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Black guillemot ecology in relation to tidal stream energy generation: An evaluation of current knowledge and information gaps Johnston, Daniel T.; Furness, Robert W.; Robbins, Alexandra M. C.; Tyler, Glen; Taggart, Mark A.; Masden, Elizabeth A. Published in: Marine Environmental Research Publication date: 2018 Publisher rights: Copyright © 2018 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. The re-use license for this item is: CC BY-NC-ND The Document Version you have downloaded here is: Peer reviewed version

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Citation for published version (APA): Johnston, D. T., Furness, R. W., Robbins, A. M. C., Tyler, G., Taggart, M. A., & Masden, E. A. (2018). Black guillemot ecology in relation to tidal stream energy generation: An evaluation of current knowledge and information gaps. Marine Environmental Research, 134, 121-129. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.marenvres.2018.01.007

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Download date: 24. Sep. 2021 Accepted Manuscript

Black guillemot ecology in relation to tidal stream energy generation: An evaluation of current knowledge and information gaps

Daniel T. Johnston, Robert W. Furness, Alexandra M.C. Robbins, Glen Tyler, Mark A. Taggart, Elizabeth A. Masden

PII: S0141-1136(17)30385-9 DOI: 10.1016/j.marenvres.2018.01.007 Reference: MERE 4436

To appear in: Marine Environmental Research

Received Date: 21 June 2017 Revised Date: 9 January 2018 Accepted Date: 10 January 2018

Please cite this article as: Johnston, D.T., Furness, R.W., Robbins, A.M.C., Tyler, G., Taggart, M.A., Masden, E.A., Black guillemot ecology in relation to tidal stream energy generation: An evaluation of current knowledge and information gaps, Marine Environmental Research (2018), doi: 10.1016/ j.marenvres.2018.01.007.

This is a PDF file of an unedited manuscript that has been accepted for publication. As a service to our customers we are providing this early version of the manuscript. The manuscript will undergo copyediting, typesetting, and review of the resulting proof before it is published in its final form. Please note that during the production process errors may be discovered which could affect the content, and all legal disclaimers that apply to the journal pertain. 1 ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT

1 Black guillemot ecology in relation to tidal stream energy generation: An

2 evaluation of current knowledge and information gaps

3 Daniel T. Johnston 1*, Robert W. Furness 2, Alexandra M.C. Robbins 3, Glen Tyler 3, Mark A. Taggart 1, 4 Elizabeth A. Masden 1

5 1 Environmental Research Institute, North Highland College UHI, University of the Highlands and 6 Islands, Thurso, KW14 7EE 2 MacArthur Green Ltd, 95 South Woodside Road, Glasgow, G20 6NT, UK; 3 7 Scottish Natural Heritage, Great Glen House, Leachkin Road, Inverness, IV3 8NW

8 *Correspondence author. email: [email protected]

9 Keywords: renewable energy, conservation, marine spatial planning, environmental impact

10 assessment, seabirds

11 Abstract

12 The black guillemot grylle has been identified as a species likely to interact with marine

13 renewable energy devices, specifically tidal turbines, with the potential to experience negative 14 impacts. This likelihood is primarily based on the speciesMANUSCRIPT being a diving seabird, and an inshore, 15 benthic forager often associating with tidal streams. These behavioural properties may bring them

16 into contact with turbine blades, or make them susceptible to alterations to tidal current speed,

17 and/or changes in benthic habitat structure. We examine the knowledge currently available to

18 assess the potential impacts of tidal stream turbines on black guillemot ecology, highlight knowledge

19 gaps and make recommendations for future research. The key ecological aspects investigated

20 include: foraging movements, diving behaviour, seasonal distribution, other sources of disturbance

21 and colony recovery. Relating to foraging behaviour, between studies there is heterogeneity in black

22 guillemot habitatACCEPTED use in relation to season, tide, diurnal cycles, and bathymetry. Currently, there is

23 also little knowledge regarding the benthic habitats associated with foraging. With respect to diving

24 behaviour, there is currently no available research regarding how black guillemots orientate and

25 manoeuvre within the water column. Black guillemots are considered to be a non-migratory species,

26 however little is known about their winter foraging range and habitat. The effect of human 2 ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 27 disturbance on breeding habitat and the metapopulation responses to potential mortalities are

28 unknown. It is clear further understanding of black guillemot foraging habitat and behaviour is

29 needed to provide renewable energy developers with the knowledge to sustainably locate tidal

30 turbines and mitigate their impacts.

31 Acknowledgments

32 DTJ is funded through a Marine Alliance for Science and Technology for Scotland (MASTS)

33 studentship supported by Scottish Natural Heritage (SNH). The authors thank Nicola Largey, Nina

34 O’Hanlon, and the anonymous reviewers for their comments and suggested improvements to the

35 manuscript.

36 1. Introduction

37 Seabirds are affected by anthropogenic activities including fishing (Daunt et al., 2008;

38 Furness, 2002), oil spills (Ewins, 1986; Golet et al., 2002), and climate change (Grémillet and 39 Boulinier, 2009; MacDonald et al., 2015). The incre MANUSCRIPTase in anthropogenic activity arising from the 40 growing marine renewable energy industry still has unknown effects on seabirds (Inger et al., 2009).

41 In Scotland, this industry is driven by goals set by the Scottish Government to achieve 100%

42 renewable energy by 2020 (Davies et al., 2014). Tidal stream energy devices, i.e. those based on

43 tidally driven currents channelled through narrow areas between landmasses or around headlands,

44 are currently being tested and installed in advance of potential large-scale implementation. In

45 Scotland, 18 inshore areas have been leased for tidal development (The Crown Estate, 2016). In the 46 Pentland Firth, arraysACCEPTED of up to 398 large tidal stream turbines are planned in areas with potential 47 current speeds of >2 m/s -1 (Rollings, 2011), with 3 trial turbines installed in winter 2016/17.

48 The potential impacts of tidal turbines on diving seabirds are largely unknown since only a

49 few devices have been deployed to date (Savidge et al., 2014; SNH, 2016). In Scotland, the black

50 guillemot Cepphus grylle has been highlighted as the seabird species most at risk from tidal turbines 3 ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 51 (Furness et al., 2012; Robbins,

52 2012), in part, due to their

53 association with tidal streams (Nol

54 and Gaskin, 1987; Waggitt et al.,

55 2016b). It has been suggested that

56 the impacts of tidal turbines on

57 diving seabirds may include

58 changes to foraging habitat,

59 foraging efficiency, and diving

60 behaviour (Benjamins et al., 2015;

61 Scott et al., 2014) as well as direct

62 mortality through collision (Furness

63 et al., 2012; Wilson et al., 2006). MANUSCRIPT64 The need for further research 65 regarding impacts to and

Figure 1. Scottish wave and tidal renewable lease areas and black66 responses of seabirds to renewable guillemot Marine Protected Areas 67 energy installations has been

68 highlighted (Inger et al., 2009; Langton et al., 2011; Scott et al., 2014), especially in relation to tidal

69 turbines (Furness et al., 2012; Masden et al., 2013) though it is acknoweldged that this poses

70 challenges (Fox et al., 2018). The sensitivity of diving seabirds to the impacts of tidal turbines is likely

71 to vary in relation to the extent of spatial and temporal overlap (Waggitt and Scott, 2014). In the 72 absence of empiricalACCEPTED data, sensitivity can be expected to relate to foraging locations, diving depth, 73 variation in year-round distribution and behaviour, association with tidal currents, visual nature of

74 foraging, and diurnal rhythms in foraging (Furness et al., 2012; Wilson et al., 2006). Further

75 ecological knowledge of these factors is needed to inform decision makers on the potential impacts

76 related to tidal turbine allocation and operation. 4 ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 77 The siting of marine renewable lease sites around Scotland coincides with the designation of

78 six Scottish Marine Protected Areas (MPAs) specifically with black guillemots as a major protected

79 feature (SNH, 2014; Figure 1). A further four MPAs have been established for benthic communities

80 containing kelp which may in turn protect habitat associated with black guillemot prey (blennies and

81 gadoids) (Ewins, 1990; SNH, 2014). This also emphasises the need for more information on black

82 guillemot foraging ecology to ensure MPAs fulfil their desired conservation outcomes by

83 encompassing foraging habitat.

84 The aim of this paper is to provide a synthesis of current knowledge regarding black

85 guillemot ecology and its relevance to potential impacts from tidal stream turbines. Key aspects of

86 black guillemot movement are reviewed, including: (1) foraging movements, (2) diving behaviour,

87 and (3) seasonal distribution. Further factors, which may compound the impact of tidal stream

88 turbines are also considered, including other sources of disturbance to nesting adults and the

89 process of colony recovery. For each topic: (1) the knowledge required to assess the impacts of tidal 90 stream turbines on black guillemots is outlined, (2MANUSCRIPT) current knowledge is reviewed, (3) gaps in 91 current research are highlighted, and recommendations for future research are provided.

92 2. Foraging movements

93 Tidal stream turbines may increase habitat heterogeneity through the addition of previously

94 absent structures, which will potentially form reefs, act as Fish Aggregating Devices (FADs), and may

95 alter seabed sedimentation patterns (Miller et al., 2013; Shields et al., 2009). How susceptible a

96 seabird will be to these changes depends on their ecology (Wilson et al., 2006). Firstly, species which

97 forage within theACCEPTED inshore environment rather than offshore will most likely encounter tidal devices

98 (installed within 5km of shore) (The Crown Estate, 2016). Secondly, temporally varying habitat use

99 (related to season, time of day, or tidal phase) may influence the duration foraging experience

100 disturbance from turbine construction, maintenance, or operation (Waggitt and Scott, 2014). Lastly,

101 the dive depths exhibited by a foraging may indicate the extent of vertical overlap with turbine 5 ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 102 blades (Furness et al., 2012), dependent on the blade depth profile of the class of tidal device

103 encountered, which include floating (3-19m) (Scotrenewables, 2017) and seafloor mounted (8-26m)

104 (Masden et al., 2013; MeyGen, 2012). In terms of black guillemots, a small foraging range, frequent

105 use of inshore areas, and deep/benthic diving behaviour could bring individuals into frequent

106 contact with inshore tidal turbines (Furness et al. 2012). The assessment of the overlap between

107 tidal turbines and foraging black guillemots requires ecological knowledge of both movement and

108 habitat use at sea.

109 2.1 Foraging movements: Current knowledge

110 Black guillemots are inshore, generalist, central place foragers with a small foraging radius.

111 Initial work regarding black guillemot foraging ranges monitored the direction that adults flew from

112 the nest by visually following individual birds (Cairns, 1992; Ewins, 1986; Nol and Gaskin, 1987;

113 Petersen, 1981) (Tab. 1). More recently, electronic tracking studies of adult black guillemots have 114 revealed more accurately the foraging locations and MANUSCRIPTdistances travelled by individuals (Owen, 2015; 115 Sawyer, 1999) (Tab. 1).

Table 1. Summary of breeding season foraging distance studies for black guillemots. Reference Method n Seasons Mean Median (km) Maximum (km) Location sampled (km) Petersen, 1981 Visual observation 65 3 2-4 - 7 Flatey Island, Iceland Ewins, 1986 Visual observation 73 1 - - 2 , Scotland Sawyer, 1999 Visual observation 623 1 - 5.5 8.4 Holm of Papa, Orkney, (300m offshore) (840m offshore) Scotland Sawyer, 1999 VHF tag 18 3 - 5.5 9 Holm of Papa, Orkney, (275m offshore) (700m offshore) Scotland Shoji et al., 2015 GPS tag 1 1 - - 1.8 Lighthouse Island, Copeland, Northern Ireland

Owen,2015 GPS tagACCEPTED 19 1 - - 7.45 Grass Holm, Shapinsay, Orkney, Scotland 116

117 These relatively small (Thaxter et al., 2012), inshore, foraging ranges are reflected in their

118 diet, and lead to variability in prey species between colonies due to variations in the characteristics 6 ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 119 of the local habitat (Barrett and Anker-Nilssen, 1997; Ewins, 1990; Hario, 2001). In Scotland,

120 butterfish Pholis gunnellus tend to dominate diet, followed by sandeels Ammodytes marinus ,

121 gadoids, blenny spp., sculpin spp., and flatfish spp. (Ewins, 1992, 1990; Harris and Riddiford, 1989;

122 Sawyer, 1999; Slater and Slater, 1972).

123 Some seabird species associate with tidal eddies and currents to forage as these may

124 produce upwellings and aggregate prey (Alldredge and Hamner, 1980; Embling et al., 2012; Ladd et

125 al., 2005; St. John et al., 1992). Foraging black guillemots have been shown to associate with

126 moderate current speeds and tidal eddy features of tidal streams (Wade, 2015; Waggitt et al.,

127 2016b). Foraging is most common at speeds of 0.5-1 m/s -1, reducing in frequency at higher current

128 speeds of >2 m/s -1 (Nol and Gaskin, 1987; Wade, 2015; Waggitt et al., 2016a). For black guillemots,

129 the use of tidal streams is a potential trade-off between foraging success and the energy required to

130 move in this energetically demanding environment (Nol and Gaskin, 1987). While swimming costs

131 may be higher in fast flowing water, ‘tidal-conveyor’ foraging behaviour (repeatedly flying upstream 132 and then diving, allowing the current to carry an i ndividualMANUSCRIPT downstream while foraging) may be a 133 strategy which reduces the energy required to search a large transect of the seafloor (Robbins,

134 2017). However, the relationship between black guillemots and tidal streams are not always

135 consistent between studies. For example, when comparing studies of tidal microhabitat use, Waggitt

136 et al. (2017) found heterogeneity between study sites, with the probability of detecting black

137 guillemots in fast habitats greater in 3 of 5 study sites. A number of variables could cause this

138 heterogeneity, including, differing prey communities and the associated foraging behaviour needed

139 to exploit them.

140 Foraging ACCEPTEDin tidal streams can relate to tidal phase (Robbins, 2012) potentially associated to

141 variations in current speeds or depths. Diving depths required to access the seafloor are shallower at

142 low tide, potentially reducing the energetic costs of foraging on the benthos and increasing the

143 accessibility of prey (Vermeer et al., 1993). Shore based observations of foraging black guillemots

144 found distance from shore (Ronconi and Clair, 2002), and density of individuals (Waggitt et al., 7 ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 145 2016a) increased at low tide. The influence of low tide on Cepphus spp. colony attendance varies in

146 significance between studies (Ewins, 1985; Petersen, 1981) potentially attributed to local tidal

147 ranges (Vermeer et al., 1993).

148 Temporal cycles may influence black guillemot behaviour. Diel cycles have been shown to

149 affect colony attendance (Hilden, 1994), foraging activity (Robbins, 2012), and foraging dives (Shoji

150 et al., 2015). This is potentially related to light levels and visibility in the water column (Regular et al.,

151 2011) or diel movements of prey (Kamenos et al., 2004). Changes in prey species provisioned to

152 chicks has been correlated with time of day, shifting from a peak sandeels in the morning (0700 hrs)

153 to blenny spp. thereafter (Ewins, 1990). The tidal speeds with which black guillemots associate with

154 while foraging may alter seasonally, however this relationship is variable between studies. Foraging

155 took place in faster flows and a broader range of habitats in the non-breeding season compared to

156 the breeding season in the Fall of Warness, Orkney (Waggitt et al., 2016b), but while the reverse was

157 observed in the Pentland Firth (Wade, 2015). It was speculated that a release from interspecific 158 competition (Waggitt et al., 2016b) or a reduction inMANUSCRIPT prey availability in winter (Ewins, 1990) may 159 cause black guillemots to broaden their foraging niche into high flow areas.

160 Differing habitat use observed among studies may be related to the exploitation of niches

161 which vary locally in substrate type, seaweed species, and tidal dynamics. However, studies

162 highlighting the prevalence of individual behaviour in black guillemots (Owen, 2015; Petersen, 1981;

163 Slater and Slater, 1972), raise the possiblity of inter-individual niches existing within the mean niche

164 (Bolnick et al., 2003). Niches related to tidal stream dynamics could be altered by tidal turbines. The

165 prevelence of inter-individual niches suggests that individuals within a colony could associate with

166 tidal streams to ACCEPTED different extents, and so are affected by habitat change related to tidal turbines

167 differently. Generalist and specialist foraging behaviours prevelent in black guillemots (Cairns 1987,

168 Ewins 1990, Barrett and Anker-Nilssen 1997) and pigeon guillemots (Litzow et al., 2004, 2000, 1998),

169 may dictate those individuals best suited to adapt to habitat change. 8 ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 170 2.2 Foraging movements: Knowledge gaps

171 In assessing the extent to which black guillemots use tidal currents, previous studies

172 highlight that while tidal streams are a common foraging habitat, a large degree of heterogeneity

173 exists in their use (Nol and Gaskin, 1987; Wade, 2015; Waggitt et al., 2017, 2016b). The reasons

174 behind these differing tidal associations between study sites has not been investigated in-depth.

175 Previous studies have considered differences to be potentially related to the pressures of

176 interspecific competition or differing benthic communities (Wade, 2015; Waggitt et al., 2017,

177 2016b). Few studies have investigated the relationship between tidal currents, bathymetry and

178 benthos. There is currently a knowledge gap in terms of the interactions between these three

179 properties, and further investigation could highlight a common driver (or drivers) behind black

180 guillemot foraging distributions within tidal streams. By identifying these habitat associations,

181 predictions can also be made as to how they may be altered by tidal turbines. To identify the

182 sensitivity and responses of birds to tidal stream turbines, future research should focus on the 183 ecological relationships that intertwine with tidal streams,MANUSCRIPT explicitly the benthos and associated 184 prey, and how certain tidal dynamics may be advantageous to foraging. GPS data, such as those

185 presented in Owen (2015) identify horizontal movement patterns and potential foraging locations,

186 but, the environmental characteristics of these foraging locations have not yet been detailed. It is

187 possible that tidal stream turbines may significantly alter the conditions that foraging birds respond

188 to, but until the drivers behind foraging are established, it is not possible to fully consider the risks

189 and potential impacts.

190 What areACCEPTED the characteristics of black guillemot foraging habitats, what changes will tidal 191 turbines exert on these habitats, and how will black guillemots use these habitats, are all primary

192 questions developers need to understand when siting tidal turbines. Potential outcomes of tidal

193 turbine installation include shifts in current flows previously associated with foraging, or blocked

194 access to benthic habitat (Savidge et al., 2014). Tidal devices may increase turbulence within the 9 ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 195 current flow (Churchfield et al., 2013; Edmunds et al., 2014), having ecological impacts downstream

196 (Shields et al., 2011). Alternatively, tidal turbines may act as FADs (Scott et al., 2014; Wilhelmsson et

197 al., 2006), potentially attracting more foraging birds (Savidge et al., 2014). The formation of reefs

198 may create new habitat features producing heterogeneous biodiversity in comparison to the

199 adjacent seabed (Broadhurst and Orme, 2014; Shields et al., 2009; Wilhelmsson et al., 2006). Though

200 FADs may increase fish abundance, fish may aggregate around turbines to avoid predation,

201 potentially reducing prey availability to seabirds and/or encouraging them to forage in areas of

202 higher collision risk (Langton et al., 2011). Where high current flows create physical stress on benthic

203 communities, a reduction in kinetic energy through tidal turbine structures may precipitate an

204 increase in biodiversity and species abundance (Moore and Roberts, 2011).

205 The advantages of individual-specific variation in foraging location (Owen, 2015), or diet

206 (Slater and Slater, 1972) are not well understood. Knowledge of the extent of individual variation in

207 foraging behaviour driven by individual preference, life-stage or sex, is required in order to define a 208 sample size of foraging site or diet observations that MANUSCRIPT is representative of the colony (Scott et al., 209 2014; Soanes et al., 2013). Individually varying threats to habitat use or collision risk posed by tidal

210 turbines can indicate the proportion of a colony at risk.

211 With the potential for habitat use and diet to vary diurnally (Ewins, 1990), tidal turbine

212 operation, construction, and maintenance may obstruct foraging birds at key periods, i.e., when

213 foraging is most efficient and high quality prey items are normally present in the diet. Distinct

214 colonies have differing behavioural responses to tidal phase and diurnal cycles. While there have 215 been some suggestionsACCEPTED for the reasons for these differences, including tidal height and diet, no 216 research has positively identified the underlying drivers (Ewins, 1990; Petersen, 1981; Vermeer et

217 al., 1993). Further study of the ecological interactions driving temporal variation in movement may

218 help inform and mitigate against the periods during which disturbance from construction and

219 maintenance of tidal turbines is most deleterious to foraging birds. 10 ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 220 Modern tagging techniques, such as GPS (Owen, 2015), and time-depth recorders (TDRs)

221 (Masden et al., 2013; Shoji et al., 2015) are powerful methods of identifying the horizontal and

222 vertical foraging movements of individual movement. Associating foraging location and behaviour to

223 habitat or prey items would provide useful information on the environmental characteristics related

224 to foraging strategies (Elliott et al., 2008; Woo et al., 2008). While several studies have suggested

225 that foraging in black guillemots is associated with kelp, few have made a definitive link (Ewins,

226 1992). Combining tracking techniques, prey observations, and environmental data could identify

227 these links. Previously, studies have related seabird diet to movement using data loggers in relation

228 to variables of depth (Barrett and Furness, 1990; Woo et al., 2008), foraging trip duration

229 (Weimerskirch, 1998), and foraging location (Caron-Beaudoin et al., 2013; Linnebjerg et al., 2013;

230 Votier et al., 2010). Understanding black guillemot horizontal foraging location and associated prey

231 would provide developers and licensing authorities with invaluable knowledge regarding habitat use

232 and ecology within tidal lease areas and MPAs.

233 3. Diving behaviour MANUSCRIPT

234 Turbine arrays have been suggested to act as barriers to diving seabirds (Savidge et al., 2014)

235 and have been identified as particularly hazardous to black guillemots due to their benthic foraging

236 behaviour (Furness et al., 2012, Masden et al., 2013; Robbins, 2012; Wade, 2015). The behavioural

237 responses of diving birds to tidal turbine blades have yet to be fully understood, including the

238 potential risks of collision or affects to foraging efficiency (Wilson et al., 2007). It is currently

239 unknown how black guillemots use tidal currents when diving, currents which tidal turbines may 240 alter by obstructingACCEPTED water flow (Shields et al. 2009). In foraging areas associated with tidal stream 241 turbines, knowledge of black guillemot diving behaviour in relation to direction, profile, and use of

242 currents could indicate the potential for underwater interactions with turbine blades.

243 3.1 Diving behaviour: Current knowledge 11 ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 244 A wide range of diving depths have been reported for black guillemots, although they have

245 not been recorded to exceed 50m (Ewins, 1986; Masden et al., 2013; Nol and Gaskin, 1987; Piatt and

246 Nettleship, 1985; Shoji et al., 2015) (Tab.2).

Table 2. Summary of breeding season dive depth studies for black guillemots. Reference Method n Seasons Mean SD Median Maximum Location sampled (m) (m) (m) Ewins, 1986 Visual observation 73 1 30-50 - - 50 Shetland, Scotland Piatt and Nettleship, 1985 Fisheries by-catch 36 2 13.6 - - 50 Newfoundland, Canada Nol and Gaskin, 1987 Visual observation 799 2 26.4 14.9 - 50 Bay of Fundy, Canada Cairns, 1992 Visual observation 130 1 21.1 10.5 22.5 48 Northeast Hudson Bay, Canada Masden et al., 2013 TDR tag 2 1 - - 32 43 Stroma, Caithness, Scotland Shoji et al., 2015 TDR tag 4 1 9.3 2.8 - 18.7 Bangor Harbour and Lighthouse Island, Copeland, Northern Ireland 247

248 When foraging in the water column black guillemots have been shown to undertake W-

249 shaped, V-shaped and U-shaped dives (Shoji et al., 2015). V-shaped and W-shaped dives exploit the

250 midwater, while U-shaped dives are indicative of foraging lower in the water column, suggesting 251 that black guillemot diving behaviour is often related MANUSCRIPTto the seafloor (Shoji et al., 2015). 252 Tidal-conveyor foraging entails an individual drifting downstream with the force of a tidal

253 current before flying upstream, landing and then diving (Robbins, 2017). Fraenkel (2006) has

254 suggested that in relation to tidal turbines, diving birds will likely be swept between blades within

255 the current flow (through ‘entrainment’), or, possess the manoeuvrability to avoid contact with

256 blades. Langton et al. (2011) countered this assumption, indicating that for diving birds to

257 manoeuvre around turbines they must first be able to see, recognise and predict blade movements.

258 Wade (2015) suggests that seabirds diving within tidal streams actively face into the direction of the

259 current; this was ACCEPTEDconcluded from surface observations of locations where individuals submerged and

260 resurfaced, and assumptions that fusiform body shapes are more suited to swimming against the

261 current, minimizing drag and energy expenditure (Lovvorn et al., 2001). The fact that diving birds

262 may actively swim into the direction of the current may increase the likelihood of collision, as

263 turbines approached from upstream may be outside their field of vision (Wade, 2015). 12 ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 264 3.2 Diving behaviour: Knowledge gaps

265 Current literature describes black guillemots diving to depths that overlap with turbine

266 blades (Masden et al., 2013). However, whether these dives will overlap with the horizontal

267 locations of turbines in sites with high tidal flow is as yet unknown. Furthermore, there is currently

268 no available research to indicate how black guillemot’s orientate and manoeuvre within the water

269 column and may behave when encountering a tidal turbine.

270 To address this, knowledge of black guillemots diving behaviour in relation to current flow

271 speeds, and manoeuvrability in relation to obstacles or arrays of turbines is a priority. To prevent

272 collisions, blade avoidance would need to occur while birds are swimming through strong tidal

273 currents whilst also ascending or descending through the water column actively seeking prey.

274 Sediment disturbed by tidal turbines may increase turbidity and affect visibility within the water

275 column (Shields et al. 2009). Decreased visibility may significantly affect the foraging ability of diving 276 birds, whilst also reducing their ability to avoid collisionMANUSCRIPT with devices (Grecian et al., 2010; Wilson et 277 al., 2006). Black guillemots, as with other , a re visual foragers (Martin and Wanless, 2015),

278 though little is known of the extent to which turbidity will effect foraging behaviour. Tactile cues

279 may be employed by diving birds for navigation in low light situations, but these have yet to be

280 identified (Regular et al., 2011), making vision the primary known sense to be potentially affected.

281 Turbidity has been shown to reduce visual resolution in great cormorants Phalacrocorax carbo (Strod

282 et al., 2004) . Similar work is needed on the extent to which visibility relates to black guillemot

283 foraging efficiency, and, how their optical orientation (Martin and Wanless, 2015) and depth of 284 vision (Katzir andACCEPTED Howland, 2003) relates to their foraging movements and their potential to react to 285 structures in their underwater environment (Martin, 2011).

286 Further research combining diving depth data with horizontal location information may

287 reveal how black guillemots use the water column in three-dimensions and potentially quantify the

288 extent of overlap with tidal turbine blades. One major information gap to be addressed is the 13 ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 289 relationship of dive depth relationship with conditions such as bathymetry and the benthos.

290 Differences in dive depths between Masden et al. (2013) and Shoji et al. (2015) were primarily

291 attributed to variation in bathymetry between the differing study sites. Approaches which may help

292 improve our knowledge of underwater seabird behaviour might include combined deployments of

293 TDRs, -borne cameras, accelerometers and GPS devices (Berlincourt and Arnould, 2014; Sato

294 et al., 2008). By combining accelerometers with TDRs, foraging events at certain depths can be

295 inferred, and have been used to identify foraging habits in diving seabirds (Laich et al., 2010;

296 Watanuki et al., 2006). Animal-borne cameras can record the field of vision of the animal, identifying

297 foraging events and behaviour within track data (i.e., prey captures and species). In other studies

298 (which could be mimicked for black guillemots), the relationship between dive depth and sediment

299 types were investigated in European shags Phalacrocorax aristotelis through the use of combined

300 camera and depth sensor deployments (Watanuki et al., 2008). However, the technology is not yet

301 small enough to deploy on smaller diving birds, including black guillemots (Chimienti et al., 2016).

302 4. Seasonal distribution MANUSCRIPT

303 Assessing seasonal variations in the overlap of black guillemot foraging distributions with

304 tidal stream turbines arrays is the first step required in quantifying periods of risk. Seabird

305 distributions may shift due to seasonal migrations, however, as a non-migratory seabird, black

306 guillemots remain within the inshore year round (Ewins and Tasker, 1985). Despite this, black

307 guillemot habitat use or distributions can vary in response to climatic conditions, prey behaviour, or

308 inter-annual variations in relation to climate change.

309 4.1 Seasonal distribution:ACCEPTED Current knowledge

310 As year-round inshore residents (Ewins and Kirk, 1988) black guillemots must adapt to

311 changing inshore conditions. For example, in Shetland, black guillemots are known to move to less

312 exposed areas of coastline in the winter (Ewins and Kirk, 1988). The winter range of black guillemots 14 ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 313 has also shifted over decadal scales (Potvin et al., 2016; Veit and Manne, 2015) attributed to climate

314 change.

315 In the non-breeding season, birds are no longer central-place foragers as they do not need

316 to return to a single nest location with prey, which will potentially alter their foraging locations

317 (Mehlum and Gabrielsen, 1993). As well as modulating their foraging priorities, foraging habitat may

318 broaden with the opening up of prey resources previously unavailable during the breeding season

319 due to intra-specific competition with species that have migrated (Chase, 2011; Waggitt et al.,

320 2016b).

321 Foraging locations may change to correspond with changes in prey behaviour (Ewins and

322 Kirk, 1988). Some benthic prey species migrate to deeper water in winter, such as butterfish (Shorty

323 and Gannon, 2013), whilst others (i.e., sandeels) remain buried for most of the winter except to

324 spawn. Ewins (1990) explored the differences in breeding (May-August) and non-breeding 325 (September-April) diet in adult birds. Taking into accountMANUSCRIPT different sample sizes between seasons, 326 the variety of prey items observed in non-breeding diet was larger than in the breeding season.

327 4.2 Seasonal distribution: Knowledge gaps

328 Seasonal differences in movement may dictate the periods which black guillemots are most

329 likely to overlap with tidal arrays. To investigate these movements, counts through visual

330 observations (Ewins and Kirk, 1988) and aerial surveys (Gaston and Mclaren, 1990; Heinänen et al.,

331 2017; Prach and Smith, 1992) may be carried out year-round, and are useful methods to investigate 332 population scale ACCEPTEDmovements. Observational survey methods can highlight fine scale foraging habitat 333 in both breeding and non-breeding seasons (Waggitt and Scott, 2014), however, individual

334 movements studied through the use of tracking deployments are difficult to study outside of the

335 breeding season. During the non-breeding season, birds do not display site fidelity to a nest, making

336 their capture difficult. The use of geolocators (GLS) has made tracking over long periods feasible, 15 ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 337 allowing capture during the breeding season and data collection carrying on into the winter, this has

338 provided data on non-breeding movements of some alcids (Harris et al., 2015, 2013; Jessopp et al.,

339 2013; McFarlane Tranquilla et al., 2014). The use of GLS technology has contributed significantly to

340 improving understanding of the non-breeding movements of arctic black guillemots (Divoky et al.,

341 2016). GLS technology assesses individual movement within an error of several hundred kilometres,

342 making it a viable method to study movements relating to migration (Jessopp et al., 2013), and large

343 scale sea-ice boundary movement (Divoky et al., 2016).

344 Diet could be used as a tool to investigate black guillemot foraging ecology, which may be a

345 useful indicator of potential seasonal shifts in foraging habitat related to tidal turbines. Current

346 literature provides limited knowledge of the inshore behaviour and diet of black guillemots during

347 the non-breeding season (Ewins and Kirk, 1988; Gaston and Mclaren, 1990; Wade, 2015; Waggitt et

348 al., 2016b). Studies of black guillemot diet have primarily been conducted during the breeding

349 season and therefore largely reflect chick diet (Barrett and Furness, 1990; Cairns, 1987a; Ewins, 350 1990; Furness and Barrett, 1985; Harris and Riddiford, MANUSCRIPT 1989; Petersen, 1981; Weslawski et al., 1994). 351 These studies are also limited to a relatively short period of the year and to restrictive foraging

352 ranges (Brown and Ewins, 1996). This makes adult diet outside the breeding season a more robust,

353 but difficult to ascertain, measure of black guillemot foraging ecology in relation to habitats

354 associated with tidal turbines (Barrett et al., 2016).

355 5. Sources of disturbance and colony recovery

356 Tidal turbine arrays may affect the nesting habitat of black guillemots through the

357 construction of infrastructureACCEPTED onshore to manage the electricity generated. Human disturbance

358 through ongoing turbine maintenance and operation also has the potential to displace black

359 guillemots, affect breeding success, and disturb nesting habitat (Cairns, 1980). When assessing the

360 extent of the impact created by tidal turbines on breeding black guillemots, it is imperative that 16 ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 361 existing sources of background disturbance and mortality at nest sites are taken into account, such

362 as that caused by invasive predators (Craik, 1995) and adverse weather (Hario, 2001).

363 Should colonies be disturbed by human activities related to tidal turbines (or other factors),

364 mechanisms of recovery need to be better understood. Dispersal patterns may indicate the potential

365 for metapopulation rescue of colonies that have experienced significant mortalities due to tidal

366 turbines. These dispersal patterns may relate to the amount of philopatry and emigration occurring

367 within colonies, which vary depending on several factors including competition, disturbance and

368 availability of suitable breeding habitat (Harris et al., 1996; Lavers et al., 2007; Moum and Árnason,

369 2001) . Understanding the extent of emigration and philopatry, including breeding and natal

370 dispersal distances within a metapopulation, may indicate the distance at which source-sink

371 relationships between colonies may develop between those potentially affected by tidal turbine

372 related disturbance or mortalities.

373 5.1 Sources of disturbance and colony recovery: Current knowledge MANUSCRIPT 374 Direct human disturbance at black guillemot nest sites has been suggested to cause

375 individuals to reduce incubation times or abandon breeding attempts (Cairns, 1980). However,

376 colonies have been shown to exist where human activity is high and predictable, such as harbours

377 and on ferry terminals (Greenwood, 2002). Black guillemots are regarded as crevice nesters,

378 primarily choosing gaps within boulder beaches to nest (Greenwood, 2002). They are also known to

379 nest under, or within, a range of natural and manmade objects (Greenwood, 2002). Regarded as less

380 colonial than other alcids (Harris and Birkhead 1985), black guillemot colonies are small and

381 dispersed (Cairns,ACCEPTED 1980).

382 Nesting behaviour in black guillemots is vulnerable to certain mammalian invasive species

383 (Ewins, 1990; Magnusdottir et al., 2014; Nordström, 2002). There are now numerous accounts of

384 island seabird colonies, including black guillemots, being impacted by American mink Neovison vison 17 ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 385 predation (Barrett and Anker-Nilssen, 1997; Clode and Macdonald, 2002; Craik, 1997, 1995;

386 Magnusdottir et al., 2014). The primary impact of mink presence is mortality, leading to a loss of

387 breeding habitat, possibly due to an effort by black guillemots to avoid predation, this is a major

388 confining aspect of black guillemot abundance, and may lead to emigration (Ewins and Tasker, 1985;

389 Mitchell et al., 2004; Nordström and Korpimäki, 2004; Petersen, 1981). Adverse weather through

390 intense precipitation or storm swells may wash out coastal nests; and the frequency of these

391 incidents may increase with climate change (Lowe et al., 2001). Nest failure caused by heavy rain

392 and high waves has previously been seen for black guillemots in Finland (Hario, 2001).

393 The ability of birds to disperse is important in colony/population recovery and persistence,

394 and the transfer of individuals between colonies may reduce the potential for colony extinctions

395 (Frederiksen and Petersen 2000). Recolonization by immature black guillemots may (for example)

396 have driven local population recovery in Sullom Voe following the Esso Bernicia oil spill in 1979

397 (Ewins, 1986; Heubeck, 1995). Dispersal distances derived from UK ring recoveries vary in relation to 398 the geographic characteristics of natal sites; with median MANUSCRIPT dispersal distances for the isolated islands 399 of Fair Isle and Foula of 56km (n = 36) while at the island groups of Orkney and Shetland distances

400 were only 6km (n = 35) (Ewins, 1988). Rates of philopatry in alcids is generally regarded as high

401 (Coulson, 2016). On Flatey Island (Iceland), 34% (n = 322) of marked black guillemots were

402 philopatric (Frederiksen and Petersen, 1999), with higher site fidelity exhibited by breeding birds,

403 and dispersal behaviour being more prevalent in natal birds (Frederiksen and Petersen, 2000).

404 However, dispersal distances did not differ between adult and immature birds in Shetland (Ewins,

405 1988). ACCEPTED 406 5.2 Sources of disturbance and colony recovery: Knowledge gaps

407 Understanding how human disturbance affects black guillemot nesting habitat could help

408 developers identify impacts associated with the construction, operation, and maintenance of tidal

409 turbines. To delineate human caused mortality and disturbance from that occurring naturally, 18 ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 410 background sources need to be identified. Should mortality or disturbance occur, an understanding

411 of the mechanisms of colony recovery could help assess the long-term consequences of these

412 impacts. Current literature highlights the potential pressures facing nesting black guillemots

413 (primarily terrestrial predators), however, little is known about the effects of human disturbance

414 (Ronconi and Clair, 2002). This lack of research makes identifying the response of black guillemots to

415 anthropogenic activity difficult. When assessing disturbance generated by tidal turbines, observing

416 local population changes in breeding success could also indicate the potential effects of tidal

417 turbines. At each colony, threats from terrestrial predators, human disturbance, and climate change

418 (EcoWatt 2050, 2017), may all produce larger impacts than those from tidal turbines.

419 Little is currently known about the transfer of individuals between geographically disparate

420 black guillemot colonies. How the metapoplation interacts and will respond to colony extinction is

421 relatively unknown. Current literature suggests some metapopulation connectivity with individuals

422 transferring between island groups (Ewins, 1988; Frederiksen and Petersen, 2000) and dispersal 423 from isolated islands in the absence of suitable winter MANUSCRIPT shelter (Ewins, 1988). Methods such as mark- 424 recapture of individuals and genetic analysis may be used to address knowledge gaps regarding

425 dispersal patterns within metapopulations (Barlow et al., 2013; Greenwood, 1980). While mark-

426 recapture and colour ringing are useful, they may be limited by the cryptic nature of crevice nesting

427 black guillemots, making it more difficult to study life-history aspects such as dispersal and

428 philopatry (Coulson, 2016). Limitations to mark-recapture methods could be alleviated by DNA

429 marker analysis, a method that has been suggested to be underutilized in the assessment of

430 philopatry (Coulson, 2016). DNA markers can also provide the potential for historic samples to be

431 used to study metapopulationACCEPTED composition (Wink, 2006).

432 6. Summary

433 Black guillemot foraging behaviour and year round presence within the inshore marine

434 environment have highlighted the species to be particularly vulnerable to interacting with tidal 19 ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 435 stream turbines (Furness et al., 2012). To assess the potential impacts of tidal stream turbines on

436 black guillemots, several gaps in our current ecological knowledge require addressing. Required

437 information includes: 1) the characteristics of the foraging habitat and diet preferences; 2)

438 underwater foraging behaviour, including dive profile and body orientation; 3) temporal shifts in

439 behaviour and foraging location related to seasonal, diel, and tidal cycles; 4) sources of additional

440 pressure on black guillemots and the potential of colony recovery from deleterious effects.

441 While some knowledge exists about the amount of time black guillemots dive at the depth

442 of turbine blades (Masden et al., 2013), little is known about how dives horizontally and vertically

443 overlap with turbines in space. Fine-scale knowledge of behaviour at specific foraging locations is

444 essential to investigate how black guillemots may interact with turbines (Waggitt et al., 2016b).

445 Methods to investigate these behaviours include visual observation (shore based or aerial), tracking,

446 and diet studies (Grémillet and Boulinier, 2009; Lascelles et al., 2016; Ronconi et al., 2012; Soanes et

447 al., 2013). Once foraging locations and behaviours are identified, collating knowledge of prey 448 distribution, benthic flora compositions, bathymetry, MANUSCRIPTtidal dynamics, and substrate, will provide vital 449 information to identify the characteristics typical of black guillemot foraging habitat.

450 Current knowledge shows that black guillemot foraging habitat, including use of tidal

451 streams, are heterogeneous between study sites (Waggitt et al., 2017), seasons (Wade, 2015;

452 Waggitt et al., 2016b) and individuals (Owen, 2015). Drivers of this heterogeneity have not been

453 robustly identified, though have so far been attributed to abiotic and biotic spatial and temporal

454 covariates (Waggitt et al., 2017). Identifying predictable or consistent drivers of habitat use across 455 studies may provideACCEPTED information to developers on which environmental characteristics will have the 456 largest impact on foraging.

457 The response of breeding birds to terrestrial predators (Craik, 1997) or humans (Ronconi and

458 Clair, 2002) could include disturbance, desertion, or nest failure. These disturbances could persist

459 leading to local population declines, or alternatively, once such pressures are removed, 20 ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 460 recolonization from the metapopulation could occur (Frederiksen and Petersen, 2000). Therefore,

461 further understanding of philopatry and dispersal distances by immatures from nearby colonies may

462 inform the potential for recolonization, or creation of a source-sink scenario, should any deleterious

463 impacts from tidal turbines occur.

464 Progress toward large scale tidal stream turbine installation has highlighted multiple gaps in

465 our understanding of black guillemot and (more broadly) inshore diving seabird ecology. Researching

466 these gaps will shed new light on this understudied species, which could potentially help developers

467 mitigate against deleterious effects of tidal turbine construction and operation in the future. A

468 better understanding of black guillemot ecology will put MPAs in a better position to serve their

469 purpose and, the knowledge gained will have relevance to a wider set of biota that may be impacted

470 by marine renewable developments in the future.

471 Compliance with Ethical Standards 472 The correspondence author is funded through a stude MANUSCRIPTntship awarded by Marine Alliance for Science 473 and Technology for Scotland (MASTS) supported by Scottish Natural Heritage (SNH). The authors

474 declare that they have no conflict of interest with these funding bodies. For this study, a literature

475 review, formal consent for animal research was not required, and this review does not contain any

476 previously unpublished studies with performed by any of the authors.

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814 815 MANUSCRIPT 816

ACCEPTED ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT • Black guillemots have been highlighted as at risk to tidal stream turbines (TSTs). • Further knowledge of foraging is required to assess the risk of overlap with TSTs. • We synthesise the knowledge of black guillemot ecology and its relevance to TSTs. • Aspects of black guillemot foraging, diving, and seasonal movements are reviewed. • Disturbance to nesting adults and processes of colony recovery are considered.

MANUSCRIPT

ACCEPTED