Violent Extremism in the Western Balkans Violent Extremism in the Western
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Band 16 / 2016 Band 16 / 2016 What is the potential for violent extremism in the Western Bal- kans? This question has been the main topic of discussion of the 31st workshop of the Study Group Regional Stability in South East Europe that took place in Belgrade, Serbia, from 27 to 29 September 2015. The term “radicalism” witnessed many different interpretations in the past, especially among Violent Extremism the political elites across the Balkans. With the beginning of the civil war in Syria in 2011 and the emergence of IS, the term in the Western Balkans “radicalisation” received a different meaning in the context of the Western Balkans. “Radicalisation” is increasingly being used as proxy for Balkan-born fighters going to the battlefields in Syria and Iraq. This increasing on-site potential of violence affects the international political community which is making efforts to put a halt to this phenomenon. Violent Extremism in the Western Balkans Violent Extremism in the Western ISBN: 978-3-902944-99-3 Filip Ejdus and Predrag Jureković (Eds.) 16/16 31st Workshop of the PfP Consortium Study Group Regional Stability in South East Europe (Eds.) Jureković Ejdus, Study Group Information Study Group Information Filip Ejdus Predrag Jureković (Eds.) Violent Extremism in the Western Balkans 31st Workshop of the PfP Consortium Study Group “Regional Stability in South East Europe” 16/2016 Vienna, May 2016 Imprint: Copyright, Production, Publisher: Republic of Austria / Federal Ministry of Defence and Sports Rossauer Lände 1 1090 Vienna, Austria Edited by: National Defence Academy Command Stiftgasse 2a 1070 Vienna, Austria In co-operation with: PfP Consortium of Defense Academies and Security Studies Institutes Garmisch-Partenkirchen, Germany Study Group Information Copyright © Republic of Austria / Federal Ministry of Defence and Sports All rights reserved May 2016 ISBN 978-3-902944-99-3 Printing: HDruckZ-ASt Stift 16-01297 Printed according to the Austrian Ecolabel for printedmatter, Austrian Federal MinistryofDefence and Sports/ Stiftgasse 2a Armed Forces Printing Centre, UW-Nr. 943 1070 Wien Table of Contents Foreword 5 Filip Ejdus and Predrag Jureković Abstract 9 Keynote Speech 11 Susan Woodward PART I: THE ROOTS OF VIOLENT EXTREMISM 23 SocioEconomic Roots of Extremism in the Region 25 Nemanja Džuverović PART II: RADICAL ISLAM AND VIOLENT EXTREMISM 37 Salafi – Jihadists: a Threat to the Western Balkans? 39 James Kenneth Wither Foreign Fighters, Religious Radicalism and Violent Extremism in Albania and the Western Balkans 57 Ebi Spahiu Islamic Radicalism in Bosnia and Herzegovina 87 Edina Bećirević Violent Extremism and Religious Radicalism in Albania 95 Enri Hide PART III: NATIONALISM AND VIOLENT EXTREMISM 111 The Roots of Success of Far Right Parties in Serbia, Romania and Bulgaria 113 Věra Stojarová and Richard Stojar 3 Serbian Nationalism and Right-Wing Extremism 133 Isidora Stakić PART IV: STRATEGIES FOR THE FIGHT AGAINST VIOLENT EXTREMISM IN THE WESTERN BALKANS 149 Policing, Violent Extremism in the Western Balkans 151 Gordana Jankuloska The Role of the Civil Society in Countering Violent Extremism 163 Izabela Kisić Countering Violent Extremism – The Role of the European Union 179 Marianne Wade PART V: POLICY RECOMMENDATIONS 201 Policy Recommendations from the Regional Stability in the South East Europe 203 Filip Ejdus List of Authors and Editors 209 4 Foreword Filip Ejdus and Predrag Jureković The 31st workshop of the Study Group Regional Stability in South East Europe was convened in Belgrade, Serbia from 27 to 29 September 2015. Under the overarching title of “Violent Extremism in the Western Balkans” 30 experts from the South East European region, the international com- munity and major stakeholder nations met under the umbrella of the PfP Consortium of Defence Academies and Security Studies Institutes and the Austrian Ministry of Defence and Sports, represented through its National Defence Academy and Directorate General for Security Policy. The work- shop was supported by the regional partner organization Belgrade Centre for Security Policy. During the last two decades, the region of South East Europe has been on the agenda of Transatlantic, European and Austrian institutions with the goal of enhancing capabilities in the field of conflict management and peace support. Recent developments in the region have given rise to the main topic of the 31st workshop of the Study Group Regional Stability in South East Europe. For more than a decade, the Western Balkans was considered to be a re- gion slowly recovering from the conflicts of the 1990s and on the way to consolidating peace and stability. In spite of occasional setbacks, democ- ratic backslides and sluggish reforms there has been a dependable expecta- tion that conflicts will be resolved or at least managed peacefully. The at- tack on a police station in the Bosnian town Zvornik (April 2015) and the killing of two soldiers of the army of Bosnia and Herzegovina near Sara- jevo (November 2015) as well as the “weekend war” in Kumanovo, Mace- donia (May 2015), put violence back on the agenda of the Western Balkans. Primarily the first two events shed new light on the problem of an increas- ing number of foreign fighters from the region who have joined the Islamic State or the Al Nusrah Front. In a video message from June 2015, the Is- lamic State invited Balkan Muslims to “either join, or kill over there”. 5 In particular during autumn and winter 2015, when also this part of South East Europe was heavily affected by the humanitarian challenges of the global refugee crisis, but with minor intensity as well after the closing of the so called “Balkan route” in March 2016 there have been fears that the refu- gee crisis could have negative security implications. On the other hand, these challenges, coupled with the never-ending economic crisis, EU enlargement fatigue, as well as the deterioration in West-Russia relationship further bolster extreme right wing mobilization across the region. A par- ticularly strong catalyst for right wing mobilization has been the war in Ukraine attracting some dozens of foreign fighters and mercenaries from the Balkans who joined either Kiev or proRussian rebels. If continued, the current refugee crisis may also bolster the rise of right wing extremism thus returning ethnic security dilemma to the politics of South East Europe. The following key questions constituted the framework of discussion and debate during the workshop and thus also structure the contributions from the four panels in the following pages: • What is the potential for violent extremism in the Western Balkans? • How can the region prevent radicalization? • Is the Islamic State a threat to the Western Balkans? • Should returning foreign fighters be reintegrated or sanctioned? • Should the refugee problem be securitized or treated purely as a humanitarian issue? • What is the role of media in the fight against violent extremism? • Is “the Greater Albania” project a myth or reality? • What are the links between right wing extremism and right wing political parties? • How can the region cooperate in the prevention of radicalization? • What is the role of the international community in the fight against violent extremism in the Western Balkans? • In what way can the civil-society contribute to de-radicalization? After Susan L. Woodward’s general reflections on the overall topic, part I of this book addresses the roots of violent extremism. The contributions in part II deal with the ties between Islamism and Salafi-Jihadist threats for 6 the Western Balkans. The various dimensions of nationalism are analyzed in part III. Finally, part IV focuses on the strategies for fighting violent extremism in the Western Balkans. The policy recommendations and find ings of the expert group are summarized at the end of the publication in part V. The editors would like to express their thanks to all authors who contrib uted papers to this volume of the Study Group Information. They are pleased to present the valued readers the analyses and recommendations of the Belgrade meeting and would appreciate if this Study Group Informa- tion could contribute to generate positive ideas for supporting the still chal- lenging processes of consolidating peace in South East Europe. Special thanks go to Ms. Adriana Dubo, who supported this publication as facilitating editor, and to Mr. Benedikt Hensellek for his stout support to the Study Group. 7 Abstract For more than a decade, the Western Balkans was considered to be a re- gion slowly recovering from the conflicts of the 1990s and on the way to consolidating peace and stability. The hope for peace was abruptly shaken by several violent incidents in 2015. The attack on a police station in the Bosnian town Zvornik and the killing of two soldiers of the army of Bosnia and Herzegovina near Sarajevo as well as the fights in Kumanovo, Mace- donia, put violence back on the agenda of the Western Balkans. The fear of new violence and the problem of an increasing number of foreign fighters from the region who have joined the Islamic State or the Al Nusrah Front is a constantly present threat to the region. The Islamic State is encouraging Muslims in the region to start a fight against the “new world” and join their mission. These new developments are of concern to the international community who is afraid that old wounds could be reopened and instability and chaos would prevail. 9 Keynote Speech Susan Woodward When I accepted this invitation to speak today, I thought I was attending a conference on Regional Stability in South East Europe. Only later did I learn that the actual agenda for the meeting is on Confronting Violent Ex- tremism. Are these related in any way? I will argue that they are not, but that we do need to ask this question – are they related and if so how – and to be quite open and explicit about our answers, whichever position each one of us takes.