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Supplementary data

Figures Figure S1

Figure S1 Top cities with the highest migrants before Spring Festival A-C, Top cities with highest migrant on Jan 22, 2020. D-F, Top cities with highest migrant on Jan 23, 2020. G-I, Top cities with highest migrant on Jan 24, 2020. A, D, G, Top 50 hot cities with high export migrants; B, , H, Top 10 cities with high export migrant; C, F, I, Top 10 cities with high import migrants.

Figure S2

Figure S2 Migration and transport index during spring festival A, Emigration from City on Jan 23, 2020; B, Emigration from province on Jan 23, 2020; C, Traffic congestion index during 7-day festival holiday in 2020 and 2019; D, Population mobility index during 7-day festival holiday in 2020 and 2019.

Tables Table S1 Hot spot value and relative risk with case number and incidence Case Number Incidence City Name Hot value Relative Risk Hot value Relative Risk Trend 0.7201 0.133 0.4678 0.485 City 0.5833 0.346 0.4714 0.5067 0.4106 0.8371 0.4739 0.4732 Wuhan 0.7822 1.77E-04 0.4766 0.4987 Yellowstone 0.6053 0.4126 0.4822 0.4702 0.3047 0.8646 0.4933 0.5275 0.6284 0.536 0.4941 0.4689 0.5739 0.5933 0.4946 0.484 0.4501 0.5174 0.5035 0.4792 Qianjiang 0.3958 0.4191 0.504 0.4736 0.3538 0.8206 0.5064 0.5596 0.5947 0.2856 0.5101 0.4826 0.5631 0.1536 0.5115 0.4868 0.4774 0.7351 0.5278 0.501 0.3634 0.7426 0.5324 0.5537 Enshi 0.369 0.7142 0.5378 0.5239

Table S2 Migration index of Wuhan city and Hubei province in 2020 and 2019

Hubei Emigration Hubei Immigration Wuhan Emigration Wuhan Immigration Date 2020 2019 2020 2019 2020 2019 2020 2019 2020/1/10 5.3 3.7 7.86 7.05 6.62 4.57 4.6 4.15 2020/1/11 5.16 3.76 8.54 7.61 7.56 4.69 4.64 3.86 2020/1/12 4.69 3.89 8.93 8.32 6.22 4.81 4.37 4.09 2020/1/13 4.69 4.08 9.35 9.47 5.76 4.86 4.83 4.47 2020/1/14 4.6 4.52 9.87 10.47 5.46 5.66 4.08 4.65 2020/1/15 4.86 5.04 10.77 11.51 5.91 7.04 4.06 4.78 2020/1/16 4.85 4.92 11.24 12.13 6 6.49 4 4.64 2020/1/17 5.1 5.16 12.76 13.11 6.44 6.77 4.4 5.1 2020/1/18 5.42 5.2 13.38 13.17 7.71 7.03 4.23 4.41 2020/1/19 5.49 5.52 13.81 12.47 7.41 7.11 4.15 4.55 2020/1/20 6.03 5.64 14.51 11.99 8.31 7.48 4.18 4.4 2020/1/21 7.21 5.98 16.04 12.06 10.74 8.71 4.24 4.26 2020/1/22 6.8 6.03 12.09 11.11 11.84 9.6 2.9 3.9 2020/1/23 6.21 5.63 8.89 9.01 11.14 9.22 1.75 3.39

Table S3 Migration from Wuhan and cumulative case number of cities of Hubei province Migration Cumulative Case Number (2020/1/30) City Emigration Immigration Confirmed Death Xiaogan 14.6325 6.9547 541 9 Huanggang 13.9152 5.6839 573 12 Jingzhou 7.0294 2.6940 221 3 Xianning 5.3849 3.0142 166 0 Xiangyang 4.2354 1.5949 286 0 Suizhou 3.4184 1.2592 228 0 Jingmen 3.5264 1.3823 227 5 Yellowstone 4.0508 2.1701 168 1 Ezhou 4.2477 3.0984 189 6 Xiantao 3.1747 1.3106 90 1 Yichang 3.0261 1.2691 167 1 Tianmen 2.2391 0.7329 67 6 Shiyan 1.9914 0.7873 150 0 Enshi 1.9508 0.5937 75 0 Qianjiang 1.2312 0.4517 12 1 0.0399 0.0170 7 0

Table S4 Emigration from Wuhan and confirmed case number Province Emigration Confirmed Case Hubei 74.22 5806 6.11 352 3.74 332 2.44 237 2.28 240 2.04 393 1.57 168 1.36 206 1.33 177 Shandong 1.18 178 Zhejiang 1.15 537 Hebei 1.01 82 Fujian 0.97 120 0.94 132 Guangxi 0.85 87 0.77 63 0.72 128 Shanxi 0.64 39 Guizhou 0.60 15 0.57 76 Hainan 0.40 49 Gansu 0.37 29 Liaoning 0.35 45 Heilongjiang 0.30 59 Xinjiang 0.20 17 Inner 0.19 20 Mongolia Jilin 0.18 14 0.16 31 Ningxia 0.09 21 Qinghai 0.06 8 Tibet 0.04 1

Table 5, Lockdown date of cities of Hubei province

City Lockdown Date Wuhan 23-Jan-20 Ezhou 23-Jan-20 Xiantao 23-Jan-20 Zhijiang 23-Jan-20 Qianjiang 23-Jan-20 Huanggang 23-Jan-20 Enshi 24-Jan-20 Jingmen 24-Jan-20 Xianning 24-Jan-20 Chibi 24-Jan-20 24-Jan-20 Jingzhou 24-Jan-20 24-Jan-20 Xiaogan 24-Jan-20 Suizhou 24-Jan-20 Shiyan 25-Jan-20 Yichang City 25-Jan-20 Xiangyang 26-Jan-20 Shennongjia 26-Jan-20