Sunshine Coast Council Sunshine Coast Council area Population and Household Forecasts 2016 to 2026
population forecast
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Table of contents Home 3 About the forecast areas 4 Drivers of population change 5 Population summary 8 Population, households and dwellings 10 Components of population change 12 Population and age structure 14 Household types 16 Dwellings and development 19 Population and age structure 22 Household types 56 Residential development 68 Net migration by age 71 Non-private dwellings 72 Births and deaths 74 About the forecasts 75 Factors of population change 76 Household and suburb life cycles 78 Forecast modelling process 81 Notes on base data 85 Glossary 86
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Welcome to Sunshine Coast Council area population forecasts The Sunshine Coast Council area Population and Household Forecasts 2016 to 2026 present what is driving population change in the community and how the population, age structure and household types will change each year between 2016 and 2026.
The forecasts are designed to provide community groups, Council, investors, business, students and the general public with the knowledge to make confident decisions about the future.
These forecasts were last updated in December 2017 by .id, the population experts, on behalf of Sunshine Coast Council. Forecasts are available for each year from 2016 to 2026.
Important Population 2016 Population 2026 Change 2016-26
Statistics 303,392 386,692 27.5%
Forecast population
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About the forecast areas
The Sunshine Coast Council area includes the suburbs, townships and rural localities of Alexandra Headland, Aroona, Bald Knob, Balmoral Ridge, Battery Hill, Beerburrum, Beerwah, Belli Park, Bells Creek, Birtinya, Bli Bli, Bokarina, Booroobin, Bribie Island North, Bridges, Buddina, Buderim, Burnside, Caloundra, Caloundra West, Cambroon, Chevallum, Coes Creek, Conondale, Coochin Creek, Coolabine, Cooloolabin, Coolum Beach, Crohamhurst, Curramore, Currimundi, Diamond Valley, Dicky Beach, Diddillibah, Doonan (part), Dulong, Eerwah Vale, Elaman Creek, Eudlo, Eumundi, Flaxton, Forest Glen, Gheerulla, Glass House Mountains, Glenview, Golden Beach, Highworth, Hunchy, Ilkley, Image Flat, Kenilworth, Kiamba, Kidaman Creek, Kiels Mountain, Kings Beach, Kulangoor, Kuluin, Kunda Park, Kureelpa, Landers Shoot, Landsborough, Little Mountain, Maleny, Mapleton, Marcoola, Maroochy River, Maroochydore, Meridan Plains, Minyama, Moffat Beach, Mons, Montville, Mooloolaba, Mooloolah Valley, Mount Coolum, Mount Mellum, Mountain Creek, Mudjimba, Nambour, Ninderry, North Arm, North Maleny, Obi Obi, Pacific Paradise, Palmview, Palmwoods, Parklands, Parrearra, Peachester, Pelican Waters, Peregian Beach (part), Peregian Springs, Perwillowen, Point Arkwright, Reesville, Rosemount, Shelly Beach, Sippy Downs, Tanawha, Towen Mountain, Twin Waters, Valdora, Verrierdale, Warana, West Woombye, Weyba Downs, Witta, Woombye, Wootha, Wurtulla, Yandina, Yandina Creek and Yaroomba.
Forecast areas
Sunshine Coast Council area
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2026, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
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Drivers of population change
Development History
The Sunshine Coast Council area is a rapidly growing residential and tourist area located in South East Queensland, about 100 kilometres north of Brisbane. It encompasses a total land area of about 2,200 square kilometres, including significant beaches, coastline, waterways, national parks, state forests and bushland. The area is diverse in terms of its land use and economic base with a mixture of urban areas, resort towns, tourist developments, inland towns, rural land and parkland. Tourism is a major industry with many resorts and holiday accommodation located along the coast. Much of the rural area is used for dairy farming, cattle grazing and crop growing.
Although European settlement of the Sunshine Coast dates back to 1850s, significant development did not occur until the post-war years, as the area began to develop into a centre for tourism. Rapid growth took place particularly from the late 1960s when the population of the Council area increased from about 21,000 in 1947 to about 36,000 in 1971. The population has continued to increase rapidly, rising to nearly 137,000 in 1991, to about 200,000 in 2001, and then to over 267,000 in 2011, becoming one of the fastest growing Council areas in Australia. The Sunshine Coast has several significant urban hubs, concentrated predominantly on the coast at Caloundra, Kawana Waters and Maroochydore, whilst inland centres such as Nambour, Maleny and, increasingly, Beerwah, have developed primarily as commercial centres for the hinterland.
Migration patterns
The primary housing market role that the Sunshine Coast plays is varied: the coastal urban areas attract retirees from Brisbane and interstate (mainly New South Wales) and younger adults accessing employment (generally within tourism and the service economy); new developments close to the coast (such as Pelican Waters and Peregian Springs) and established suburban areas (such as Buderim) tend to attract older families as well as empty-nesters; and townships within the hinterland predominantly attract families and retirees from the wider rural region. The urban hubs of Maroochydore, Kawana Waters and Caloundra, and the University of the Sunshine Coast in Sippy Downs attract young people from rural areas, regional Queensland and overseas to educational and employment opportunities, while the Sunshine Coast Region as a whole loses young people to larger centres in Queensland such as Brisbane and interstate.
The importance of the Sunshine Coast as a destination for families and retirees is expected to continue into the future, with migration mostly comprised of parents with young children attracted to new greenfield development areas and empty nesters and retirees attracted to coastal centres and, to a lesser degree, the rural hinterland around centres such as Maleny. These trends are driven by large new areas of housing and commercial development, particularly around Kawana Waters and the development of the Maroochydore City Centre, the ongoing development of Peregian Springs and significant greenfield opportunities in Palmview (Harmony) and Caloundra South (Aura).
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Historical migration flows, Sunshine Coast Council area, 2011-2016
Overseas' refers to arrivals only.
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2026, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
Note: The migration flows depicted above do not represent future or forecast migration flows. The arrows represent migration flows to the area as a whole and do not indicate an origin or destination for any specific localities within the area. Overseas flow shows overseas arrivals only, based on answers to the census question “where did the person usually live 5-years ago”.
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Housing role and function
With a variety of residential, tourism focussed and rural areas as well as the location and development of large institutions such as the Sunshine Coast Public University Hospital (opened 2016) and the University of the Sunshine Coast, different areas within the Sunshine Coast have developed different roles within the housing market. The urban beachside areas of Marcoola - Twin Waters - Pacific Paradise, Caloundra - Kings Beach - Moffat Beach - Shelly Beach, Maroochydore, and Mooloolaba - Alexandra Headland are important retirement destinations as well as significant areas for tourism. Urban hubs such as Maroochydore, Caloundra - Kings Beach - Moffat Beach - Shelly Beach and Mooloolaba - Alexandra Headland have large amounts of tourist and rental accommodation attractive to retirees and young adults due to their location, relative ease of travelling to the university, employment opportunities and a growing stock of medium and high density housing. Other beachside areas such as Golden Beach, Wurtulla - Buddina & District, Pelican Waters, and areas stretching away from the coast, such as Buderim - Kuluin - Mons - Kunda Park, have a more suburban aspect which, whilst attracting significant numbers of empty-nesters and retirees, have a large stock of detached housing that appeals to families with children. This is a similar pattern to that experienced in the rural centres of Nambour, Maleny, Beerwah and Landsborough, which attract retirees from the wider region (wanting to be close to services as needs change) and families. Other rural areas such as Mapleton - Flaxton - Obi Obi, Maleny - Witta - North Maleny, Glass House Mountains - Beerburrum - Coochin Creek - Bribie Island North and Yandina - Yandina Creek & District attract large numbers of empty-nesters owing to lifestyle choice and proximity to national parks. In contrast newly developed estates in Mountain Creek (Brightwater) and Little Mountain - Caloundra West - Meridan Plains - Bells Creek (Aura) attract predominantly young families with children aged 0-9 years and first-time homebuyers.
Housing Supply
There are also significant differences in the supply of residential property within the Sunshine Coast which will have a major influence on population and household outcomes over the forecast period. Significant ‘greenfield’ opportunities have been identified in Palmwoods and Caloundra South that are expected to attract families with children and also provide affordable housing options for first-time home-buyers. Further residential development in Pelican Waters and Peregian Springs is likely to appeal to empty-nesters and retirees as well as established families who are second or third time homebuyers. The construction of Maroochydore’s CBD (SunCentral) as a regional centre in an already established town is expected to influence the mix of housing and population in the immediate area. In the longer term, there are likely to be further greenfield opportunities identified within the hinterland in response to increasing longer term demand within South East Queensland. There are also significant residential opportunities within other established urban areas, with the development of Oceanside at Kawana Waters likely to supply significant numbers of higher and medium density housing opportunities. These projects, together with the continuing development of the Sunshine Coast Public University Hospital, are expected to provide significant employment and economic opportunities for the region, further stimulating housing demand. The continued development of the University can be expected to have a similar outcome in Sippy Downs, prompting further commercial and residential growth. There are also significant opportunities for greater densification of housing around Nicklin Way with the establishment of the proposed light-rail transport system which overtime is expected to add significantly to the dwelling stock. Beachside areas, such as Caloundra, Wurtulla, Maroochydore, Mooloolaba - Alexandra Headland and Coolum Beach are expected to have considerable numbers of apartments and units built on redevelopment sites for both tourism and retirement purposes, while older suburbs such as Buderim - Kuluin - Mons - Kunda Park and Sippy Downs are expected to have large rates of infill development due to the age and size of housing lots in the area. Finally, low density residential subdivision is expected to continue around townships throughout the period, collectively adding relatively significant numbers over the forecast period, attracting predominantly families with children and empty- nester households.
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Population summary
This table summarises the population for Sunshine Coast Council area and each of its small areas. This enables the ability to see how population change is affecting different parts of the LGA in different ways. Some small areas may be rapidly growing whilst others are stable or even declining in population.
Please note that population numbers in forecast.id for the 2016 base year are derived from Estimated Resident Population from the Australian Bureau of Statistics. These differ from (and are usually higher than) Census counts as they factor in population missed by the Census and population overseas on Census night. They are generally considered a more accurate measure of population size than Census counts.
Population summary
Forecast year Change 2016-2026
Average Area 2016 2021 2026 Number % annual change
Sunshine Coast Council area 303,392 345,782 386,692 83,300 27.5 2.46
Beerwah 6,917 8,353 9,477 2,560 37.0 3.20
Belli Park - Cooloolabin - Gheerulla - Coolabine - 2,411 2,360 2,572 161 6.7 0.65 Kureelpa - Kiamba
Bli Bli - Rosemount & District 13,122 15,581 15,871 2,749 20.9 1.92
Buderim - Kuluin - Mons - Kunda Park 33,693 34,818 36,338 2,645 7.9 0.76
Caloundra - Kings Beach - Moffat Beach - Shelly 10,429 11,237 12,363 1,934 18.5 1.72 Beach Coolum Beach - Mount Coolum - Yaroomba - Point 15,249 16,857 17,513 2,264 14.8 1.39 Arkwright
Currimundi - Aroona - Battery Hill - Dicky Beach 14,896 15,297 16,558 1,662 11.2 1.06
Eumundi - Eerwah Vale - North Arm - Bridges 3,853 3,920 3,882 29 0.8 0.08
Glass House Mountains - Beerburrum - Coochin 6,006 6,563 7,313 1,307 21.8 1.99 Creek - Bribie Island North
Golden Beach 5,818 5,999 6,088 270 4.6 0.45
Ilkley - Eudlo & District 4,891 5,110 5,031 140 2.9 0.28
Landsborough - Mount Mellum 4,385 4,918 5,521 1,136 25.9 2.33
Little Mountain - Caloundra West - Meridan Plains - 20,842 28,593 40,908 20,066 96.3 6.98 Bells Creek
Maleny - Witta - North Maleny 5,745 6,205 6,578 833 14.5 1.36
Mapleton - Flaxton - Obi Obi 2,717 2,959 3,338 621 22.9 2.08
Marcoola - Twin Waters - Pacific Paradise - 11,082 12,015 13,303 2,221 20.0 1.84 Mudjimba
Maroochydore 17,260 21,703 24,643 7,383 42.8 3.63
Mooloolaba - Alexandra Headland 12,203 13,613 13,891 1,688 13.8 1.30
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Forecast year Change 2016-2026
Average Area 2016 2021 2026 Number % annual change
Mooloolah Valley - Diamond Valley - Balmoral 4,394 4,597 4,762 368 8.4 0.81 Ridge - Bald Knob
Mountain Creek 11,698 13,794 14,812 3,114 26.6 2.39
Nambour - Burnside & District 18,187 20,351 23,192 5,005 27.5 2.46
Palmwoods - Chevallum - Montville - Hunchy 7,832 8,177 8,714 882 11.3 1.07
Peachester - Crohamhurst - Booroobin - Wootha 1,976 1,971 1,969 -7 -0.4 -0.04
Pelican Waters 6,364 8,573 10,537 4,173 65.6 5.17
Peregian Springs 7,607 11,387 11,258 3,651 48.0 4.00
Reesville - Curramore & District 2,706 2,717 2,744 38 1.4 0.14
Sippy Downs - Palmview 11,537 14,065 20,902 9,365 81.2 6.12
Weyba Downs - Verrierdale - Doonan (part) 4,457 4,330 4,286 -171 -3.8 -0.39
Woombye 3,354 3,904 4,220 866 25.8 2.32
Wurtulla - Buddina & District 24,577 27,773 28,754 4,177 17.0 1.58
Yandina - Yandina Creek & District 7,182 8,043 9,355 2,173 30.3 2.68
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2026, prepared by .id, the population experts, December 2017.
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Population, households and dwellings
This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Sunshine Coast Council area. The period 2016 to 2026, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.
It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.
Forecast population, households and dwellings
Sunshine Coast Council area Forecast year
Summary 2016 2021 2026
Population 303,392 345,782 386,692
Change in population (5yrs) 36,151 42,389 40,190
Average annual change 2.57 2.65 2.26
Households 120,611 137,059 153,314
Average household size 2.48 2.47 2.48
Population in non-private dwellings 4,817 6,666 6,830
Dwellings 131,728 150,215 168,446
Dwelling occupancy rate 91.56 91.24 91.02
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2026, prepared by .id, the population experts, December 2017.
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Forecast population, households and average household size
Key findings
In 2016, the total population of Sunshine Coast Council area was estimated to be 303,392 people (ABS Census figure is 303,389 people). It is expected to increase by over 83,300 people to 386,692 by 2026, at an average annual growth rate of 2.46%. This is based on an increase of over 32,700 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household remaining stable at 2.48 to 2026.
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Components of population change
There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, employment opportunities and lifestyle, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.
Components of population change
Sunshine Coast Council area Forecast period
Component 2017 - 2021 2022 - 2026
Births 19,363 22,085
Deaths 19,985 22,248
Natural increase/decrease -622 -163
Net migration 41,162 40,908
Change in persons in non-private dwellings 1,849 164
Total population change 42,389 40,909
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2026, prepared by .id, the population experts, December 2017.
Forecast population change
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Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast in, out and net migration
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Population and age structure
Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, educational facilities, recreation and aged care.
The forecast age groups of Sunshine Coast Council area are a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural), the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function.
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Change between Sunshine Coast Council area 2016 2026 2016 and 2026
Age group (years) Number % Number % Number 0 to 4 16,863 5.6 24,264 6.3 7,401 5 to 9 19,816 6.5 25,467 6.6 5,651 10 to 14 19,314 6.4 24,728 6.4 5,414 15 to 19 18,337 6.0 22,585 5.8 4,248 20 to 24 16,694 5.5 19,351 5.0 2,657 25 to 29 16,395 5.4 19,875 5.1 3,480 30 to 34 17,403 5.7 22,396 5.8 4,993 35 to 39 17,577 5.8 25,002 6.5 7,425 40 to 44 20,691 6.8 25,904 6.7 5,213 45 to 49 21,125 7.0 24,474 6.3 3,349 50 to 54 20,677 6.8 24,237 6.3 3,560 55 to 59 20,257 6.7 23,879 6.2 3,622 60 to 64 18,852 6.2 23,848 6.2 4,996 65 to 69 18,813 6.2 22,613 5.8 3,800 70 to 74 14,927 4.9 19,318 5.0 4,391 75 to 79 10,646 3.5 16,168 4.2 5,522 80 to 84 7,419 2.4 11,285 2.9 3,866 85 and over 7,586 2.5 11,298 2.9 3,712 Total persons 303,392 100 369,840 100 76,890
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2026, prepared by .id, the population experts, December 2017.
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Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
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Key findings
In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Sunshine Coast Council area was ages 45 to 49, which accounted for 7.0% of the total persons.
The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 35 to 39, which is expected to increase by 7,425 and account for 6.5% of the total persons.
The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is forecast to be 40 to 44 years, with 6.7% of the total population, or 25,904 persons.
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Household types
Analysing the future household structure in Sunshine Coast Council area, especially in conjunction with age structure, provides insight to the role the area plays in the housing market. Some areas, usually with separate housing stock, are dominated by families. Others, with more dense housing in inner city locations have significant numbers of lone person households and couples without dependents.
Forecast household types
Change between Sunshine Coast Council area 2016 2026 2016 and 2026
Type Number % Number % Number
Couple families with dependents 33,488 27.8 42,565 27.8 9,077
Couples without dependents 40,601 33.7 52,505 34.2 11,904
Group households 4,513 3.7 5,277 3.4 764
Lone person households 27,747 23.0 35,622 23.2 7,875
One parent family 12,261 10.2 14,992 9.8 2,731
Other families 1,999 1.7 2,353 1.5 354
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2026, prepared by .id, the population experts, December 2017.
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Forecast household types
Forecast change in household types, 2016 to 2026
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Key findings
In 2016, the dominant household type in Sunshine Coast Council area was Couples without dependents, which accounted for 33.7% of all households.
The largest increase between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in Couples without dependents, which will increase by 11,904 households and account for 34.2% of all households.
In contrast Other families is forecast to increase by 354 households, to comprise 1.5% of all households in 2026, compared to 1.7% in 2016.
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Dwellings and development Legend Visualising the geographic pattern of growth in dwelling stock across Sunshine Coast Council area is a good starting point for assessing the scale and type of change each part of the area is undergoing. Some areas will be experiencing significant growth in new dwellings, either through greenfield development or densification and renewal.
However it would be a mistake to assume that areas not experiencing significant housing development are not undergoing change. Other processes will be at work such as the aging-in-place of the existing population and changing household structures. The age structure and household type maps will uncover these population shifts.
Forecast dwellings and development map Sunshine Coast Council area, 2016 to 2026 number change
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2026, prepared by .id, the population experts, December 2017.
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Forecast dwellings and development
Change between Sunshine Coast Council area 2016 2026 2016 and 2026 Area Number % Number % Number % Sunshine Coast Council area 131,730 100 168,448 100 36,718 27.9 Beerwah 2,665 2.0 3,676 2.2 1,011 37.9 Belli Park - Cooloolabin - Gheerulla - Coolabine - 977 0.7 1,069 0.6 92 9.4 Kureelpa - Kiamba Bli Bli - Rosemount and District 5,281 4.0 6,458 3.8 1,177 22.3 Buderim - Kuluin - Mons - Kunda Park 13,874 10.5 15,239 9.0 1,365 9.8 Caloundra - Kings Beach - Moffat Beach - Shelly Beach 6,577 5.0 7,726 4.6 1,149 17.5 Coolum Beach - Mount Coolum - Yaroomba - Point 7,233 5.5 8,218 4.9 985 13.6 Arkwright Currimundi - Aroona - Battery Hill - Dicky Beach 6,422 4.9 7,242 4.3 820 12.8 Eumundi - Eerwah Vale - North Arm - Bridges 1,477 1.1 1,569 0.9 92 6.2 Glass House Mountains - Beerburrum - Coochin Creek - 2,259 1.7 2,793 1.7 534 23.6 Bribie Island North Golden Beach 3,349 2.5 3,495 2.1 146 4.4 Ilkley - Eudlo and District 1,693 1.3 1,797 1.1 104 6.1 Landsborough - Mount Mellum 1,776 1.3 2,245 1.3 469 26.4 Little Mountain - Caloundra West - Meridan Plains - Bells 7,889 6.0 14,979 8.9 7,090 89.9 Creek Maleny - Witta - North Maleny 2,763 2.1 3,174 1.9 411 14.9 Mapleton - Flaxton - Obi Obi 1,324 1.0 1,650 1.0 326 24.6 Marcoola - Twin Waters - Pacific Paradise - Mudjimba 5,182 3.9 6,359 3.8 1,177 22.7 Maroochydore 9,763 7.4 13,489 8.0 3,726 38.2 Mooloolaba - Alexandra Headland 6,935 5.3 7,994 4.7 1,059 15.3 Mooloolah Valley - Diamond Valley - Balmoral Ridge - 1,699 1.3 1,895 1.1 196 11.5 Bald Knob Mountain Creek 4,200 3.2 5,496 3.3 1,296 30.9 Nambour - Burnside and District 7,479 5.7 9,711 5.8 2,232 29.8 Palmwoods - Chevallum - Montville - Hunchy 3,043 2.3 3,467 2.1 424 13.9 Peachester - Crohamhurst - Booroobin - Wootha 805 0.6 825 0.5 20 2.5 Pelican Waters 2,690 2.0 4,650 2.8 1,960 72.9 Peregian Springs 2,778 2.1 4,447 2.6 1,669 60.1 Reesville - Curramore and District 1,269 1.0 1,299 0.8 30 2.4 Sippy Downs - Palmview 4,007 3.0 7,570 4.5 3,563 88.9 Weyba Downs - Verrierdale - Doonan (part) 1,630 1.2 1,708 1.0 78 4.8 Woombye 1,261 1.0 1,613 1.0 352 27.9 Wurtulla - Buddina and District 10,681 8.1 12,786 7.6 2,105 19.7 Yandina - Yandina Creek and District 2,747 2.1 3,807 2.3 1,060 38.6
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2026, prepared by .id, the population experts, December 2017 21
Population and age structure
Knowing when and where to deliver age-based services is an essential part of local government planning. Mapping the distribution of selected age groups across Sunshine Coast Council area provides the evidence-base for efficiently targeting and delivering these services.
Population and age structure map - persons aged 0 to 4 years
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2026, prepared by .id, the population experts, December 2017
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Population and age structure - persons aged 0 to 4 years
Change between Sunshine Coast Council area 2016 2026 2016 and 2026 Area Number % Number % Number % Sunshine Coast Council area 16,863 5.6 24,264 6.3 7,401 43.9 Beerwah 488 7.1 635 6.7 147 30.1 Belli Park - Cooloolabin - Gheerulla - Coolabine - Kureelpa - 121 5.0 132 5.1 11 9.1 Kiamba Bli Bli - Rosemount & District 815 6.2 939 5.9 124 15.2 Buderim - Kuluin - Mons - Kunda Park 1,779 5.3 1,682 4.6 -97 -5.5 Caloundra - Kings Beach - Moffat Beach - Shelly Beach 386 3.7 541 4.4 155 40.2 Coolum Beach - Mount Coolum - Yaroomba - Point Arkwright 973 6.4 1,035 5.9 62 6.4 Currimundi - Aroona - Battery Hill - Dicky Beach 851 5.7 1,032 6.2 181 21.3 Eumundi - Eerwah Vale - North Arm - Bridges 195 5.1 219 5.6 24 12.3 Glass House Mountains - Beerburrum - Coochin Creek - Bribie 316 5.3 442 6.0 126 39.9 Island North Golden Beach 260 4.5 267 4.4 7 2.7 Ilkley - Eudlo & District 248 5.1 259 5.1 11 4.4 Landsborough - Mount Mellum 250 5.7 332 6.0 82 32.8 Little Mountain - Caloundra West - Meridan Plains - Bells Creek 1,468 7.0 3,960 9.7 2,492 169.8 Maleny - Witta - North Maleny 174 3.0 249 3.8 75 43.1 Mapleton - Flaxton - Obi Obi 88 3.2 117 3.5 29 33.0 Marcoola - Twin Waters - Pacific Paradise - Mudjimba 585 5.3 785 5.9 200 34.2 Maroochydore 692 4.0 1,434 5.8 742 107.2 Mooloolaba - Alexandra Headland 458 3.8 615 4.4 157 34.3 Mooloolah Valley - Diamond Valley - Balmoral Ridge - Bald Knob 268 6.1 286 6.0 18 6.7 Mountain Creek 923 7.9 1,076 7.3 153 16.6 Nambour - Burnside & District 1,158 6.4 1,622 7.0 464 40.1 Palmwoods - Chevallum - Montville - Hunchy 373 4.8 487 5.6 114 30.6 Peachester - Crohamhurst - Booroobin - Wootha 81 4.1 100 5.1 19 23.5 Pelican Waters 227 3.6 545 5.2 318 140.1 Peregian Springs 558 7.3 712 6.3 154 27.6 Reesville - Curramore & District 147 5.4 144 5.2 -3 -2.0 Sippy Downs - Palmview 753 6.5 1,757 8.4 1,004 133.3 Weyba Downs - Verrierdale - Doonan (part) 210 4.7 215 5.0 5 2.4 Woombye 225 6.7 260 6.2 35 15.6 Wurtulla - Buddina & District 1,347 5.5 1,777 6.2 430 31.9 Yandina - Yandina Creek & District 446 6.2 607 6.5 161 36.1 Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2026, prepared by .id, the population experts, December 2017
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Population and age structure map - persons aged 5 to 9 years
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2026, prepared by .id, the population experts, December 2017
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Population and age structure - persons aged 5 to 9 years
Change between Sunshine Coast Council area 2016 2026 2016 and 2026 Area Number % Number % Number % Sunshine Coast Council area 19,816 6.5 25,467 6.6 5,651 28.5 Beerwah 526 7.6 641 6.8 115 21.9 Belli Park - Cooloolabin - Gheerulla - Coolabine - Kureelpa - 149 6.2 164 6.4 15 10.1 Kiamba Bli Bli - Rosemount & District 968 7.4 1,028 6.5 60 6.2 Buderim - Kuluin - Mons - Kunda Park 2,158 6.4 2,216 6.1 58 2.7 Caloundra - Kings Beach - Moffat Beach - Shelly Beach 402 3.9 590 4.8 188 46.8 Coolum Beach - Mount Coolum - Yaroomba - Point Arkwright 989 6.5 1,124 6.4 135 13.7 Currimundi - Aroona - Battery Hill - Dicky Beach 1,048 7.0 1,125 6.8 77 7.3 Eumundi - Eerwah Vale - North Arm - Bridges 288 7.5 253 6.5 -35 -12.2 Glass House Mountains - Beerburrum - Coochin Creek - Bribie 419 7.0 506 6.9 87 20.8 Island North Golden Beach 272 4.7 312 5.1 40 14.7 Ilkley - Eudlo & District 338 6.9 307 6.1 -31 -9.2 Landsborough - Mount Mellum 285 6.5 387 7.0 102 35.8 Little Mountain - Caloundra West - Meridan Plains - Bells Creek 1,665 8.0 3,695 9.0 2,030 121.9 Maleny - Witta - North Maleny 287 5.0 328 5.0 41 14.3 Mapleton - Flaxton - Obi Obi 77 2.8 153 4.6 76 98.7 Marcoola - Twin Waters - Pacific Paradise - Mudjimba 672 6.1 797 6.0 125 18.6 Maroochydore 644 3.7 1,038 4.2 394 61.2 Mooloolaba - Alexandra Headland 494 4.0 568 4.1 74 15.0 Mooloolah Valley - Diamond Valley - Balmoral Ridge - Bald Knob 319 7.3 302 6.3 -17 -5.3 Mountain Creek 997 8.5 1,183 8.0 186 18.7 Nambour - Burnside & District 1,261 6.9 1,583 6.8 322 25.5 Palmwoods - Chevallum - Montville - Hunchy 587 7.5 568 6.5 -19 -3.2 Peachester - Crohamhurst - Booroobin - Wootha 131 6.6 123 6.2 -8 -6.1 Pelican Waters 408 6.4 611 5.8 203 49.8 11. Peregian Springs 836 908 8.1 72 8.6 0 Reesville - Curramore & District 139 5.1 157 5.7 18 12.9 Sippy Downs - Palmview 818 7.1 1,717 8.2 899 109.9 Weyba Downs - Verrierdale - Doonan (part) 369 8.3 258 6.0 -111 -30.1 Woombye 247 7.4 298 7.1 51 20.6 Wurtulla - Buddina & District 1,521 6.2 1,832 6.4 311 20.4 Yandina - Yandina Creek & District 504 7.0 695 7.4 191 37.9 Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2026, prepared by .id, the population experts, December 2017
25
Population and age structure map - persons aged 10 to 14 years
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2026, prepared by .id, the population experts, December 2017
26
Population and age structure - persons aged 10 to 14 years
Change between Sunshine Coast Council area 2016 2026 2016 and 2026 Area Number % Number % Number % Sunshine Coast Council area 19,314 6.4 24,728 6.4 5,414 28.0 Beerwah 441 6.4 684 7.2 243 55.1 Belli Park - Cooloolabin - Gheerulla - Coolabine - Kureelpa - 177 7.3 188 7.3 11 6.2 Kiamba Bli Bli - Rosemount & District 835 6.4 1,061 6.7 226 27.1 Buderim - Kuluin - Mons - Kunda Park 2,251 6.7 2,483 6.8 232 10.3 Caloundra - Kings Beach - Moffat Beach - Shelly Beach 450 4.3 603 4.9 153 34.0 Coolum Beach - Mount Coolum - Yaroomba - Point Arkwright 961 6.3 1,128 6.4 167 17.4 Currimundi - Aroona - Battery Hill - Dicky Beach 953 6.4 1,121 6.8 168 17.6 Eumundi - Eerwah Vale - North Arm - Bridges 253 6.6 251 6.5 -2 -0.8 Glass House Mountains - Beerburrum - Coochin Creek - Bribie 401 6.7 487 6.7 86 21.4 Island North Golden Beach 246 4.2 284 4.7 38 15.4 Ilkley - Eudlo & District 455 9.3 351 7.0 -104 -22.9 Landsborough - Mount Mellum 251 5.7 409 7.4 158 62.9 Little Mountain - Caloundra West - Meridan Plains - Bells Creek 1,624 7.8 3,355 8.2 1,731 106.6 Maleny - Witta - North Maleny 306 5.3 341 5.2 35 11.4 Mapleton - Flaxton - Obi Obi 107 3.9 160 4.8 53 49.5 Marcoola - Twin Waters - Pacific Paradise - Mudjimba 652 5.9 734 5.5 82 12.6 Maroochydore 523 3.0 784 3.2 261 49.9 Mooloolaba - Alexandra Headland 458 3.8 564 4.1 106 23.1 Mooloolah Valley - Diamond Valley - Balmoral Ridge - Bald Knob 319 7.3 299 6.3 -20 -6.3 Mountain Creek 899 7.7 1,276 8.6 377 41.9 Nambour - Burnside & District 1,151 6.3 1,383 6.0 232 20.2 Palmwoods - Chevallum - Montville - Hunchy 600 7.7 555 6.4 -45 -7.5 Peachester - Crohamhurst - Booroobin - Wootha 147 7.4 108 5.5 -39 -26.5 Pelican Waters 441 6.9 620 5.9 179 40.6 Peregian Springs 697 9.2 903 8.0 206 29.6 Reesville - Curramore & District 149 5.5 166 6.0 17 11.4 Sippy Downs - Palmview 826 7.2 1,567 7.5 741 89.7 Weyba Downs - Verrierdale - Doonan (part) 396 8.9 265 6.2 -131 -33.1 Woombye 263 7.8 309 7.3 46 17.5 Wurtulla - Buddina & District 1,571 6.4 1,681 5.8 110 7.0 Yandina - Yandina Creek & District 509 7.1 608 6.5 99 19.4 Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2026, prepared by .id, the population experts, December 2017
27
Population and age structure map - persons aged 15 to 19 years
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2026, prepared by .id, the population experts, December 2017
28
Population and age structure - persons aged 15 to 19 years
Change between Sunshine Coast Council area 2016 2026 2016 and 2026 Area Number % Number % Number % Sunshine Coast Council area 18,337 6.0 22,585 5.8 4,248 23.2 Beerwah 454 6.6 664 7.0 210 46.3 Belli Park - Cooloolabin - Gheerulla - Coolabine - Kureelpa - 144 6.0 135 5.2 -9 -6.3 Kiamba Bli Bli - Rosemount & District 709 5.4 1,004 6.3 295 41.6 Buderim - Kuluin - Mons - Kunda Park 2,192 6.5 2,280 6.3 88 4.0 Caloundra - Kings Beach - Moffat Beach - Shelly Beach 543 5.2 626 5.1 83 15.3 Coolum Beach - Mount Coolum - Yaroomba - Point Arkwright 838 5.5 1,018 5.8 180 21.5 Currimundi - Aroona - Battery Hill - Dicky Beach 960 6.4 967 5.8 7 0.7 Eumundi - Eerwah Vale - North Arm - Bridges 233 6.0 210 5.4 -23 -9.9 Glass House Mountains - Beerburrum - Coochin Creek - Bribie 418 7.0 427 5.8 9 2.2 Island North Golden Beach 198 3.4 244 4.0 46 23.2 Ilkley - Eudlo & District 382 7.8 328 6.5 -54 -14.1 Landsborough - Mount Mellum 277 6.3 344 6.2 67 24.2 Little Mountain - Caloundra West - Meridan Plains - Bells Creek 1,441 6.9 2,501 6.1 1,060 73.6 Maleny - Witta - North Maleny 257 4.5 289 4.4 32 12.5 Mapleton - Flaxton - Obi Obi 129 4.7 124 3.7 -5 -3.9 Marcoola - Twin Waters - Pacific Paradise - Mudjimba 653 5.9 667 5.0 14 2.1 Maroochydore 654 3.8 1,151 4.7 497 76.0 Mooloolaba - Alexandra Headland 625 5.1 836 6.0 211 33.8 Mooloolah Valley - Diamond Valley - Balmoral Ridge - Bald Knob 245 5.6 275 5.8 30 12.2 Mountain Creek 876 7.5 1,101 7.4 225 25.7 Nambour - Burnside & District 1,082 5.9 1,222 5.3 140 12.9 Palmwoods - Chevallum - Montville - Hunchy 467 6.0 490 5.6 23 4.9 Peachester - Crohamhurst - Booroobin - Wootha 78 3.9 92 4.7 14 17.9 Pelican Waters 392 6.2 559 5.3 167 42.6 Peregian Springs 430 5.7 821 7.3 391 90.9 Reesville - Curramore & District 145 5.4 125 4.6 -20 -13.8 10. Sippy Downs - Palmview 1,169 1,567 7.5 398 34.0 1 Weyba Downs - Verrierdale - Doonan (part) 321 7.2 240 5.6 -81 -25.2 Woombye 226 6.7 247 5.9 21 9.3 Wurtulla - Buddina & District 1,400 5.7 1,591 5.5 191 13.6 Yandina - Yandina Creek & District 399 5.6 441 4.7 42 10.5 Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2026, prepared by .id, the population experts, December 2017
29
Population and age structure map - persons aged 20 to 24 years
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2026, prepared by .id, the population experts, December 2017
30
Population and age structure - persons aged 20 to 24 years
Change between Sunshine Coast Council area 2016 2026 2016 and 2026 Area Number % Number % Number % Sunshine Coast Council area 16,694 5.5 19,351 5.0 2,657 15.9 Beerwah 398 5.8 513 5.4 115 28.9 Belli Park - Cooloolabin - Gheerulla - Coolabine - Kureelpa - 114 4.7 80 3.1 -34 -29.8 Kiamba Bli Bli - Rosemount & District 596 4.5 704 4.4 108 18.1 Buderim - Kuluin - Mons - Kunda Park 1,736 5.2 1,571 4.3 -165 -9.5 Caloundra - Kings Beach - Moffat Beach - Shelly Beach 498 4.8 607 4.9 109 21.9 Coolum Beach - Mount Coolum - Yaroomba - Point Arkwright 723 4.7 872 5.0 149 20.6 Currimundi - Aroona - Battery Hill - Dicky Beach 689 4.6 653 3.9 -36 -5.2 Eumundi - Eerwah Vale - North Arm - Bridges 158 4.1 117 3.0 -41 -25.9 Glass House Mountains - Beerburrum - Coochin Creek - Bribie 311 5.2 296 4.0 -15 -4.8 Island North Golden Beach 231 4.0 215 3.5 -16 -6.9 Ilkley - Eudlo & District 267 5.5 254 5.0 -13 -4.9 Landsborough - Mount Mellum 283 6.5 199 3.6 -84 -29.7 Little Mountain - Caloundra West - Meridan Plains - Bells Creek 1,152 5.5 2,321 5.7 1,169 101.5 Maleny - Witta - North Maleny 158 2.8 167 2.5 9 5.7 Mapleton - Flaxton - Obi Obi 104 3.8 70 2.1 -34 -32.7 Marcoola - Twin Waters - Pacific Paradise - Mudjimba 632 5.7 625 4.7 -7 -1.1 Maroochydore 1,363 7.9 1,667 6.8 304 22.3 Mooloolaba - Alexandra Headland 955 7.8 1,246 9.0 291 30.5 Mooloolah Valley - Diamond Valley - Balmoral Ridge - Bald Knob 210 4.8 238 5.0 28 13.3 Mountain Creek 916 7.8 735 5.0 -181 -19.8 Nambour - Burnside & District 1,066 5.9 1,063 4.6 -3 -0.3 Palmwoods - Chevallum - Montville - Hunchy 324 4.1 360 4.1 36 11.1 Peachester - Crohamhurst - Booroobin - Wootha 63 3.2 58 2.9 -5 -7.9 Pelican Waters 168 2.6 343 3.3 175 104.2 Peregian Springs 268 3.5 492 4.4 224 83.6 Reesville - Curramore & District 118 4.4 94 3.4 -24 -20.3 Sippy Downs - Palmview 1,026 8.9 1,704 8.2 678 66.1 Weyba Downs - Verrierdale - Doonan (part) 154 3.5 170 4.0 16 10.4 Woombye 159 4.7 188 4.5 29 18.2 Wurtulla - Buddina & District 1,465 6.0 1,403 4.9 -62 -4.2 Yandina - Yandina Creek & District 390 5.4 326 3.5 -64 -16.4 Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2026, prepared by .id, the population experts, December 2017
31
Population and age structure map - persons aged 25 to 29 years
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2026, prepared by .id, the population experts, December 2017
32
Population and age structure - persons aged 25 to 29 years
Change between Sunshine Coast Council area 2016 2026 2016 and 2026 Area Number % Number % Number % Sunshine Coast Council area 16,395 5.4 19,875 5.1 3,480 21.2 Beerwah 410 5.9 517 5.5 107 26.1 Belli Park - Cooloolabin - Gheerulla - Coolabine - Kureelpa - 90 3.7 64 2.5 -26 -28.9 Kiamba Bli Bli - Rosemount & District 734 5.6 676 4.3 -58 -7.9 Buderim - Kuluin - Mons - Kunda Park 1,551 4.6 1,440 4.0 -111 -7.2 Caloundra - Kings Beach - Moffat Beach - Shelly Beach 542 5.2 570 4.6 28 5.2 Coolum Beach - Mount Coolum - Yaroomba - Point Arkwright 822 5.4 898 5.1 76 9.2 Currimundi - Aroona - Battery Hill - Dicky Beach 673 4.5 740 4.5 67 10.0 Eumundi - Eerwah Vale - North Arm - Bridges 121 3.1 119 3.1 -2 -1.7 Glass House Mountains - Beerburrum - Coochin Creek - Bribie 271 4.5 325 4.4 54 19.9 Island North Golden Beach 235 4.0 222 3.6 -13 -5.5 Ilkley - Eudlo & District 184 3.8 203 4.0 19 10.3 Landsborough - Mount Mellum 271 6.2 244 4.4 -27 -10.0 Little Mountain - Caloundra West - Meridan Plains - Bells Creek 1,225 5.9 2,836 6.9 1,611 131.5 Maleny - Witta - North Maleny 132 2.3 143 2.2 11 8.3 Mapleton - Flaxton - Obi Obi 92 3.4 98 2.9 6 6.5 Marcoola - Twin Waters - Pacific Paradise - Mudjimba 593 5.4 703 5.3 110 18.5 Maroochydore 1,485 8.6 1,896 7.7 411 27.7 Mooloolaba - Alexandra Headland 1,083 8.9 1,160 8.4 77 7.1 Mooloolah Valley - Diamond Valley - Balmoral Ridge - Bald Knob 126 2.9 212 4.5 86 68.3 Mountain Creek 831 7.1 786 5.3 -45 -5.4 Nambour - Burnside & District 1,051 5.8 1,221 5.3 170 16.2 Palmwoods - Chevallum - Montville - Hunchy 348 4.4 353 4.1 5 1.4 Peachester - Crohamhurst - Booroobin - Wootha 94 4.8 42 2.1 -52 -55.3 Pelican Waters 143 2.2 279 2.6 136 95.1 Peregian Springs 353 4.6 307 2.7 -46 -13.0 Reesville - Curramore & District 126 4.7 110 4.0 -16 -12.7 Sippy Downs - Palmview 725 6.3 1,682 8.0 957 132.0 Weyba Downs - Verrierdale - Doonan (part) 56 1.3 128 3.0 72 128.6 Woombye 134 4.0 199 4.7 65 48.5 Wurtulla - Buddina & District 1,490 6.1 1,373 4.8 -117 -7.9 Yandina - Yandina Creek & District 403 5.6 331 3.5 -72 -17.9 Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2026, prepared by .id, the population experts, December 2017
33
Population and age structure map - persons aged 30 to 34 years
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2026, prepared by .id, the population experts, December 2017
34
Population and age structure - persons aged 30 to 34 years
Change between Sunshine Coast Council area 2016 2026 2016 and 2026 Area Number % Number % Number % Sunshine Coast Council area 17,403 5.7 22,396 5.8 4,993 28.7 Beerwah 437 6.3 574 6.1 137 31.4 Belli Park - Cooloolabin - Gheerulla - Coolabine - Kureelpa - 110 4.6 109 4.2 -1 -0.9 Kiamba Bli Bli - Rosemount & District 837 6.4 804 5.1 -33 -3.9 Buderim - Kuluin - Mons - Kunda Park 1,634 4.8 1,633 4.5 -1 -0.1 Caloundra - Kings Beach - Moffat Beach - Shelly Beach 527 5.1 532 4.3 5 0.9 Coolum Beach - Mount Coolum - Yaroomba - Point Arkwright 1,016 6.7 1,005 5.7 -11 -1.1 Currimundi - Aroona - Battery Hill - Dicky Beach 764 5.1 889 5.4 125 16.4 Eumundi - Eerwah Vale - North Arm - Bridges 188 4.9 155 4.0 -33 -17.6 Glass House Mountains - Beerburrum - Coochin Creek - Bribie 323 5.4 388 5.3 65 20.1 Island North Golden Beach 291 5.0 255 4.2 -36 -12.4 Ilkley - Eudlo & District 204 4.2 206 4.1 2 1.0 Landsborough - Mount Mellum 256 5.8 320 5.8 64 25.0 Little Mountain - Caloundra West - Meridan Plains - Bells Creek 1,398 6.7 3,356 8.2 1,958 140.1 Maleny - Witta - North Maleny 171 3.0 203 3.1 32 18.7 Mapleton - Flaxton - Obi Obi 83 3.1 143 4.3 60 72.3 Marcoola - Twin Waters - Pacific Paradise - Mudjimba 618 5.6 746 5.6 128 20.7 Maroochydore 1,277 7.4 1,874 7.6 597 46.8 Mooloolaba - Alexandra Headland 895 7.3 892 6.4 -3 -0.3 Mooloolah Valley - Diamond Valley - Balmoral Ridge - Bald Knob 262 6.0 244 5.1 -18 -6.9 Mountain Creek 878 7.5 1,021 6.9 143 16.3 Nambour - Burnside & District 1,154 6.3 1,393 6.0 239 20.7 Palmwoods - Chevallum - Montville - Hunchy 390 5.0 395 4.5 5 1.3 Peachester - Crohamhurst - Booroobin - Wootha 113 5.7 58 2.9 -55 -48.7 Pelican Waters 171 2.7 408 3.9 237 138.6 Peregian Springs 436 5.7 422 3.7 -14 -3.2 Reesville - Curramore & District 133 4.9 133 4.8 0 0.0 Sippy Downs - Palmview 707 6.1 1,802 8.6 1,095 154.9 Weyba Downs - Verrierdale - Doonan (part) 147 3.3 139 3.2 -8 -5.4 Woombye 204 6.1 224 5.3 20 9.8 Wurtulla - Buddina & District 1,403 5.7 1,574 5.5 171 12.2 Yandina - Yandina Creek & District 375 5.2 500 5.3 125 33.3 Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2026, prepared by .id, the population experts, December 2017
35
Population and age structure map - persons aged 35 to 39 years
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2026, prepared by .id, the population experts, December 2017
36
Population and age structure - persons aged 35 to 39 years
Change between Sunshine Coast Council area 2016 2026 2016 and 2026 Area Number % Number % Number % Sunshine Coast Council area 17,577 5.8 25,002 6.5 7,425 42.2 Beerwah 389 5.6 655 6.9 266 68.4 Belli Park - Cooloolabin - Gheerulla - Coolabine - Kureelpa - 98 4.1 138 5.4 40 40.8 Kiamba Bli Bli - Rosemount & District 818 6.2 988 6.2 170 20.8 Buderim - Kuluin - Mons - Kunda Park 1,734 5.1 2,016 5.5 282 16.3 Caloundra - Kings Beach - Moffat Beach - Shelly Beach 537 5.1 590 4.8 53 9.9 Coolum Beach - Mount Coolum - Yaroomba - Point Arkwright 997 6.5 1,133 6.5 136 13.6 Currimundi - Aroona - Battery Hill - Dicky Beach 884 5.9 1,040 6.3 156 17.6 Eumundi - Eerwah Vale - North Arm - Bridges 183 4.7 194 5.0 11 6.0 Glass House Mountains - Beerburrum - Coochin Creek - Bribie 362 6.0 453 6.2 91 25.1 Island North Golden Beach 288 5.0 303 5.0 15 5.2 Ilkley - Eudlo & District 256 5.2 264 5.2 8 3.1 Landsborough - Mount Mellum 239 5.5 408 7.4 169 70.7 Little Mountain - Caloundra West - Meridan Plains - Bells Creek 1,304 6.3 3,358 8.2 2,054 157.5 Maleny - Witta - North Maleny 239 4.2 284 4.3 45 18.8 Mapleton - Flaxton - Obi Obi 91 3.3 179 5.4 88 96.7 Marcoola - Twin Waters - Pacific Paradise - Mudjimba 646 5.8 744 5.6 98 15.2 Maroochydore 948 5.5 1,689 6.9 741 78.2 Mooloolaba - Alexandra Headland 668 5.5 851 6.1 183 27.4 Mooloolah Valley - Diamond Valley - Balmoral Ridge - Bald Knob 254 5.8 265 5.6 11 4.3 Mountain Creek 869 7.4 1,225 8.3 356 41.0 Nambour - Burnside & District 1,062 5.8 1,467 6.3 405 38.1 Palmwoods - Chevallum - Montville - Hunchy 443 5.7 468 5.4 25 5.6 Peachester - Crohamhurst - Booroobin - Wootha 109 5.5 95 4.8 -14 -12.8 Pelican Waters 284 4.5 627 6.0 343 120.8 Peregian Springs 602 7.9 696 6.2 94 15.6 Reesville - Curramore & District 146 5.4 149 5.4 3 2.1 Sippy Downs - Palmview 717 6.2 1,770 8.5 1,053 146.9 Weyba Downs - Verrierdale - Doonan (part) 253 5.7 192 4.5 -61 -24.1 Woombye 237 7.1 263 6.2 26 11.0 Wurtulla - Buddina & District 1,465 6.0 1,816 6.3 351 24.0 Yandina - Yandina Creek & District 454 6.3 683 7.3 229 50.4 Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2026, prepared by .id, the population experts, December 2017
37
Population and age structure map - persons aged 40 to 44 years
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2026, prepared by .id, the population experts, December 2017
38
Population and age structure - persons aged 40 to 44 years
Change between Sunshine Coast Council area 2016 2026 2016 and 2026 Area Number % Number % Number % Sunshine Coast Council area 20,691 6.8 25,904 6.7 5,213 25.2 Beerwah 485 7.0 686 7.2 201 41.4 Belli Park - Cooloolabin - Gheerulla - Coolabine - Kureelpa - 145 6.0 188 7.3 43 29.7 Kiamba Bli Bli - Rosemount & District 884 6.7 1,114 7.0 230 26.0 Buderim - Kuluin - Mons - Kunda Park 2,363 7.0 2,386 6.6 23 1.0 Caloundra - Kings Beach - Moffat Beach - Shelly Beach 616 5.9 674 5.5 58 9.4 Coolum Beach - Mount Coolum - Yaroomba - Point Arkwright 1,246 8.2 1,239 7.1 -7 -0.6 Currimundi - Aroona - Battery Hill - Dicky Beach 999 6.7 1,100 6.6 101 10.1 Eumundi - Eerwah Vale - North Arm - Bridges 300 7.8 258 6.6 -42 -14.0 Glass House Mountains - Beerburrum - Coochin Creek - Bribie 404 6.7 512 7.0 108 26.7 Island North Golden Beach 347 6.0 344 5.7 -3 -0.9 Ilkley - Eudlo & District 400 8.2 341 6.8 -59 -14.8 Landsborough - Mount Mellum 313 7.1 412 7.5 99 31.6 Little Mountain - Caloundra West - Meridan Plains - Bells Creek 1,427 6.8 2,934 7.2 1,507 105.6 Maleny - Witta - North Maleny 284 4.9 361 5.5 77 27.1 Mapleton - Flaxton - Obi Obi 115 4.2 164 4.9 49 42.6 Marcoola - Twin Waters - Pacific Paradise - Mudjimba 712 6.4 728 5.5 16 2.2 Maroochydore 884 5.1 1,514 6.1 630 71.3 Mooloolaba - Alexandra Headland 732 6.0 921 6.6 189 25.8 Mooloolah Valley - Diamond Valley - Balmoral Ridge - Bald Knob 379 8.6 297 6.2 -82 -21.6 Mountain Creek 869 7.4 1,257 8.5 388 44.6 Nambour - Burnside & District 1,160 6.4 1,432 6.2 272 23.4 Palmwoods - Chevallum - Montville - Hunchy 554 7.1 538 6.2 -16 -2.9 Peachester - Crohamhurst - Booroobin - Wootha 111 5.6 119 6.0 8 7.2 Pelican Waters 427 6.7 733 7.0 306 71.7 Peregian Springs 734 9.6 809 7.2 75 10.2 Reesville - Curramore & District 187 6.9 158 5.8 -29 -15.5 Sippy Downs - Palmview 764 6.6 1,462 7.0 698 91.4 Weyba Downs - Verrierdale - Doonan (part) 366 8.2 286 6.7 -80 -21.9 Woombye 251 7.5 289 6.8 38 15.1 Wurtulla - Buddina & District 1,724 7.0 1,917 6.7 193 11.2 Yandina - Yandina Creek & District 510 7.1 730 7.8 220 43.1 Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2026, prepared by .id, the population experts, December 2017
39
Population and age structure map - persons aged 45 to 49 years
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2026, prepared by .id, the population experts, December 2017
40
Population and age structure - persons aged 45 to 49 years
Change between Sunshine Coast Council area 2016 2026 2016 and 2026 Area Number % Number % Number % Sunshine Coast Council area 21,125 7.0 24,474 6.3 3,349 15.9 Beerwah 447 6.5 616 6.5 169 37.8 Belli Park - Cooloolabin - Gheerulla - Coolabine - Kureelpa - 220 9.1 173 6.7 -47 -21.4 Kiamba Bli Bli - Rosemount & District 899 6.9 1,140 7.2 241 26.8 Buderim - Kuluin - Mons - Kunda Park 2,433 7.2 2,400 6.6 -33 -1.4 Caloundra - Kings Beach - Moffat Beach - Shelly Beach 672 6.4 711 5.8 39 5.8 Coolum Beach - Mount Coolum - Yaroomba - Point Arkwright 1,144 7.5 1,173 6.7 29 2.5 Currimundi - Aroona - Battery Hill - Dicky Beach 1,025 6.9 1,049 6.3 24 2.3 Eumundi - Eerwah Vale - North Arm - Bridges 332 8.6 275 7.1 -57 -17.2 Glass House Mountains - Beerburrum - Coochin Creek - Bribie 454 7.6 494 6.8 40 8.8 Island North Golden Beach 318 5.5 324 5.3 6 1.9 Ilkley - Eudlo & District 456 9.3 372 7.4 -84 -18.4 Landsborough - Mount Mellum 304 6.9 349 6.3 45 14.8 Little Mountain - Caloundra West - Meridan Plains - Bells Creek 1,404 6.7 2,358 5.8 954 67.9 Maleny - Witta - North Maleny 370 6.4 389 5.9 19 5.1 Mapleton - Flaxton - Obi Obi 172 6.3 167 5.0 -5 -2.9 Marcoola - Twin Waters - Pacific Paradise - Mudjimba 873 7.9 700 5.3 -173 -19.8 Maroochydore 925 5.4 1,352 5.5 427 46.2 Mooloolaba - Alexandra Headland 774 6.3 953 6.9 179 23.1 Mooloolah Valley - Diamond Valley - Balmoral Ridge - Bald Knob 340 7.7 285 6.0 -55 -16.2 Mountain Creek 852 7.3 1,122 7.6 270 31.7 Nambour - Burnside & District 1,162 6.4 1,314 5.7 152 13.1 Palmwoods - Chevallum - Montville - Hunchy 579 7.4 546 6.3 -33 -5.7 Peachester - Crohamhurst - Booroobin - Wootha 176 8.9 123 6.2 -53 -30.1 Pelican Waters 512 8.0 717 6.8 205 40.0 Peregian Springs 484 6.4 807 7.2 323 66.7 Reesville - Curramore & District 161 5.9 153 5.6 -8 -5.0 Sippy Downs - Palmview 693 6.0 1,172 5.6 479 69.1 10. Weyba Downs - Verrierdale - Doonan (part) 470 328 7.7 -142 -30.2 5 Woombye 271 8.1 289 6.8 18 6.6 Wurtulla - Buddina & District 1,640 6.7 1,963 6.8 323 19.7 Yandina - Yandina Creek & District 564 7.9 660 7.1 96 17.0 Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2026, prepared by .id, the population experts, December 2017
41
Population and age structure map - persons aged 50 to 54 years
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2026, prepared by .id, the population experts, December 2017
42
Population and age structure - persons aged 50 to 54 years
Change between Sunshine Coast Council area 2016 2026 2016 and 2026 Area Number % Number % Number % Sunshine Coast Council area 20,677 6.8 24,237 6.3 3,560 17.2 Beerwah 442 6.4 585 6.2 143 32.4 Belli Park - Cooloolabin - Gheerulla - Coolabine - Kureelpa - 191 7.9 173 6.7 -18 -9.4 Kiamba Bli Bli - Rosemount & District 889 6.8 1,116 7.0 227 25.5 Buderim - Kuluin - Mons - Kunda Park 2,390 7.1 2,507 6.9 117 4.9 Caloundra - Kings Beach - Moffat Beach - Shelly Beach 727 7.0 799 6.5 72 9.9 Coolum Beach - Mount Coolum - Yaroomba - Point Arkwright 1,054 6.9 1,245 7.1 191 18.1 Currimundi - Aroona - Battery Hill - Dicky Beach 1,056 7.1 1,011 6.1 -45 -4.3 Eumundi - Eerwah Vale - North Arm - Bridges 329 8.5 308 7.9 -21 -6.4 Glass House Mountains - Beerburrum - Coochin Creek - Bribie 427 7.1 473 6.5 46 10.8 Island North Golden Beach 354 6.1 393 6.5 39 11.0 Ilkley - Eudlo & District 422 8.6 386 7.7 -36 -8.5 Landsborough - Mount Mellum 342 7.8 368 6.7 26 7.6 Little Mountain - Caloundra West - Meridan Plains - Bells Creek 1,089 5.2 1,960 4.8 871 80.0 Maleny - Witta - North Maleny 396 6.9 384 5.8 -12 -3.0 Mapleton - Flaxton - Obi Obi 222 8.2 208 6.2 -14 -6.3 Marcoola - Twin Waters - Pacific Paradise - Mudjimba 861 7.8 797 6.0 -64 -7.4 Maroochydore 1,133 6.6 1,370 5.6 237 20.9 Mooloolaba - Alexandra Headland 911 7.5 925 6.7 14 1.5 Mooloolah Valley - Diamond Valley - Balmoral Ridge - Bald Knob 336 7.6 367 7.7 31 9.2 Mountain Creek 722 6.2 915 6.2 193 26.7 Nambour - Burnside & District 1,175 6.5 1,411 6.1 236 20.1 Palmwoods - Chevallum - Montville - Hunchy 567 7.2 639 7.3 72 12.7 Peachester - Crohamhurst - Booroobin - Wootha 193 9.8 129 6.6 -64 -33.2 Pelican Waters 448 7.0 683 6.5 235 52.5 Peregian Springs 373 4.9 748 6.6 375 100.5 Reesville - Curramore & District 244 9.0 182 6.6 -62 -25.4 Sippy Downs - Palmview 566 4.9 904 4.3 338 59.7 Weyba Downs - Verrierdale - Doonan (part) 359 8.1 351 8.2 -8 -2.2 Woombye 235 7.0 306 7.3 71 30.2 Wurtulla - Buddina & District 1,653 6.7 1,979 6.9 326 19.7 Yandina - Yandina Creek & District 572 8.0 614 6.6 42 7.3 Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2026, prepared by .id, the population experts, December 2017
43
Population and age structure map - persons aged 55 to 59 years
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2026, prepared by .id, the population experts, December 2017
44
Population and age structure - persons aged 55 to 59 years
Change between Sunshine Coast Council area 2016 2026 2016 and 2026 Area Number % Number % Number % Sunshine Coast Council area 20,257 6.7 23,879 6.2 3,622 17.9 Beerwah 413 6.0 540 5.7 127 30.8 Belli Park - Cooloolabin - Gheerulla - Coolabine - Kureelpa - 241 10.0 232 9.0 -9 -3.7 Kiamba Bli Bli - Rosemount & District 811 6.2 1,094 6.9 283 34.9 Buderim - Kuluin - Mons - Kunda Park 2,249 6.7 2,485 6.8 236 10.5 Caloundra - Kings Beach - Moffat Beach - Shelly Beach 838 8.0 883 7.1 45 5.4 Coolum Beach - Mount Coolum - Yaroomba - Point Arkwright 1,042 6.8 1,220 7.0 178 17.1 Currimundi - Aroona - Battery Hill - Dicky Beach 955 6.4 1,008 6.1 53 5.5 Eumundi - Eerwah Vale - North Arm - Bridges 321 8.3 308 7.9 -13 -4.0 Glass House Mountains - Beerburrum - Coochin Creek - Bribie 402 6.7 481 6.6 79 19.7 Island North Golden Beach 415 7.1 424 7.0 9 2.2 Ilkley - Eudlo & District 377 7.7 395 7.9 18 4.8 Landsborough - Mount Mellum 388 8.8 367 6.6 -21 -5.4 Little Mountain - Caloundra West - Meridan Plains - Bells Creek 980 4.7 1,574 3.8 594 60.6 Maleny - Witta - North Maleny 514 8.9 480 7.3 -34 -6.6 Mapleton - Flaxton - Obi Obi 232 8.5 281 8.4 49 21.1 Marcoola - Twin Waters - Pacific Paradise - Mudjimba 846 7.6 947 7.1 101 11.9 Maroochydore 1,275 7.4 1,441 5.8 166 13.0 Mooloolaba - Alexandra Headland 920 7.5 869 6.3 -51 -5.5 Mooloolah Valley - Diamond Valley - Balmoral Ridge - Bald 299 6.8 353 7.4 54 18.1 Knob Mountain Creek 597 5.1 728 4.9 131 21.9 Nambour - Burnside & District 1,154 6.3 1,440 6.2 286 24.8 Palmwoods - Chevallum - Montville - Hunchy 576 7.4 697 8.0 121 21.0 Peachester - Crohamhurst - Booroobin - Wootha 178 9.0 184 9.3 6 3.4 Pelican Waters 420 6.6 768 7.3 348 82.9 Peregian Springs 307 4.0 633 5.6 326 106.2 Reesville - Curramore & District 223 8.2 199 7.3 -24 -10.8 Sippy Downs - Palmview 441 3.8 741 3.5 300 68.0 Weyba Downs - Verrierdale - Doonan (part) 365 8.2 385 9.0 20 5.5 Woombye 207 6.2 282 6.7 75 36.2 Wurtulla - Buddina & District 1,676 6.8 1,804 6.3 128 7.6 Yandina - Yandina Creek & District 597 8.3 637 6.8 40 6.7 Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2026, prepared by .id, the population experts, December 2017
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Population and age structure map - persons aged 60 to 64 years
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2026, prepared by .id, the population experts, December 2017
46
Population and age structure - persons aged 60 to 64 years
Change between Sunshine Coast Council area 2016 2026 2016 and 2026 Area Number % Number % Number % Sunshine Coast Council area 18,852 6.2 23,848 6.2 4,996 26.5 Beerwah 371 5.4 538 5.7 167 45.0 Belli Park - Cooloolabin - Gheerulla - Coolabine - Kureelpa - 199 8.3 222 8.6 23 11.6 Kiamba Bli Bli - Rosemount & District 782 6.0 1,047 6.6 265 33.9 Buderim - Kuluin - Mons - Kunda Park 2,074 6.2 2,499 6.9 425 20.5 Caloundra - Kings Beach - Moffat Beach - Shelly Beach 816 7.8 921 7.4 105 12.9 Coolum Beach - Mount Coolum - Yaroomba - Point Arkwright 983 6.4 1,134 6.5 151 15.4 Currimundi - Aroona - Battery Hill - Dicky Beach 863 5.8 1,121 6.8 258 29.9 Eumundi - Eerwah Vale - North Arm - Bridges 287 7.4 300 7.7 13 4.5 Glass House Mountains - Beerburrum - Coochin Creek - Bribie 409 6.8 475 6.5 66 16.1 Island North Golden Beach 442 7.6 464 7.6 22 5.0 Ilkley - Eudlo & District 356 7.3 367 7.3 11 3.1 Landsborough - Mount Mellum 291 6.6 370 6.7 79 27.1 Little Mountain - Caloundra West - Meridan Plains - Bells Creek 890 4.3 1,318 3.2 428 48.1 Maleny - Witta - North Maleny 532 9.3 589 9.0 57 10.7 Mapleton - Flaxton - Obi Obi 308 11.3 327 9.8 19 6.2 Marcoola - Twin Waters - Pacific Paradise - Mudjimba 749 6.8 1,005 7.6 256 34.2 Maroochydore 1,264 7.3 1,613 6.5 349 27.6 Mooloolaba - Alexandra Headland 875 7.2 822 5.9 -53 -6.1 Mooloolah Valley - Diamond Valley - Balmoral Ridge - Bald Knob 317 7.2 365 7.7 48 15.1 Mountain Creek 466 4.0 592 4.0 126 27.0 Nambour - Burnside & District 1,064 5.9 1,391 6.0 327 30.7 Palmwoods - Chevallum - Montville - Hunchy 503 6.4 654 7.5 151 30.0 Peachester - Crohamhurst - Booroobin - Wootha 175 8.9 219 11.1 44 25.1 Pelican Waters 515 8.1 842 8.0 327 63.5 Peregian Springs 345 4.5 670 6.0 325 94.2 Reesville - Curramore & District 232 8.6 246 9.0 14 6.0 Sippy Downs - Palmview 330 2.9 683 3.3 353 107.0 Weyba Downs - Verrierdale - Doonan (part) 292 6.6 330 7.7 38 13.0 Woombye 230 6.9 253 6.0 23 10.0 Wurtulla - Buddina & District 1,415 5.8 1,817 6.3 402 28.4 Yandina - Yandina Creek & District 478 6.7 654 7.0 176 36.8 Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2026, prepared by .id, the population experts, December 2017
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Population and age structure map - persons aged 65 to 69 years
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2026, prepared by .id, the population experts, December 2017
48
Population and age structure - persons aged 65 to 69 years
Change between Sunshine Coast Council area 2016 2026 2016 and 2026 Area Number % Number % Number % Sunshine Coast Council area 18,813 6.2 22,613 5.8 3,800 20.2 Beerwah 390 5.6 508 5.4 118 30.3 Belli Park - Cooloolabin - Gheerulla - Coolabine - Kureelpa - 198 8.2 229 8.9 31 15.7 Kiamba Bli Bli - Rosemount & District 848 6.5 911 5.7 63 7.4 Buderim - Kuluin - Mons - Kunda Park 2,118 6.3 2,343 6.4 225 10.6 Caloundra - Kings Beach - Moffat Beach - Shelly Beach 789 7.6 943 7.6 154 19.5 Coolum Beach - Mount Coolum - Yaroomba - Point Arkwright 827 5.4 1,039 5.9 212 25.6 Currimundi - Aroona - Battery Hill - Dicky Beach 923 6.2 1,029 6.2 106 11.5 Eumundi - Eerwah Vale - North Arm - Bridges 266 6.9 282 7.3 16 6.0 Glass House Mountains - Beerburrum - Coochin Creek - Bribie 393 6.5 448 6.1 55 14.0 Island North Golden Beach 502 8.6 488 8.0 -14 -2.8 Ilkley - Eudlo & District 227 4.6 310 6.2 83 36.6 Landsborough - Mount Mellum 248 5.7 362 6.6 114 46.0 Little Mountain - Caloundra West - Meridan Plains - Bells Creek 1,027 4.9 1,313 3.2 286 27.8 Maleny - Witta - North Maleny 635 11.1 672 10.2 37 5.8 Mapleton - Flaxton - Obi Obi 312 11.5 309 9.3 -3 -1.0 Marcoola - Twin Waters - Pacific Paradise - Mudjimba 744 6.7 965 7.3 221 29.7 Maroochydore 1,177 6.8 1,574 6.4 397 33.7 Mooloolaba - Alexandra Headland 814 6.7 731 5.3 -83 -10.2 Mooloolah Valley - Diamond Valley - Balmoral Ridge - Bald 275 6.3 293 6.2 18 6.5 Knob Mountain Creek 400 3.4 534 3.6 134 33.5 Nambour - Burnside & District 950 5.2 1,274 5.5 324 34.1 Palmwoods - Chevallum - Montville - Hunchy 538 6.9 588 6.7 50 9.3 Peachester - Crohamhurst - Booroobin - Wootha 150 7.6 196 10.0 46 30.7 Pelican Waters 698 11.0 839 8.0 141 20.2 Peregian Springs 411 5.4 668 5.9 257 62.5 Reesville - Curramore & District 241 8.9 205 7.5 -36 -14.9 Sippy Downs - Palmview 430 3.7 571 2.7 141 32.8 Weyba Downs - Verrierdale - Doonan (part) 317 7.1 319 7.4 2 0.6 Woombye 173 5.2 238 5.6 65 37.6 Wurtulla - Buddina & District 1,409 5.7 1,784 6.2 375 26.6 Yandina - Yandina Creek & District 382 5.3 650 6.9 268 70.2 Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2026, prepared by .id, the population experts, December 2017
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Population and age structure map - persons aged 70 to 74 years
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2026, prepared by .id, the population experts, December 2017
50
Population and age structure - persons aged 70 to 74 years
Change between Sunshine Coast Council area 2016 2026 2016 and 2026 Area Number % Number % Number % Sunshine Coast Council area 14,927 4.9 19,318 5.0 4,391 29.4 Beerwah 305 4.4 418 4.4 113 37.0 Belli Park - Cooloolabin - Gheerulla - Coolabine - Kureelpa - 103 4.3 150 5.8 47 45.6 Kiamba Bli Bli - Rosemount & District 687 5.2 775 4.9 88 12.8 Buderim - Kuluin - Mons - Kunda Park 1,630 4.8 2,037 5.6 407 25.0 Caloundra - Kings Beach - Moffat Beach - Shelly Beach 667 6.4 845 6.8 178 26.7 Coolum Beach - Mount Coolum - Yaroomba - Point Arkwright 552 3.6 861 4.9 309 56.0 Currimundi - Aroona - Battery Hill - Dicky Beach 721 4.8 863 5.2 142 19.7 Eumundi - Eerwah Vale - North Arm - Bridges 190 4.9 243 6.3 53 27.9 Glass House Mountains - Beerburrum - Coochin Creek - Bribie 323 5.4 406 5.6 83 25.7 Island North Golden Beach 452 7.8 427 7.0 -25 -5.5 Ilkley - Eudlo & District 164 3.4 273 5.4 109 66.5 Landsborough - Mount Mellum 200 4.6 252 4.6 52 26.0 Little Mountain - Caloundra West - Meridan Plains - Bells Creek 978 4.7 1,292 3.2 314 32.1 Maleny - Witta - North Maleny 542 9.4 568 8.6 26 4.8 Mapleton - Flaxton - Obi Obi 236 8.7 308 9.2 72 30.5 Marcoola - Twin Waters - Pacific Paradise - Mudjimba 569 5.1 772 5.8 203 35.7 Maroochydore 991 5.7 1,307 5.3 316 31.9 Mooloolaba - Alexandra Headland 536 4.4 680 4.9 144 26.9 Mooloolah Valley - Diamond Valley - Balmoral Ridge - Bald 190 4.3 254 5.3 64 33.7 Knob Mountain Creek 268 2.3 437 3.0 169 63.1 Nambour - Burnside & District 830 4.6 1,093 4.7 263 31.7 Palmwoods - Chevallum - Montville - Hunchy 366 4.7 458 5.3 92 25.1 Peachester - Crohamhurst - Booroobin - Wootha 90 4.6 147 7.5 57 63.3 Pelican Waters 555 8.7 744 7.1 189 34.1 Peregian Springs 310 4.1 625 5.6 315 101.6 Reesville - Curramore & District 178 6.6 196 7.1 18 10.1 Sippy Downs - Palmview 441 3.8 455 2.2 14 3.2 Weyba Downs - Verrierdale - Doonan (part) 183 4.1 258 6.0 75 41.0 Woombye 138 4.1 226 5.4 88 63.8 Wurtulla - Buddina & District 1,221 5.0 1,461 5.1 240 19.7 Yandina - Yandina Creek & District 311 4.3 486 5.2 175 56.3 Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2026, prepared by .id, the population experts, December 2017
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Population and age structure map - persons aged 75 to 79 years
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2026, prepared by .id, the population experts, December 2017
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Population and age structure - persons aged 75 to 79 years
Change between Sunshine Coast Council area 2016 2026 2016 and 2026 Area Number % Number % Number % Sunshine Coast Council area 10,646 3.5 16,168 4.2 5,522 51.9 Beerwah 221 3.2 328 3.5 107 48.4 Belli Park - Cooloolabin - Gheerulla - Coolabine - Kureelpa - 63 2.6 102 4.0 39 61.9 Kiamba Bli Bli - Rosemount & District 498 3.8 688 4.3 190 38.2 Buderim - Kuluin - Mons - Kunda Park 1,266 3.8 1,818 5.0 552 43.6 Caloundra - Kings Beach - Moffat Beach - Shelly Beach 532 5.1 725 5.9 193 36.3 Coolum Beach - Mount Coolum - Yaroomba - Point Arkwright 432 2.8 608 3.5 176 40.7 Currimundi - Aroona - Battery Hill - Dicky Beach 572 3.8 772 4.7 200 35.0 Eumundi - Eerwah Vale - North Arm - Bridges 110 2.9 194 5.0 84 76.4 Glass House Mountains - Beerburrum - Coochin Creek - Bribie 187 3.1 330 4.5 143 76.5 Island North Golden Beach 340 5.8 420 6.9 80 23.5 Ilkley - Eudlo & District 81 1.7 160 3.2 79 97.5 Landsborough - Mount Mellum 76 1.7 199 3.6 123 161.8 Little Mountain - Caloundra West - Meridan Plains - Bells Creek 744 3.6 1,112 2.7 368 49.5 Maleny - Witta - North Maleny 337 5.9 510 7.8 173 51.3 Mapleton - Flaxton - Obi Obi 178 6.6 256 7.7 78 43.8 Marcoola - Twin Waters - Pacific Paradise - Mudjimba 347 3.1 621 4.7 274 79.0 Maroochydore 796 4.6 1,058 4.3 262 32.9 Mooloolaba - Alexandra Headland 368 3.0 535 3.9 167 45.4 Mooloolah Valley - Diamond Valley - Balmoral Ridge - Bald 122 2.8 206 4.3 84 68.9 Knob Mountain Creek 166 1.4 346 2.3 180 108.4 Nambour - Burnside & District 626 3.4 917 4.0 291 46.5 Palmwoods - Chevallum - Montville - Hunchy 257 3.3 418 4.8 161 62.6 Peachester - Crohamhurst - Booroobin - Wootha 65 3.3 95 4.8 30 46.2 Pelican Waters 324 5.1 629 6.0 305 94.1 Peregian Springs 195 2.6 488 4.3 293 150.3 Reesville - Curramore & District 81 3.0 176 6.4 95 117.3 Sippy Downs - Palmview 452 3.9 482 2.3 30 6.6 Weyba Downs - Verrierdale - Doonan (part) 142 3.2 240 5.6 98 69.0 Woombye 62 1.8 150 3.6 88 141.9 Wurtulla - Buddina & District 858 3.5 1,237 4.3 379 44.2 Yandina - Yandina Creek & District 150 2.1 347 3.7 197 131.3 Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2026, prepared by .id, the population experts, December 2017
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Population and age structure map - persons aged 80 years and over
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2026, prepared by .id, the population experts, December 2017
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Population and age structure - persons aged 80 years and over
Change between Sunshine Coast Council area 2016 2026 2016 and 2026 Area Number % Number % Number % Sunshine Coast Council area 15,005 4.9 22,583 5.8 7,578 50.5 Beerwah 298 4.3 375 4.0 77 25.8 Belli Park - Cooloolabin - Gheerulla - Coolabine - Kureelpa - 47 1.9 93 3.6 46 97.9 Kiamba Bli Bli - Rosemount & District 512 3.9 783 4.9 271 52.9 Buderim - Kuluin - Mons - Kunda Park 2,136 6.3 2,543 7.0 407 19.1 Caloundra - Kings Beach - Moffat Beach - Shelly Beach 887 8.5 1,204 9.7 317 35.7 Coolum Beach - Mount Coolum - Yaroomba - Point Arkwright 652 4.3 781 4.5 129 19.8 Currimundi - Aroona - Battery Hill - Dicky Beach 960 6.4 1,040 6.3 80 8.3 Eumundi - Eerwah Vale - North Arm - Bridges 100 2.6 197 5.1 97 97.0 Glass House Mountains - Beerburrum - Coochin Creek - 186 3.1 368 5.0 182 97.8 Bribie Island North Golden Beach 627 10.8 704 11.6 77 12.3 Ilkley - Eudlo & District 77 1.6 255 5.1 178 231.2 Landsborough - Mount Mellum 111 2.5 199 3.6 88 79.3 Little Mountain - Caloundra West - Meridan Plains - Bells Creek 1,026 4.9 1,663 4.1 637 62.1 Maleny - Witta - North Maleny 411 7.2 621 9.4 210 51.1 Mapleton - Flaxton - Obi Obi 171 6.3 273 8.2 102 59.6 Marcoola - Twin Waters - Pacific Paradise - Mudjimba 332 3.0 966 7.3 634 191.0 Maroochydore 1,229 7.1 1,880 7.6 651 53.0 Mooloolaba - Alexandra Headland 637 5.2 725 5.2 88 13.8 Mooloolah Valley - Diamond Valley - Balmoral Ridge - Bald 131 3.0 219 4.6 88 67.2 Knob Mountain Creek 169 1.4 479 3.2 310 183.4 Nambour - Burnside & District 1,080 5.9 1,965 8.5 885 81.9 Palmwoods - Chevallum - Montville - Hunchy 365 4.7 502 5.8 137 37.5 Peachester - Crohamhurst - Booroobin - Wootha 22 1.1 83 4.2 61 277.3 Pelican Waters 231 3.6 591 5.6 360 155.8 Peregian Springs 268 3.5 550 4.9 282 105.2 Reesville - Curramore & District 55 2.0 149 5.4 94 170.9 Sippy Downs - Palmview 679 5.9 865 4.1 186 27.4 Weyba Downs - Verrierdale - Doonan (part) 56 1.3 182 4.2 126 225.0 Woombye 92 2.7 198 4.7 106 115.2 Wurtulla - Buddina & District 1,319 5.4 1,744 6.1 425 32.2 Yandina - Yandina Creek & District 139 1.9 386 4.1 247 177.7 Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2026, prepared by .id, the population experts, December 2017
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Household types
Mapping the distribution of different household types across the Sunshine Coast Council area provides insight into the roles that different areas play in the housing market and how these are changing. It also identifies where there are concentrations of households which have specific service requirements.
Forecast household types map – Couple families with dependents
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2026, prepared by .id, the population experts, December 2017
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Forecast household types – Couple families with dependents Sunshine Coast Council area 2016 2026 Change between 2016 and 2026 Area Number % Number % Number % Sunshine Coast Council area 33,488 100 42,565 100 9,077 27.1 Beerwah 795 2.4 1,107 2.6 312 39.3 Belli Park - Cooloolabin - Gheerulla - Coolabine - Kureelpa - 256 0.8 272 0.6 16 6.2 Kiamba Bli Bli - Rosemount & District 1,598 4.8 1,884 4.4 286 17.9 Buderim - Kuluin - Mons - Kunda Park 4,039 12.1 4,210 9.9 171 4.2 Caloundra - Kings Beach - Moffat Beach - Shelly Beach 789 2.4 891 2.1 102 12.9 Coolum Beach - Mount Coolum - Yaroomba - Point Arkwright 1,718 5.1 1,885 4.4 167 9.7 Currimundi - Aroona - Battery Hill - Dicky Beach 1,652 4.9 1,826 4.3 174 10.5 Eumundi - Eerwah Vale - North Arm - Bridges 469 1.4 444 1.0 -25 -5.3 Glass House Mountains - Beerburrum - Coochin Creek - Bribie 715 2.1 852 2.0 137 19.2 Island North Golden Beach 437 1.3 443 1.0 6 1.4 Ilkley - Eudlo & District 649 1.9 608 1.4 -42 -6.4 Landsborough - Mount Mellum 538 1.6 655 1.5 117 21.8 Little Mountain - Caloundra West - Meridan Plains - Bells Creek 2,564 7.7 5,328 12.5 2,764 107.8 Maleny - Witta - North Maleny 491 1.5 546 1.3 54 11.1 Mapleton - Flaxton - Obi Obi 206 0.6 258 0.6 52 25.2 Marcoola - Twin Waters - Pacific Paradise - Mudjimba 1,175 3.5 1,294 3.0 119 10.2 Maroochydore 1,165 3.5 1,933 4.5 768 65.9 Mooloolaba - Alexandra Headland 980 2.9 1,141 2.7 161 16.4 Mooloolah Valley - Diamond Valley - Balmoral Ridge - Bald Knob 566 1.7 570 1.3 5 0.8 Mountain Creek 1,512 4.5 1,982 4.7 470 31.1 Nambour - Burnside & District 1,940 5.8 2,404 5.6 465 24.0 Palmwoods - Chevallum - Montville - Hunchy 983 2.9 1,031 2.4 47 4.8 Peachester - Crohamhurst - Booroobin - Wootha 231 0.7 195 0.5 -36 -15.5 Pelican Waters 735 2.2 1,266 3.0 532 72.4 Peregian Springs 1,060 3.2 1,384 3.3 325 30.6 Reesville - Curramore & District 274 0.8 243 0.6 -31 -11.3 Sippy Downs - Palmview 1,306 3.9 2,646 6.2 1,339 102.5 Weyba Downs - Verrierdale - Doonan (part) 615 1.8 529 1.2 -86 -13.9 Woombye 441 1.3 523 1.2 81 18.4 Wurtulla - Buddina & District 2,708 8.1 3,093 7.3 385 14.2 Yandina - Yandina Creek & District 881 2.6 1,122 2.6 241 27.3
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2026, prepared by .id, the population experts, December 2017 57
Forecast household types map – Couples without dependents
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2026, prepared by .id, the population experts, December 2017
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Forecast household types – Couples without dependents Sunshine Coast Council area 2016 2026 Change between 2016 and 2026 Area Number % Number % Number % Sunshine Coast Council area 40,601 100 52,505 100 11,904 29.3 Beerwah 813 2.0 1,130 2.2 317 38.9 Belli Park - Cooloolabin - Gheerulla - Coolabine - Kureelpa - 341 0.8 402 0.8 61 17.9 Kiamba Bli Bli - Rosemount & District 1,653 4.1 2,064 3.9 411 24.9 Buderim - Kuluin - Mons - Kunda Park 4,355 10.7 5,034 9.6 679 15.6 Caloundra - Kings Beach - Moffat Beach - Shelly Beach 1,592 3.9 1,853 3.5 261 16.4 Coolum Beach - Mount Coolum - Yaroomba - Point Arkwright 1,935 4.8 2,361 4.5 425 22.0 Currimundi - Aroona - Battery Hill - Dicky Beach 1,887 4.6 2,183 4.2 295 15.6 Eumundi - Eerwah Vale - North Arm - Bridges 530 1.3 599 1.1 69 13.0 Glass House Mountains - Beerburrum - Coochin Creek - Bribie 764 1.9 959 1.8 195 25.5 Island North Golden Beach 1,086 2.7 1,124 2.1 38 3.5 Ilkley - Eudlo & District 576 1.4 720 1.4 144 24.9 Landsborough - Mount Mellum 563 1.4 725 1.4 162 28.7 Little Mountain - Caloundra West - Meridan Plains - Bells Creek 2,431 6.0 4,424 8.4 1,993 82.0 Maleny - Witta - North Maleny 1,127 2.8 1,280 2.4 153 13.5 Mapleton - Flaxton - Obi Obi 564 1.4 670 1.3 106 18.8 Marcoola - Twin Waters - Pacific Paradise - Mudjimba 1,644 4.0 2,057 3.9 413 25.1 Maroochydore 2,767 6.8 3,615 6.9 847 30.6 Mooloolaba - Alexandra Headland 1,715 4.2 1,812 3.5 97 5.7 Mooloolah Valley - Diamond Valley - Balmoral Ridge - Bald Knob 554 1.4 678 1.3 124 22.3 Mountain Creek 1,104 2.7 1,505 2.9 401 36.4 Nambour - Burnside & District 2,070 5.1 2,632 5.0 562 27.1 Palmwoods - Chevallum - Montville - Hunchy 1,051 2.6 1,331 2.5 280 26.7 Peachester - Crohamhurst - Booroobin - Wootha 309 0.8 363 0.7 54 17.5 Pelican Waters 1,229 3.0 1,933 3.7 704 57.2 Peregian Springs 866 2.1 1,613 3.1 748 86.4 Reesville - Curramore & District 433 1.1 485 0.9 52 12.0 Sippy Downs - Palmview 1,214 3.0 2,098 4.0 884 72.8 Weyba Downs - Verrierdale - Doonan (part) 618 1.5 730 1.4 112 18.0 Woombye 416 1.0 579 1.1 164 39.4 Wurtulla - Buddina & District 3,477 8.6 4,174 7.9 697 20.0 Yandina - Yandina Creek & District 914 2.3 1,374 2.6 459 50.2
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2026, prepared by .id, the population experts, December 2017
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Forecast household types map - Group households
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2026, prepared by .id, the population experts, December 2017
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Forecast household types - Group households
Sunshine Coast Council area 2016 2026 Change between 2016 and 2026 Area Number % Number % Number % Sunshine Coast Council area 4,513 100 5,277 100 764 16.9 Beerwah 82 1.8 115 2.2 33 39.9 Belli Park - Cooloolabin - Gheerulla - Coolabine - Kureelpa - 24 0.5 24 0.4 -1 -3.1 Kiamba Bli Bli - Rosemount & District 132 2.9 149 2.8 17 13.2 Buderim - Kuluin - Mons - Kunda Park 386 8.6 394 7.5 7 1.9 Caloundra - Kings Beach - Moffat Beach - Shelly Beach 238 5.3 270 5.1 32 13.3 Coolum Beach - Mount Coolum - Yaroomba - Point Arkwright 293 6.5 329 6.2 36 12.2 Currimundi - Aroona - Battery Hill - Dicky Beach 158 3.5 163 3.1 5 2.9 Eumundi - Eerwah Vale - North Arm - Bridges 43 1.0 33 0.6 -10 -23.3 Glass House Mountains - Beerburrum - Coochin Creek - Bribie 54 1.2 63 1.2 9 17.1 Island North Golden Beach 67 1.5 63 1.2 -4 -5.4 Ilkley - Eudlo & District 57 1.3 59 1.1 2 3.2 Landsborough - Mount Mellum 57 1.3 65 1.2 7 13.0 Little Mountain - Caloundra West - Meridan Plains - Bells Creek 165 3.7 301 5.7 136 82.6 Maleny - Witta - North Maleny 63 1.4 69 1.3 6 10.1 Mapleton - Flaxton - Obi Obi 40 0.9 43 0.8 3 8.1 Marcoola - Twin Waters - Pacific Paradise - Mudjimba 228 5.0 239 4.5 12 5.2 Maroochydore 577 12.8 729 13.8 151 26.2 Mooloolaba - Alexandra Headland 492 10.9 583 11.0 91 18.4 Mooloolah Valley - Diamond Valley - Balmoral Ridge - Bald Knob 42 0.9 51 1.0 9 21.2 Mountain Creek 181 4.0 174 3.3 -7 -4.0 Nambour - Burnside & District 230 5.1 279 5.3 49 21.2 Palmwoods - Chevallum - Montville - Hunchy 56 1.2 66 1.2 10 17.1 Peachester - Crohamhurst - Booroobin - Wootha 20 0.4 18 0.3 -2 -12.3 Pelican Waters 28 0.6 50 1.0 22 79.4 Peregian Springs 50 1.1 76 1.4 26 51.2 Reesville - Curramore & District 47 1.0 42 0.8 -5 -10.9 Sippy Downs - Palmview 182 4.0 277 5.3 96 52.5 Weyba Downs - Verrierdale - Doonan (part) 19 0.4 19 0.4 0 0.7 Woombye 19 0.4 29 0.6 10 52.5 Wurtulla - Buddina & District 405 9.0 421 8.0 16 3.9 Yandina - Yandina Creek & District 76 1.7 85 1.6 9 11.7
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2026, prepared by .id, the population experts, December 2017
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Forecast household types map – Lone person households
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2026, prepared by .id, the population experts, December 2017
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Forecast household types – Lone person households Sunshine Coast Council area 2016 2026 Change between 2016 and 2026 Area Number % Number % Number % Sunshine Coast Council area 27,747 100 35,622 100 7,874 28.4 Beerwah 499 1.8 654 1.8 156 31.2 Belli Park - Cooloolabin - Gheerulla - Coolabine - Kureelpa - Kiamba 229 0.8 242 0.7 13 5.6 Bli Bli - Rosemount & District 1,091 3.9 1,393 3.9 302 27.6 Buderim - Kuluin - Mons - Kunda Park 2,999 10.8 3,381 9.5 382 12.7 Caloundra - Kings Beach - Moffat Beach - Shelly Beach 1,663 6.0 1,972 5.5 308 18.5 Coolum Beach - Mount Coolum - Yaroomba - Point Arkwright 1,404 5.1 1,575 4.4 171 12.2 Currimundi - Aroona - Battery Hill - Dicky Beach 1,372 4.9 1,582 4.4 210 15.3 Eumundi - Eerwah Vale - North Arm - Bridges 249 0.9 296 0.8 47 18.8 Glass House Mountains - Beerburrum - Coochin Creek - Bribie Island 426 1.5 565 1.6 139 32.7 North Golden Beach 868 3.1 932 2.6 64 7.4 Ilkley - Eudlo & District 189 0.7 187 0.5 -2 -0.8 Landsborough - Mount Mellum 334 1.2 422 1.2 88 26.2 Little Mountain - Caloundra West - Meridan Plains - Bells Creek 1,507 5.4 2,695 7.6 1,188 78.9 Maleny - Witta - North Maleny 608 2.2 744 2.1 136 22.4 Mapleton - Flaxton - Obi Obi 323 1.2 437 1.2 114 35.4 Marcoola - Twin Waters - Pacific Paradise - Mudjimba 1,089 3.9 1,419 4.0 330 30.3 10. Maroochydore 2,938 10.6 3,779 842 28.7 6 Mooloolaba - Alexandra Headland 1,767 6.4 2,024 5.7 257 14.5 Mooloolah Valley - Diamond Valley - Balmoral Ridge - Bald Knob 242 0.9 275 0.8 33 13.7 Mountain Creek 582 2.1 811 2.3 230 39.5 Nambour - Burnside & District 1,923 6.9 2,747 7.7 824 42.8 Palmwoods - Chevallum - Montville - Hunchy 493 1.8 514 1.4 21 4.2 Peachester - Crohamhurst - Booroobin - Wootha 107 0.4 125 0.4 18 16.7 Pelican Waters 345 1.2 671 1.9 326 94.7 Peregian Springs 319 1.2 660 1.9 341 106.7 Reesville - Curramore & District 277 1.0 298 0.8 21 7.6 Sippy Downs - Palmview 784 2.8 1,381 3.9 597 76.1 Weyba Downs - Verrierdale - Doonan (part) 167 0.6 226 0.6 59 35.6 Woombye 194 0.7 246 0.7 52 26.9 Wurtulla - Buddina & District 2,295 8.3 2,745 7.7 450 19.6 Yandina - Yandina Creek & District 468 1.7 625 1.8 157 33.7
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2026, prepared by .id, the population experts, December 2017 63
Forecast household types map – One parent family
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2026, prepared by .id, the population experts, December 2017
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Forecast household types – One parent family
Sunshine Coast Council area 2016 2026 Change between 2016 and 2026 Numbe Area Number % Number % % r Sunshine Coast Council area 12,261 100 14,992 100 2,731 22.3 Beerwah 348 2.8 494 3.3 146 41.9 Belli Park - Cooloolabin - Gheerulla - Coolabine - Kureelpa - Kiamba 58 0.5 66 0.4 8 14.6 Bli Bli - Rosemount & District 475 3.9 564 3.8 89 18.8 Buderim - Kuluin - Mons - Kunda Park 1,237 10.1 1,291 8.6 55 4.4 Caloundra - Kings Beach - Moffat Beach - Shelly Beach 546 4.4 611 4.1 66 12.1 Coolum Beach - Mount Coolum - Yaroomba - Point Arkwright 668 5.5 726 4.8 58 8.7 Currimundi - Aroona - Battery Hill - Dicky Beach 699 5.7 756 5.0 57 8.2 Eumundi - Eerwah Vale - North Arm - Bridges 127 1.0 122 0.8 -5 -3.7 Glass House Mountains - Beerburrum - Coochin Creek - Bribie Island 243 2.0 283 1.9 40 16.6 North Golden Beach 236 1.9 248 1.7 12 5.2 Ilkley - Eudlo & District 115 0.9 111 0.7 -5 -4.0 Landsborough - Mount Mellum 185 1.5 233 1.6 47 25.5 Little Mountain - Caloundra West - Meridan Plains - Bells Creek 847 6.9 1,372 9.2 525 61.9 Maleny - Witta - North Maleny 254 2.1 274 1.8 20 8.0 Mapleton - Flaxton - Obi Obi 101 0.8 118 0.8 16 16.2 Marcoola - Twin Waters - Pacific Paradise - Mudjimba 529 4.3 589 3.9 60 11.4 Maroochydore 832 6.8 1,152 7.7 319 38.3 Mooloolaba - Alexandra Headland 555 4.5 633 4.2 78 14.1 Mooloolah Valley - Diamond Valley - Balmoral Ridge - Bald Knob 144 1.2 135 0.9 -9 -6.3 Mountain Creek 586 4.8 722 4.8 136 23.2 Nambour - Burnside & District 864 7.0 1,075 7.2 211 24.5 Palmwoods - Chevallum - Montville - Hunchy 240 2.0 258 1.7 18 7.4 Peachester - Crohamhurst - Booroobin - Wootha 67 0.5 51 0.3 -15 -23.1 Pelican Waters 110 0.9 191 1.3 81 74.2 Peregian Springs 285 2.3 399 2.7 114 40.1 Reesville - Curramore & District 123 1.0 113 0.8 -10 -7.8 Sippy Downs - Palmview 390 3.2 738 4.9 347 89.0 Weyba Downs - Verrierdale - Doonan (part) 92 0.8 78 0.5 -14 -15.3 Woombye 96 0.8 114 0.8 18 18.7 Wurtulla - Buddina & District 966 7.9 1,175 7.8 209 21.7 Yandina - Yandina Creek & District 244 2.0 298 2.0 55 22.5
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2026, prepared by .id, the population experts, December 2017 65
Forecast household types map – Other families
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2026, prepared by .id, the population experts, December 2017
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Forecast household types – Other families
Sunshine Coast Council area 2016 2026 Change between 2016 and 2026 Numbe Numbe Numbe Area % % % r r r Sunshine Coast Council area 1,999 100 2,353 100 354 17.7 Beerwah 54 2.7 73 3.1 20 36.8 Belli Park - Cooloolabin - Gheerulla - Coolabine - Kureelpa - Kiamba 24 1.2 20 0.9 -3 -14.0 Bli Bli - Rosemount & District 99 4.9 119 5.0 20 19.8 Buderim - Kuluin - Mons - Kunda Park 193 9.6 198 8.4 6 3.0 Caloundra - Kings Beach - Moffat Beach - Shelly Beach 60 3.0 67 2.8 7 12.2 Coolum Beach - Mount Coolum - Yaroomba - Point Arkwright 81 4.1 95 4.1 14 17.7 Currimundi - Aroona - Battery Hill - Dicky Beach 113 5.7 123 5.2 10 8.6 Eumundi - Eerwah Vale - North Arm - Bridges 32 1.6 31 1.3 -1 -3.6 Glass House Mountains - Beerburrum - Coochin Creek - Bribie Island 42 2.1 52 2.2 10 22.9 North Golden Beach 48 2.4 50 2.1 3 5.2 Ilkley - Eudlo & District 47 2.4 50 2.1 3 5.9 Landsborough - Mount Mellum 24 1.2 30 1.3 6 24.7 Little Mountain - Caloundra West - Meridan Plains - Bells Creek 105 5.3 192 8.2 87 82.5 Maleny - Witta - North Maleny 29 1.4 41 1.7 12 43.1 Mapleton - Flaxton - Obi Obi 19 1.0 20 0.8 0 0.6 Marcoola - Twin Waters - Pacific Paradise - Mudjimba 56 2.8 66 2.8 10 18.1 Maroochydore 124 6.2 136 5.8 12 9.6 Mooloolaba - Alexandra Headland 85 4.3 96 4.1 10 12.3 Mooloolah Valley - Diamond Valley - Balmoral Ridge - Bald Knob 40 2.0 44 1.9 5 11.6 Mountain Creek 81 4.1 88 3.8 7 9.0 Nambour - Burnside & District 149 7.4 180 7.7 31 21.0 Palmwoods - Chevallum - Montville - Hunchy 58 2.9 64 2.7 5 8.7 Peachester - Crohamhurst - Booroobin - Wootha 24 1.2 24 1.0 0 1.8 Pelican Waters 32 1.6 55 2.3 24 74.3 Peregian Springs 11 0.6 14 0.6 3 29.1 Reesville - Curramore & District 6 0.3 7 0.3 0 5.6 Sippy Downs - Palmview 60 3.0 79 3.3 18 30.5 Weyba Downs - Verrierdale - Doonan (part) 27 1.4 29 1.2 2 8.4 Woombye 36 1.8 47 2.0 11 29.3 Wurtulla - Buddina & District 175 8.8 188 8.0 13 7.5 Yandina - Yandina Creek & District 65 3.3 75 3.2 10 14.7
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2026, prepared by .id, the population experts, December 2017 67
Residential development
The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).
Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial land to residential land, and densification of housing by building ‘up’.
.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in the Sunshine Coast Council area.
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Forecast residential development, 2016 to 2026
Change in dwelling between Sunshine Coast Council area 2016 and 2026
Area Number % Sunshine Coast Council area 36,718 27.9 Beerwah 1,011 37.9 Belli Park - Cooloolabin - Gheerulla - Coolabine - Kureelpa - Kiamba 92 9.4 Bli Bli - Rosemount & District 1,177 22.3 Buderim - Kuluin - Mons - Kunda Park 1,365 9.8 Caloundra - Kings Beach - Moffat Beach - Shelly Beach 1,149 17.5 Coolum Beach - Mount Coolum - Yaroomba - Point Arkwright 985 13.6 Currimundi - Aroona - Battery Hill - Dicky Beach 820 12.8 Eumundi - Eerwah Vale - North Arm - Bridges 92 6.2 Glass House Mountains - Beerburrum - Coochin Creek - Bribie Island North 534 23.6 Golden Beach 146 4.4 Ilkley - Eudlo & District 104 6.1 Landsborough - Mount Mellum 469 26.4 Little Mountain - Caloundra West - Meridan Plains - Bells Creek 7,090 89.9 Maleny - Witta - North Maleny 411 14.9 Mapleton - Flaxton - Obi Obi 326 24.6 Marcoola - Twin Waters - Pacific Paradise - Mudjimba 1,177 22.7 Maroochydore 3,726 38.2 Mooloolaba - Alexandra Headland 1,059 15.3 Mooloolah Valley - Diamond Valley - Balmoral Ridge - Bald Knob 196 11.5 Mountain Creek 1,296 30.9 Nambour - Burnside & District 2,232 29.8 Palmwoods - Chevallum - Montville - Hunchy 424 13.9 Peachester - Crohamhurst - Booroobin - Wootha 20 2.5 Pelican Waters 1,960 72.9 Peregian Springs 1,669 60.1 Reesville - Curramore & District 30 2.4 Sippy Downs - Palmview 3,563 88.9 Weyba Downs - Verrierdale - Doonan (part) 78 4.8 Woombye 352 27.9 Wurtulla - Buddina & District 2,105 19.7 Yandina - Yandina Creek & District 1,060 38.6
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2026, prepared by .id, the population experts, December 2017
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Forecast residential development
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2026, prepared by .id, the population experts, December 2017
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Net migration by age
Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.
Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.
The primary housing market role that the Sunshine Coast Region plays is varied: the coastal urban areas attract retirees from Brisbane and interstate (mainly New South Wales) and younger adults accessing employment (generally within tourism and the service economy); new developments close to the coast (such as Pelican Waters and Peregian Springs) and established suburban areas (such as Buderim) tend to attract older families as well as empty-nesters; and townships within the hinterland predominantly attract families and retirees from the wider rural region. The urban hubs of Maroochydore and Caloundra, and the University of the Sunshine Coast in Sippy Downs attract young people from rural areas, regional Queensland and overseas to educational and employment opportunities, while the Sunshine Coast region as a whole loses young people to larger centres in Queensland such as Brisbane and interstate.
Between 2016 and 2026, migration assumptions are influenced by:
The importance of the Sunshine Coast region as a destination for families and retirees. This is expected to continue into the future, with migration mostly comprised of parents with young children attracted to new greenfield development areas and empty nesters and retirees attracted to coastal centres and, to a lesser degree, the rural hinterland around centres such as Maleny.
Substantial population gain over the forecast period owing to significant new housing opportunities across the Council area, especially in the growth areas of Caloundra South (Aura), Palmview (Harmony) and the Kawana development area. Additionally, the localities of Pelican Waters, Sippy Downs and Peregian Springs continue to grow. The redevelopment of the Maroochydore CBD (SunCentral) will encourage migration to the business centre of the Sunshine Coast.
Strong attraction of young and established families (0-14 and 20-49 years) fuelled by the availability of new housing in greenfield areas.
The traditional net loss due to migration of young adults (15-24 years), attracted by employment, education and housing opportunities elsewhere (but principally in Brisbane and interstate) is forecast to begin to reduce for the 20-24 year olds post 2016, with greater availability of housing choice and the growth in employment opportunity as SunCentral develops.
Strong attraction of empty-nesters and retirees (50-69 years) to coastal areas and other areas offering lifestyle and retirement options.
Attraction of older persons (aged 70+) to lifestyle options and aged-care support and services.
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Forecast net migration by age group
Non-private dwellings
Residential non-private dwellings include aged care facilities as well as defence force facilities, hospitals, prisons, staff quarters and boarding houses. As a general rule, an increase in people aged 18 to 24 living in non-private dwellings indicates a growth in student accommodation, defence force facilities or prisons. Similarly an increase in people aged over 75 living in non-private dwellings indicates growth in aged care facilities.
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Persons in non-private dwellings
Change between Sunshine Coast Council area Year 2016 and 2026 2016 2026 Number %
Sunshine Coast Council area 4,817 6,830 2013 41.8 Beerwah 118 118 0 0.0 Belli Park - Cooloolabin - Gheerulla - Coolabine - Kureelpa - Kiamba 0 0 0 0.0 Bli Bli - Rosemount & District 100 142 42 42.0 Buderim - Kuluin - Mons - Kunda Park 397 621 224 56.4 Caloundra - Kings Beach - Moffat Beach - Shelly Beach 507 636 129 25.4 Coolum Beach - Mount Coolum - Yaroomba - Point Arkwright 362 416 54 14.9 Currimundi - Aroona - Battery Hill - Dicky Beach 261 261 0 0.0 Eumundi - Eerwah Vale - North Arm - Bridges 0 0 0 0.0 Glass House Mountains - Beerburrum - Coochin Creek - Bribie Island North 46 46 0 0.0
Golden Beach 68 68 0 0.0 Ilkley - Eudlo & District 29 123 94 324.1 Landsborough - Mount Mellum 0 0 0 0.0 Little Mountain - Caloundra West - Meridan Plains - Bells Creek 185 325 140 75.7 Maleny - Witta - North Maleny 90 90 0 0.0 Mapleton - Flaxton - Obi Obi 15 15 0 0.0 Marcoola - Twin Waters - Pacific Paradise - Mudjimba 25 296 271 1084.0 Maroochydore 328 674 346 105.5 Mooloolaba - Alexandra Headland 506 506 0 0.0 Mooloolah Valley - Diamond Valley - Balmoral Ridge - Bald Knob 47 47 0 0.0 Mountain Creek 32 32 0 0.0 Nambour - Burnside & District 500 901 401 80.2 Palmwoods - Chevallum - Montville - Hunchy 82 82 0 0.0 Peachester - Crohamhurst - Booroobin - Wootha 0 0 0 0.0 Pelican Waters 28 28 0 0.0 Peregian Springs 136 136 0 0.0 Reesville - Curramore & District 0 0 0 0.0 Sippy Downs - Palmview 760 800 40 5.3 Weyba Downs - Verrierdale - Doonan (part) 0 0 0 0.0 Woombye 35 85 50 142.9 Wurtulla - Buddina & District 158 380 222 140.5 Yandina - Yandina Creek & District 3 3 0 0.0
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2026, prepared by .id, the population experts, December 2015
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Key findings
There were 4,817 people estimated to be living in non-private dwellings in the Sunshine Coast Council area in 2016. The number of persons in non-private dwellings in Sunshine Coast Council area is expected to increase to 6,830 persons in 2026.
Between 2016 and 2026, Nambour – Burnside & District is forecast to experience the greatest change, with a gain of 401 persons in non-private dwellings. This is due to an increase of persons in non-private dwellings aged 75 years and over, which is predominantly aged care.
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About the forecasts
The Sunshine Coast Council area population and household forecasts are undertaken by .id, the population experts, on behalf of the Sunshine Coast Council area.
During the forecast modelling process, .id assesses what is driving population change in the area and forecasts how the age structure and household types will change as result.
Forecasts are only as good as the assumptions they are based on, and .id works closely with the council to ensure information about current and planned residential development activity is accurate. The forecasts are updated on a rolling cycle to take into account changes in the real world. All assumptions, as well as the results of the forecasts, are made available in this site.
The forecasts were last updated in December 2017. Forecasts are available for Sunshine Coast Council area and small areas for each year from 2016 to 2041. This report provides population and household forecasts from 2016 up to 2026. Data for time periods beyond 2026 are available on request from Council.
The forecasts are designed to provide community groups, Council, investors, business, students and the general public with the knowledge to make confident decisions about the future.
Whilst all due care has been taken to ensure the content of the website that is the source of this data is accurate and current, there may be errors or omissions in it and no legal responsibility is accepted for the information and opinions in this report. In addition, as the website is based on historic information which is subject to revision, its currency can not be guaranteed.
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Factors of population change
At the small area level, the key factors of population change are the age structure of the existing population, the housing markets attracted to and away from an area and their associated demographic characteristics (fertility patterns, household types etc.) and the supply of dwellings and mix of housing stock in the area.
Dwelling additions
The addition of dwellings is the major driver of population growth, providing opportunities for new households (such as young people leaving the family home and divorces) or households relocating from other areas.
Current age structure
The age structure of the local population impacts on Sunshine Coast Council area's household types and size, the likelihood of the local population having children and the rate of death, as well as the propensity for people to move. Age specific propensities for a population to have children or die are applied to each small area's base population. An older population will likely have fewer births and more deaths, while a younger population will have vice versa.
Birth rates
Birth rates are especially influential in determining the number of children in an area, with most inner urban areas having very low birth rates, compared to outer suburban or rural and regional areas. Birth rates have been changing, with a greater share of women bearing children at older ages or not at all. This can have a large impact on the future population profile.
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Death rates
Death rates are influential in shaping the numbers of older people in an area's population. Death rates too have been changing with higher life expectancy at most ages, with men gaining on women's greater life chances.
Migration
Migration is one of the most important factors of population change. While births and deaths are relatively easy to predict due to reliable age specific behaviour, migration is volatile, often changing due to housing market preferences, economic opportunities and changing household circumstances. Migration patterns vary across Australia and change across time, but most moves tend to be short and incremental in nature. Regional areas have larger moves due to the distances between towns and cities, where people often move for economic reasons, mainly the availability of employment or education and training opportunities.
The most mobile age groups in the population are the young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. It is for this reason that young people often move the greatest distances and sometimes move against pre-established patterns. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation if appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.
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Household and suburb life cycles
Household life cycles
The type of households that people live in and changing preferences over time affect the way in which a population changes. As people grow from children to adults and into old age, they change the type of households that they live in. The traditional path has been to start as a child in a family household, move into a group or lone person household as a youth, becoming a part of a couple relationship within 5-10 years. Rearing of children is followed by an ‘empty-nester’ period and ultimately being a lone person, as partners die.
Understanding the changes that people make at different ages in their life, and the different types of housing they are likely to inhabit at those life stages is an important factor in forecasting future population and household types. The life stage which the majority of households in an area are going through gives an insight into its location in the suburb life-cycle (see below), and the likely life-path of those households in the future.
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Suburb life cycles
The dominant household types present in a suburb or town - where the majority of the population are positioned in the household life path - dictate in part the role and function of the area. This is shown by its place in the "suburb life cycle".
New areas are typically settled by young households (young couples and young families, perhaps some mature families). As the families grow and mature, household size increases. After initial rapid development, most households "age in place", with slowly shifting demand for services, facilities and dwelling types.
As households age further and children begin to leave home, the average household size decreases, resulting in more empty nester (two person) households, often still living in large family homes. Family breakups can also result in single parent families and lone person households. If a suburb can't attract young families back to the area, it slowly becomes populated by older couples whose children have left home and older lone persons whose partners have died, resulting in declining population for some time.
Alternatively, if a suburb is in a location close to economic drivers of change, it may be able to attract families to move back into the older dwellings in the area, increasing household size and population again. This will generally happen sooner, with less loss of services if the area has a diversity of housing options suiting a wide variety of household types. Empty nesters are likely to downsize into lower maintenance properties, freeing up larger format housing for families to move into, and continue the cycle again. The loop in the diagram represents the process of sustainability of an area, if it can attract families back into older housing in the area. Depending on the proximity of an area to work and education it may also attract young lone persons and group households. The attractiveness of an area to family groups, group and lone person households is shown in the migration assumptions section.
Generally, more diverse communities are more sustainable in the long term, as they are able to maintain a range of services and facilities useful to all age groups. Certain policy responses can influence the suburb life cycle in different directions.
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Forecast modelling process
Approach
The diagram below describes the general approach used by .id in its population and household forecasts. An analysis of the current population and household structure often reveals the role and function of an area and the degree to which an area may be going through some form of demographic transition.
Demographic changes, such as birth, death and migration rates are applied to the base population. At the same time, scrutiny of urban development drivers is undertaken (residential development opportunities, vacancy rates etc.). The combination of varied assumptions about these inputs results in forecast population and households by type.
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Modelling process
The modelling process used for producing the small-area forecasts is based on a 'bottom-up' approach, with all assumptions being derived from a local perspective. The components of the model are derived exclusively from housing and demographic assumptions. The drivers of the forecasts are predominantly based on levels of new residential development and demographic assumptions, such as in and out migration rates from the local areas. The diagram below describes the detail of the modelling process used by .id in its population and household forecasts.
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The population forecasts are based on a combination of three statistical models. They include a cohort component model, a housing unit model and a household propensity model. Each of the models has a series of inputs, which when linked to the other models gives the forecast outputs. The models are further explained below. Cohort Component Model
The cohort component model is a standard demographic model used for population forecasts. It takes a base population by single year of age and sex and makes assumptions about future levels of births, deaths and migration, with the result being a forecast population by age and sex.
Each year the population ages by one year, with additions to population through in-migration and births. Births are derived by multiplying age specific fertility rates of women aged 15-49 by the female population in these age groups for all years during the forecast period. The population decreases are based on out-migration and deaths. Deaths are derived by multiplying age and sex specific mortality rates for all age groups for all years during the forecast period.
In and out migration is based on multiplying the population in each age group by a migration matrix. The base year population is derived from 2016 Census counts and then adjusted to an estimated resident population by small area. Each year through the forecast period, the population is run against age-specific birth, death and migration rates to create new population figures.
Housing Unit Model
The housing unit model is used to forecast future levels of residential development in areas and the resulting impact on the total population and the number of households. This model is critical in giving population forecasts credibility, especially in areas where there are residential development constraints and where historical migration patterns would be expected to change.
The housing unit model is based on forecasting a number of variables. These include total population living in private and non-private dwellings, the number of households and the number of dwellings. The share of housing stock that does not contain households is known as the vacancy rate. The population living in private dwellings divided by the number of households is known as the average household size.
These variables have changing relationships over time, as households undergo normal demographic processes, such as family formation and ageing. Levels of residential development, vacancy rates and average household size (see housing propensity model below) are used as the drivers of the model. Every year there is an assumption about the level of residential development activity, which adds to the stock of dwellings in an area. This stock of dwellings is multiplied by the vacancy rate, which gives the total number of vacant dwellings and the total number of occupied private dwellings (households).
Households are multiplied by the assumed average household size for the year to derive the new number of persons living in private dwellings. The average household size is derived from the household propensity model (see below).
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Population in non-private dwellings is modelled separately. A non-private dwelling is a form of housing, which is communal in nature. Examples of non-private dwellings include nursing homes, student accommodation, boarding houses, nursing quarters, military barracks and prisons. In forecasting the number of persons in non-private dwellings, the population is analysed according to the different types of living arrangements. Decisions about future changes may be based on local knowledge through consultation with institutions or local government if there are a large number of people living in non-private dwellings.
Household Propensity Model
This model is used to integrate the cohort component and housing unit models to ensure consistency between the outputs of both models. The model works by assuming that the age structure of the population is an indicator of household size and type. These differences are assumed at the local area based on the household type and size from the 2016 Census.
The population is divided into household types based on five year age groups and sex. Each of these household types has an associated household size. From this relationship, all the household forming population (adults and any non-dependents) effectively represent a share of a household. Dependents in a household (children) represent no share of a household, although their departure frequently drives demand for housing in the region. Lone persons represent 1 or 100% of a household. Couples with dependents represent 50% of household. Couples without dependents represent almost 50% of a household (as they can include related adults). Lone parents represent 100% of a household. Group household members' and other household members' shares vary according to the region (20%-45%, 5 persons to 2.5 persons per household).
These relationships are extrapolated forward from 2016 with some adjustments, depending on the type of area. While for some areas, it is assumed that a greater share of the population will live in smaller households in the future, many areas will go against this trend, depending on their place within the life cycle of suburbs.
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Notes on base data
Base population estimates
The population figures used in the forecasts for 2016 are based on estimated resident population from the Australian Bureau of Statistics. These figures are published at the Statistical Area 1 (SA1) level, which are then aggregated to the chosen small area or local government area, sometime splitting SA1s if necessary. These figures are subject to change or updating from time to time, most notably after Census release (usually one to two years after the Census is conducted).
Base household estimates
The household estimates used in the forecasts for 2016 were based on age and sex-specific population propensities by different household types. Estimated Resident Population by Statistical Area 1 was multiplied by household factors to give estimated ‘Resident Households’.
The multiplying factor varies depending on the household type (and the area), such as a factor of 1 for persons living in lone person households to 0.5 for an adult in couple families with dependent households. Children and other dependents, such as elderly parents, are not assumed to ‘form’ households.
Births and deaths
The number of births in Sunshine Coast Council area are derived by multiplying age specific fertility rates of women aged 15-49 by the female population in these age groups for all years during the forecast period.
Birth rates are especially influential in determining the number of children in an area, with most inner urban areas having relatively low birth rates, compared to outer suburban or rural and regional areas. Birth rates have been changing, with a greater share of women bearing children at older ages or not at all, with overall increases in fertility rates. This can have a large impact on the future population profile.
Death rates
The forecast number of deaths in Sunshine Coast Council area is a reflection of death rates assumed for small areas. For historical years, this will equal the number of deaths published by the ABS, where this information was available at the time of forecasting. These rates are based on historical estimates for Sunshine Coast Council area, which have been extrapolated into the future, assuming an increase in expectation of life in all age groups (except 85 years and over).
Death rates are influential in shaping the numbers of older people in an area's population. Death rates too have been changing, with higher life expectancy at most ages, with men's life expectancy increasing more than that of women.
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Glossary
Age specific propensities (birth and death)
This relates to the modelling of births and deaths. At each year of age, there is a certain statistical likelihood of a person dying or giving birth. These age specific propensity rates are applied to the base and forecast population for each year of the forecast period.
Ageing in place
This refers to an existing resident population ageing in their current location, as distinct from other impacts on future population such as births, deaths and in and out migration.
Average annual percentage change
A calculation of the average change in total population for each individual year.
Average household size
The average number of persons resident in each occupied private dwelling. Calculated as the number of persons in occupied private dwellings divided by the number of occupied private dwellings. This excludes persons living in non-private dwellings, such as prisons, military bases, nursing homes etc.
'Bottom up' forecast
Population forecast based on assumptions made at the local area level. Local drivers of change such as land stocks and local area migration form the basis.
Broadhectare Land or Sites
Broadhectare land refers to undeveloped land zoned for residential development on the fringe of the established metropolitan area. These areas are generally used for rural purposes until residential subdivision takes place. This type of land is also referred to as ‘greenfield’.
Commencement
The construction of a new dwelling (or beginning of).
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Dwelling
A habitable residential building.
Dwelling stock
The supply of dwellings (either occupied or unoccupied) in a given geographic area.
Empty nesters
Parents whose children have left the family home to establish new households elsewhere.
Estimated Resident Population (ERP)
This is the estimate of the population based on their usual residence. The ERP at the time of the Census is calculated as the sum of the enumerated (counted) population plus persons temporarily absent less persons who are non-permanent (visitor) residents. An undercount of population by small area at Census time is also accounted for. The ERP used in these forecasts is then backdated to June 30. The ERP for forecast years are based on adding to the estimated population the components of natural increase and net migration. Forecast period
In this report, the forecast period is from 2016 to 2041. Most data on the website has focused on the period from 2016 to 2041 plus 15.
Household
One or more persons living in a structural private dwelling.
In-centre development
Residential development based on increasing dwelling densities around suburb and town centres. Usually around existing transport nodes and service infrastructure, rather than developing previously undeveloped land on the urban fringe.
'Infill' development
Residential development, usually of a relatively small scale, on redevelopment sites in established urban areas. This can take place on land previously used for another urban purpose such as industry or schools or on
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existing residential allotments where new dwellings are added. Also referred to as ‘intensification’ of existing areas.
Mature families
One and two parent families with older children, generally of secondary and tertiary school age.
Migration
The movement of people or households from one location to another.
Natural increase
The increase in population based on the births minus deaths, not including the impact of migration.
Net household additions
The overall increase in occupied dwellings, determined by the level of new dwelling construction that is permanently occupied, or conversion of non-permanently occupied dwellings to permanently occupied minus demolitions.
Non-private dwellings
These dwellings include persons resident in establishments such as prisons, student or nurses’ accommodation, nursing homes, boarding houses, military facilities, and hospitals.
Occupancy rate
The proportion of structural private dwellings that are occupied by a household.
Occupied Private Dwellings (OPD)
These are all Structural Private Dwellings (SPD’s) that are occupied by a household. Excluded are dwellings that were under construction, being demolished or where the house was temporarily vacant.
Private dwellings
Self-contained dwelling including houses (attached or detached), flats, townhouses etc. Retirement village units are also private dwellings as are houses or flats rented from the government.
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Redevelopment sites
These are sites in already established areas not originally developed for residential uses, but identified for conversion to residential use. Examples include former school sites, quarries, derelict industrial land, former petrol stations and the like. Structural Private Dwellings (SPD)
This is the stock of houses, flats, and other dwelling types. The SPD is the usual base stock from which commencements are added and demolitions deducted.
'Top down' forecast
Population forecast based on assumptions made at the State and National level and allocated into smaller regions e.g. Local Government Areas, suburbs.
Vacancy rate
The proportion of structural private dwellings that are not occupied by a household.
Young families
One and two parent families with young children, generally of pre and primary school age.
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