Towards a Conceptual Model of Affective Predictions in Palliative Care
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Is It Possible to Accurately Forecast Suicide, Or Is Suicide a Consequence of Forecasting Errors?
UNIVERSITY OF NOTTINGHAM Is it Possible to Accurately Forecast Suicide, or is Suicide a Consequence of Forecasting Errors? Patterns of Action Dissertation Sophie Joy 5/12/2014 Word Count: 3938 Contents Abstract 2 Introduction 3 Can Individual Behaviour Be Forecasted? 4 Can Suicide be Accurately Forecasted? 5 The Suicide Process 6 Mental Health 8 Interpersonal Psychological Theory of Suicide 8 A History of Suicidal Behaviours 8 Is Suicide a Consequence of Poor Affective Forecasting? 10 Can HuMans Accurately Forecast EMotions? 10 FocalisM 11 IMpact Bias 11 Duration Bias 11 IMMune Neglect 11 Application of Affective Forecasting Errors to Suicidal Individuals 12 What is the IMpact of Poor Affective Forecasting on Suicide? 13 Rational Choice Theory 13 Conclusion 15 Reference List 16 1 Is It Possible to Accurately Forecast Suicide, or is Suicide a Consequence of Forecasting Errors? “Where have we come from? What are we? Where are we going? ...They are not really separate questions but one big question taken in three bites. For only by understanding where we have come from can we make sense of what we are; only by understanding what we are can we make sense of where we are going” Humphrey, 1986, p. 174. Abstract Forecasting has been applied to Many disciplines however accurate forecasting of huMan behaviour has proven difficult with the forecasting of suicidal behaviour forMing no exception. This paper will discuss typical suicidal processes and risk factors which, it will be argued, have the potential to increase forecasting accuracy. Suicide is an eMotive social issue thus it is essential that the forecasting of this behaviour is atteMpted in order to be able to successfully apply prevention and intervention strategies. -
Why Feelings Stray: Sources of Affective Misforecasting in Consumer Behavior Vanessa M
Why Feelings Stray: Sources of Affective Misforecasting in Consumer Behavior Vanessa M. Patrick, University of Georgia Deborah J. MacInnis, University of Southern California ABSTRACT drivers of AMF has considerable import for consumer behavior, Affective misforecasting (AMF) is defined as the gap between particularly in the area of consumer satisfaction, brand loyalty and predicted and experienced affect. Based on prior research that positive word-of-mouth. examines AMF, the current study uses qualitative and quantitative Figure 1 depicts the process by which affective misforecasting data to examine the sources of AMF (i.e., why it occurs) in the occurs (for greater detail see MacInnis, Patrick and Park 2005). As consumption domain. The authors find evidence supporting some Figure 1 suggests, affective forecasts are based on a representation sources of AMF identified in the psychology literature, develop a of a future event and an assessment of the possible affective fuller understanding of others, and, find evidence for novel sources reactions to this event. AMF occurs when experienced affect of AMF not previously explored. Importantly, they find consider- deviates from the forecasted affect on one or more of the following able differences in the sources of AMF depending on whether dimensions: valence, intensity and duration. feelings are worse than or better than forecast. Since forecasts can be made regarding the valence of the feelings, the specific emotions expected to be experienced, the INTRODUCTION intensity of feelings or the duration of a projected affective re- Before purchase: “I can’t wait to use this all the time, it is sponse, consequently affective misforecasting can occur along any going to be so much fun, I’m going to go out with my buddies of these dimensions. -
What We Mean When We Talk About Suffering—And Why Eric Cassell Should Not Have the Last Word
What We Mean When We Talk About Suffering—and Why Eric Cassell Should Not Have the Last Word Tyler Tate, Robert Pearlman Perspectives in Biology and Medicine, Volume 62, Number 1, Winter 2019, pp. 95-110 (Article) Published by Johns Hopkins University Press For additional information about this article https://muse.jhu.edu/article/722412 Access provided at 26 Apr 2019 00:52 GMT from University of Washington @ Seattle What We Mean When We Talk About Suffering—and Why Eric Cassell Should Not Have the Last Word Tyler Tate* and Robert Pearlman† ABSTRACT This paper analyzes the phenomenon of suffering and its relation- ship to medical practice by focusing on the paradigmatic work of Eric Cassell. First, it explains Cassell’s influential model of suffering. Second, it surveys various critiques of Cassell. Next it outlines the authors’ concerns with Cassell’s model: it is aggressive, obscure, and fails to capture important features of the suffering experience. Finally, the authors propose a conceptual framework to help clarify the distinctive nature of sub- jective patient suffering. This framework contains two necessary conditions: (1) a loss of a person’s sense of self, and (2) a negative affective experience. The authors suggest how this framework can be used in the medical encounter to promote clinician-patient communication and the relief of suffering. *Center for Ethics in Health Care and School of Medicine, Oregon Health and Science University, Portland. †National Center for Ethics in Health Care, Washington, DC, and School of Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle. Correspondence: Tyler Tate, Oregon Health and Science University, School of Medicine, Depart- ment of Pediatrics, 3181 SW Sam Jackson Park Road, Portland, OR 97239-3098. -
Ethics – Handout 10 My Notes on Mill’S Utilitarianism
24.231 Ethics – Handout 10 My Notes on Mill’s Utilitarianism (1) General concerns: • Are interpersonal comparisons of utility even possible? • What are we talking about – maximizing total utility or average utility? • Both seem to ignore issues of distributive justice (except instrumentally – diminishing marginal utility of resources) • Average utility has some implausible implications (especially when considering harms, rather than benefits – is it really not worse for a total population of 100 people to be suffering torture than for a total population of 10 people to be suffering it?), and seems not to sit comfortably with utilitarian intuitions. Total utility invites the repugnant conclusion (but it’s important to remember that this isn’t just a problem for utilitarianism). (2) On higher and lower pleasures: • Should a utilitarian make any distinction between these? Is “pushpin as good as poetry,” if the quatity of pleasure they produce is the same? • How are we to determine which of two pleasures is higher? Is Mill’s appeal to “competent judges who have experienced both pleasures” plausible? And if competent judges prefer the higher pleasures, should we think they do so because activities leading them are more pleasurable, or have a higher quality of pleasure? Isn’t it perhaps more plausible to think they value them more for some other reason, having nothing to do with pleasure? • Relatedly, even if competent judges do take more pleasure in engaging in “higher” activities, are these activities more valuable because they are more pleasurable -
Loneliness, Mental Health Symptoms and COVID-19 Okruszek, Ł.1, Aniszewska-Stańczuk, A.1,2*, Piejka, A.1*, Wiśniewska, M.1*, Żurek, K.1,2*
Safe but lonely? Loneliness, mental health symptoms and COVID-19 Okruszek, Ł.1, Aniszewska-Stańczuk, A.1,2*, Piejka, A.1*, Wiśniewska, M.1*, Żurek, K.1,2* 1. Social Neuroscience Lab, Institute of Psychology, Polish Academy of Sciences 2. Faculty of Psychology, University of Warsaw * authors are listed alphabetically Corresponding author information: Łukasz Okruszek, Institute of Psychology, Polish Academy of Sciences, Jaracza 1, 00-378 Warsaw, Poland (e-mail: [email protected]) Abstract The COVID-19 pandemic has led governments worldwide to implement unprecedented response strategies. While crucial to limiting the spread of the virus, “social distancing” may lead to severe psychological consequences, especially in lonely individuals. We used cross- sectional (n=380) and longitudinal (n=74) designs to investigate the links between loneliness, mental health symptoms (MHS) and COVID-19 risk perception and affective response in young adults who implemented social distancing during the first two weeks of the state of epidemic threat in Poland. Loneliness was correlated with MHS and with affective response to COVID-19’s threat to health. However, increased worry about the social isolation and heightened risk perception for financial problems was observed in lonelier individuals. The cross-lagged influence of the initial affective response to COVID-19 on subsequent levels of loneliness was also found. Thus, the reciprocal connections between loneliness and COVID- 19 response may be of crucial importance for MHS during COVID-19 crisis. Keywords: loneliness, mental well-being, mental health, COVID-19, preventive strategies Data availability statement: Data from the current study can be accessed via https://osf.io/ec3mb/ Introduction Within three months-time since the first case of the novel coronavirus originating from Wuhan (Hubei, China) has been officially reported, COVID-19 has spread to 210 countries and territories affecting over 1602 thousand individuals and causing 95735 deaths as of 10th April (Dong, Du, & Gardner, 2020). -
Examining Affective Forecasting and Its Practical and Ethical Implications
Examining Affective Forecasting and its Practical and Ethical Implications Emily Susan Brindley BSc Psychology 2009 Supervisor: Prof. David Clarke Contents Page Introduction 1 1. Affective Forecasting – What do we know? 1 2. Biases – Why people cannot predict their emotions accurately 3 2.1 Impact Bias 3 2.2 ‘Focalism’ 4 2.3 Immune Neglect 4 2.4 Dissimilar Context 4 3. The Self-Regulating Emotional System 5 4. Affective Forecasting Applied 6 4.1 Healthcare 6 4.2 Law 7 5. Can AFing be improved? 8 6. Ethics: Should people be taught to forecast more accurately? 10 Conclusions 12 References 13 Examining Affective Forecasting and its Practical and Ethical Implications Introduction Emotions are important in guiding thoughts and behaviour to the extent that they are used as heuristics (Slovic, Finucane, Peters & MacGregor, 2007), and are crucial in decision-making (Anderson, 2003). Affective forecasting (AFing) concerns an individual’s judgemental prediction of their or another’s future emotional reactions to events. It is suggested that “affective forecasts are among the guiding stars by which people chart their life courses and steer themselves into the future” (Gilbert, Pinel, Wilson, Blumberg & Wheatley, 1998; p.617), as our expected reactions to emotional events can assist in avoiding or approaching certain possibilities. We can say with certainty that we will prefer good experiences over bad (ibid); however AFing research demonstrates that humans are poor predictors of their emotional states, regularly overestimating their reactions. Further investigation of these findings shows that they may have critical implications outside of psychology. If emotions are so influential on behaviour, why are people poor at AFing? Furthermore, can and should individuals be assisted in forecasting their emotions? These issues, along with the function of AFing in practical applications, are to be considered and evaluated. -
Matt Hayes of School of Accountancy W.P
Distinguished Lecture Series School of Accountancy W. P. Carey School of Business Arizona State University Matt Hayes of School of Accountancy W.P. Carey School of Business Arizona State University will discuss “Risky Decision, Affect, and Cognitive Load: Does Multi-Tasking Reduce Affective Biases?” on September 13, 2013 1:00pm in MCRD164 Risky Decisions, Affect, and Cognitive Load: Does Multi-Tasking Reduce Affective Biases? Matt Hayes W.P. Carey School of Accountancy First Year Research Paper August 30, 2013 Abstract This paper examines the effects of cognitive load on risky choices in a capital budgeting setting. Research by Moreno et al. (2002) demonstrated that affective reactions to a choice can alter risk-taking tendencies. Their control participants’ decisions were influenced by the framing effects of prospect theory. However, once affective cues were introduced, participants’ reactions to these cues dominated the framing effect, leading to prospect theory inconsistent choices. Some studies of cognitive load show that high cognitive load leads to greater reliance on affective cues (Shiv and Fedorikhin 1999). Other research has shown high cognitive load may impair processing of affective information (Hoerger et al. 2010; Sevdalis and Harvey 2009). In this paper I am able to replicate the original finding in Moreno et al. (2002), but find that cognitive load moderates the affect-risk-taking relationship. Specifically, in a gain setting, cognitive load versus no load participants were more likely to make prospect theory consistent choices, despite the presence of affective cues. These findings suggest that cognitive load may inhibit processing of affective information, and is an important consideration when studying decision making in managerial accounting. -
Religious Perspectives on Human Suffering: Implications for Medicine and Bioethics
View metadata, citation and similar papers at core.ac.uk brought to you by CORE provided by Sydney eScholarship Postprint This is a pre-copyedited, author-produced PDF of an article accepted for publication in [Journal of Religion and Health] following peer review. The definitive publisher-authenticated version [Fitzpatrick SJ, Kerridge IH, Jordens CFC, Zoloth L, Tollefsen C, Tsomo KL, Jensen MP, Sachedina A, Sarma D. Religious perspectives on human suffering: Implications for medicine and bioethics. Journal of Religion and Health 2016; 55:159–173] is available online at http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10943-015-0014-9 Please cite as: Fitzpatrick SJ, Kerridge IH, Jordens CFC, Zoloth L, Tollefsen C, Tsomo KL, Jensen MP, Sachedina A, Sarma D. Religious perspectives on human suffering: Implications for medicine and bioethics. Journal of Religion and Health 2016; 55:159–173. Religious perspectives on human suffering: Implications for medicine and bioethics Scott J FitzpatrickA,B, Ian H KerridgeB, Christopher F C JordensB , Laurie ZolothC, Christopher TollefsenD, Karma Lekshe TsomoE, Michael P JensenF, Abdulaziz SachedinaG, Deepak SarmaH (2015/16) ACentre for Rural and Remote Mental Health, University of Newcastle, Orange, Australia; BCentre for Values, Ethics and the Law in Medicine (VELiM), University of Sydney, Sydney, Australia; CCentre for Bioethics, Science and Society, Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, Illinois, USA; DDepartment of Philosophy, University of South Carolina, Colombia, South Carolina, USA USA; EDepartment of Theology and Religious Studies, University of San Diego, San Diego, California, USA; FMoore Theological College, Sydney, Australia; GAli Vural Ak Centre for Global Islamic Studies, George Mason University, Fairfax, Virginia, USA; HReligious Studies, Case Western Reserve University, Cleveland, Ohio, USA. -
ANXIETY DISORDERS in ADULTS the Disorders, Their Treatment and Prevention
Angstlidelser hos voksne, engelsk Information about ANXIETY DISORDERS IN ADULTS The disorders, their treatment and prevention Psykiatri og Social psykinfomidt.dk CONTENTS 03 What are anxiety disorders? 05 Why do some people suffer from anxiety disorders? 06 What happens in the brain when someone suffers from anxiety? 07 What types of anxiety disorders are there? 08 What are the symptoms of anxiety disorders? 10 Different degrees of anxiety disorders 11 How are they diagnosed? 12 What treatment is available for anxiety disorders? 15 What can be done to prevent anxiety disorders? 16 What can you do yourself if you are suffering from anxiety? 18 What can relatives do? 21 Where can you find more information? Anxiety disorders are the most common mental disorders in the population in the Western world. This brochure describes anxiety disorders, their specific characteristics as well as what they have in common, and their treatment. It also offers some advice to anxiety sufferers and their relatives. This brochure is for adults (age 18 and above), and it is mainly intended for people being treated for anxiety disorders by the psychiatric service in Region Midtjylland, and for their relatives. It is important for you and your relatives to learn about anxiety disorders. The more you know, the better you will be able to relate to the disorder when it occurs, and prevent relapses. Regional psychiatry in Region Midtjylland has six clinics offering outpatient treatment of anxiety disorders. We hope this brochure will help you and your relatives to become better informed about anxiety disorders. Kind regards The psychiatric service in Region Midtjylland Tingvej 15, 8800 Viborg Tel. -
Rational Desire and Rationality in Desire: an Unapologetic Defense Peter Railton Preliminary Draft of October 2008—Please Do Not Circulate Without Permission
Rational Desire and Rationality in Desire: An Unapologetic Defense Peter Railton Preliminary draft of October 2008—please do not circulate without permission Introduction Consider Robert Stalnaker’s well-known, elegant formulation of the interlocking, functional nature of belief and desire: Belief and desire … are correlative dispositional states of a potentially rational agent. To desire that P is to be disposed to act in ways that would tend to bring it about that P in a world in which one’s beliefs, whatever they are, were true. To believe that P is to be disposed to act in ways that would tend to satisfy one’s desires, whatever they are, in a world in which P (together with one’s other beliefs) were true. [Stalnaker (1984), 15; emphasis added] This characterization gives a picture of a potentially rational agent as, so to speak, at the mercy of his beliefs and desires, whatever they are. Whether an individual agent is actually rational, one might naturally think, will depend on what fills in for ‘whatever they are’—for this will determine the shape of her life and, roughly, who, if anyone, is in charge. Put another way: Autonomy will depend heavily on how ‘whatever they are’ is filled in—what role does the agent herself play? And rationality will depend heavily on what is filled in—will the agent’s beliefs and desires be as they rationally should be?1 The thought is: If your beliefs and desires are as they rationally should be, and you as agent have played the right sort of role in acquiring them, then insofar as they are functioning normally—namely, as Stalnaker indicates—to guide how you act, then your actions, too, will be autonomous, and as they rationally should be. -
Understanding and Watering the Seeds of Compassion
Research in Human Development, 12: 280–287, 2015 Copyright © Taylor & Francis Group, LLC ISSN: 1542-7609 print / 1542-7617 online DOI: 10.1080/15427609.2015.1068060 Understanding and Watering the Seeds of Compassion Mark T. Greenberg and Christa Turksma Pennsylvania State University The authors call for a broad agenda to create comprehensive models and research on the devel- opment and promotion of empathy and compassion. This wish would lead to a new level of 5 developmental/ecological understanding of the growth of compassion as well as effective policies and practices and interventions that nurture caring, compassion, and service to others in our schools and communities. The authors define empathy and compassion, briefly discuss the outline of early developmental processes, and call for basic research on these essential aspects of human develop- ment. The authors conclude by discussing the need to develop new ways to promote empathy and 10 compassion in families, schools and communities. Our wish is for a life-span developmental psychology to make greater contributions to building a compassionate world society. This calls for a broad agenda to create comprehensive models and research on the development and promotion of emotional awareness, empathy, and com- passion. The practical outcome of such a comprehensive program would include (1) clearer 15 developmental/ecological models of the growth of compassion; (2) effective policies, programs, and practices that support the development of caring, compassion, and service to others in our schools and communities; and (3) children, youth, and adults who show greater service to others as well as caring about the preservation of the earth’s ecology. -
Reaching the Minds and Hearts of Those We Serve
Connection Through Self-Compassion and Compassion for Others: Reaching the Minds and Hearts of Those We Serve Roseann Cervelli, MS, LACDC, CCS, CPS [email protected] 732-937-5437 Ext.122 Compassion, COVID 19 And the Year 2020: A New Threshold for Humanity Objectives • To analyze and explore how Mindful Self-Compassion serves as an antidote to apathy and disconnection in today’s world. • To define Mindful Self-Compassion and Compassion for Others as an approach to well-being, physically, mentally, emotionally and spiritually. • To describe how Compassion Awareness can address meeting Basic Core Needs and healing Core Wounds • To explore the Neuroscience within Compassion Focused Therapy and Compassion Awareness. • To introduce and experience several Mindful Compassion Exercises and Practices What words come to mind when you hear or see the word "APATHY"? ⓘ Start presenting to display the poll results on this slide. What Is Apathy ? A feeling and/or attitude of indifference, unconcern, unresponsiveness, detachment, dispassion. An absence of interest or concern about emotional, social, spiritual, philosophical and/or physical life and the world. Why Apathy? To understand the part of us that Rarely is it good to run, but we are wants nothing to do with the full wiser, more present, more mature, necessities of work, of more understanding and more relationship, of loss, of seeing thoroughly human when we realize what is necessary, is to learn we can never flee from the need to humility, to cultivate self- run away. compassion and to sharpen that - David Whyte, Consolations: The Solace, Nourishment and sense of humor essential to a Underlying Meaning of Everyday Words (2106) merciful perspective of both a self and another.