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Artificial Intelligence, Automation, and Work
Artificial Intelligence, Automation, and Work The Economics of Artifi cial Intelligence National Bureau of Economic Research Conference Report The Economics of Artifi cial Intelligence: An Agenda Edited by Ajay Agrawal, Joshua Gans, and Avi Goldfarb The University of Chicago Press Chicago and London The University of Chicago Press, Chicago 60637 The University of Chicago Press, Ltd., London © 2019 by the National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. All rights reserved. No part of this book may be used or reproduced in any manner whatsoever without written permission, except in the case of brief quotations in critical articles and reviews. For more information, contact the University of Chicago Press, 1427 E. 60th St., Chicago, IL 60637. Published 2019 Printed in the United States of America 28 27 26 25 24 23 22 21 20 19 1 2 3 4 5 ISBN-13: 978-0-226-61333-8 (cloth) ISBN-13: 978-0-226-61347-5 (e-book) DOI: https:// doi .org / 10 .7208 / chicago / 9780226613475 .001 .0001 Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Names: Agrawal, Ajay, editor. | Gans, Joshua, 1968– editor. | Goldfarb, Avi, editor. Title: The economics of artifi cial intelligence : an agenda / Ajay Agrawal, Joshua Gans, and Avi Goldfarb, editors. Other titles: National Bureau of Economic Research conference report. Description: Chicago ; London : The University of Chicago Press, 2019. | Series: National Bureau of Economic Research conference report | Includes bibliographical references and index. Identifi ers: LCCN 2018037552 | ISBN 9780226613338 (cloth : alk. paper) | ISBN 9780226613475 (ebook) Subjects: LCSH: Artifi cial intelligence—Economic aspects. Classifi cation: LCC TA347.A78 E365 2019 | DDC 338.4/ 70063—dc23 LC record available at https:// lccn .loc .gov / 2018037552 ♾ This paper meets the requirements of ANSI/ NISO Z39.48-1992 (Permanence of Paper). -
Nobel Laureates Joseph Stiglitz, Michael Spence to Co-Chair Independent Commission on Global Economic Transformation
Institute for New Economic Thinking CONTACT: Moira Herbst - SVP of Communications + Editorial Director, Institute for New Economic Thinking (INET). Tel: +1-917-743-6350, Email: [email protected] Sharon Segel, APCO Worldwide Tel: +44 (0)7930 384 363, Email: [email protected] Sunday October 22, 2017 Institute for New Economic Thinking (INET) Announces: Nobel Laureates Joseph Stiglitz, Michael Spence to Co-Chair Independent Commission on Global Economic Transformation Call for New Thinking & New Rules for the New World Economy; Final Report Will Outline Solutions for Emerging and Developed Countries EDINBURGH, U.K.—Following the dramatic political shocks to the industrialized world in 2016, worsening global poverty and inequality, and inadequate public and private sector responses to the challenges that continue to plague the world’s economy 10 years after the financial crisis, the Institute for New Economic Thinking (INET) has initiated a Commission on Global Economic Transformation (CGET), with support from the Center for International Governance Innovation (CIGI). The effort will be led by Nobel Prize-winning economists Joseph Stiglitz and Michael Spence. As an independent entity, the Commission on Global Economic Transformation (CGET) is the first commission of its kind, initiated at a critical moment for the global economy. As political and economic populism sweep across the developed world, developing countries are searching for paths to prosperity, and people around the world are struggling with the challenges posed by widening inequality, technological disruption, and climate change. These problems are compounded by the ineffectiveness of current policy tools in many contexts, raising questions about the role of the state, of civil society, and of individuals along with national and international governance frameworks. -
List of Contributors and Indexes
This PDF is a selection from an out-of-print volume from the National Bureau of Economic Research Volume Title: Corporate Capital Structures in the United States Volume Author/Editor: Benjamin M. Friedman, ed. Volume Publisher: University of Chicago Press Volume ISBN: 0-226-26411-4 Volume URL: http://www.nber.org/books/frie85-1 Publication Date: 1985 Chapter Title: List of Contributors and Indexes Chapter Author: Benjamin M. Friedman Chapter URL: http://www.nber.org/chapters/c11427 Chapter pages in book: (p. 383 - 392) List of Contributors Alan J. Auerbach Roger H. Gordon Department of Economics Department of Economics University of Pennsylvania University of Michigan 160 McNeil Building/CR Ann Arbor, MI 48109 Philadelphia, PA 19104 Martin J. Gruber Christopher F. Baum Graduate School of Business Department of Economics New York University Boston College New York, NY 10003 Chestnut Hill, MA 02167 Patric H. Hendershott Fischer Black Hagerty Hall Goldman, Sachs and Co. 1775 College Road 85 Broad Street Ohio State University New York, NY 10004 Columbus, OH 43210 Roger D. Huang Zvi Bodie Faculty of Finance School of Management University of Florida Boston University Gainesville, FL 32611 Boston, MA 02215 Michael C. Jensen John H. Ciccolo, Jr. Graduate School Citibank, NA of Management 55 Water Street University of Rochester New York, NY 10041 Rochester, NY 14627 Benjamin M. Friedman E. Philip Jones Harvard University Graduate School of Business Department of Economics Harvard University Littauer Center 127 Soldiers Field Road Cambridge, MA 02138 Boston, MA 02163 383 384 List of Contributors Alex Kane Stewart C. Myers School of Management Sloan School of Management Boston University Massachusetts Institute 704 Commonwealth Avenue of Technology Boston, MA 02215 Cambridge, MA 02139 Michael S. -
Ten Nobel Laureates Say the Bush
Hundreds of economists across the nation agree. Henry Aaron, The Brookings Institution; Katharine Abraham, University of Maryland; Frank Ackerman, Global Development and Environment Institute; William James Adams, University of Michigan; Earl W. Adams, Allegheny College; Irma Adelman, University of California – Berkeley; Moshe Adler, Fiscal Policy Institute; Behrooz Afraslabi, Allegheny College; Randy Albelda, University of Massachusetts – Boston; Polly R. Allen, University of Connecticut; Gar Alperovitz, University of Maryland; Alice H. Amsden, Massachusetts Institute of Technology; Robert M. Anderson, University of California; Ralph Andreano, University of Wisconsin; Laura M. Argys, University of Colorado – Denver; Robert K. Arnold, Center for Continuing Study of the California Economy; David Arsen, Michigan State University; Michael Ash, University of Massachusetts – Amherst; Alice Audie-Figueroa, International Union, UAW; Robert L. Axtell, The Brookings Institution; M.V. Lee Badgett, University of Massachusetts – Amherst; Ron Baiman, University of Illinois – Chicago; Dean Baker, Center for Economic and Policy Research; Drucilla K. Barker, Hollins University; David Barkin, Universidad Autonoma Metropolitana – Unidad Xochimilco; William A. Barnett, University of Kansas and Washington University; Timothy J. Bartik, Upjohn Institute; Bradley W. Bateman, Grinnell College; Francis M. Bator, Harvard University Kennedy School of Government; Sandy Baum, Skidmore College; William J. Baumol, New York University; Randolph T. Beard, Auburn University; Michael Behr; Michael H. Belzer, Wayne State University; Arthur Benavie, University of North Carolina – Chapel Hill; Peter Berg, Michigan State University; Alexandra Bernasek, Colorado State University; Michael A. Bernstein, University of California – San Diego; Jared Bernstein, Economic Policy Institute; Rari Bhandari, University of California – Berkeley; Melissa Binder, University of New Mexico; Peter Birckmayer, SUNY – Empire State College; L. -
CURRICULUM VITAE August, 2015
CURRICULUM VITAE August, 2015 Robert James Shiller Current Position Sterling Professor of Economics Yale University Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics P.O. Box 208281 New Haven, Connecticut 06520-8281 Delivery Address Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics 30 Hillhouse Avenue, Room 11a New Haven, CT 06520 Home Address 201 Everit Street New Haven, CT 06511 Telephone 203-432-3708 Office 203-432-6167 Fax 203-787-2182 Home [email protected] E-mail http://www.econ.yale.edu/~shiller Home Page Date of Birth March 29, 1946, Detroit, Michigan Marital Status Married, two grown children Education 1967 B.A. University of Michigan 1968 S.M. Massachusetts Institute of Technology 1972 Ph.D. Massachusetts Institute of Technology Employment Sterling Professor of Economics, Yale University, 2013- Arthur M. Okun Professor of Economics, Yale University 2008-13 Stanley B. Resor Professor of Economics Yale University 1989-2008 Professor of Economics, Yale University, 1982-, with joint appointment with Yale School of Management 2006-, Professor Adjunct of Law in semesters starting 2006 Visiting Professor, Department of Economics, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 1981-82. Professor of Economics, University of Pennsylvania, and Professor of Finance, The Wharton School, 1981-82. Visitor, National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, Massachusetts, and Visiting Scholar, Department of Economics, Harvard University, 1980-81. Associate Professor, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania, 1974-81. 1 Research Fellow, National Bureau of Economic Research, Research Center for Economics and Management Science, Cambridge; and Visiting Scholar, Department of Economics, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 1974-75. Assistant Professor, Department of Economics, University of Minnesota, 1972-74. -
Panmure House Advisory Board
Panmure House Advisory Board Chairman Members Professor Orley Ashenfelter Professor Kenneth J Arrow Professor Edmund S Phelps Joseph Douglas Green Stanford University, Stanford, California Columbia University, New York 1895 Professor of Economics, 1972 Nobel Laureate in Economic Science 2006 Nobel Laureate in Economic Science Princeton University Former President, Professor Gary Becker Professor Christopher A Pissarides University of Chicago, Chicago, Illinois London School of Economics, London American Economic Association 1992 Nobel Laureate in Economic Science 2010 Nobel Laureate in Economic Science Professor James J Heckman Professor Edward C Prescott University of Chicago, Chicago, Illinois Arizona State University, Tempe, Arizona 2000 Nobel Laureate in Economic Science 2004 Nobel Laureate in Economic Science Professor Finn E Kydland Professor Myron S Scholes University of California, Santa Barbara, California Stanford Graduate School of Business, 2004 Nobel Laureate in Economic Science Stanford, California 1997 Nobel Laureate in Economic Science Professor Robert E Lucas Jr University of Chicago, Chicago, Illinois Professor Amartya Sen 1995 Nobel Laureate in Economic Science Harvard University, Cambridge, Massachusetts 1998 Nobel Laureate in Economic Science Professor Eric S Maskin Harvard University, Cambridge, Massachusetts Professor Vernon L Smith 2007 Nobel Laureate in Economic Science Chapman University, Orange, California 2002 Nobel Laureate in Economic Science Professor Robert C Merton Massachusetts Institute of Technology, -
A Tribute to George Perry and William Brainard
10922-01_Gordon_REV.qxd 1/25/08 11:05 AM Page 1 ROBERT J. GORDON Northwestern University A Tribute to George Perry and William Brainard YOUNGER READERS OF THIS volume may not appreciate how creative was the invention of the Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, how much it changed the way applied economics is communicated, and how magic has been its appeal to economists young and old, the novices and the famous, over its many years of operation. Within ten years of its creation, it had become one of the four most circulated academic journals in economics. The Brookings Papers started at 1:30 p.m. on Thursday, April 16, 1970, with my first paper on the Phillips curve,1 which was discussed by none other than George Perry and Robert Solow. Right from the start, the Brookings Papers was the place to go to for up-to-date analysis of the macroeconomic puzzles of the day. A scorecard of frequent contributors to the Brookings Papers over the years would include many of the great and famous economists of our day: not just Alan Greenspan and Ben Bernanke, but other luminaries including Olivier Blanchard, Rudiger Dornbusch, Stanley Fischer, Paul Krugman, Jeffrey Sachs, and Lawrence Summers, not to mention the Nobel Prize contingent of George Akerlof, Franco Modigliani, Edmund Phelps, Robert Solow, and James Tobin. It is a supreme tribute to Perry and Brainard— and to Arthur Okun, the journal’s cofounder with Perry—that, when they asked, these people came, whether they were famous then or would become so only later. -
Market Failure in Context: Introduction Alain Marciano and Steven G
Market Failure in Context: Introduction Alain Marciano and Steven G. Medema Market failure, conceived of as the failure of the market to bring about results that are in the best interests of society as a whole, has a long lin- eage in the history of writings on matters economic. As Steven G. Medema has shown in The Hesitant Hand, much of the history of economics can be read as a discussion of whether, and the extent to which, the self- interested actions of private agents, channeled through the market, will redound to the larger social interest. For much of this history, the answers given were negative, and it was assumed that the corrective hand of the state was needed as a constant and consistent regulating force. Thus we find Plato and Aristotle arguing for a wide range of legal restrictions to guard against macroeconomic (to use the modern term) instability; Aqui- nas making the case for rules that promote a measure of Christian justice in economic affairs; mercantilist writers lobbying for restrictions on vari- ous forms of trade (and support for others), as well as for regulations on Correspondence may be addressed to Alain Marciano, University of Montpellier, Department of Economics, Rue Raymond Dugrand, CS 79606, F-34960 Montpellier, France (e-mail: alain [email protected]); and to Steven G. Medema, Department of Economics, University of Colorado Denver, CB 181, PO Box 173364, Denver, CO 80217-3364 (e-mail: steven.medema @ucdenver.edu). The editors wish to thank Paul Dudenhefer for his diligent shepherding of this project from conference to published volume. -
Economic Growth and Investment
Economic Growth and Investment Through the challenges of the pandemic to individuals, communities and businesses around the world, we have found reason to be encouraged and optimistic about the future. The current and next generation of entrepreneurs around the globe are building networks of transformative organizations, changing perceptions of innovation, societal progress and fundamentally, the growth of intrinsic value. As pioneers of growth equity, General Atlantic has a long history – spanning more than 40 years – of empowering companies to reach new levels of growth and scale to tackle global challenges. The new generations of entrepreneurs each bring a dynamic growth mindset and innovative opportunities to their communities, which spur economic and societal growth. We are proud to partner with them. Our latest paper from Nobel Laureate and General Atlantic Senior Advisor Dr. Michael Spence explores the drivers behind the shift to inclusive global growth. Dr. Spence addresses the macroeconomic impact of the pandemic, the sectors likely to experience significant growth in the coming decade as a result, and the impact on global entrepreneurship. With the release of this piece, we are proud to be formally launching the General Atlantic Global Growth Institute. Through this platform, we will seek to advance conversations around what we believe to be the critical drivers of global growth today: innovation, entrepreneurial dynamism and societal contribution to both local and global communities. Led by Dr. Spence and with forthcoming contributions from thought leaders across our firm’s network, the GA Global Growth Institute will also examine the dynamic between our own work in supporting entrepreneurs in scaling businesses, and broader societal impacts, including digital enablement, financial inclusion, access to healthcare and education, and sustainability. -
Competition Description
The Policy Corner is delighted to invite all students and early career professionals of ages 30 years and under to take part in our 2017 essay competition Rethinking Economic Policy. With the generous support of the Young Scholars Initiative at the Institute for New Economic Thinking, we are offering cash prizes for the three best articles (€400, €200, and €100) and will invite the winners to Berlin for a discussion event with invited experts. Submissions close on October 31, 2017. Essay Topic Identify an issue that calls for a new perspective in economic policy and outline an innovative solution. Prizes The monetary prizes will be as follows: First place: €400 Second place: €200 Third place: €100 All three winners will be invited to Berlin to present their ideas at a discussion event with expert speakers in January 2018. Travel costs will be reimbursed up to €700 for the first place winner, and remaining funds will be offered to the second, and potentially third, place winners to reimburse their travel costs too. Submission Submissions should be sent via email to [email protected] as either .pdf or .docx by October 31, 2017, at 23:59 (Central European Time Zone). Please include with your submission: " Your name " Title and word count of your document " Your age " Your current location Information on your age, name and location will neither be shared with the review team nor with the jury. Eligibility Open to all students and young professionals of 30 years of age or younger. Writing Guidelines Submissions must be between 800 and 1000 words (excluding references), be written in English (US American), and supported with at least five references to credible sources (Chicago Style endnotes). -
ΒΙΒΛΙΟΓ ΡΑΦΙΑ Bibliography
Τεύχος 53, Οκτώβριος-Δεκέμβριος 2019 | Issue 53, October-December 2019 ΒΙΒΛΙΟΓ ΡΑΦΙΑ Bibliography Βραβείο Νόμπελ στην Οικονομική Επιστήμη Nobel Prize in Economics Τα τεύχη δημοσιεύονται στον ιστοχώρο της All issues are published online at the Bank’s website Τράπεζας: address: https://www.bankofgreece.gr/trapeza/kepoe https://www.bankofgreece.gr/en/the- t/h-vivliothhkh-ths-tte/e-ekdoseis-kai- bank/culture/library/e-publications-and- anakoinwseis announcements Τράπεζα της Ελλάδος. Κέντρο Πολιτισμού, Bank of Greece. Centre for Culture, Research and Έρευνας και Τεκμηρίωσης, Τμήμα Documentation, Library Section Βιβλιοθήκης Ελ. Βενιζέλου 21, 102 50 Αθήνα, 21 El. Venizelos Ave., 102 50 Athens, [email protected] Τηλ. 210-3202446, [email protected], Tel. +30-210-3202446, 3202396, 3203129 3202396, 3203129 Βιβλιογραφία, τεύχος 53, Οκτ.-Δεκ. 2019, Bibliography, issue 53, Oct.-Dec. 2019, Nobel Prize Βραβείο Νόμπελ στην Οικονομική Επιστήμη in Economics Συντελεστές: Α. Ναδάλη, Ε. Σεμερτζάκη, Γ. Contributors: A. Nadali, E. Semertzaki, G. Tsouri Τσούρη Βιβλιογραφία, αρ.53 (Οκτ.-Δεκ. 2019), Βραβείο Nobel στην Οικονομική Επιστήμη 1 Bibliography, no. 53, (Oct.-Dec. 2019), Nobel Prize in Economics Πίνακας περιεχομένων Εισαγωγή / Introduction 6 2019: Abhijit Banerjee, Esther Duflo and Michael Kremer 7 Μονογραφίες / Monographs ................................................................................................... 7 Δοκίμια Εργασίας / Working papers ...................................................................................... -
Download File 05092017-WP-Lucas
Washington Center 1500 K Street NW, Suite 850 for Equitable Growth Washington, DC 20005 Working paper series Macroeconomic revolution on shaky grounds: Lucas/Sargent critique’s inherent contradictions Ronald Schettkat Sonja Jovicic May 2017 http://equitablegrowth.org/working-papers/lucas-sargent-critique-contradictions/ © 2017 by Ronald Schettkat and Sonja Jovicic. All rights reserved. Short sections of text, not to exceed two paragraphs, may be quoted without explicit permission provided that full credit, including © notice, is given to the source. Macroeconomic revolution on shaky grounds: Lucas/Sargent critique’s inherent contradictions Ronald Schettkat, Sonja Jovicic May 2017 Abstract Expansionary macroeconomic policy is ineffective because, according to the policy ineffectiveness hypothesis (PIH), which is based on the rational expectations hypothesis (REH), it does not affect the real economy. This conclusion is false for several reasons. In their critique on Keynes’ theory, Lucas and Sargent (1978) argue that economic agents erroneously react with positive output and labor supply responses to expansionary macroeconomic policy. But they learn the long-run solution of the Lucas/Sargent model, which involves price reactions only, and do not repeat their mistakes when again confronted with expansionary macroeconomic policy. Thus, learning makes expansionary macroeconomic policy in the Lucas/Sargent model ineffective. The PIH is derived from models based on neoclassical micro-foundations where economic agents optimize in a stationary environment in ‘logical time.’ Experiencing and learning in ‘logical time’? In this paper, we take historical time seriously; that is, we investigate what economic agents actually experience regarding the effectiveness of expansionary macroeconomic policy in ‘historical time.’ We conclude that even if neoclassical micro-foundations are rigorously applied, if economic agents behave as assumed in the Lucas/Sargent model but that they move through time, the economy will not settle at the predicted long run equilibrium.