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Volume II (PDF) Transportation May 2011 Rail Baltica Final Report Volume II Appendix A-F Prepared by: ............................................................. Checked by: ........................................................................ P Constable A Kakulis Deputy Project Manager Local Project Coordinator Approved by: ............................................................. M Elton Project Manager Rail Baltica Final Report Rev No Comments Checked by Approved Date by 1 Final Report v2 AK PC 31.05.2011 Saxon House, 27 Duke Street, Chelmsford, Essex, CM1 1HT Telephone: 01245 771200 Website: http://www.aecom.com Job No Reference Date Created May 2011 This document has been prepared by AECOM Limited for the sole use of our client (the “Client”) and in accordance with generally accepted consultancy principles, the budget for fees and the terms of reference agreed between AECOM Limited and the Client. Any information provided by third parties and referred to herein has not been checked or verified by AECOM Limited, unless otherwise expressly stated in the document. No third party may rely upon this document without the prior and express written agreement of AECOM Limited. document3 Table of Contents Appendix A – Economic Development Study .............................................................................................................................. 6 1.1 Macro – Economic Data ........................................................................................................................................ 6 1.1.1 Population Trends in the Baltic Region .................................................................................................................. 6 1.1.2 Historic data ........................................................................................................................................................... 6 1.1.3 Forecast ................................................................................................................................................................. 6 1.1.4 Major Cities in the Baltic States ............................................................................................................................. 9 1.1.5 Conclusions ......................................................................................................................................................... 20 1.1.6 Macroeconomic analysis and forecasts ............................................................................................................... 20 1.1.7 Disposable income .............................................................................................................................................. 44 1.1.8 Summary ............................................................................................................................................................. 45 1.1.9 International trade ................................................................................................................................................ 49 1.1.10 Motorisation rate .................................................................................................................................................. 51 Appendix B – Analysis of Supply of Transport Services .......................................................................................................... 54 1.2 Overview .............................................................................................................................................................. 54 1.3 Passenger Services ............................................................................................................................................. 54 1.3.1 Definition of Passenger Metrics ........................................................................................................................... 54 1.3.2 Estonia ................................................................................................................................................................. 57 1.3.3 Latvia ................................................................................................................................................................... 76 1.3.4 Lithuania .............................................................................................................................................................. 96 1.3.5 Cross-Border Passenger Travel ........................................................................................................................ 111 1.4 Freight Transit Traffic ......................................................................................................................................... 113 1.5 Summary ........................................................................................................................................................... 128 Appendix C – Regulatory Constraints ...................................................................................................................................... 134 1.6 Regulatory Constraints ...................................................................................................................................... 134 1.6.1 Time frame of different planning procedures ..................................................................................................... 135 1.6.2 Existence of the Government’s special rights to override municipalities in planning matters for projects of national interest ................................................................................................................................................. 139 1.6.3 Land Expropriation............................................................................................................................................. 141 1.6.4 Setting of tariffs .................................................................................................................................................. 144 Appendix D – Spatial Plans ....................................................................................................................................................... 153 Appendix E – Environmental Considerations .......................................................................................................................... 159 Appendix F – Initial Capex Calculations ................................................................................................................................... 164 Table 1 - A.1 Population changes over years 2000 to 2009 (thousands) .........................................................................................6 Table 2 - A.2 Population Forecast (thousands) ................................................................................................................................8 Table 3 - A.3 Average Population Density (persons per sq.km) .......................................................................................................8 Table 4 - A.4 Population forecast at NUTS3 level for Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania .......................................................................8 Table 5 - A.5 Main products manufactured in Vilnius, 2001 -2007 ................................................................................................. 16 Table 6 - A.6 Main products manufactured in Kaunas, 2001 -2007 ................................................................................................ 16 Table 7 - A.7 Main products manufactured in Klaipeda County, 2001 -2007 .................................................................................. 17 Table 8 - A.8 Main products manufactured in Šiauliai, 2001 -2007 ................................................................................................ 17 Table 9 - A.9 Main products manufactured in Panevežys, 2001 -2007........................................................................................... 18 Table 10 - A.10 Main products manufactured in Telšiai County, 2001 -2007 ................................................................................. 19 Table 11 - A.11 Main products manufactured in Utena County, 2001 -2007 .................................................................................. 19 Table 12 - A.12 Main products manufactured in Taurag ÷ County, 2001 -2007 .............................................................................. 19 Table 13 - A.13 Main products manufactured in Alytus County, 2001 -2007 ................................................................................. 20 Table 14 - A.14 Main products manufactured in Marijampol ÷ County, 2001 -2007 ........................................................................ 20 Table 15 - A.15 Foreigners visiting Finland in 2006-2009, (thousands) .......................................................................................... 24 Table 16 - A.16 Share of GDP created by county, % by administrative territory and year .............................................................. 28 Table 17 - A.17 GVA analysis by region and year .......................................................................................................................... 28 Table 18 - A.18 GVA per capita by region, year ............................................................................................................................. 29 Table 19 - A.19 Number of foreign visitors in Estonia
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