Evaluating the Historical Factors Influencing U.S. Agricultural Policy Derek Farnsworth University of Florida Food and Resource Economics Department
[email protected] Charles B. Moss University of Florida Food and Resource Economics Department
[email protected] Selected Paper prepared for presentation for the 2015 Agricultural & Applied Economics Association and Western Agricultural Economics Association Annual Meeting, San Francisco, CA, July 26-28. Copyright 2015 by Derek Farnsworth and Charles Moss. All rights reserved. Readers may make verbatim copies of this document for non-commercial purposes by any means, provided that this copyright notice appears on all such copies. Evaluating the Historical Factors Influencing U.S. Agricultural Policy Derek Farnsworth and Charles B. Moss Introduction Both the economics and political science literatures have devoted a great deal of attention to the topic of agricultural policy. Numerous models and explanations have been proposed to describe consistent trends in agricultural policy such as the support of small agricultural industries in developed countries and the lack of support or taxation of agricultural industries in developing countries. Likewise, several authors have reviewed the history and political motivations of U.S. agricultural policy (Black 1929; De Gorter and Swinnen 1994; Schmitz et al. 2010; Schultz 1945). Despite this attention, there has yet to be a comprehensive empirical analysis of the economic factors motivating U.S. agricultural policy. The purpose of this paper is to investigate the evolution of U.S. farm policy over the last century using a model of economic policy formation. We test whether U.S. agricultural policy over the previous 50 years has reflected multiple distinct policy regimes possessing different policy outcome measures.