Extinction Debt: a Challenge for Biodiversity Conservation
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Long-Term Declines of a Highly Interactive Urban Species
Biodiversity and Conservation (2018) 27:3693–3706 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10531-018-1621-z ORIGINAL PAPER Long‑term declines of a highly interactive urban species Seth B. Magle1 · Mason Fidino1 Received: 26 March 2018 / Revised: 9 August 2018 / Accepted: 24 August 2018 / Published online: 1 September 2018 © Springer Nature B.V. 2018 Abstract Urbanization generates shifts in wildlife communities, with some species increasing their distribution and abundance, while others decline. We used a dataset spanning 15 years to assess trends in distribution and habitat dynamics of the black-tailed prairie dog, a highly interactive species, in urban habitat remnants in Denver, CO, USA. Both available habitat and number of prairie dog colonies declined steeply over the course of the study. However, we did observe new colonization events that correlated with habitat connectivity. Destruc- tion of habitat may be slowing, but the rate of decline of prairie dogs apparently remained unafected. By using our estimated rates of loss of colonies throughout the study, we pro- jected a 40% probability that prairie dogs will be extirpated from this area by 2067, though that probability could range as high as 50% or as low as 20% depending on the rate of urban development (i.e. habitat loss). Prairie dogs may fulfll important ecological roles in urban landscapes, and could persist in the Denver area with appropriate management and habitat protections. Keywords Connectivity · Prairie dog · Urban habitat · Interactive species · Habitat fragmentation · Landscape ecology Introduction The majority of the world’s human population lives in urban areas, which represent the earth’s fastest growing ecotype (Grimm et al. -
Forest Habitat Loss and Fragmentation in Central Poland During the Last 100 Years
Silva Fennica 44(4) research notes SILVA FENNICA www.metla.fi/silvafennica · ISSN 0037-5330 The Finnish Society of Forest Science · The Finnish Forest Research Institute Forest Habitat Loss and Fragmentation in Central Poland during the Last 100 Years Tomasz D. Mazgajski, Michał Żmihorski and Katarzyna Abramowicz Mazgajski, T.D., Żmihorski, M. & Abramowicz, K. 2010. Forest habitat loss and fragmentation in Central Poland during the last 100 years. Silva Fennica 44(4): 715–723. The process of habitat fragmentation consists of two components – habitat loss and fragmenta- tion per se. Both are thought to be among the most important threats to biodiversity. However, the biological consequences of this process such as species occurrence, abundance, or genetic structure of population are driven by current, as well as previous, landscape configurations. Therefore, historical analyses of habitat distribution are of great importance in explaining the current species distribution. In our analysis, we describe the forest fragmentation process for an area of 178 km2 in the northern part of Mazowsze region of central Poland. Topographical maps from the years 1890, 1957 and 1989 were used. Over the 100-year period, forest cover- age in this area changed from 17% to 5.6%, the number of patches increased from 19 to 42, while the area of the forest interior decreased from 1933 ha to 371 ha. The two components of fragmentation were clearly separated in time. Habitat loss occurred mainly during the first period (1890–1957) and fragmentation per se in the second (1957–1989). Moreover, we recorded that only 47.7% of all the currently (in 1989) afforested areas constitute sites where forests previously occurred (in 1890 and 1957). -
Monitoring and Indicators of Forest Biodiversity in Europe – from Ideas to Operationality
Monitoring and Indicators of Forest Biodiversity in Europe – From Ideas to Operationality Marco Marchetti (ed.) EFI Proceedings No. 51, 2004 European Forest Institute IUFRO Unit 8.07.01 European Environment Agency IUFRO Unit 4.02.05 IUFRO Unit 4.02.06 Joint Research Centre Ministero della Politiche Accademia Italiana di University of Florence (JRC) Agricole e Forestali – Scienze Forestali Corpo Forestale dello Stato EFI Proceedings No. 51, 2004 Monitoring and Indicators of Forest Biodiversity in Europe – From Ideas to Operationality Marco Marchetti (ed.) Publisher: European Forest Institute Series Editors: Risto Päivinen, Editor-in-Chief Minna Korhonen, Technical Editor Brita Pajari, Conference Manager Editorial Office: European Forest Institute Phone: +358 13 252 020 Torikatu 34 Fax. +358 13 124 393 FIN-80100 Joensuu, Finland Email: [email protected] WWW: http://www.efi.fi/ Cover illustration: Vallombrosa, Augustus J C Hare, 1900 Layout: Kuvaste Oy Printing: Gummerus Printing Saarijärvi, Finland 2005 Disclaimer: The papers in this book comprise the proceedings of the event mentioned on the back cover. They reflect the authors' opinions and do not necessarily correspond to those of the European Forest Institute. © European Forest Institute 2005 ISSN 1237-8801 (printed) ISBN 952-5453-04-9 (printed) ISSN 14587-0610 (online) ISBN 952-5453-05-7 (online) Contents Pinborg, U. Preface – Ideas on Emerging User Needs to Assess Forest Biodiversity ......... 7 Marchetti, M. Introduction ...................................................................................................... 9 Session 1: Emerging User Needs and Pressures on Forest Biodiversity De Heer et al. Biodiversity Trends and Threats in Europe – Can We Apply a Generic Biodiversity Indicator to Forests? ................................................................... 15 Linser, S. The MCPFE’s Work on Biodiversity ............................................................. -
Report of the Workshop on Assessing the Population Viability of Endangered Marine Mammals in U.S
Report of the Workshop on Assessing the Population Viability of Endangered Marine Mammals in U.S. Waters 13–15 September 2005 Savannah, Georgia Prepared by the Marine Mammal Commission 2007 This is one of five reports prepared in response to a directive from Congress to the Marine Mammal Commission to assess the cost-effectiveness of protection programs for the most endangered marine mammals in U.S. waters TABLE OF CONTENTS List of Tables ..................................................................................................................... iv Executive Summary.............................................................................................................v I. Introduction..............................................................................................................1 II. Biological Viability..................................................................................................1 III. Population Viability Analysis..................................................................................5 IV. Viability of the Most Endangered Marine Mammals ..............................................6 Extinctions and recoveries.......................................................................................6 Assessment of biological viability...........................................................................7 V. Improving Listing Decisions..................................................................................10 Quantifying the listing process ..............................................................................10 -
Why Is the Alpine Flora Comparatively Robust Against Climatic Warming?
diversity Review Why Is the Alpine Flora Comparatively Robust against Climatic Warming? Christian Körner * and Erika Hiltbrunner Department of Environmental Sciences, Botany, University of Basel, Schönbeinstrasse 6, 4056 Basel, Switzerland; [email protected] * Correspondence: [email protected] Abstract: The alpine belt hosts the treeless vegetation above the high elevation climatic treeline. The way alpine plants manage to thrive in a climate that prevents tree growth is through small stature, apt seasonal development, and ‘managing’ the microclimate near the ground surface. Nested in a mosaic of micro-environmental conditions, these plants are in a unique position by a close-by neighborhood of strongly diverging microhabitats. The range of adjacent thermal niches that the alpine environment provides is exceeding the worst climate warming scenarios. The provided mountains are high and large enough, these are conditions that cause alpine plant species diversity to be robust against climatic change. However, the areal extent of certain habitat types will shrink as isotherms move upslope, with the potential areal loss by the advance of the treeline by far outranging the gain in new land by glacier retreat globally. Keywords: biodiversity; high-elevation; mountains; phenology; snow; species distribution; treeline; topography; vegetation; warming Citation: Körner, C.; Hiltbrunner, E. Why Is the Alpine Flora Comparatively Robust against 1. Introduction Climatic Warming? Diversity 2021, 13, The alpine world covers a small land fraction, simply since mountains get narrower 383. https://doi.org/10.3390/ with elevation [1]. Globally, 2.6% of the terrestrial area outside Antarctica meets the criteria d13080383 for ‘alpine’ [2,3], a terrain still including a lot of barren or glaciated areas, with the actual plant covered area closer to 2% (an example for the Eastern Alps in [4]). -
Understanding the Ecology of Extinction: Are We Close to the Critical Threshold?
Ann. Zool. Fennici 40: 71–80 ISSN 0003-455X Helsinki 30 April 2003 © Finnish Zoological and Botanical Publishing Board 2003 Understanding the ecology of extinction: are we close to the critical threshold? Tim G. Benton Institute of Biological Sciences, University of Stirling, FK9 4LA, UK (e-mail: [email protected]) Received 25 Nov. 2002, revised version received 20 Jan. 2003, accepted 21 Jan. 2003 Benton, T. G. 2003: Understanding the ecology of extinction: are we close to the critical threshold? — Ann. Zool. Fennici 40: 71–80. How much do we understand about the ecology of extinction? A review of recent lit- erature, and a recent conference in Helsinki gives a snapshot of the “state of the art”*. This “snapshot” is important as it highlights what we currently know, the tools avail- able for studying the process of extinction, its ecological correlates, and the theory concerning extinction thresholds. It also highlights that insight into the ecology of extinction can come from areas as diverse as the study of culture, the fossil record and epidemiology. Furthermore, it indicates where the gaps in knowledge and understand- ing exist. Of particular note is the need either to generate experimental data, or to make use of existing empirical data — perhaps through meta-analyses, to test general theory and guide its future development. Introduction IUCNʼs 2002 Red List, a total of 11 167 species are currently known to be threatened (http:// Few would argue that managing natural popu- www.redlist.org/info/tables/table1.html), though lations and their habitats is one of the greatest this is a gross underestimate of the true value, as, challenges for humans in the 21st century. -
Critical Thresholds Associated with Habitat Loss for Two Vernal Pool-Breeding Amphibians
Ecological Applications, 14(5), 2004, pp. 1547±1553 q 2004 by the Ecological Society of America CRITICAL THRESHOLDS ASSOCIATED WITH HABITAT LOSS FOR TWO VERNAL POOL-BREEDING AMPHIBIANS REBECCA NEWCOMB HOMAN,1,3 BRYAN S. WINDMILLER,2 AND J. MICHAEL REED1 1Department of Biology, Tufts University, Medford, Massachusetts 02155 USA 2Hyla Ecological Services, P.O. Box 182, Lincoln, Massachusetts 01773 USA Abstract. A critical threshold exists when the relationship between the amount of suitable habitat and population density or probability of occurrence exhibits a sudden, disproportionate decline as habitat is lost. Critical thresholds are predicted by a variety of modeling approaches, but empirical support has been limited or lacking. We looked for critical thresholds in two pool-breeding amphibians that spend most of the year in adjacent upland forest: the spotted salamander (Ambystoma maculatum) and the wood frog (Rana sylvatica). These species were selected because of their reported poor dispersal capacities and their dependency on forest habitat when not breeding. Using piecewise regression and binomial change-point tests, we looked for a relationship between the probability of oc- cupancy of a site and forest cover at ®ve spatial scales, measuring forest cover in radial distances from the pond edge of suitable breeding ponds: 30 m, 100 m, 300 m, 500 m, and 1000 m. Using piecewise regression, we identi®ed signi®cant thresholds for spotted sala- manders at the 100-m and 300-m spatial scale, and for wood frogs at the 300-m scale. However, binomial change-point tests identi®ed thresholds at all spatial scales for both species, with the location of the threshold (percent habitat cover required) increasing with spatial scale for spotted salamanders and decreasing with spatial scale for wood frogs. -
A Review of Threshold Responses of Birds to Landscape Changes Across the World
J. Field Ornithol. 89(4):303–314, 2018 DOI: 10.1111/jofo.12272 A review of threshold responses of birds to landscape changes across the world Isabel Melo,1,5 Jose Manuel Ochoa-Quintero,1,2 Fabio de Oliveira Roque,1,3 and Bo Dalsgaard4 1Programa de Pos-graduacßao~ em Ecologia e Conservacßao,~ INBIO, Universidade Federal de Mato Grosso do Sul, Campo Grande, Mato Grosso de Sul CP 549, CEP 79070-900, Brazil 2Instituto de Investigacion de Recursos Biologicos Alexander von Humboldt, Avenida Circunvalar 16-20, Bogota D.C., Colombia 3Centre for Tropical Environmental and Sustainability Science (TESS) and College of Science and Engineering, James Cook University, Cairns, QLD 4878, Australia 4Center for Macroecology, Evolution and Climate, Natural History Museum of Denmark, University of Copenhagen, Universitetsparken 15, Copenhagen 2100, Denmark Received 29 June 2018; accepted 26 September 2018 ABSTRACT. Identifying the threshold of habitat cover beyond which species of birds are locally lost is useful for understanding the biological consequences of landscape changes. However, there is little consensus regarding the impact of landscape changes on the likelihood of species extinctions. We conducted a literature search using Scopus and ISI Web of Knowledge databases to identify studies where bird species were used to estimate threshold responses to landscape changes. We obtained a list of 31 papers published from 1994 to 2018, with 24 studies conducted at temperate latitudes and seven in tropical regions. Nineteen studies were based on species-level assessments, and investigators used a variety of response variables such as probability of detection and occurrence to detect threshold responses. Eight studies were based on communities, and species richness and abundance were primarily used to detect threshold responses. -
Dissertation Reproductive Ecology and Population
DISSERTATION REPRODUCTIVE ECOLOGY AND POPULATION VIABILITY OF ALPINE-ENDEMIC PTARMIGAN POPULATIONS IN COLORADO Submitted by Gregory T. Wann Graduate Degree Program in Ecology In partial fulfillment of the requirements For the Degree of Doctor of Philosophy Colorado State University Fort Collins, Colorado Fall 2017 Doctoral committee: Advisor: Cameron L. Aldridge Cameron K. Ghalambor N. Thompson Hobbs Barry R. Noon Copyright by Gregory T. Wann 2017 All Rights Reserved ABSTRACT REPRODUCTIVE ECOLOGY AND POPULATION VIABILITY OF ALPINE-ENDEMIC PTARMIGAN POPULATIONS IN COLORADO Understanding factors regulating populations is a fundamental goal of population ecology. Life-history traits such as survival and fecundity are key vital rates responsible for population change and may vary across elevational gradients. At the upper end of this gradient, the alpine zone, populations are faced with extremely short growing seasons, unpredictable winter conditions dictated by snowpack, and the continued threat of habitat loss due to temperatures increasing beyond the range that defines these cold systems. To date, few studies have addressed population regulation of alpine-endemic species in the context of the aforementioned factors. I used long-term demographic data collected over a 51-year period at two study sites (Mt. Evans and Trail Ridge) together with a contemporary field study (2013- 2015) at three sites (Mt. Evans, Trail Ridge, and Mesa Seco) to examine factors regulating alpine-endemic white-tailed ptarmigan (Lagopus leucura) in Colorado. My first research question addressed fitness consequences of reproductive timing. Past research examining data at the long-term study sites indicated populations responded to warming springs by breeding earlier, and the population that advanced its breeding phenology the most also had a concomitant decreasing trend in observed fecundity. -
Korfanta, N., the Influence of Habitat Fragmentation on Demography And
To the University of Wyoming: The members of the Committee approve the dissertation of Nicole Korfanta presented on January 12, 2011. Matthew J. Kauffman, Chairperson Daniel B. Tinker, External Department Member Daniel F. Doak David B. McDonald William D. Newmark APPROVED: Frank J. Rahel, Department Chair, Zoology and Physiology B. Oliver Walter, Dean, College of Arts and Sciences Korfanta, Nicole, The influence of habitat fragmentation on demography and extinction risk in a tropical understory bird community, Ph.D., Department of Zoology and Physiology, May 2011. Deforestation is the primary cause of species loss in the tropical forests that harbor much of the world’s biodiversity, and understory bird species are particularly sensitive to resulting habitat fragmentation. Ongoing extinctions long after initial fragmentation suggest that demographic consequence of habitat loss are persistent, but the particular vital rates most affected and the range of demographic responses among species are not well understood. Demographic analyses can be useful in identifying the mechanisms by which fragmentation drives extinctions, assessing extinction risk for remaining populations, and guiding effective conservation planning and reserve design. Through analysis of a long-term capture-recapture dataset for understory birds of the Usambara Mountains, Tanzania, I estimated the effects of habitat fragmentation on apparent survival, recruitment, and population growth rate for 22 species in a highly fragmented sub-montane forest. I also estimated landscape-scale effects through analysis of two disjunct communities in adjacent mountain ranges. To assess the role of depressed demographic rates on the long-term persistence of the avian community on remaining forest fragments, I used count-based population viability analysis to estimate extinction risk for eight species on small (2 ha), medium (34 ha), and (704) large forest fragments. -
Creating Tallgrass Prairie Corridors for Species at Risk Using
CREATING TALLGRASS PRAIRIE CORRIDORS FOR SPECIES AT RISK USING GEOGRAPHIC INFORMATION SYSTEMS IN NORFOLK COUNTY, ON Aditi Gupta A THESIS SUBMITTED TO THE FACULTY OF GRADUATE STUDIES IN PARTIAL FULFILLMENT OF THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THE DEGREE OF MASTER OF SCIENCE GRADUATE PROGRAM IN GEOGRAPHY YORK UNIVERSITY TORONTO, ONTARIO December 2018 © Aditi Gupta, 2018 1 ABSTRACT Anthropological land use in Norfolk County, Southwestern Ontario, has resulted in fragmentation of tallgrass prairie habitats which several species at risk are dependent upon. This research aims to create connectivity between fragmented habitats through the development of tallgrass prairie ecological corridors in Norfolk County. Using Geographic Information Systems- based Multi-Criteria Evaluation, attribute layers were weighted according to their relative importance and combined. Five models were developed to represent the varying habitat requirements for ten at-risk species. The most suitable values in each model were combined to create one habitat index map illustrating the best suitability for all species considered in the study. The habitat index map forms the cost surface used to perform a least-cost path analysis which illustrates the optimal corridor connecting core areas. Ideal lands for acquisition for corridor development are low cost, distant from urban built up areas, existing in natural landscapes, and connected to large reserve patches. ii DEDICATION This thesis is dedicated to my mother who has an unwavering belief in my abilities and understood my true passions before I could even begin to comprehend them. iii ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS First and foremost, I extend my most sincere gratitude to my supervisor, Dr.Justin Podur for his years of support and guidance. -
False Shades of Green: the Case of Brazilian Amazonian Hydropower
Energies 2014, 7, 6063-6082; doi:10.3390/en7096063 OPEN ACCESS energies ISSN 1996-1073 www.mdpi.com/journal/energies Article False Shades of Green: The Case of Brazilian Amazonian Hydropower James Randall Kahn 1,2,*, Carlos Edwar Freitas 2,3 and Miguel Petrere 4,5 1 Environmental Studies Program/Economics Department, Washington and Lee University, Holekamp Hall 206, Lexington, VA 24450, USA 2 Department of Fishery Science, Universidade Federal do Amazonas, Av. Rodrigo Otávio 3000, Manaus, AM 69077-000, Brazil; E-Mail: [email protected] 3 Department of Biology, Washington and Lee University, Lexington, VA 24450, USA 4 Programa de Pós-graduação em Diversidade Biológica e Conservação (PPGDBC), Centro de Ciências e Tecnologias para a Sustentabilidade (CCTS), Universidade Federal de São Carlos (UFSCar), Rod. João Leme dos Santos, km 110 – Sorocaba, São Paulo 18052-780, Brazil; E-Mail: [email protected] 5 UNISANTA, Programa de Pós-Graduação em Sustentabilidade de Ecossistemas Costeiros e Marinhos, Rua Oswaldo Cruz, 277 (Boqueirão), Santos (SP) 11045-907, Brazil * Author to whom correspondence should be addressed; E-Mail: [email protected]; Tel.: +1-540-458-8036, +1-540-460-1421, +55-92-8114-9305. Received: 30 June 2014; in revised form: 15 August 2014 / Accepted: 1 September 2014 / Published: 16 September 2014 Abstract: The Federal Government of Brazil has ambitious plans to build a system of 58 additional hydroelectric dams in the Brazilian Amazon, with Hundreds of additional dams planned for other countries in the watershed. Although hydropower is often billed as clean energy, we argue that the environmental impacts of this project are likely to be large, and will result in substantial loss of biodiversity, as well as changes in the flows of ecological services.