Public Disclosure Authorized Philippines Digital Economy Report
Public Disclosure Authorized 2020 A BETTER NORMAL UNDER COVID-19: DIGITALIZING THE PHILIPPINE ECONOMY NOW Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized A BETTER NORMAL UNDER COVID-19: DIGITALIZING THE PHILIPPINE ECONOMY NOW A BETTER NORMAL UNDER COVID-19: DIGITALIZING THE PHILIPPINE ECONOMY NOW
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SEPTEMBER 2020 Macroeconomics, Trade, and Investment Global Practice Finance, Competitiveness, and Innovation Global Practice East Asia and Pacific Region ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
The Philippines Digital Economy Report is a publication prepared by a World Bank (WB) Philippines team in collaboration with the Philippines Digital Economy Steering Committee coordinated by the National Economic and Development Authority (NEDA). The report assesses the state of the digital economy in the Philippines, and prescribes policy recommendations to increase digital adoption, decrease the digital divide, and address the new normal brought by the COVID-19 pandemic. The intended audience are Philippine policymakers, but the report may serve the needs of a wider audience including the private sector, academia and think tanks, development partners, and WB management and staff.
The report was undertaken with the guidance of the Philippines Digital Economy Steering Committee consisting of key government stakeholders including NEDA, Department of Finance (DOF), Department of Budget and Management (DBM), Department of Trade and Industry (DTI), Department of Information and Communications Technology (DICT), Department of Science and Technology (DOST), Philippine Competition Commission (PCC), Philippine Statistics Authority, and the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP).
On the World Bank side, the report was undertaken with the guidance of Ndiame Diop (Country Director, Brunei, Malaysia, Philippines and Thailand; and former Practice Manager, Macroeconomics, Trade and Investment Global Practice), Mara Warwick (former Country Director), Hassan Zaman (Regional Director, Equitable Growth, Finance and Institutions, East Asia and Pacific), Achim Fock (Operations Manager; and Acting Country Director at report finalization), Cecile Thioro Niang (Practice Manager, Finance, Competitiveness and Innovation Global Practice), Souleymane Coulibaly (Program Leader, Equitable Growth, Finance and Institutions) and Birgit Hansl (former Program Leader).
The study was conducted by a team from multiple Global Practices at the WB. Kevin Chua (Task team leader, Macroeconomics, Trade and Investment Global Practice) and Andres Garcia (co-task team leader, Finance, Competitiveness and Innovation Global Practice) led the preparation of the report. The task team consisted of Natasha Beschorner (Digital Development Global Practice); Isaku Endo, Jin Lee, and Asya Akhlaque (Finance, Competitiveness and Innovation Global Practice); Roberto Martin Galang (International Finance Corporation); Rong Qian, Kevin Thomas Cruz, Bradley Larson, Karen Annette Lazaro and Jessalaine Bacani (Macroeconomics, Trade and Investment Global Practice); and Grace Mirandilla- Santos, Samuel Bautista, Jonathan Pemberton and Romulo Virola (Consultants). The graphic designer and layout artist were Gato Borrero and Emmanuel Rigunan (Consultants). The report was edited by Priya Susan Thomas (Knowledge Management Officer, Documentation and Communications Products). Elysse Miranda, Reinaluz Ona and Maria Consuelo Sy provided excellent administrative support. The External Communications team, consisting of Clarissa Crisostomo David, David Llorico and Stephanie Anne Margallo, prepared the media release, dissemination plan and web-based multimedia presentation.
The report was peer-reviewed by Deepak Mishra (Practice Manager), Richard Record (Lead Economist), Doyle Gallegos (Lead Digital Development Specialist), Smita Kuriakose (Senior Economist), Ana Paula Cusolito (Senior Economist), Sailesh Tiwari (Senior Economist), and Jose Ramon Albert (Philippine Institute for Development Studies). Four chapters of the report have separately undergone technical reviews under the respective Global Practices. The chapter on digital infrastructure was reviewed by Timothy Kelly (Lead Digital Development Specialist) and Doyle Gallegos. The chapter on digital payments was reviewed Harish Natarajan (Lead Financial Sector Specialist) and Marco Nicoli (Senior Financial Sector Specialist). The chapter on logistics of small parcel items was reviewed by Charles Kunaka (Lead Private Sector Specialist), Satya Prasad Sahu (Senior Trade Facilitation Specialist) and Tania Priscilla Gomez (Senior Economist). The chapter on the indirect taxation of cross-border e-commerce was reviewed by Sebastian James (Senior Economist) and Daniel Alvarez Estrada (Senior Public Sector Management Specialist).
Philippines Digital Economy Report 2020 V ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS
A4AI Alliance for Affordable Internet CFS Container freight station AAB Authorized agent bank CFW Customs Facilities and Warehouses ACH Automated clearing house CHED Commission on Higher Education ACOP Association of Off-Dock CY/CFS CHIP Connect, Harness, Innovate, and Protect Operators of the Philippines CICS Check Image Clearing System ACU Aggregate capacity utilization CMEC Central Mail Exchange Center ADB Asian Development Bank CMO Customs memorandum order ADSL Asymmetric digital subscriber lines CMTA Customs Modernization and Tariff Act AEC ASEAN Economic Community CMTS Cellular mobile telephone system AFM Accounting and financial management COD Cash-on-delivery AI Artificial intelligence COVID-19 Coronavirus disease 2019 APEC Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation CPCN Certificate of Public Convenience and ARTA Anti-Red Tape Authority Necessity ASEAN Association of Southeast Asian Nations CPMI Committee on Payments and Market ATM Automated teller machine Infrastructures B2B Business-to-business CSO Clearing switch operator B2C Business-to-consumer CY Container yard BCDA Bases Conversion and Development DA Department of Agriculture Authority DAI Digital Adoption Index BDA Basic deposit account DBM Department of Budget and BEA Bureau of Economic Analysis Management BEPS Base Erosion and Profit Shifting DDT Direct debit transfer BFAR Bureau of Fisheries and Aquatic DE Digital Economy Resources DENR Department of Environment and Natural BIR Bureau of Internal Revenue Resources BOC Bureau of Customs DepEd Department of Education BPO Business process outsourcing DFON Domestic fiber optic network BRTI Indonesian Telecommunications DICT Department of Information and Regulatory Authority Communications Technology BSP Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas DIY Do-it-yourself BTS Base transceiver station DO Department Order BWA Broadband Wireless Access DOF Department of Finance CAB Civil Aeronautics Board DOH Department of Health CAMP COVID-19 Adjustment Measures DOJ Department of Justice Program DOST Department of Science and Technology CAO Customs administrative order DOTC Department of Transportation and CATV Cable TV Communications CDN Content delivery network vi Philippines Digital Economy Report 2020 ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS
DOTr Department of Transportation iBPLS Integrated Business Permits and DPWH Department of Public Works and Licensing System Highways ICT Information and Communication DTI Department of Trade and Industry Technology E&E Electronics and electrical IF Inclusive Framework e-commerce Electronic commerce IFC International Finance Corporation ECQ Enhanced Community Quarantine IMDA Infocomm Media Development EDP Electronic distribution platform Authority EDS Express delivery services IMF International Monetary Fund EIU Economist Intelligence Unit IoT Internet of Things EMI Electronic money issuer IP Intellectual property EO Executive Order IPO Initial public offering ERC Energy Regulatory Commission IPOPHL Intellectual Property Office of the EU European Union Philippines FCL Full-container load IRR Implementing rules and regulations FDI Foreign direct investment ISP Internet service provider FinTech Financial Technology IT Information technology FMIS Fiscal management information systems IT-BPO Information Technology and Business FOBN Fiber optic backbone network Process Outsourcing FRAND Fair, reasonable, and non-discriminatory ITC Independent tower company FTTH Fiber to the home ITU International Telecommunication Union GDP Gross Domestic Product IXP Internet exchange point GEDI Global Entrepreneurship & Development KCC Korea Communications Commission Institute KYC Know your customer GEM Global Entrepreneurship Monitor LCL Less-than-container load GNI Gross national income LGU Local government unit GO Gross Output LLDA Laguna Lake Development Authority GSM Global System for Mobile LMDS Last-mile delivery services Communications LSP Logistics service provider GST General Sales Tax LTE Long-term Evolution GVA Gross Value Added LTFRB Land Transportation Franchising and HCI Human Capital Index Regulatory Board HLURB Housing and Land Use Regulatory Board LTO Land Transportation Office HRMIS Human resources management Mbps Megabits per second information system MC Memorandum Circular i3s Inclusive Innovation Industrial Strategy MCMC Malaysian Communications and IAC Interagency Collaboration Multimedia Commission IAC-ICT Interagency Committee on ICT Statistics Philippines Digital Economy Report 2020 vii ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS
MDEC Malaysia Digital Economy Corporation OE Offices of exchange MFI Microfinance institution OECD Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development MIAC Ministry of Internal Affairs and OWWA Overseas Workers Welfare Communications Administration MNE Multinational enterprise P2P Person-to-person MO Memorandum Order PA Provisional Authority MOA Memorandum of Agreement PCC Philippine Competition Commission MOOE Maintenance and other operating PCM Price cost margin expenses PCSD Palawan Council for Sustainable MRT Metro rail transit Development MSB Money service business PDDTS Philippine Domestic Dollar Transfer MSME Micro, small, and medium enterprise System NBI National Bureau of Investigation PDP Philippine Development Plan NBOSS National Business One Stop Shop PEMEDES Private Express and/or Messengerial NBP National Broadband Plan Delivery Service NBQB Non-Bank Financial Institutions with PFOCN Philippine Fiber Optic Cable Network Quasi-banking functions Philhealth Philippine Health Insurance Corporation NBTC National Broadcasting and PhilPaSS Philippine Payment and Settlement Telecommunications System NCERT National Computer Emergency PHILRECA Philippine Rural Electric Cooperatives Response Team Association NCP Nutrition Center of the Philippines PhilSys Philippine Identification System NCR National Capital Region PHLPost Philippine Postal Corporation NEA National Electrification Administration PLCN Pacific Light Cable Network NGA National government agency PMR Product market regulation NGCP National Grid Corporation of the PNP Philippine National Police Philippines POS Point of sale NGO Non-governmental organization PPE Personal protective equipment NICTEF National ICT Ecosystem Framework PPMI Philippine Payments Management Inc. NPC National Privacy Commission PPP Purchasing power parity NPS National Payments System Project- Project Bandwidth and Signal Statistics NRPS National Retail Payments System BASS NSW National single window PSA Public Service Act NTC National Telecommunications PSMB Payment System Management Body Commission PSNA Philippine System of National Accounts OCC Off-Dock CY/CFS PSP Payment service provider OCF Off-Dock Customs Facilities PTE Public telecommunications entity Viii Philippines Digital Economy Report 2020 ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS
R&D Research and development UNDP United Nations Development RA Republic Act Programme RAN Radio access networks UP System University of the Philippines System RIO Reference Interconnection Offer USAID United States Agency for International RPA Robotic process automation Development RRTS Roll-on/Roll-off Transport System USCC United States Chamber of Commerce RSA Remittance sub-agent VAS Value-added service RTC Remittance transfer company VAT Value-added tax SBOSS Startup Business One Stop Shop VCPE Venture capital and private equity RTGS Real-time gross settlement VSAT Very small aperture terminal SEA Southeast Asia WBG World Bank Group SEC Securities and Exchange Commission WCO World Customs Organization SME Small and medium-sized enterprise WEF World Economic Forum SMS Short message service WIPO World Intellectual Property Organization SNA System of National Accounts y-o-y Year-on-year SNDGO Smart Nation and Digital Government Office SOE State-owned enterprise SPARTA Smarter Philippine Through R&D, Training and Adoption SSS Social Security System STEM Science, technology, engineering, and mathematics STI Science, technology, and innovation SUF Spectrum User Fees TAB Trading Across Borders TELECPHIL Telecoms Infrastructure Corporation of the Philippines TESDA Technical Education and Skills Development Authority TRC Telecommunication Regulator of Cambodia TVET Technical and Vocational Education and Training UN United Nations UNCTAD United Nations Conference on Trade and Development
Philippines Digital Economy Report 2020 ix TABLE OF CONTENTS
V Acknowledgments X Table of Contents XII List of Figures XIV List of Tables XIV List of Boxes 1 Executive Summary
11 CHAPTER 1: OVERVIEW OF THE DIGITAL ECONOMY IN THE PHILIPPINES 12 The National Context 13 Why the Digital Economy? 18 State of the Digital Economy in the Philippines 27 Digitalization Momentum 28 References
29 CHAPTER 2: DIGITAL INFRASTRUCTURE - ACHIEVING FASTER, MORE AFFORDABLE INTERNET FOR ALL 30 Introduction 31 Market failures in the provision of digital infrastructure 39 Government initiatives to improve internet service and quality 40 Legal and Regulatory Challenges 47 Conclusions and Recommendations 48 References 49 Annex 1. DICT and NTC Policy and Regulatory Issuances Affecting Broadband Access, Quality and Affordability (2016-present)
51 CHAPTER 3: PROMOTING DIGITAL PAYMENTS 52 Introduction 53 Payment Systems Landscape in the Philippines 60 Recent Legal and Regulatory Development 62 Digital Payments for e-Commerce 64 Digital Payments for Government 65 Constraints to Promoting Digital Payments 66 Policy Recommendations 68 References
x Philippines Digital Economy Report 2020 TABLE OF CONTENTS
69 CHAPTER 4: STATE OF LOGISTICS FOR SMALL PARCELS IN THE PHILIPPINES 70 Introduction and Context 72 The State of Logistics in the Philippines 80 Domestic Logistics 82 Policy Recommendations 84 References
85 CHAPTER 5: INDIRECT TAXATION OF CROSS-BORDER E-COMMERCE IN THE PHILIPPINES 86 Introduction 87 Taxation of Low-Value Postal Consignments 90 Indirect Taxation of the Digital Economy 91 A Tax Compliance Strategy for Foreign Suppliers 93 Direct Taxation of the Digital Economy 94 Conclusions and Next Steps 95 References
96 CHAPTER 6: A CONDUCIVE AND COMPETITIVE BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT 97 Competition and regulatory constraints 99 Labor market 99 Skills 101 Access to Finance, including start-up finance 103 Innovation and internal firm constraints 104 Building trust and protecting consumers 105 Policy Recommendations 106 References
107 CHAPTER 7: THE ROLE OF PUBLIC POLICY AND THE WAY FORWARD 108 Leading by example 109 Promoting innovation and digital adoption 111 Whole-of-government approach 114 Digitalizing the new normal for a faster recovery 118 References
Philippines Digital Economy Report 2020 xi LIST OF FIGURES
1 Figure I. The Philippines lags most regional peers in high-speed fixed and mobile broadband penetration 2 Figure II. Digital adoption in the Philippines lags its middle-income regional peers 3 Figure III. Connecting to the internet is expensive in the Philippines, relative to peers 4 Figure IV. Only one tenth of Filipino adults use the internet to pay bills or shopping 5 Figure V. Filipino firms face some of the highest logistics costs in the region 6 Figure VI. The current business environment leads to low competition in the Philippines 7 Figure VII. The skills of today’s workforce are above average, but not full ready for a digital future 14 Figure 1.1. Digital technologies promote development through three mechanisms 14 Figure 1.2. … but without investing in the analog complement, these mechanisms can bring risks 17 Figure 1.3. The CHIP framework shows the four ways to support digital transformation 17 Figure 1.4. … and identify country priorities to support digital transformation. all four elements of digital transformation. 18 Figure 1.5. The Philippines focuses on all four elements of digital transformation. 19 Figure 1.6. Statistical Framework for the Measurement of the Digital Economy in the Philippines 21 Figure 1.7. Digital adoption in the Philippines lags some of its regional peers 22 Figure 1.8. Overall digital adoption in the Philippines is about what income would predict 22 Figure 1.9. Business adoption is higher than the average lower-middle income or ASEAN country, and slightly higher than income would predict 22 Figure 1.10. Adoption by people is higher than the average lower-middle income country and comparable to ASEAN average 22 Figure 1.11. Adoption by government is lower than the average ASEAN country and lower than income would predict 24 Figure 1.12. The Philippines has low innovation inputs relative to its innovation outputs 25 Figure 1.13. The Philippines lags regional peers in measures of firms’ ability to innovate and learn 32 Figure 2.1. How the Philippines Connects to the Internet 33 Figure 2.2. Fiber optic network and submarine cables in the Philippines 34 Figure 2.3. Fixed and Mobile Broadband Market Share* 34 Figure 2.4. Number of Unique Cell Site IDs Detected (as of February 2020) 34 Figure 2.5. 4G Network Coverage (% of Population) 35 Figure 2.6. The Digital Divide - Unserved and Underserved Areas 35 Figure 2.7. Philippines cell site locations identified by the BASS app 35 Figure 2.8. Philippines cellular signal strength recorded by OpenSignal 36 Figure 2.9. Unique cell sites identified by BASS (Luzon) 36 Figure 2.10. Cellular signal strength measured by OpenSignal (Luzon) 36 Figure 2.11. Unique cell sites identified by BASS (Palawan, Visayas) 36 Figure 2.12. Cellular signal strength measured by OpenSignal (Palawan, Luzon) 36 Figure 2.13. Cellular signal strength measured by OpenSignal (Visayas) 37 Figure 2.14. Broadband internet penetration in ASEAN member countries (% of population) 38 Figure 2.15. Mobile and Fixed Internet Download Speeds (August 2019)
Xii Philippines Digital Economy Report 2020 LIST OF FIGURES
38 Figure 2.16. Price of mobile broadband (1GB, prepaid) as % of GNI per capita 38 Figure 2.17. EIU Affordability Score, 2017-2019 Score of 0-100, higher score is better. 53 Figure 3.1. Philippines National Payments System Architecture 54 Figure 3.2. NRPS Governance Framework 57 Figure 3.3. Philippine FinTech Landscape (2018) 60 Figure 3.4. Number of Branches and ATMs per 100,000 adults across the regions of the Philippines (June 2018). 61 Figure 3.5. Transaction Account Ownership among ASEAN Total Percentage of Adults (15+) 63 Figure 3.6. E-Commerce payment processes 70 Figure 4.1. A growing number of internet users are engaging in various e-commerce activities 71 Figure 4.2. The Philippines’ e-Commerce revenue per user ranked lowest in SEA 71 Figure 4.3. A number of SMEs are already realizing the benefits of going digital 72 Figure 4.4. Visits to retail locations have dropped by over 80 percent 72 Figure 4.5. People’s interest and desires have changed since the ECQ 73 Figure 4.6. Logistic Costs as Percent of Sales in Manufacturing Firms 73 Figure 4.7. Logistics Players in the Philippines E-Commerce Landscape in 2016 74 Figure 4.8. Retail logistics and e-commerce 75 Figure 4.9. Distribution of total express market in the Philippines in 2012 75 Figure 4.10. Most of the express deliveries were rendered through road transport 77 Figure 4.11. Trade costs in the Philippines are some of the highest in the region 80 Figure 4.12. Network of Top 5 Domestic Courier Services in the Philippines 98 Figure 6.1. Anti-competitive restrictions create multiple private sector barriers 98 Figure 6.2. It’s less bureaucratically fun to start a company in the Philippines 99 Figure 6.3. Labor regulations in the Philippines are more restrictive than in peers 99 Figure 6.4. Wage determination is also more restrictive in the Philippines compared with peers 100 Figure 6.5. The skills needed to operate in the digital economy go beyond ICT technical skills 101 Figure 6.6. The skills of today are above average, but not fully ready for the future 101 Figure 6.7. The level of domestic credit to the private sector is adequate relative to the country’s income level… 102 Figure 6.8. …but relatively low compared with regional peers 102 Figure 6.9. Venture capital deals in the Southeast Asian region, 2012-2017 103 Figure 6.10. Constraints to Innovation activities – MSMEs vs. large firms 110 Figure 7.1. Philippine firms lag in technology adoption 111 Figure 7.2. Government programs supporting technology adoption only represent three percent of the overall resources
Philippines Digital Economy Report 2020 Xiii LIST OF TABLES
8 Table I. Policy Recommendations 23 Table 1.1. The DAI comprises representative indicators for digital adoption by business, people, and government 25 Table 1.2. The Philippines entrepreneurship ecosystem lags most of its neighbors 30 Table 2.1. Philippines vs. ASEAN penetration level and speed 41 Table 2.2. Licensing of ISPs Across Select Asia Pacific Countries 43 Table 2.3. Reasons for the 8-month Long Process to Construct a Cell Site in the Philippines 55 Table 3.1. Comparison of fund transfer methods in the Philippines 55 Table 3.2. Philippines: Essential banking sector data 57 Table 3.3. Comparison of Payment Instruments 59 Table 3.4. Select Data on Financial Inclusion in the Philippines 73 Table 4.1. Rank in World Bank’s Doing Business - Trading Across Borders Indicator 77 Table 4.2. Comparative Import Duties and Taxes on a US$50.00 Handbag 82 Table 4.3. Rates Comparison – PHLPost and other domestic logistics providers 89 Table 5.1. Low-Value Consignment Exemptions in Selected Countries ($ equivalents) 102 Table 6.1. VCPE Country Attractiveness Index* 115 Table 7.1. Policy Recommendations
LIST OF BOXES
15 Box 1.1. The Analog Complements of the Digital Economy 19 Box 1.2. Measuring the Size of the Digital Economy in the Philippines 23 Box 1.3. Digital Adoption Index 31 Box 2.1. Digital Infrastructure Components 58 Box 3.1. BSP vision for an inclusive financial system 62 Box 3.2. Digital payments solutions in the COVID-19 pandemic 64 Box 3.3. Enhancements to the ACH to Support Authenticated e-Commerce Transactions 67 Box 3.4. Measuring Retail Payment Costs 78 Box 4.1. Trade Policy in the Philippines 112 Box 7.1. Whole of Government Approaches to Develop the Digital Economy
XIV Philippines Digital Economy Report 2020
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
The COVID-19 pandemic underscores the Figure I. The Philippines lags most regional peers in high-speed importance of digitalization for economic fixed and mobile broadband penetration and social resilience. COVID-19 is restricting Broadband Penetration, December 2018 mobility and economic activity around the Indonesia world, and the Philippines is no exception. As mobility restrictions and social distancing measures limit face-to-face interactions and Philippines activities, the availability of affordable digital technologies has emerged as a key determinant Thailand of resilience. Indeed, digital technologies allow businesses, the government and schools to pursue operations online rather than completely Vietnam shutting down. E-commerce and digital payments have permitted business transactions China to continue and goods to be delivered; online communication platforms have facilitated home-based work, virtual meetings, and Malaysia remote classes; and government agencies in 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 many countries have used online processes to 4G (% of population) 3G (% of population) Fixed-broadband (per HH) quickly deliver social assistance to vulnerable Source: Data from Telegeography and GSMA (2019) households. This report provides a thorough analysis of the Unfortunately, not all countries have been able obstacles to digitalization and identifies key to leverage digital technologies to their full reforms and policy measures that could help the extent, because of poor access to high quality Philippines harness the potential of the digital internet and long-held analog practices. In economy. It uses the CHIP (Connect, Harness, the Philippines, COVID-19 has accelerated Innovate, Protect) conceptual framework to the adoption and use of digital technologies. analyze the requirements to accelerate digital However, digitalization is largely constrained transformation.1 The framework focuses on by the country’s low high-speed broadband four key drivers of digitalization: (i) Connect, penetration, which lags behind neighboring which refers to a set measures to build the middle-income countries (Figure I). The digital foundation and enablers such as digital digital divide in the Philippines is large with infrastructure for participation in the digital nearly 60 percent of households not having economy; (ii) Harness, which points to needed access to internet, and unable to reap the investments in analog complements such as benefits of digitalization. As a result, face-to- skills, regulations, and institutions to leverage face interactions and analog practices largely the old economy; (iii) Innovate, which refers dominate in the Philippines, making social to expanding the new economy services, distancing economically costly. For example, digital payments, digital entrepreneurship and cash and cheques remain the dominant e-government; and (iv) Protect, which focuses modes of payment while applying for permits on mitigating the risks in the digital economy. and licenses typically requires exchange of The need to act on the digital economy is urgent. documents in person. Gatherings of people Reforms delivered now will help the government waiting in lines are typical fixture for Filipinos to cushion the impact of the COVID-19 outbreak, secure goods and services. support the recovery in the medium term, and make the economy more inclusive, competitive, and resilient to similar shocks in the long term. 1 The CHIP framework was developed by a select team of managers and senior specialists within the World Bank East Asia and Pacific Region unit in 2019. Philippines Digital Economy Report 2020 1 that the Philippines falls behind regional peers Accelerating digitalization: when it comes to digital adoption (Figure II). The connecting the Filipinos, size of e-commerce exemplifies the low levels of harnessing the opportunities digital adoption. While retail trade contributes to around 20 percent of GDP, e-commerce offered facilitates only 0.5 percent of sales.
Despite the high internet usage, digital The relatively poor performance in digital adoption in the Philippines generally trails adoption can be traced to a multitude of behind many regional neighbors. Use of factors including the high cost and uneven internet has expanded rapidly in the Philippines quality of internet, limited adoption of digital over the past decade. From 23 million in 2010, payments, expensive logistics, and a business the number of Filipino internet users has more environment with low levels of competition. 2 than tripled to 73 million in 2020. On average, Increasing digital penetration in the Philippines every Filipino spends nearly 10 hours a day on requires (i) upgrading the country’s digital the internet, the most worldwide, with over five infrastructure as internet connection is a hours on mobile internet, and nearly four hours prerequisite to participation in the digital on social media. In economic terms, the share economy; (ii) harnessing market opportunities of the value added of the Digital Economy to provided functioning digital payments and GDP, in constant prices, grew from 7 percent in online platforms; (iii) improving the efficiency 2012 to over 10 percent in 2018. During the same and effectiveness of the country’s logistics period, the value added of the digital economy system and, finally; (iv) improving the business posted double-digit annual growth averaging environment. over 13 percent. Still, the World Bank Digital Adoption Index (DAI) and its three sub-indices Upgrading the Digital Infrastructure on people, government and business, reveal The Philippines’ limited digital infrastructure Figure II. Digital adoption in the Philippines lags its has generated a digital divide, contributing middle-income regional peers to an unequal access to services delivered via
2.5 the internet. In 2018, about 40 percent of the Philippines’ total population of 103 million and 2 about 57 percent of the country’s 23 million 1.5 households did not have internet access 1 (United Nations Broadband Commission).
0.5 The gaps vis-à-vis regional countries concern access, affordability and quality of internet 0 service. Indeed, Filipino consumers experience -0.5 slower download speeds and pay more than
-1 consumers in most Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) countries (Figure III). At Standard deviation difference -1.5 16.76 Mbps, the country’s mobile broadband -2 speed is much lower than the global average 3
Brunei of 32.01 Mbps. In the region, the 3G/4G mobile Vietnam Lao PDR Thailand
Malaysia Myanmar
Indonesia Cambodia Singapore
Philippines average download speed stands at 13.26 Mbps compared to only 7 Mbps in the Philippines.4 Digital Adoption Index People sub-index Moreover, at USD 6.30 per month for 500 MB Business sub-index Government sub-index of prepaid, handset-based mobile broadband, Source: World Bank (2018) the Philippines has the fourth highest cost next
2 We are Social, 2020. “Digital 2020: Global Digital Overview,” Accessible Online: https://wearesocial.com/digital-2020, February 8, 2020. 3 Ookla, “Speedtest Global Index – Monthly comparisons of internet speeds from around the world.” Speedtest, August 2019. Accessible Online: https://www.speedtest.net/global- index, 2019. 4 Opensignal, “The State of Mobile Network Experience: Benchmarking mobile on the even of the 5G revolution.” Accessible online: https://www.opensignal.com/sites/opensignal- com/files/data/reports/global/data-2019-05/the_state_of_mobile_experience_may_2019_0.pdf, 2019. 5 ITU, “World Telecommunication/ICT Indicators Database 2017,” 2017. 2 Philippines Digital Economy Report 2020 Figure III. Connecting to the internet is expensive in the Philippines, multiple permits and licenses required to relative to peers deploy networks in urban and rural areas, E I U EIU A S alongside the fees imposed by several national - government agencies, local government units, Score of 0-100, higher scores represent more affordability and private property management such as homeowners’ associations, have hindered the 100 speedier installations of towers and stations as well. As a result, the number of towers 90 THA, 85.5 in the country is estimated to be less than SGP, 83.7 20,000 in 2019 (DICT), far below Vietnam’s 80 MYS, 79.1 70,000 and Indonesia’s 90,000 towers. VNM, 73.7 70 IDN, 71.3 The government can reduce the digital divide PHL, 62.8 60 by lowering regulatory constraints and barriers to market entry. The recent passage 50 of the Common Tower Policy to speed up the 2017 2018 2019 rollout of mobile network infrastructure is a step toward the right direction. Foreign direct SGP MYS VNM THA PHL IDN investment and know-how could increase Source: EIU (2019) by reducing foreign direct investment (FDI) restriction through the passage of the Public to Singapore, Brunei, and Malaysia.5 Surprisingly, Service Act (PSA). Furthermore, executive despite middling in terms of fixed broadband issuances can improve spectrum management speed, the cost of a fixed broadband plan in the and competition for frequencies that do not Philippines is close to the cost of similar plans in need legislation. Singapore and Thailand, countries which have the fastest speeds in the region. Promote Digital Payments
Efforts to enhance digital infrastructure are The Philippine economy is largely cash-based, hindered by low competition and regulatory with digital payments growing, but still in their constraints in the telecommunications market. infancy. Despite its handling and safekeeping Restrictions on investment and competition in costs, cash is the main medium of exchange in the telecommunications market have hindered the Philippines, given its wide acceptance and efforts to improve the digital infrastructure in the its potential anonymity. For example, according country. These restrictions included the public to the Global Findex Database, almost all utility designation on telecommunications which Filipinos prefer to use cash to pay their utility limits foreign ownership and places a cap on the bills through bill payment services providers.6 rate of return. The requirement for a Congressional Only 5 percent pay utility bills through their franchise to build a “network” also disincentivizes bank accounts or mobile money accounts, small, regional or community-based players from compared to 22 percent in Indonesia and over participating in the broadband networks. Other 80 percent in Malaysia. Similarly, nearly 60 countries in ASEAN only require licenses from the percent send or receive domestic remittances regulatory bodies to build and operate a network. through over-the-counter services. Even seven Two other significant regulatory constraints out of ten Filipinos receive their wages in cash. involve the limits on spectrum allocation which The pervasiveness of cash is reflected even in is governed by an outdated Radio Control Law of e-commerce where orders and transactions 1931, and the lack of open access policy, meant are made digitally, but a majority of payments to level the playing field and ensure that market are still made in an analog fashion through players compete based on services and innovation cash on delivery. and not on exclusive ownership of networks. The
6 World Bank, Global Findex Database, Washington DC: The World Bank, 2017. Philippines Digital Economy Report 2020 3 Low transaction account ownership, lack of a Figure IV. Only one tenth of Filipino adults use the internet to pay bills national ID, nascent payment infrastructure, or shopping and the perceived risk of digital transactions Banking and Payment Behavior restrict the wider adoption of digital payments. First, the low level of Filipino’s bank account Indonesia ownership is a key constraint (Figure IV). Only 34 percent of Filipino adults had accounts in 2017, lagging behind most neighboring countries like Malaysia Indonesia (49 percent), Malaysia (85 percent), and Thailand (82 percent). Moreover, 40 percent of banked Filipinos were not aware of electronic Philippines payments, showing the limits of digital financial literacy. Second, the lack of a national ID system makes reliably and uniquely identifying people Thailand challenging. As a result, consumers typically need to produce multiple IDs to interact with banks. Third, while the country has made Vietnam significant progress in offering interoperable retail payments with Instapay and PESOnet, 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 many banks have yet to join Instapay, and most rural and thrift banks remain outside of this Bank Account Use internet to pay bills or shopping Fixed-broadband (per HH) payment infrastructure. Fourth, the availability Source: World Bank (2017) of payment services is still underdeveloped under the National Retail Payment System. Reduce Logistics Costs Lastly, despite the availability and awareness of digital payments, including mobile wallets, The high cost of logistics limits e-commerce people are unwilling to use them due to growth in the Philippines. Filipino companies, perceived risks of online security and safety.7 from SMEs to giant corporations, complement their existing brick and mortar stores with The Government can promote digital e-commerce to broaden their consumer base payments through various means. For and expand their market. Over the past decade, instance, the government could lead by the last mile segment of the transportation example by mandating its agencies to make and logistics industry has exploded with new and receive digital payments, including the options that include: technology companies like delivery of emergency subsidies. Similarly, Grab, Mober, NinjaVan, and Transportify; and promoting the acceleration of QR code-enabler niche market delivery services like Foodpanda, merchants can increase the acceptance of and Lalafood. This trend accelerated during digital payments. This is especially important the COVID-19 ECQ. Nonetheless, companies for the use of mobile initiated payments face some of the highest costs in the region, such as mobile money (e-money) and mobile limiting the potential growth of e-commerce. banking. Lastly, the government can adjust For example, according to IFC, logistics costs the design of existing small and medium- accounted for about 27 percent of sales sized enterprises’ support policies and of manufacturing firms in the Philippines, mechanisms to facilitate the adoption of digital compared to Indonesia (21 percent), Vietnam (16 technologies, which can increase the ability percent), and Thailand (11 percent) (Figure V). of merchants to connect with consumers. The impact is greater on SMEs, which operate on a much smaller scale and usually face high shipping and delivery costs when importing and delivering smaller shipments.
7 BSP, Financial Inclusion Survey, Manila: BSP, 2017. 4 Philippines Digital Economy Report 2020 Legal and regulatory constraints have the WCO recommendations in its e-Commerce hampered competition in the logistics sector. Package that includes the Framework of The sector remains closed to foreign investment Standards, Technical Specifications, Immediate given the lack of legal clarity as to whether Release Guidelines, and other documents different logistics services are defined as public and tools supporting its implementation, can utilities, and therefore constitutionally limited further enhance cross-border e-commerce to Filipino corporations only. Meanwhile, of the Philippines. Lastly, the transition and in cross-border e-commerce transactions, transfer of oversight and control functions over shipping and fulfillment processes are getting postal service providers from the Department more complicated given the disparity in of Transportation and Communications regulations, including customs de minimis, (DOTC), PHLPost, National Telecommunications valuation, clearance procedures for Commission (NTC), and now Department of e-commerce, and new distribution processes. Information and Communications Technology While the Philippines has taken great strides in (DICT), must be reviewed and redefined to align adapting its basic legislation to support the rise with operational realities. of international parcels through the passage of the Customs Modernization and Tariff Act Fostering a more competitive business (CMTA), many of the provisions surrounding environment e-commerce have yet to be fully implemented. Lastly, the Philippine Postal Corporation remains The ability of the private sector to be part of fraught with issues concerning reliability and the digital economy requires a conducive and efficiency. competitive business environment. As the World Bank’s 2016 World Development Report Figure V. Filipino firms face some of the highest logistics costs in the region highlighted, without competitive pressure, market leaders have little incentive to invest 30.0% in technologies new to the firm since they do not face competitive pressures to reduce their
25.0% costs—while laggard firms are too far away from the frontier to bridge the cost gaps and enter the market.8 Those that do enter the market may 20.0% instead use old production technologies and focus on local market niches to survive.
15.0% The current business environment in the Philippines is restricted by complex 10.0% regulations, including those that protect incumbents. New firms are typically responsible
5.0% for most nations’ net job growth. However, in 2018, only 300 new firms in the Philippines 0 were registered per 1 million working-age Thailand Vietnam Indonesia Philippines people, compared to Thailand with 1,100 Source: IFC (2020) and Malaysia with 2,300. Entrepreneurs are The government can reduce the logistic costs largely discouraged by the administrative by lowering regulatory constraints and barriers burdens placed on startups, together with the to market entry. As with digital infrastructure, complexity of regulatory procedures and the the passing of the PSA can clarify the legal status regulatory protection of incumbents (Figure of foreign ownership restrictions in the logistics VI). The resulting environment leads to low sector and spur greater innovation in the sector. competition. A recent analysis by the World 9 Moreover, the implementation of the CMTA Bank Group confirms that a notable proportion provisions for e-commerce goods, adopting of markets in transport, agriculture, wholesale
8 World Bank (2016). World Development Report 2016: Digital Dividends. Washington, D.C.: World Bank. 9 World Bank (2018). Fostering Competition in the Philippines: The Challenge of Restrictive Regulations. Washington, D.C.: World Bank Group. Philippines Digital Economy Report 2020 5 Figure VI. The current business environment leads to low firms based in other regions). For example, competition in the Philippines Business regulation indicators companies operating in the logistics sector are for select Southeast Asian economies required to secure permits from the Maritime Industry Authority for their shipping assets and Burden of government Hiring and firing Impact of biz from the Land Transportation Franchising and Competition regulations practices rules on FDI Regulatory Board for their trucks, as well as a 50 client profile registry from the Bureau of Customs 40 and a sea freight forwarding accreditation from the Fair Trade and Enforcement Bureau. These 30 are in addition to permits paid to local entities, 20 such as the Mayor’s Business Permit; permits for 10 passage from local government units (LGUs), economic zones, and ports. 0
-10 A combination of administrative and -20 regulatory reforms can support digitalization. The transition to a more digital government -30 can facilitate recovery and promote social Indonesia Malaysia Philippines distancing. Therefore, the government should Thailand Vietnam require agencies to accept digital documents Source: WEF, 2017. World Competitiveness Report and digital payments as legal equivalents in the processing of all permits, licenses, and taxes. and retail, and manufacturing can be classified Similarly, the passing of the PSA amendment as highly concentrated. would allow for FDI and greater innovation in the sector. Lastly, the government should continue Restrictions to investments affect the to implement the Philippine Competition Act Philippines’ ability to attract foreign direct to enable fair competition and increase the investment (FDI), which is key to local innovation needed to operate under the new diffusion of technological know-how. Among normal. the 62 countries included in the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development’s To ride the waves of digital transformation, FDI Regulatory Restrictiveness Index, the employers and workers need to know how to Philippines is the most restrictive country in use digital technology, handle large volumes terms of FDI regulation. The country belongs to of information, and act with flexibility and the top five most restricted countries in almost creativity. While more productive firms tend to all sectors and is the top country in terms of access the internet and use it more intensively, equity restrictions. Restrictions on foreign the successful use of digital technologies investment are largely embedded in the 1987 depends on firms’ complementary investments Philippine Constitution and reflected in the 11th in skills and organizational restructuring. This Foreign Investment Negative List. There are entails that workers and entrepreneurs would restrictions in several industries typically open need to possess foundational skills in addition to FDI, including utilities, logistics, retail, and to technical information and communications education. technology (ICT) skills. To maximize the potential benefits of the digital economy, three In addition to regulatory limits to competition, sets of skills are required: (1) cognitive, such as high administrative burdens on start-ups problem-solving and mental speed; (2) social make it costly for firms to enter the market. and behavioral, such as socioemotional skills, Numerous operating permits and licenses are decision-making ability, and interpersonal required from unrelated agencies that need to skills; and (3) technical, such as the use of be renewed annually, typically paper-based, various software, methods, materials, and and many times requiring travel to Manila (for tools. Moreover, digital technologies perform
6 Philippines Digital Economy Report 2020 routine tasks more quickly and less costly than skills in the curricula of the extended compulsory humans. As a result, the demand for low-skill education from kindergarten to grade 12 by jobs declines and the need for high-skill workers explicitly stating objectives and targets and by that complement these technologies increases. preparing the teachers for effective delivery of This, in turn, motivates people to continuously content.10 Moreover, COVID-19 has highlighted learn new skills and upgrade existing ones the importance of remote options to ensure through a lifelong process of learning. the continuity of learning. Therefore, the government should prepare teachers and school Filipinos’ skills for today’s labor force are above leaders for multiple learning delivery modalities regional average but the skills needed for the and learning resources, including minimum future workforce are below average. The WEF’s standards of digital literacy and remote learning 2016 Competitiveness report differentiates the capabilities. Lastly, encourage university and skills of the current workforce with those needed industry linkages to improve the curriculum by the future a (Figure VII). Current workforce relevance in STEM (science, technology, skills cover years of schooling, extent of staff engineering, mathematics) disciplines. training, quality of vocational training, skill sets of secondary education graduates, and skill sets The role of government policy in of university graduates. In comparison, future workforce skills cover school life expectancy, the new normal quality of primary education, internet use in schools, and critical thinking in teaching. The digital economy can take root and grow Using the skills of the current workforce, the anywhere if some elements are in place, Philippines is above regional peers’ average; but especially if government policies shape however, in terms of the skills for the future growth in the right direction. As discussed workforce, the Philippines lags behind its above, the foundation of the digital economy regional neighboring countries. is fast, reliable, and affordable internet. Equally important are digital enablers such Figure VII. The skills of today’s workforce are above average, as digital finance and digital IDs together but not full ready for a digital future with the analog complements that include Skills of current Skills of future the business climate, skills, and institutions. 30 workforce workforce Facilitating the dividends of growth, jobs, and services requires government policy to set up 20 a sound regulatory environment and promote digital adoption. Mitigating the risks requires 10 the creation and strong implementation of regulations that encourage competition, guarantee accountability, and protect 0 consumers. The resulting ecosystem allows companies to leverage technology to increase -10 their productivity and reach new markets of digitally-able consumers.
Difference to regional peers' average scores (%) -20 In a society-wide digital transformation led by -30 the government, the government itself must China Indonesia Malaysia lead by example. The government can serve as Philippines Thailand Vietnam an example by taking the lead in fast-tracking Source: Adapted from WEF 2019. their e-governance projects. Fast-tracking The skills of the future workforce can be the adoption of digital identification will help improved by fostering socioemotional skills promote inclusivity, improve efficiency, and and preparing for digital education and remote enhance security. Given its multi-faceted learning. A first step is to embed socioemotional nature, planning and implementing strategies
10 Acosta, P. et al (2017). Developing Socioemotional Skills for the Philippines’ Labor Market. World Bank. Philippines Digital Economy Report 2020 7 for the digital economy does not fall into the inclusion. The need to increase digital adoption hands of a single government entity. Nor will by public and private sectors is critical not only it be successful with the piecemeal efforts of in helping the Philippines adapt to the post- separate national agencies. Instead, it requires COVID-19 world, but also to leapfrog toward its a “whole-of-government” approach that Ambisyon Natin 2040 dream. The government involves the participation of various sectors must therefore urgently take an active role that are involved in the digital economy and in creating and implementing an enabling their corresponding e-governance projects. policy and regulatory framework through priority reforms that reduce the digital divide, This is the time to implement reforms that have reduce logistic costs, promote the use of been in preparation during the past decade, digital payments, and create a more conducive which can lower internet costs, broaden business environment (Table I). economic opportunities, and increase social
Table I. Policy Recommendations
Time Horizon Policy Recommendations Responsible Agency DIGITAL INFRASTRUCTURE
Immediate term • Coordinate and fast track procurement of internet services for government All government agencies offices and critical facilities (for example, health centers, hospitals). • Amend the Public Service Act (PSA) to lower barriers to entry for foreign Congress investments. • Issue common infrastructure policies to speed up the rollout of mobile DICT network infrastructure. • Issue executive directives on spectrum management and competition for DICT frequencies.
Short term • Ensure a fair and level playing field for operators by applying the same DICT, NEDA, PCC service obligations and performance standards for the third telco to the incumbent telcos. • Fast-track and lower the cost of deploying broadband infrastructure DICT, DPWH through infrastructure sharing policies that address: (a) the use of government assets (submarine cable, NGCP dark fiber); (b) the use of infrastructure across sectors such as roads, railways, electricity trans mission; and (c) coordinated build for a shared utility corridor. • Reconsider direct government investment in network infrastructure and DICT, PCC operations; and develop transition plan, including regulatory framework for open access and non-discriminatory pricing, for NBN and Free Wifi programs to be transitioned to the private sector. • Pass joint memorandum circulars on streamlining of permits for DICT, ARTA, DILG, cellular towers and cable laying within six months, while streamlining DHSUD, DOE, DPWH permit requirements for network deployment and rationalize fees imposed by national and local government agencies, as well as private sector associations within the short to medium term.
Medium term • Amend the Radio Control Law and/or the Public Telecoms Policy Act, and Congress pass the Open Access in Data Transmission bill and the guidelines to clarify spectrum assignment, recall, and reassignment. • Amend EO No. 467 to liberalize access to satellites for internet connectivity Office of the President to help address digital infrastructure gap in the countryside.
Long term • Prepare for 5G which will be a game changer in terms of facilitating digital DICT, NEDA adoption across sectors.
DIGITAL PA MENTS
Immediate term • Maximize the usage of payment system infrastructures and payment DOF, DTI, DSWD, BSP, services including private sector payment service providers in delivering DICT emergency subsidy payments digitally. • Establish a strong consumer protection framework including grievance DTI mechanisms, and a return and refund policy. • Implement e-invoice and e-receipt to make transaction digital from DTI, BIR, DICT end to end. • Mandate government agencies to make and receive payments digitally to NEDA, DOF, DBM, ARTA, the extent possible. BTr, BIR, COA
8 Short to medium • Expand the financial literacy program in partnership with other PhilippinesBSP Digital Economy Report 2020 term stakeholders, covering digital financial services and digital literacy. • Accelerate QR Code-enabled merchants for wider acceptance of digital BSP payments. • Implement the PhilSys in a timely manner for the delivery of public PSA services, social safety net, and access to financial services. • Expand the participating government agencies under the EGov Pay facility BSP, all government as well as PESONet participating payment service providers. agencies
Long term • Promote the use of electronic payments through NRPS, and crowd in BSP private sector entities to facilitate the expansion of ACHs with multiple payment instruments and innovation. • Strengthen cybersecurity and data privacy regulations to manage the risks DICT, BSP of adopting digital financial technology. • Pass the Financial Consumer Protection bill including a consolidated Congress ombudsman for financial services. Time Horizon Policy Recommendations Responsible Agency DIGITAL INFRASTRUCTURE
Immediate term • Coordinate and fast track procurement of internet services for government All government agencies offices and critical facilities (for example, health centers, hospitals). • Amend the Public Service Act (PSA) to lower barriers to entry for foreign Congress investments. • Issue common infrastructure policies to speed up the rollout of mobile DICT network infrastructure. • Issue executive directives on spectrum management and competition for DICT frequencies.
Short term • Ensure a fair and level playing field for operators by applying the same DICT, NEDA, PCC service obligations and performance standards for the third telco to the incumbent telcos. • Fast-track and lower the cost of deploying broadband infrastructure DICT, DPWH through infrastructure sharing policies that address: (a) the use of government assets (submarine cable, NGCP dark fiber); (b) the use of infrastructure across sectors such as roads, railways, electricity trans mission; and (c) coordinated build for a shared utility corridor. • Reconsider direct government investment in network infrastructure and DICT, PCC operations; and develop transition plan, including regulatory framework for open access and non-discriminatory pricing, for NBN and Free Wifi programs to be transitioned to the private sector. • Pass joint memorandum circulars on streamlining of permits for DICT, ARTA, DILG, cellular towers and cable laying within six months, while streamlining DHSUD, DOE, DPWH permit requirements for network deployment and rationalize fees imposed by national and local government agencies, as well as private sector associations within the short to medium term.
Medium term • Amend the Radio Control Law and/or the Public Telecoms Policy Act, and Congress pass the Open Access in Data Transmission bill and the guidelines to clarify spectrum assignment, recall, and reassignment. • Amend EO No. 467 to liberalize access to satellites for internet connectivity Office of the President to help address digital infrastructure gap in the countryside.
Long term • Prepare for 5G which will be a game changer in terms of facilitating digital DICT, NEDA adoption across sectors.
DIGITAL PA MENTS
Immediate term • Maximize the usage of payment system infrastructures and payment DOF, DTI, DSWD, BSP, services including private sector payment service providers in delivering DICT emergency subsidy payments digitally. • Establish a strong consumer protection framework including grievance DTI mechanisms, and a return and refund policy. • Implement e-invoice and e-receipt to make transaction digital from DTI, BIR, DICT end to end. • Mandate government agencies to make and receive payments digitally to NEDA, DOF, DBM, ARTA, the extent possible. BTr, BIR, COA
Short to medium • Expand the financial literacy program in partnership with other BSP term stakeholders, covering digital financial services and digital literacy. • Accelerate QR Code-enabled merchants for wider acceptance of digital BSP payments. • Implement the PhilSys in a timely manner for the delivery of public PSA services, social safety net, and access to financial services. • Expand the participating government agencies under the EGov Pay facility BSP, all government as well as PESONet participating payment service providers. agencies
Long term • Promote the use of electronic payments through NRPS, and crowd in BSP private sector entities to facilitate the expansion of ACHs with multiple payment instruments and innovation. • Strengthen cybersecurity and data privacy regulations to manage the risks DICT, BSP of adopting digital financial technology. • Pass the Financial Consumer Protection bill including a consolidated Congress ombudsman for financial services.
L GISTICS
Immediate term • Implement public-private information campaigns among SMEs, especially DTI those outside the major cities, about logistics services to encourage them to explore the potential of e-commerce trading. • Provide support for SMEs to adopt e-commerce options. DTI, DOST, DICT
Short to medium • Pass the PSA amendment to clarify the legal status of foreign ownership Congress term restrictions in the logistics sector. • Implement the CMTA provisions for e-commerce goods, adopting the WCO BOC recommendations in its E-Commerce Package that includes the Framework of Standards, Technical Specifications, Immediate Release Guidelines, and other documents and tools supporting its implementation. • Fix clearance processing between PHLPost and BOC, particularly for goods PHLPost, BOC destined for places outside the NCR. • Continue efforts to modernize Customs processes through automation. BOC
Long term • Revitalize PHLPost as an important anchor for the small parcel delivery DOF, PHLPost logistics industry, especially for remote and isolated communities. • Encourage logistics companies to upgrade their facilities, transportation DTI assets, and ICT infrastructure and systems, through assistance and access to long-term financing with low interest rates. • Review and align with operational realities the transition and transfer of DICT oversight and control functions over postal service providers from the DOTC, PHLPost, NTC, and now DICT.
DIGITAL TA ATI N
Short to Long • Obtain more precise data to allow for assessment of the tax revenue lost DOF, BIR term as a result of the current low value consignment exemption from VAT and the potential yield from its reduction, or abolition. • Identify what data is available about the consumption of digital services by BIR consumers in the Philippines, and enter into dialogue with the industry to assess the scale of the market and future trends. That could be part of an overall consultation about changes to the VAT treatment of imports. • Develop an appropriate legislative model that can be translated into DOF, BIR provision in the Philippine Tax Code, and compliance strategy to support the policy changes and BIR and BOC that can be best integrated into their current operations.
C MPETITIVE BUSINESS ENVIR NMENT
Immediate term • Require government agencies to accept scanned documents, digital BIR, COA, BTr, BSP photographs, and digital payments as legal equivalents in the processing of permits, licenses, and taxes.
Short to medium • Pass the PSA amendment. Congress term • Pass Executive Order on the National Competition Policy. Office of the President • Prepare teachers and school leaders for multiple learning delivery DepEd modalities and learning resources.
Long term • Embed socioemotional skills in the curricula of the extended compulsory DepEd education from kindergarten to grade 12 by explicitly stating objectives and targets and by preparing the teachers for effective delivery of content.
Philippines Digital Economy Report 2020 9 What are the payoffs of these government reliable systems for efficient and transparent public service delivery, which can reforms? be used to deliver cash aid and other services to disaster-prone country like the Philippines. Digital reforms can help the economy become
more competitive. Digital technologies can Digital reforms can finally help the Philippines increase the productivity of businesses, and be more inclusive. Digital technologies the efficiency of the government. They can can make development more inclusive enhance coordination and automate processes through information sharing, facilitating in a way to increase operational efficiency and search-and-matching, and providing service reduce costs. These technologies can replace deliveries to those previously unreached existing factors of production like labor or non- and unserved. Online jobs markets are able ICT capital the way travel agency is replaced to connect employers with job applicants, by online airline booking system; or augment while e-commerce platforms connect Filipino the factors to make them more productive like sellers from urban or rural areas to buyers in workers using technology. They can also deliver local and foreign markets. These technologies economies of scale and platform contributing to can also stimulate new business models and greater organization and collaboration among provide new avenues for activities away from economic agents. The Philippines can learn their traditional domains. Massive open online from other countries. In Turkey, firms using the courses offer learning opportunities for Filipino internet for online orders or reservations are students at the click of a button, while local 11 percent more productive, 25 percent larger, microfinance companies offer lending services and twice more likely to export. Governments through mobile applications. Leveraging using one-stop computerized service centers these digital technologies can help deliver and online portal have improved service inclusive development by widening economic efficiency. For example, Malaysia’s introduction opportunities for everyone. of an online registration system for Goods and Service Tax reduced the time to start a business by 10 days in 2019.
Digital reforms can also help the Philippines become more resilient. The transition to a digital economy will make the country more resilient to external and natural shocks like the COVID-19 pandemic. Digital technologies will help the country address the pandemic and the new normal by facilitating social distancing while maintaining engagement and communication. It can support work-from-home arrangements, distance learning, and offsite service delivery, avoiding business disruptions and ensuring service continuity. Digital payment solutions facilitate contactless transactions on online payments and fund transfers that would be more effective than the traditional banking experience. Reform efforts can ensure the
10 Philippines Digital Economy Report 2020 CHAPTER 1 OVERVIEW OF THE DIGITAL ECONOMY IN THE PHILIPPINES
Philippines Digital Economy Report 2020 11 The National Context
The Philippines aims to be a prosperous middle and an enhanced community quarantine class society free of poverty by 2040. This (ECQ) in Luzon and other regions, restricting collective long-term vision of the Filipinos for the the movement of people and reducing Philippines is enshrined in the Ambisyon Natin business operations to only the essentials. 2040. The vision depicts the life of all Filipinos The containment measures have paralyzed the in the next 20 years to be matatag (strongly economy, resulting in the losses of incomes, rooted), maginhawa (comfortable), and panatag jobs, and investments, and disruptions in (secure) – essentially, a middle class lifestyle domestic value chains. These adverse socio- characterized with home and vehicle ownership, economic outcomes necessitated the delivery steady income source to support family and self, of unprecedented social assistance and fiscal ample finances for children’s education, leisure, measures to help households survive the and retirement. As a long-term national vision, lockdown, businesses avoid bankruptcies, and Ambisyon Natin 2040 serves as a guide and the healthcare system respond to the outbreak. anchor for development planning in the country Nevertheless, if the pandemic prolongs further, starting with the Philippine Development Plan large scale fiscal and monetary policy support (PDP) 2017-2022 and in succeeding PDPs across may not prevent vulnerable firms from exiting, different administrations until 2040. and households from curtailing consumption.
The country also aspires to be a globally The call to leverage the digital economy has competitive knowledge economy. To build become compelling as the country grapples the foundation for a knowledge economy, the with the nature of the “new normal”. Until a government is making it a priority to promote vaccine is discovered, an immediate return to and accelerate technology adoption, and normalcy is unlikely. Between now and then, stimulate innovation in all economic sectors. the Philippines has to resume activities under The current PDP outlines the strategic priorities a cloud of social distancing measures, and on science, technology and innovation (STI) health and hygiene protocols. Evidences are that encompass both the public and private mounting that digitalization has accelerated sectors. These priorities include strengthening through digital banking, e-commerce, and open collaboration among actors in the STI online bills payment amidst the lockdown.12 ecosystem, enhancing the creative capacity The longer the pandemic endures, the more for knowledge and technology generation, entrenched the changes underway become. investing in STI-based start-ups, enterprises, Businesses and individuals will have learned and spin offs, and increasing STI utilization in the benefits of digital technologies to alter their agriculture, industry, and services sectors. way of enterprises and lives. Workers will have The PDP recognizes the need to leverage discovered that home-based work can be as the potential – and manage the risks – of productive as reporting to duty station despite digitalization to enable service delivery and its own set of challenges. Firms will have learned expand opportunity for all Filipinos.11 to develop supply chains with built-in resilience, and to operate as normally as possible with The emergence of the COVID-19 pandemic reduced in-person meetings and limited travels. threatens the growth momentum of the With the infrastructure and processes in place, economy. The COVID-19 pandemic has reached and behavioral changes taking permanent hold Philippine shores, risking lives and disrupting among firms and individuals, the digitalization livelihoods. To flatten the infection curve, the momentum will likely stay even after a vaccine authorities responded with tough containment rolls out. measures through social distancing guidelines
11 Similarly, the Philippine Inclusive Innovation Industrial Strategy (i3s) aims to grow and develop globally competitive and innovative manufacturing, agriculture, and services industries by focusing on three major areas: (1) the creation of an innovation and entrepreneurship ecosystem; (2) the removal of obstacles to growth to build industry clusters; and (3) the strengthening of domestic supply and value chains. It relies on strong government-academe-industry collaboration with the government acting as the main coordinator and facilitator in addressing the most binding constraints to the growth of industries. 12 Data from the BSP revealed that the two electronic fund transfer services – Instapay and PESONet – saw a combined 158.6 percent year-on-year increase in transaction value in the second quarter of 2020. 12 Philippines Digital Economy Report 2020 While the Philippines has grown remarkably with indications that potential growth is already in the past decades, only a transformative declining. Moreover, the COVID-19 pandemic solution will catapult the economy into may lead to a growth contraction in 2020, and reaching its long term targets. The Philippines if not managed well, lead to negative long term has enjoyed 21 years of uninterrupted growth effects. Thus, a business-as-usual approach since the Asian Financial Crisis of 1998. cannot deliver the sustained growth necessary Economic growth has accelerated from an to reach the Ambisyon Natin 2040 targets; annual average of 2.8 percent in 1990-1999 rather, a transformative solution is needed to 4.5 percent in 2000-2009 and further to to increase the economy’s productivity and 6.4 percent in 2010-2019. However, in recent competitiveness. That transformative growth years, growth has steadily declined from the solution lies in harnessing the potential of the levels of 7.0 percent seen in the early-2010s digital economy.
Why the Digital Economy?
There is no standard definition of the ‘digital G-20 and World Economic Forum (WEF) defined economy’. Much of the confusion surrounding it as the broad range of economic activities that the digital economy, especially on its coverage, use digitized information and knowledge as key attributes, and measurement, lies in the factors of productions, modern information absence of a widely agreed definition. The lack networks as an important activity space, as well of a standard definition is attributed to the new as ICT to drive productivity growth. Rather than and rapidly evolving nature of the technology, covering a broad scope, the IMF (2018) focused and our own insufficient understanding on the digital sector comprising the producers of the subject matter. As a result, multiple at the core of digitalization: online platforms, definitions of the same term have arisen not platform-enabled services, and suppliers of ICT only across the literature but also over time. goods and services. Despite the differences On the one hand, digital economy has been in definitions, international organizations are defined narrowly as online platforms and those unanimous in affirming the importance of the business transactions and activities arising digital economy to economies, citing it as from those platforms. On the other hand, it a catalyst for innovation, growth, and social has been defined broadly as anything that use prosperity.14 digitized data.13 Many commentators have taken electronic commerce (e-commerce) as a proxy In the context of the Philippines Digital for the digital economy, while others have Economy Report, the digital economy pushed further to refer to it as encompassing refers to private sector utilization of digital both e-commerce and the Information and technologies as a driver of economic growth, Communication Technology (ICT) sector. innovation, and other means of transforming the economy. This definition is aligned with Despite the differing definitions, international the World Bank 2019 report on the Digital organizations are unanimous in affirming the Economy in Southeast Asia: Strengthening the digital economy’s importance as a contributor Foundations for Future Growth. It is based on an to growth and innovation. Even international emphasis on the digital economy’s contribution organizations have defined the digital economy to economic growth; and encompasses the quite differently. In its study of value creation of adoption of digital technology in all sectors of the digital economy, the United Nations adopted the economy, not just the ICT. As a consequence, the definition by Bukht and Heeks (2017), the authorities must look beyond the ICT sector, who distinguished the digital economy as the and the policies and regulations relating to it, part of economic output derived from digital when developing strategies to grow the digital technologies with a business model based on economy and maximize its positive impact digital goods and services (UNCTAD, 2019). The (World Bank, 2019a).
13 The definitions on digitization, digitalization, and digital transformation are much clearer. Digitization is the process of encoding analogue information or procedure into binary bits that can be read and manipulated by computers. Digitalization is the process of using digital technologies to change a business model, and provide new revenue and value-producing opportunities. Digital transformation is the process of integrating digital technology into all areas of the business, changing the operations and value delivery to customers. See Ahmad and Ribarsky, 2018; Bloomberg, 2018. 14 The 2016 OECD Ministerial Declaration on the Digital Economy alluded to the growing use of and investment in digital technologies and knowledge-based capital, and the powerful catalyst of the digital economy for innovation, growth and social prosperity. In the following year, Asia-Pacific Economic Conference (APEC) leaders affirmed the importance of promoting the internet economy and adopted the APEC Internet and Digital Economy Roadmap. The G20 Osaka Leaders’ Declaration in 2019 affirms the need to harness the power of technological innovation, in particular, digitalization, and its application for the benefit of all. Philippines Digital Economy Report 2020 13 Digital technologies can make development Figure 1.1. Digital technologies promote development through three more inclusive, efficient, and innovative. They mechanisms… facilitate search-and-matching and information Digital sharing; automate processes and enhance Technologies coordination; and contribute to greater organization and collaboration among economic agents (Figure 1.1). In practice, technology- Search and Automation and Scale economies Information coordination and platforms enabled platforms have been used to reduce transaction and information costs, allowing the participation and inclusion of those previously INCLUSION EFFICIENCY INNOVATION un-reached and un-served (for example, World Bank (2016a). Philippines job posting sites for job seekers). Source: They have been used to boost efficiency through the enhancement of existing production factors, Figure 1.2. …but without investing in the analog complement, these mechanisms can bring risks. or the replacement of costlier and inefficient ones (for example, internet money transfer Digital services that allow overseas Filipinos to remit Technologies money home at lower fees and shorter wait times). Furthermore, they have led to innovation as they stimulate new business models and Search without Automation without Scale without accountability skills competition provide avenues for activities away from their traditional domains (for example, ride-hailing applications that provide income-earning CONTROL INEQUALITY CONCENTRATION opportunities for Filipinos and convenience for public commuters). Leveraging digital Source: World Bank (2016a). technologies delivers inclusive development by (Van Ark et al., 2019). widening economic opportunities for everyone. In designing digital strategies, authorities must Digital technologies contribute to growth invest in the analog complements (Figure 1.2) to by expanding trade, raising efficiencies, and avoid turning the rewards of the digital economy leading to greater competition. The use of into risks (Box 1.1). internet, in particular, has led to greater trade to more markets, often by newer and younger There is evidence to show that digital firms. A 10-percent increase in internet use technology adoption increases productivity in the exporting country is found to increase and economic growth. A World Bank analysis the number of products traded between two of 120 countries reveals that a 10-percentage countries by 0.4 percent; while a similar increase point increase in broadband penetration in internet use of a country pair increases the results in a 1.3 percentage point increase in average bilateral trade value per product by economic growth (World Bank, 2009). This 0.6 percent (World Bank, 2016a). In Turkey, growth effect of broadband is significant firms using the internet for online orders or and stronger in developing countries than in reservations are 11 percent more productive, 25 developed economies, and it is higher than that percent larger, and twice more likely to export. of telephony and internet. Among European These technologies raise efficiency and labor Union (EU) countries, Gal et al. (2019) show that productivity in all economic sectors. Access digital adoption is associated with productivity to information helps firms make better use gains, having particularly strong effects in of existing capacity, optimizes inventory and industries such as manufacturing and those supply chain management, cuts downtime of with routine-intensive activities. From 2013- capital equipment, and reduces risk. Internet- 2017, the most digital intensive-using industries based services also facilitate market entry and drove labor productivity growth in the EU; while encourage competition, with internet firms they contributed to as much as 86 percent of generally able to start and scale up quickly with labor productivity growth in the United States relatively little staffing or capital investment.
14 Philippines Digital Economy Report 2020 Box 1.1. The Analog Complements of the Digital Economy
Without a strong analog foundation, the complements rather than replaces are benefits reaped from adopting digital developed. Learning these skills should technologies may turn into risks. While digital begin early to lay down the cognitive and technologies deliver economies of scale socioemotional foundations for more for firms, markets may become excessively advanced technical skills. Exposing children concentrated in the absence of a business to coding and basic ICT concepts can also environment that fosters competition. As influence career choice and instill a basic digital technologies automate many tasks understanding of digital technologies. and increase labor productivity, inequality The onset of digital transformation also may rise when workers do not possess the requires a change in the way that education skills that technology augments. While the systems teach students. Instead of training internet surmounts information barriers that students for a particular job by teaching impede the government’s ability to provide them rigid skills, educational systems should its services, states and corporations may prepare them for a career in the context of use the same technology to exercise control an ever-changing environment driven by when a country lacks institutions that ensure technological changes. This preparation the government’s accountability. To mitigate requires honing skills such as creativity, such risks, the digital economy requires the teamwork, problem solving, and critical support of “analog complements” consisting thinking, and emphasizing project work of regulations, skills, and institutions. and fewer assessments in place of frequent testing. Lastly, workers must constantly Firms can leverage the internet to compete reevaluate and upgrade their skills to take and innovate if regulations that promote full advantage of advancements in digital competition and easy entry of firms are technology. To facilitate this, governments effectively enforced. Gradually reducing can provide incentives for firms and workers market distortions that disincentivize firms to create mechanisms for lifelong learning. to use these technologies can increase competitiveness and encourage greater The government can effectively use digital use of these technologies. Examples technology to empower its constituents of such market distortions are state and deliver services if institutions that control in economic sectors, barriers to guarantee accountability are established entrepreneurship, and restriction on trade and strengthened. Improving the monitoring and investment. Improving firm registration of government workers and government- and making markets more transparent funded organizations that deliver services reduces price collusions, market sharing, using digital technologies help curtail and rigged public procurements, allowing absenteeism, operational inefficiencies, firms to enter the market more easily. Where and corruption. Making information firms may have limited understanding on services accessible to citizens also supports leveraging the internet, benchmarking and transparency in service delivery. Digital information programs can be effective. technologies can also improve electoral Carefully tailoring regulations for firms in ‘new accountability, help uncover election fraud, economy’ markets (for example, Uber and and reduce election-related violence. Airbnb) to guarantee competition is crucial Automation in business regulations, citizen given that these markets are characterized feedback systems, and procurement by new business models and structures that systems also reduce the risk of corruption differ from those observed in traditional and poor services. Providing incentives such markets. Ultimately, policymakers have to as faster tax refunds for e-filing or greater design enabling regulations and avoid the convenience through simplified and closely associated risk of being too restrictive. integrated services across agencies lead to universal use of e-government services. The Workers, entrepreneurs, and public wider usage of these services, in turn, create servants can maximize the opportunities a platform for broad-based participatory in the digital world if skills that automation policy making.
Philippines Digital Economy Report 2020 15 In the new normal, digital technologies can workers to distribute door-to-door, as in the facilitate social distancing by reducing face- case of DOLE-AKAP program for displaced to-face interactions. Digital platforms have overseas Filipino workers (OFWs). been used for people to stay connected and engaged, and for some businesses to operate Digital applications are ideal conduits in amid the lockdown. With social distancing delivering information and healthcare measures in place, the use of these technologies services including the testing and tracing of supports work-from-home arrangements, individuals. Telemedicine services have started remote learning, and offsite service delivery. to be adopted by doctors across the country Efforts to digitize government processes could who consult patients remotely through online be expanded and made permanent, making the schedule sign-ups and video-conferencing government more transparent and efficient. tools. Contact tracing mobile apps are used as digital alternatives for the more expensive E-commerce facilitates social distancing physical tracing. The Department of Health through online shopping and bringing (DOH) has launched its COVID-19 Tracker, sharing products to people’s home. Several firms have up-to-date information on the epidemiology responded to the need of providing consumers of the disease. The tracker includes data on their necessities without requiring them to laboratory testing capacities, the total number step outside of their homes. Lazada and Grab of tests, and the number of unique individuals have launched grocery delivery services, while tested, and makes use of data science tools platforms such as MyKuya and MrSpeedy have to visually present the data and make it easily provided services where riders buy grocery understandable to the general public. items, and have them delivered to customers. Food delivery and courier service providers have launched ‘contactless deliveries’ to A Framework to analyze Digital Transformation ensure the safety of both customers and riders. Effective and affordable logistics is therefore The CHIP conceptual framework is a tool pivotal to make sure that e-commerce fulfills to analyze the factors contributing to the the opportunities for micro, small, and medium acceleration of digital transformation. The enterprises (MSMEs) and entrepreneurs. framework15 lays out four main elements of digital transformation: Connect, Harness, Digital payment solutions should continue Innovate and Protect (Figure 1.3). Connect refers to replace cash and checks, and facilitate to building the digital foundation and enablers contactless transactions. During the ECQ, to ensure compatibility and interoperability several banks have waived InstaPay and with the goal of ensuring participation in the PESONet fees, permitting account holders to digital economy. Harness refers to investing in transfer money to another account holder of analog complements such as skills and literacy, other banks using mobile phones or internet regulations, leadership and institutions in a browsers for free. This has allowed transfers way to leverage the old economy. Innovate that are otherwise difficult or nearly impossible refers to creating and expanding the new during the ECQ. For instance, firms can transfer economy services, business models, digital the salaries of their employees directly into their entrepreneurship and e-government. Finally, bank accounts. Customers can conveniently protect refers to mitigating the risks and pay for essentials they bought online through protecting everyone from risks on cybersecurity internet banking, mobile banking, or digital and privacy, digital monopoly, and inequality of wallets. Moreover, the government can easily opportunities. disburse financial aid to the beneficiary’s bank account, which removes the need for beneficiaries to line up or for government
15 The CHIP framework was developed by a select team of managers and senior specialists within the World Bank East Asia and Pacific Region unit in 2019. 16 Philippines Digital Economy Report 2020 Figure 1.3 The CHIP framework shows the four ways to support digital transformation, … Connect Harness Innovate Protect everyone to participate enable the old economy expand the new economy everyone from the risks
Source: World Bank staff Note: A refers to the physical/analog economy; and D the digital economy.
The framework can be used to identify transforming economies are characterized as priorities by country context. Countries are countries that have strongly set foothold on the classified in three categories depending on the digital economies, taking innovative measures priorities to accelerate digital transformation: to leverage technologies, and strengthening emerging, transitioning, and transforming security from risks. (Figure 1.4). Emerging economies are characterized as countries starting to leverage The Philippines is a transitioning economy, digital transformation, and hence, initially focusing efforts on all elements of digital focus on connecting people, businesses transformation. and government digitally. These economies In the Philippines, the public and private sectors prioritize the building of digital infrastructures are simultaneously taking measures to connect and setting in place much of the foundations for people, harness the old economy, support the digital transactions such as digital payments and new economy, and set up security measures digital IDs. Meanwhile, transitioning economies to protect from risks. The country has brought are characterized as countries that give equal in a third player in the telecommunication weights to all elements. They have sufficiently industry in an effort to lower the prices of connected digitally, and have resources to mobile technology and internet services, and focus on harnessing the analog economy and expand digital connectivity. Regulatory issues expanding the new economy while taking are being addressed on infrastructure-sharing, measures to protect from risks. Finally, and demand side aspects on interoperability to
Figure 1.4. … and identify country priorities to support digital transformation.
Emerging Transitioning Transforming
Protext Harness Connect Innovate Innovate
Connect Protect Harness Protect Innovate Connect Harness
Source: World Bank staff
Philippines Digital Economy Report 2020 17 support digital government platform. Likewise, broadband plans; and measures to promote the the roll out of the Philippine Digital ID System creative economy on the back of an emerging (PhilSys) meant to introduce a universal ID advertising, film, animation, game development system for Filipinos and foreign permanent and design industries. Measures have also residents in the Philippines is underway. been undertaken to protect individuals from Numerous agencies are working together risks which began early with the Data Privacy to harness the analog and digital economy Act of 2012, and continues with the National through e-commerce roadmaps, national Cybersecurity Plan 2022 (Figure 1.5).
Figure 1.5. The Philippines focuses on all four elements of digital transformation.
Connect Innovate • National Broadband Roadmap • Philippine Innovation Act • Common Tower Policy (RA 11293) • Third player entry in the • Promotion of Creative Economy telecommunication market • Philippine Roadmap for Innovative • Philippine National ID System Startups • Innovative Startup Act (RA 11337) • Philippine Industry 4.0 Roadmap
Harness Protect • Digital Philippines Plan • Data Privacy Act of 2012 • E-commerce Roadmap (RA 10173) • IT-BPM Roadmap • National Cybersecurity Plan of • Digital economy in the System of 2022 National Accounts • Digital Literacy Program for • MSME assistance through SETUP Overseas Filipino Workers
Source: World Bank staff
State of the Digital Economy in the Philippines
The Philippines is potentially a significant The Philippines registered strong growth in player in the global digital market. From 23 gross value added of the digital economy in million in 2010, the number of Filipino internet the past decade. The share of the value-added users has more than tripled to 73 million in 2020 of the digital economy to real GDP steadily (We Are Social, 2020). Connected Filipinos grew from 6.9 percent in 2012 to 10.1 percent in are world leaders in internet usage and social 2018. During the same period, the value added media. On average, every Filipino spends nearly of the digital economy posted double-digit 10 hours on the internet per day, the highest growth averaging 13.3 percent. E-commerce worldwide; with over five hours on mobile expanded the fastest with an average growth of internet, and nearly four hours on social media. 22.5 percent between 2012 and 2018, followed The size of the country’s domestic market, by infrastructure at 11.5 percent, and digital with over 105 million consumers, has attracted media at 9.1 percent. Moreover, real gross international and regional ICT companies output of the digital economy nearly doubled including Facebook, Google, Alibaba, Grab, in 2018 compared to 2012, while the average and Lazada, whose platforms for e-commerce, compensation in the digital economy was online sharing, and social media have gained about 50-60 percent higher than for the total strong foothold in the country. Similarly, the economy (Box 1.2). Philippines has penetrated foreign markets, being a leader in the Information Technology and Business Process Outsourcing (IT-BPO) industry.
18 Philippines Digital Economy Report 2020 Box 1.2. Measuring the Size of the Digital Economy in the Philippines
The World Bank, in collaboration with the and the United States Bureau of Economic Philippine Statistics Authority, coordinated Analysis (BEA), the conceptual framework efforts in measuring the size of the digital recognizes the multidimensional nature of economy in the country. Until then, the the digital economy, and contextualizes it Philippine System of National Accounts in relation to the total economy through (PSNA) has not fully captured activities an elaboration of a satellite account within under the digital economy as well as digital the System of National Accounts (SNA). products and services resulting from digital It looks at the digital economy from the computing technologies. As a result, no conventional SNA prisms of products, official estimates for the digital economy production, and use (that is, who, what, in the Philippines has been available, which and the institutional sectors), in addition to resulted in various estimates of the size and the nature of the transactions (that is, how). scope of the sector from multiple sources.16 It also recognizes the role of the enablers The World Bank-Philippine Statistics Authority for the functioning of the digital economy. joint study aims to develop the statistical However, data constraints in the Philippine and measurement framework for the digital Statistical System data ecosystem limits economy in the Philippines along the lines the operationalization of this conceptual of a satellite account of the PSNA, bearing in framework. As a result, the coverage of the mind the desirability of using methodologies statistical framework is less broad, by a) not that strive for the international comparability going beyond the SNA production boundary; of the resulting digital economy indicators. b) limiting to transactions that are digitally ordered and/or digitally delivered; and c) The project builds on earlier initiatives by excluding the enablers dimension since institutions and the experience and insights there is ongoing debate on its measurement. that have been gained through these The statistical framework is seen in Figure initiatives. Building on the works of the OECD, 1.6.
Figure 1.6. Statistical Framework for the Measurement of the Digital Economy in the Philippines
T D E E E S I I • Conceptual Framework • Institutional Mechanisms • Local Data Sources • Initial Coverage (the core ICT • Legal Framework/Basis (Censuses, Surveys, industries) (Statistics Law, PSA Board Administrative Record Systems [no big data yet]) • Guidelines, Standards and Resolutions) Methods • Delineation of Institutional • Data Compilation by - SNA Framework/Satellite Responsibilities International Organizations Accounts • Statistical Coordination/ • Core List of DE Indicators - Definitions (includes PSA Regular Consultation • Tier 1-5 DE Indicators Board-approved definitions) • Relevant IACs • Additional DE Indicators - Classification Systems • MOAs/Interagency Collaboration • Advocacy Forums • Communication Plan
Source: Virola (2020).
16 The various estimates arose due to differences in the conceptual framework, coverage, and data measurement. See, for instance, the UNCTAD Digital Economy Report (2019); Hinrich Foundation (2019); Google-Temasek-Bain & Company (2019). Philippines Digital Economy Report 2020 19 The estimation methodology follows • In current prices, the value added of the the methodology by the US BEA in the digital economy expanded by 10.1 percent compilation of key measures of the digital in 2012 and has grown by double digit since economy in the United States. then peaking at 15.1 percent in 2017 before The estimation process includes four main slowing to 12.4 percent in 2018. Annual steps: (a) develop a conceptual definition of growth averaged 12.2 percent between 2012 the digital economy; (b) identify goods and and 2018. By component, e-commerce grew services within the supply-use framework the fastest at 25.4 percent between 2012 relevant for measuring the digital economy and 2018, followed by digital media at 11.9 defined in the first step; (c) use the supply- percent; and infrastructure at 9.8 percent. use framework to identify the industries responsible for producing these goods and • The value added of the digital economy in services, and estimate the output, value current prices is distributed by component added, employment, compensation and as follows: infrastructure (average of 79.8 other variables associated with this activity; percent during the period from 2012-2018), and (d) compile the results. e-commerce (17.3 percent) and digital media (2.9 percent). The share of infrastructure has The contribution of the digital economy been consistently going down from 84.6 in the Philippines is measured through percent in 2012 to 74.5 percent in 2018, the production approach or value-added while that of e-commerce has gone up from approach. 12.5 percent to 22.9 percent during the same This method consists of summing the gross period. value added (GVA) of all industries that are classified as part of the digital economy. • In constant prices, the value added of the For each industry classified to be part of digital economy posted double-digit growth the digital economy, the gross output (GO), averaging 13.3 percent during the period. and the goods and services that were used Growth rose from 11.2 percent in 2012 to 11.9 up in the process of generating output are percent in 2018. E-commerce expanded the estimated. These goods and services are fastest with an average of 22.5 percent from referred to as intermediate consumption. 2012 to 2018, followed by infrastructure at The difference between an industry’s gross 11.5 percent and digital media at 9.1 percent output and its intermediate consumption is its GVA. The sum of the GVAs of all the • Similarly, the share of value added of industries belonging to the digital economy infrastructure in the digital economy went is the GVA of the digital economy. In down from 81.6 percent in 2012 to 74.5 defining the statistical coverage of the percent in 2018. The share of e-commerce digital economy, the estimates use the core gradually went up from 15.0 percent in 2012 ICT industries as defined by the Philippine to 22.9 percent in 2018, while the share of Statistics Authority Inter-agency Committee digital media from 3.5 percent in 2012 to 2.7 on ICT statistics (IAC-ICT) including the percent in 2018. digital-enabling infrastructure and digital content/media; and incorporate the digital • In real terms, the value added of the digital transactions for e-commerce. economy as a percentage of GDP grew steadily from 6.9 percent in 2012 to 10.1 Key results show solid growth of the digital percent in 2018. economy in the Philippines between 2012 and 2018.
20 Philippines Digital Economy Report 2020 Digital Adoption in the Philippines
The digital economy in the Philippines is Digital adoption by businesses in the country far from reaching its full potential, and the is higher than the average ASEAN country, country’s performance generally trails behind and slightly higher than the per capita income many regional neighbors. The World Bank would predict (Figure 1.9). Business adoption Digital Adoption Index (DAI) and its three is comparable to regional peers like Malaysia, sub-indices on people, government and Thailand and Vietnam, but trails Singapore by business reveal that the Philippines fell behind a wide margin. The Philippines performs better the world average on digital adoption (Box 1.3). than its average (median) regional and income In general, the country’s digital adoption is on group peer on two of the three indicators that par with its level of economic development comprise the business sub-index: the percent when compared to countries around the world, of business establishments with a website and but it performed poorly compared with regional the international internet bandwidth per user. peers (Figure 1.7 and Figure 1.8). Among the It performs poorly, however, in the number of three key agents in the Philippines, businesses secure servers per capita. The DAI business and people are more accustomed to the use sub-index results suggest that the average and adoption of digital technology than the Philippine firm tends to be more digitally government. The relatively poor performance savvy – and ready to connect to customers in digital adoption can be traced to a multitude through the internet – than the average firm in of factors including problems of digital ASEAN; however, it also suggests the lack of a infrastructure and connectivity, high cost of secure digital infrastructure and system robust broadband and internet services, and uneven enough to support a potentially wider increase quality of internet service. Equally important, in e-commerce traffic and digital financial the lack of competition in other sectors within transactions. both the analog and digital enablers like logistics also contribute to the Philippines trailing behind peers in digital adoption.
Figure 1.7. Digital adoption in the Philippines lags some of its regional peers
2
1.5
1
0 .5
0
-0.5
Standard deviation difference -1
-1.5
-2
Myanmar Lao PDR Cambodia Indonesia Philippines Vietnam Thailand Brunei Malaysia Singapore
Digital Adoptation Index Business sub-index People sub-index Government sub-index
Source: World Bank (2018). Note: Droplines20 show the standardized difference of indicator values between ASEAN countries and the world average.
Philippines Digital Economy Report 2020 21 Figure 1.8. Overall digital adoption in the Philippines is about Figure 1.9. Business adoption is higher than the average what income would predict. lower-middle income or ASEAN country, and slightly higher than income would predict.
Source: World Bank (2018). Source: World Bank (2018).
Figure 1.10. Adoption by people is higher than the average Figure 1.11. Adoption by government is lower than lower-middle income country and comparable to ASEAN the average ASEAN country and lower than income would average. predict.
Source: World Bank (2018). Source: World Bank (2018).
Meanwhile, digital adoption by people is the region, but close to the world average of comparable to ASEAN average, and higher than more than one subscription per person. This per capita income would predict (Figure 1.10). nominally indicates market saturation in the Filipinos are, on average, as digitally savvy as Philippines, with many people having more their regional counterparts, performing slightly than one subscription, and some subscriptions better than Indonesia and Vietnam, but worse on record are not used. With the prevalence of than Malaysia, Thailand and Singapore in the mobile hand-held devices, Filipinos connect to DAI people sub-index. The number of mobile- the internet more through mobile broadband cellular telephone subscriptions per capita services compared to the more stable fixed in the Philippines is lower than the average in broadband services.
22 Philippines Digital Economy Report 2020 Digital adoption by the government management information system (HRMIS) underperforms, scoring lower than the and government payroll across line ministries; average ASEAN country and lower than per the disconnect of online portals such as the capita income would predict (Figure 1.11). The e-custom portal to other government systems; Philippines performs worse than regional peers the limitations of e-procurement systems from in government’s digital adoption. Among the allowing online transactions; and the inability three indicators of the government sub-index, in the budget system to dynamically query the Philippines does slightly better than the from line ministries or financial management average country in core administrative systems information systems (FMIS). Likewise, some and online public services, but below average in of the Philippines’ existing paper-based digital identification. Among the key weaknesses system imposes a commensurate drag on the were the fragmentation of human resources government score.
Box 1.3. Digital Adoption Index
The DAI is a worldwide index developed for indicators: percentage of businesses with the World Development Report 2016: Digital websites, the number of secure servers, Dividends. It measures the depth of digital download speed, and 3G coverage in the adoption across three dimensions of the country. The people sub-index is the simple economy: people, government, and business. average of two normalized indicators from Each sub-index comprises technologies the Gallup World Poll: mobile access at home necessary to promote development in the and internet access at home. Finally, the digital era: expanding opportunities and government sub-index is the simple average improving welfare for people; increasing of three sub-indices: core administrative the efficiency and accountability of service systems, online public services, and digital delivery for government; and accelerating identification. The country with the highest broad-based growth for business. level of adoption in a given sub-index achieves the maximum score of 1, and the The DAI Economy is a simple sum of three country with the lowest level of adoption sub-indices (Table 1.1).The business sub- achieves the minimum score of 0. index is the simple average of four normalized
Table 1.1. The DAI comprises representative indicators for digital adoption by business, people, and government
S - B S - B I Measures the quality of digital Business websites infrastructure needed for e-commerce and other business functions Internet bandwidth Secure servers
P Measures the extent and quality of Mobile-cellular subscriptions individuals’ connection to the digital Mobile broadband world Internet use Fixed broadband subscriptions
G Measures the adoption of government Core administrative systems systems, identification schemes, and Digital identification services to better serve the public Online public services
Source: World Bank (2018).
Philippines Digital Economy Report 2020 23 Innovation and Firm-level Adoption of Digital Technology
Innovation and entrepreneurship can create below the 25th percentile worldwide. Those and expand the new digital economy, and inputs yield mixed results. Payments for the Philippine’s innovation system and intellectual property (IP) of US$8.60 per capita, entrepreneurship ecosystem have room for trademark applications of 417 per million growth. The recent rise in Philippine ranking in inhabitants, and patent applications of 40 per the Global Innovation Index from 54th spot (out million inhabitants are all below average, with of 129) in 2019 to 50th spot (out of 131) in 2020, trademark applications particularly low. In reflects an improvement on the innovation contrast, high-technology exports of US$318 capabilities of the country. The Philippines per capita is relatively high, above the 75th has improved in both leading indicators of percentile (Figure 1.12). Still, the Philippines innovation inputs and outputs. As in most cases, seem to be leveraging relatively low inputs into the Philippines resembles Indonesia, Thailand, greater outputs, suggesting a higher rate of or Vietnam, but trails Malaysia and Singapore return than other economies. If firms involved by a wide margin. There is, thus, space for in high-technology exports were better able to improvement. According to the most recent absorb technology, and that learning spilled data, the Philippines spends only 0.16 percent of over into the rest of the economy, it could spur its GDP on research and development and has further development. only 106 researchers per million inhabitants—
Figure 1.12. The Philippines has low innovation inputs relative to its innovation outputs Latest values for select countries on indicators of innovation inputs and outputs, versus the worldwide distribution
R&D expenditures Researchers in R&D Payments for IP High-technology Trademark applications Patent applications (% of GDP) (per thousand people) (per capita) exports (per capita) (per million people) (per million people) 8.0- 8.0- 10.0- 9.0- 8.0- 2.0-
6.0- 6.0- 8.0- 6.0- 1.5- 5.0- 4.0-
4.0- 7.0- 1.0- 4.0- 2.0- 0.0- 0.5- 2.0- 6.0- 2.0- 0.0-
0.0- 0.0- -2.0- -5.0- 5.0- 0.0-
Indonesia Malaysia Philippines Singapore Thailand Vietnam
Source: World Bank (2020a). Note: Payments for IP, high-tech exports, and trademark and patent applications are logged. Boxplot shows the worldwide distribution, with whiskers at the 10th and 90th percentiles; the box spanning the interquartile range; and the center line at the median.
The Philippine’s entrepreneurial ecosystem Philippine’s entrepreneurship ecosystem are is nascent. According to the Global reflected with the country ranked 86th out Entrepreneurship Monitor (GEM), the self- of 137 in the 2019 Global Entrepreneurship perception of Filipinos on entrepreneurship and Index, lagging behind its neighbors (Acs et subsequent entry into entrepreneurial activity is al., 2019). The index measures the quality of among the highest in ASEAN countries (Licaros- entrepreneurship and the extent and depth Velasco et al., 2017). However, the rate of failure of the supporting entrepreneurial ecosystem or business discontinuance is also high, leading through 14 indicators covering perceptions, to a low rate of businesses that exist for more skills, human capital, risks, among others. than 3.5 years. The challenges faced by the For the Philippines, the entrepreneurship
24 Philippines Digital Economy Report 2020 ecosystem does well with high levels of product capital, and internationalization. Manila has innovation, human capital, and startup skills, recently been ranked 36th out of 100 emerging but suffers from human capital, and startup startup ecosystems in the Global Startup skills, but suffers from a still relatively small Ecosystem Report 2020, citing market reach, number of tech startups contributing to talent and experience; and vibrant fintech and subdued levels of technology absorption, risk e-commerce sub-sectors among its strengths.
Table 1.2. The Philippines entrepreneurship ecosystem lags most of its neighbors.