CLOSING SUBMISSIONS on the Behalf of the Welsh GOVERNMENT
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												Welsh Government M4 Corridor Around Newport Scheme Evidence Update – Planning & Sustainable Development
Welsh Government M4 Corridor around Newport Scheme Evidence Update – Planning & Sustainable Development Adran yr Economi a’r Seilwaith Department for Economy and Infrastructure This document is an update to the ‘Proof of Evidence – Planning & Sustainable Development’ document. It contains an update following the addition of the eastbound off-slip in the DRAFT SUPPLEMENTARY (NO. 2) SCHEME ORDER and a general update on the sections related to the Magor Services Area. Scheme Evidence Update John Davies, MBE, BSc, MRTPI Welsh Government, Planning and Sustainable Development Document Reference: WG 1.23.4 C:5174523v1 Page 1 Welsh Government M4 Corridor around Newport Scheme Evidence Update – Planning & Sustainable Development Contents 1. Author 3 2. Scope and Purpose of this Proof of evidence 4 3. SCHEME EVIDENCE UPDATE 5 3.1. The EastBound Off-Slip Road 5 3.2. Magor Services 5 C:5174523v1 Page 2 Welsh Government M4 Corridor around Newport Scheme Evidence Update – Planning & Sustainable Development 1. AUTHOR 1.1 My name is John Davies. I currently work as a self-employed planning consultant under the title ‘John Davies Planning’ as a sole trader. My professional qualifications are set out in my main proof of evidence and are not repeated here. 1.2 The evidence provided in this Proof of Evidence has been prepared and is given in accordance with the guidance of my professional institution and I confirm that the opinions expressed are my true and professional opinions. C:5174523v1 Page 3 Welsh Government M4 Corridor around Newport Scheme Evidence Update – Planning & Sustainable Development 2. SCOPE AND PURPOSE OF THIS PROOF OF EVIDENCE 2.1 This Proof of Evidence provides updated evidence for the Welsh Government’s Scheme as modified by the March 2017 draft Orders Supplement to include proposals for an eastbound off-slip road at Junction 23A. - 
												
												Aust Cliff and Manor Farm
This excursion guide is a draft chapter, subject to revision, to be published in a field guide book whose reference is: Lavis, S. (Ed.) 2021. Geology of the Bristol District, Geologists’ Association Guide No. 75. It is not to be circulated or duplicated beyond the instructor and their class. Please send any corrections to Michael Benton at [email protected] Aust Cliff and Manor Farm Michael J. Benton Maps OS Landranger 172 1:50 000 Bristol & Bath Explorer 167 1:25 000 Thornbury, Dursley & Yate BGS Sheet 250 1:50 000 Chepstow Main references Swift & Martill (1999); Allard et al. (2015); Cross et al. (2018). Objectives The purpose of the excursion is to examine a classic section that documents the major environmental shift from terrestrial to marine rocks caused by the Rhaetian transgression, as well as the Triassic-Jurassic boundary, and to sample the rich fossil faunas, and espe- cially the Rhaetian bone beds. Risk analysis Low tides are essential for the excursion to Aust Cliff. Tides rise very rapidly along this section of coast (with a tidal range of about 12 m) and strong currents sweep past the bridge abutment. Visitors should begin the excursion on a falling tide. If caught on the east side of the bridge abutment when the tide rises, visitors should continue east along the coast to the end of the cliff where a path leads back to the motorway service area. In addition, the entire section is a high cliff, and rock falls are frequent, so hard hats must be worn. The Manor Farm section lies inland and is lower, so hard hats are less necessary. - 
												
												Welsh Government the Impact of the Severn Tolls on the Welsh Economy Final Report
Welsh Government The Impact of the Severn Tolls on the Welsh Economy Final Report 216322 Issue | 30 May 2012 This report takes into account the particular instructions and requirements of our client. It is not intended for and should not be relied upon by any third party and no responsibility is undertaken to any third party. Job number 216322 ISBN 978 0 7504 8034 5 Ove Arup & Partners Ltd 4 Pierhead Street Capital Waterside Cardiff CF10 4QP United Kingdom www.arup.com Welsh Government The Impact of the Severn Tolls on the Welsh Economy Final Report Contents Page Executive Summary i 1 Introduction 1 1.1 Background 1 1.2 The Severn Crossings and the Welsh Economy 1 1.3 Study Objectives 3 2 Study Approach 5 2.1 Introduction 5 2.2 Literature review 5 2.3 Traffic and transport modelling 5 2.4 Impacts of toll on businesses and consumers 6 2.5 Econometric modelling 6 3 Traffic and Travel Patterns 7 3.1 Introduction 7 3.2 Traffic Volumes and Travel Patterns 7 3.3 Travel Patterns 10 3.4 Journey Times 11 3.5 Severn Crossing Toll Rates and Revenue 12 3.6 Tolls and Total Journey Costs 13 3.7 Trends in Transport Costs 15 3.8 Commuting Patterns and the Severn Crossings 17 4 Evidence from Toll Roads Elsewhere 20 4.1 Introduction 20 4.2 Effects on Traffic and Transport – The Toll Price Elasticity of Demand 20 4.3 Economic Effects of Tolled Infrastructure 24 5 Impacts on Traffic and Transport 26 5.1 Introduction 26 5.2 Behavioural Responses to Toll Penalties 26 5.3 Determinants of Toll Responses 26 5.4 Modelling Framework 28 5.5 Impacts of Traffic Flows - 
												
												Appendix 8.5 Newport Docks Historic Built Environm
Welsh Government M4 Corridor around Newport Environmental Statement Volume 3: Appendix 8.5 Newport Docks Historic Built Environment Assessment 2008 M4CaN-DJV-EHR-ZG_GEN-AX-EN-0002 At Issue | March 2016 Job number OXF 9046 CVJV/AAR 3rd Floor Longross Court, 47 Newport Road, Cardiff CF24 0AD Welsh Government M4 Corridor around Newport Environmental Statement Volume 3: Appendix 8.5 Newport Docks Historic Built Environment Assessment 2008 Statement of Use This report has been prepared by Wessex Archaeology Limited in 2008 on behalf of the Welsh Assembly Government (now Welsh Government). The work carried out was an assessment of the historic built environment of Newport Docks for the previously proposed M4 Relief Road from Magor to Castleton, Gwent. The contents of this report have been used to inform the baseline for Environmental Impact Assessment of the M4 Corridor around Newport (M4CaN) presented in the Environmental Statement. A brief reconnaissance visit to Newport Docks was undertaken in July 2015 with regard to the current Scheme. The aim of the visit was to review the present state of the buildings within the footprint of the Scheme in order to review any changes that may have occurred subsequent to the more detailed survey presented within this Appendix. The principal change recorded during the 2015 reconnaissance visit was with regard to the roofs of several of the historic locomotive running sheds and engineering buildings in the eastern part of the docks. Components 04a, 04b, 04c, 04d, 04e, 04h and 12 have all been recently reroofed using modern materials, replacing the material described in this Appendix. - 
												
												The A40, A487, A4076, A477, A48, A483, A465, A470, A4060, A4232
WELSH STATUTORY INSTRUMENTS 2019 No. 549 (W. 121) ROAD TRAFFIC, WALES The A40, A487, A4076, A477, A48, A483, A465, A470, A4060, A4232, A4042, A449 and A466 Trunk Roads & the A48(M), M4 and M48 Motorways (Various Locations in South and West Wales) (Temporary Prohibition of Vehicles) Order 2019 Made 13 March 2019 Coming into force 18 March 2019 The Welsh Ministers, as traffic authority for the relevant lengths of the A40, A449, A487, A4076, A477, A48, A4232, A466, A483, A465, A4042, A470 and A4060 Trunk Roads and the A48(M), M4 and M48 Motorways, are satisfied that traffic on specified lengths of the trunk roads and motorways should be prohibited by reason of the likelihood of danger to the public arising from the transportation of abnormal indivisible loads. The Welsh Ministers, therefore, in exercise of the powers conferred upon them by section 14(1) and (4) of the Road Traffic Regulation Act 1984(1), make this Order. Title, Commencement and Interpretation 1. The title of this Order is the A40, A487, A4076, A477, A48, A483, A465, A470, A4060, A4232, A4042, A449 and A466 Trunk Roads & the A48(M), M4 and M48 Motorways (Various Locations in South (1) 1984 c.27; Section 14 was substituted by the Road Traffic (Temporary Restrictions) Act 1991 (c.26), section 1(1) and Schedule 1. By virtue of S.I. 1999/672, article 2 and Schedule 1, and paragraph 30 of Schedule 11 to the Government of Wales Act 2006 (c.32), these powers are now exercisable by the Welsh Ministers in relation to Wales. - 
												
												Petition: Support the M4 Relief Road Black Route
Y Gwasanaeth Ymchwil | Research Service # Y Gwasanaeth Ymchwil | Research Service Petition: Support the M4 Relief Road Black Route Y Pwyllgor Deisebau | 9 Hydref 2018 Petitions Committee | 9 October 2018 Research Briefing: Petition Number: P-05-838 Petition title: Support the M4 Relief Road Black Route Text of petition: We call on the Welsh Government to continue with its plans to build the M4 Relief Road along the proposed Black Route, and following the announcement that the Welsh Government will table a debate on the M4 plans later this year, we call on the National Assembly to support the project. The need for a new motorway around Newport is overwhelming with the congestion around the Brynglas Tunnels negatively impacting on businesses and people from across South Wales. The first proposal for a relief road was published in 1991, almost 30 years ago. Although the failure to take action over three decades isn’t solely to blame, we believe it hasn’t helped the economic well-being of the current generation and has contributed towards: . The employment rate in Wales being an average of over 3% lower than the UK employment rate since the mid-1990s. The Welsh GVA per head being consistently lower than 75% of the UK average since the late-1990s with most recent figures showing that Cardiff’s GVA per head is the lowest 1 of the four UK capital cities. The Welsh Government’s analysis from March 2016 finds that a new M4 around Newport will improve connectivity within South Wales and with the rest of the UK which will: . - 
												
												Coridor-Yr-M4-O-Amgylch-Casnewydd
PROSIECT CORIDOR YR M4 O AMGYLCH CASNEWYDD THE M4 CORRIDOR AROUND NEWPORT PROJECT Malpas Llandifog/ Twneli Caerllion/ Caerleon Llandevaud B Brynglas/ 4 A 2 3 NCN 4 4 Newidiadau Arfaethedig i 6 9 6 Brynglas 44 7 Drefniant Mynediad/ A N tunnels C Proposed Access Changes 48 N Pontymister A 4 (! M4 C25/ J25 6 0m M4 C24/ J24 M4 C26/ J26 2 p h 4 h (! (! p 0 Llanfarthin/ Sir Fynwy/ / 0m 4 u A th 6 70 M4 Llanmartin Monmouthshire ar m Pr sb d ph Ex ese Gorsaf y Ty-Du/ do ifie isti nn ild ss h ng ol i Rogerstone A la p M4 'w A i'w ec 0m to ild Station ol R 7 Sain Silian/ be do nn be Re sba Saint-y-brid/ e to St. Julians cla rth res 4 ss u/ St Brides P M 6 Underwood ifi 9 ed 4 ng 5 Ardal Gadwraeth B M ti 4 Netherwent 4 is 5 x B Llanfihangel Rogiet/ 9 E 7 Tanbont 1 23 Llanfihangel Rogiet B4 'St Brides Road' Tanbont Conservation Area t/ Underbridge en Gwasanaethau 'Rockfield Lane' w ow Gorsaf Casnewydd/ Trosbont -G st Underbridge as p Traffordd/ I G he Newport Station C 4 'Knollbury Lane' o N Motorway T Overbridge N C nol/ C N Services M4 C23/ sen N Cyngor Dinas Casnewydd M48 Pre 4 Llanwern J23/ M48 48 Wilcrick sting M 45 Exi B42 Newport City Council Darperir troedffordd/llwybr beiciau ar hyd Newport Road/ M4 C27/ J27 M4 C23A/ J23A Llanfihangel Casnewydd/ Footpath/ Cycleway Provided Along Newport Road (! Gorsaf Pheilffordd Cyffordd Twnnel Hafren/ A (! 468 Ty-Du/ Parcio a Theithio Arfaethedig Trosbont Rogiet/ Severn Tunnel Junction Railway Station Newport B4245 Grorsaf Llanwern/ Trefesgob/ 'Newport Road' Rogiet Rogerstone 4 Proposed Llanwern Overbridge - 
												
												Particulars Do Not Form Part of Any Offer Or Contract and Must Not Be Relied Upon As Statements Or Representations of Fact
NORFOLK HOUSE / BRISTOL / BS2 8RQ www.nohobristol.com BRISTOL Bristol boasts a world-class “ knowledge and financial based economy and is recognised as one of the UK’s creative, tech and media hotspots.” THE NOHO NINE Classic Facade¸ with Creative Finishes for a Chic Feel BRISTOL. The city of Bristol continues to grow at an exponential rate with regeneration projects planned across the entire city. The development of Bristol Temple Quarter is a sustainable and flourishing urban new quarter and a brand new Redcliff Quarter set to have some of the best bars, restaurants and shopping in the city. The existing Cabot Circus, is deemed “the best shopping centre in Europe” and all of this is just a short walk from NOHO. The larger urban area population is estimated to be 1.6 million and is amongst the most attractive, successful and culturally prestigious cities in the UK, enjoying a rising profile within Europe and beyond. It is one of the UK’s fastest growing cities economically. Bristol has a relatively young population profile with the median age of people living in Bristol standing at 32.5 years. The City is an ideal place for regeneration with a distinct identity as Bristol’s independent retail centre with a growing population of professionals and young families. THE MATTHEW, BRISTOL HARBOUR Bristol has a long association with the 'green' movement and is proud of its status as a Green Capital. Not only is it the UK's first Cycling City, Bristol is also a Fair trade City which sees it trading fairly with nearly five million workers in 58 developing countries. - 
												
												Seven for Severnside
Seven for Severnside The Plan for a Better Severnside Consultation Draft – October 2012 Navigant Consulting Introduction Monmouthshire County Council is changing. Under the banner ‘Your County, Your Way’ the Council has embarked on a journey of cultural and organisational change to enable it to respond creatively to the needs and aspirations of the communities of Monmouthshire. As part of this process, the Council aims to create opportunities that empower local communities to shape and enhance their future prospects, supported by the council but with residents, community organisations and the business community taking the opportunity and responsibility to themselves in order to realise their shared aspirations and ambitions for their area. To support this, earlier this year, the Council commissioned Navigant Consulting to undertake the development of a ‘Plan for Severnside’. At the heart of this approach is a recognition that plans, projects and programmes are too often dealt with in isolation. Instead, an integrated approach is needed which draws on the priorities and concerns of the local community and brings together a range of initiatives to address these. The aim of the ‘Plan’ is to provide a route map of clear projects and interventions that, together, can make a significant contribution to making a Severnside a better place for those who live, work and come to the area. The ‘Plan’ is not a statement of lofty ambitions but is focussed on getting things done with the community and its representatives, and is about the partnerships and practical steps needed. This document, then, sets out the proposed priority interventions for Severnside. - 
												
												Y Gymraeg: Amdani! Welsh: Give It a Go! Defnyddio’R Gymraeg Mewn Using the Welsh Language Chwaraeon
Cynnwys Contents #amdani Y Gymraeg: Amdani! Defnyddio’r Gymraeg mewn chwaraeon Welsh: Give it a go! Using the Welsh language in sport Cynnwys Contents ‘Mae defnydd naturiol o’r iaith ‘Making natural use of the Welsh yn hollbwysig boed mewn language is vitally important in cynhadledd i’r wasg neu ar raising awareness be it as part grysau T yn mynegi “Diolch” am of a press conference or on a gefnogaeth yn ystod yr ymgyrch T-shirt saying “Diolch” for your i gyrraedd Ewro 2016. support during the Euro 2016 qualifying campaign. Mae’n beth naturiol i’w wneud ac yn dangos yn bennaf i’n It’s a natural thing to do and cefnogwyr selog ein bod ni’n primarily it demonstrates to our ceisio cyfathrebu â phawb most ardent supporters that we drwy’r Gymraeg neu’r Saesneg. are trying to communicate with Roedd y ffaith i Gymru gyrraedd everyone through either Welsh cystadleuaeth Ewro 2016 yn or English. The fact that Wales gyfle i godi ymwybyddiaeth reached Euro 2016 was an o’r iaith ledled Ewrop, a hynny opportunity to raise awareness mewn cystadleuaeth ryngwladol of the language across Europe sy’n rhan o gamp sy’n cael ei in a sport which is played in chwarae ymhob gwlad yn y byd.’ every country throughout the world.’ Ian Gwyn Hughes Ian Gwyn Hughes Cymdeithas Bêl-droed Cymru Football Association of Wales Cynnwys Contents Cyflwyniad Introduction Cynnwys Contents ‘Mae chwaraeon yn amlwg ym ‘Sport is prominent in the lives mywyd pobl yng Nghymru – boed of people in Wales – be it on ar y llwyfan rhyngwladol, neu yn the international stage or in our ein cymunedau trwy glybiau sy’n communities through clubs which cael eu rhedeg gan wirfoddolwyr are run by enthusiastic volunteers. - 
												
												Russell George AM Chair – Economy, Infrastructure & Skills Committee National Assembly for Wales 20 November 2019 Dear Ru
Russell George AM Chair – Economy, Infrastructure & Skills Committee National Assembly for Wales 20 November 2019 Dear Russell M4 Relief Road Costs As you aware, the Public Accounts Committee scrutinised the Welsh Government in July on the costs to date of the M4 Relief Road project. The Committee have concluded their work on this issue for now and I attach copies of detailed correspondence between myself and Andrew Slade, Director General, Economy, Skills and Natural Resources Group at the Welsh Government, which I hope will be helpful in your Committee’s future work on this issue following publication of the Lord Burns Review. Vikki Howells AM and Oscar Asghar AM are Members of both Committee and have agreed to update Public Accounts Committee on the work your Committee undertakes. Yours sincerely, Nick Ramsay AM Chair Grwp yr Economi, Sgiliau a Chyfoeth Naturiol Economy, Skills and Natural Resources Group Cyfarwyddwr Cyffredinol - Director General Nick Ramsay AM Chair Public Accounts Committee 8 October 2019 Dear Chair M4 PROJECT COSTS I am responding to your email of 22 July and further letter of 25 July, in which you requested additional information following the Committee session on 15 July. I am sorry for the delay in so doing, but it has taken a little time to pull all the relevant detail together in the form requested. Use of data and presentation Cost estimates were produced at each stage of the M4 Project development using the cost price base and VAT treatment that was appropriate to each development phase. The price base year was kept at 2015 throughout the Inquiry process to aid comparison and assessment of scope changes during the Inquiry, such as the additional off-slip proposed near Magor services and the accommodation works developed in Newport Docks during the course of the Inquiry. - 
												
												Magor Station - Integrated Transport Report
Magor Station - Integrated Transport Report Christopher Waller On behalf of MAGOR 1 | 11009776 Front and rear cover images from Tom Curtis: http://tomcurtisrailgallery.weebly.com/january-2016. html 11009776 | Magor with Undy Walkway Station - Integrated Transport Report 2 Contents 1. About This Document 4 1.1 Document Outline 4 2. Introduction 4 2.1 Local Context 4 2.2 Route Description 7 2.3 Concurrent Works 7 3. Local Plan Context 9 3.1 Monmouthshire County Council’s local plan 9 4. Project History 9 4.1 Overview 9 4.2 Wales and Borders Rail 9 4.3 GRIP 1 10 4.4 GRIP 2 10 4.5 Footfall Survey 11 4.6 Census Data 13 4.7 Seven for Severnside (Accessible Transport Plan) 13 5. Rail Market Context 13 5.1 Welsh Route Study 13 5.2 Welsh Route Study Goals 14 5.3 Technical Considerations 14 6. Comparator Projects 15 6.1 Station Proposals 15 6.2 Llanharan 15 6.3 Pontyclun Station 16 7. Integrated Transport 16 7.1 Theory / Context 16 7.2 Role of Community Rail Partnerships 16 7.3 Station Demand 17 8. Station Site and Proposal 17 8.1 Overview 17 8.2 Proposed Facilities 18 9. Access Arrangements 18 9.1 Overview 18 9.2 Bus 20 9.3 Cycle 21 9.4 Demand Responsive Travel 22 9.5 Private Cars 23 9.6 Taxis and Private Hire 23 9.7 Walking 23 9.8 Community Facilities / Co-location 24 9.9 Ticket Office / co-selling 25 10. Discussion 25 10.1 General 25 11.