4. of Warmongers and Peaceseekers

ho could have imagined that the Indian govern- Wment would meet its nemesis so soon? Many among the educated in India were carried away by its jingoistic rhetoric Of Warmongers... when the BJP government went euphoric over its May 1998 Madhu Kishwar nuclear blasts and were fooled into believing that gate crashing into the exclusive nuclear club insured India’s security against aggressive neighbours like Pakistan and China. As far as no longer that of scientists. In a the actual magnitude of the blasts China is concerned, the BJP world where science moves at as well as the weaponisation of government had to eat humble pie super-high speeds, nuclear their respective nuclear delivery within days of declaring that our weapons and missile development systems. nuclear weapons were meant as a is today second-rate science. The Within India too a few rational counter to the threat posed by undeniable fact is that the voices continue to express similar China. As soon as the Chinese technology of nuclear bombs doubts about India’s nuclear boasts. indicated that they had taken belongs to the 1940s, and the To quote A. Gopalakrishnan, the note of our declaring them furious pace of science makes that former chairman of the Atomic Energy enemies, our ministers and other ancient history... Making these Regulatory Board, from that same policy makers got jittery. Since weapons no longer impresses the issue of Frontline: then they have been finding rest of the world.” “It is now somewhat clear that newer ways to placate the The international scientific the [Department of Atomic Energy] Chinese, including the recent trip community has right from the DAE and the [Defence Research to China by external affairs beginning expressed serious Development Organisation] DRDO minister Jaswant Singh. doubts and made snide comments selectively used the nuclear test Our worthy neighbour concerning the claims of both data through preferential analysis Pakistan soon proved that it was India and Pakistan with regard to routes to show an unrealistically as good as India in the tit for tat game. The Pakistanis took no time in setting off their own nuclear blasts. That presumably showed up India’s claims for what they were. If a “rogue nation” that is also a “failed state” could match India, there was nothing so worthy of mention in India’s so- called achievement in going openly for nuclear weapons. Parvez Hoodbhoy, Professor of Nuclear and High Energy Physics at Quaid-e-Azam University, Islamabad, interviewed in the June 4, 1999 issue of Frontline, aptly puts Indo-Pak nuclear achievements in perspective: “...making bombs and missiles of the type Pakistan and India possess is now the work of engineers, and Courtesy: INDIA TODAY 24 MANUSHI large explosive power from the Only the Indian public army had entrenched itself well devices that were tested. This aside, remained uninformed and gullible. enough to build sophisticated it is impossible to believe Many were led to believe that we bunkers and other facilities for scientifically that the five nuclear had indeed demonstrated to the launching attacks to cut off the tests of May 1998 have indeed made world our strength and resolve to Kargil-Leh highway. The us totally capable of designing, become significant players on the realisation of the significance of fabricating and deploying weapons nuclear international military the intrusion was forced upon to suit our ‘minimum deterrence’ scene credibly. That illusion lies them by local people rather than needs. Cleverly, the government or shattered in Kargil. being an outcome of their own the scientists have never defined India’s possession of nuclear intelligence. Moral of the story: minimum deterrence; it is missiles did not deter the the best of weapons cannot conveniently said that it can never Pakistani military from sending protect us if our intelligence is so be quantified. The same is the story intruders across the Line of flabby and the army is not trained with the Agni tests. After one test Control to occupy portions of to be efficient and proactive. of the Agni-II, are we ready to Indian territory in the Kargil deploy these missiles? The DAE, region of Jammu and Kashmir. Our Pakistan’s Nuclear Blackmail the DRDO and the BJP-led army is having a tough time Most important of all, the Government may have succeeded in pushing out the intruders. The government seems genuinely fooling most of the people of India, government has had to admit that nervous, despite all its brave but the rest of the world will there was an “intelligence rhetoric, about the continuation certainly not accept these failure”. The Indian government of this border conflict lest it break proclamations of strength. In order was unaware of this ongoing out into a full-fledged war. The to become a nuclear weapons power intrusion in its territory for a nervousness is primarily due to capable of causing concern to considerable length of time. It the fear that the Pakistanis may China, we still have miles to go.” woke up only after the Pakistani not hesitate to use their missiles Need for a Nuclear Audit The international scientific community has questioned India’s claims to have exploded a thermonuclear device on the basis of seismological and other data gathered by them (see Science, September 25, 1998 pages 1930, 1967 and 1968 with accompanying references). They assert that the Indian blasts detected by the international monitoring system were too low on the Richter Scale to be a successful thermonuclear explosion. At one point, the government spokesman did try to respond to international scepticism by saying that they would prove the truth of their claim that they had exploded a true hydrogen bomb by undertaking critical tests to establish the presence of tritium at the explosion site. However, after announcing that they were to start digging cores at the site, we hear no more of it. It is worrisome that the salient response of our nuclear establishment represented by Chidambaram and Ramanna has been to deflect our attention from the evidence and the ensuing claims and counterclaims that we successfully tested a hydrogen bomb and wrap themselves in the national flag and deflect all criticism and questions by alleging that this is part of a western conspiracy to belittle and undermine the achievements of India. They have failed to counter the scientific criticism of their claims to have a hydrogen bomb and a viable control and delivery system by producing hard, scientific evidence. And yet they are getting away with it all. They have even been given the status of heroes though there is actually no objective scientific, military or political audit of their claims and achievement. The Pakistani claims of the number of nuclear weapons tested are also treated with great scepticism. The more cautious among the sceptics point out that even if all of India’s claims about the Pokhran II explosions are true, India has not yet perfected an easily deliverable nuclear weapon system. If it is indeed true that our delivery and guidance systems are not foolproof and that we are overconfident about them, the implications are truly frightening. We could easily blow ourselves up if a missile meant for Karachi lands in Bhopal. It is a mystery why the Indian nuclear establishment is refusing to provide concrete details about the actual state of weaponisation even after formally declaring India a nuclear weapons power. Our nuclear establishment has emerged as our most sacred holy cow whose credibility is not allowed to be questioned. In the same way the Pakistani army establishment has put itself above any civil or political control. 112 25 Courtesy: INDIA TODAY with nuclear warheads if they begin to lose a conventional war. The intransigence of the Pakistani rulers and Pakistan's continuing bravado is also based on their realisation that they can more easily keep India on tenterhooks now that they are a declared nuclear weapons power that has not given up the option of using its nuclear weapons even if India does not use them first. In this dangerous scenario, there is no dearth of voices in India who try to add more fuel to the fire. One such irresponsible example is Brahma Chellany who, in a lead article on the editorial page of The Hindustan Times of June 16, 1999 argued that India should not hesitate to use its thermonuclear weapons to counter any Pakistani threat to use its nuclear missiles. The RSS mouthpiece Panchjanya has openly demanded that India Excerpts from the ‘Hardtalk’ conversation on should strike Pakistan with BBC London between Tim Sebastian and nuclear bombs. Pakistan’s Information Minister This shows how unintelligent the Indian intelligentsia can be. Tim Sebastian: “India has said it will not use nuclear weapons What if the counterparts of Mr. first... but you won’t tell me, sitting here and now, that under no Chellany in Pakistan were to take circumstances will Pakistan ever use the nuclear weapons first?” this threat seriously and indulge Mushahid Hussain: “Well, I can only say that Pakistan always has in a pre-emptive nuclear strike? peaceful intentions and we hope that it will never come to that Even if we actually had hydrogen situation.” TS: “This is blackmail of the international community; you are bombs ready to hurl at them saying, get involved in our dispute or I'm holding out the possibility of capable of causing even more a nuclear war.” damage in Pakistani territory than MH: “No, no, we never said that.” they do in ours, what do we gain? TS: “Yes, Sultan Mehmood on your side in Pakistani administered The whole subcontinent will be Kashmir said that saving the lives of a billion people on this planet, reduced to nuclear rubble.

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