Aerospace, Defense & Government Services Industry Update
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AEROSPACE, DEFENSE & GOVERNMENT SERVICES INDUSTRY UPDATE │ FEBRUARY 2018 www.harriswilliams.com Investment banking services are provided by Harris Williams LLC, a registered broker-dealer and member of FINRA and SIPC, and Harris Williams & Co. Ltd, which is a private limited company incorporated under English law with its registered office at 5th Floor, 6 St. Andrew Street, London EC4A 3AE, UK, registered with the Registrar of Companies for England and Wales (registration number 07078852). Harris Williams & Co. Ltd is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. Harris Williams & Co. is a trade name under which Harris Williams LLC and Harris Williams & Co. Ltd conduct business. 0 AEROSPACE, DEFENSE & GOVERNMENT SERVICES INDUSTRY UPDATE │ FEBRUARY 2018 WHAT WE’RE READING OPINION: HOW FAR COULD BOEING TAKE INSOURCING? CONTENT . WHAT WE’RE READING “Vertical integration is not a new idea in aerospace. The United Aircraft and . PERSPECTIVE ON PUBLIC MARKETS Transport Corp. comprised complete aircraft manufacturing capability until it was . RECENT M&A TRANSACTIONS broken up into what would become Boeing, United Technologies Corp. (UTC) and United Airlines in 1934. For much of the Jet Age, aircraft OEMs were vertically integrated, but in the 1990s, outsourcing and Tier 1 supply-chain strategies took CONTACTS hold. After that era of outsourcing, the pendulum once again is swinging in the direction of vertical integration. This is particularly true with Boeing, which is Chris Rogers combining insourcing with recruitment of new suppliers and its Partnering for Managing Director Success program to create greater leverage on suppliers. The question on the [email protected] +1 (202) 207-2302 suppliers’ minds is: Where could Boeing vertically integrate next?” Aviation Week Doug Kinard Director [email protected] +1 (804) 915-0127 BUSINESS AVIATION ON AN UPSWING Chris Smith “Business and general aviation manufacturers finished 2017 on an upswing, Director [email protected] pushing up global shipments on the year 2.74 percent, to 2,324 units, and +1 (804) 932-1383 providing momentum into 2018, according to statistics released today by the General Aviation Manufacturers Association (GAMA). At the same time, the David Jones rotorcraft market underwent a turnaround, with total shipments jumping by almost Vice President 10 percent in 2017, GAMA reported in its 2017 aircraft shipment report.” [email protected] +1 (202) 207-2306 Aviation International News BIGGER, FASTER, STRONGER: CHINA’S EVER-EVOLVING MILITARY TECH “Just ahead of the week-long Lunar New Year holiday, Chinese president Xi Jinping visited a satellite launch site in the southwest Sichuan province, where he cheered the modernization and technological advances of China’s military. The setting was appropriate: Beidou 3 satellites were about to be sent into orbit, part of an effort to boost the satellite navigation system used by the People’s Liberation Army (PLA)—one goal being the ability to strike enemy targets with millimeter-level accuracy. China’s military upgrade goes beyond space-based navigation. Last May, Quartz highlighted notable advances like stealth fighter jets, high-tech reconnaissance ships, and long-range air-to-air missiles. The world’s largest operational amphibious aircraft, the AG600, had recently completed a taxiing test.” Defense One ACQUISITION DISRUPTION: INNOVATIVE CONCEPTS IN GOVERNMENT CONTRACTING “Government procurement often gets a (not altogether undeserved) bad rap as a cumbersome process that is lacking in imagination and innovation. Today more than ever, however, the federal government is making use of cutting edge procedures and methods to attract commercial companies to government contracting and to encourage modernization and efficiency in procurements. Below we discuss some of the creative tools being used to benefit both contractors and the government, including other transaction agreements, contests, public-private partnerships, and other novel approaches.” Morrison & Foerster PAGE | 1 AEROSPACE, DEFENSE & GOVERNMENT SERVICES INDUSTRY UPDATE │ FEBRUARY 2018 PERSPECTIVE ON PUBLIC MARKETS(a)(b)(1) STOCK PRICE PERFORMANCE – LAST TWELVE MONTHS Total Market Cap ($B) 200 180 $319 160 $658 140 $67 $147 120 $32 $48 100 $469 80 60 Mar-17 Apr-17 May-17 Jun-17 Jul-17 Aug-17 Sep-17 Oct-17 Nov-17 Dec-17 Jan-18 Feb-18 Mar-18 S&P 500 11.1x Aircraft OEMs 10.7x Aerospace Manufacturing Supply Chain & Aftermarket Support 12.0x Diversified Industrial - Heavy Aerospace Exposure 12.8x Defense Prime Contractors 15.3x Defense Technologies 11.6x Government Services 9.1x Diversified Services - Heavy Government Exposure MEDIAN % CHANGE (1 MONTH) MEDIAN % CHANGE (12 MONTH) Aircraft OEMs 4.7% Aircraft OEMs 68.0% Defense Prime Contractors 1.5% Defense Prime Contractors 31.3% -0.9% Government Services Defense Technology 21.5% -3.2% Defense Technology Diversified Industrial 19.7% Aerospace Manufacturing Supply -3.8% S&P 500 Chain & Aftermarket Support 19.1% Aerospace Manufacturing Supply -4.5% Chain & Aftermarket Support S&P 500 13.3% -6.1% Diversified Industrial Government Services 10.2% -6.5% Diversified Services Diversified Services 0.0% MOST SIGNIFICANT STOCK PRICE MOVEMENT – JANUARY 31ST TO FEBRUARY 28TH 27.0% -26.1% 20.3% Current 52-Week 52-Week Current 52-Week 52-Week Current 52-Week 52-Week Price High Low Price High Low Price High Low $8.95 $12.45 $6.30 $15.14 $21.59 $13.63 $40.53 $40.58 $27.53 Recently announced higher General Dynamics announced volumes on hardware and Announced Q4 earnings that fell acquisition of CSRA for $9.6 billion, chemical contracts as well as short of market expectations representing 11.6x CY18 EBITDA internal cost-cutting initiatives Indicates median TEV / 2018E EBITDA PAGE | 2 AEROSPACE, DEFENSE & GOVERNMENT SERVICES INDUSTRY UPDATE │ FEBRUARY 2018 RECENT M&A TRANSACTIONS(2) Date Announced Target Sub-Sector Description Acquirer AEROSPACE Moeller Manufacturing & Airframe and Engine Consolidated Aerospace 2/28/18 Producer of aerospace and defense washers and spacers Supply Structural Components Manufacturing (Tinicum) Airframe and Engine Designer and producer of composite hardware and systems for Applied Composites 2/27/18 San Diego Composites Structural Components the aerospace, space, and defense industries (AE Industrial) Maintenance, Repair & Provider of avionics repair, overhaul, modification/system design, 2/27/18 Leading Edge Aviation Kathryn Brewer / ESOP Overhaul and installations services Beaver Aerospace & Airframe and Engine 2/27/18 $24 Manufacturer of ball screws and actuation systems Heroux-Devtek Inc. Defense Structural Components Modern Aviation 2/25/18 Air Wilmington FBO Sole FBO at Wilmington International Airport (Tiger Infrastructure) Electromechanical, Manufacturer of jacks, general aviation hydraulic power units, Solair (Clavis Capital / 2/14/18 JetMac Power & Related and fluid dispensers Grayrock Capital) Maintenance, Repair & Provider of green completions, refurbishment, repair and overhaul, 2/8/18 Flying Colours Corp New Heritage Capital Overhaul and comprehensive maintenance services for business aircraft FMH Aerospace Airframe and Engine Provider of complex, highly-engineered solutions for the 2/1/18 $235 AMETEK (Industrial Growth Partners) Structural Components aerospace, defense, and space industries Aviation Services PrimeFlight 2/1/18 Ultimate Aircraft Deicing Provider of deicing services for commercial aircraft & Support (The Carlyle Group) Maintenance, Repair & Provider of repair and overhaul services for components and 1/31/18 Air Transport Components Holder Family Investments Overhaul accessories for commercial and military aircraft DEFENSE Sensor Technology Tactical Products Designer and manufacturer of sophisticated nuclear radiation 2/27/18 HEICO Engineering & Accessories detectors for law enforcement and military applications Corfin Industries Provider of defense electronics component preparation services 2/21/18 Defense Electronics Behrman Capital (Sagewind Capital) for the aerospace and defense end markets Air, Land, and Sea Designer and manufacturer of high-speed rotating equipment 2/19/18 $213 Dresser-Rand Govt Business Curtiss-Wright Platforms & Subsystems solutions for U.S. Navy vessels Galls Tactical Products & Charlesbank Capital 2/2/18 Distributor of uniform and equipment to public safety markets (CI Capital) Accessories Partners Cobham AvComm and Provider of comprehensive testing services for communication 2/2/18 $455 Defense Electronics Viavi Solutions Wireless T&M networks Provider of mission-critical power solutions for customers in the 1/26/18 EaglePicher Technologies Defense Electronics GTCR defense, aerospace, and medical end markets Atrenne Integrated Solutions Manufacturer of electromechanical equipment for 1/24/18 $139 Defense Electronics Celestica (RFE Investment Partners) aerospace and defense markets Armor Express Tactical Products 1/19/18 Manufacturer of high-performance body armor solutions KDH Defense Systems (Spanos Barber Jesse & Co.) & Accessories 1/2/18 $9 Enertec Systems Defense Electronics Manufacturer of electronic systems DPW Holdings Designer, manufacturer, and integrator of commercial, rugged 12/21/17 $180 Themis Computer Defense Electronics Mercury Systems servers, computers, and storage systems for defense programs GOVERNMENT SERVICES Stinger Ghaffarian Systems Engineering & Provider of high-value engineering, mission operations, scientific, 2/23/18 $355 KBR Technologies Technical Assistance and IT service solutions