A Guide for National Weather Service Spotters in South Central Texas
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Severe Storms in the Midwest
Informational/Education Material 2006-06 Illinois State Water Survey SEVERE STORMS IN THE MIDWEST Stanley A. Changnon Kenneth E. Kunkel SEVERE STORMS IN THE MIDWEST By Stanley A. Changnon and Kenneth E. Kunkel Midwestern Regional Climate Center Illinois State Water Survey Champaign, IL Illinois State Water Survey Report I/EM 2006-06 i This report was printed on recycled and recyclable papers ii TABLE OF CONTENTS Abstract........................................................................................................................................... v Chapter 1. Introduction .................................................................................................................. 1 Chapter 2. Thunderstorms and Lightning ...................................................................................... 7 Introduction ........................................................................................................................ 7 Causes ................................................................................................................................. 8 Temporal and Spatial Distributions .................................................................................. 12 Impacts.............................................................................................................................. 13 Lightning........................................................................................................................... 14 References ....................................................................................................................... -
Tropical Cyclone Report for Hurricane Ivan
Tropical Cyclone Report Hurricane Ivan 2-24 September 2004 Stacy R. Stewart National Hurricane Center 16 December 2004 Updated 27 May 2005 to revise damage estimate Updated 11 August 2011 to revise damage estimate Ivan was a classical, long-lived Cape Verde hurricane that reached Category 5 strength three times on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale (SSHS). It was also the strongest hurricane on record that far south east of the Lesser Antilles. Ivan caused considerable damage and loss of life as it passed through the Caribbean Sea. a. Synoptic History Ivan developed from a large tropical wave that moved off the west coast of Africa on 31 August. Although the wave was accompanied by a surface pressure system and an impressive upper-level outflow pattern, associated convection was limited and not well organized. However, by early on 1 September, convective banding began to develop around the low-level center and Dvorak satellite classifications were initiated later that day. Favorable upper-level outflow and low shear environment was conducive for the formation of vigorous deep convection to develop and persist near the center, and it is estimated that a tropical depression formed around 1800 UTC 2 September. Figure 1 depicts the “best track” of the tropical cyclone’s path. The wind and pressure histories are shown in Figs. 2a and 3a, respectively. Table 1 is a listing of the best track positions and intensities. Despite a relatively low latitude (9.7o N), development continued and it is estimated that the cyclone became Tropical Storm Ivan just 12 h later at 0600 UTC 3 September. -
Soaring Weather
Chapter 16 SOARING WEATHER While horse racing may be the "Sport of Kings," of the craft depends on the weather and the skill soaring may be considered the "King of Sports." of the pilot. Forward thrust comes from gliding Soaring bears the relationship to flying that sailing downward relative to the air the same as thrust bears to power boating. Soaring has made notable is developed in a power-off glide by a conven contributions to meteorology. For example, soar tional aircraft. Therefore, to gain or maintain ing pilots have probed thunderstorms and moun altitude, the soaring pilot must rely on upward tain waves with findings that have made flying motion of the air. safer for all pilots. However, soaring is primarily To a sailplane pilot, "lift" means the rate of recreational. climb he can achieve in an up-current, while "sink" A sailplane must have auxiliary power to be denotes his rate of descent in a downdraft or in come airborne such as a winch, a ground tow, or neutral air. "Zero sink" means that upward cur a tow by a powered aircraft. Once the sailcraft is rents are just strong enough to enable him to hold airborne and the tow cable released, performance altitude but not to climb. Sailplanes are highly 171 r efficient machines; a sink rate of a mere 2 feet per second. There is no point in trying to soar until second provides an airspeed of about 40 knots, and weather conditions favor vertical speeds greater a sink rate of 6 feet per second gives an airspeed than the minimum sink rate of the aircraft. -
Skywarn Storm Spotter Guide
Skywarn Storm Spotter Guide ...For Western Nevada and Eastern California... National Weather Service Reno, Nevada CONTENTS Introduction........................................................................................................... 3 A Note to Amateur Radio Operators..................................................................... 4 Who to Call........................................................................................................... 5 NWS Reno County Warning Area Map ................................................................ 6 What to Report -Tornadoes / Severe Thunderstorms ......................................................... 7 -Heavy Rain/Flooding ................................................................................ 8 -Winter Storms......................................................................................... 10 -Fog/Other ............................................................................................... 11 Estimating Precipitation Intensity........................................................................ 12 Beaufort Wind Scale........................................................................................... 13 Handy Dandy Hail Size Estimator....................................................................... 14 After the Storm ................................................................................................... 15 Watch/Warning/Advisory Criteria........................................................................ 16 Sources -
Quantification of Cloud Condensation Nuclei Effects on the Microphysical Structure of Continental Thunderstorms Using Polarimetr
University of Nebraska - Lincoln DigitalCommons@University of Nebraska - Lincoln Dissertations & Theses in Earth and Atmospheric Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Department of Sciences 11-2018 Quantification of Cloud Condensation Nuclei Effects on the Microphysical Structure of Continental Thunderstorms Using Polarimetric Radar Observations Kun-Yuan Lee University of Nebraska-Lincoln, [email protected] Follow this and additional works at: https://digitalcommons.unl.edu/geoscidiss Part of the Atmospheric Sciences Commons, Meteorology Commons, and the Other Oceanography and Atmospheric Sciences and Meteorology Commons Lee, Kun-Yuan, "Quantification of Cloud Condensation Nuclei Effects on the Microphysical Structure of Continental Thunderstorms Using Polarimetric Radar Observations" (2018). Dissertations & Theses in Earth and Atmospheric Sciences. 113. https://digitalcommons.unl.edu/geoscidiss/113 This Article is brought to you for free and open access by the Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Department of at DigitalCommons@University of Nebraska - Lincoln. It has been accepted for inclusion in Dissertations & Theses in Earth and Atmospheric Sciences by an authorized administrator of DigitalCommons@University of Nebraska - Lincoln. i QUANTIFICATION OF CLOUD CONDENSATION NUCLEI EFFECTS ON THE MICROPHYSICAL STRUCTURE OF CONTINENTAL THUNDERSTORMS USING POLARIMETRIC RADAR OBSERVATIONS by Kun-Yuan Lee A THESIS Presented to the Faculty of The Graduate College at the University of Nebraska In Partial Fulfillment of Requirements For the Degree of Master of Science Major: Earth and Atmospheric Sciences Under the Supervision of Professor Matthew S. Van Den Broeke Lincoln, Nebraska November, 2018 i QUANTIFICATION OF CLOUD CONDENSATION NUCLEI EFFECTS ON THE MICROPHYSICAL STRUCTURE OF CONTINENTAL THUNDERSTORMS USING POLARIMETRIC RADAR OBSERVATIONS Kun-Yuan Lee, M.S. University of Nebraska, 2019 Advisor: Matthew S. -
Squall Lines: Meteorology, Skywarn Spotting, & a Brief Look at the 18
Squall Lines: Meteorology, Skywarn Spotting, & A Brief Look At The 18 June 2010 Derecho Gino Izzi National Weather Service, Chicago IL Outline • Meteorology 301: Squall lines – Brief review of thunderstorm basics – Squall lines – Squall line tornadoes – Mesovorticies • Storm spotting for squall lines • Brief Case Study of 18 June 2010 Event Thunderstorm Ingredients • Moisture – Gulf of Mexico most common source locally Thunderstorm Ingredients • Lifting Mechanism(s) – Fronts – Jet Streams – “other” boundaries – topography Thunderstorm Ingredients • Instability – Measure of potential for air to accelerate upward – CAPE: common variable used to quantify magnitude of instability < 1000: weak 1000-2000: moderate 2000-4000: strong 4000+: extreme Thunderstorms Thunderstorms • Moisture + Instability + Lift = Thunderstorms • What kind of thunderstorms? – Single Cell – Multicell/Squall Line – Supercells Thunderstorm Types • What determines T-storm Type? – Short/simplistic answer: CAPE vs Shear Thunderstorm Types • What determines T-storm Type? (Longer/more complex answer) – Lot we don’t know, other factors (besides CAPE/shear) include • Strength of forcing • Strength of CAP • Shear WRT to boundary • Other stuff Thunderstorm Types • Multi-cell squall lines most common type of severe thunderstorm type locally • Most common type of severe weather is damaging winds • Hail and brief tornadoes can occur with most the intense squall lines Squall Lines & Spotting Squall Line Terminology • Squall Line : a relatively narrow line of thunderstorms, often -
SKYWARN Detailed Documentation
SKYWARN Detailed Documentation NWS Terminology Convective Outlook Categories Risk Description 0 - Delineates, to the right of a line, where a 10% or greater probability of General thunderstorms is forecast during the valid period. 1 - An area of severe storms of either limited organization and longevity, or very low Marginal coverage and marginal intensity. An area of organized severe storms, which is not widespread in coverage with 2 - Slight varying levels of intensity. 3 - An area of greater (relative to Slight risk) severe storm coverage with varying Enhanced levels of intensity. An area where widespread severe weather with several tornadoes and/or numerous 4 - severe thunderstorms is likely, some of which should be intense. This risk is Moderate usually reserved for days with several supercells producing intense tornadoes and/or very large hail, or an intense squall line with widespread damaging winds. An area where a severe weather outbreak is expected from either numerous intense and long-tracked tornadoes or a long-lived derecho-producing thunderstorm complex that produces hurricane-force wind gusts and widespread damage. This 5 - High risk is reserved for when high confidence exists in widespread coverage of severe weather with embedded instances of extreme severe (i.e., violent tornadoes or very damaging convective wind events). Hazardous Weather Risks Risk Description An advisory is issued when a hazardous weather or hydrologic event is occurring, imminent, or likely. Advisories are for "less serious" conditions than warnings that may cause significant inconvenience, and if caution is not exercised could lead to Advisory situations that may threaten life or property. The National Weather Service may activate weather spotters in areas affected by advisories to help them better track and analyze the event. -
An Improved Representation of Rimed Snow and Conversion to Graupel in a Multicomponent Bin Microphysics Scheme
MAY 2010 M O R R I S O N A N D G R A B O W S K I 1337 An Improved Representation of Rimed Snow and Conversion to Graupel in a Multicomponent Bin Microphysics Scheme HUGH MORRISON AND WOJCIECH W. GRABOWSKI National Center for Atmospheric Research,* Boulder, Colorado (Manuscript received 13 July 2009, in final form 22 January 2010) ABSTRACT This paper describes the development of a new multicomponent detailed bin ice microphysics scheme that predicts the number concentration of ice as well as the rime mass mixing ratio in each mass bin. This allows for local prediction of the rime mass fraction. In this approach, the ice particle mass size, projected area size, and terminal velocity–size relationships vary as a function of particle mass and rimed mass fraction, based on a simple conceptual model of rime accumulation in the crystal interstices that leads to an increase in particle mass, but not in its maximum size, until a complete ‘‘filling in’’ with rime and conversion to graupel occurs. This approach allows a natural representation of the gradual transition from unrimed crystals to rimed crystals and graupel during riming. The new ice scheme is coupled with a detailed bin representation of the liquid hy- drometeors and applied in an idealized 2D kinematic flow model representing the evolution of a mixed-phase precipitating cumulus. Results using the bin scheme are compared with simulations using a two-moment bulk scheme employing the same approach (i.e., separate prediction of bulk ice mixing ratio from vapor deposition and riming, allowing for local prediction of bulk rime mass fraction). -
2005 SKYWARN Agenda
2019 ND Severe Summer Weather Awareness Week Fact Sheet Are you Weather-Ready? North Dakota Severe Summer Weather Awareness Week is set for April 29 through May 3, 2019. Awareness weeks in North Dakota are joint efforts of many agencies, including but not limited to, FEMA (Federal Emergency Management Agency), NDDES (North Dakota Department of Emergency Services), the North Dakota Broadcasters Association, your local emergency manager, and NWS (National Weather Service). Local emergency managers and media partners get the word out about severe weather in North Dakota, helping people to be prepared. Severe Summer Weather Awareness Week is designed to heighten awareness about the coming severe weather season. In this case, to get us thinking less about winter storms and more about thunderstorm hazards such as lightning, hail, high wind, flash floods, and tornadoes. FEMA recommends in their "America's PrepareAthon!" initiative - Be Smart (informed), Take Part (practice drills), and Prepare (have a plan). Be Ready! On Wednesday, May 1, we recommend practicing tornado drills in communities, at schools, at places of business, and at home. Each community, school district, county and Tribal Government will decide whether or not to practice drills and to what extent. Some schools and businesses / factories will conduct a drill for their students / staff / employees and some will not. Some communities will test outdoor warning sirens and some will not. The NWS has no authority over what action is or is not taken. That decision is left to local officials and business owners. We do, of course, recommend safety measures be reviewed and drills be practiced. -
SKYWARN TRAINING in LEE COUNTY Americans Live in The
SKYWARN TRAINING IN LEE COUNTY Americans live in the most severe weather-prone country on Earth. Each year, Americans cope with an average of 10,000 thunderstorms, 2,500 floods, 1,000 tornadoes, as well as an average of 6 deadly hurricanes. Some 90% of all presidentially declared disasters are weather related, leading to around 500 deaths per year and nearly $14 billion in damage. What can you do to help protect yourself, your family, and neighbors? Consider becoming a trained SKYWARN Spotter. A trained spotter knows the weather threats in Florida, safety rules, and visual clues regarding thunderstorm strength. You can attend the training even if you do not want to be an official spotter. SKYWARN is a program sponsored by your National Weather Service (NWS) consisting of trained weather spotters who provide reports of severe and hazardous weather to help in the warning process. SKYWARN spotter reports provide vital "ground truth" to the NWS. The reports serve the NWS mission of protecting life and property in 3 ways: assist in present and future warning decisions, confirm hazardous weather detected by NWS radar, and provide verification information which can be used for future research efforts. SKYWARN is a volunteer public service for those 18 years or older. Individuals under 18 may attend the training; however they will not receive a Storm Spotter number. A certificate of Attendance will be given to them. Each year our Spotters donate their time and efforts to help the NWS issue severe weather warnings. A NOAA Weather radio will also -
Storm Spotter's Checklist
ARE STRONG UPDRAFTS PRESENT? ARE YOU SEEING A “LOOK-ALIKE”? SUGGESTED REPORTING CRITERIA STORM SPOTTER’S CHECKLIST National Weather Service - Memphis, TN ⃞ Thick, sharp-edged anvil ⃞ Scud (not attached to cloud base, likely not URGENT (tornado, flash flood) ⃞ Large, persistent overshooting top rotating) • Tornado ⃞ Hard, cauliflower texture to updraft tower ⃞ Precipitation shaft (likely not rotating, often • Funnel cloud REPORTING TIPS... has a fuzzy or stringy appearance) • PERSISTENT rotating wall cloud ⃞ Moderate to strong inflow winds • Be clear when reporting location (are you ⃞ Smoke/Steam column (originates from a • PERSISTENT low-level rotation signatures giving your location or the event’s?) ⃞ Warm, moist air blowing into storm stationary point, likely not rotating) • Major flooding (roads closed, water rescues) • IMPACTS from heavy rainfall are more • Storm-related damage ⃞ Rain-free base ⃞ “Gustnado” (not associated with updraft, not important than instantaneous rates. ⃞ Inflow bands attached to cloud base) HIGH (non-tornadic supercell, flooding) • If you are unsure of what you’re seeing, make ⃞ Rising scud clouds (possibly) • Hail golf ball size or larger your report but express the uncertainty also. ⃞ Wall cloud WALL CLOUDS vs. SHELF CLOUDS... • Winds 65 mph or stronger • Reports of environmental conditions (outflow, • Persistent non-rotating wall cloud strong warm moist inflow, etc.) are important. • Flooding of uncommon areas WALL CLOUDS • Use teamwork: multiple distances and angles. ARE STRONG DOWNDRAFTS PRESENT? • suggest updraft MEDIUM (near or above severe tstm criteria) ⃞ Shelf cloud or roll cloud • • slope upward away from the precipitation Hail 3/4 inch to golf ball size SAFETY TIPS... ⃞ Rain foot or Dust foot • Winds 45 to 65 mph • Beware of flooding and lightning. -
Ociv-) 35 P Unclas
c F e F (NASA-CR-180170) A SlODY CE ~EVLBESTORfl ~a7-1~277 I ELEC'IRIClTY VIA S2ChM KNTEIiCEES 4 Eississippi Ociv-) 35 p CSCL 04B Unclas G3/47 43342 6 a e e a e A STUDY OF SEVERE STORM ELECTRICITY VIA STORM INTERCEPT e ROY T. ARNOLD and STEVEN D. HORSBURGH Department of Physics and Astronomy, University of i4ississippi University, MS 38677 e W. DAVID RUST and DON BURGESS National Severe Storms Laboratory Norman, OK 73069 December, 1985 e e a ABSTRACT a We have used storm electricity data, radar data, and visual observations both to present a case study for a supercell thunderstorm that occurred in the Texas ?an- handle on 19 June 1980 and to search for insight into how lightning to ground night be related to storm dynamics in the updraft/downdraft couplet in supercell storms. We observed that two-thirds of the lightning ground-strike points in the developing and maturing stages of a supercell thunderstorm occurred within the region surround- 0 ing the wall cloud (a cloud feature often characteristic of a supercell updraft) and on the southern flank of the precipitation. Electrical activity in the 19 June 1980 storm was what we consider to be typical for an isolated severe convective storm; the storm was atypical in that it was a right-mover. Lightning to ground reached a peak rate of 18/min and intracloud flashes were as frequent as 176/min in the final stage of the storm's life. 0 e 3 INTRODUCTION 6 Ground intercept of severe convective storms as a scientific project began in 1972 by the National Severe Storms Laboratory (NSSL) in collaboration with the University of Oklahoma (Golden and Morgan, 1972; Lee, 1981).