A Class of Stochastic Partial Differential Equations for Interacting Superprocesses on a Bounded Domain 1 Introduction
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Numerical Solution of Jump-Diffusion LIBOR Market Models
Finance Stochast. 7, 1–27 (2003) c Springer-Verlag 2003 Numerical solution of jump-diffusion LIBOR market models Paul Glasserman1, Nicolas Merener2 1 403 Uris Hall, Graduate School of Business, Columbia University, New York, NY 10027, USA (e-mail: [email protected]) 2 Department of Applied Physics and Applied Mathematics, Columbia University, New York, NY 10027, USA (e-mail: [email protected]) Abstract. This paper develops, analyzes, and tests computational procedures for the numerical solution of LIBOR market models with jumps. We consider, in par- ticular, a class of models in which jumps are driven by marked point processes with intensities that depend on the LIBOR rates themselves. While this formulation of- fers some attractive modeling features, it presents a challenge for computational work. As a first step, we therefore show how to reformulate a term structure model driven by marked point processes with suitably bounded state-dependent intensities into one driven by a Poisson random measure. This facilitates the development of discretization schemes because the Poisson random measure can be simulated with- out discretization error. Jumps in LIBOR rates are then thinned from the Poisson random measure using state-dependent thinning probabilities. Because of discon- tinuities inherent to the thinning process, this procedure falls outside the scope of existing convergence results; we provide some theoretical support for our method through a result establishing first and second order convergence of schemes that accommodates thinning but imposes stronger conditions on other problem data. The bias and computational efficiency of various schemes are compared through numerical experiments. Key words: Interest rate models, Monte Carlo simulation, market models, marked point processes JEL Classification: G13, E43 Mathematics Subject Classification (1991): 60G55, 60J75, 65C05, 90A09 The authors thank Professor Steve Kou for helpful comments and discussions. -
Poisson Representations of Branching Markov and Measure-Valued
The Annals of Probability 2011, Vol. 39, No. 3, 939–984 DOI: 10.1214/10-AOP574 c Institute of Mathematical Statistics, 2011 POISSON REPRESENTATIONS OF BRANCHING MARKOV AND MEASURE-VALUED BRANCHING PROCESSES By Thomas G. Kurtz1 and Eliane R. Rodrigues2 University of Wisconsin, Madison and UNAM Representations of branching Markov processes and their measure- valued limits in terms of countable systems of particles are con- structed for models with spatially varying birth and death rates. Each particle has a location and a “level,” but unlike earlier con- structions, the levels change with time. In fact, death of a particle occurs only when the level of the particle crosses a specified level r, or for the limiting models, hits infinity. For branching Markov pro- cesses, at each time t, conditioned on the state of the process, the levels are independent and uniformly distributed on [0,r]. For the limiting measure-valued process, at each time t, the joint distribu- tion of locations and levels is conditionally Poisson distributed with mean measure K(t) × Λ, where Λ denotes Lebesgue measure, and K is the desired measure-valued process. The representation simplifies or gives alternative proofs for a vari- ety of calculations and results including conditioning on extinction or nonextinction, Harris’s convergence theorem for supercritical branch- ing processes, and diffusion approximations for processes in random environments. 1. Introduction. Measure-valued processes arise naturally as infinite sys- tem limits of empirical measures of finite particle systems. A number of ap- proaches have been developed which preserve distinct particles in the limit and which give a representation of the measure-valued process as a transfor- mation of the limiting infinite particle system. -
CONFORMAL INVARIANCE and 2 D STATISTICAL PHYSICS −
CONFORMAL INVARIANCE AND 2 d STATISTICAL PHYSICS − GREGORY F. LAWLER Abstract. A number of two-dimensional models in statistical physics are con- jectured to have scaling limits at criticality that are in some sense conformally invariant. In the last ten years, the rigorous understanding of such limits has increased significantly. I give an introduction to the models and one of the major new mathematical structures, the Schramm-Loewner Evolution (SLE). 1. Critical Phenomena Critical phenomena in statistical physics refers to the study of systems at or near the point at which a phase transition occurs. There are many models of such phenomena. We will discuss some discrete equilibrium models that are defined on a lattice. These are measures on paths or configurations where configurations are weighted by their energy with a preference for paths of smaller energy. These measures depend on at leastE one parameter. A standard parameter in physics β = c/T where c is a fixed constant, T stands for temperature and the measure given to a configuration is e−βE . Phase transitions occur at critical values of the temperature corresponding to, e.g., the transition from a gaseous to liquid state. We use β for the parameter although for understanding the literature it is useful to know that large values of β correspond to “low temperature” and small values of β correspond to “high temperature”. Small β (high temperature) systems have weaker correlations than large β (low temperature) systems. In a number of models, there is a critical βc such that qualitatively the system has three regimes β<βc (high temperature), β = βc (critical) and β>βc (low temperature). -
Superprocesses and Mckean-Vlasov Equations with Creation of Mass
Sup erpro cesses and McKean-Vlasov equations with creation of mass L. Overb eck Department of Statistics, University of California, Berkeley, 367, Evans Hall Berkeley, CA 94720, y U.S.A. Abstract Weak solutions of McKean-Vlasov equations with creation of mass are given in terms of sup erpro cesses. The solutions can b e approxi- mated by a sequence of non-interacting sup erpro cesses or by the mean- eld of multityp e sup erpro cesses with mean- eld interaction. The lat- ter approximation is asso ciated with a propagation of chaos statement for weakly interacting multityp e sup erpro cesses. Running title: Sup erpro cesses and McKean-Vlasov equations . 1 Intro duction Sup erpro cesses are useful in solving nonlinear partial di erential equation of 1+ the typ e f = f , 2 0; 1], cf. [Dy]. Wenowchange the p oint of view and showhowtheyprovide sto chastic solutions of nonlinear partial di erential Supp orted byanFellowship of the Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft. y On leave from the Universitat Bonn, Institut fur Angewandte Mathematik, Wegelerstr. 6, 53115 Bonn, Germany. 1 equation of McKean-Vlasovtyp e, i.e. wewant to nd weak solutions of d d 2 X X @ @ @ + d x; + bx; : 1.1 = a x; t i t t t t t ij t @t @x @x @x i j i i=1 i;j =1 d Aweak solution = 2 C [0;T];MIR satis es s Z 2 t X X @ @ a f = f + f + d f + b f ds: s ij s t 0 i s s @x @x @x 0 i j i Equation 1.1 generalizes McKean-Vlasov equations of twodi erenttyp es. -
Birth and Death Process in Mean Field Type Interaction
BIRTH AND DEATH PROCESS IN MEAN FIELD TYPE INTERACTION MARIE-NOÉMIE THAI ABSTRACT. Theaim ofthispaperis to study theasymptoticbehaviorofa system of birth and death processes in mean field type interaction in discrete space. We first establish the exponential convergence of the particle system to equilibrium for a suitable Wasserstein coupling distance. The approach provides an explicit quantitative estimate on the rate of convergence. We prove next a uniform propagation of chaos property. As a consequence, we show that the limit of the associated empirical distribution, which is the solution of a nonlinear differential equation, converges exponentially fast to equilibrium. This paper can be seen as a discrete version of the particle approximation of the McKean-Vlasov equations and is inspired from previous works of Malrieu and al and Caputo, Dai Pra and Posta. AMS 2000 Mathematical Subject Classification: 60K35, 60K25, 60J27, 60B10, 37A25. Keywords: Interacting particle system - mean field - coupling - Wasserstein distance - propagation of chaos. CONTENTS 1. Introduction 1 Long time behavior of the particle system 4 Propagation of chaos 5 Longtimebehaviorofthenonlinearprocess 7 2. Proof of Theorem1.1 7 3. Proof of Theorem1.2 12 4. Proof of Theorem1.5 15 5. Appendix 16 References 18 1. INTRODUCTION The concept of mean field interaction arised in statistical physics with Kac [17] and then arXiv:1510.03238v1 [math.PR] 12 Oct 2015 McKean [21] in order to describe the collisions between particles in a gas, and has later been applied in other areas such as biology or communication networks. A particle system is in mean field interaction when the system acts over one fixed particle through the em- pirical measure of the system. -
A Stochastic Processes and Martingales
A Stochastic Processes and Martingales A.1 Stochastic Processes Let I be either IINorIR+.Astochastic process on I with state space E is a family of E-valued random variables X = {Xt : t ∈ I}. We only consider examples where E is a Polish space. Suppose for the moment that I =IR+. A stochastic process is called cadlag if its paths t → Xt are right-continuous (a.s.) and its left limits exist at all points. In this book we assume that every stochastic process is cadlag. We say a process is continuous if its paths are continuous. The above conditions are meant to hold with probability 1 and not to hold pathwise. A.2 Filtration and Stopping Times The information available at time t is expressed by a σ-subalgebra Ft ⊂F.An {F ∈ } increasing family of σ-algebras t : t I is called a filtration.IfI =IR+, F F F we call a filtration right-continuous if t+ := s>t s = t. If not stated otherwise, we assume that all filtrations in this book are right-continuous. In many books it is also assumed that the filtration is complete, i.e., F0 contains all IIP-null sets. We do not assume this here because we want to be able to change the measure in Chapter 4. Because the changed measure and IIP will be singular, it would not be possible to extend the new measure to the whole σ-algebra F. A stochastic process X is called Ft-adapted if Xt is Ft-measurable for all t. If it is clear which filtration is used, we just call the process adapted.The {F X } natural filtration t is the smallest right-continuous filtration such that X is adapted. -
MERTON JUMP-DIFFUSION MODEL VERSUS the BLACK and SCHOLES APPROACH for the LOG-RETURNS and VOLATILITY SMILE FITTING Nicola Gugole
International Journal of Pure and Applied Mathematics Volume 109 No. 3 2016, 719-736 ISSN: 1311-8080 (printed version); ISSN: 1314-3395 (on-line version) url: http://www.ijpam.eu AP doi: 10.12732/ijpam.v109i3.19 ijpam.eu MERTON JUMP-DIFFUSION MODEL VERSUS THE BLACK AND SCHOLES APPROACH FOR THE LOG-RETURNS AND VOLATILITY SMILE FITTING Nicola Gugole Department of Computer Science University of Verona Strada le Grazie, 15-37134, Verona, ITALY Abstract: In the present paper we perform a comparison between the standard Black and Scholes model and the Merton jump-diffusion one, from the point of view of the study of the leptokurtic feature of log-returns and also concerning the volatility smile fitting. Provided results are obtained by calibrating on market data and by mean of numerical simulations which clearly show how the jump-diffusion model outperforms the classical geometric Brownian motion approach. AMS Subject Classification: 60H15, 60H35, 91B60, 91G20, 91G60 Key Words: Black and Scholes model, Merton model, stochastic differential equations, log-returns, volatility smile 1. Introduction In the early 1970’s the world of option pricing experienced a great contribu- tion given by the work of Fischer Black and Myron Scholes. They developed a new mathematical model to treat certain financial quantities publishing re- lated results in the article The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities, see [1]. The latter work became soon a reference point in the financial scenario. Received: August 3, 2016 c 2016 Academic Publications, Ltd. Revised: September 16, 2016 url: www.acadpubl.eu Published: September 30, 2016 720 N. Gugole Nowadays, many traders still use the Black and Scholes (BS) model to price as well as to hedge various types of contingent claims. -
Local Conditioning in Dawson–Watanabe Superprocesses
The Annals of Probability 2013, Vol. 41, No. 1, 385–443 DOI: 10.1214/11-AOP702 c Institute of Mathematical Statistics, 2013 LOCAL CONDITIONING IN DAWSON–WATANABE SUPERPROCESSES By Olav Kallenberg Auburn University Consider a locally finite Dawson–Watanabe superprocess ξ =(ξt) in Rd with d ≥ 2. Our main results include some recursive formulas for the moment measures of ξ, with connections to the uniform Brown- ian tree, a Brownian snake representation of Palm measures, continu- ity properties of conditional moment densities, leading by duality to strongly continuous versions of the multivariate Palm distributions, and a local approximation of ξt by a stationary clusterη ˜ with nice continuity and scaling properties. This all leads up to an asymptotic description of the conditional distribution of ξt for a fixed t> 0, given d that ξt charges the ε-neighborhoods of some points x1,...,xn ∈ R . In the limit as ε → 0, the restrictions to those sets are conditionally in- dependent and given by the pseudo-random measures ξ˜ orη ˜, whereas the contribution to the exterior is given by the Palm distribution of ξt at x1,...,xn. Our proofs are based on the Cox cluster representa- tions of the historical process and involve some delicate estimates of moment densities. 1. Introduction. This paper may be regarded as a continuation of [19], where we considered some local properties of a Dawson–Watanabe super- process (henceforth referred to as a DW-process) at a fixed time t> 0. Recall that a DW-process ξ = (ξt) is a vaguely continuous, measure-valued diffu- d ξtf µvt sion process in R with Laplace functionals Eµe− = e− for suitable functions f 0, where v = (vt) is the unique solution to the evolution equa- 1 ≥ 2 tion v˙ = 2 ∆v v with initial condition v0 = f. -
Sensitivity Estimation of Sabr Model Via Derivative of Random Variables
Proceedings of the 2011 Winter Simulation Conference S. Jain, R. R. Creasey, J. Himmelspach, K. P. White, and M. Fu, eds. SENSITIVITY ESTIMATION OF SABR MODEL VIA DERIVATIVE OF RANDOM VARIABLES NAN CHEN YANCHU LIU The Chinese University of Hong Kong 709A William Mong Engineering Building Shatin, N. T., HONG KONG ABSTRACT We derive Monte Carlo simulation estimators to compute option price sensitivities under the SABR stochastic volatility model. As a companion to the exact simulation method developed by Cai, Chen and Song (2011), this paper uses the sensitivity of “vol of vol” as a showcase to demonstrate how to use the pathwise method to obtain unbiased estimators to the price sensitivities under SABR. By appropriately conditioning on the path generated by the volatility, the evolution of the forward price can be represented as noncentral chi-square random variables with stochastic parameters. Combined with the technique of derivative of random variables, we can obtain fast and accurate unbiased estimators for the sensitivities. 1 INTRODUCTION The ubiquitous existence of the volatility smile and skew poses a great challenge to the practice of risk management in fixed and foreign exchange trading desks. In foreign currency option markets, the implied volatility is often relatively lower for at-the-money options and becomes gradually higher as the strike price moves either into the money or out of the money. Traders refer to this stylized pattern as the volatility smile. In the equity and interest rate markets, a typical aspect of the implied volatility, which is also known as the volatility skew, is that it decreases as the strike price increases. -
Option Pricing with Jump Diffusion Models
UNIVERSITY OF PIRAEUS DEPARTMENT OF BANKING AND FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT M. Sc in FINANCIAL ANALYSIS FOR EXECUTIVES Option pricing with jump diffusion models MASTER DISSERTATION BY: SIDERI KALLIOPI: MXAN 1134 SUPERVISOR: SKIADOPOULOS GEORGE EXAMINATION COMMITTEE: CHRISTINA CHRISTOU PITTIS NIKITAS PIRAEUS, FEBRUARY 2013 2 TABLE OF CONTENTS ς ABSTRACT .............................................................................................................................. 3 SECTION 1 INTRODUCTION ................................................................................................ 4 ώ SECTION 2 LITERATURE REVIEW: .................................................................................... 9 ι SECTION 3 DATASET .......................................................................................................... 14 SECTION 4 .............................................................................................................................α 16 4.1 PRICING AND HEDGING IN INCOMPLETE MARKETS ....................................... 16 4.2 CHANGE OF MEASURE ............................................................................................ρ 17 SECTION 5 MERTON’S MODEL .........................................................................................ι 21 5.1 THE FORMULA ........................................................................................................... 21 5.2 PDE APPROACH BY HEDGING ................................................................ε ............... 24 5.3 EFFECT -
1 Introduction
The analysis of marked and weighted empirical processes of estimated residuals Vanessa Berenguer-Rico Department of Economics; University of Oxford; Oxford; OX1 3UQ; UK and Mansfield College; Oxford; OX1 3TF [email protected] Søren Johansen Department of Economics; University of Copenhagen and CREATES; Department of Economics and Business; Aarhus University [email protected] Bent Nielsen1 Department of Economics; University of Oxford; Oxford; OX1 3UQ; UK and Nuffield College; Oxford; OX1 1NF; U.K. bent.nielsen@nuffield.ox.ac.uk 29 April 2019 Summary An extended and improved theory is presented for marked and weighted empirical processes of residuals of time series regressions. The theory is motivated by 1- step Huber-skip estimators, where a set of good observations are selected using an initial estimator and an updated estimator is found by applying least squares to the selected observations. In this case, the weights and marks represent powers of the regressors and the regression errors, respectively. The inclusion of marks is a non-trivial extention to previous theory and requires refined martingale arguments. Keywords 1-step Huber-skip; Non-stationarity; Robust Statistics; Stationarity. 1 Introduction We consider marked and weighted empirical processes of residuals from a linear time series regression. Such processes are sums of products of an adapted weight, a mark that is a power of the innovations and an indicator for the residuals belonging to a half line. They have previously been studied by Johansen & Nielsen (2016a) - JN16 henceforth - generalising results by Koul & Ossiander (1994) and Koul (2002) for processes without marks. The results presented extend and improve upon expansions previously given in JN16, while correcting a mistake in the argument, simplifying proofs and allowing weaker conditions on the innovation distribution and regressors. -
Lévy Finance *[0.5Cm] Models and Results
Stochastic Calculus for L´evyProcesses L´evy-Process Driven Financial Market Models Jump-Diffusion Models General L´evyModels European Style Options Stochastic Calculus for L´evy Processes L´evy-Process Driven Financial Market Models Jump-Diffusion Models Merton-Model Kou-Model General L´evy Models Variance-Gamma model CGMY model GH models Variance-mean mixtures European Style Options Equivalent Martingale Measure Jump-Diffusion Models Variance-Gamma Model NIG Model Professor Dr. R¨udigerKiesel L´evyFinance Stochastic Calculus for L´evyProcesses L´evy-Process Driven Financial Market Models Jump-Diffusion Models General L´evyModels European Style Options Stochastic Integral for L´evyProcesses Let (Xt ) be a L´evy process with L´evy-Khintchine triplet (α, σ, ν(dx)). By the L´evy-It´odecomposition we know X = X (1) + X (2) + X (3), where the X (i) are independent L´evyprocesses. X (1) is a Brownian motion with drift, X (2) is a compound Poisson process with jump (3) distributed concentrated on R/(−1, 1) and X is a square-integrable martingale (which can be viewed as a limit of compensated compound Poisson processes with small jumps). We know how to define the stochastic integral with respect to any of these processes! Professor Dr. R¨udigerKiesel L´evyFinance Stochastic Calculus for L´evyProcesses L´evy-Process Driven Financial Market Models Jump-Diffusion Models General L´evyModels European Style Options Canonical Decomposition From the L´evy-It´odecomposition we deduce the canonical decomposition (useful for applying the general semi-martingale theory) Z t Z X (t) = αt + σW (t) + x µX − νX (ds, dx), 0 R where Z t Z X xµX (ds, dx) = ∆X (s) 0 R 0<s≤t and Z t Z Z t Z Z X X E xµ (ds, dx) = xν (ds, dx) = t xν(dx).