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Branchenreport Mineralöl 2019

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Branchenreport Mineralöl 2019 BRANCHENREPORT MINERALÖL 2019 Kontakt: Abteilung Betriebswirtschaft, AK Wien, +43 1 501 65 DW 12650 Bei Verwendung von Textteilen wird um Quellenangabe und Zusendung Eines Belegexemplares an die AK Wien, Abteilung Betriebswirtschaft, ersucht. Impressum Medieninhaber: Kammer für Arbeiter und Angestellte für Wien, Prinz Eugen Straße 20-22, 1040 Wien, Telefon: (01) 501 65 0 Offenlegung gem. § 25 MedienG: siehe wien.arbeiterkammer.at/impressum Zulassungsnummer: AK Wien 02Z34648 M AuftraggeberInnen: AK Wien, Betriebswirtschaft AutorInnen: Simon Schumich [email protected] +43 1 50165 DW 12682 Kathrin Schragl [email protected] +43 1 50165 DW 12792 Bilanzdatenbank: Elisabeth Lugger, Kristina Mijatovic-Simon Beiträge: Sandra Matzinger, Michael Soder (Das energiepolitische Umfeld) Kai Biehl, Michael Ertl, Markus Marterbauer, Reinhold Russinger (Wirtschaftslage Österreichs) Foto: Rido - Fotolia Grafik Umschlag und Druck: AK Wien Verlags- und Herstellungsort: Wien © 2019 bei AK Wien Stand November 2019 Im Auftrag der Kammer für Arbeiter und Angestellte für Wien Branchenreport.2019 │ 2 INHALT 1 Kurzfassung ............................................................................................................. 4 2 Wirtschaftslage Österreichs...................................................................................... 6 WIFO-Prognose Oktober 2019 für Österreich ................................................................................................................ 6 Aktuelle WIFO-Prognose im Vergleich ........................................................................................................................... 9 Preise ............................................................................................................................................................................. 9 Arbeitsmarkt ................................................................................................................................................................ 10 3 Energiepolitisches Umfeld ...................................................................................... 11 Energetischer Endverbrauch ........................................................................................................................................ 11 Mineralölverbrauch ..................................................................................................................................................... 12 Aufbringung ................................................................................................................................................................. 12 Preisentwicklung .......................................................................................................................................................... 12 Politische und regulatorische Maßnahmen ................................................................................................................. 13 Aktuelle Entwicklungen und zukünftige Herausforderungen ...................................................................................... 14 4 AK Branchenmonitor Mineralöl .............................................................................. 15 Branchensample .......................................................................................................................................................... 15 Betriebsleistung ........................................................................................................................................................... 16 Umsatzerlöse ............................................................................................................................................................... 16 Operatives Betriebsergebnis (EBIT) ............................................................................................................................. 18 Operative Betriebserfolgsquote (EBIT-Quote) ............................................................................................................. 19 Aufwandsstruktur ........................................................................................................................................................ 20 Jahresergebnis nach Steuern ....................................................................................................................................... 21 Gewinnausschüttungen und Dividenden ..................................................................................................................... 22 Eigenkapital ................................................................................................................................................................. 23 Cash Flow ..................................................................................................................................................................... 24 Fiktive Verschuldungsdauer ......................................................................................................................................... 25 Investitionen ................................................................................................................................................................ 26 Beschäftigte ................................................................................................................................................................. 27 Personalaufwandsquote .............................................................................................................................................. 27 Wertschöpfung ............................................................................................................................................................ 28 Pro Beschäftigten Kennzahlen ..................................................................................................................................... 29 5 Bilanzkennzahlenvergleich ..................................................................................... 31 6 Die internationalen Ölkonzerne ............................................................................. 33 Royal Dutch Shell ......................................................................................................................................................... 33 British Petroleum (BP) ................................................................................................................................................. 34 ExxonMobil .................................................................................................................................................................. 34 Total ............................................................................................................................................................................. 35 Chevron Corporation ................................................................................................................................................... 35 ENI................................................................................................................................................................................ 36 ConocoPhillips.............................................................................................................................................................. 36 7 OMV Ausblick 2019 ................................................................................................ 37 OMV-Konzern: Jänner bis September 2019 ................................................................................................................. 37 Ausblick ........................................................................................................................................................................ 38 Branchenreport.2019 │ 3 1 KURZFASSUNG Aktuelle Wirtschaftslage Österreichs: Privater Konsum als Notwendigkeit für Wachstum Das Wirtschaftsforschungsinstitut (WIFO) erwartet nach einem regen Wirtschaftswachstum von real +2,7 % im Jahr 2018 (Euro-Raum +1,9 %) eine deutliche Abschwächung der Konjunktur: Das Wachstum soll im Jahr 2019 real +1,7 % und 2020 +1,5 % betragen. Die schwache internationale Konjunktur dämpft die Exportentwicklung und damit auch die österreichische Industrieproduktion. Für den Prognosezeitraum bleibt das robuste Wachstum des privaten Konsums eine Konjunkturstütze. Am Arbeitsmarkt zeichnet sich eine Trendwende ab und der Abbau der Arbeitslosigkeit gerät ins Stocken. Energiepolitisches Umfeld: Erdölverbrauch und Preisentwicklung Im Jahr 2018 wurden 38,3 % des energetischen Endverbrauchs in Österreich durch Mineralölprodukte gedeckt und der Erd- ölverbrauch belief sich damit auf 13,4 Mio. Tonnen. Im Vergleich zum Vorjahr stieg der Erdölverbrauch um 0,3 Mio. Tonnen. Mineralölaufbringung: Im Jahr 2018 wurden insgesamt 8,3 Mio. Tonnen Erdöl (Rohöl) nach Österreich importiert. Im Ver- gleich zum Jahr 2017 ist das ein Plus der Rohöl-Importe um 13,5 %. Die inländische Erdölförderung belief sich im Jahr 2018 auf 664.008 Tonnen und ist damit im Vergleich zum Vorjahr neuerlich um 8,1 % gesunken. Die Preissteigerungen für Erdölprodukte im Jahr 2018 fanden Anfang Oktober ihren Höhepunkt als das Jahresmaximum von 86,2 US-Dollar pro Barrel erreicht wurde, bis Jahresende kam man jedoch zu einem Tiefstwert von 50,2US-Dollar pro Barrel. Der Preisrückgang zu Jahresende 2018 war hauptsächlich durch eine höhere US-Förderung und abgeschwächte US- Sanktionsdrohungen
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