Global Issues an INSIDER’S VIEW of TODAY’S WORLD
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SARASOTA INSTITUTE OF LIFETIME LEARNING Global Issues AN INSIDER’S VIEW OF TODAY’S WORLD FREE VIRTUAL SEASON See Page 4 2021 sillsarasota.org GLOBAL ISSUES PROGRAM A MESSAGE FROM THE PRESIDENT Tuesdays 10:30 am Thursdays 10:30 am Welcome to the 50th season of SILL! U.S. Military As The President’s Inbox 5 An Agent for Democracy 7 From a small startup operation years ago, Christopher Hill Gary Roughead SILL now operates five venues (in normal times) and last year attracted more than Iran’s Foreign Policy: America’s Strategic 45,000 attendees. 12 Continuity and Change 14 Future in a World of Rival Mohsen Milani Authoritarian Great Powers Due to the coronavirus, our 2021 season Dan Twining will be conducted virtually. It will be offered 19 Is the Middle East 21 The Impact of the Corona- free to everyone, our way of saying thank virus on the Conduct of U.S. JANUARY Turning a Page? you for 50 years of wonderful subscriber Amb. Dennis Ross Diplomacy and Historical Perspec- tives from Africa Jimmy Kokler participation. We suffered a big loss, over the summer, with the death of our beloved 26 The U.S. and Russia: 28 Drones and Paradoxes of Conflict Drone Warfare Edward Alley. Ed had taken over the music program from his wife, June and Collaboration Capt. John Jackson LeBell and had done a fantastic job of recruiting and interviewing our John Beyrle wonderful musicians. Our 2021 season is dedicated to Ed who will be 2 Diplomacy in the Time 4 The European Union: greatly missed by all of us. The music program will now be led by the of COVID-19 What’s Next? very talented Joseph Holt who will continue the work of June and Ed. Thomas Shannon Martin Walker Our SILL Music Monday program in 2021 will feature some truly 9 Turkey’s Return 11 Neglected Crises: remarkable musicians. Olga Kern, widely viewed as the best pianist in to The Middle East in Casandras the world, will be joined by her son Vladislav Kern and together they will An Age of Global Turmoil Wendy Chamberlin perform some wonderful music. Legendary jazz pianist Dick Hyman will Asli Aydintasbas team up with tenor Robert White in what I think will be a very exciting 16 The New Normal 18 Presidential Leadership offering. Other performers include saxophone player Steven Banks, FEBRUARY Margaret Jay in Crises pianist Tetiana Shafran and soprano Adelaide Boedecker. Jeremi Suri Our Global Issues program committee, chaired by Jeff Olesen, has 23Lessons from the Global 25 Food Security: booked some impressive speakers for 2021. Ambassador Dennis Ross Pandemic: The U.S. Can’t Bringing Science and will return to explore the current state of the Israeli/Palestinian conflict. Make Its Own Generic Medicines Politics to the Table Rosemary Gibson Aron Troen Admiral Gary Roughhead will discuss our evolving military. Jeremy Suri will address presidential leadership in crisis while Susan Spaulding , Indispensable Nation? The United States Under former Undersecretary for Cybersecurity and Critical Infrastructure 2 Electronic Siege: 4 The U.S. Role Are We Losing the War? in World Order at the Department of Homeland Security, will discuss the US under Suzanne Spaulding Robert Lieber electronic siege. Rosemary Gibson, author of China Rx, will explore lessons from the global pandemic. Ambassador Robert Ford will be 9 Pandemics, Privatization, 11 China’s Economic and Political Power Plays Challenges and U.S.-China talking about Syria and the Kurds. Our very popular SILL speakers Thomas Gentzel Competition Martin Walker, Baroness Margaret Jay, Dr. Moshen Milani, and Dr. Bob David Dollar Barylski will return to illuminate their areas of expertise. The Centaur’s Dilemma: Syria and the Kurds 16 National Security Law for 18 We hope you will join us for our 2021 season. Please invite your friends Robert Ford The Coming Artificial Intelligence even if they don’t live in Sarasota. We are looking forward to our season MARCH Revolution James Baker and hope you will join us to expand your horizons in both Music and Russia-American Global Issues. Above all, please stay safe and healthy. 23 Japan’s Global Moment 25 Relations After Our Josh Walker Presidential Election Beth Cotner Robert Barylski President 30 The Politicization of The Department of Justice Robert Gary G2 G3 SILL’s 2021 SEASON IS VIRTUAL! O F G N L I I F N E A R T I M E L E WELCOME! TO OUR 50th SEASON Global Issues and Music Mondays programs will both be live- streamed. From the comfort of home, on the go, using a cell phone or tablet, or sitting in a coffee shop, viewing the world- class content from SILL is as simple as pushing a button. As a special treat, all programs are FREE this year. As in previous years, presentations will run from early January through the end of March. Music Mondays presentations will be on Mondays at 10:30 a.m. Global issues lectures will be presented on Tuesdays and Thursdays at 10:30 a.m. Each presentation will be an hour in length. Also, as with previous seasons, you will be able to ask questions of the presenter by sending your questions, in real- time, to the session moderator. Should you miss any presentations, you will be able to access them for a couple of weeks via a link on SILL’s website: www.SILLSarasota.org To participate in our 2021 virtual program this year, you will need to sign up with your name and email address. Go to the BONUS LECTURE SILL website and click on Virtual Season - How to View. To keep GLOBAL ISSUES TUESDAY you engaged with the 2021 Season, we will send out notices via 10:30 am Constant Contact to remind you of each presentation. – MARCH 30 – Enjoy our Golden Anniversary Season...a season like no other! The Politicization of the Department of Justice Throughout most of our history, the U.S. Department of Justice has been an apolitical defender and protector of the rule of law. Robert Gary will examine what has occurred in recent years at the DOJ and policies and practices that have strayed from that respected and valued tradition. G4 G5 GLOBAL ISSUES TUESDAY GLOBAL ISSUES TUESDAY 10:30 am 10:30 am – JANUARY 5 – – FEBRUARY 16 – U.S. Military as an Agent for Democracy The New Normal Adm. Gary Roughead will discuss the evolving role of the U.S. military The current view is that the Coronavirus pandemic has transformed as an agent for the promotion of Democracy around the globe. His the way our economies will work. In the U.K. the BREXIT problem has discussion will explore how the military is playing a more active role in been replaced by new concern about how business can be successful Diplomacy and exporting American values to the world. in a much more regulated global world. Baroness Margaret Jay will discuss whether the ‘New Normal’ will really be permanent or will we – JANUARY 12 – all slip back into the old ways more quickly than we think? Iran’s Foreign Policy: Continuity and Change – FEBRUARY 23 – The Iranian Revolution of 1979 shocked Americans when it demolished Lessons from the Global Pandemic: the Shah’s pro-American regime and survived through multiple crises The U.S. Can’t Make Its Own Generic Medicines for 42 years. From Carter to Trump, seven American presidents failed The global pandemic has exposed U.S. and global dependence on to end the confrontation. Dr. Mohsen Milani will discuss the impact of China for essential ingredients to make thousands of generic drugs. our 2020 presidential election on relations between Washington and The U.S. can no longer make aspirin, penicillin or other generic Tehran. antibiotics. Rosemary Gibson will discuss how we got here, the risks, – JANUARY 19 – and mitigating measures. Is the Middle East Turning a Page? – MARCH 2 – As the new administration begins, it is faced with a plethora of The United States under Electronic Siege: Are We Losing the War? challenges, from the pandemic’s health and economic dimensions to Our democratic institutions and elections are under siege - not by regional great power rivalries. Amb. Dennis Ross will explain how military might, but by modern day electronics. Suzanne Spaulding, one might navigate this evolving landscape and some of the decisions former Undersecretary for Cybersecurity and Critical Infrastructure at facing our new administration. the Department of Homeland Security, will describe this threat to our democracy and analyze our response. – JANUARY 26 – – MARCH 9 – The U.S. and Russia: Paradoxes of Conflict and Collaboration Pandemics, Privatization, and Political Power Plays Despite the tensions between the United States and Russia, there Public education is a birthright in the United States. That’s a constant, is a peculiar strain of pragmatism that tempers Moscow’s dealings but what it means, and how it looks, is always changing, sometimes with Washington. Amb. John Beyrle suggests that this pragmatic dramatically. Thomas J. Gentzel examines the trends, and the often framework is not new but has defined the relationship from Catherine unexpected forces, that are altering American basic education. the Great through Stalin to Putin. – MARCH 16 – The Centaur’s Dilemma: National Security Law for the Coming – FEBRUARY 2 – Artificial Intelligence Revolution Diplomacy in the Time of COVID-19 What is artificial intelligence? How does it work? What are its security The pandemic has shown the extent of Latin America’s globalization, applications, implications, and challenges? Are we ready for the coming threatened its economies, laid bare its social inequalities, and upended AI revolution? Experts refer to a Centaur Model of AI as part machine, regional cooperation.