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Contents 1 Introduction 1 Map of Braintree District 3 Contextual Indicators: 4 Population in Braintree District 4 Economy 15 School places 26 Business floorspace 34 Employment and jobs 40 Open spaces and sports provision 53 Housing 54 Cultural Heritage 63 Transport and Spatial Connectivity 67 2 LDF Indicators by Key Policy Theme 70 Business development and town centres 71 Housing 89 Environmental quality 112 Air Quality 116 Noise 117 Open Space and Parks 117 3 Policy Performance Conclusions 120 Appendices: Appendix 1: Saved and Expired Local Plan Review Policies Appendix 2: Schedule of housing sites included in assessment of Five Year Supply 2013-2018 Appendix 3: Schedule of housing sites included in assessment of supply 2012-2026 Appendix 4: Review of LDF Core Strategy Monitoring Framework Table 3 Performance Targets and Measures Appendix 5: East of England Economic Forecast Model, Autumn 2012 Braintree District Council Local Development Framework Annual Monitoring Report 2012 Detailed Contents Schedule Page Figure 1 Map of Braintree District 3 Table 1 Population of Braintree District March 2011 4 Population age structure, Braintree District compared Table 2 4 with Essex, East of England and England averages Table 3 Population and number of dwelling by ward, 2011 5 Figure 2 Braintree District population trend, 1951-2011 6 Summary of the estimated main migration flows into and Table 4 7 out of Braintree District mid-2010 to mid-2011 Essex Planning Officers Association/Edge Analytics Figure 3 8 population projections for Braintree District to 2026 Obesity levels, Braintree and CIPFA Nearest Neighbours Table 5 9 compared Table 6 Ethnic group, 2011 10 Table 7 Country of birth, 2011 10 Table 8 Religion of residents, 2011 11 Table 9 Marital status, 2011 11 Table 10 Household composition, 2011 12 Table 11 Household composition 2001-2011 13 Table 12 Population and dwelling stock by parish, 2011 14 Economic Activity Braintree District March 2011, and Table 13 15 change 2001-2011, number of persons Table 14 Labour supply 2011/2012 16 Table 15 Percentage unemployment, 2011/2012 16 Table 16 Claimant count unemployment trend 2011/2012 17 Figure 4 Claimant count unemployment April 2011 – April 2012 17 Figure 5 Claimant count unemployment 2001 – 2012 18 Table 17 Job Seekers Allowance claimants April 2011 18 Braintree District Council Local Development Framework Annual Monitoring Report 2012 Claimant count unemployment rate 2001–2012, Figure 6 19 Braintree District; East of England Region, Great Britain Unemployment claimant count rate Essex Districts April Table 18 19 2012 Vacancies and Job Seekers Allowance claimants August Table 19 20 2012 Trend in ratio JSA claimants per unfilled vacancy, 2006- Table 20 20 2012 Table 21 Age and Duration of unemployment 21 Table 22 Early Years Foundation Stage Profile results 2010/2011 22 Table 23 GCSE and equivalent results 2010/2011 23 Educational attainment at A/AS examination level or Table 24 23 equivalent (Level 3) for pupils living in Braintree District Table 25 Qualifications of residents aged 16-64, 2011 24 Residents aged 16-64, with qualifications at level NVQ4 Table 26 25 and above, 2004-2011 The number of pupils in Braintree District Schools 2004- Table 27 26 2012, and forecast number of pupils 2017 Table 28 Primary School Places 2012 27-28 Table 29 Primary School Places 2017 (forecast) 29-30 Table 30 Secondary School Places 2011 32 Table 31 Secondary School Places 2016 (forecast) 33 Table 32 Business floorspace Braintree District March 2012 35 Table 33 Business floorspace Braintree District 2009-2012 35 Figure 7 Change in office floorspace Braintree District 2000-2012 35 Change in industrial floorspace Braintree District 2000- Figure 8 36 2012 Figure 9 Change in retail floorspace Braintree District 2000-2012 36 Change in other business floorspace Braintree District Figure 10 37 2000-2012 Number of Business Hereditaments Braintree District Table 34 37 March 2012 Figure 11 Change in the number of retail hereditaments 2000-2012 38 Change in the number of office hereditaments 2000- Figure 12 38 2012 Braintree District Council Local Development Framework Annual Monitoring Report 2012 Change in the number of industrial hereditaments 2000- Figure 13 38 2012 Change in the number of other business hereditaments Figure 14 39 2000-2012 Change in rateable value per sq m, Braintree District, Figure 15 39 2000-2012 Table 35 Job density 2010 40 Table 36 Job density 2001-2010 40 Job density 2009; Essex Districts and other neighbouring Table 37 41 districts Economic activity 2011, Braintree District compared to Table 38 41 regional and England averages Economic activity Braintree District, 2011 and 2001, Table 39 42 proportion of persons aged 16-74 by economic category Table 40 Industry of employment of residents, March 2011 43 Table 41 Employment by occupational group, 2011 44 Table 42 ABI analysis: change in employee jobs 2001-2008 45 Table 43 Change in employment structure 2001-2008 45 Baseline Forecast future growth in employment, East of Figure 16 England by District, 2010 to 2020, Autumn 2010 report 46 Baseline Forecast future growth in residents in Figure 17 employment, East of England, 2010-2020, Autumn 2010 47 East of England Economic Forecasting Model Baseline Figure 18 Scenario, Autumn 2012; Braintree District 2001-2026, 48 forecast change in employment and residents in work East of England Economic Forecasting Model Baseline Figure 19 Scenario, Autumn 2012; Braintree compared with other 48 Essex Districts 2001-2031, forecast employment change Employment change, Essex Districts 2007-2031 indexed Figure 20 49 to 2007 employment level East of England Model Baseline Forecasts Autumn 2012: Table 44 49-50 Table 44: Forecast Employment, Essex Districts Table 45 Braintree residents who are self-employed 2004-2011 51 Table 46 Adult participation in sport 53 Tenure of Households in Braintree District, 2011 Census Table 47 54 data Number of households in Braintree District in 2001 and Table 48 55 2011 by tenure, according to the Census Dwelling stock by tenure 2011, Department for Table 49 55 Communities and Local Government data Braintree District Council Local Development Framework Annual Monitoring Report 2012 Table 50 Dwelling stock change 2001-2011, Essex Districts 56 Increase in number of dwellings 2001-2011, Essex Figure 20 56 Districts Percentage increase in number of dwellings 2001-2011, Figure 21 57 Essex Districts East of England local planning authorities: Net housing Figure 22 58 supply 2001-2011 East of England districts: Variance of net housing supply Figure 23 59 2001-11 from housing provision in East of England Plan Table 51 Vacant dwellings Braintree District 2004-2012 60 Vacant and long term vacant dwellings Braintree District Figure 24 60 2005-2012 Table 52 Vacant dwellings, Essex Districts, 2011 61 Figure 25 Number of vacant dwellings 2012, Essex Districts 61 Vacant dwellings as % of total dwellings, Essex Districts Figure 26 62 2012 Figure 27 Long term vacant dwellings 2012, Essex Districts 62 Table 53 Listed Buildings, composition by category 64 Table 54 Number of Listed Buildings at risk 2004-2011 64 Table 55 Travel to Work, 2001 67 Distances travelled to work, Braintree District residents. Figure 28 67 2001 Commuter Flows in London and the Wider South East, Figure 29 68 Journey to Work Distances by District 1991 and 2001 Table 56 Implemented floorspace 2011/2012 71 Location of development within Braintree District, Table 57 72 2001/2012, by Use Class Location of development within Braintree District, Figure 29 72 2001/2012, by Use Class Table 58 Net retail floorspace development 2007-2012 73 Table 59 Net office floorspace development 2007-2012 73 Table 60 Net B1/B2/B8 floorspace development 2007-2012 73 Figure 30 Net floorspace developed 2007/2012 by year 73 Figure 31 Net floorspace developed 2007/2012 by floorspace type 74 Potential non-residential floorspace (with planning Table 61 74 permission) identified as at 31 st March 2012 Braintree District Council Local Development Framework Annual Monitoring Report 2012 Location of potential non-residential floorspace (with Table 62 75 planning permission) identified as at 31 st March 2012 Location of Potential Development (with planning Figure 32 76 permission) by Use Class Total remaining land identified for non-residential uses as Table 63 76 at 31 st March 2012 Braintree, Halstead and Witham town centres: Development Table 64 77 of 'town centre uses' floorspace (sq m) 2011/12 Braintree, Halstead and Witham town centres: Development Table 65 77 sites: Use Class A1 as at 31st March 2012 Braintree, Halstead and Witham town centres: Development Table 66 77 sites: Use Class A2 as at 31st March 2012 Braintree, Halstead and Witham town centres: Table 67 78 Development sites: Use Class B1a Braintree, Halstead and Witham town centres: Table 68 78 Development sites: Use Class D2 Vacant town centre retail units 2007-2012, Braintree, Table 69 78 Witham, Halstead and Coggeshall Vacant town centre retail units 2007-2012, Braintree, Figure 33 79 Witham, Halstead and Coggeshall Vacant town centre retail units 2001-2012, Braintree Table 70 80 Witham and Halstead Vacant town centre retail units 2001-2012, Braintree Figure 34 81 Witham and Halste Estimated employment Braintree District 2008, 2009, Table 71 83 2010, BRES ABI data on employees compared to Workforce Total Table 72 84 Jobs data, Braintree District Employment change 2003-08, Braintree compared to Table 73 84 Essex, East of England and England, from ABI data Employment change in Braintree