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Cesifo Working Paper No. 7803
A Service of Leibniz-Informationszentrum econstor Wirtschaft Leibniz Information Centre Make Your Publications Visible. zbw for Economics Ryan, John Working Paper The Brexit Conundrum Worsens the UK's Relationship with the European Union CESifo Working Paper, No. 7803 Provided in Cooperation with: Ifo Institute – Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich Suggested Citation: Ryan, John (2019) : The Brexit Conundrum Worsens the UK's Relationship with the European Union, CESifo Working Paper, No. 7803, Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo), Munich This Version is available at: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/207194 Standard-Nutzungsbedingungen: Terms of use: Die Dokumente auf EconStor dürfen zu eigenen wissenschaftlichen Documents in EconStor may be saved and copied for your Zwecken und zum Privatgebrauch gespeichert und kopiert werden. personal and scholarly purposes. Sie dürfen die Dokumente nicht für öffentliche oder kommerzielle You are not to copy documents for public or commercial Zwecke vervielfältigen, öffentlich ausstellen, öffentlich zugänglich purposes, to exhibit the documents publicly, to make them machen, vertreiben oder anderweitig nutzen. publicly available on the internet, or to distribute or otherwise use the documents in public. Sofern die Verfasser die Dokumente unter Open-Content-Lizenzen (insbesondere CC-Lizenzen) zur Verfügung gestellt haben sollten, If the documents have been made available under an Open gelten abweichend von diesen Nutzungsbedingungen die in der dort Content Licence (especially Creative Commons Licences), you genannten Lizenz gewährten Nutzungsrechte. may exercise further usage rights as specified in the indicated licence. www.econstor.eu 7803 2019 August 2019 The Brexit Conundrum Worsens the UK’s Relationship with the European Union John T. -
Exploding the Myths of Leaving the Customs Union
Exploding the myths of leaving the Customs Union A joint publication from the European Research Group and Global Britain Fact – NOT Friction Exploding the myths of leaving the Customs Union A joint publication from the European Research Group and Global Britain C O N T E N T S Foreword 3 Executive Summary 4 Introduction 6 Myths surrounding a UK-EU free trade deal 9 Myths surrounding ‘No Deal’ – or trading on WTO terms 20 About the publishers 23 20th November 2018 Cover picture: The Port of Southampton, Diego Torres 2 FOREWORD By Simon Boyd FinstD, Managing Director of Reid Steel It is often said that when the UK leaves the EU Single Market and its Customs Union that it will be far harder to trade whether it's import or export – that frictionless trade will become difficult with delays, obstacles and costs. From my own experience I can say the reverse is true. In my experience trading with our European friends is infinitely more difficult than it is to trade with other countries outside the EU. It has, for instance, been easier for us to export to Mongolia than to France, despite the fact we were founded there in 1919. The reasons for this are obvious, the EU is bureaucratic by its very nature and its Customs Union is a fortress designed to protect producers inside it rather than encourage open free trade where everyone can benefit. But we are not and never have been protected by this protectionist regime. Instead we have seen the steady ebb of manufacturing move to other areas of the EU – and even to areas beyond – as a result of our membership. -
This Spectred Isle James Bond, Alan Partridge, and Englishness
This SPECTREd Isle James Bond, Alan Partridge, and Englishness GILLIAN GROSZEWSKI Like the Aston Martin car he drives and the Savile Row tailors he frequents, James Bond is an English cultural icon. ndeed, in !"#!, $aniel %raig, as Bond, was the natural choice to &act' as the securit( escort for )er Majest(, the +ueen, as she made her wa( to the o,ening ceremon( of the -l(mpic .ames in Lon/ don, itself a celebration of all things English. Although ap,roximating the iconic, Steve %oogan2s 3ctional character, Alan 4artridge, does not ,ossess the same cul/ tural cachet as 5leming’s international man of m(ster(. A self/,rofessed Bond su,er/fan, 4artridge attempts, on a regular basis, to achieve the im,ossible: to become an icon. 7here Bond and brand become inseparable due to their so,h/ isticated interdependence, 4artridge desperatel( seeks cor,orate ,artnershi, in an attempt to increase his ,ersonal wealth and social ,ro3le. )owever, while 4artridge ma( ap,ear, at 3rst sight, a ,ale imitation of 5leming’s iconic sleuth, both characters ,ossess a similarl( acute awareness of what it means to be Eng/ lish. %hristine Berberich has written of Bond that &behind the suave secret agent lurks a character 0oth at ease and at odds with his time' 8!"#!, #9:. Looking be/ hind the ,reoccu,ation of Alan 4artridge with all things Bond highlights the changing conce,t of what it means to be English in contem,orar( Britain. Like Bond, 4artridge frequentl( 3nds himself to 0e at odds with those that surround him ; not least due to his encyclo,aedic knowledge of the Bond franchise ; but Gillian Groszewski +e12hes Englis3 1+ -higwell S2hool. -
The Longer-Term Outlook Will Remain Tricky for UK-EU Relations
UK/EU/TRADE The longer-term outlook will remain tricky for UK-EU 24 Dec 2020 12:52 EST Mujtaba Rahman relations Managing Director, Europe +44 (0) 207.553.9823 [email protected] Having reached a deal, both the UK and EU are now involved in a serious “spin” operation to sell it to their respective audiences; this matters little, as the deal is guaranteed to be ratified by both sides. The deal will make it easier for the UK and EU to work together on the world stage, on issues such as climate change, while also cementing Boris Johnson’s relationship with US President-elect, Joe Biden. However, we are sceptical it will provide a platform for closer economic ties; the Government will now be keen to advance its “divergence agenda”, and the direction of both Tory and Labour party politics suggest closer links with Europe will remain unlikely—even over the medium to longer term. Boris Johnson went back to the basics of the 2016 EU referendum as he began the task of selling today’s EU trade deal to Eurosceptic Conservative MPs and the public. At a Downing Street press conference, he acknowledged the UK had made concessions, but claimed the five and a half year transition period for EU access to UK fishing was closer to the UK’s three-year opening bid and the EU’s 14 years (in fact, the EU asked for 10 years). The UK will eventually keep two thirds of the fish in its waters. But Johnson had raised greater expectations among UK fishing communities and this could prove his hardest sell. -
The Conservatives and Europe, 1997–2001 the Conservatives and Europe, 1997–2001
8 Philip Lynch The Conservatives and Europe, 1997–2001 The Conservatives and Europe, 1997–2001 Philip Lynch As Conservatives reflected on the 1997 general election, they could agree that the issue of Britain’s relationship with the European Union (EU) was a significant factor in their defeat. But they disagreed over how and why ‘Europe’ had contributed to the party’s demise. Euro-sceptics blamed John Major’s European policy. For Euro-sceptics, Major had accepted develop- ments in the European Union that ran counter to the Thatcherite defence of the nation state and promotion of the free market by signing the Maastricht Treaty. This opened a schism in the Conservative Party that Major exacer- bated by paying insufficient attention to the growth of Euro-sceptic sentiment. Membership of the Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM) prolonged recession and undermined the party’s reputation for economic competence. Finally, Euro-sceptics argued that Major’s unwillingness to rule out British entry into the single currency for at least the next Parliament left the party unable to capitalise on the Euro-scepticism that prevailed in the electorate. Pro-Europeans and Major loyalists saw things differently. They believed that Major had acted in the national interest at Maastricht by signing a Treaty that allowed Britain to influence the development of Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) without being bound to join it. Pro-Europeans noted that Thatcher had agreed to an equivalent, if not greater, loss of sovereignty by signing the Single European Act. They believed that much of the party could and should have united around Major’s ‘wait and see’ policy on EMU entry. -
Analyzing the Post-Brexit Conservative Party's Populist Status Quo1 Winn, Jacob2
Brexit: A Fluke or the Future of British Conservatism? 119 BREXIT: A FLUKE OR THE FUTURE OF BRITISH CONSERVATISM? Analyzing the Post-Brexit Conservative Party's Populist Status Quo1 Winn, Jacob2 ABSTRacT The Brexit vote — the British people’s vote to leave the European Union in 2016 — represents the outcome of a successful populist movement. More recently, the Conservative Party’s staggering 2019 electoral success demonstrated that the populist “Get Brexit Done” message remains popular among both traditional Conservatives and broad swaths of the working class in former Labour Party strongholds. This study aims to explain the Conservative Party’s marked change rhetoric and policy, as well as factional shifts within the halls of Westminster, in response to the ongoing Brexit negotiations. While some scholars look at the supply- side causes of populism (elites and political parties) and others look at the demand- side causes (the voters), this study applies a third school of thought that examines the relationship between supply and demand by analyzing a series of interviews with Conservative Party staff as well as public opinion polling. In doing so, the study concludes that there has been a deep, reciprocal, and simultaneous onset of populist Euroscepticism within both the Conservative Party and the working class 1 This work is licensed under CC BY 4.0. To view a copy of this license, visit https://creativecommons. org/licenses/by/4.0 2 Jacob Winn is a Fall 2020 graduate from The George Washington University's Elliott School of International Affairs. He earned a Bachelor of Arts degree in International Affairs, with a concentration in International Politics, and a double major in Political Science. -
The Brexit Effect How Government Has Changed Since the EU Referendum
The Brexit Effect How government has changed since the EU referendum Lewis Lloyd About this report Implementing the result of the 2016 EU referendum has proven an unprecedented test for the UK Government – one that it has yet to pass. Brexit has challenged the status quo, upending conventions and inviting us to rethink how government, and politics more broadly, work in the UK. On the day the UK was originally scheduled to leave the EU, this report assesses the impact on six areas that have been particularly subject to the “Brexit Effect”: ministers, the civil service, public bodies, money, devolution, and Parliament. Our Brexit work The Institute for Government has a major programme of work looking at the negotiations, the UK’s future relationship with the EU and how the UK is governed after Brexit. Keep up to date with our comment, explainers and reports, read our media coverage, and find out about our events at: www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/brexit March 2019 Contents List of figures and tables 2 List of abbreviations 4 Summary 5 Introduction 6 1. Ministers 7 2. Civil service 13 3. Public bodies 17 4. Money 21 5. Devolution 25 6. Parliament 31 References 39 List of figures and tables Figure 1 Changes in Brexit ‘War Cabinet’ membership over time 8 Figure 2 Timeline of resignations under Theresa May, outside of reshuffles 9 Figure 3 Ministers and senior civil servants in DExEU, June 2016 to present 9 Figure 4 Percentage change in staff numbers (FTE) for whole civil service, Defra and the Home Office, 2010 –18 13 Figure 5 Percentage -
Andrew Marr Show 29Th September 2019 Angela Rayner Shadow Education Secretary
1 ANGELA RAYNER ANDREW MARR SHOW 29TH SEPTEMBER 2019 ANGELA RAYNER SHADOW EDUCATION SECRETARY AM: One of the big announcements at Labour’s conference last week was an all-out assault on Britain’s private schools. I am joined now to talk about that and much more by Labour’s shadow education secretary, Angela Rayner. Angela Rayner, before we get going on all of that, you heard the prime minister give a kind of guarded and at least partial apology for his ‘humbug’ comment in the House of Commons. What’s your response? AR: Well, I’m really disappointed with the prime minister at the moment because he knows that he’s got a direct strategy to divide our country. You know, every politician at the moment wants to get a deal, wants to get through the Brexit situation we’re in, and to suggest in any way that we’re surrendering and not wanting to do the best by our country, I think is really damaging, especially as a direct strategy from Number 10. I think he should be absolutely, utterly ashamed of himself and I want to thank his colleagues, who are better than him, who have offered women parliamentarians across the board support when they’ve been getting a lot of misogynistic death threats and abuse. AM: The problem with the language, and there’s no doubt the country is badly divided and very angry, is that it’s on both sides. Brendan Cox has said – has made this point very directly – that it’s not just the Conservative side, or indeed the Leave side of the argument, it’s the other side as well. -
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A University of Sussex PhD thesis Available online via Sussex Research Online: http://sro.sussex.ac.uk/ This thesis is protected by copyright which belongs to the author. This thesis cannot be reproduced or quoted extensively from without first obtaining permission in writing from the Author The content must not be changed in any way or sold commercially in any format or medium without the formal permission of the Author When referring to this work, full bibliographic details including the author, title, awarding institution and date of the thesis must be given Please visit Sussex Research Online for more information and further details characterising semantically coherent classes of text through feature discovery andrew david robertson Submitted for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy Department of Informatics University of Sussex May 2018 supervisor: David Weir DECLARATION I hereby declare that this thesis has not been and will not be submit- ted in whole or in part to another University for the award of any other degree. Signature: Andrew David Robertson ii ABSTRACT There is a growing need to provide support for social scientists and humanities scholars to gather and “engage” with very large datasets of free text, to perform very bespoke analyses. method52 is a text analysis platform built for this purpose (Wibberley et al., 2014), and forms a foundation that this thesis builds upon. A central part of method52 and its methodologies is a classifier training component based on dualist (Settles, 2011), and the gen- eral process of data engagement with method52 is determined to constitute a continuous cycle of characterising semantically coherent sub-collections, classes, of the text. -
Scientific Meeting Benedetto Terracini, Epidemiologist
With the support of Scientific meeting of the Accademia di Medicina di Torino to honour Benedetto Terracini, epidemiologist and public health scientist Friday, 3rd of April 2020 Molecular Biotechnology Center - Aula Darwin Via Nizza, 52 - Torino Program 8.45-9.15 Welcome: Stefano Geuna, Rector of the University 12.00-12.35 Deborah Lawlor, Methods for determining of Turin. Giancarlo Isaia, President of the Accademia di causal effects of in utero exposures on postnatal offspring Medicina. Bianca Gardella Tedeschi, President of the Archivio health Ebraico Terracini. Franco Merletti, Coordinator of the CPO 12.35-13.10 Nubia Munoz, HPV and cervical cancer: from Piemonte. Alberto Anfossi, Secretary General of the research to prevention; the Colombian case Compagnia di San Paolo. Giovanni Quaglia, President of the Fondazione CRT. 13.10-14.00 Lunch Break Benedetto’s family history Chair: Pier Alberto Bertazzi, Pietro Comba, Marcel Goldberg Chair: Franco Berrino, Ruggero Montesano 14.00-14.35 Juan Pablo Ramos-Bonilla, The asbestos 9.15-9.30 Erika Luciano, Alessandro Terracini, father and prohibition law in Colombia: how powerful political and mathematician: from curing to counting economic forces that opposed the ban were defeated 9.30-9.45 Gianluigi Beccaria, Benvenuto Terracini, uncle 14.35-15.10 Jack Siemiatycki, The interface between and linguist: from mapping words to mapping diseases epidemiology and the courtroom: with particular reference to a class action against Big Tobacco Chair: Neil Pearce 15.10-15.45 David Kriebel, The precautionary -
Final Copy 2021 01 21 Carter
This electronic thesis or dissertation has been downloaded from Explore Bristol Research, http://research-information.bristol.ac.uk Author: Carter, Alice R Title: Strengthening causal inference in educational inequalities in cardiovascular disease General rights Access to the thesis is subject to the Creative Commons Attribution - NonCommercial-No Derivatives 4.0 International Public License. A copy of this may be found at https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/legalcode This license sets out your rights and the restrictions that apply to your access to the thesis so it is important you read this before proceeding. Take down policy Some pages of this thesis may have been removed for copyright restrictions prior to having it been deposited in Explore Bristol Research. However, if you have discovered material within the thesis that you consider to be unlawful e.g. breaches of copyright (either yours or that of a third party) or any other law, including but not limited to those relating to patent, trademark, confidentiality, data protection, obscenity, defamation, libel, then please contact [email protected] and include the following information in your message: •Your contact details •Bibliographic details for the item, including a URL •An outline nature of the complaint Your claim will be investigated and, where appropriate, the item in question will be removed from public view as soon as possible. Strengthening causal inference in educational inequalities in cardiovascular disease Alice R Carter A dissertation submitted to the University of Bristol in accordance with the requirements for award of the degree of PhD in the Faculty Health Sciences MRC Integrative Epidemiology Unit, Population Health Sciences, University of Bristol, United Kingdom September 2020 Word count: 56 764 Abstract Despite reducing rates of cardiovascular disease in high income countries, individuals who are the most socioeconomically deprived remain at the highest risk of disease. -
MRC Investigators and Directors Directory of Research Programmes at MRC Institutes and Units Foreword
SUMMER 2021 MRC Investigators and Directors Directory of research programmes at MRC Institutes and Units Foreword I am delighted to introduce you to the exceptional To support the MRC Investigators and Directors researchers at our MRC Institutes and Units – the in advancing medical research, MRC provides MRC Investigators and their Directors. core funding to the MRC Institutes and University Units where they carry out their work. These In November 2020, MRC established the new title establishments cover a huge breadth of medical of “MRC Investigator” for Programme Leaders (PL) research from molecular biology to public health. and Programme Leader Track (PLT) researchers at As you will see from the directory, the MRC MRC Institutes and Units. These individuals are Investigators and Directors are making considerable world-class scientists who are either strong leaders advances in their respective fields through their in their field already (PLs) or are making great innovative and exciting research programmes. Their strides towards that goal (PLTs). Based on what accomplishments have been recognised beyond they have achieved in their research careers so far, MRC and many have been awarded notable prizes the title will no doubt become synonymous with and elected to learned societies and organisations. scientific accomplishment, impact and integrity. As well as being widely recognised within the MRC endeavours to do everything it can to support scientific and academic communities, the well- its researchers at all career stages. For this reason, established and newer title of “Director” and we chose not to distinguish between levels of “MRC Investigator”, respectively, are a signal seniority within the new title.