAP tests and real crash outcomes by body region and more specific injury severity outcome are related to the content and coverage of the data. Both databases appear in theory to be suitable for comparing to EuroNCAP results by body region and more specific levels of injury severity. Both have the information on injury severity by body region and sufficient details on vehicle model and year of manufacture to match with EuroNCAP test data. They also both appear to contain the
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