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Iranian Forces and Shia Militias in Syria
BICOM Briefing Iranian forces and Shia militias in Syria March 2018 Introduction In Iraq, another country where Iran has implemented its proxy policy, the Iranian On Wednesday, 28 February a US media outlet sponsored militias were not disbanded following reported that Iran was building a new military the defeat of ISIS but are standing as a united base 16 km northwest of the Syrian capital, list in the coming elections and will likely lead Damascus. The report included satellite images key institutions in the country. They are also of warehouses which could store short and protected in law as a permanently mobilised medium-range missiles that intelligence officials force, despite the fact that their leaders take said were capable of reaching any part of Israel. orders from Iran rather than the Government in The base, which is operated by the Iranian Baghdad. With the civil war in Syria far from Revolutionary Guard’s (IRGC) special operations over, Iran will likely seek to implement this “Iraq Quds Force, is similar to one established by model” in Syria in the future. the Iranians near the town of al-Kiswah, 15km southwest of Damascus, which was reportedly The sheer number of moving pieces in Syria targeted by Israeli fighter jets last December. – the regime heading south, Iran seeking to establish military bases, Israel becoming more This news followed a feature in the New York active in preventing the establishment of Shia Times which argued that Iran was “redrawing militias and Russia looking to maintain its the strategic map of the region” and that dozens dominance – are creating a combustible situation of bases in Syria were being operated by Iran with high potential for miscalculation, error and and its Shia militia network. -
Syrian Armed Opposition Powerbrokers
March 2016 Jennifer Cafarella and Genevieve Casagrande MIDDLE EAST SECURITY REPORT 29 SYRIAN ARMED OPPOSITION POWERBROKERS Cover: A rebel fighter of the Southern Front of the Free Syrian Army gestures while standing with his fellow fighter near their weapons at the front line in the north-west countryside of Deraa March 3, 2015. Syrian government forces have taken control of villages in southern Syria, state media said on Saturday, part of a campaign they started this month against insurgents posing one of the biggest remaining threats to Damascus. Picture taken March 3, 2015. REUTERS/Stringer All rights reserved. Printed in the United States of America. No part of this publication may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, including photocopy, recording, or any information storage or retrieval system, without permission in writing from the publisher. ©2016 by the Institute for the Study of War. Published in 2016 in the United States of America by the Institute for the Study of War. 1400 16th Street NW, Suite 515 | Washington, DC 20036 www.understandingwar.org Jennifer Cafarella and Genevieve Casagrande MIDDLE EAST SECURITY REPORT 29 SYRIAN ARMED OPPOSITION POWERBROKERS ABOUT THE AUTHORS Jennifer Cafarella is the Evans Hanson Fellow at the Institute for the Study of War where she focuses on the Syrian Civil War and opposition groups. Her research focuses particularly on the al Qaeda affiliate Jabhat al Nusra and their military capabilities, modes of governance, and long-term strategic vision. She is the author of Likely Courses of Action in the Syrian Civil War: June-December 2015, and Jabhat al-Nusra in Syria: An Islamic Emirate for al-Qaeda. -
The Formation of Hay'at Tahrir Al-Sham in اﺳم اﻟﻣوﺿوع : Syria: Motives and Goals the Formation of Hay'at Tahri
The Formation of Hay¶at Tahrir al-Sham in : ωϭοϭϣϟϡγ Syria: Motives and Goals The Formation of Hay¶at Tahrir al-Sham in : ωϭοϭϣϟϥϭϧϋ Syria: Motives and Goals 23/02/2017 : έηϧϟΦϳέΎΗ ΔϣΩϘΗϣϟΕΎγέΩϟϭΙΎΣΑϸϟϝΑϘΗγϣϟίϛέϣ : ΏΗΎϛϟϡγ : ωϭοϭϣϟ 9/29/2021 1:10:18 PM 1 / 2 The establishment of Hay¶at Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), or the µOrganization for the Liberation of the Levant¶on January 28, 2017, constituted a significant transformation in the position of Jabhat Fateh al-Sham (JFS), formerly known as Jabhat al-Nusra (al-Nusra Front). JFS succeeded in forming a merger of a number of small-armed factions into HTS, due to political and military developments. Such developments include the Astana conference, which took place on January 23 and 24 of this year between the Assad regime and various factions of the Syrian opposition. Other developments include the escalating and widening conflict between JFS and other armed factions, such as the Islamic State-affiliated Jund al-Aqsa. In addition, there is an increasing armed confrontation between HTS and the militant group Ahrar al-Sham. The conflict became evident when HTS sought to take over positions, previously controlled by Ahrar al-Sham in Darat Izza, only five days after Ahrar al-Sham had established itself in these locations. However, HTS eventually withdrew from these positions after intermediaries between the two parties intervened. A New CoalitionIn addition to Jabhat Fateh al-Sham, the coalition, which makes up Hay¶at Tahrir al-Sham, includes the Nour al-Din al- Zenki Movement, which is active in Aleppo, Liwa al-Haqq in Aleppo, Idlib and Hama, the Ansar al-Din Front, and Jaysh al-Sunna in Homs. -
Iran's Networks of Influence in the Middle East
an strategic dossier IRAN’S NETWORKS OF INFLUENCE IN THE MIDDLE EAST published by The International Institute for Strategic Studies ARUNDEL HOUSE | 6 TEMPLE PLACE | LONDON | WC2R 2PG | UK 1 an strategic dossier IRAN’S NETWORKS OF INFLUENCE IN THE MIDDLE EAST The International Institute for Strategic Studies ARUNDEL HOUSE | 6 TEMPLE PLACE | LONDON | WC2R 2PG | UK DIRECTOR-GENERAL AND CHIEF EXECUTIVE Dr John Chipman This publication has been prepared by the Director-General and Chief Executive of the Institute and his staff. It incorporates commissioned contributions from recognised subject experts, which were reviewed by a range of experts in the field. The IISS would like to thank the various individuals who contributed their expertise to the compilation of this dossier. The responsibility for the contents is ours alone. The views expressed herein do not, and indeed cannot, represent a consensus of views among the worldwide membership of the Institute as a whole. First published November 2019 by the International Institute for Strategic Studies. © 2019 The International Institute for Strategic Studies cover images: Top: Background: A Lebanese Hizbullah fighter near Arsal, Lebanon, 26 July 2017 (Anwar Amro/AFP/ Getty Images); main images, top–bottom: Popular Mobilisation Units fighters launch missiles targeting the village of Salmani, south of Mosul, in Iraq’s Nineva province, 30 October 2016 (Ahmad Al-Rubaye/AFP/Getty Images); Major- General Qasem Soleimani, commander of Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) attends a meeting between Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei (not pictured) and the IRGC in Tehran, 18 September 2016 (by Pool/Press Office of Iranian Supreme Leader/Anadolu Agency/Getty Images); Pro-government forces at a funeral ceremony at the Sayyida Zainab mosque in Damascus, Syria, 26 April 2017 (Louai Beshara/AFP/Getty Images) Printed and bound in the UK by Hobbs the Printers Ltd. -
H. R. 4591, with an Amendment
G:\M\15\SUSPENSION\H4591_SUS.XML Suspend the Rules and Pass the Bill, H. R. 4591, With an Amendment (The amendment strikes all after the enacting clause and inserts a new text) 115TH CONGRESS 2D SESSION H. R. 4591 To impose sanctions with respect to Iranian persons that threaten the peace or stability of Iraq or the Government of Iraq. IN THE HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES DECEMBER 7, 2017 Mr. KINZINGER (for himself, Mr. SUOZZI, Mrs. WAGNER, Mr. DIAZ-BALART, Mr. NUNES, Mr. WEBER of Texas, Mr. ZELDIN, Mr. OLSON, Mr. HUN- TER, Mr. KING of New York, Mr. GALLAGHER, Mr. RUSSELL, Mr. THOMPSON of Pennsylvania, Ms. STEFANIK, and Mr. GOTTHEIMER) in- troduced the following bill; which was referred to the Committee on For- eign Affairs, and in addition to the Committee on the Judiciary, for a period to be subsequently determined by the Speaker, in each case for consideration of such provisions as fall within the jurisdiction of the com- mittee concerned A BILL To impose sanctions with respect to Iranian persons that threaten the peace or stability of Iraq or the Government of Iraq. 1 Be it enacted by the Senate and House of Representa- 2 tives of the United States of America in Congress assembled, G:\VHLC\110218\110218.011.xml (707041|3) November 2, 2018 (10:52 a.m.) VerDate Nov 24 2008 10:52 Nov 02, 2018 Jkt 000000 PO 00000 Frm 00001 Fmt 6652 Sfmt 6201 C:\USERS\MAECKS~1\APPDATA\ROAMING\SOFTQUAD\XMETAL\7.0\GEN\C\H4591_~1.X G:\M\15\SUSPENSION\H4591_SUS.XML 2 1 SECTION 1. -
Iran Primer – July 2019
Iran Primer – July 2019 Iran: A Basic Primer Presented by Vern Liebl Prepared by the Center for Advanced Operational Culture Learning, MCU – 2019 Military Threat …to Who? 2 Perspectives are Important Shi’a Populations Iran: 90-95% Iraq: 65% Bahrain: 65% Lebanon*: 35% Yemen: 35-40% Regional KSA: 20% Shi’a Syria*: 10-15% populations *Disputed An Iranian view of surrounding U.S. military bases showing who is the “true” threat 3 Traditional Current U.S. Expert “Views” on Iran • Iran is a Revolutionary state, has been such since 1979 and will likely remain so probably for decades into the 21st century (the 2009 Green Movement was crushed) • Iran is a theocracy, believes that what they are doing is ‘Allah’s will’ o Is why the U.S. is called the ‘Great Satan’ by the mullahs o This theocratic underpinning imbues the regime with immense strength • Taken together, Iran wants no part of the current ‘secular’ world order, remains revolutionary and intent on changing that order to one of an Islamic Imamate in which leadership of all Muslims will be by Velayat al-Faqih with a Shi’a in the lead • Iran is in a desperate war with the U.S. (aka the Great Satan) as the major roadblock to Iranian aspirations • Exporting of the Revolution abroad is to primarily Shi’a populations with some allied Sunni enclaves/groups heavily dependent on Iranian funding • Any U.S. strikes on the Iranian homeland (Persia) is not the opening for a broader war but just an intensification of the current one • Iran is not shy to bring the war to America nor to act against global U.S. -
Middle East Security Report 29
March 2016 Jennifer Cafarella and Genevieve Casagrande MIDDLE EAST SECURITY REPORT 29 SYRIAN ARMED OPPOSITION POWERBROKERS Cover: A rebel fighter of the Southern Front of the Free Syrian Army gestures while standing with his fellow fighter near their weapons at the front line in the north-west countryside of Deraa March 3, 2015. Syrian government forces have taken control of villages in southern Syria, state media said on Saturday, part of a campaign they started this month against insurgents posing one of the biggest remaining threats to Damascus. Picture taken March 3, 2015. REUTERS/Stringer All rights reserved. Printed in the United States of America. No part of this publication may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, including photocopy, recording, or any information storage or retrieval system, without permission in writing from the publisher. ©2016 by the Institute for the Study of War. Published in 2016 in the United States of America by the Institute for the Study of War. 1400 16th Street NW, Suite 515 | Washington, DC 20036 www.understandingwar.org Jennifer Cafarella and Genevieve Casagrande MIDDLE EAST SECURITY REPORT 29 SYRIAN ARMED OPPOSITION POWERBROKERS ABOUT THE AUTHORS Jennifer Cafarella is the Evans Hanson Fellow at the Institute for the Study of War where she focuses on the Syrian Civil War and opposition groups. Her research focuses particularly on the al Qaeda affiliate Jabhat al Nusra and their military capabilities, modes of governance, and long-term strategic vision. She is the author of Likely Courses of Action in the Syrian Civil War: June-December 2015, and Jabhat al-Nusra in Syria: An Islamic Emirate for al-Qaeda. -
WEEKLY CONFLICT SUMMARY | 27 April - 3 May 2020
WEEKLY CONFLICT SUMMARY | 27 April - 3 May 2020 SYRIA SUMMARY • NORTHWEST| Hayyat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) faced protests after opening a controversial commercial crossing with Government of Syria (GoS). A fuel tanker explosion in Afrin killed 53 people. Infighting between Turkish- backed armed opposition groups escalated in Jarabulus, Aleppo Governorate. • SOUTH & CENTRAL | Clashes between As-Sweida and Dara’a militias continued. Attacks against GoS personnel and positions continued in Dara’a Governorate. Israel attacked pro-Iranian militias and GoS positions across southern Syria. ISIS killed several GoS armed forces personnel. • NORTHEAST | ISIS prisoners attempted to escape Ghoweran jail in Al- Hassakah Governorate. Violence against civilians continued across northeast Syria. Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) faced increased attacks from unidentified gunmen and Turkish armed forces. Coalition forces carried out their first airstrikes since 11 March. Figure 1: Dominant actors’ area of control and influence in Syria as of 3 May 2020. NSOAG stands for Non-state Organized Armed Groups. Also, please see the footnote on page 2. Page 1 of 6 WEEKLY CONFLICT SUMMARY | 27 April – 3 May 2020 NORTHWEST SYRIA1 After announcing plans to open a commercial crossing with GoS territory, protests erupted against HTS (see figure 2). Civilians protested the crossing over fears of normalization with GoS and of spreading COVID-19. On 30 April, Maaret al Naasan (Idlib Governorate) residents protested at the crossing and blocked commercial trucks attempting to cross into GoS areas. HTS violently dispersed the protests, killing one. Following the protests, HTS brought reinforcements to Maaret al Naasan. The same day, HTS announced that it had suspended the opening of the commercial crossing.2 On 1 May, protests continued against HTS across Idlib and Aleppo Governorates in 10 locations.3 Smaller protests were recorded in 2 May in Kafr Takharim and Ariha in Idlib Governorate. -
WEEKLY CONFLICT SUMMARY | 30 March - 5 April 2020
WEEKLY CONFLICT SUMMARY | 30 March - 5 April 2020 SYRIA SUMMARY • NORTHWEST | Levels of Conflict in northwest Syria remained elevated for the second consecutive week, as Turkish military personnel and equipment continued to arrive to Idleb. Inside the Turkish-held areas of northern Aleppo Governorate, opposition armed groups continued their looting and extortion activity against civilians. An attack against an opposition affiliated National Police Officer highlighted the growing number of attacks against the entity in the previous month. • SOUTH & CENTRAL | Tensions over kidnapping and clashes continue between communal militias Dara’a and As-Sweida. Government of Syria (GoS)-aligned personal faced continuing attacks in Daraa Governorate. • NORTHEAST | Shelling exchanges around Turkish-held Operation Peace Spring areas increased, while Turkish-backed opposition armed groups and the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) clashed on the ground. Jailed ISIS members staged a riot to escape a prison in Hassakah. ISIS also attacked SDF and pro-Iran forces in Deir-ez-Zor. Members of the Asayish (Kurdish Intelligence) and National Defense Forces (NDF) exchanged fire in Qamishli City. Figure 1: Dominant actors’ area of control and influence in Syria as of 5 April 2020. NSOAG stands for Non-state Organized Armed Groups. Also, please see the footnote on page 2. Page 1 of 5 WEEKLY CONFLICT SUMMARY | 30 March – 5 April 2020 NORTHWEST SYRIA1 For a second consecutive week, there were elevated levels of conflict activity in the northwest of Syria. The Government of Syria (GoS) shelled 14 locations, 26 times2 during the week, compared to 22 locations targeted 36 times by shelling and small arms fire the previous week. -
Of 6 WEEKLY CONFLICT SUMMARY 4 – 10 NOVEMBER 2019
WEEKLY CONFLICT SUMMARY | 4 - 10 NOVEMBER 2019 WHOLE OF SYRIA SUMMARY • NORTHWEST | Government of Syria (GoS) aerial activity increased in the Hayyat Tahrir ash Sham (HTS)-dominated northwest this week. Inside the de-escalation zone, 14 civilian demonstrations were held in reaction to HTS action in Kahr Takharim. In the Turkish-occupied areas of Aleppo Governorate, elevated levels of conflict continued, and local armed groups continued extortion and looting activities. • SOUTH & CENTRAL | ISIS-linked activity continued in southern Syria this week in addition to attacks against GoS-aligned personnel and former opposition members. Two improvised explosive devices (IED) struck the Damascus area, and two GoS-aligned personnel were assassinated in western Homs Governorate. • NORTHEAST | Advances from Turkish-led Operation Peace Spring slowed in the northeast of Syria this week. However, Turkish-backed Syrian opposition groups looted civilian property in newly seized areas. US and Russian military patrols continued in the northeast. Figure 1: Dominant actors’ areas of control and influence in Syria as of 10 November 2019. NSOAG stands for Non-state Organized Armed Groups. Also, please see the footnote on page 2. Page 1 of 6 WEEKLY CONFLICT SUMMARY 4 – 10 NOVEMBER 2019 NORTHWEST SYRIA1 GoS/Russian airstrikes increased in the Hayyat Tahrir al Sham (HTS)-dominated northwest with 124 events recorded in comparison to 50 events in the previous week. This is the first time the number of airstrikes have exceeded the incidents of shelling since late August. GoS continued shelling the de-escalation zone, with 103 events recorded (Figure 2). Nearly 65% (143) of GoS aerial and shelling this week focused on just seven sub-districts.2 The US State Department condemned the escalation in activity in a statement on 8 November, which also documented the impact on a school and hospital.3 Figure 2: GoS aerial activity (Blue) and shelling (Red) in Northwest Syria since August 2019. -
Weekly Conflict Summary | 23 - 29 March 2020
WEEKLY CONFLICT SUMMARY | 23 - 29 MARCH 2020 SYRIA SUMMARY • NORTHWEST | Conflict activity increased between the Government of Syria and the Hayyat Tahrir al Sham (HTS) dominated opposition in the northwest this week. Turkish military re-enforcements arrived in Idleb, conducting additional patrols along the M4 highway. Inside Turkish backed Operation Euphrates Shield areas, clashes between opposition armed groups increased. • SOUTH & CENTRAL | Attacks against Government of Syria (GoS)-aligned personnel continued in Daraa Governorate, also spreading to Rural Damascus Governorate. Clashes between armed groups in As-Sweida resulted in a high number of casualties. • NORTHEAST | Shelling exchanges around Turkish-backed Operation Peace Spring areas continued, with opposition armed groups fighting each other. Also, attacks against Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) personnel in northeast Syria continued, affecting civilians. SDF implemented a curfew in northeast Syria in response to the Covid-19 pandemic. Figure 1: Dominant actors’ area of control and influence in Syria as of 29 March 2020. NSOAG stands for Non-state Organized Armed Groups. Also, please see the footnote on page 2. Page 1 of 4 WEEKLY CONFLICT SUMMARY | 23 – 29 March 2020 NORTHWEST SYRIA1 Conflict activity increased this week after two weeks of reduced fighting since the implementation of 5 March Turkish/Russian ceasefire. The Government of Syria (GoS) shelled 21 locations 33 times2 during the week according to ACLED. This included one event where a Turkish observation post in Najiyeh village came under shelling. Opposition groups shelled GoS held Saraqeb and Kafr Nobel three times this week. There were only nine shelling exchanges between the sides during the previous reporting week. -
Idlib and Its Environs Narrowing Prospects for a Rebel Holdout REUTERS/KHALIL ASHAWI REUTERS/KHALIL
THE WASHINGTON INSTITUTE FOR NEAR EAST POLICY ■ FEBRUARY 2020 ■ PN75 Idlib and Its Environs Narrowing Prospects for a Rebel Holdout REUTERS/KHALIL ASHAWI REUTERS/KHALIL By Aymenn Jawad Al-Tamimi Greater Idlib and its immediate surroundings in northwest Syria—consisting of rural northern Latakia, north- western Hama, and western Aleppo—stand out as the last segment of the country held by independent groups. These groups are primarily jihadist, Islamist, and Salafi in orientation. Other areas have returned to Syrian government control, are held by the Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF), or are held by insurgent groups that are entirely constrained by their foreign backers; that is, these backers effectively make decisions for the insurgents. As for insurgents in this third category, the two zones of particular interest are (1) the al-Tanf pocket, held by the U.S.-backed Jaish Maghaweer al-Thawra, and (2) the areas along the northern border with Turkey, from Afrin in the west to Tal Abyad and Ras al-Ain in the east, controlled by “Syrian © 2020 THE WASHINGTON INSTITUTE FOR NEAR EAST POLICY. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. AYMENN JAWAD AL-TAMIMI National Army” (SNA) factions that are backed by in Idlib province that remained outside insurgent control Turkey and cannot act without its approval. were the isolated Shia villages of al-Fua and Kafarya, This paper considers the development of Idlib and whose local fighters were bolstered by a small presence its environs into Syria’s last independent center for insur- of Lebanese Hezbollah personnel serving in a training gents, beginning with the province’s near-full takeover by and advisory capacity.3 the Jaish al-Fatah alliance in spring 2015 and concluding Charles Lister has pointed out that the insurgent suc- at the end of 2019, by which time Jaish al-Fatah had cesses in Idlib involved coordination among the various long ceased to exist and the jihadist group Hayat Tahrir rebel factions in the northwest.