WestminsterResearch http://www.westminster.ac.uk/westminsterresearch Long Term Traffic Forecasts and Operating Pattern for a Regional Airport Dennis, N. This is an electronic version of a paper presented at the Air Transport Research Society World Conference, Bordeaux, 17 to 20 July 2014. The WestminsterResearch online digital archive at the University of Westminster aims to make the research output of the University available to a wider audience. Copyright and Moral Rights remain with the authors and/or copyright owners. Whilst further distribution of specific materials from within this archive is forbidden, you may freely distribute the URL of WestminsterResearch: ((http://westminsterresearch.wmin.ac.uk/). In case of abuse or copyright appearing without permission e-mail
[email protected] DENNIS 1 LONG-TERM TRAFFIC FORECASTS AND OPERATING PATTERN FOR A REGIONAL AIRPORT Dr Nigel Dennis Senior Research Fellow, Department of Planning and Transport, University of Westminster 35 Marylebone Road, London NW1 5LS Tel +44 20 350 66559 E-mail
[email protected] Presenter: Dr Nigel Dennis ABSTRACT A common problem facing airport planners is to estimate the detail of the flight schedule that will be operated at an airport in future years. This is important to assess issues such as capacity requirements, noise and emission outputs and connectivity. For airline commercial analysts it is necessary to understand the competitive pressures and opportunities that will develop in different markets. This paper uses an approach adopted for the VANTAGE project, conducted for the UK Department of Trade and Industry to forecast the detail of airline operations at UK regional airports on a 10-20 year horizon.