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Northumberland LTP3 Evidence Base

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Northumberland LTP3 Evidence Base Transportation Northumberland County Council July 2010 Northumberland LTP3 Evidence Base Prepared by: Checked by: Gemma Paget Stuart McNaughton Consultant Principal Consultant Approved by: Mike Scott Regional Director Northumberland LTP3 Evidence Base Rev No Comments Checked by Approved Date by 1 Comments on initial draft SM MS 15/11/2010 First Floor, One Trinity Gardens, Quayside, Newcastle upon Tyne, NE1 2HF Telephone: 0191 224 6500 Website: http://www.aecom.com Job No Reference Date Created July 2010 This document is confidential and the copyright of AECOM Limited. Any unauthorised reproduction or usage by any person other than the addressee is strictly prohibited. f:\projects\transport planning - northumberland ltp3\04_reports_specs_models\06_faber_maunsell_reports\ltp3-r-9000-evidence base_rev1.docx Table of Contents 1 Introduction ....................................................................................................................................................................... 2 1.1 Introduction ............................................................................................................................................................ 2 1.2 Local Transport Plan Three ................................................................................................................................... 2 1.3 Evidence Base Report ........................................................................................................................................... 2 2 Study Area ......................................................................................................................................................................... 3 2.1 Introduction ............................................................................................................................................................ 3 2.2 The Study Area ...................................................................................................................................................... 3 2.3 The Areas of Northumberland ............................................................................................................................... 3 2.4 Policy Context ........................................................................................................................................................ 4 2.5 Spatial Distribution of Land Use ............................................................................................................................ 8 2.6 Future Spatial Distribution of Development ........................................................................................................... 8 2.7 Population Characteristics ................................................................................................................................... 14 2.8 Emerging Challenges .......................................................................................................................................... 16 3 Northumberland Transport Networks............................................................................................................................ 17 3.1 Introduction .......................................................................................................................................................... 17 3.2 General context ................................................................................................................................................... 17 3.3 Northumberland Context ...................................................................................................................................... 21 3.4 Travel Patterns .................................................................................................................................................... 24 3.5 Freight ................................................................................................................................................................. 27 3.6 Links of Economic Importance – GVA-T Analysis ............................................................................................... 30 3.7 Public Transport Accessibility .............................................................................................................................. 31 3.8 Emerging Challenges .......................................................................................................................................... 33 4 Transport Problems ........................................................................................................................................................ 35 4.1 Introduction .......................................................................................................................................................... 35 4.2 Highway Congestion ............................................................................................................................................ 35 4.3 Public Transport Overcrowding ........................................................................................................................... 39 4.4 Road Safety ......................................................................................................................................................... 41 4.5 Emerging Challenges .......................................................................................................................................... 44 5 Northumberland Portrait – Economy, Society and Environment ................................................................................ 48 5.1 Introduction .......................................................................................................................................................... 48 5.2 Economy of Northumberland ............................................................................................................................... 48 5.3 Northumberland Society ...................................................................................................................................... 51 5.4 Environment of Northumberland .......................................................................................................................... 57 5.5 Emerging Challenges .......................................................................................................................................... 60 6 Emerging Challenges...................................................................................................................................................... 62 6.1 Introduction .......................................................................................................................................................... 62 6.2 Rationalising the Challenges ............................................................................................................................... 62 6.3 Prioritisation of Challenges .................................................................................................................................. 64 6.4 LTP Objectives .................................................................................................................................................... 66 Appendix A – Commuter Flows in Northumberland .................................................................................................................. 68 Figure 1: Population Density of Northumberland 2008 ...............................................................................................................9 Figure 2: Job Density of Northumberland 2008 ......................................................................................................................... 10 Figure 3: Housing Growth Point Sites ........................................................................................................................................ 11 Figure 4: Employment Developments in Northumberland ........................................................................................................ 13 Figure 5: Population Growth in Northumberland ....................................................................................................................... 14 Figure 6: 2008 Mid Year Population Estimates, Age Profile ..................................................................................................... 15 Figure 7: Transport Networks in Northumberland ..................................................................................................................... 18 Figure 8: Cycle Network in Northumberland .............................................................................................................................. 20 Figure 9: Households that do not own a Car ............................................................................................................................. 21 Figure 10: 2001 Census, Mode Share for Journey to Work Trips ............................................................................................. 22 Figure 11: 2001 Census, Net Inflow and Outflow of Commuter Trips ...................................................................................... 24 Figure 12: Port Tonnage Handled (thousands), Northumberland, 2008 .................................................................................. 29 Figure 13: Traffic Growth across Selected Links in Northumberland
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