Friday, Sept. 6, 2002 ! Volume 9, Number 6 Page 1 of 8 Cowboy President The rides into Indiana Howey !"#$#%&'()*+',-$.+/',-*'0#*')12#+-3) By BRIAN A. HOWEY in South Bend And MARK SCHOEFF JR.. in Washington The cowboy President -- George W. Bush -- came to Political Indiana in his gleaming Air Force One Thursday on the eve of the most critical diplomatic thrust of his lifetime. While President Bush paid lip service to the stagger- Report ing American economy, and began laying the groundwork for a war with Iraq, the man he obstensibly came to help, The Howey Political Report is published by NewsLink 2nd CD Republican Chris Chocola, was almost an after- Inc. Founded in 1994, The Howey Political Report is thought. an independent, non-partisan newsletter analyzing the Chocola (or a man who appeared to look like him) political process in Indiana. was seen deplaning with Bush early Thursday afternoon, but Brian A. Howey, publisher the $250-a-plate dinner where he raised $650,000 for Mark Schoeff Jr., Washington writer Chocola and Indiana Republicans, was a relatively secretive Jack E. Howey, editor affair. It was a sharp departure from past presidential cam- paign forays when the candidate was front stage center. We The Howey Political Report Office: 317-254-1533 can still hear President Nixon imploring on behalf of U.S. PO Box 40265 Fax: 317-968-0487 Indianapolis, IN 46240-0265 Mobile: 317-506-0883 Rep. A. Ross Adair in 1970 in Fort Wayne, “We want him back,” or President Clinton chumming it up with Rep. Julia [email protected] www.howeypolitics.com Carson in 2000 at the Indiana Fairgrounds. In contrast, not only were there no main event photo Washington office: 202-775-3242; ops with Chocola, but there were no Chocola banners, plac- Business Office: 317-254-0535. ards or even a statement from the candidate at the airport. If Subscriptions: $250 annually via e-mail or Mike Deaver were paying attention, he’d be wincing. fax; $450 annually including the HPR Daily White House political wizards Karl Rove and Ken Wire. Call 317-254-1533 or 254-0535. Mellman, with their president buoyed by lofty 66 percent © 2002, The Howey Political Report. All rights approval ratings in the latest Gallup Poll, are probably think- reserved. Photocopying, Internet forwarding, faxing or ing too much. Their arrogance could betray this president reproducing in any form, in whole or in part, is a viola- some day should the dynamic change. tion of federal law and is strictly prohibited without The president' s chief speech writer -- former Dan consent of the publisher. Coats aide Mark Gerson -- once said their key to scripting

“So, Evan, what are you running for?” Ticker: Kittle denounces Roemer p. 2 - Phil Schermerhorn, as an Elkhart Truth HPR Interview: Andrew & Queisser p. 4 reporter, to young Evan Bayh in 1984 as he Horse Race: The Jeep Chicks p. 6 Columnists: Barone, Colwell p. 8 stumped for gubernatorial candidate Wayne Townsend. Schermerhorn died on Sept. 5, 2002 Friday, Sept. 6, 2002 Page 2 of 8

GALLUP HAS BUSH AT 66 PERCENT: The latest USA TODAY/CNN/Gallup Poll shows "President Bush's approval rating is steady at 66% in the poll of 1,003 adults, conducted Monday- Wednesday. The margin of error was +/-3 percentage points. The margin for other questions ranged from +/-3 to +/-5 percentage points. An ABC News/ Nightline poll of 504 adults, conducted on August 29 (+/- 4.5%), shows: 52% approve "of the way George W. Bush George W. Bush's oratory is to capture his “I want the American people to is handling the situation "West Texas directness." That kind fully understand all the consequences,” with Iraq and Saddam of cowboy ethos served him well when he Bush said. “That is why there is a debate Hussein"; 36% disapprove; was rallying the United States in the wake here nationally. That is why there is going 12% had no opinion. 56% of the Sept. 11 terrorist attacks. But one to be a lot of discussion.” favor "having US forces take military action against year later, he is facing an entirely new Iraq to force Saddam challenge. He's preparing his country -- East Coast nuance Hussein from power"; 34% and the world -- for war. This effort After the president began prepar- were opposed; 10% had no requires East Coast nuance, which is sure- ing the American people, he turned his opinion. ly part of his character, if he's inherited attention to our reluctant friends across any of his dad's genes. the world. Bush said, “Sept. 11 taught us a LUGAR SAYS BUSH NEEDS TO MAKE JUDGMENT ON lesson we must take seriously. We must IRAQ: U.S. Sen. Richard West Texas banter understand the possibilities of what can Lugar is not satisfied that On Thursday in South Bend, happen in a war of the 21st Century. the Bush administration has Hoosiers heard some of that. That’s why I started a dialogue yesterday made a case for a preemp- “We have a chance the enemy has on another threat to America. A dialogue tive strike on Iraq's Saddam given us,” Bush said in his South Bend about Saddam Hussein. Hussein. Speaking on Regional Airport speech. “They woke up “I want to assure you; I want the CNN's Late Edition Sunday, the Indiana Republican said a mighty country. We’ll not only defend American people to fully understand all "[Bush] really has to give us ourselves, but we’ll lead for a more peace- the consequences. That’s why we’ll have the assurance. He has to ful tomorrow. I want you to tell your chil- a debate here nationally. There will be a make the decisions" before dren -- they hear all the talk. They hear all lot of discussion. That’s why I’ve asked implementing such "an the speculation. They hear the talk for Congress be a part of the deliberations. unusual foreign policy ges- thousands of hours by so-called experts That’s why there will be open hearings. ture." babbling away about this, that and the That’s why members of my administration other. But the true policy of this govern- will testify. That’s why we’ll share infor- BUSH’S THIRD STOP IN SOUTH BEND: Thursday’s ment is to achieve peace for generations mation with the American people as much to come. And at home the enemy hit us, as we possibly can.” Continued on page 3 and they awakened the spirit.” Bush tried to articulate his coming Page 3 of 8 Friday, Sept. 6, 2002 attempts to persuade other world leaders proportions achieved immediately follow- besides British Prime Minister Tony Blair. ing the attacks. This means Bush cannot “I’ll be meeting with Prime Minister Blair take on the world alone. He needs allies. on Saturday; Prime Minister Chretien on His vow to gain the support of Sunday,” he said. “I’ll be talking with Congress and the United Nations for an President Putin and Premier Jiang and assault on Iraq must involve more than President Chirac tomorrow. I’ll talk about bowling over each body with the force of visit by President Bush was the need for freedom-loving countries to American will. He must listen and absorb his third trip to South Bend deal with threats today before they the advice and counsel of friends and foe in three years. He gave the become credibly serious horrors. I believe alike. Maybe there's even something to commencement address at we owe that to our children. Some things consider in Germany's opposition to mov- the University of Notre Dame in May 2001, and are certain, however. I cannot believe the ing on Iraq. It's not a U.N. Security made a brief stop at the air- world will allow one of the world’s worst Council member, but has been a port during the 2000 presi- leaders to hold America blackmail; to steadfast U.S. ally over the past 57 years. dential campaign. threaten America, to threaten our peace Thursday’s event, which and to threaten our friends and allies with The upper hand (for now) cost $250 to attend and the world’s worst weapons.” This week in this month, $4,000 to have a picture taken with the president, Bush also tried to prepare Republicans seem to be holding the upper Americans for a long war. He told the raised more than $650,000 political hand. As Chuck Todd of the for Chocola and the state audience the war would not be over soon, National Journal wrote earlier this week, Republican Party, party offi- either in Afghanistan or in Iraq. It’s not “There are four reasons why momentum cials said. like wars in the past, and it will require for the midterm elections has swung back serious dedication. “I believe this struggle to the GOP -- Iraq, Iraq, Iraq and Iraq. KITTLE DENOUNCES ROE- is going to go on for a long time. We’re The topic of the day is Iraq -- not Halli- MER: Indiana Republican not quitting freedom and they’re probably burton, not Harken, not WorldCom, not Party State Chairman Jim Kittle Jr. issued the follow- not going to quit hating us,” Bush said. Enron -- essentially none of the issues ing statement in response Democrats need on the front page to win to remarks from U.S. Rep. Not bigger than his office in November. The biggest reason for that Tim Roemer regarding Bush must realize that his post- shift: the free media's current obsession President Bush's visit to Sept. 11 leadership and subsequent high over Iraq. The national media loves con- South Bend: "Congressman poll ratings have not made him bigger troversy within a president's administra- Roemer's criticism of than his office. People are giving him the tion. And Iraq has delivered.” President Bush sounds like benefit of the doubt because he is a politi- No one doubts Bush's fundamental a desperate ploy to distract voters and elect Indiana cal behemoth. He must earn their trust goal: ridding the world of an Iraqi regime Democrats who in fact lack and continue to demonstrate that he that possesses weapons of mass destruc- a positive agenda and knows what he is doing. He needs to tion and a leader who is likely to use vision for the Hoosier state remember that no one is giving him a them. But if this has been the president's and for America." leadership blank check. top priority for several months -- perhaps For instance, consider the political even before Sept. 11 -- then why didn't he BUSH DRAWS PROTEST- trouble that he has encountered in recent prioritize it and start building a worldwide ERS: Several hundred pro- months. His numbers have been headed coalition against Iraq from the beginning? testers rallied at a park across the St. Joseph River south, albeit slowly, and the Democrats It seems that generating support for the from the Century Center, effort has been an afterthought, something have been able to gain traction on domes- where Bush attended a tic issues such as corporate accountability he's almost been forced to do. fundraiser. The rally was and Social Security reform (or lack there- The critical question is, will vot- sponsored by the AFL-CIO of). In the year since terrorists rammed ers be feeling their wallets when they go and attended by United airliners into the World Trade Center and to the polls in November? Auto Worker members, steel the Pentagon, Bush's dimensions have Or will they be voting to the beat workers and ironworkers steadily shrunk from their the Olympic of war drums? " continued on page 4 Friday, Sept. 6, 2002 Page 4 of 8 Andrew, Queisser make sense of Sept. 11 WASHINGTON, D.C. - Former next day. Indiana and national Democratic Andrew: Bottom line is we weren’t Chairman Joe Andrew and his partner, on that flight and there were a lot of great Brad Queisser, were to have flown on Americans who were. To say we partici- and environmentalists. pated in the tragedy at all is a gross over- Many carried signs, with Flight 77 that slammed into the Pentagon sayings such as: "Love last Sept. 11, but they changied plans the statement. We watched it on TV like your neighbor," "Use the day before. HPR talked to the pair about everyone else. U.N." and "No war with Iraq" Flight 77, how it changed their lives, and HPR: Having a near miss causes (Associated Press). At the where America stands now. you to reflect on your lives. union rally, Democrat Jill HPR: How did you miss Flight 77? Queisser: Being out here in Long Thompson told the Andrew: Actually, Brad’s the one Washington, D.C., with our office a few crowd that the differences who plans all the trips. blocks from the White House, we found between her and Chocola Queisser: Joe and I were due in a month where National Guard troops and are clear on many issues, Los Angeles for a business meeting. We tanks were in the streets. It was a harried including Social Security experience. You go home and you think, and trade. She also pointed had spent an enormous amount of time out the amount of money planning. It was my recom- My God, how short life is. the Bush administration has mendation to Joe that we Flight 77, it was minimal helped him raise. "He's got needed more time to lock impact, but Sept. 11 as a the money, but I've got down the schedule and at the whole, it causes one to stop. you," she said. last minute -- late the evening Andrew: Our firm had before -- Joe concurred and more than 2,000 employees REPUBLICANS KNOCKED we moved the flight to some- in New York two blocks OFF BALLOT: In an evenly where early in the afternoon. Coming into away from the World Trade towers. We split party-line vote, the the office the next morning, Joe had seen spend a lot of time with many more peo- Indiana Election Commis- ple who were much more directly impact- sion decided Thursday that on television the first plane hit the World three Southwestern Indiana Trade Center and I showed up a little late ed. They lost friends, they lost family Republican candidates for and saw the second plane. It didn’t impact members. the Legislature will not be me for 24 to 48 hours after that. I was still HPR: Where is American culture on the 2002 ballot (Jennifer focused on getting us to Los Angeles. now? How have we changed? Whitson, Evansville Courier Andrew: Both flights had hit the Andrew: The principal changes & Press). Posey County World Trade towers and Brad and I were have been political. Most observers Democratic Party Chairman still focused on if our flights were going believe the United States has returned Trent VanHaaften and to go. The towers still hadn’t fallen and pretty much to normal. The covers of our Vanderburgh County we were focused on how we were going news magazines are back to Hollywood Democratic Party Treasurer blockbusters; talk radio is back into its old Bill Bennett filed challenges to get to LA. I didn’t realize the impact against three candidates in immediately. I felt the airports certainly dynamic. Many of the things that were July: Dianna Alvey of wouldn’t be shut down; the U.S. govern- perceptibly changed immediately after- Wadesville, who was slated ment wouldn’t cave in to terrorists. ward have returned to a semblance of nor- to run against Sen. Larry Queisser: One of the individuals mality. I do think there is an underlying Lutz, D-Evansville; Dan we were meeting with in Los Angeles insecurity that is still there. We now rec- Hostettler of St. Philip, who knew the original flight we were supposed ognize, ironically, that at the same time planned to run against Rep. to be on. They realized it, were trying to the Bush administration has much more of Jonathan Weinzapfel, D- desperately reach us and contacted an an isolationist, go-it-alone cowboy men- Evansville; and Ken Hughes Indianapolis television station. All the tality, most Americans recognize they are of Newburgh, who was up part of an international dynamic, more so against Rep. Brian Hasler, phones were jammed. There was a major- D-Evansville. All three ity of the day on 9/11 that no one actually than they did before. There is a more cul- Republican contenders knew whether we were on the plane or tural separation between most Americans were added to the ballot not. It didn’t really sink in to us until the than the cowboy way in the Bush admin- continued on page 5 Page 5 of 8 Friday, Sept. 6, 2002 istration. The underlying question is when they have questions about them. whether people feel safer than they did on The questions continue to be raised Sept. 12. The answer is that they don’t, because of the way he defines success: despite billions of dollars spent and the dismantling Al Qaida, capturing bin actions the government has taken. That is Laden, ending terrorism as we know it. the principal cultural difference between Those are all the judgments he himself set after no Republican ran for where we are today and where we were out that he has not been able to attain. the positions in the primary on Sept. 10. Whether or not anybody could is a differ- election. To add the HPR: What has happened to our ent question. But he said that’s what he Republican contenders to civil liberties? wants to be judged by. By the standards the ballot, the state party delegated the right to call a Andrew: One, this is in many ways he has set out, he has not succeeded. meeting to Vanderburgh exactly what Republicans want us to HPR: How would you advise County Republican debate. I believe in the Karl Rove chess Democratic congressional candidates to Chairwoman Bettye Lou game that Republicans would like nothing approach the next three months? Jerrel. She was required to better that the Democrats be portrayed as Andrew: It’s very important to notify all eligible precinct part of the ACLU. It’s much smarter for focus on issues that are important in their leaders and the state 10 Democrats to simply stay out of that argu- districts, the questions of corporate gover- days before calling a meet- ment as much as they can. The American nance, scandals on Wall Street are issues ing to slate candidates. Papers filed with the elec- public is clearly willing to allow their where Congress can have much more of tion commission show that basic civil liberties that we are fighting for an impact than they can on the war on ter- Jerrel mailed the notices to in the war on terrorism to be trampled on. rorism. You want to elect people to do the precincts on time, but Poll after poll will show the vast majority things that you know they can actually do. mailed the state notice late. of Americans just don’t care about these Domestic issues will inevitably become fundamental violations of civil liberties. much more dominant in this campaign. STATE REVENUE NUM- From a political standpoint, it’s one of the That will be true in congressional races all BERS STILL DOWN: Indiana most cynical things I’ve ever seen a politi- across Indiana and in the secretary of took in $11.4 million less cal party do. It has nothing to do with the state’s race. Having served as deputy sec- than expected last month, but state officials were war on terrorism; it has everything to do retary of state and having the securities encouraged because tax with their domestic agenda. division there means it should be THE collections are running $67 HPR: Is there long-term damage to prominent issue. million ahead of the same our liberties? HPR: How is the coming war with point a year ago (Kevin Andrew: No. I separate myself Iraq playing into the political context? Corcoran, Indianapolis from most Democrats. I do not think these Andrew: There are many different Star). That's attributed to are important issues in the long run. questions there. From a political perspec- higher taxes the state's HPR: Where do you think tive, the discussions about the war take up riverboat casinos pay because gamblers can now space that would otherwise be devoted to President Bush stands with the American board and leave as they people? talking about economic problems. All the please and the 40-cent-a- Andrew: Thirty points lower than arguments about war are probably not pack cigarette tax increase his Dad did. beneficial to Democrats in the fall con- July 1. State officials say HPR: Do you expect the 60th per- gressional elections. They are legitimate the real indication of where centile to continue? arguments. So it does, one, create a cer- Indiana's economy is head- Andrew: I’d like to see it go 30 tain political problem because it takes up ed will come next month, points lower, which would be the right space on questions that they can do very when estimated corporate and individual tax payments number for him because on Election Day little about. Two, the external debate is no for the third quarter of the he’d get only about 20 percent of the vote. longer partisan. We have prominent year are due. HPR: That’s wishful thinking. Republicans who were members of the Andrew: The reality is he’s still first Bush administration taking positions EAST CHICAGO REPUBLI- very popular because of the context he that are clearly opposed to this administra- CAN HONKED: News that finds himself in. We are at war. Ameri- tion’s. What it comes down to is support cans want to support their leaders even of voters who recognize we are not alone continued on page 6 Friday, Sept. 6, 2002 Page 6 of 8

in the world and that the cowboy mentali- feel that we are under attack. It will be ty that we’re going to do it alone is super- more of a demonstration that we do not ficially very appealing in many ways and operate alone in the world. Whether there is in direct conflict with most people’s is a viceral need for revenge in the long experience since Sept. 11, when all of a run, every time there is an attack it tends sudden dynamics have happened by peo- to reconfirm support for an internationalist he voted in the East ple whose religion you may not even be agenda. It’s a Colin Powell agenda versus Chicago primary election in able to pronounce in countries you cannot a Dick Cheney agenda. You will find that May angers Anthony identify on the globe can reach out and over time the Powell agenda will be the Capehart, a resident of actually hurt you right here at home. We one that will win out in the administration Gaithersburg, Md., since cannot be isolationist. We have to be because average Americans who might 1997 (William Lazarus, engaged in the wider world in making have been more isolationist in the past are Times of Northwest sure we can address wrongs in the world becoming much more engaged and much Indiana). "I feel violated," Capehart said this week. wherever they are. That was the position more cognizant of world affairs. The elec- But as a former East of the Clinton/Gore administration and the torate in Indiana is very smart. They Chicagoan, Capehart was Democratic Party. But after Sept. 11, know the secretary of state in Indiana is not surprised. "I've heard we’ve seen average Americans I talk to in not going to be doing anything to fight the numerous stories about the barber shops understand much more than war on terrorism, but he can do a heck of corruption of the political they did before: We’re not alone in the a lot when it comes to fighting corporate machine in that area," he world. corruption and enforcing the securities said. LaVega Baize, could HPR: The Bush administration laws of our state and nation. They will not have had any feelings appears to be girding for another terror focus in on those issues and that will be about his vote in the May 7, attack. What kind of psychological and true in congressional races. 2002, primary. He was dead at the time. His death certifi- political impact might that have this fall? HPR: Any other thoughts? cate shows he died at the Andrew: It could have a serious Andrew: No, those are my last age of 89 in Beaver Dam, one. But it will be a complicated impact thoughts. I will not have any others today. Ky., on Jan. 13, 1999. Both because it will not just be that people will HPR: Now that’s dangerous. " Capehart and Baize once lived in the home of Peter Thayer, a lifetime East Indiana 2002, 2004 Racing Form Chicago resident and a maverick Republican. Trend Line: Remember back in 1992, it was the Soccer Mom that everyone was Thayer, who accuses his focused on? Well, this year in the fight to control Congress, it’s the Jeep Chick. Everytime I party of being in an "unholy looked in my rear view mirror this past weekend, I saw a Jeep Chick: a fashionable, 30-some- alliance" with local thing professional woman, probably single or married with no children who drives a Jeep Democrats, suspects that Wrangler or a Renegade but doesn’t really go camping or fishing. The Jeep Chick is an indepen- vote fraud was far more dent, strong-willed woman willing to make a forcefully renegade statement about her burgeon- extensive. That two fraudu- ing wealth and her zeal for life. She might have lent votes came out of his started investing in the stock market and may be own house, he said, "shows worried about her 401(k) or whether her company you how arrogant they are." will lay her off because Accounting was screwing He acknowledged that he up. The Jeep Chick may not be so worried about doesn't know who orches- school shootings and education as she is about Iraq or another terrorist attack. Who swings with trated the fraud, though he the Jeep Chick may win this election. - Brian A. Howey lays blame on existing polit- ical leadership. Unlike a number of states, Indiana does not require voters to Indiana Congressional Races produce identification at the Congressional District 2: Republican: Chris Chocola. Democrat: Jill Long polls, even when precinct Thompson. Geography: South Bend, Michigan City, Mishawaka, Elkhart, Kokomo, Plymouth, election officials doubt a Logansport; LaPorte, St. Joseph, Starke, Marshall, Pulaski, Fulton, Cass, Carroll and parts of voter's true identity. "Blame Howard, Porter, Elkhart and White counties. Media Market: South Bend-Elkhart, Indianapolis, Lafayette, Chicago. Websites: www.jilllongthompson.com; www.chocolaforcongress.com 2000 Page 7 of 8 Friday, Sept. 6, 2002

Result: Roemer (D) 107,076, Chocola (R) 98,367. 2002 Forecast: The ol’ Horse has never seen a more ineptly coordinated presidential visit. We saw U.S. Rep. Steve Buyer with President Bush on Thursday in South Bend, but Chocola was a mute, albeit richer, candidate. After watching years of stupidly executed Republican races around Indiana, we thought 2002 might be a new day. It didn’t start on Thursday. Thompson and U.S. Rep. Tim Roemer denounced TV ads by Chocola on purported Social Security votes (Jack Colwell, South Bend Tribune). "Absolutely false," Long Thompson said of the TV spots in which Chocola contends that Long Thompson voted seven times while in Congress "to raid the Social Security trust Republican County Chairman fund." Roemer accused Chocola of "half-truths and distortions and false statements about Jill's Roger Chiabai," Justin record" and said Chocola had set a negative tone for the campaign. The Chocola campaign Murphy of Lake County responded with a list of seven votes by Long Thompson for budget resolutions, all with budget Combined Election/Voter deficits. "It is when the federal government prescribes a level of spending exceeding its rev- Registration Board, said. "He enue stream that the Social Security trust fund is 'dipped' into," according to the Chocola appoints Democrats to explanation. If that is the definition, Long Thompson said, then-President Bush could also be Republican election board accused of "raiding" the Social Security trust fund because of the deficit budget the president positions. He puts one party has proposed for the next fiscal year.” Status: Tossup. in control of both sides, Republican: Brose McVey. Democrat: U.S. Rep. Congressional District 7: undermining the watchdog Julia Carson. Libertarian: Andy Horning. Geography: Indianapolis. Media Market: effect and the checks and Indianapolis. Websites: www.juliacarson.house.gov; www.broseforcongress.org 2000 Results: balances that would protect Carson (D) 91,300, Scott (R) 61,818, Ali (L) 2,513. 2002 Forecast: Based on McVey's leading our votes." Chiabai, who was fundraising numbers Congressional Quarterly's Greg Giroux reports: "We're keeping close named election board chair- tabs on that race...It's very rare for a challenger to stay competitive with an incumbent, much man with the help of two less out-raise an incumbent as McVey has done" (Indianapolis Star). The Star thoroughly board Democrats allied with missed Carson’s problems with Jewish donors. Rep. John Boehner (R-Ohio), chairman of the East Chicago Mayor Robert U.S. House Education and Workforce Committee, stumped with McVey, touting the “Leave Pastrick, did not return calls No Child Behind Act”. Status: Leans Carson. seeking comment. Congressional District 8: Republican: U.S. Rep. John Hostettler. Democrat: Bryan Hartke. Geography: Evansville, Terre Haute, Greencastle; Posey, Vanderburgh, BROOKS SAYS INDIANAPO- Warrick, Gibson, Pike, Martin, Daviess, Knox, Sullivan, Greene, Owen, Clay, Vigo, LIS COULD BE TERROR Vermillion, Parke, Putnam, Warren and part of Fountain counties. Websites: www.bryan- TARGET: By sharing infor- hartke.com; www.house.gov/hostettler/ Media Market: Evansville, Terre Haute, Indianapolis. mation and remaining dili- Lafayette. 1994 results: Hostettler (R) 93,529, McCloskey (D) 84,857. 1996 Results: gent in the fight against ter- Hostettler (R) 109,582, Weinzapfel (D) 106,134, Hager (L) 3,799. 1998 Results: Hostettler (R) rorism, the United States can 92,227, Riecken (D) 81,381, Hager (L) 3,395. 2000 Results: Hostettler 116,860, Perry (D) minimize the threat of anoth- 100,461. 2002 Forecast: Is Hostettler trying to kick an almost safe election away? Saying the er attack, U.S. Attorney Evansville Courier & Press doesn't "want to hear both sides of an issue," Hostettler told a local Susan Brooks said radio station Tuesday he will no longer talk to the newspaper (Hostettler doesn’t talk to us, (Associated Press). Speaking either, for reasons that have never been explained). In an interview with WIKY, Hostettler said to the Rotary Club of he will try to utilize other outlets to "get our message out." Hostettler's office has not taken Indianapolis, Brooks said the calls from the Courier & Press since the Aug. 16 publication of an article regarding a meeting al-Qaida terrorist network is between the 8th District Republican congressman and a group of breast cancer survivors. still capable of attacking. “It "Given the fact that the Evansville Courier & Press doesn't actually need to witness news in can happen,” said Brooks, a order to report it, we and my office have ultimately determined that they can write stories former deputy mayor of without our input,” Hostettler told WIKY. Hostettler is asking that the date, format and moder- Indianapolis who is now U.S. ator for a planned televised debate be changed. Status: LEANS HOSTETTLER. attorney for the Southern Congressional District 9: Republican: Mike Sodrel. Democrat: U.S. Rep. District of Indiana. “We still Baron Hill. . Media Market: Evansville, Indianapolis, Louisville, Dayton, Cincinnati. need to be vigilant, and we Websites: www.house.gov/baronhill/, www.mikesodrel.com 1994 results: Hamilton 91,459 cannot stop.” Indianapolis, (D), Leising (R) 84,315. 1996 Results: Hamilton (D) 128,885, Leising (R) 97,747, Feeney (L) she said, is considered a 2,315. 1998 Results: Hill (D) 92,477, Leising (R) 87,278, Feeney (L) 2,397. 2000 Results: potential target, partly Hill 125,978, Bailey (R) 101,790, Chambers (L) 4,634. 2002 Forecast: President Bush was in because of the many events Sodrel’s Louisville media market and while he met with the president, he received scant atten- held in the city and because tion at the events. "The President is excited about our chances in Indiana's new Ninth District," it's home to Fort Harrison, a said Sodrel, adding, "I told President Bush that it was an honor to see him again in Louisville, main financial center for the but next time we ought to meet in southern Indiana." Status: Leans Hill " continued on page 8 Friday, Sept. 6, 2002 Page 8 of 8

Michael Baron, U.S. News & World made up of voters of all backgrounds. military. Since the 2001 Report - American voters don't like what This will put more black politicians in a attacks, federal, state and they see as bigotry. Despite the advan- position where they can become credible local officials have been tages of incumbency and racial identifica- statewide candidates. working together. “Sharing tion with a majority of voters, (U.S. Rep.) of information is really what Jack Colwell - South Bend Tribune - is key,” she said. “It's all Cynthia McKinney was defeated by a about connecting the dots.” solid margin. Obviously very many voters, Mitch Daniels vs. Joe Kernan. A bunch of both black and white, were repelled by the prominent Hoosier Republicans would CAMPAIGN & ELECTIONS bigotry they saw in the McKinney cam- like to see that race. That's why they are INDIANA CD ODDS: Indiana paign. American voters vote against can- trying to convince Daniels, now the White House didates supported by and supporting per- House budget director, to come back 1 Peter J. Visclosky (D) sons with ties to radical Islam and terror- home again to Indiana to run for governor favored to be re-elected 7 to ism. This should not be a surprise. After in 2004. What does Daniels say? In an 1 (88% chance) McKinney's defeat, Ronald Walters, a pro- interview Thursday in Mishawaka, where 2 Chris Chocola (R) favored over Jill Long fessor at the University of Maryland – Daniels campaigned for Chris Chocola, Thompson (D), 6 to 5 (54.5% College Park and supporter of Jesse the budget director said he has "promised chance) Jackson for president in the 1980s, said, a large number of people that I would 3 Mark Souder (R) "We are probably past the point that hold- keep an open mind about it. And they favored to be re-elected 4 to ing elected office is consistent with ... rad- have promised me to go away and let me 1 (80% chance) ical politics." Right. Some black politi- do my job, let me do my duty for the pres- 4 Steve Buyer (R) cians with majority black constituencies ident." He joked that if the question had favored to retain seat, 100 have assumed that they could go as far left been whether he is running for governor, to 1 (99% chance) on issues as they wanted to without risk- he could honestly say "no." But when the 5 Dan Burton (R) favored to be re-elected 6 to ing their seats; indeed, many believed that question was whether he is going to run 1 (86% chance) there would always be an advantage for for governor, he could only say that he 6 Mike Pence (R) the farthest left candidate. No more. Black indeed will keep an open mind until he favored to be re-elected, 3 American voters are not unanimously must focus on that possibility and decide. to 2 (60% chance) swayed by the race card. Denise Majette Other potential Republican nominees for 7 Julia Carson (D) was called a "Tomette" and the like by the governor already are raising money, orga- favored to be re-elected 5 to McKinney forces. This didn't prevent her nizing, seeking voter support. "That's what 4 (55.6% chance) from winning 1 of 3 black votes against they ought to do," Daniels said. When 8 John Hostettler (R) an incumbent. Evidently many black vot- must he make a "go" decision if he favored to be re-elected 5 to 3 (62.5% chance he will be ers believed there were other issues more decides to run? "I realize I would need to re-elected) important than who is the most "black." give some indication before too many 9 Baron P. Hill (D) For more than a generation, many black months come off next year's calendar," favored to be re-elected 8 to politicians have built their careers around Daniels responded. Has he talked to 7 (53.3% chance he will be the assumptions that courts would provide President Bush about leaving the adminis- re-elected). them with constituencies with large black tration to seek the governor's office? "Not majorities and that the way to win in such in any extensive way," Daniels said. "He's CHAMBER ENDORSES districts was to hew to the left on issues mentioned it a time or two. But I'm not ROTH IN HD19: Pamela and play the race card again and again. going to take his time unless I do decide Roth Thursday received the endorsement of the Indiana Those assumptions are now in doubt. to seriously consider (running), which I'm Chamber of Commerce in Black politicians will now see that they not at this point. I've just got my head the 19th District state repre- have a political incentive not to move left down trying to do this job. And I'm not sentative race against State and toward racial appeals, away from the going to burden him at this point with Rep. Bob Kuzman (Post- rest of the electorate, but to move to the kind of a long-shot, hypothetical ques- Tribune). " center and to try to appeal to a majority tion." "