2009 Accumulation Area Ratios and Little Ice Age Equilibrium Line Altitude Depression of Mount Baker Glaciers, Washington State, Usa
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2009 ACCUMULATION AREA RATIOS AND LITTLE ICE AGE EQUILIBRIUM LINE ALTITUDE DEPRESSION OF MOUNT BAKER GLACIERS, WASHINGTON STATE, USA by Courtenay Brown B.Sc. (Environmental Science), University of Ottawa, 2008 THESIS SUBMITTED IN PARTIAL FULFILLMENT OF THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THE DEGREE OF MASTER OF SCIENCE in the Department of Earth Sciences Faculty of Science © Courtenay Brown 2011 Simon Fraser University Fall 2011 All rights reserved. However, in accordance with the Copyright Act of Canada, this work may be reproduced, without authorization, under the conditions for "Fair Dealing." Therefore, limited reproduction of this work for the purposes of private study, research, criticism, review and news reporting is likely to be in accordance with the law, particularly if cited appropriately. APPROVAL Name: Courtenay Brown Degree: Master of Science Title of Thesis: 2009 Accumulation Area Ratios and Little Ice Age Equilibrium Line Altitude Depression of Mount Baker glaciers, Washington State, USA Examining Committee: Chair: Dr. Dan Gibson Graduate Program Chair, Department of Earth Sciences _____________________________________________________________ Dr. John J. Clague Senior Supervisor Professor, Department of Earth Sciences _____________________________________________________________ Dr. Brian Menounos Supervisor Associate Professor, University of Northern British Columbia _____________________________________________________________ Dr. Jon L. Riedel Supervisor Geologist, North Cascades National Park _____________________________________________________________ Dr. Kevin M. Scott Supervisor Scientist Emeritus, USGS Cascades Volcano Observatory _____________________________________________________________ Dr. Douglas H. Clark External Examiner Associate Professor, Western Washington University Date Defended/Approved: _____________________________________________________________ ii Partial Copyright Licence ABSTRACT Measurements made from a 2009 NAIP (National Agriculture Imagery Program) orthoimage covering the Mount Baker area indicate that 2009 was a negative mass balance year: On average, the accumulation areas of the glaciers occupied 37 percent of total glacier area at the end of August. An accumulation area of at least 62 percent is required for Mount Baker glaciers to be in equilibrium. Using spreadsheet models, I compared the modern and Little Ice Age glacier thicknesses. During the Little Ice Age, glaciers on Mount Baker were, on average, 1.6 times larger and approximately 20 m thicker than present. The equilibrium line altitudes of these glaciers were, on average, 300 m lower during the maximum Little Ice Age than today. Average ablation season temperatures were about 2.0°C lower at the peak of the Little Ice Age than today, assuming that precipitation was 7 percent greater at that time. Keywords: Glaciers; equilibrium line altitude; accumulation area ratio; balance ratio; Little Ice Age; Mount Baker iii ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS This thesis would not have been possible without the help of many people who know a great deal more than I do and have much more patience. I would like to thank my senior supervisor John Clague for the opportunity to conduct MSc research and for his guidance and encouragement. I also wish to thank the other members of my supervisory committee, Brian Menounos, Jon Riedel, and Kevin Scott, for their advice and their assistance in reviewing and editing my thesis. I extend my gratitude to several earth scientists for their valuable insight and counsel: Gwenn Flowers, Johannes Koch, Antoni Lewkowicz, Mauri Pelto, Brice Rea, and Dave Tucker. I also wish to thank Brian Kelsey, Cooper Quinn, and Nick Roberts for their on-demand tech support, Marit Heideman, Stephen Newman, and Dan Shugar for their assistance in the field, and all the graduate students in the department for their companionship. I also would like to acknowledge the staff and faculty of the Department of Earth Sciences for their valuable support (and sometimes rescue): special thanks to Bonnie, Cindy, Glenda, Matt, Rodney, and Tarja. Finally, I want to thank all of my loved ones for their empathy and for trying to keep me sane (thank you for trying). This research was funded by an NSERC Discovery Grant held by John Clague and a Geological Society of America Graduate Student Research Grant. iv TABLE OF CONTENTS Approval .............................................................................................................. ii Abstract .............................................................................................................. iii Acknowledgements ........................................................................................... iv Table of Contents ............................................................................................... v List of Figures ................................................................................................... vii List of Tables ...................................................................................................... x Chapter 1 Introduction ....................................................................................... 1 Geomorphology and Geology ........................................................................... 2 Late Pleistocene and Holocene Volcanism at Mount Baker ........................... 5 YP tephra ....................................................................................................... 6 Climate and Glaciers on Mount Baker ............................................................... 8 The Little Ice Age ............................................................................................ 13 The Little Ice Age in the Pacific Northwest ................................................... 13 The Little Ice Age at Mount Baker ................................................................ 14 Accuracy of Little Ice Age Chronologies ...................................................... 17 Methods of Palaeo-Equilibrium Line Altitude Reconstruction .......................... 18 The Terminus-Head Altitude Ratio and Accumulation Area Ratio................ 19 The Area-Altitude Method and Balance Ratio .............................................. 22 Selection of Methods for This Research ...................................................... 26 Equilibrium Line Altitude-Based Climate Reconstruction ................................. 26 Chapter 2 2009 Accumulation Area Ratios and Modern Balance Ratios of Mount Baker Glaciers ...................................................................... 30 Abstract.. ......................................................................................................... 30 Introduction ..................................................................................................... 31 Rationale for Study ...................................................................................... 31 Objectives .................................................................................................... 32 Study Area ................................................................................................... 32 Glacier Mass Balance and Equilibrium Line Altitude .................................... 34 Accumulation Area Ratio and Area-Altitude Balance Ratio .......................... 37 Methods.. ........................................................................................................ 38 2009 Equilibrium Line Altitude ..................................................................... 39 Steady-State Parameters ............................................................................. 44 Results… ......................................................................................................... 46 2009 Equilibrium Line Altitude ..................................................................... 46 Steady-State Parameters ............................................................................. 54 Discussion ....................................................................................................... 59 v 2009 Equilibrium Line Altitude ..................................................................... 59 Steady-State Parameters ............................................................................. 68 Conclusions ..................................................................................................... 76 Chapter 3 Little Ice Age Equilibrium Line altitude reconstructions for Mount Baker glaciers ....................................................................................... 79 Abstract.. ......................................................................................................... 79 Introduction ..................................................................................................... 80 Rationale ...................................................................................................... 80 Objectives .................................................................................................... 81 Mount Baker and Its Glaciers ....................................................................... 81 Equilibrium Line Altitude Depression ........................................................... 84 Methods of Equilibrium Line Altitude Reconstruction ................................... 86 Palaeo-Glacier Reconstructions .................................................................. 88 Equilibrium Line Altitude-Based Climate Reconstructions ..........................