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[email protected] www.strategicforesight.com Project Advice Ilmas Futehally Authors Gitanjali Bakshi Sahiba Trivedi Creative Preeti Rathi Motwani Copyright © Strategic Foresight Group, 2011 Permission is hereby granted to quote or reproduce from this report with due credit to Strategic Foresight Group Processed by MadderRed, Mumbai FOREWORD Strategic Foresight Group has been a consistent advocate of reason in relations between India and Pakistan. It has recognised water as a critical determinant of peace and development in many parts of the world. This paper brings together these two strands in our work. It will be in order to recall some of the earlier work done by Strategic Foresight Group to urge rationality in India- Pakistan relations. In 2004, we published the first ever comprehensive assessment of Cost of Conflict between India-Pakistan in a report with this title. In 2005 we published The Final Settlement where we strongly argued that integrated water development would need to be a part of long-lasting solution between the two countries. Since then we have been regularly advocating a pragmatic approach for India and Pakistan to foster cooperation and move ahead to enable social and economic development of their people, instead of wasting precious resources on terrorism, counter terrorism and an arms race. We initiated work on water on the advice of an international conference onResponsibility to the Future, which was co-hosted by SFG with the United Nations Global Compact, inaugurated by the President of India and attended by delegates from 25 countries in June 2008.