Regional Report for Central Asia

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Regional Report for Central Asia COUNCIL OF Brussels, 18 June 2008 THE EUROPEAN UNION 10843/08 CORDROGUE 44 ASIE 66 NOTE from : Italian regional chair for Central Asia to : Dublin Group Subject : Regional report for Central Asia Delegations will find enclosed in annex the Dublin Group report for Central Asia. ____________________________ 10843/08 ZH/tas 1 DG H 3A EN ANNEX CENTRAL DUBLIN GROUP MEETING - BRUSSELS, 27 JUNE 2008 DUBLIN GROUP REPORT FOR CENTRAL ASIA June 2008 PREPARED BY THE ITALIAN MINISTRY OF FOREIGN AFFAIRS 1. Progress of work in the Mini Dublin Groups The following report, prepared by Italy as regional Chair for the Central Asian Countries, is based on information provided by the Mini Dublin Groups established in the region as well as UNODC sources. Partners are thanked for their valuable contribution to the work of the local Mini Dublin Groups. Overview of the regional situation The main trends in the region continue to indicate a high level of narcotics trafficking. According to the most current UNODC estimates (2008), about 21% of all Afghan heroin/morphine transited Central Asia (as well as 15% of the overall Afghan opiates production). This high level of trafficking contributes to the crime situation in the region and leads to an increase in drug addiction locally (it is generally estimated that 25% of the total amount of opium and heroin stays in the transit Countries for domestic consumption, while the remaining 75% is smuggled onward to Russia and Europe). Intravenous drug use associated with opiate addiction appears also to have contributed to the increase in the number in HIV/AIDS cases in the region. The so called “Northern route” for drug smuggling appears thus of persistent importance and Central Asia remains a key transit area, along with the other routes through Iran and Pakistan. According to UNODC statistics, which are in turn based on official Central Asian government figures, the total amount of opiates seized in the region in 2007 rose slightly to 9,473 kg from 9,392 kg in 2006. 10843/08 ZH/tas 2 ANNEX DG H 3A EN The slight increase in recorded total drug seizures in 2007 appears to indicate an ongoing trend in trafficking. Tajikistan continues to show the highest level of combined heroin/opium seizures, although the overall numbers are lower than in the period 2001-2004, a phenomenon which some observers continue to attribute in part to the withdrawal of Russian Border troops from the Afghani-Tajik border in 2005. Heroin Seizures 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 KAZAKHSTAN 136,79 167,69 707,01 457,69 625,65 554,6 522 KYRGYZSTAN 170,90 271,25 104,06 207,60 202,57 260,75 431 TAJIKISTAN 4,239 3,958 5,600 4,794 2,344 2,097 1,549 UZBEKISTAN 446,60 256,30 336,40 591,80 466,80 537,24 480 TURKMENISTAN 131 400 80,5 266 180 201 325 Total (all figures in kg) 5,124 5,553 6,828 6,317 3,819 3,651 3,307 Opium Seizures 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 KAZAKHSTAN 36,23 13,57 192,52 352,81 668,85 636,8 335 KYRGYZSTAN 469,22 109,29 45,68 317,46 116,46 302,29 270 TAJIKISTAN 3,664 1,624 2,371 2,310 1,104 1,386 2,546 UZBEKISTAN 241,70 76,00 151,20 384,70 107,66 759,3 731 TURKMENISTAN 267 1,200 138 665,5 748 2,655 2,284 Total (all figures in kg) 4,678 3,022 2,898 4,031 2,745 5,740 6,166 Total figures for the region show a small decrease in heroin seizures (from 3651 kg in 2006 to 3307 in 2007), thus confirming a declining trend since 2004. The overall decrease was mainly due to data from Tajikistan ( –26,1%, from 2097 kg to 1549 kg), while relatively large increases took place in Kyrgyzstan (+65,7%, from 260 kg to 431 kg) and Turkmenistan (+61,7%, from 201 kg to 325 kg). On the other side, opium seizures slightly increased (from 5740 kg in 2006 to 6166 in 2007). The most notable growth was in Tajikistan (from 1386 kg to kg 2546), while all the other countries registered some decline, with Kazakhstan showing the most decrease (-47,3%, from 636 kg to 335 kg). 10843/08 ZH/tas 3 ANNEX DG H 3A EN Despite the slight total decrease in heroin seizures (whose reasons are not clear, mainly because of poor investigation techniques in the area) figures continue to confirm the trend of widespread ongoing illegal laboratory production in Afghanistan. According to the UNODC Afghanistan 2008 Report, 58% of the opium grown in Afghanistan is converted to heroin or morphine locally before being exported (an equivalent of 666 metric tons in 2007). UNODC reports that all the heroin trafficked along the northern route is believed to have been processed in northern Afghanistan. One of the provinces where a substantial number of illegal laboratories in Afghanistan are located is Badakshan (14 labs, according to the Report) in the Northern border region with Tajikistan. These developments suggest that countering the smuggling of precursors is an important area for Governments in the region and donors to focus aggressively on. This continues to be one of the greatest challenges cited by the Mini Dublin Groups in the area. It is worth noting that, with the exception of the recent seizure of 1.6 tons of acetic acid in Uzbekistan under operation Tarcet, the last recorded seizures of precursors in Central Asia occurred in 2000 (in Turkmenistan). Since Uzbekistan is the only producer in the region of acetic anhydride (the main precursor for heroin), it seems reasonable to suppose that illicit shipments transiting from Central Asia to Afghanistan come from other areas. This appears to be confirmed by the November 2007 seizure of 10 tons of acetic anhydride in the Russian region of Nijniy Novgorod that were in route to Afghanistan through Tajikistan (the dismantled organisation was planning to send an additional 300 tons of acetic anhydride). Some sources point also to the borders of China to Tajikistan, Kyrgyzstan and Kazakhstan as the most vulnerable, thus deserving a specific attention. Others cite Turkmenistan as a significant transit area for precursors destined for Afghanistan, although (as anticipated) there were no reports of precursor seizures there in 2007. 10843/08 ZH/tas 4 ANNEX DG H 3A EN On the other hand, during the Paris Pact expert level Round Table on precursors used in the manufacturing of heroin (Vienna, 29-30 May 2007) it was observed that most of acetic anhydride reaching Afghanistan probably enters the Country through the Pakistani border. The subsequent seizure early in 2008 under Operation Tarcet of 14 tons of acetic anhydride in Karachi, Pakistan, supports this assessment. At a regional level, porous borders (three of the Central Asian Countries share a common border with Afghanistan for 2,300 kilometres and the large number of road and railway links make anti- trafficking measures difficult) continue to require focussed attention. Inadequate training and scarcity of modern equipment for law enforcement agencies, high levels of corruption, insufficient regional and national co-ordination in anti-drug activities should also be addressed. Governments of the region and donors have dedicated significant resources to these problems on both the regional and national level. While some progress has been achieved in most of the above-mentioned areas, further efforts are still needed, particularly in view of the continuing challenge posed by Afghan opium and heroin production. Persistent economic difficulties combined with political tensions contribute to complicate an already daunting problem. As noted in previous reports, the greater availability of drugs (especially opium and heroin of Afghan origin, but also cannabis) remains a key contributor to the increase in the abuse of narcotics in the region. There is a prevalence of drug injection among abusers, which in turn, has contributed to an alarming growth of HIV/AIDS cases. According to most observers, the following statistics pertaining only to registered cases significantly underestimate the magnitude of the problem. Some sources suggest that, depending on the country under consideration, the real number of drug addicts might be 3 to 10 times greater. The official figures, nevertheless, show a clearly growing trend, especially of HIV cases, with an increase of more than 3000 cases only in Uzbekistan from 2006 to 2007. 10843/08 ZH/tas 5 ANNEX DG H 3A EN Total number of registered drug addicts 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 KAZAKHSTAN 45505 47241 47924 47903 54397 54411 55286 KYRGYZSTAN 5043 5591 6350 7074 7290 7842 8464 TAJIKISTAN 6243 6840 6799 7275 7576 7810 8607 UZBEKISTAN 18087 18956 19088 19551 19574 19654 21465 TURKMENISTAN 31161 37115 39815 34231 34906 33697 33361 (first six months) Drug addicts per 100.000 inhabitants 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 KAZAKHSTAN 305 316 319 317 352 355 358 KYRGYZSTAN 100 110 123 136 138 149 159 TAJIKISTAN 100 109 107 113 116 118 128 UZBEKISTAN 72 74 74 75 74 74 78 Injecting drug users (% of overall drug addicts) 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 KAZAKHSTAN 77% 81% n/a KYRGYZSTAN 69% 62% 69% 75% 73% 69,5% 63,6% TAJIKISTAN 36% 49% 70,5% 60,1% 61,8% UZBEKISTAN 44% 45% 40% 39% 47,9% 46,4% 42,6% TURKMENISTAN 24,5% 25,4% 29,2% 24,5% 25,3% 25,5% 25,7% (first six months) Drug Addict women (% of overall drug addicts) 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 KAZAKHSTAN 9,7% 9,9% 9,8% 10% 10% 8,8% 8.6% KYRGYZSTAN 6,6% 6,8% 6,9% 6,7% 6,6% 6,7% 6,7% TAJIKISTAN 5,3% 4,7% 4,1% 4,5% 6,4% 4,5% 4,9% UZBEKISTAN 6,3% 5,9% 5,9% 5,6% 5,4% 5,2% 5,2% TURKMENISTAN 4,3% 3,9% 4,0% 3,9% 4,3% 4,4% 4,5% HIV cases 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 KAZAKHSTAN 2522 3257 4003 4702 5440 7402 9378 KYRGYZSTAN 202 362 494 655 826 970 1479 TAJIKISTAN 45 77 119 317 506 710 1049 UZBEKISTAN 779 1760 3596 5612 7810 10015 13184 10843/08 ZH/tas 6 ANNEX DG H 3A EN While actual production remains limited, a potential for wider production of drugs in the region exists: cannabis grows wild in several Central Asian countries and small-scale cultivation of opium takes place in some confined areas.
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