WMO Bulletin, Vol. 46, No. 1: January 1997

Total Page:16

File Type:pdf, Size:1020Kb

WMO Bulletin, Vol. 46, No. 1: January 1997 WORLD METEOROLOGICAL ORGANIZATION JR UJLLE1rTIN Volume 46 No. 1 January 1997 THE WORLD METEOROLOGICAL ORGANIZATION (WMO) is a specialized agency of the United Nations The purposes of' WMO are: EXECUTIVE COUNCIL President J. W. ZILLMAN (Australia) To facilitate worldwide cooperation in the estab­ First Vice-President C. E. BERRIDGE (British lishment of networks of stations for the making of Caribbean Territories) meteorological observations as well as hydro­ Second Vice-President N. SEN Roy (India) logical and other geophysical observations related Third Vice-President (post vacant) to meteorology, and to promote the establishment and maintenance of centres charged with the prov­ Ex officio members of' the Executive Council ision of meteorological and related services; (presidents of regional associations) To promote the establishment and maintenance of Africa (Region I) systems for the rapid exchange of meteorological K. KONARE (Mali) and related information; Asia (Region II) Z. BATJARGAL (Mongolia) To promote standardization of meteorological and South America (Region III) related observations and to ensure the uniform W. CASTRO WREDE (Paraguay) publication of observations and statistics; North and Central America (Region IV) S. PoLLONAIS (Trinidad and Tobago) (acting) To further the application of meteorology to avia­ South-West Pacific (Region V) tion, shipping, water problems, agriculture and S. KARJOTO (Indonesia) other human activities; Europe (Region VI) To promote activities in operational hydrology P. STEINHAUSER (Austria) and to further close cooperation between Meteoro­ Elected members of the Executive Council logical and Hydrological Services; A. A. AL-GAIN (Saudi Arabia) To encourage research and training in meteor­ Z. ALPERSON (Israel) ology and, as appropriate, in related fields, and to A. ATI-IAYDE (Brazil) assist in coordinating the international aspects of A. I. BEDRITSKY (Russian Federation) such research and training. J.-P. BEYSSON (France) A. B. DroP (Senegal) E. W. FRIDAY (USA) The World Meteorological Congress U. Gii.RTNER (Germany) (acting) is the supreme body of the Organization. It brings J. C. R. HUNT (United Kingdom) together delegates of all Members once every four P. LEYVA-FRANCO (Colombia) years to determine general policies for the fulfilment G. McBEAN (Canada) of the purposes of the Organization. M. S. MHITA (United Republic of Tanzania) E. A. MUKOLWE (Kenya) L. NDORIMANA (Burundi) The Executive Council A. M. NooRIAN (Islamic Republic of Iran) is composed of 36 directors of national Meteoro­ I. 0BRUSNIK (Czech Republic) logical or Hydrometeorological Services serving in an T. ONo (Japan) (acting) individual capacity; it meets at least once a year to G. E. 0RTEGA GrL (Mexico) supervise the programmes approved by Congress. G. K. RAMOTHWA (Botswana) Y. SALAHU (Nigeria) (acting) G. C. SCHULZE (South Africa) The six regional associations R. A. SONZINI (Argentina) are each composed of Members whose task it is to J. ZIELINSKI (Poland) coordinate meteorological and related activities H. ZOHDY (Egypt) (acting) within their respective Regions. Zou JINGMENG (China) The eight technical commissions PRESIDENTS OF TECHNICAL COMMISSIONS are composed of experts designated by Members and Aeronautical Meteorology: C. H. SPRINKLE are responsible for studying meteorological and Agricultural Meteorology: C. J. STIGTER hydrological operational systems, applications and Atmosphedc Sciences: D. J. GAUNTLEIT research. Basic Systems: S. MILDNER Climatology: W.J. MAUNDER Hydrology: K. HOFIUS THE SECRETARIAT OF THE ORGANIZATION IS LOCATED AT Instruments and Methods of Observation: J. KRuus 41 AVENUE GIUSEPPE-MOTTA, GENEVA, SWITZERLAND. Maline Meteorology: R. J. SHEARMAN WORLD METEOROLOGICAL ORGANIZATION SECRETARY-GENERAL Vol. 46 No. 1 G. 0. P. OBASI January 1997 DEPUTY SECRETARY-GENERAL M. JARRAUD ASSISTANT SECRETARY-GENERAL A. S. ZAITSEV The official journal of the World Meteorological Organization IB3llJJLJLIE ilJIW 2 In this issue 3 Message from the Secretary-General of WMO Subscription rates: 6 The Bulletin interviews: Richard (Dick) Hallgren Surface mail 15 Climate services for a changing world, by R. E. Basher 1 year: SFR 52 21 Climate Information and Prediction Services-CLIPS, by 2 years: SFR 94 A. Saules1eja and L. E. Olsson 3 years: SFR 124 Climate applications and services Airmail 24 Introduction 1 year: SFR 72 25 Climate services for sustainable development, by L. E. Olsson 2 years: SFR 130 3 years: SFR 172 27 Climate services to the public, by K. O'Lougblin 30 Climate services to the health sector, by G. Jendritzky and Published quarterly (January, April, July, L. Kalkstein October) in English, French, Russian 32 Climate services and food production, by W. Baier and Spanish editions. 37 Climate services and water resources management, by Z. W. Kundzewicz Remittances and all other correspon­ 41 Climate services and urban development, by Y. Boodhoo dence about the WMO Bulletin should be addressed to the Secretary-General. 43 Climate services and energy, by Y. Boodboo 46 Climate services for tourism and recreation, by L. L€Cha and OPINIONS EXPRESSED IN SIGNED ARTICLES OR P. Shackleford IN ADVERTISEMENTS APPEARING IN THE WMO 47 Modernization of the National Meteorological Service of Bulletin ARE THE AUTHOR'S OR ADVERTISER'S Mexico, by G.E. Ottega Gil OPINIONS AND DO NOT NECESSARILY REFLECT 53 Low-cost media weather presentation systems, by P. Budgen, THOSE OF WMO. The mention of specific B.W. Bettany, D.J. Griggs and C. Sear companies or products in articles or 57 Erratum advertisements does not imply that they are endorsed or recommended by From other joumals WMO in preference to others of a simi­ 58 Rain shadows offer opportunity, by R. S. Schemenauer lar nature which are not mentioned or Anniversary advertised. Extracts from unsigned (or 59 The National Institute of Meteorology of Portugal celebrates initialled) articles in the journal may be its 50th anniversary, by A. Da Costa Malheiro reproduced provided the customary acknowledgement is made. Requests WMO programme news to publish signed articles (in part or in 60 Instruments and methods of observations whole) should be addressed to the Edi­ 61 Tropical Cyclone Programme tor. 63 World Climate Applications and Services Programme 63 World Climate Data and Monitoting Programme World Meteorological Organization 65 Atmospheric Research and Environment Programme Case postale 2300 66 Global Atmosphere Watch CH-1211 Geneva 2 69 Agticultural meteorology Switzerland 70 Aeronautical meteorology 72 Hydrology and water resources Tel.: (+41.22) 730.84.78 75 Education and training Fax: (+41.22) 733.09.82 78 Technical cooperation E-mail: [email protected] 82 In the Regions 84 News and notes 90 News from the Secretariat 94 Obituary 95 Reviews Editor: A. S. ZAITSEV 101 Calendar of coming events 102 Members of the World Meteorological Organization Associate Editor: Judith C. C. ToRRES In t!Mis issure The customary annual message from the Secre­ urban development and energy (both by Yadowsun tary-General which opens this January issue is on a Boodhoo) and, last but not least in our contempo­ subject which concerns all of us on a rapidly rary world, tourism and recreation (Luis Lecha and increasing basis: "Weather and water in cities" is Peter Shackleford). the theme for World Meteorological Day 1997. The next article "Modernization of the National · The message is followed by an interview with Meteorological Service of Mexico" by the Service's Dr Richard (better known as Dick) Hallgren, who Manager, Mr G. E. Ortega Gil, also underlines the remains a major personality on the meteorological importance of NMHSs being in a position to pro­ scene after more than 30 years. A former Director vide an increasingly demanding public in all sec­ of the US National Weather Service, he is currently tors with reliable and timely information. President of the prestigious American Meteorologi­ Public awareness of a national Meteorological cal Society. Service and the effectiveness of the information An article by Reid Basher entitled "Climate imparted increase proportionally as the standard services for a changing world" leads our feature of televised public weather presentations improves. articles on the theme for this issue "Climate appli­ For financial reasons, however, high-quality presen­ cations and services". Planet Earth has undergone tations have hitherto remained the prerogative of fundamental changes and faces enormous chal­ the developed world. Messrs Peter Budgen, Bryn lenges basic to the survival of its inhabitants. The Bettany, David Griggs and Chris Sear describe author considers that this is an exciting opportu­ how this situation may be redressed in developing nity for meteorologists to create and deliver spe­ countries through the use of the good but low-cost cific; effective and reliable climate services to weather presentation systems now available, users so that they may respond to these challenges. together with a willing partnership between devel­ ·· The Climate Information and Prediction Ser­ oped and developing countries to install such sys­ vices (CLIPS) project was conceived precisely in tems and to train technical and media personnel in ·recognition of the fact that increasingly accurate their operation. global climate information and predictions would A new section starting in this issue is "From improve economic and social decision-making in other journals", in which interesting and relevant support of sustainable development. Andrej articles are reproduced
Recommended publications
  • The UK Government's Early Response to Anthropogenic Climate
    “Future forecast – changeable and probably getting worse”: the UK Government’s Early Response to Anthropogenic Climate Change The historiography, including the writings of scholars in fields such as political science, geography and science and technology studies that contain historical perspectives, of climate change has largely taken either long-term or overly short-term frames of analysis. Weart starts his history of the discovery of global warming with the nineteenth-century debates about ice ages and the measurement of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere.1 James Fleming is one of a number of historians who has emphasised that “climate”, viewed in the long term, is a complex, historically-contingent category, which has been interpreted in different ways, by different peoples, at different times.2 Nevertheless, a broad picture emerges. Early modern and Enlightenment theories of a vigorous relationship between changing climate and fates of civilisations were challenged, by the mid nineteenth century, by claims, drawing particularly on data from the United States, of climatological stability.3 Climatological determinism, the theory that climate was a predominant factor shaping societies, remained strong. ‘Classical theories of climate’, notes Endfield, ‘were reworked to explain racial, pathological, economic, and moral characteristics and distinctions between different parts of the world’ through to the early-to-mid twentieth century.4 From the long-term perspective, the second major shift has been the twentieth-century predominance of a definition of climate as a narrow statistical index, “climate” as an average 1 Spencer R. Weart, The Discovery of Global Warming (Cambridge, MA, 2003). 2 James R. Fleming, Historical Perspectives on Climate Change, (Oxford, 1998).
    [Show full text]
  • Geographers, Stats-Men and Sages: Approaches to Climatology in Britain Post-1945
    History of Meteorology 7 (2015) 71 Geographers, Stats-men and Sages: Approaches to Climatology in Britain post-1945 Alexander Hall [email protected] Newman University, Birmingham In the year 2000 the UK conservation charity the Woodland Trust launched the Nature’s Calendar Survey, a project that encourages members of the public to log observations of annual natural phenomena, such as the first blackthorn blossom. The study of the times of these recurring natural phenomena in relation to climate, known as phenology, dates back to at least the eighteenth century in Britain.1 Now with 15 years of data and nearly 50,000 people across the United Kingdom participating, the Nature’s Calendar Survey has successfully resurrected an amateur tradition not in existence in the UK at the national scale, since the Royal Meteorological Society discontinued its national phenological network in 1948. The Nature’s Calendar Survey, and the wider citizen science movement it is part of are now not only engaging the public and amateur groups with science, but are giving these interested parties a participatory role in contemporary scientific research.2 As important actors in the scientific, political, and public domains of climate change discourse have failed to agree on the existence, causes and solutions to anthropogenic climate change, scholarship in the humanities has increasingly begun to emphasise the importance of such a reconnection between cultural and public understandings of climate and professional climate studies.3 A clearer understanding of the diverse perspectives of climate across time and space—climate’s “elusive identity”— is imperative for meaningful progression in addressing the societal implications of anthropogenic climate change.4 Today what is recognised as climatology, especially in popular and media discourses, is a discipline focused on regional, hemispheric and global modelling of climate, and particularly, climatic change.
    [Show full text]
  • The Climategate Emails
    THE CLIMATEGATE EMAILS Edited and Annotated by John Costella The Lavoisier Group March 2010 About the Author John Costella was born in East Melbourne in 1966. After being expelled from Xavier College Kew in 1981, he went on to be dux of St. Kevin’s College Toorak in 1984 and dux of Electrical Engineering Honours at the University of Melbourne in 1989. Having fallen in love with physics during second year, he went on to be dux of Physics Honours in 1990 and completed a PhD in theoretical physics in 1994. After spending a few years on the early rungs of the postdoctoral physics research ladder, during which time he became accustomed to distilling information from academic emails, he decided that the life of an itinerant academic was not for him, so he took up school teaching instead, at the same time keeping up his interests in sub-atomic physics. After teaching for eight years at Mentone Grammar and The Peninsula School, he took up a position as reliability engineer with the Department of Defence in 2006, analysing statistical data for Defence equipment. He then moved into the financial sector in April 2007, where he works as Data Manager and Senior Research Scientist for a leading investment firm. Dedication This booklet is dedicated to the memory of John Daly, Australia’s pioneer global warming skeptic. John’s first publication about global warming, The Greenhouse Trap, was published by Bantam Books in 1989. It has stood the test of time ex- tremely well. John was a pioneer in the use of the Web to disseminate information that was relevant to this important debate and his website, ‘Still Waiting for Greenhouse’, showed the power which the Web afforded to those who were shut out of the main- stream media, but who had important information to make available to all who were involved in this historic debate.
    [Show full text]
  • History and Climate Change
    History and Climate Change History and Climate Change is a balanced and comprehensive overview of the links between climate and man’s advance from early to modern times. It draws upon demographic, economic, urban, religious and military perspectives. It is a synthesis of the many historical and scientific theories which have arisen regarding man’s progress through the ages. Central to the book is the question of whether climate variation is a fundamental trigger mechanism from which other historical sequences develop, or one amongst a number of other factors, decisive only when a regime/society is poised for change. Evidence for irreversible climate change is either partial or lacking entirely, but it is clear that climatic variation has regularly played a part in historical development. Particular attention is here paid to Europe since ad 211. Cold and warmth, wetness and aridity can create contrary reactions within societies, which can be interpreted in different ways by scholars from different disciplines. Does climate change exacerbate famine and epidemics? Did climate fluctuation play a part in pivotal historical events such as the mass exodus of the Hsiung-nu from China, the pressure of the Huns on the Romans and the genesis of the Crusades. Did the bitter Finnish winter of 1939–40 ensure the ultimate defeat of Hitler? These events and many others are discussed throughout in the author’s distinctive style, with maps and photographs to illustrate the examples given. Neville Brown is Professorial Research Fellow at Mansfield College, Oxford University, and is attached to the Oxford Centre for the Environment, Ethics and Society.
    [Show full text]
  • History Group Newsletter 1, 2013, Pp.8-9
    HISTORY GROUP NEWSLETTER News, views and a miscellany published by the Royal Meteorological Society’s Special Interest Group for the History of Meteorology and Physical Oceanography Issue No.3, 2013 CONTENTS Forthcoming events ....................................... 1 - Earth’s climate: past, present and future ..... 1 FORTHCOMING EVENTS - The history of weather ships ....................... 1 Meeting suggestions are greatly welcomed. What - Meteorology of D-Day revisited ................... 2 kind of meetings would you like arranged? Where Hubert Lamb centenary meeting ................... 3 would you like them to be held? Are any days of the Travels in the air modern style ...................... 7 week more convenient for you than others? Would My early days in the Met Office ................... 13 you support two-day meetings? Can you The year without a summer ......................... 14 recommend a venue that could host meetings? Recent publications ..................................... 14 Please send ideas and suggestions to Malcolm Weather still remains boisterous ................. 15 Walker (contact details on page 20). History of the Greenhouse Effect ................. 18 Here are dates for your diary. Anniversary dinner ...................................... 18 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - What did a recording rain gauge cost? ......... 19 2013 members ............................................ 20 THE EARTH’S CLIMATE: PAST, PRESENT AND FUTURE Thursday 9 January 2014 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Institute of Physics,
    [Show full text]
  • C Lim Ates of H Unger Reid A. Bryson and Thomas J. Murray
    Climate is changing. Parts of our world have been cooling. Rain belts and food-growing areas have shifted. People are starving. And we have been too BRYSON slow to realize what is happening and why. & In recent years, world climate changes have drawn MURRAY more attention than at any other time in history. What we once called “crazy weather,” just a few years ago, is now beginning to be seen as part of a logical and, in part, predictable pattern, an awesome natural force that we must deal with if man is to avoid disaster of unprecedented proportions. Along with drought in some places and floods in others, both caused by changing wind patterns, aver­ age temperatures of the Northern Hemisphere have been falling. The old-fashioned winters our grand­ fathers spoke of might be returning. In England, the Climates of growing season has already been cut by as much as two weeks. The selection of food crop varieties in both North America and Europe is in for sharp reap­ -* Reid A. Bryson praisal, in view of the shrinking frost-free agricultural season and other climatic changes. Climate has always had profound effects upon and human history, helping both to build and to destroy great civilizations. Until now, we have not had the knowledge to react intelligently to the signs of shift­ Thomas J. Murray ing climate. Today, even though we remain essentially powerless to affect climate purposefully, we are ready to recognize the signs of change and we are somewhat better able to predict the effects of those changes.
    [Show full text]
  • The Shaping of Climate Science: Half a Century in Personal Perspective
    See discussions, stats, and author profiles for this publication at: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/281783276 The shaping of climate science: Half a century in personal perspective Article · September 2015 DOI: 10.5194/hgss-6-87-2015 CITATION READS 1 148 1 author: Roger Graham Barry University of Colorado Boulder 384 PUBLICATIONS 14,673 CITATIONS SEE PROFILE Some of the authors of this publication are also working on these related projects: Book on polar environments View project All content following this page was uploaded by Roger Graham Barry on 15 September 2015. The user has requested enhancement of the downloaded file. Hist. Geo Space Sci., 6, 87–105, 2015 www.hist-geo-space-sci.net/6/87/2015/ doi:10.5194/hgss-6-87-2015 © Author(s) 2015. CC Attribution 3.0 License. The shaping of climate science: half a century in personal perspective R. G. Barry1,2 1National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC), Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO 80309-0449, USA 2Department of Geography, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO 80309-0449, USA Correspondence to: R. G. Barry ([email protected]) Received: 5 March 2015 – Revised: 4 June 2015 – Accepted: 20 August 2015 – Published: 11 September 2015 Abstract. The paper traces my career as a climatologist from the 1950s and that of most of my graduate students from the late 1960s. These decades were the formative ones in the evolution of climate science. Following a brief account of the history of climatology, a summary of my early training, my initial teaching and research in the UK is discussed.
    [Show full text]
  • HUBERT LAMB and the TRANSFORMATION of CLIMATE SCIENCE Bernie Lewin
    HUBERT LAMB AND THE TRANSFORMATION OF CLIMATE SCIENCE Bernie Lewin The Global Warming Policy Foundation GWPF Report 17 GWPF REPORTS Views expressed in the publications of the Global Warming Policy Foundation are those of the authors, not those of the GWPF, its Academic Advisory Coun- cil members or its directors THE GLOBAL WARMING POLICY FOUNDATION Director Benny Peiser BOARD OF TRUSTEES Lord Lawson (Chairman) Sir Martin Jacomb Lord Donoughue Baroness Nicholson Lord Fellowes Lord Turnbull Rt Revd Dr Peter Foster, Bishop of Chester Sir James Spooner ACADEMIC ADVISORY COUNCIL ProfessorRossMcKitrick(Chairman) ProfessorDeepakLal AdrianBerry ProfessorRichardLindzen Sir Samuel Brittan Professor Robert Mendelsohn Sir Ian Byatt Professor Ian Plimer ProfessorRobertCarter ProfessorPaulReiter ProfessorVincentCourtillot DrMattRidley ProfessorFreemanDyson SirAlanRudge ProfessorChristopherEssex ProfessorNirShaviv Christian Gerondeau Professor Philip Stott Dr Indur Goklany Professor Henrik Svensmark ProfessorWilliamHapper ProfessorRichardTol ProfessorDavidHenderson ProfessorFritzVahrenholt ProfessorTerenceKealey DrDavidWhitehouse HUBERT LAMB AND THE TRANSFORMATION OF CLIMATE SCIENCE Bernie Lewin ISBN 978-0-9573880-8-6 c Copyright 2015 The Global Warming Policy Foundation ⃝ Contents Foreword vii 1Introduction 1 2Theoriginsofhistoricalclimatology 3 3Investigatingtheforcesbehindnaturalclimaticchange 7 4Theanthropogenicrevival 10 5 Early doubts about the greenhouse hypothesis 13 6ReportingonclimaticchangetotheWMO 16 7TheClimaticResearchUnit 18 8Theriseofthewarmers 23 9Witnesstoasciencetransforming 31 Acknowledgements 37 Notes 39 Foreword ByProfessorRichardLindzen Bernie Lewin provides an interesting view of the evolution of the climate is- sue through the work and actions of one prominent individual, Hubert Lamb. Lamb was an important figure in the science of climatology. He devoted his career to the use of historic and/or proxy data to develop a picture of how cli- mate has been changing on timescales from decades to centuries. The record provided rich evidence of profound changes.
    [Show full text]
  • Culture and Climate Change: Recordings
    View metadata, citation and similar papers at core.ac.uk brought to you by CORE provided by Open Research Online Open Research Online The Open University’s repository of research publications and other research outputs Culture and Climate Change: Recordings Edited Book How to cite: Butler, Robert; Margolies, Eleonor; Smith, Joe and Tyszczuk, Renata eds. (2011). Culture and Climate Change: Recordings. Culture and Climate Change, 1. Cambridge: Shed. For guidance on citations see FAQs. c 2011 Shed and the individual contributors Version: Version of Record Link(s) to article on publisher’s website: http://www8.open.ac.uk/researchcentres/osrc/research/themes/mediating-change Copyright and Moral Rights for the articles on this site are retained by the individual authors and/or other copyright owners. For more information on Open Research Online’s data policy on reuse of materials please consult the policies page. oro.open.ac.uk Culture and Climate Change: Recordings BERGIT ARENDS MARCUS BRIGSTOCKE ROBERT BUTLER NIGEL CLARK QUENTIN COOPER SIOBHAN DAVIES BETH DERBYSHIRE ROGER HARRABIN WALLACE HEIM MIKE HULME CHARLIE KRONICK RUTH LITTLE DIANA LIVERMAN VICKY LONG ELEANOR MARGOLIES OLIVER MORTON <script type="text/javascript"> TIM SMIT var _gaq = _gaq || []; _gaq.push(['_setAccount', 'UA-12022932-2']); JOE SMITH _gaq.push(['_trackPageview']); CAROLYN STEEL (function() { var ga = document.createElement('script'); ga.type = 'text/javascript'; ga.async = true; ga.src = ('https:' == document.location.protocol ? 'https://ssl' : 'http://www') + '.google-analytics.com/ga.js';
    [Show full text]
  • Man-Made Climate Change Does Not Exist!
    READING UNIVERSITY DEBATING JOURNAL September 19, 2019 https://readingunidebating.wordpress.com/ PIERS CORBYN Man-Made Climate Change Does not Exist! • Piers Corbyn argues that Man-made Global Warming caused by CO2 is “nonsense”. Instead, he argues that “In the long run CO2 levels are an EFFECT NOT A CAUSE of changes in Climate / temperatures,” and that it is the sun that drives climate. • He challenges whoever is willing in Reading University or other ap- propriate institutions to a debate on the failed Global Warming scam vs evidence-based science. • Piers Corbyn is an astrophysicist and Director of WeatherAction long range (months and years ahead) forecasts. He has a First class degree in Physics from Imperial College and an MSc in Astrophysics from Queen Mary College. He has published numerous peer-reviewed sci- entific papers, starting from an early age, on subjects ranging from meteorology to cosmology and galaxy formation and has presented at many international conferences. The mainstream media peddle the claim that 97% of (climate) scientists be- lieve in man-made Global-Warming and that, therefore, there is no debate to be had on the subject. This is false and irrelevant. To get the 97% figure, they basically counted people who had mentioned Climate-Change in an ab- stract or heading of a scientific paper. Dr Legates* has reviewed the work and shows that, in fact, only 0.3% of the papers claim that ‘man had caused most post-1950 warming’. Nonetheless, science isn’t about consensus, it is about facts; and no Global-Warming Inquisition is going to prevent me ex- posing their nonsensical theories.
    [Show full text]
  • Dealing with the Deluge of Historical Weather Data: the Example of the TEMPEST Database
    Open Access Dealing with the deluge of historical weather data: the example of the TEMPEST database Lucy Veale1 , Georgina Endfield2, Sarah Davies3, Neil Macdonald4, Simon Naylor5, Marie-Jeanne Royer3, James Bowen4, Richard Tyler-Jones6 and Cerys Jones3 People have long been interested in the history of weather, particularly extremes, and chronologies of past events drawing on information from written records have been compiled and published throughout history. In recent years, concern over current and future weather and climate has triggered a new level of interest in past weather events and their impacts. This interest, alongside the development of digital humanities research methods, has resulted in a rapid growth in the number of online databases relating to historic weather and climate around the world. This paper documents the design, creation and content of one such database, TEMPEST, an online repository for extreme weather history in the UK. TEMPEST has been created as the major output of the AHRC funded project ‘Spaces of Experience and Horizons of Expectation: The Implications of Extreme Weather in the UK, Past, Present and Future’ (2013-2017). Unlike the majority of existing databases that rely on published materials, TEMPEST’s records are drawn from primary research into original documentary sources held in archives around the UK. The c. 18,000 records that TEMPEST currently contains offer personalised and geo-referenced insights into the relationship between society and extreme weather in the UK spanning a period of over 400 years. In this paper we outline potential applications for TEMPEST and suggest directions for future research and resources in historical weather.
    [Show full text]
  • The Coming Desert
    mike davis THE COMING DESERT Kropotkin, Mars and the Pulse of Asia nthropogenic climate change is usually portrayed as a recent discovery, with a genealogy that extends no further backwards than Charles Keeling sampling atmospheric gases from his station near the summit of Mauna Loa in the A1960s, or, at the very most, Svante Arrhenius’s legendary 1896 paper on carbon emissions and the planetary greenhouse. In fact, the deleterious climatic consequences of economic growth, especially the influence of deforestation and plantation agriculture on atmospheric moisture levels, were widely noted, and often exaggerated, from the Enlightenment until the late nineteenth century. The irony of Victorian science, however, was that while human influence on climate, whether as a result of land clearance or industrial pollution, was widely acknowledged, and some- times envisioned as an approaching doomsday for the big cities (see John Ruskin’s hallucinatory rant, ‘The Storm Cloud of the Nineteenth Century’), few if any major thinkers discerned a pattern of natural cli- mate variability in ancient or modern history. The Lyellian world-view, canonized by Darwin in The Origin of Species, supplanted biblical cata- strophism with a vision of slow geological and environmental evolution through deep time. Despite the discovery of the Ice Age(s) by the Swiss geologist Louis Agassiz in the late 1830s, the contemporary scientific bias was against environmental perturbations, whether periodic or pro- gressive, on historical time-scales. Climate change, like evolution, was measured in eons, not centuries. Oddly, it required the ‘discovery’ of a supposed dying civilization on Mars to finally ignite interest in the idea, first proposed by the anarchist geographer Kropotkin in the late 1870s, that the 14,000 years since the new left review 97 jan feb 2016 23 24 nlr 97 Glacial Maximum constituted an epoch of on-going and catastrophic desiccation of the continental interiors.
    [Show full text]