The 2017 Preakness Stakes Betting Guide
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PREAKNESS STAKES BETTING GUIDE CONTENTS 3 Betting Guide Overview 4 How to Read a Past Performance 5 Expert Picks 6 Top Contender Bios 7 Kentucky Derby Superfecta Payout 8 Three-Year-Old Debuts 9 Preakness Tipsheet 10 Alternative View or Alternative Universe? PREAKNESS STAKES BETTING GUIDE DOWNLOAD THE TWINSPIRES APP & BET THE PREAKNESS ALWAYS DREAMING SEEKS TO JOIN BIG CAST OF KENTUCKY DERBY-PREAKNESS WINNERS by James Scully LAST 40 KENTUCKY DERBY WINNERS PREAKNESS RESULTS KY DERBY WINNER PREAKNESS ODDS RESULT Nyquist 3-5 3rd American Pharoah 4-5 1st California Chrome 1-2 1st Orb 3-5 4th I’ll Have Another 3-1 1st Animal Kingdom 2-1 2nd Super Saver 9-5 8th Mine That Bird 6-1 2nd Big Brown 1-5 1st Street Sense 6-5 2nd Barbaro 1-2 DNF Giacomo 6-1 3rd Smarty Jones 3-5 1st Always Dreaming put his speed to good use at Churchill Downs, Funny Cide 9-5 1st posting a 2 ¾-length decision in the Kentucky Derby, and War Emblem 5-2 1st supporters are confident he can stretch his win streak to five in the 142nd running of the $1.5 million Preakness Stakes. Monarchos 2-1 6th Fusaichi Pegasus 1-5 2nd History shows it’s very doable. In the last 40 years, Kentucky Charismatic 8-1 1st Derby winners have won at a 40% clip in Baltimore (15-for-37 Real Quiet 5-2 1st with three missing the race). Silver Charm 3-1 1st Memories of Nyquist, who had his Triple Crown hopes dashed Grindstone Non-starter - when weakening to third as the 3-5 favorite in the 2016 Thunder Gulch 7-2 3rd Preakness Stakes, may still be fresh for horse racing fans but Go for Gin 5-2 2nd the two previous Kentucky Derby victors, American Pharoah and California Chrome, easily captured the second leg of the Sea Hero 4-1 5th American Triple Crown. Lil E. Tee 4-1 5th Strike the Gold 9-5 6th When you add in 2012 Kentucky Derby scorer I’ll Have Another, Unbridled 8-5 2nd three of the last five have held suit following the two-week turnaround. From 1997-2004, six-of-eight horses completed the Sunday Silence 2-1 1st Kentucky Derby-Preakness double. Winning Colors 9-5 3rd Alysheba 3-5 4th And six of the last seven Kentucky Derby winners who failed Ferdinand 3-1 2nd in the Preakness -- Orb (2013), Animal Kingdom (2011), Super Saver (2010), Mine That Bird (2009), Street Sense (2007) and Spend a Buck Non-starter - Giacomo (2005) – were off-the-pace types. Always Dreaming’s Swale 4-5 7th front-running style rates as an advantage. Sunny’s Halo 1-1 6th Gato Del Sol Non-starter - He’s a threat to lead wire-to-wire and tractable enough to sit just off a hot pace if necessary. Pleasant Colony 3-2 1st Genuine Risk 2-1 2nd Always Dreaming must still get past the competition including Spectacular Bid 1-9 1st troubled-trip Classic Empire, the 2-year-old champion and Affirmed 1-2 1st Kentucky Derby morning line favorite, but the Kentucky Derby winner remains eligible to deliver his best at Pimlico. Seattle Slew 2-5 1st PREAKNESS STAKES BETTING GUIDE DOWNLOAD THE TWINSPIRES APP & BET THE PREAKNESS HOW TO READ A PAST PERFORMANCE TWINSPIRES CUSTOMERS GET FREE BRISNET PPs FOR TRACKS THEY WAGER ON The Brisnet.com Ultimate PPs are the most detailed past performance product on the market and include speed ratings, pace figures, exclusive Prime Power and Class ratings, detailed jockey and trainer statistics, and pedigree information. Start using Ultimate PPs and discover why Brisnet.com is the handicapper’s edge. 1 12 10 7 8 9 13 11 2 3 5 4 6 14 19 20 26 20 21 24 15 16 17 18 18 22 23 25 1 BRIS Pace and Speed Pars 14 Positive and Negative Comments 2 Jockey Stats 15 Date of Race, Track, and Race Number 3 Trainer Stats 16 Surface, Distance, and Track Conditions 4 Dam Stats 17 Fractional Times of Leader, Final Time, and Age Designation 5 Sire Stats 18 BRIS Race Rating and Class Rating 6 Sales Stats 19 Race Type 7 Horse’s Pedigree, Sales & Breeding Information 20 BRIS Pace and Speed Ratings 8 BRIS Prime Power Rating 21 Post Position, Placement Throughout Race, and Finish 9 Run Style Stats 22 Jockey and Weight 10 BRIS Pedigree Rating 23 Medication, Equipment, and Odds 11 Medication, Equipment, and Weight the Horse Will Carry 24 Top Finishers, Comment, and Number of Starters 12 Horse’s Lifetime Start Information 25 Workouts 13 Owner & Jockey Silks 26 BRIS Race Shapes PREAKNESS STAKES BETTING GUIDE DOWNLOAD THE TWINSPIRES APP & BET THE PREAKNESS EXPERT PICKS FOR PREAKNESS STAKES WEEKEND We’ve assembled an expert team of handicappers to give their top picks for each graded stakes race for both Black-eyed Susan and Preakness days. FRIDAY, MAY 19 Pimlico Race Course Ed DeRosa Vance Hanson Nicolle Neulist Kellie Reilly James Scully @EJXD2 @VPHanson @RogueClown @GallantFox1930 @James_Scully111 PIMLICO SPECIAL (G3) 6 Shaman Ghost 6 Shaman Ghost 6 Shaman Ghost 6 Shaman Ghost 3 Watershed 1 Dolphus 3 Watershed 5 Noble Bird 9 Conquest Windycity 6 Shaman Ghost 9 Conquest Windycity 1 Dolphus 1 Dolphus 7 Name Changer 7 Name Changer JIM MCKAY TURF SPRINT 4 Pay Any Price 2 Amelia’s Wild Ride 6 Take Cover 6 Take Cover 10 Richard’s Boy 10 Richard’s Boy 10 Richard’s Boy 8 Uncle Youdge 10 Richard’s Boy 7 Grand Candy 7 Grand Candy 4 Pay Any Price 10 Richard’s Boy 5 Ben’s Cat 5 Ben’s Cat BLACK-EYED SUSAN (G2) 1 Shimmering Aspen 6 Corporate Queen 5 Lights Of Medina 1 Shimmering Aspen 5 Lights Of Medina 5 Lights Of Medina 8 Torrent 3 Dancing Rags 4 Full House 7 Moana 7 Moana 9 Summer Luck 7 Moana 9 Summer Luck 10 Actress SATURDAY, MAY 20 Pimlico Race Course Ed DeRosa Vance Hanson Nicolle Neulist Kellie Reilly James Scully @EJXD2 @VPHanson @RogueClown @GallantFox1930 @James_Scully111 GALLORETTE STAKES (G3) 10 Cambodia 2 Zipessa 6 On Leave 6 On Leave 3 Danilova 7 Elysea’s World 7 Elysea’s World 7 Elysea’s World 7 Elysea’s World 6 On Leave 6 On Leave 6 On Leave 2 Zipessa 2 Zipessa 5 Gone Away SIR BARTON STAKES 2 Hedge Fund 2 Hedge Fund 5 No Mo Dough 6 Watch Me Whip 2 Hedge Fund 5 No Mo Dough 9 Time To Travel 2 Hedge Fund 2 Hedge Fund 6 Watch Me Whip 6 Watch Me Whip 6 Watch Me Whip 9 Time To Travel 5 No Mo Dough 5 No Mo Dough THE LONGINES DIXIE 2 World Approval 4 Projected 4 Projected 2 World Approval 4 Projected STAKES (G2) 9 Conquest Typhoon 2 World Approval 9 Ring Weekend 9 Ring Weekend 2 World Approval 7 Blacktype 8 Catapult 7 Blacktype 4 Projected 7 Blacktype PREAKNESS STAKES (G1) 5 Classic Empire 5 Classic Empire 10 Conquest Mo Money 5 Classic Empire 4 Always Dreaming 6 Gunnevera 4 Always Dreaming 4 Always Dreaming 4 Always Dreaming 3 Hence 1 Multiplier 1 Multiplier 5 Classic Empire 3 Hence 5 Classic Empire PREAKNESS STAKES BETTING GUIDE DOWNLOAD THE TWINSPIRES APP & BET THE PREAKNESS PREAKNESS STAKES TOP HORSES ALWAYS DREAMING Owner: Brooklyn Boyz Stables Trainer: Todd A. Pletcher Jockey: John R. Velazquez Unbeaten at three, the Todd Pletcher-trained son of Bodemeister lived up to the potential he showed in the Florida Derby with a superb Kentucky Derby victory. Always Dreaming has early speed and a great turn of foot that he unleashed at the top of the stretch to take him to Derby victory. That combination usually works well in the Preakness Stakes as well. Is he good enough to keep the Triple Crown alive? Many think he is. CLASSIC EMPIRE Owner: John C. Oxley Trainer: Mark E. Casse Jockey: Julien R. Leparoux Last season’s champion 2-year-old male has had a difficult sophomore season, punctured with injuries and training difficulties. Some hard work and clever thinking from trainer Mark Casse got him back on track and he bounced back to win the Arkansas Derby, but his troubles continued in the Kentucky Derby when he was badly bumped at the start. His effort to finish fourth that day was an extremely worthy one. The big question is what he’s capable of if he gets a clean run. CONQUEST MO MONEY Owner: Judge Lanier Racing Trainer: Miguel Hernandez Jockey: Jorge Carreno The most interesting Preakness runner that didn’t contest the Kentucky Derby is arguably this $8,500 yearling from New Mexico. After winning his first three starts, Conquest Mo Money ran second in the Sunland Derby before putting up a fantastic effort from on the speed in the Arkansas Derby, beating all but Classic Empire, relegating Derby runner-up Lookin At Lee to third. Not nominated for the Triple Crown, his connections have put up $150,000 to run here. He may well be good enough to earn it back. LOOKIN AT LEE Owner: L and N Racing, LLC Trainer: Steve M. Asmussen Jockey: Corey J. Lanerie Fourth in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile, second in the Kentucky Derby: Lookin At Lee knows how to perform on thoroughbred racing’s biggest stages. The Steve Asmussen-trained son of Lookin At Lucky made up many lengths along the rail in the Derby and was the only horse within seven lengths of Always Dreaming at the finish. The shorter distance of the Preakness may not suit him, but he should be making up ground when the others are tiring.