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Preparing Texas' Freight Transportation System for 2055

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Preparing Texas' Freight Transportation System for 2055 TTI: 0-6809 Preparing Texas’ Freight Transportation System for 2055 Technical Report 0-6809-1 Cooperative Research Program TEXAS A&M TRANSPORTATION INSTITUTE COLLEGE STATION, TEXAS in cooperation with the Federal Highway Administration and the Texas Department of Transportation http://tti.tamu.edu/documents/0-6809-1.pdf Technical Report Documentation Page 1. Report No. 2. Government Accession No. 3. Recipient's Catalog No. FHWA/TX-15/0-6809-1 4. Title and Subtitle 5. Report Date PREPARING TEXAS’ FREIGHT TRANSPORTATION SYSTEM Published: April 2017 FOR 2055 6. Performing Organization Code 7. Author(s) 8. Performing Organization Report No. Jolanda Prozzi, Arturo Bujanda, Rajat Rajbhandari, Megan Kenney, Report 0-6809-1 Jeffery Warner, Victoria Wilson, Juan, Villa, Michael C. Walton, and Meredith Cebelak 9. Performing Organization Name and Address 10. Work Unit No. (TRAIS) Texas A&M Transportation Institute College Station, Texas 77843-3135 11. Contract or Grant No. Project 0-6809 12. Sponsoring Agency Name and Address 13. Type of Report and Period Covered Texas Department of Transportation Technical Report: Research and Technology Implementation Office June 2014–August 2015 125 E. 11th Street 14. Sponsoring Agency Code Austin, Texas 78701-2483 15. Supplementary Notes Project performed in cooperation with the Texas Department of Transportation and the Federal Highway Administration. Project Title: The 2055 Freight Transportation System and the Impact of Near Term Rail Improvements on TxDOT Planning URL: http://tti.tamu.edu/documents/0-6809-1.pdf 16. Abstract Efficient, reliable, and safe freight transportation is critical to the economic prosperity of any region. An efficient multimodal and intermodal transportation system reduces transportation and supply chain transaction costs and increases connectivity, mobility, reliability, and accessibility to local and global markets. An efficient freight transportation system, therefore, supports economic development, expansion of international trade, increased employment, growth in personal income, and growth of the gross domestic product of a region—ultimately improving the quality of life of its citizens. This research documents major trends (i.e., global trade, sociodemographic, environmental, and technology trends) that could impact the future business models of Texas’ companies; identifies and discuss factors that influence companies’ site selection decisions and explores how Texas ranks compared to other states; discusses changing business models and the associated impacts on and expectations for a future freight transportation system, and provides insight into the foreseen role for the Texas Department of Transportation in planning for an efficient, reliable, and safe freight transportation system in 2055 that supports the growth of industry and ultimately the Texas economy. This research document is a companion to Report 0-6809-2 that explores international rail traffic increases and their potential impacts on Texas rail planning needs. 17. Key Words 18. Distribution Statement Global Trade, Sociodemographic, Environmental, No restrictions. This document is available to the Technology Trends, Supply Chain, Just-in-Time, public through NTIS: JIT, RFID, GPS, 3D Printing, Big Data, Automated National Technical Information Service Trucks, Site Selection, Truck Planning Alexandria, Virginia http://www.ntis.gov 19. Security Classif. (of this report) 20. Security Classif. (of this page) 21. No. of Pages 22. Price Unclassified Unclassified 158 Form DOT F 1700.7 (8-72) Reproduction of completed page authorized PREPARING TEXAS’ FREIGHT TRANSPORTATION SYSTEM FOR 2055 by Jolanda Prozzi Research Scientist Jeffery Warner Program Manager, Environment and Assistant Research Scientist Planning Texas A&M Transportation Institute Texas A&M Transportation Institute Victoria Wilson Arturo Bujanda Graduate Research Assistant Assistant Research Scientist Texas A&M Transportation Institute Texas A&M Transportation Institute Juan Villa Rajat Rajbhandari Research Scientist Associate Research Engineer Texas A&M Transportation Institute Texas A&M Transportation Institute C. Michael Walton Megan Kenney Professor: Transportation Engineering Assistant Transportation Researcher Center for Transportation Research Texas A&M Transportation Institute Meredith Cebelak Graduate Research Assistant Center for Transportation Research Report 0-6809-1 Project 0-6809 Project Title: The 2055 Freight Transportation System and the Impact of Near Term Rail Improvements on TxDOT Planning Performed in cooperation with the Texas Department of Transportation and the Federal Highway Administration Published: April 2017 TEXAS A&M TRANSPORTATION INSTITUTE College Station, Texas 77843-3135 DISCLAIMER This research was performed in cooperation with the Texas Department of Transportation (TxDOT) and the Federal Highway Administration (FHWA). The contents of this report reflect the views of the authors, who are responsible for the facts and the accuracy of the data presented herein. The contents do not necessarily reflect the official view or policies of the FHWA or TxDOT. This report does not constitute a standard, specification, or regulation. The United States Government and the State of Texas do not endorse products or manufacturers. Trade or manufacturers’ names appear herein solely because they are considered essential to the object of this report. v ACKNOWLEDGMENTS This project was conducted in cooperation with TxDOT and FHWA. The authors thank Kevin Pete, the TxDOT Project Director, and the members of the Project Team. These included: • Genevieve Bales – FHWA. • Bailey Hewes – TxDOT. • Georgi Jasenovec – FHWA. • Dr. Ghassan Khankarli – TxDOT. • Bill Knowles – TxDOT. • Caroline Mays – TxDOT. • Janie Temple – TxDOT. The researchers would also like to thank all the private sector companies that contributed their perspectives and insights. Specifically, the research team would like to thank Dr. Terry Pohlen of the University of North Texas for his assistance to the Center of Transportation Research in securing input from the private sector. With his assistance, private sector participation increased 360 percent. The research team would also like to thank Michael Morris and Kevin Feldt from the North Central Texas Council of Governments for hosting and participating in the Freight 2055 Roundtable Discussion. Finally, special thanks are due to Michelle Benoit for copy editing this deliverable. vi TABLE OF CONTENTS Page List of Figures ................................................................................................................................ x List of Tables ................................................................................................................................ xi Chapter 1: Introduction ............................................................................................................... 1 Background ............................................................................................................................... 1 Project Objectives ..................................................................................................................... 1 Contents of This Report ............................................................................................................ 2 Chapter 2: Global Trade Trends ................................................................................................. 5 Texas’s Trade Partners .............................................................................................................. 5 Texas’s Exports ......................................................................................................................... 8 Factors Impacting Global Trade ............................................................................................. 10 Trade Agreements ............................................................................................................. 10 National Export Initiative and Re-domestication of Manufacturing ................................ 13 Trade Supply Chain Visibility .......................................................................................... 14 Customs Regulations/Single Window System.................................................................. 15 Chapter 3: Texas’ Sociodemographic Trends .......................................................................... 17 Texas’ Population Growth ...................................................................................................... 17 Comparison with Other States .......................................................................................... 17 Comparison of Texas Cities .............................................................................................. 18 Predicted Growth .............................................................................................................. 19 Texas’ Population by Race and Ethnicity ............................................................................... 20 Number of Children .......................................................................................................... 21 Origin and Citizenship Status ........................................................................................... 22 Predicted Growth by Race/Ethnicity ................................................................................ 23 Urban/Rural Population Distribution .....................................................................................
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