Contents

1 Introduction 1 Map of Braintree District 3 Contextual Indicators: 4 Population in Braintree District 4 Economy 15 School places 26 Business floorspace 34 Employment and jobs 40 Open spaces and sports provision 53 Housing 54 Cultural Heritage 63 Transport and Spatial Connectivity 67

2 LDF Indicators by Key Policy Theme 70 Business development and town centres 71 Housing 89 Environmental quality 112 Air Quality 116 Noise 117 Open Space and Parks 117

3 Policy Performance Conclusions 120

Appendices:

Appendix 1: Saved and Expired Local Plan Review Policies

Appendix 2: Schedule of housing sites included in assessment of Five Year Supply 2013-2018

Appendix 3: Schedule of housing sites included in assessment of supply 2012-2026

Appendix 4: Review of LDF Core Strategy Monitoring Framework Table 3 Performance Targets and Measures

Appendix 5: East of England Economic Forecast Model, Autumn 2012

Braintree District Council Local Development Framework Annual Monitoring Report 2012

Detailed Contents Schedule Page

Figure 1 Map of Braintree District 3

Table 1 Population of Braintree District March 2011 4 Population age structure, Braintree District compared Table 2 4 with Essex, East of England and England averages Table 3 Population and number of dwelling by ward, 2011 5

Figure 2 Braintree District population trend, 1951-2011 6 Summary of the estimated main migration flows into and Table 4 7 out of Braintree District mid-2010 to mid-2011 Essex Planning Officers Association/Edge Analytics Figure 3 8 population projections for Braintree District to 2026 Obesity levels, Braintree and CIPFA Nearest Neighbours Table 5 9 compared Table 6 Ethnic group, 2011 10

Table 7 Country of birth, 2011 10

Table 8 Religion of residents, 2011 11

Table 9 Marital status, 2011 11

Table 10 Household composition, 2011 12

Table 11 Household composition 2001-2011 13

Table 12 Population and dwelling stock by parish, 2011 14 Economic Activity Braintree District March 2011, and Table 13 15 change 2001-2011, number of persons Table 14 Labour supply 2011/2012 16

Table 15 Percentage unemployment, 2011/2012 16

Table 16 Claimant count unemployment trend 2011/2012 17

Figure 4 Claimant count unemployment April 2011 – April 2012 17

Figure 5 Claimant count unemployment 2001 – 2012 18

Table 17 Job Seekers Allowance claimants April 2011 18

Braintree District Council Local Development Framework Annual Monitoring Report 2012 Claimant count unemployment rate 2001–2012, Figure 6 19 Braintree District; East of England Region, Great Britain Unemployment claimant count rate Essex Districts April Table 18 19 2012 Vacancies and Job Seekers Allowance claimants August Table 19 20 2012 Trend in ratio JSA claimants per unfilled vacancy, 2006- Table 20 20 2012 Table 21 Age and Duration of unemployment 21

Table 22 Early Years Foundation Stage Profile results 2010/2011 22

Table 23 GCSE and equivalent results 2010/2011 23 Educational attainment at A/AS examination level or Table 24 23 equivalent (Level 3) for pupils living in Braintree District Table 25 Qualifications of residents aged 16-64, 2011 24 Residents aged 16-64, with qualifications at level NVQ4 Table 26 25 and above, 2004-2011 The number of pupils in Braintree District Schools 2004- Table 27 26 2012, and forecast number of pupils 2017 Table 28 Primary School Places 2012 27-28

Table 29 Primary School Places 2017 (forecast) 29-30

Table 30 Secondary School Places 2011 32

Table 31 Secondary School Places 2016 (forecast) 33

Table 32 Business floorspace Braintree District March 2012 35

Table 33 Business floorspace Braintree District 2009-2012 35

Figure 7 Change in office floorspace Braintree District 2000-2012 35 Change in industrial floorspace Braintree District 2000- Figure 8 36 2012 Figure 9 Change in retail floorspace Braintree District 2000-2012 36 Change in other business floorspace Braintree District Figure 10 37 2000-2012 Number of Business Hereditaments Braintree District Table 34 37 March 2012 Figure 11 Change in the number of retail hereditaments 2000-2012 38 Change in the number of office hereditaments 2000- Figure 12 38 2012

Braintree District Council Local Development Framework Annual Monitoring Report 2012 Change in the number of industrial hereditaments 2000- Figure 13 38 2012 Change in the number of other business hereditaments Figure 14 39 2000-2012 Change in rateable value per sq m, Braintree District, Figure 15 39 2000-2012 Table 35 Job density 2010 40

Table 36 Job density 2001-2010 40 Job density 2009; Essex Districts and other neighbouring Table 37 41 districts Economic activity 2011, Braintree District compared to Table 38 41 regional and England averages Economic activity Braintree District, 2011 and 2001, Table 39 42 proportion of persons aged 16-74 by economic category Table 40 Industry of employment of residents, March 2011 43

Table 41 Employment by occupational group, 2011 44

Table 42 ABI analysis: change in employee jobs 2001-2008 45

Table 43 Change in employment structure 2001-2008 45 Baseline Forecast future growth in employment, East of Figure 16 England by District, 2010 to 2020, Autumn 2010 report 46 Baseline Forecast future growth in residents in Figure 17 employment, East of England, 2010-2020, Autumn 2010 47 East of England Economic Forecasting Model Baseline Figure 18 Scenario, Autumn 2012; Braintree District 2001-2026, 48 forecast change in employment and residents in work East of England Economic Forecasting Model Baseline Figure 19 Scenario, Autumn 2012; Braintree compared with other 48 Essex Districts 2001-2031, forecast employment change Employment change, Essex Districts 2007-2031 indexed Figure 20 49 to 2007 employment level East of England Model Baseline Forecasts Autumn 2012: Table 44 49-50 Table 44: Forecast Employment, Essex Districts Table 45 Braintree residents who are self-employed 2004-2011 51

Table 46 Adult participation in sport 53 Tenure of Households in Braintree District, 2011 Census Table 47 54 data Number of households in Braintree District in 2001 and Table 48 55 2011 by tenure, according to the Census Dwelling stock by tenure 2011, Department for Table 49 55 Communities and Local Government data

Braintree District Council Local Development Framework Annual Monitoring Report 2012 Table 50 Dwelling stock change 2001-2011, Essex Districts 56 Increase in number of dwellings 2001-2011, Essex Figure 20 56 Districts Percentage increase in number of dwellings 2001-2011, Figure 21 57 Essex Districts East of England local planning authorities: Net housing Figure 22 58 supply 2001-2011 East of England districts: Variance of net housing supply Figure 23 59 2001-11 from housing provision in East of England Plan Table 51 Vacant dwellings Braintree District 2004-2012 60 Vacant and long term vacant dwellings Braintree District Figure 24 60 2005-2012 Table 52 Vacant dwellings, Essex Districts, 2011 61

Figure 25 Number of vacant dwellings 2012, Essex Districts 61 Vacant dwellings as % of total dwellings, Essex Districts Figure 26 62 2012 Figure 27 Long term vacant dwellings 2012, Essex Districts 62

Table 53 Listed Buildings, composition by category 64

Table 54 Number of Listed Buildings at risk 2004-2011 64

Table 55 Travel to Work, 2001 67 Distances travelled to work, Braintree District residents. Figure 28 67 2001 Commuter Flows in London and the Wider South East, Figure 29 68 Journey to Work Distances by District 1991 and 2001 Table 56 Implemented floorspace 2011/2012 71 Location of development within Braintree District, Table 57 72 2001/2012, by Use Class Location of development within Braintree District, Figure 29 72 2001/2012, by Use Class Table 58 Net retail floorspace development 2007-2012 73

Table 59 Net office floorspace development 2007-2012 73

Table 60 Net B1/B2/B8 floorspace development 2007-2012 73

Figure 30 Net floorspace developed 2007/2012 by year 73

Figure 31 Net floorspace developed 2007/2012 by floorspace type 74 Potential non-residential floorspace (with planning Table 61 74 permission) identified as at 31 st March 2012

Braintree District Council Local Development Framework Annual Monitoring Report 2012 Location of potential non-residential floorspace (with Table 62 75 planning permission) identified as at 31 st March 2012 Location of Potential Development (with planning Figure 32 76 permission) by Use Class Total remaining land identified for non-residential uses as Table 63 76 at 31 st March 2012 Braintree, Halstead and Witham town centres: Development Table 64 77 of 'town centre uses' floorspace (sq m) 2011/12 Braintree, Halstead and Witham town centres: Development Table 65 77 sites: Use Class A1 as at 31st March 2012 Braintree, Halstead and Witham town centres: Development Table 66 77 sites: Use Class A2 as at 31st March 2012 Braintree, Halstead and Witham town centres: Table 67 78 Development sites: Use Class B1a Braintree, Halstead and Witham town centres: Table 68 78 Development sites: Use Class D2 Vacant town centre retail units 2007-2012, Braintree, Table 69 78 Witham, Halstead and Coggeshall Vacant town centre retail units 2007-2012, Braintree, Figure 33 79 Witham, Halstead and Coggeshall Vacant town centre retail units 2001-2012, Braintree Table 70 80 Witham and Halstead Vacant town centre retail units 2001-2012, Braintree Figure 34 81 Witham and Halste Estimated employment Braintree District 2008, 2009, Table 71 83 2010, BRES ABI data on employees compared to Workforce Total Table 72 84 Jobs data, Braintree District Employment change 2003-08, Braintree compared to Table 73 84 Essex, East of England and England, from ABI data Employment change in Braintree District: Comparison Table 74 85 between data sources, from EERA Technical Report Forecast employment Braintree District according to the Table 75 85 Autumn 2010 East of England Model Baseline Forecasts East of England Model Baseline Forecasts Autumn 2010 Figure 35 86 compared with the Council’s Jobs Target Employment in the District 2001, 2008, 2009,2010: Table 76 87 comparison of data sources Figure 36 Net dwelling stock change 2001-2012 89 Braintree District housing provision: Summary of Table 77 94 progress, LDF Core Strategy and East of England Plan Table 78 Forecast supply over the 5-year supply period 2012-2017 94 The Managed Delivery Target over the 5-year supply Table 79 95 period Table 80 Projected dwelling completions 2012-2026 96 The Managed Delivery Target and the Local Table 81 98 Development Framework Core Strategy

Braintree District Council Local Development Framework Annual Monitoring Report 2012 Figure 37 The Managed Delivery Target 2001-2026 99 Monitoring and review of distribution of housing provision Table 82 101 in Table CS1 of the LDF Core Strategy Completions on previously developed land: performance Table 83 102 since 2001 Forecast housing supply 2011-26: forecast supply from Figure 38 104 previously developed sites, June 2010 definition Projected proportion of dwelling completions on Table 84 104 previously developed land 2011-2026 Table 85 Density of housing development 105

Table 86 Location: geography of dwelling completions 105

Table 87 Accessibility of dwelling completions 2011/2012 106 Number of gypsy and traveller caravans, Braintree Table 88 107 District, last five counts Braintree District Council Gypsy and Traveller and Table 89 108 Travelling Showperson Count as at January 2012 Table 90 Net affordable housing dwelling completions 2011/2012 109 Dwelling completions by dwelling type (number of Figure 39 111 bedrooms) 2011/2012 Dwelling completions by dwelling type (number of Table 91 111 bedrooms) 2011/2012 Number of planning permissions granted contrary to Table 92 112 Environment Agency advice Planning applications against which the Environment Table 93 112 Agency had objected on flood risk grounds, 2010/2011 Table 94 Sites of Special Scientific Interest 113

Table 95 Species and habitats requiring action in Braintree District 115

Table 96 Air quality: nitrogen dioxide monitoring 117 Summary of 2011/12 appeal decisions relating to Table 97 118 requirement for contribution under the Open Space SPD Table 98 Braintree District Council allotments 2009-2012 119 Number of Braintree District Council allotment plots and Figure 40 119 number of people on allotment waiting list, 2009-12

Braintree District Council Local Development Framework Annual Monitoring Report 2012 1

Introduction

Braintree District Council Local Development Framework Annual Monitoring Report 2012 2

1 Introduction

This is the eighth monitoring report for Braintree District. It monitors the period from 1st April 2011 to 31st March 2012.

Output indicators

Chapter 10 of the Braintree District Local Development Framework Core Strategy (adopted 19 th September 2011) sets out objectives and targets in the Core Strategy, together with the performance measures which will be monitored in order to assess whether targets and objectives are being achieved.

The local development framework and local development scheme

This year’s monitoring report has in the main, recorded progress against the policies contained in the Braintree District Local Development Framework Core Strategy.

The Local Development Scheme sets out the documents to be prepared and the timetable for their preparation. As the new local development documents are adopted they will formally replace the Local Plan Review. An updated Local Development Scheme was approved by the Council’s Local Development Framework Panel on 6 th April 2011

Appendix 1 sets out a schedule of saved local plan policies and those that have been superseded by Core Strategy policies. Draft Development Management Policies are being prepared as part of the Local Development Framework; these will replace the Review Local Plan policies.

Summary

The monitoring report aims to assess the following: • Progress in meeting policy targets and milestones in local development documents • Housing trajectories demonstrating how policies will deliver housing provision

Further information If you have any queries relating to this monitoring report, please contact the Planning Policy team on 01376 551414 extensions 2511 and 2577, or email [email protected]

General information about the Braintree District Local Development Framework can be found at http://www.braintree.gov.uk/info/200233/local_development_framework

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Figure 1: Map of Braintree District

Braintree District Council Local Development Framework Annual Monitoring Report 2012 4

Contextual Indicators:

Population Count, Density, and Change

Population Count and Broad Age Group

The population of the District as at April 2011 is shown in Table 1, below, which indicates the age structure by broad age group. Table 2 compares the age structure of the District with the county, regional and England averages. Braintree District has a higher proportion of the population in the age groups 0-4, 0-15, and 45-64 than the county, regional or national average. In the age group 16-44, the District had and a lower proportion than the regional and national average, and a slightly higher average than for Essex. For the over 65 age group, the District had a slightly higher proportion than the national average but a lower proportion than the average for Essex and for the region. The source of this information is the 2011 Census of Population, from the Census Office, National Statistics.

Table 1: Population of Braintree District March 2011 Number As proportion of total Total persons Braintree District 147,084 100% Males 72,137 49% Females 74,947 51% Persons aged 0 - 4 9,467 6.4% Persons aged 0 - 15 28,986 19.7% Persons aged 16 - 44 53,639 36.5% Persons aged 45 - 64 40,046 27.2% Persons aged 65 and over 24,413 16.6% Source: Office for National Statistics, 2011 Census of Population, Sept 2012

Table 2: Population age structure March 2011, Braintree District compared with Essex, East of England and England averages Braintree Essex East England Persons aged 0 - 4 6.4% 5.9% 6.2% 6.3% Persons aged 0 - 15 19.7% 18.7% 19.0% 18.9% Persons aged 16 - 44 36.5% 36.0% 37.4% 39.4% Persons aged 45 - 64 27.2% 27.1% 26.2% 25.4% Persons aged 65 and over 16.6% 18.3% 17.5% 16.3% Source: Office for National Statistics, 2011 Census of Population, Sept 2012

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Population Density

The density of population of the District in 2011 was 240 people per square kilometre, compared to 217 people per square kilometre in 2001 ( Source: 2011 Census ).

Population Distribution by Ward

The population of the District, and the number of dwellings by ward according to the 2011 Census is shown in Table 3, below.

Table 3: Population and number of dwellings by Ward, March 2011 Ward Population Dwellings Black Notley & Terling 4,054 1,592 Bocking Blackwater 8,183 3,215 Bocking North 4,728 1,968 Bocking South 5,796 2,462 Bradwell, Silver End & Rivenhall 5,112 2,048 Braintree Central 8,622 4,108 Braintree East 7,557 3,107 Braintree South 7,477 3,204 Bumpstead 2,558 1,048 Coggeshall & North Feering 5,201 2,309 Cressing & Stisted 2,311 999 Gosfield & Greenstead Green 2,465 1,078 Great Notley & Braintree West 7,451 2,676 Halstead St Andrews 7,014 3,238 Halstead Trinity 4,892 2,146 Hatfield Peverel 4,376 1,866 Hedingham & Maplestead 6,550 2,884 Kelvedon 5,148 2,159 Panfield 2,063 930 Rayne 2,299 914 Stour Valley North 2,166 993 Stour Valley South 2,180 966 The Three Colnes 5,241 2,214 Three Fields 3,967 1,729 Upper Colne 2,145 915 Witham Chipping Hill & Central 4,566 2,264 Witham North 4,809 2,033 Witham South 9,018 3,887 Witham West 6,960 2,900 Yeldham 2,175 852 Braintree District 147,770 62,704 Braintree Bocking & Gt Notley 49,814 20,740 Halstead 11,906 5,384 Witham 25,353 11,084 Source: Office of National Statistics, 2011 Census of Population

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Population change

The chart below illustrates population change in the District between 1951 and 2011, using data from the decennial Census. Previous Annual Monitoring Reports have included information from ONS on annual estimated population change and components of change (how much change is attributed to births and deaths, and how much is attributed to migration). This information has not been included in the 2012 Annual Monitoring Report because it is currently subject to revision by ONS in the light of the 2012 Census results. A back-series of population estimate data is expected to be published in 2013 and can be taken into account in the 2013 Annual Monitoring Report.

Figure 2: Braintree District Population Trend 1951 to 2011

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50000 1951 1961 1971 1981 1991 2001 2011

The number of births to mothers resident in Braintree District declined from 1,834 in 2010 to 1,758 in 2011, although this was still higher than in the 1980’s when the number of births in 2002 was 1,486.

Of the total of 1,758 births in 2011, 945 were to couples within marriage/civil partnership and 813 (46.2%) were outside marriage/civil partnership. Of the 813, 622 were joint registrations, same address; 128 were joint registrations, different address, and 63 were sole registrations.

The main direct factor in the level of population change in the District has been migration rather than natural change. The District generally experienced high levels of net in-migration in recent years and this has out-weighed the influence of natural change (births over deaths). According to information published to date by ONS, most of the migration has come from other parts of this country, rather than from international migration. Trends in the number of births in the District will have been influenced by migration of the age groups associated with higher birth rates.

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A revised set of population estimates for the years 2001-2010 is expected to be produced by ONS. It is expected that the estimates of migration over that period will be increased.

The current estimates of the main migration flows affecting Braintree District for the year mid-2010 to mid-2011 are shown in Table 4 below rounded to the nearest ten. These are subject to review against the 2011 Census results.

Table 4: Summary of the estimated main migration flows into and out of Braintree District mid-2010 to mid-2011 In Out Net migrants migrants migration Total 6,600 5,900 700 Chelmsford 940 570 370 Colchester 670 730 -60 Uttlesford 410 330 80 Maldon 360 250 110 Tendring 210 210 0 Babergh 200 380 -180 Basildon 160 80 80 Havering 150 70 80 Barking and Dagenham 130 40 90 Brentwood 110 50 60 Redbridge 110 30 80 Southend-on-Sea UA 100 70 30 St Edmundsbury 100 160 -60 Epping Forest 90 60 30 Harlow 90 40 50 East Hertfordshire 90 60 30 Waltham Forest 90 20 70 Thurrock UA 80 30 50 Newham 70 40 30 Tower Hamlets 60 30 30 Castle Point 50 30 20 Broxbourne 50 10 40 Ipswich 50 70 -20 Hackney 50 30 20 Suffolk Coastal 20 80 -60 Cambridge 30 50 -20 South Cambridgeshire 40 50 -10 Rochford 30 50 -20 Mid Suffolk 40 50 -10

Source: National Statistics, Internal migration by local authorities in England and Wales 2010-2011, published 25 September 2012, data rounded to nearest ten.

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Projected Population Change

The Office for National Statistics produce projections of future population change by age and sex over the next 25 years. However, these are only trend based projections, which means assumptions for future levels of births, deaths and migration are based on observed levels mainly over the previous five years; they show what the population would be if those trends continued. The ONS projections do not take into account the impact of policy, for example the scale and distribution of planned housing development, or the full impact of changes in the economy (the migration trends are still influenced by the period of economic buoyancy pre-2008, with the associated housing market boom focused particularly in the wider south east region). The ONS projections assume continued high net in migration into the District, whereas the housing allocations being made in Braintree District, in the framework of the recently adopted Core Strategy, would not support that scale of growth.

A set of policy-based demographic projections have been produced for Essex Planning Officers Association by Edge Analytics. The model includes a set of projections based on the 2010 based trajectory of housing development as published in the 2010 Annual Monitoring Report. Future work will review the model against the full results from the 2011 Census when available. Figure 3, below, illustrates the comparison between the population growth that is forecast if past migration trends were to continue (illustrated by the green line that represents a forecast based on the ONS 2010-based population projections); the growth that would be associated with nil net migration according to the EPOA model (illustrated by the red line that represents a migration level where in-migration is at the same level as out-migration); and the growth that would be associated with housing development as forecast in the 2010 Annual Monitoring Report (illustrated by the blue line).

Figure 3: Essex Planning Officers Association/Edge Analytics population projections for Braintree District to 2026

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4 5 6 7 10 11 12 13 026 20 20 20 20 201 201 201 201 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2

2010 AMR trajectory Nil net migration SNPP 2010 based

Braintree District Council Local Development Framework Annual Monitoring Report 2012 9

Health and Life Expectancy

The health of the population in Braintree is mixed compared with the England average. Although there have been slight fluctuations between years, it remains significantly worse than the England average in respect of road injuries and deaths, and the incidence of hip fracture in over 65’s.

Although obesity in Year 6 children (% school children in Year 6 (age 10-11) jumped from 7.0 to 13.7 between 2008/9 and 2009/10, this reflected changes to the England average and the current figure of 15.6% remains significantly better than the England average. The percentage of obese adults, however, is not significantly different from the England average. Over the last 10 years, all cause mortality rates have fallen. The early death rate from heart disease and stroke has fallen and is better than the England average.

There are health inequalities within the District; the Health Profile indicates that men in the most affluent parts of the District have an average life expectancy approximately 5.1 years greater than those in the more deprived areas (for women the difference is 3.5 years).

Source: Braintree Health Profile 2012, Department of Health

Sport England in the Local Sport Profiles data (2012) provides information on obesity levels for Braintree compared with the district’s Nearest Neighbours as defined by CIPFA. When obesity levels were compared with similar local authority areas for 2006/08 figures, the child obesity rate in Braintree was lower but the adult obesity rate was higher. This remains the case for the updated childhood figures shown in Table 5, below.

Table 5: Obesity levels, Braintree and CIPFA Nearest Neighbours compared

Childhood Geography Adult Obesity Rate Obesity Rate Braintree 26.7% 13.7% South Kesteven 23.7% 17.9% Ashford 26.1% 20.5% Newark and Sherwood 23.4% 15.7% Stroud 25.3% 14.7%

Source: Sport England Local Sports Profile, from Department of Health, Year: 2006- 2008 (adults) and 2009-2010 (children)

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Ethnicity

Table 6: Estimated Ethnic Group as a percentage of total resident population, Braintree District, March 2011 Ethnic group Braintree Region England White: British 93.2 85.3 79.8 White: Irish 0.7 1.0 1.0 White, Gypsy or Irish Traveller 0.1 0.1 0.1 Other White 2.6 4.5 4.6 Mixed/Multiple Ethnic Groups: White 0.4 0.6 0.8 and Black Caribbean Mixed/Multiple Ethnic Groups: White 0.2 0.3 0.3 and Black African Mixed/Multiple Ethnic Groups: White 0.4 0.6 0.6 and Asian Other Mixed/Multiple Ethic Groups 0.3 0.5 0.5 Asian/Asian British: Indian 0.4 1.5 2.6 Asian/Asian British: Pakistani 0.1 1.1 2.1 Asian/Asian British: Bangladeshi 0.1 0.6 0.8 Asian/Asian British: Chinese 0.2 0.6 0.7 Asian/Asian British: Other Asian 0.5 1.0 1.5 Black/African/Caribbean/Black 1.2 1.8 British: African 0.4 Black/African/Caribbean/Black 0.6 1.1 British: Caribbean 0.2 Black/African/Caribbean/Black 0.2 0.5 British: Other Black 0.1 Other Ethnic Group: Arab 0 0.2 0.4 Other Ethnic Group: Other 0.1 0.3 0.6 Source: National Statistics, 2011 Census, Key Statistics Table KS201EW

Country of Birth

Table7, below, sets out information from the 2011 Census on the number of people in the District by country of birth.

Table 7: Number of persons by country of birth, Braintree District England 135340 Northern Ireland 453 Scotland 1721 Wales 864 United Kingdom not Otherwise Specified 5 Ireland 908 Other EU; Member Countries in March 2001 1418 Other EU; Accession Countries April 2001-March 2011 2031 Other Countries 4344 Source: National Statistics, 2011 Census, Key Statistics Table KS204EW

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Religion

The number of residents by religious group at the time of the 2011 Census is shown in Table 8, below

Table 8: Number of residents of different religions, Braintree District, March 2011 Christian 90,114 Buddhist 355 Hindu 445 Jewish 199 Muslim 685 Sikh 93 Other Religion 583 No Religion 44,111 Religion Not Stated 10,499 Source: National Statistics, 2011 Census, Key Statistics Table KS209EW

Table 9, below, provides information on marital and civil partnership status, taken from the 2011 Census.

Table 9: Marital and Civil Partnership Status, March 2011 East of Braintree, Braintree England England number percent % % Single (Never Married or Never Registered a Same-Sex Civil 34,070 28.8 31.1 34.6 Partnership)

Married 60,907 51.6 49.9 46.6

In a Registered Same-Sex Civil 212 0.2 0.2 0.2 Partnership Separated (but Still Legally Married or Still Legally in a Same-Sex Civil 3,016 2.6 2.5 2.7 Partnership) Divorced or Formerly in a Same-Sex Civil Partnership which is Now Legally 11,653 9.9 9.2 9 Dissolved Widowed or Surviving Partner from a 8,240 7 7 6.9 Same-Sex Civil Partnership

Source: National Statistics, 2011 Census, Key Statistics Table KS103EW

Table 10 provides information on household composition in March 2011, taken from the 2011 Census.

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Table 10: Household composition, March 2011 Braintree Braintree Region England number % % %

All Households 61,043

One Person Household; Aged 65 7,224 11.8 12.7 12.4 and Over

One Person Household; Other 9,313 15.3 15.8 17.9

One Family Only; All Aged 65 and 5,326 8.7 9.4 8.1 Over One Family Only; Married or Same- Sex Civil Partnership Couple; No 9,046 14.8 13.5 12.3 Children One Family Only; Married or Same- Sex Civil Partnership Couple; 10,799 17.7 16.7 15.3 Dependent Children One Family Only; Married or Same- Sex Civil Partnership Couple; All 3,766 6.2 5.9 5.6 Children Non-Dependent One Family Only; Cohabiting 3,393 5.6 5.4 5.3 Couple; No Children One Family Only; Cohabiting 2,864 4.7 4.3 4 Couple; Dependent Children One Family Only; Cohabiting Couple; All Children Non- 310 0.5 0.5 0.5 Dependent One Family Only; Lone Parent; 4,038 6.6 6.2 7.1 Dependent Children One Family Only; Lone Parent; All 1,933 3.2 3.2 3.5 Children Non-Dependent Other Household Types; With 1,002 1.6 2.2 2.6 Dependent Children Other Household Types; All Full- 11 0 0.3 0.6 Time Students Other Household Types; All Aged 123 0.2 0.3 0.3 65 and Over

Other Household Types; Other 1,895 3.1 3.7 4.5

Source: National Statistics, 2011 Census, Key Statistics Table KS105EW

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Table 11 provides information on the change in household composition 2001- 2011, using information from the 2001 Census and the 2011 Census.

Table 11: Household composition Braintree District, 2001 - 2011 2011-11 change Household category 2001 2011 Number % change All Households 54330 61043 6713 12% One person: Pensioner 7088 7224 136 2% One person: Other 7355 9313 1958 27% One family and no others: All pensioners 4967 5326 359 7% One family and no others: Married couple or civil partnership households: No children 8551 9046 495 6% One family and no others: Married couple households: With dependent children 11254 10799 -455 -4% One family and no others: Married couple households: All children non-dependent 3563 3766 203 6% One family and no others: Cohabiting couple households: No children 2984 3393 409 14% One family and no others: Cohabiting couple households: With dependent children 1956 2864 908 46% One family and no others: Cohabiting couple households: All children non-dependent 213 310 97 46% One family and no others: Lone parent households: With dependent children 2856 4038 1182 41% One family and no others: Lone parent households: All children non- dependent 1407 1933 526 37% Other households: With dependent children 689 1002 313 45% Other households: All student 0 11 11 Other households: All pensioner 190 123 -67 -35% Other households: Other 1257 1895 638 51% Source: National Statistics, 2011 Census, Key Statistics Table KS105EW, 2001 Census Key Statistics Table KS20

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People, Places and Families

The population and dwelling stock by parish at 2011 is listed in Table 12, using information from the 2011 Census.

Table 12: Population and dwelling stock by parish, 2011

Small Area Name Dwellings Population Small Area Name Dwellings Population Alphamstone 94 200 Halstead 5,384 11,906 Ashen 142 323 Hatfield Peverel 1,866 4,376 Bardfield Saling 80 193 HelionsBumpstead 180 439 Belchamp Otten 73 164 Kelvedon 1,523 3,587 Belchamp St Paul 164 362 Lamarsh 86 187 Belchamp Walter 155 328 Little Maplestead 115 270 and Borley Birdbrook 157 397 Little Yeldham 128 331 Black Notley 938 2,478 Middleton 61 128 Ovington and Bradwell 218 509 90 205 Tilbury Juxta Clare Braintree& Bocking 18,569 43,751 Panfield 381 841 Bulmer 266 584 Pebmarsh 234 570 Bures Hamlet 341 749 Pentlow 92 227 Castle Hedingham 546 1,201 Rayne 914 2,299 Coggeshall 2,113 4,727 Ridgewell 225 509 Colne Engaine 394 1,008 Rivenhall 318 742 Cressing 738 1,612 Shalford 332 747 Earls Colne 1,616 3,699 Sible Hedingham 1,744 3,994 Fairstead and 116 290 Silver End 1,512 3,861 Faulkbourne Feering 832 2,035 Stambourne 169 409 Finchingfield 625 1,471 SteepleBumpstead 674 1627 Foxearth and Liston 153 296 Stisted 261 662 Gestingthorpe 181 421 Sturmer 194 492 Gosfield 643 1,362 Terling 314 764 Great Bardfield 556 1,227 Toppesfield 222 507 Great & Little Henny 79 191 Twinstead 71 155 Great Maplestead 154 343 Wethersfield 548 1,269 Great Notley 2,337 6,496 White Colne 204 540 Great Saling 137 282 White Notley 224 522 Great Yeldham 724 1,844 Wickham St Paul 144 321 Greenstead Green & 269 670 Witham 11,084 25,353 Halstead Rural Source: 2011 Census. Notes: Five parishes in the District were below the population size threshold for release of Census statistics, because of restrictions placed to protect confidentiality. These parishes were aggregated together with adjacent parishes; as a result the parish data given in the 2011 for the neighbouring parish is also affected, meaning that Census data is not available at parish level for 10 parishes in Braintree District. The parishes below the Census size threshold are Borley (which is included with Belchamp Walter); Faulkbourne (which is included with Fairstead); Liston (which is included with Foxearth); Little Henny (which is included with Great Henny); and Ovington (which is included with Tilbury Juxta Clare). Braintree and Bocking are unparished. The Council has calculated the figures for Braintree and Bocking by deducting the sum of the parishes from the District total. This is greater than the sum of the Braintree and Bocking Wards; for example High Garrett is within Gosfield and Greenstead Green Ward but not within either parish; and Great Notley and Braintree West Ward is larger than Great Notley parish.

Braintree District Council Local Development Framework Annual Monitoring Report 2012 15

Economy

Employment, Labour Supply, and Unemployment

Table 13, below, provides information on different categories of economic activity of persons resident in the District at the time of the Census in March 2011, and indicates the change in number in that category 2001-2011.

Table 13: Economic Activity Braintree District March 2011, and change 2001-2011: number of persons by category of economic activity Change March 2001- 2011 2011 All Usual Residents Aged 16 to 74 106718 11,892 Economically Active; Employee; Part-Time 15747 3,702 Economically Active; Employee; Full-Time 43859 1,583 Economically Active; Self-Employed 12410 2,413 Economically Active; Unemployed 4014 1,827 Economically Active; Full-Time Student 2685 765 Economically Inactive; Retired 15027 3,079 Economically Inactive; Student (Including Full-Time 3153 1,082 Students) Economically Inactive; Looking After Home or Family 4890 -1,951 Economically Inactive; Long-Term Sick or Disabled 3347 -204 Economically Inactive; Other 1586 -404 Unemployed; Age 16 to 24 1100 527 Unemployed; Age 50 to 74 857 429 Unemployed; Never Worked 424 323 Long-Term Unemployed 1663 1,159

Source: National Statistics, 2011 Census, Key Statistics Table KS601EW, 2001 Census Key Statistics Table KS09A

Table 14 sets out information from Nomis on labour supply in Braintree District compared with the averages for the East of England Region and Great Britain for the year 2011/2012.

Braintree District Council Local Development Framework Annual Monitoring Report 2012 16

Table 14: Labour Supply (April 2011 - March 2012) Braintree Braintree Eastern GB

(numbers) (%) (%) (%) All people Economically active 73,600 80.2 79.7 76.5 In employment 70,200 76.4 74.3 70.2 Employees 61,500 67.5 63.6 60.4 Self employed 8,100 8.6 10.2 9.4 Unemployed (model based) 4,700 6.2 6.7 8.1 Males Economically active 40,800 87.1 85.7 82.6 In employment 33,700 73.2 64.9 61.8 Employees 33,700 73.2 64.9 61.8 Self employed 4,800 9.8 14.4 13.2 Females Economically active 32,900 73.2 73.7 70.3 In employment 31,000 69.1 68.9 65.1 Employees 27,700 61.8 62.3 59.0 Self employed * * 6.1 5.6 * Data unavailable, sample size too small for reliable estimate Source: Nomis

The number of self-employed males fell from 8,600 to 6,600 during the previous monitoring period and the number of unemployed males rose from a sample size that was too small for a reliable estimate to 3,800. However, during the current monitoring period whilst the number of self-employed males dropped again, the number in employment rose and the number of unemployed males dropped below the level required for a reliable estimate. The number of economically active, in employment, and self-employed females all fell during the current monitoring period but the number of unemployed females remains below the reliable estimate level.

Table 15: Percentage unemployment April 2011-March 2012 Model Based Claimant count based

unemployment rate unemployment rate Braintree 6.2 2.8% East Region 6.7 3.0% UK 8.1 3.7%

Source: Nomis. Model based unemployed: Number and % of unemployed people aged 16- 59/64 expressed as % of the economically active population aged 16-59/64.

Braintree District Council Local Development Framework Annual Monitoring Report 2012 17

The unemployment rate in the District is below that of the East of England Region, and Great Britain as a whole. Table 16 and Figure 4, below, show the unemployment trend in Braintree District over the monitoring year.

Table 16: Unemployment trend 2011/2012 Braintree District

Claimant Claimant Date Date count count March 2011 2,668 October 2011 2,581 April 2011 2,581 November 2011 2,499 May 2011 2,537 December 2011 2,528 June 2011 2,516 January 2012 2,693 July 2011 2,588 February 2012 2,723 August 2011 2,612 March 2012 2,685 September 2011 2,595 April 2012 2,609

Source: Nomis

Figure 4: Claimant count unemployment, Braintree District, April 2011 to April 2012

2750

2700

2650

2600

2550

2500

2450

2400 Apr- May- Jun- Jul- Aug- Sep- Oct- Nov- Dec- Jan- Feb- Mar- Apr- 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 12 12 12 12

Source: Nomis The chart below, Figure 5, illustrates the longer term trend in unemployment in the District.

Braintree District Council Local Development Framework Annual Monitoring Report 2012 18

Figure 5: Claimant count unemployment, Braintree District, February 2001 to August 2012

3500

3000

2500

2000

1500

1000

500

0 Feb-01 Feb-02 Feb-03 Feb-04 Feb-05 Feb-06 Feb-07 Feb-08 Feb-09 Feb-10 Feb-11 Feb-12

Source: ONS Labour Market Statistics

The percentage of people claiming Job Seekers Allowance in the Braintree District is lower than the regional and national average, as it was between 1999 and 2008.

Table 17: Job Seekers Allowance Claimants April 2012

Braintree Braintree Eastern UK

(numbers) (%) (%) (%) All people 2,609 2.9 3.2 4.0 Males 1,649 3.6 4.2 5.3 Females 960 2.1 2.2 2.6

Source: Nomis

Braintree District Council Local Development Framework Annual Monitoring Report 2012 19

The trend in the rate (claimants as a percentage of residents aged 16-64) is shown for Braintree, the East of England Region, and Great Britain in Figure 6.

Figure 6: Model based unemployment rate, Braintree District, East of England Region and Great Britain, 2008 to 2012

9

8

7

6

5

4

3 July08 07/Jun 08 Oct07/Sep Jan08/Dec08 09 08/Mar Apr July09 08/Jun 09 Oct08/Sep Jan09/Dec09 10 09/Mar Apr July10 09/Jun 10 Oct09/Sep Jan10/Dec10 11 10/Mar Apr July11 10/Jun 11 Oct10/Sep Jan11/Dec11 12 11/Mar Apr July12 11/Jun April 07/Mar 08 07/Mar April

Braintree East Region Great Britain

Source: Nomis

Table 18: Unemployment claimant rate, Essex Districts, April 2012 (as % of working age residents) Districts (highest rate first) Unemployment rate Harlow 4. 7 Tendring 4. 2 Basildon 4.0 Castle Point 3.0 Epping Forest 2. 9 Braintree 2. 9 Colchester 2. 8 Chelmsford 2. 7 Maldon 2. 4 Rochford 2..3 Brentwood 2.1 Uttlesford 1.6 Source: Regional Labour Market Statistics, Office for National Statistics

Braintree District Council Local Development Framework Annual Monitoring Report 2012 20

The unemployment rate has increased in all of the Essex Districts except Uttlesford which remained the same.

Table 19 provides information on unfilled Jobcentre Plus vacancies in comparison with working age residents and Job Seekers Allowance Claimants as at August 2012. The Braintree number of unfilled vacancies, and unfilled vacancies per 10,000 population aged 16-64 increased from 526 and 57 respectively, the number of JSA Claimants per unfilled Jobcentre vacancy fell from 5.0. Essex, the East of England, and Great Britain also experienced an increase in the number of unfilled vacancies, and unfilled vacancies per 10,000 population aged 16-64, and a corresponding decrease in JSA Claimants per unfilled Jobcentre vacancy. The number of unfilled Jobcentre Plus Vacancies in Braintree District is the highest since March 2008.

Table 19: Vacancies and Jobseekers Allowance Claimants, August 2012 Unfilled vacancies per JSA Claimants per Unfilled Jobcentre 10,000 population aged unfilled Jobcentre Plus Vacancies 16-64 vacancy Braintree 1,039 114 2.4 Essex - 98 2.9 East of England - 99 3.1 Great Britain - 92 4.2 Source: Regional Labour Market Statistics, Office for National Statistics

Table 31 shows the trend in the number of JSA Claimants per unfilled Jobcentre vacancy for the five-year period 2008 to 2012.

Table 20: Trend in ratio JSA Claimants per unfilled vacancy, Braintree District, 2008-2012 Date Ratio January 2008 1.8 August 2008 1.9 January 2009 7.5 August 2009 7.6 January 2010 7.5 August 2010 4.8 January 2011 3.9 August 2011 5.0 January 2012 4.3 August 2012 2.4 Source: Regional Labour Market Statistics, Office for National Statistics

Braintree District Council Local Development Framework Annual Monitoring Report 2012 21

Unemployment: Age and Duration Analysis

Table 21 provides information from Nomis on claimant count unemployment by age and duration, for Braintree District compared with the region and Great Britain averages. The percentages shown are as a proportion of the resident population of the same age group. The data shown is as at April 2012, with April 2011 figures in brackets for comparison.

Table 21: Duration of unemployment by age group Total aged 16-64 Braintree Braintree East Great number % region % Britain % 2,610 2.9 3.2 4.0 Total unemployed (2,575) (2.8) (3.0) (3.7) 1,490 1.6 1.8 2.1 Unemployed up to 6 months (1,615) (1.8) (2.0) (2.5) 525 0.6 0.7 0.9 Unemployed over 6 and up to 12 months (455) (0.5) (0.5) (0.7) 590 0.6 0.7 0.9 Unemployed over 12 months (505) (0.6) (0.4) (0.5) Aged 18-24 Braintree Braintree East Great number % region % Britain % Total unemployed 725 7.0 6.7 7.8 (710) (6.8) (6.0) (7.1) Unemployed up to 6 months 470 4.5 4.3 4.8 (570) (5.4) (4.9) (5.7) Unemployed over 6 and up to 12 months 155 1.5 1.6 2.0 (100) (0.9) (0.9) (1.1) Unemployed over 12 months 100 0.9 0.8 1.0 (45) (0.4) (0.2) (0.2) Aged 25-49 Braintree Braintree East Great number % region % Britain % Total unemployed 1,370 1.5 1.7 2.1 (1,385) (2.8) (3.1) (3.9) Unemployed up to 6 months 740 1.5 1.7 2.1 (775) (1.6) (1.9) (2.5) Unemployed over 6 and up to 12 months 280 0.6 0.7 0.9 (280) (0.6) (0.6) (0.8) Unemployed over 12 months 345 0.7 0.8 1.1 (330) (0.7) (0.5) (0.7) Aged 50-64 Braintree Braintree East Great number % region % Britain % Total unemployed 505 1.8 1.9 2.2 (465) (1.6) (1.7) (2.0) Unemployed up to 6 months 270 1.0 1.0 1.1 (260) (0.9) (1.0) (1.2) Unemployed over 6 and up to 12 months 85 0.3 0.4 0.4 (75) (0.3) (0.3) (0.4) Unemployed over 12 months 145 0.5 0.6 0.7 (130) (0.5) (0.4) (0.4)

Source: Office for National Statistics, Nomis

Braintree District Council Local Development Framework Annual Monitoring Report 2012 22

Skills, Qualifications and Earnings

Table 22, below, compares the Early Years Foundation Stage (EYFS) Profile for children who live in Braintree District with the averages for the East of England and for England as a whole. The results are presented for the most recent published year, 2009/2010, with 2008/2009 results also included for comparison. An EYFS profile must be completed for every child during the academic year in which they reach their fifth birthday to assess development and learning achievements in: • personal, social and emotional development • communication, language and literacy • problem solving, reasoning and numeracy • knowledge and understanding of the world • physical development • creative development.

The figures show that unlike the previous period, and for the regional and national averages in 2010/2011, an improvement was only seen for Braintree in pupils achieving 78 or more points across all scales. The results for Braintree District continue to be lower than the regional and national averages.

Table 22: Early Years Foundation Stage Profile Results 2010/2011 Braintree England

Pupils achieving 6 or more points in each of the 7 50% 56% 59% scales

Pupils achieving 78 or more points across all scales 75% 78% 79%

Pupils achieving a good level of development 50% 56% 59%

2009/2010 Braintree EoE region England

Pupils achieving 6 or more points in each of the 7 50% 53% 56% scales

Pupils achieving 78 or more points across all scales 72% 77% 77%

Pupils achieving a good level of development 50% 53% 56%

2008/2009: Braintree EoE region England

Pupils achieving 6 or more points in each of the 7 45% 50% 52% scales

Pupils achieving 78 or more points across all scales 71% 75% 75%

Pupils achieving a good level of development 45% 50% 52%

Source: Office for National Statistics, Neighbourhood Statistics, information from Department of Education

Braintree District Council Local Development Framework Annual Monitoring Report 2012 23

Tables 23 compares educational attainment of pupils living in the District with the averages for the East of England Region and for England, at GCSE and equivalent stage.

Table 23: GCSE and Equivalent Results 2010/2011 Braintree Region England All Pupils at End of KS4 Achieving 5+ A* - C 73.9% 78% 80.5% All Pupils at the End of KS4 Achieving 5+ A* -G 95.6% 95% 95.2% All Pupils at the End of KS4 Achieving 5+ A* - C Including English and Mathematics 55.7% 59.1% 58.2% All Pupils at the End of KS4 Achieving 5+ A* - G Including English and Mathematics 94.7% 93.9% 93.9% All Pupils at End of KS4 Achieving the Basics 56.7% 59.7% 58.7% All Pupils at the End of KS4 Entering the English Baccalaureate 20.2% 23.9% 21.6% All pupils at the End of KS4 Achieving the English Baccalaureate 13.8% 16.8% 15.4% Average GCSE and Equivalent Point Score Per Pupil at the End of KS4 444.2 460.1 472.2 Average Capped GCSE and Equivalent Point Score Per Pupil at the End of KS4 328.7 336.1 338.8

Source: Office for National Statistics, information from Department of Education

Table 24 presents information on educational attainment of pupils at A/AS examination level or equivalent (Level 3) for pupils living in the Braintree District, compared with the regional and England averages. The results are presented for the most recent published year, 2010/2011, with 2009/2010 results also included for comparison.

Table 24: Educational attainment of pupils at A/AS examination level or equivalent (Level 3) for pupils living in the Braintree District 2008/2009 Braintree East England No. of 16-18 yr olds entered for Level 3 exams 900 Average QCDA Point Score per student 766.1 733.3 721.1 Students achieving 2+ passes of A level equivalent 96.2% 95.4% 94.7% 2009/2010: Braintree East England No. of 16-18 yr olds entered for Level 3 exams 934 Average QCDA Point Score per student 773.3 739.8 726.5 Students achieving 2+ passes of A level equivalent 95.3% 95.1% 94.4%

2010/2011: Braintree East England

No. of 16-18 yr olds entered for Level 3 exams 919 Average QCDA Point Score per student 761.7 739.9 728.3 Students achieving 2+ passes of A level equivalent 94.8% 94.6% 93.6% Source: Office for National Statistics, information from Department of Education

Braintree District Council Local Development Framework Annual Monitoring Report 2012 24

The 2011 Census indicated that the proportion of residents aged 16 and over with no qualifications was 22.8% in Braintree District compared with an average of 22.5% for the region and for England. Although the proportion with no qualifications is higher in Braintree District, the position has improved since the 2001 Census when the percentage of residents aged 16-74 with no qualifications was 28%.

Table 25, below, shows the proportion of residents at all skill levels as shown in the ONS Annual Population Survey 2011 (2010 figures in brackets for comparison).

Table 25: Qualifications of residents aged 16-64: ONS Annual Population Survey January 2011-December 2011 East Region Great Britain Braintree no. Braintree % % % 21,800 23.8 29.2 32.9 NVQ4 and above (18,600) (20.4) (28.5) (31.3) 43,000 47.0 49.9 52.7 NVQ3 and above (37,900) (41.6) (48.2) (51.0) 60,400 66.1 68.5 69.7 NVQ2 and above (52,900) (58.0) (65.8) (67.3) 80,300 87.9 83.8 82.7 NVQ1 and above (72,200) (79.2) (81.4) (80.2) 4,500 4.9 6.6 6.7 Other qualifications (7,600) (8.3) (8.2) (8.5) 6,600 7.2 9.6 10.6 No qualifications (11,300) (12.4) (10.4) (11.3)

Source: Nomis, ONS Annual Population Survey

There is a need for caution in using the Annual Population Survey data because of the relatively small sample size at district level. Nonetheless, the results indicate an improving position with regard to the proportion of the population qualified to NVQ Level 2 and above.

The District continues to have a relatively low proportion of residents of working age population who are highly qualified. Table 26 compares the results from the Annual Population Surveys of 2004 to 2011.

Braintree District Council Local Development Framework Annual Monitoring Report 2012 25

Table 26: Residents aged 16-64, with qualifications at level NVQ4 and above 2004-2011 Year Braintree no. Braintree % East region % Great Britain % 2004 20,400 23.8 25.0 26.1 2005 20,900 24.1 25.0 26.5 2006 16,100 18.5 24.8 27.4 2007 20,200 23.3 25.9 28.5 2008 20,700 22.6 25.6 28.6 2009 17,400 19.5 27.3 29.9 2010 18,600 20.4 28.5 31.3 2011 21,800 23.8 29.2 32.9

Source Nomis, ONS Annual Population Survey

The 2011 Census has confirmed this, in that according to the 2011 Census results, the proportion of all residents aged 16 or over who had achieved Level 4 or higher qualifications was as follows:

• Braintree 22.2% • East of England Region 25.7% • England 27.4%

(Source: 2011 Census, March 2011: Key Statistics Table KS 501EW)

Braintree District Council Local Development Framework Annual Monitoring Report 2012 26

School places in Braintree District

Table 27 shows the trend in the number of pupils in schools in Braintree over the period 2007 to 2012, together with a forecast for the year 2017.

Table 27: The number of pupils in Braintree District schools

Year Primary Secondary 2007 11,376 7,874 2008 11,375 7,798 2009 11,287 7,819 2010 11,263 7,980 2011 11,318 8,015 2012 11,504 7,977 2017 forecast 12,235 7,859

Source: Essex County Council, Commissioning School Places in Essex 2012-2017

Essex County Council produces forecasts of future demand and supply of school places within the district, taking into account demographic and housing development information. The current forecasts are set out in Commissioning School Places in Essex 2012-2017, available via the Essex County Council website on http://www.essex.gov.uk/Education-Schools/Schools/Delivering- Education-Essex/School-Organisation-Planning/Pages/Essex-School- Organisation-Plan.aspx .The forecasts are kept under review by the County Council. Braintree District Council seeks developer contributions to provision of additional school places needed to support new housing development, through the negotiation of Section 106 Agreements.

Primary schools:

Table 28 sets out information on demand and supply of places in each of the primary schools in Braintree District in 2012, including information on places in temporary classrooms. The information is taken from Commissioning School Places 2012-2017 (Essex County Council, 2012).

Note: P denotes Primary; J denotes Junior; I denotes Infants; N denotes Nursery.

Braintree District Council Local Development Framework Annual Monitoring Report 2012 27

Table 28: Primary School Places in Braintree District Schools 2012 Temporary places Surplus/ Net incl. in Temporary Number deficit Surplus/ Schools in Braintree, capacity capacity places as % of pupils 2012: deficit Bocking & Great Notley 2012 2012 of total 2012 number 2012: % Beckers Green P 364 4 1% 308 56 15% Bocking Church Street P 193 0 0% 206 -13 -7% Great Bradfords I & N 270 0 0% 264 6 2% Great Bradfords J 351 0 0% 350 1 0% John Bunyan I & N 210 0 0% 195 15 7% John Bunyan J 300 0 0% 195 105 35% John Ray I 270 0 0% 268 2 1% John Ray J 383 0 0% 353 30 8% Lyons Hall P 432 12 3% 446 -14 -3% Notley Green P Gt Notley 420 60 14% 398 22 5% St Francis Catholic P 210 0 0% 211 -1 0% St Michaels CofE P 404 30 7% 416 -12 -3% White Court Gt Notley 567 176 31% 579 -12 -2%

Temporary Surplus/ Net places incl. Temporary No. of deficit Surplus/ capacity in capacity places as pupils 2012: deficit Schools in Witham 2012 2012 % of total 2012 number 2012: % Chipping Hill P 210 0 0% 155 55 26% Elm Hall P 105 0 0% 105 0 0% Holy Family RC P 210 0 0% 206 4 2% Howbridge CofE J 384 0 0% 357 27 7% Howbridge I 270 0 0% 258 12 4% Powers Hall I 210 0 0% 216 -6 -3% Powers Hall J 320 0 0% 237 83 26% Templars P & N 420 0 0% 310 110 26%

Temporary Surplus/ Net places incl. in Temporary No. of deficit Surplus/ capacity capacity places as pupils 2012: deficit Schools in Halstead 2012 2012 % of total 2012 number 2012: % Holy Trinity CofE P 210 0 0% 231 -21 -10% Richard de Clare P 420 70 17% 414 6 1% St Andrews CofE P 245 0 0% 241 4 2%

Braintree District Council Local Development Framework Annual Monitoring Report 2012 28

Temporary Number Surplus/ Net places incl. Temporary of deficit Surplus/ capacity in capacity places as pupils 2012: deficit Rural Schools 2012 2012 % of total 2012 number 2012: % Feering CofE P 174 0 0% 166 8 5% Kelvedon St Marys CofE P 406 58 14% 397 9 2% Rivenhall CofE P 119 0 0% 93 26 22% St Peters CofE P Coggeshall 315 3 1% 333 -18 -6% de Vere P Hedingham 140 0 0% 122 18 13% St Giles CofE P Hedingham 90 0 0% 72 18 20% St Peters CofE P Sible Hedingham 210 0 0% 203 7 3% Finchingfield CofE P 70 0 0% 49 21 30% Great Bardfield P 168 80 48% 126 42 25% Wethersfield CofE P 84 0 0% 73 11 13% Gosfield P 157 10 6% 140 17 11% Rayne P & N 259 0 0% 260 -1 0% Shalford P 105 0 0% 88 17 16% Stisted CofE P 105 15 14% 99 6 6% White Notley CofE P 105 0 0% 104 1 1% Colne Engaine CofE P 112 0 0% 107 5 4% Earls Colne P & N 409 60 15% 294 115 28% Belchamp St Paul CofE P 84 0 0% 74 10 12% Bulmer St Andrews CofE P 120 0 0% 67 53 44% Ridgewell CofE P 105 0 0% 75 30 29% St Andrews CofE P Gt Yeldham 140 0 0% 128 12 9% St John The Baptist CofE P Pebmarsh 77 0 0% 72 5 6% St Margarets CofE P Toppesfield 98 29 30% 70 28 29% Stanley Drapkin P Steeple Bumpstead 210 0 0% 197 13 6% Cressing P 151 0 0% 144 7 5% Silver End P 315 0 0% 277 38 12% Hatfield Peverel I 180 0 0% 166 14 8% Hatfield Peverel St Andrews J 240 0 0% 216 24 10% Terling CofE P 105 0 0% 103 2 2%

Source: Essex County Council, Commissioning School Places in Essex 2012-2017

Table 29 sets out information on forecast pupil numbers and places in primary schools in the District as at 2017. The information is taken from Commissioning School Places 2012-2017 (Essex County Council, 2012), and provides information on the forecast impact of housing development.

Braintree District Council Local Development Framework Annual Monitoring Report 2012 29

Table 29: 2017 Forecast: Primary School Places Forecast surplus/ deficit No. of Forecast pupils 2017 May 2017: pupils Excluding Including added to Forecast ECC ECC forecasts net adjustment adjustment to allow Braintree, Bocking and capacity for new for new for new Great Notley Schools 2017 housing housing housing number % Beckers Green Primary 364 364 364 0 0 0% Bocking Church Street Primary 193 205 209 4 -16 -8% Great Bradfords Infant & Nursery 270 270 270 0 0 0% Great Bradfords Junior 351 356 356 0 -5 -1% John Bunyan Infant & Nursery 243 270 274 4 -31 -13% John Bunyan Junior 300 303 309 6 -9 -3% John Ray Infant 270 305 331 26 -61 -23% John Ray Junior 383 387 422 35 -39 -10% Lyons Hall Primary 420 420 424 4 -4 -1% Notley Green Primary Great Notley 420 385 385 0 35 8% St Francis Catholic Primary 210 210 210 0 0 0% St Michaels CofE Primary 404 419 421 2 -17 -4% White Court Great Notley 567 578 578 0 -11 -2%

Forecast Pupils surplus/ deficit Forecast pupils 2017 added to May 2017: Forecast Excl ECC Incl ECC forecasts net adjustment adjustment to allow capacity for new for new for new Witham Schools 2017 housing housing housing number % Chipping Hill Primary 210 212 242 30 -32 -15% Elm Hall Primary 105 166 166 0 -61 -58% Holy Family RC Primary 210 210 210 0 0 0% Howbridge CofE Junior 384 349 357 8 27 7% Howbridge Infant 270 270 276 6 -6 -2% Powers Hall Infant 225 270 270 0 -45 -20% Powers Hall Junior 320 321 321 0 -1 0% Templars Primary & Nursery 420 416 416 0 4 1%

Pupils Forecast surplus/ Forecast pupils 2017 added to deficit May 2017: Forecast Excl ECC Incl ECC forecasts net adjustment adjustment to allow capacity for new for new for new Halstead Schools 2017 housing housing housing number %

Holy Trinity CofE Primary 210 265 265 0 -55 -26% Richard de Clare Primary 420 435 440 5 -20 -5% St Andrews CofE Primary 245 238 248 10 -3 -1%

Braintree District Council Local Development Framework Annual Monitoring Report 2012 30

Forecast surplus/ deficit No. of Forecast pupils 2016 May 2016: pupils added to Forecast Excl ECC Incl ECC forecasts net adjustment adjustment to allow capacity for new for new for new Rural Schools 2016 housing housing housing number % Feering CofE P 174 171 171 0 3 2% Kelvedon St Marys CofE P 406 391 391 0 15 4% Rivenhall CofE P 119 115 115 0 4 3% St Peters CofE P Coggeshall 315 335 335 0 -20 -6% de Vere Hedingham 140 116 116 0 24 17% St Giles CofE P Hedingham 90 84 84 0 6 7% St Peters CofE P Sible Hedingham 210 205 222 17 -12 -6% Finchingfield CofE P 70 57 57 0 13 19% Great Bardfield P 168 112 114 2 54 32% Wethersfield CofE P 84 83 83 0 1 1% Gosfield P 157 133 133 0 24 15% Rayne P & N 259 264 268 4 -9 -3% Shalford P 105 79 79 0 26 25% Stisted CofE P 105 104 104 0 1 1% White Notley CofE P 105 105 105 0 0 0% Colne Engaine CofE P 112 110 110 0 2 2% Earls Colne P & N 409 272 272 0 137 33% Belchamp St Paul CofE P 84 73 73 0 11 13% Bulmer St Andrews CofE P 140 47 47 0 93 66% Ridgewell CofE P 105 74 74 0 31 30% St Andrews CofE P Great Yeldham 140 127 127 0 13 9% St John The Baptist CofE P Pebmarsh 77 54 54 0 23 30% St Margarets CofE P Toppesfield 98 69 69 0 29 30% Stanley Drapkin P Steeple Bumpstead 210 175 175 0 35 17% Cressing P 151 150 153 3 -2 -1% Silver End P 315 334 334 0 -19 -6% Hatfield Peverel I 180 180 180 0 0 0% Hatfield Peverel St Andrews J 240 228 228 0 12 5% Terling CofE P 105 106 106 0 -1 -1% Other New Housing Potential Pupils 0 0 92 92

Source: Essex County Council, Commissioning School Places in Essex 2012-2017

Braintree District Council Local Development Framework Annual Monitoring Report 2012 31

Overall, the Essex County Council forecasts show a deficit of 438 primary places in the Braintree District by 2017.

The forecasts indicate an increase in demand for places across Braintree town. In 2011/2012 this was managed by using temporary capacity and by five schools admitting over their published admission number within existing capacity. The current ECC forecasts show deficits of 158 primary school places in the Braintree town area as a whole in 2017. Additional permanent provision is planned for John Bunyan school from 2012 and plans are being developed with the Braintree schools to accommodate further growth from 2013. There are plans to provide permanent accommodation in lieu of relocatable accommodation in the future, but there are discussions ongoing between Essex County Council and Braintree schools to agree a temporary solution for further reception places in 2014.

The Essex CC forecasts for neighbouring Cressing and Silver End schools indicate sustained growth; a local arrangement with schools is proposed to accommodate additional reception children in 2013, and permanent solutions are planned to be developed with local and surrounding schools to accommodate growth from 2015 (although this will need to take into account capacity problems in Braintree ).

In Witham, the Essex CC forecasts predict a shortfall of 100 places in the town, but this does not take into account the County Council proposal to expand Elm Hall primary school from 105 to 210 places (the proposal is the subject of a current planning application).

In Halstead, the current overall deficit of 11 places is forecast to increase to a deficit of 78 places by 2017. The County Council proposes to monitor this, and if need be to discuss a way forward with local schools

The following primary schools had a deficit of places in 2012: • Bocking Church Street Primary • Lyons Hall Primary Braintree • St Francis Catholic Primary Braintree • St Michaels Primary Braintree; • White Court Primary Great Notley • Powers Hall Infants, Witham • Holy Trinity Primary, Halstead • St Peters Primary, Coggeshall • St Peters Primary, Sible Hedingham, and • Rayne Primary.

The Essex County Council forecasts show a deficit of places at the following schools by 2017: • Bocking Church Street • Great Bradfords Junior, Braintree • John Bunyan Infant and Nursery Braintree • John Bunyan Junior Braintree • John Ray Infant Braintree • John Ray Junior Braintree;

Braintree District Council Local Development Framework Annual Monitoring Report 2012 32

• Lyons Hall Primary Braintree • St Michaels Primary Braintree • White Court Primary Great Notley • Chipping Hill Primary Witham • Elm Hall Primary Witham • Howbridge Infants Witham • Powers Hall Infants Witham • Holy Trinity Primary Halstead • Richard de Clare Halstead • St Andrews Primary Halstead • St Peters Primary Coggeshall • St Peters Primary Sible Hedingham • Rayne Primary and Nursery • Cressing Primary • Silver End Primary; and • Terling Primary.

In addition, there is a forecast future demand of 92 primary places by 2017 not yet attributed to a particular school in the admissions planning system.

Secondary Schools

The level of demand for places in Year 7 across the three schools in Braintree town is forecast to reduce slightly from 2012. Year 7 intakes at the Witham Academies have reduced and are not forecast to increase again until 2015/16 at the earliest; the level of surplus places in Witham is expected to increase over the next five years. The number of surplus places in the District is forecast to increase slightly but the potential for new housing in some areas may reduce this to a degree. Table 30 lists the number of pupils and places by school as at January 2012.

Table 30: Secondary School Places in Braintree District Schools Jan 2012 Pupils Pupils Surplus/ deficit of Net Total Braintree Schools Years 6th places capacity pupils 7-11 Form Number % Alec Hunter Humanities 1098 1062 0 1062 36 3% College Braintree Notley High School & 1500 1232 232 1464 36 2% Braintree 6th Form Braintree Tabor Science College 1050 1045 0 1045 5 0% Braintree Maltings Academy 1100 755 204 959 141 13%

New Rickstones Academy 1100 580 107 687 413 38% Hedingham School and 6th 1164 951 166 1117 47 4% Form The Honywood Community 1050 1033 0 1033 17 2% Science School Coggeshall The Ramsey College 847 610 0 610 237 28% Halstead Source: ECC, Commissioning School places 2012-2017

Braintree District Council Local Development Framework Annual Monitoring Report 2012 33

Table 31 sets out the forecasts for secondary school places in the District in January 2017 by school.

Table 31: Secondary School Places in Braintree District Schools Jan 2017 Excluding new Including new housing Surplus/ deficit housing factor factor incl. new Additional housing factor: Total pupil Net pupils Braintree Schools Pupils in Pupils taking capacity forecast Years 6th account of from new No. % 7-11 Form new housing housing factor Alec Hunter Humanities 1143 1101 0 1105 4 38 3% College Braintree Notley High School & 1500 1200 225 1464 39 36 2% Braintree 6th Form Braintree Tabor Science College 1050 987 0 996 9 54 5% Braintree

Maltings Academy 1100 864 190 1077 23 23 2%

New Rickstones Academy 1100 471 65 536 0 564 51%

Hedingham School & 6th 1164 874 179 1062 9 102 9% Form The Honywood Community 1050 1050 0 1051 1 -1 0% Science School Coggeshall The Ramsey College 847 507 0 515 8 332 39% Halstead Other New Housing 53 53 Potential Pupils Braintree District Total 8954 7054 659 7859 146 1095 12% Source: ECC, Commissioning School places 2012-2017

Braintree District Council Local Development Framework Annual Monitoring Report 2012 34

Business Floorspace

The Government Valuation Office has published a new experimental statistical release which provides a time series of statistics on the floorspace and rateable value of a range of classes of property liable for business rates. Statistics are available as 31st March each year from 2000 to 2012. These statistics are labeled as Experimental. "Experimental” statistics are new official statistics that are undergoing evaluation. The estimates of numbers of hereditaments, total rateable values, total floorspace and average RV per metre squared are derived from the Valuation Office Agencys administrative database on 31st March 2012.

A hereditament is a property on which rates may be charged and is the unit to which the VOA assigns rateable value. In general hereditaments are buildings or premises within buildings, appropriate or used for single occupation. Hereditaments can be occupied or vacant.

The rateable value of property is the value at which a property might be expected to be let for one year. It is based on a range of factors including use, location and age, but a major determinant of rental value is the size (total floorspace) of the property.

For many of the more common types of commercial properties, the VOA measures the floorspace of the property as part of the detailed internal surveys that it undertakes to assess rateable values. Validation and processing steps are undertaken on the data, for instance imputing for floorspace where it is missing and assigning categories.

In the past, the VOA has provided data to Department for Communities and Local Government (DCLG) to compile Commercial and Industrial Floorspace statistics, though final publication of this release was in March 2009. These data were of use to local authority planners and policy makers, the property profession and others requiring information on commercial and industrial stock. The statistics presented in this release are not directly comparable with the Commercial and Industrial Floorspace statistical series - for several reasons :

• Historic figures in this release (for example statistics representing the Rating Lists as at the 1st April 2000) are compiled using the latest data available (extracted 31st March 2012) and this will include backdated assessments or other amendments not reflected in earlier statistical series. • The methodology for processing the floorspace data extracted from the VOAs various administrative sources is in development. One of the reasons that CLG discontinued the series is that they were time- consuming and expensive to produce. The VOA is exploring a simplified methodology, while striving to maintain and improve the accuracy and validity of these data.

Braintree District Council Local Development Framework Annual Monitoring Report 2012 35

• New classifications have been designed with regard to user needs and to reflect data quality and operational operational practises in collecting and recording floorspace data.

The business floorspace in Braintree District as at 31 March 2012, as shown in the VOA Experimental Statistics, is shown in Table 32 below.

Table 32: Business floorspace Braintree District March 2012 Business type Floorspace Industrial 903,000 sq m Office 117,000 sq m Retail 217,000 sq m Other Business 89,000 sq m Source: VOA Business Floorspace Experimental Statistics, 2012

The change in floorspace by business category, according to the VOA data, since the base date of the Core Strategy in 2009 is shown in the table below.

Table 33: Business floorspace Braintree District 2009-2012 (‘000 sq m) Business type 2009 2010 2011 2012 Industrial 925 903 900 903 Office 115 119 119 117 Retail 214 213 217 217 Other Business 88 91 91 89 Source: VOA Business Floorspace Experimental Statistics, 2012

The change in business floorspace in the District since 2000 is shown in the charts below, using data from the VOA Business Floorspace Experimental Statistics, 2012.

Figure 7: Change in office floorspace Braintree District 2000-2012

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Braintree District Council Local Development Framework Annual Monitoring Report 2012 36

Figure 8: Change in industrial floorspace Braintree District 2000-12, ‘000 sq m

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Figure 9: Change in retail floorspace Braintree District 2000-2012, ‘000 sq m

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Braintree District Council Local Development Framework Annual Monitoring Report 2012 37

Figure 10 Change in other business floorspace Braintree District 2000-12 ‘000 sq m

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The change in the number of business premises, or hereditaments, in the District is illustrated below.

Table 34: Number of Business Hereditaments Braintree District March 2012 Business type Number of hereditaments Industrial 1570 Office 620 Retail 1080 Other Business 410

Source: VOA Business Floorspace Experimental Statistics, 2012

The change in the number of business hereditaments in the District since 2000 is shown in the charts below, using data from the VOA Business Floorspace Experimental Statistics, 2012.

Braintree District Council Local Development Framework Annual Monitoring Report 2012 38

Figure 11: Change in the number of retail hereditaments 2000-2012

Number of Retail Hereditaments

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1100

1090

1080

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1040 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Figure 12: Change in the number of office hereditaments 2000-2012

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Figure 13: Change in the number of industrial hereditaments 2000-2012

1,600 1,580 1,560 1,540 1,520 1,500 1,480 1,460 1,440 1,420 1,400 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Braintree District Council Local Development Framework Annual Monitoring Report 2012 39

Figure 14: Change in the number of other business hereditaments 2000- 2012

430 420 410 400 390 380 370 360 350 340 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Source: VOA Business Floorspace Experimental Statistics, 2012

The change in rateable value per square metre by type of business use in Braintree District 200-2012 is illustrated in the chart, Figure 15, below, using the VOA Experimental statistics.

Figure 15: Change in rateable value per sq m, Braintree District, 2000 - 2012

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20 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Industrial Offices Retail Other Business

Source: VOA Business Floorspace Experimental Statistics, 2012

Braintree District Council Local Development Framework Annual Monitoring Report 2012 40

Employment and Jobs

Job density

‘Job density’ is the term given to represent the number of jobs available for a single person of working age over a given area. For example, a job density of 1 would represent the fact that there is a single job available for every person of working age.

Table 35: Job Density (2010) Braintree Eastern GB Job Density 0.60 0.75 0.77 Source: Office for National Statistics, Nomis.

The job density figures represent the ratio of total jobs to working-age population. “Total jobs” includes employees, self-employed, government- supported trainees and HM Forces. The latest available figure from the Office for National Statistics is as at 2010. Job Density within the District remained below the regional and national average and had deteriorated to the lowest point over the period 2001-2010. When compared with other districts in the East of England, Braintree was joint 42 nd (with Fenland District) out of 48 in terms of jobs density in 2010. Table 36 shows the reported job density for Braintree District over the period 2001 to 2010.

Table 36: Job density, Braintree District Year Reported Jobs Density 2001 0.64 2002 0.71 2003 0.70 2004 0.67 2005 0.67 2006 0.66 2007 0.70 2008 0.64 2009 0.65 2010 0.60 Source: Nomis, ONS Jobs Density.

Table 37 compares jobs density in Braintree District 2010 with that in other Essex Districts, and with the other neighbouring Districts. The arrows indicate a rise or fall in job density since 2009. This data is based on sample surveys. More robust data will be available from the 2011 Census in due course.

Braintree District Council Local Development Framework Annual Monitoring Report 2012 41

Table 37: Job density 2010, Essex Districts and other neighbouring districts District Jobs density District Jobs density Basildon 0.73 ↓ Maldon 0.62 ↑ Braintree 0.60 ↓↓↓ Rochford 0.50 ↑ Brentwood 0.75 ↓ Tendring 0.55 ↑ Castle Point 0.47 - Uttlesford 0.83 ↓ Chelmsford 0.84 ↑ Babergh 0.69 ↑ Colchester 0.72 ↓ East Hertfordshire 0.70 ↓ Epping Forest 0.65 ↓ S Cambridgeshire 0.87 ↑ Harlow 0.79 ↓ St Edmundsbury 0.97 ↑ Source: Nomis, ONS jobs density

The proportion of employees in full time employment has decreased in recent years, and part time employment has increased. Table 51 compares information on economic activity in Braintree District, the East of England Region, and England, using information from the 2011 Census. Table 52 provides information on change in the number of people by economic activity category in Braintree District between 2001 and 2011.

Table 38: Economic activity: percentage of population aged 16-74 by economic activity category Braintree Region England Economically Active Employee Part-Time 14.8 14.3 13.7 Economically Active Employee Full-Time 41.1 40 38.6 Economically Active; Self-Employed 11.6 10.5 9.8 Economically Active; Unemployed 3.8 3.8 4.4 Economically Active; Full-Time Student 2.5 3 3.4 Economically Inactive; Retired 14.1 14.4 13.7 Economically Inactive; Student (Including 3 4.6 5.8 Full-Time Students) Economically Inactive; Looking After 4.6 4.5 4.4 Home or Family Economically Inactive; Long-Term Sick or 3.1 3.1 4 Disabled Economically Inactive; Other 1.5 1.8 2.2 Unemployed; Age 16 to 24 1 1.1 1.2 Unemployed; Age 50 to 74 0.8 0.8 0.8 Unemployed; Never Worked 0.4 0.5 0.7 Long-Term Unemployed 1.6 1.5 1.7

Source: National Statistics; 2011 Census, Key Statistics Table KS601EW

Braintree District Council Local Development Framework Annual Monitoring Report 2012 42

Table 39 provides information on change in the proportion of people by economic activity category in Braintree District between 2001 and 2011.

Table 39: Economic activity Braintree District, 2011 compared with 2001, proportion of persons aged 16-74 by economic category Change 2001 2011 2001-11

Economically Active; Employee; Part-Time 12.7 14.8 2.1

Economically Active; Employee; Full-Time 44.6 41.1 -3.5 Economically Active; Self-Employed 10.5 11.6 1.1 Economically Active; Unemployed 2.3 3.8 1.5 Economically Active; Full-Time Student 2.0 2.5 0.5 Economically Inactive; Retired 12.6 14.1 1.5 Economically Inactive Student, incl Full-Time Students 2.2 3.0 0.8 Economically Inactive Looking After Home or Family 7.2 4.6 -2.6 Economically Inactive; Long-Term Sick or Disabled 3.7 3.1 -0.6 Economically Inactive; Other 2.1 1.5 -0.6 Unemployed; Age 16 to 24 26.2 1.0 -25.2 Unemployed; Age 50 to 74 19.6 0.8 -18.8 Unemployed; Never Worked 4.6 0.4 -4.2 Long-Term Unemployed 23.1 1.6 -21.5

Source: National Statistics; 2011 Census, Key Statistics Table KS601EW, and 2001 Census Key Statistics Table KS09A

According to the information on long term unemployment in the 2011 Census, compared with other Essex Districts Braintree has the fourth highest level of long term unemployment both as a number and as a percentage of people aged 16-74.

Compared with other districts in the East of England Region, out of 47, Braintree is the 13 th highest in terms of the number of long term unemployed and the joint 15 th highest in terms of long term unemployed as a percentage of persons aged 16-74. The number of self employed persons is the seventh highest in the region.

The 2011 Census results have confirmed that, as at 2011, Braintree continued to have a higher than average proportion of residents working in Manufacturing and in Construction.

The results for Braintree District, and a comparison with the East of England region and with England, are shown in Table 40 below.

Braintree District Council Local Development Framework Annual Monitoring Report 2012 43

Table 40: Industry of employment of residents, March 2011 Braintree Braintree Eastern England

number (%) (%) (%) All usual residents aged 16-74 in 74,200 - employment Employee jobs by industry Agriculture, Forestry & Fishing 755 1.0 1.1 0.8 Mining & Quarrying 46 0.1 0.1 0.2 Manufacturing 7,442 10.0 8.7 8.8 Electricity, Gas, Steam & Air Conditioning 185 0.2 0.4 0.6 Supply Water Supply, Sewerage, Waste 600 0.8 0.7 0.7 Management & Remediation Activities Construction 7,828 10.5 8.6 7.7 Wholesale & Retail Trade; Repair of Motor 12,125 16.3 16.4 15.9 Vehicles & Motor Cycles Transport & Storage 4,422 6.0 5.3 5.0 Accommodation & Food Service Activities 2,896 3.9 4.7 5.6 Information & Communication 2,268 3.1 3.9 4.1 Financial & Insurance Activities 4,263 5.7 5.0 4.4 Real Estate Activities 1,102 1.5 1.4 1.5 Professional, Scientific & Technical 4,625 6.2 6.8 6.7 Activities Administrative & Support Service Activities 3,457 4.7 4.8 4.9 Public Administration & Defence, 4,181 5.6 5.6 5.9 Compulsory Social Security Education 6,581 8.9 9.9 9.9 Human Health & Social Work Activities 8,076 10.9 11.5 12.4 Other 3,348 4.5 5.0 5.0

Source: 2011 Census, Key Statistics Table KS605EW

Braintree District Council Local Development Framework Annual Monitoring Report 2012 44

Occupational structure

Table 41 sets out information on the employment structure of residents of the District according to the 2011 Census, and indicates whether the proportion is higher or lower than average.

Table 41: Employment by occupation 2011 Compared Occupation Number Percentage to average 1 Managers & senior officials 11,220 16.98 Higher 2 Professional occupations 5,653 8.55 Lower 3 Associate professional & technical 8,660 13.10 Lower Higher than 4 Administrative & secretarial 8,870 13.42 England, lower than region 5 Skilled trades occupations 9,156 13.85 Higher 6 Personal Service occupations 4,864 7.36 Higher 7 Sales & customer service occupations 4,434 6.71 Lower 8 Process plant & machine operatives 5,761 8.72 Higher 9 Elementary occupations 7,474 11.31 Lower Source: 2011 Census, Table KS12A

According to the Annual Business Inquiry, the number of manufacturing employee jobs in Braintree District has been reducing, and the number of service sector employee jobs has been increasing (see Table 42, below).

Braintree District Council Local Development Framework Annual Monitoring Report 2012 45

Table 42: ONS Annual Business Inquiry Analysis: change in employee jobs 2001-08, people employed in Braintree District Year Manufacturing employees Service sector employees 2001 10,000 31,400 2002 9,500 33,000 2003 8,600 35,600 2004 8,600 35,000 2005 8,400 36,800 2006 7,300 36,900 2007 6,900 38,000 2008 6,900 37,600 Source: Office for National Statistics, Annual Business Inquiry

More details on change in employment within the service sector in the District are set out in Table 43, below.

Table 43: Change in employment structure Braintree District Public Transport & Distribution Banking admin, Year commun- hotels & finance & Construction education & ications restaurants insurance health 2001 9,800 2,000 10,300 7,300 2,600 2002 9,500 2,000 11,300 8,300 3,000 2003 10,700 1,900 12,000 8,700 3,500 2004 11,400 2,500 11,300 7,400 3,400 2005 12,500 2,500 12,200 7,300 3,300 2006 12,400 2,400 12,100 7,600 3,600 2007 11,800 2,600 12,400 8,600 4,200 2008 11,700 2,700 12,300 8,200 3,700 Source: Office for National Statistics, Annual Business Inquiry

Figure 16, below, reproduces a map from the Insight East report “Structural Weaknesses and Challenge” (March 2011) which illustrates the forecast relative employment change for parts of the region according to the East of England forecasting model. This predicts only weak growth in employment for Braintree District. This is of concern in itself, but also is an issue in relation to future housing/employment alignment.

Braintree District Council Local Development Framework Annual Monitoring Report 2012 46

Figure 16: Forecast future growth in employment, East of England, 2010 to 2020

Source: Insight East, Structural weaknesses and challenges, March 2011, page 38

The Autumn 2010 model forecast that employment in the region would recover marginally in 2010 before slipping again in 2011 in the wake of public sector redundancies and then rising again in 2012. With spare capacity in the economy and many employees working fewer hours than they want, when demand recovers firms can meet this by using existing resources. Businesses are unlikely to recruit until they are confident the recovery is strong and sustainable. The Autumn 2010 run of the model forecast weaker employment growth and higher unemployment than was previously forecast.

The principal forecast trends for 2010-20 were: • Most manufacturing sectors will lose around 15% of employment, in particular the Metals & Engineering sector; • Construction will grow by more than 10%; • Business Services sectors will grow by about 30%. It is the lower value-added sector ‘Recruitment, Security, Cleaning’ and the professional services sector ‘Other Tradeable’ that show the most dramatic growth. • Most distributive sectors (retail, catering, transport) show employment growth of about 10%; • Outside the production sectors (agriculture, extraction, manufacturing), it is the largely public sectors of Public Administration & Defence, Education and Health that show the most pessimistic forecasts for the coming decade, • Personal services will see something like 20% employment growth. The main driver here is population growth in the region.

Braintree District Council Local Development Framework Annual Monitoring Report 2012 47

The East of England model baseline forecasts indicated that the forecast rate of growth of residents in employment exceeded the forecast rate of growth in employment in the District; therefore net out commuting would increase. This may reflect commutable job opportunities in London for local residents, as well as in-migration from other areas such as London and Chelmsford.

Figure 17: Growth residents in employment, East of England, 2010-2020

Source: Insight East, Structural weaknesses and challenges, March 2011

The Autumn 2012 East of England Model forecasts have only recently become available. Headline figures for the District according to the Baseline Forecasts indicate that forecast change in Braintree District is as follows:

Total workplace employed people forecast to increase 2001-13 by 3,600 jobs (an average of 299 p.a.); a shortfall of 3,400 against target, and a performance against target of 51%.

Forecast change 2014-26 estimated at 4,200, an average of 348 p.a.; a shortfall of 2,800 jobs and performance of 60% against target.

Forecast change over the Core Strategy period 2009-26 +2,900 jobs, an average of 193 per year.

Net out commuting forecast to increase 2001-26 by 5,100; over the Core Strategy period 2009-26 net out commuting forecast to increase by 7,700.

Figure 18, below, illustrates projected change in employment of residents of the District compared with projected change in the number of workplace based employed people in the District, according to the Autumn 2012 East of England baseline forecasts. According to this model, employment in the District is not expected to recover to the number of jobs that there were in 2007 level until 2025, only exceeding that level by 2026. Figure 19 compares the baseline forecast for Braintree with that for other Essex Districts in terms of the forecast number of jobs over the period 2001-2031.

Braintree District Council Local Development Framework Annual Monitoring Report 2012 48

Figure 18: East of England Economic Forecasting Model Baseline Scenario, Autumn 2012; Braintree District 2001-2026, employment and residents in work

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56 Employment('000 jobs) 54

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50 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025

Workplace employed people Total jobs residence based (employees plus self employed)

Source: East of England Economic Forecasting Model Baseline Scenario, Autumn 2012, Cambridgeshire County Council February 2013

Figure 19: Autumn 2012 Baseline forecasts, Essex Districts

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Basildon 100 Braintree Brentwood Castle Point 80 Chelmsford Colchester Epping Forest 60 Harlow Maldon Rochford 40 Tendring Uttlesford

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05 19 2001 2003 20 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 20 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031

Source: East of England Economic Forecasting Model, Autumn 2012, Baseline forecasts

Braintree District Council Local Development Framework Annual Monitoring Report 2012 49

Figure 20 shows the relative employment change in Essex Districts, showing forecast employment change in Essex Districts from 2007 according to the baseline forecasts, indexed to the level of employment in that district in 2007.

Figure 20: Employment change, Essex Districts 2007-2031 indexed to 2007 employment level

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90 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031

Basildon Braintree Brentw ood Castle Point Chelmsford Colchester Epping Forest Harlow Maldon Rochford Tendring Uttlesford

Table 44 details the forecast employment by Essex district according to the East of England Model Baseline Forecasts Autumn 2012.

Table 44: Forecast Employment, Essex Districts

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Basildon 20.6 21.5 22.7 21.4 20.8 21.8 21.5 22.5 22.2 21.8 79.2 Braintree 21.6 22.3 22.7 22.5 21.8 22.7 23.2 23.7 24.1 23.7 53.9 Brentwood 22.9 21.9 22.3 21.0 20.4 21.0 21.2 21.9 23.2 21.9 33.1 Castle Pt 32.6 34.2 35.1 36.3 35.2 34.6 36.2 36.2 40.2 34.7 23.7 Chelmsford 34.7 36.1 37.4 35.8 35.5 37.8 38.7 38.8 38.6 37.9 91.3 Colchester 38.6 41.5 42.5 44.3 48.3 46.2 48.1 47.9 51.2 50.6 82.7 Epping Fst 39.3 39.9 37.7 34.6 34.3 38.1 39.2 42.8 38.2 38.3 50.7 Harlow 41.2 44.1 46.5 44.9 44.2 47.0 47.0 46.8 46.7 45.9 38.7 Maldon 50.5 52.4 55.4 55.1 55.1 56.3 58.9 57.5 56.2 54.5 21.9 Rochford 73.2 73.1 76.6 77.4 74.1 76.8 79.3 80.2 81.0 79.7 21.7 Tendring 75.5 83.6 86.7 85.2 82.2 83.3 83.9 88.3 89.9 89.7 46.1 Uttlesford 76.7 73.3 78.5 79.5 78.0 82.4 82.8 84.4 84.1 79.5 38.3

Braintree District Council Local Development Framework Annual Monitoring Report 2012 50

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Basildon 78.6 78.8 79.4 80.0 80.2 80.3 80.2 80.1 80.0 79.9 79.7 Braintree 53.6 54.1 55.0 55.8 56.5 57.0 57.3 57.6 57.8 58.0 58.2 Brentwood 32.5 32.8 33.4 34.1 34.7 35.1 35.4 35.6 35.7 35.8 35.9 Castle Pt 23.6 23.7 24.0 24.3 24.5 24.7 24.8 24.8 24.9 25.0 25.0 Chelmsford 92.4 94.3 96.7 99.1 101.2 103.1 104.7 106.2 107.8 109.3 110.8 Colchester 83.9 85.6 87.6 89.4 90.8 92.0 92.9 93.6 94.3 95.0 95.6 Epping Fst 50.8 51.5 52.7 54.1 55.2 56.1 56.7 57.1 57.5 57.8 58.1 Harlow 38.6 38.9 39.5 40.0 40.4 40.7 40.8 40.9 41.1 41.1 41.2 Maldon 21.9 22.2 22.7 23.1 23.5 23.7 23.9 24.0 24.1 24.3 24.4 Rochford 21.6 21.8 22.2 22.5 22.8 23.0 23.1 23.2 23.3 23.4 23.5 Tendring 46.0 46.3 46.9 47.5 47.9 48.2 48.5 48.7 49.0 49.2 49.4 Uttlesford 38.5 38.7 39.4 40.2 40.8 41.2 41.5 41.6 41.8 41.8 41.9

2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 Basildon 79.6 79.4 79.3 79.2 79.0 78.9 78.8 78.7 78.6 Braintree 58.5 58.7 58.9 59.1 59.4 59.6 59.8 60.0 60.3 Brentwood 36.0 36.0 36.1 36.1 36.2 36.2 36.2 36.2 36.2 Castle Pt 25.1 25.1 25.2 25.3 25.3 25.4 25.4 25.5 25.6 Chelmsford 112.4 113.9 115.5 117.0 118.6 120.2 121.8 123.5 125.2 Colchester 96.1 96.7 97.1 97.6 98.0 98.5 98.9 99.3 99.7 Epping Fst 58.3 58.6 58.8 59.1 59.3 59.5 59.7 60.0 60.2 Harlow 41.3 41.4 41.5 41.6 41.6 41.7 41.8 41.9 42.0 Maldon 24.5 24.6 24.7 24.8 24.9 25.0 25.1 25.2 25.4 Rochford 23.6 23.7 23.9 24.0 24.1 24.2 24.3 24.4 24.6 Tendring 49.7 49.9 50.1 50.4 50.6 50.8 51.1 51.3 51.6 Uttlesford 41.9 41.9 41.9 41.9 41.9 41.9 41.8 41.8 41.7

Source: East of England Economic Forecasting Model, Autumn 2012 Baseline forecasts

The East of England Model “Lost Decade” scenario run (dated September 2012) is more pessimistic. The Lost Decade scenario assumes five more years of sluggish growth. The implications of that scenario for Braintree District are summarised below:

Forecast employment change, workplace based: 2001-2026: + 4,000 jobs 2009-2026: - 1,800 jobs

Forecast change in net commuting: 2001-2026: + 3,700 2009-2026: + 6,300

Forecast change in number of unemployed: 2001-2026: + 2,500 2009-2026: + 600

Appendix 5 shows the employment trajectory according to the Autumn 2012 report Baseline Scenario and Lost Decade Scenario, comparing projected employment change with the Local Development Framework Core Strategy target.

Braintree District Council Local Development Framework Annual Monitoring Report 2012 51

Business stocks

According to data from ONS Business Demography, the total stock of businesses in Braintree District in 2008 was 6,445, which was the fourth highest amongst Essex Districts (Chelmsford being 6,835 and Colchester and Epping Forest being 6865). As a proportion of the adult population, this amounted to 566 per 10,000 adults, which was the sixth highest rate among the twelve Essex Districts, and above Chelmsford and Colchester. The Essex average per 10,000 adults was 516; the corresponding rates for the East of England region and the UK were 509 and 467.

Self employment

Self employment rates have generally been higher in the District than the regional average. However, the percentage of Braintree residents who are self employed fell below the regional average in this monitoring period for the first time since 2006/2007. The table below shows the number and proportion of economically active residents who are self employed, according to the Annual Population Survey, over the period 2004-2012. Changes in the early part of this period may have been influenced by changes to taxation classifications, with particular reference to the construction industry.

The 2011 Census indicated a higher figure for the number of self employed, with 12,410 people self employed according to the Census.

Table 45: Braintree residents who are self employed, 2004- 2011, and compared with East of England Region % Year (April/March) Braintree, number Braintree, % East region, % 2004/2005 13,100 14.4 10.1

2005/2006 11,900 13.3 10.2

2006/2007 10,000 10.5 10.7

2007/2008 9,800 10.6 10.6

2008/2009 10,500 10.9 10.0

2009/2010 10,900 11.1 10.1

2010/2011 10,400 10.5 10.0

2011/2012 8,100 8.6 10.2 Source ONS Annual Population Survey

Braintree District Council Local Development Framework Annual Monitoring Report 2012 52

Town Centres

In 2012 the Council published an update to the Braintree Retail Study. This is available to view on line via the Council website, as part of the Evidence Base to the Local development Framework, at: http://www.braintree.gov.uk/downloads/download/120/evidence_base- retail_and_town_centre

Braintree District Council Local Development Framework Annual Monitoring Report 2012 53

Open Spaces & Sports Provision

Sports and leisure facilities

The Sport England Active People Survey showed that participation rates in the District have increased to above average during the monitoring period. The Sport England Active People Survey defines participation as three or more sessions of sport per week, of moderate intensity and for 30 minutes or more. This is a narrower definition than the Place Survey. The table below compares participation rates in the District with the averages for the region and for England over the 12 month period April 2010 to April 2011 (previous monitoring period shown in brackets).

Table 46: Adult participation in sport Braintree 17.1% (15.0%) Essex 15.5% (15.7%) East region 15.9% (15.7%)

England 16.3% (16.6%) Source: Sport England Active People Survey, April 2010-April 2011

Participation rates vary according to a number of factors, including gender. The Sport England Active People Survey indicates that male participation rates are generally higher than female rates, but there are also gender differences in the relative performance between Essex Districts. The results of the survey for 2009/2011 indicate that the male participation rate in Braintree district, at 25.9%, was the second highest of Essex Districts. The female participation rate, at 19.4%, ranked only ninth out of the twelve Essex Districts. Compared with other councils in England, Braintree was in the second quartile for male participation, and the third quartile for female participation.

There are also differences in the participation rates of different age groups. For young adults (aged 16-34) Braintree had the third highest participation rate of Essex Districts at 33.7% (Epping Forest was highest at 36.8%). For the age group 35-54, Braintree – at 24.8% - was the sixth highest out of 12 Essex Districts (Uttlesford was highest at 33.9%), and for the age group of 55 and over, Braintree – at 12.5% - was only eighth out of the 12 Districts (Colchester was highest with 16.8%).

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Housing

The information on tenure in Table 47, below, is taken from the 2011 Census. The Census asked respondents to identify who their landlord is and the results reflect the responses they gave. Individuals responding to the Census will report their understanding of their landlord and this may not reflect the actual management arrangements in all cases. From the results, it is apparent that some tenants of Greenfields Community Gateway Housing Association believed that they were still tenants of Braintree District Council (in November 2007 the housing stock then owned by Braintree District Council transferred to Greenfields Community Gateway Housing Association, which is now the main housing association landlord in the District, with around 8,100 homes). In 2011, the estimated dwelling stock of the District included 49 rented from Braintree District Council, and 10,300 rented from a housing association ( Source: CLG, Table 100, Dwelling stock tables by Tenure and District 2011).

Given the problems with the accuracy of the 2011 Census data on this subject, the Monitoring Report does not compare the tenure split of Braintree District with other areas.

Table 47: Tenure of Households, Braintree District, 2011 Number Percentage Total number of households 61,043 100% Owned, owned outright 18,609 30.5% Owned; Owned with a Mortgage or Loan 23,263 38.1% Shared Ownership (Part Owned & Part Rented) 362 0.6% Social Rented; Rented from Council (Local 2,378 3.9% Authority) Social Rented; Other 7,677 12.6% Private Rented; Private Landlord or Letting 7,332 12% Agency Private Rented; Other 751 1.2% Living Rent Free 671 1.1% Source: 2011 Census Key Statistics Table KS402EW

The changes to the number of households in the District in different tenures are shown in Table 48, below.

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The number of owner-occupied households has risen since 2001, as has the number of households in private rented accommodation. The number of households in social rented accommodation has reduced.

Table 48: Number of households in Braintree District in 2001 and 2011 by tenure, according to the Census Change 2001- 2011 2001 2011 All Households 61043 54332 6711 Owned; Owned Outright 18609 14570 4039 Owned; Owned with a Mortgage or Loan 23263 24540 -1277 Total Owner Occupier 41872 39110 2762 Shared Ownership (Part Owned and Part Rented) 362 253 109 Social Rented 10055 10384 -329 Private Rented; Private Landlord or Letting Agency 7332 3643 3689 Private Rented; Other 751 504 247 Living Rent Free 671 942 -271

Source: 2001 Census and 2011 Census Key Statistics

For comparison, the dwelling stock by tenure according to the Communities and Local Government Live Tables; the information in these tables on local authority and housing association stock is as reported by local authorities through the HSSA; and the total stock figures use the census 2001 dwelling count as a baseline, with information on subsequent changes to the dwelling stock collected annually as at 31st March through the Housing Flows Reconciliation form.

Table 49: Estimated dwelling stock Braintree District at 31 March 2011 Total 61,290 Local authority 49 Housing association 10,300 Other public sector 35 Private sector 50,900 The table below compares dwelling stock change in Braintree District 2001- 2011 with other Essex Districts, using Census data.

Compared with the other districts, Braintree had the second highest number of net additions to the dwelling stock, and the third highest level of growth in proportionate terms (i.e. percentage growth 2001-2011).

In terms of the number of net additional dwellings, Braintree was second only to Colchester, which was designated as a Key Centre for Development and

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Change (KCDC) in the East of England Plan, and was higher than the other proposed KCDCs in Essex (including Chelmsford, Basildon and Harlow).

Table 50: Dwelling stock change 2001-2011, Essex Districts District Dwellings Dwellings Change % Change 2001 2011 2001-2011 2001-2011 Basildon 70821 74032 3211 4.53% Braintree 55756 62704 6948 12.46% Brentwood 29728 32067 2339 7.87% Castle Point 35774 37682 1908 5.33% Chelmsford 65913 71247 5334 8.09% Colchester 65331 74538 9207 14.09% Epping Forest 51814 54409 2595 5.01% Harlow 33776 35719 1943 5.75% Maldon 25182 27210 2028 8.05% Rochford 32701 34444 1743 5.33% Tendring 64719 66928 2209 3.41% Uttlesford 28531 32862 4331 15.18% Source: 2001 Census, 2011 Census, ONS

Figure 20: Increase in number of dwellings, 2001-2011

10000 9000 8000 7000 6000 5000 4000 3000 2000 1000 0 Maldon Harlow Basildon Tendring Braintree Rochford Uttlesford Colchester Brentwood Chelmsford Castle Point Castle Epping Forest Epping

Source: 2001 Census, 2011 Census, ONS

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Figure 21: Percentage increase in dwellings, 2001-2011

16% 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% Maldon Harlow Basildon Tendring Braintree Rochford Uttlesford Colchester Brentwood Chelmsford Castle Point Castle Epping Forest Epping

Source: 2001 Census, 2011 Census, ONS The housing provision of the LDF Core Strategy is based on the housing provision for the District in the East of England Plan.

Compared with the other districts in the region, Braintree District had the 7 th highest level of net housing supply 2001-2011 (out of 47 local planning authorities); the 6 higher districts were all identified as including Key Centres for Development and Change in the East of England Plan, being Central Bedfordshire; Kings Lynn & West Norfolk; Colchester; Peterborough; South Cambridgeshire and Ipswich). This is illustrated in Figure , below. The Key Centres for Development and Change are marked with an asterisk.

It should be noted that, in contrast to the KCDC policy, the East of England Plan proposed a period of relatively low growth in Braintree District (despite the step change increase proposed for the region as a whole); the Examination in Public Panel recognised the problems past high levels of growth had caused for the District in terms of strain on physical and social infrastructure, housing-employment alignment and long distance net out commuting.

The Council has carried out analysis comparing net dwelling stock change 2001-2011 (using Census data) with the rate of housing growth proposed in the East of England Plan 2001-2021 (pro-rata), and assessing the degree of variance (as assessed in the last, 2010, East of England Monitoring Report).

Central Bedfordshire, Bedford and Luton are not included in the analysis because of the complications of the Milton Keynes/South Midlands policy area for housing provision for analysis.

The results show that of the remaining 43 districts, as at 2011 Braintree had the highest (positive) level of variance from the East of England Plan housing provision. This is illustrated in Figure 22, below.

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Figure 22: East of England local planning authorities: Net housing supply 2001-2011 (Source: 2011 Census)

Rochford Castle Point Harlow * Three Rivers Maldon Tendring Hertsmere Brentwood Stevenage * Epping Fst Babergh Waveney * Basildon * Forest Heath Gt Yarmouth * Broxbourne Broadland Luton * St Albans Watford * Uttlesford Thurrock * Southend-o.s. * Breckland * Cambridge Welwyn Hatfield * North Norfolk Dacorum * E Herts St Edmundsbury * N Herts Mid Suffolk E Cambs Chelmsford * Suffolk Coastal Fenland Bedford * South Norfolk Norwich * Huntingdonshire Braintree Ipswich * S Cambs * Peterborough * Colchester * King's Lynn W Norfolk'* Central Beds *

0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000

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Figure 23: East of England districts: Variance of net housing supply 2001-2011 from housing provision in East of England Plan (Source: 2001 Census, 2011 Census, East of England Plan 2008)

Harlow *

Stevenage *

Thurrock *

Cambridge

Tendring

Broadland

Basildon *

Breckland *

Chelmsford *

Peterborough *

S Cambs *

Rochford

Dacorum *

E Herts

Norwich *

Hertsmere

Castle Point

Welwyn Hatfield *

Ipswich *

Three Rivers

St Edmundsbury *

Forest Heath

Waveney *

Fenland

Babergh

Colchester *

Gt Yarmouth *

Uttlesford

Suffolk Coastal

South Norfolk

Huntingdonshire

St Albans

Broxbourne

E Cambs

North Norfolk

M id Suffolk

Brentwood

Southend-o.s. *

Epping Fst

Watford *

N Herts

M aldon

King's Lynn W Norfolk'*

Braintree

-80.0% -60.0% -40.0% -20.0% 0.0% 20.0% 40.0% 60.0% 80.0%

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Vacant dwellings and second homes

According to the 2011 Census, in March 2011 there were 1,700 dwellings in Braintree District with no usual residents. This formed 2.7% of the dwelling stock of the district, as compared with a regional average of 4.4% and an average for England of 4.3%.

Table 51 shows the District trend in vacant dwellings, and the trend in long term vacant dwellings, according to information published by the Department for Communities and Local Government, taken from the Council Tax base. Long term is defined as dwellings unoccupied and substantially unfurnished for over 6 months. The data is as at October of the relevant year.

Table 51: Vacant dwellings Braintree District 2004-2012 Year Total vacant Long term Year Total vacant Long term dwellings vacant dwellings vacant dwellings dwellings 2004 1,714 700 2009 1,947 805 2005 1,724 757 2010 1,821 827 2006 1,842 768 2011 1,711 747 2007 1,850 841 2012 1,652 622 2008 1,901 755 Source: CLG, Live Tables, Table 615, from Council Tax Base

The trend in the number of vacant dwellings, and the number of long-term vacant dwellings in the District over the period 2004-12 is shown in Figure 24 below, using CLG data from the Council Tax base. According to this source, since the Core Strategy base date of 2009, there has been a reduction of 295 in the number of vacant dwellings (a reduction of 15.15%), and a reduction of 183 in the number of long term vacant dwellings (a reduction of 22.73%).

Figure 24: Braintree District: Vacant and long term vacant dwellings 2004-2012

2,000 1,800 1,600 1,400 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 200 0 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

All vacant Long term vacant dwellings

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Table 52 and Figures 25-28 illustrate the number of vacant dwellings in the District as compared with other Essex Districts in 2012 according to the Council Tax base, as published by CLG.

Table 52: Total vacant dwellings 2011, Essex Districts Total vacant Total long term No. of long No. of vacant dwgs as % of vacant dwgs term vacant dwgs 2012 total dwelling as % of total dwgs 2012 District stock dwg stock Basildon 1795 564 2.4% 0.8% Braintree 1652 622 2.6% 1.0% Brentwood 760 185 2.4% 0.6% Castle Point 1034 358 2.7% 0.9% Chelmsford 1555 444 2.2% 0.6% Colchester 1910 506 2.5% 0.7% Epping Forest 1562 647 2.9% 1.2% Harlow 684 218 1.9% 0.6% Maldon 633 202 2.3% 0.7% Rochford 863 271 2.4% 0.8% Tendring 2560 900 3.8% 1.3% Uttlesford 880 295 2.6% 0.9% Source: CLG: vacant dwellings Table 615, from Council Tax base. Long term vacant dwellings are dwellings vacant over 6 months. The total dwelling stock has been estimated on the basis of 2011 Census data plus net dwelling supply 2011/12 as published by CLG.

Figure 25: Number of vacant dwellings 2012, Essex Districts

3,000

2,500

2,000

1,500

1,000

500

0 Ten Col Bas Bte EppF Chfd CasP Utfd Rcfd Btwd Har Mal

Long term vacant dwellings Dwellings vacant for up to 6 months

Source: CLG: vacant dwellings Table 615, from Council Tax base. Long term vacant dwellings are dwellings vacant over 6 months.

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Compared with other Essex Districts, Braintree had the 4th highest number of vacant dwellings in 2012. The highest was Tendring, which attracts retirement migration).

Figure 26: Vacant dwellings as a proportion of total dwellings, Essex Districts 2012

4.5%

4.0%

3.5%

3.0%

2.5%

2.0%

1.5%

1.0%

0.5%

0.0% Ten EppF CasP Utfd Bte Col Rcfd Bas Btw d Mal Chfd Har

Source: CLG: vacant dwellings Table 615, from Council Tax base. Long term vacant dwellings are dwellings vacant over 6 months. The total dwelling stock has been estimated on the basis of 2011 Census data plus net dwelling supply 2011/12 as published by CLG.

Compared with other Essex Districts, Essex had the fifth highest proportion of dwellings that were vacant.

Figure 27: Long term vacant dwellings Essex Districts 2012

1,000 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 Ten EppF Bte Bas Col Chfd CasP Utfd Rcfd Har Mal Btwd

Source: CLG: vacant dwellings Table 615, from Council Tax base. Long term vacant dwellings are dwellings vacant over 6 months.

Compared with other Essex Districts, Braintree had the 3rd highest number of long-term vacant dwellings in 2012. Of the dwellings in Braintree District that were vacant in 2012, 37.7% had been vacant for over 6 months; this is the 2 nd highest proportion when compared with other Essex Districts.

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Cultural Heritage

Within the Braintree District there are: • 9 Registered Parks & Gardens • 36 Registered Village Greens • 40 Scheduled Monuments • 39 Conservation Areas • 3190 Listed Buildings

Conservation Areas

There are 39 Conservation Areas within the Braintree District. The areas in Halstead and Earls Colne were extended in 2007, and Witham (Town Centre) area was extended in 2008. Appraisals were undertaken for Bulmer, Cressing and Finchingfield Conservation Areas in 2008/9, and the boundaries of these were amended in 2009. An appraisal for Sible Hedingham was carried out in 2011 and its boundary was altered the same year, with the appraisal and management plan approved in March 2011. An appraisal of Pebmarsh Conservation Area was carried out in 2011/2012 and its boundary was altered in 2012, and an appraisal of Silver End Conservation Area is planned for 2012/2013.

The Witham Area Partnership Scheme

A Conservation Area Appraisal and Management Plan was produced for the Witham Conservation Area and funding has been secured towards grants for improvements, this is being administered through the Witham Area Partnership Scheme (APS). The Witham APS is a 5 year English Heritage based grant scheme for the preservation and enhancement of the conservation area based around Newland Street. The objective is to put into sound repair the structure and exterior of those buildings that make a positive contribution to the conservation area. Works may include the reinstatement of lost features including traditional windows, doors and shopfronts.

The scheme started in April 2008 and will finish March 2013. The first 3 years of the scheme are the grant ‘offer’ period. The remaining 2 years are for completion of projects.

Funding and administration:

English Heritage: £150,000 Essex County Council: £75,000 Braintree District Council: £45,000 Witham Town Council: £30,000 Total: £300,000

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£270,000 is available as grants towards repairs/improvements of buildings and £30,000 towards administration costs.

Listed Buildings

Listed buildings of special architectural or historic interest contribute to the character of the district and are protected under the Listed Buildings and Conservations Areas Act (1990). They are structures that are of national or architectural importance and therefore not limited to older buildings. Nearly a quarter (23%) of the Listed Buildings in Essex are located in Braintree District. The majority of listed buildings in the district are grade II listed. There are 67 listed buildings of exceptional interest (grade I) and 184 which are particularly important buildings of more than special interest (grade II*). The distribution of listed buildings within the district is fairly widely spread. Clusters of listed buildings can be found in the historic settlements such as Coggeshall and linear patterns are identifiable along historic transport routes.

Table 53: Listed Buildings Composition for Braintree District Type of Listed Building Total Number Grade I 67 Grade II* 184 Grade II 2,941 Total 3190 Grade A (Church) 0 Grade B (Church) 4 Source: ECC SEA Baseline Information Profile 2010, from English Heritage 2010

The Historic Buildings at Risk Register contains details of buildings known to be ‘at risk’ through neglect and decay, or vulnerable of becoming so. The objective of the register is to outline the state of repair of these buildings with the intention of instigating action towards securing their long term conservation. The number of Listed Buildings in the “at risk” schedule had increased to three in 2011, two of which were new entries in 2011. The existing entry was The Guildhall, Finchingfield, which is being refurbished. The new entries were the Church of St James, Great Saling for which a repair grant was offered in 2010 and works are near completion, and the Parish Church, Hall Road, Borley. This information reflects the position as shown on the English Heritage website as at December 2012.

Table 54: Number of Listed Buildings at Risk, Braintree District, 2004-11 2004 27 2008 23 2005 32 2009 20 2006 31 2010 2 2007 27 2011 3

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In addition, there were four ancient monuments at risk, and four conservation areas - those at Braintree Town Centre and Bradford Street, Sible Hedingham, Silver End, and Witham Town Centre (2 areas).

Source: English Heritage, Historic Buildings at Risk Register The October 2011 Essex County Council register of Heritage at Risk in Essex includes 22 entries for Braintree District, as compared with 19 in 2010 and 21 in 2009. In terms of movements on and off the ECC register; 2 heritage assets were deemed no longer at risk in 2009, and a further 2 in 2010, and removed from the register; none were removed from the register in 2011 and 3 were added in 2011 (none were added in 2009 or 2010). The register categorises the assets at risk by priority: • 8 were Priority A (immediate risk of further rapid deterioration or loss of fabric, no solution agreed) • 6 were Priority C (slow decay, no solution agreed) • 1 was Priority D (slow decay, solution agreed but not yet implemented) • 4 were Priority E (under repair or in fair to good repair, but no user identified or under threat of vacancy with no obvious new user), • 2 were Priority F (repair scheme in progress and, where applicable end use or user identified).

The Assets judged at risk by ECC were:

Priority A: 21-22 Clockhouse Way Braintree Edeys Farmhouse Gestingthorpe Barn SE of Edeys Farmhouse Gestingthorpe (owner in discussion with LPA regarding repairs) Ancillary building NE of Woodhouse Farmhouse Kelvedon Barn at Roselands Farm Jaspers Green Shalford Le Chateau Boars Tye Road Silver End Hatfield Wick Farm Terling Hall Road Terling Shellards Cottage Shellards Lane Wickham St Paul

Priority C: Outbuilding to rear of 3-5 St James Street Castle Hedingham Sparrows Bridge Gosfield Place Gosfield Three Chimneys Farmhouse Ridgewell Craig Angus Boars Tye Road Silver End 55 Newland Street Witham Wall at Powers Hall End Chipping Hill Witham (part recently repaired)

Priority D: Woodhouse Farmhouse Kelvedon

Priority E: Salvator, The Street Hatfield Peverel (currently under repair) Farm Building NW Church Hall Farmhouse Kelvedon Barn NW Church Hall Farmhouse Kelvedon Barn SW Rayne Hall Shalford Road Rayne

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Priority F: Milestone SW of Baythorne Hall Birdbrook Hulls Mill Farm Great Maplestead (conversion since completed and building now occupied)

Other: Swan Street Conservation Area Sible Hedingham

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Transport and Spatial Connectivity

Travel to Work and Car Ownership

Information on travel to work is not yet available from the 2011 Census. The information in Table 55 and Figure 28, below, is taken from the 2001 Census.

Table 55: Travel to Work, Braintree District residents, 2001 (all people aged 16-74 in employment) Travel to work by car 43715 Travel to work by public transport 7023 Source: Census 2001

Figure 28: Distance travelled to work, Braintree District residents, 2001

Source: ONS, 2001

The chart below is a copy extract from the WSP/Cambridge Econometrics Study on Commuter Flows in London and the Wider South East 2001 to 2016/21. That study found that Braintree was one of the local authority districts with the longest average trip lengths in England, exceeded only by some deeply rural districts in Northumberland and West Devon. As Braintree District did not have above average proportions of managerial or professional occupations – which tend to commute the longest distances – the study suggested that the long distances have more to do with location than with type of resident labour, and may be related to relatively low population density (the extensive rural areas of the district) and to the imbalance between labour supply and availability of employment locally.

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The study analysed data from the 1991 and 2001 Censuses of Population, and the figure shows that the proportion of Braintree District residents travelling less than 5 km to work declined between 1991 and 2001.

Figure 29: Copy extract: Commuter Flows in London and the Wider South East, Journey to Work Distances by District 1991 and 2001

There was a large commuting outflow (43%) of Braintree District residents - mainly to Chelmsford (10%) and to Greater London (10%). The next most popular destinations were the adjoining authorities of Uttlesford (5%) and Colchester (4%).

In-commuters filled 26% of jobs in the District. The largest flows of people travelling to the District for work come from the neighbouring districts of Colchester (6.7%), Chelmsford (4%), Maldon (3%) and Babergh (2%) Source: ECC SEA Baseline Information Profile, Census 2001

According to the 2001 Census, in 2001 42% of Braintree residents drove either a car or van to work, this was a higher proportion of private vehicle use than both in the East of England region at 39.1% and England, recorded at 34.68%. Train use within the District (5.68%) was higher than that seen regionally (4.02%) and nationally (2.67%). The proportion travelling by bus at 1.61% was lower than seen regionally (2.65%) and approximately three times smaller than the national proportion of 4.74%. Source: ECC SEA Baseline Information Profile 2007-2008/Census 2001

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Cycling

The improvements to the cycleway network are summarised below:

• Phase 3 of the Blackwater Rail Trail (Blackwater Lane to Pasture Road) - provided a 2 metre wide gravel surface for a length of 450 metres in Summer 2012. • John Ray Park - Phase 1 of a cycleway through John Ray Park (from the Station Road entrance westwards to the weir below Skitts Hill) – provided a 3 metre black-top surface for a length of 285m in summer 2011.

Target: The Council has a target to construct an annual average of 500 metres length of cycleway.

Performance: A total of 735 metres of cycleway were constructed in the monitoring year.

Performance against target: 147%

Accessibility

To improve accessibility within Braintree, a new pedestrian and cycle bridge is currently being constructed across the Braintree Branch railway line at Freeport Station. Construction is due to be completed by December 2012.

Motts Lane, Witham foot/cycle bridge identified in the Core Strategy as a 'Key Transport Provision'. It is proposed to construct a bridge to replace the existing level crossing. Construction is due to commence in Spring 2013.

A total of 735 metres of cycleway were constructed on 2 schemes in 2011/2012. The schemes were:

Braintree: Phase 1 John Ray Park – 285 metres

Witham: Phase 3 of Blackwater Rail Trail - 450 metres

A feasibility study was under preparation for the Braintree Branch line improvements, due to be completed September 2012.

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LDF Indicators by Key Policy Themes

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2 LDF Indicators by Key Policy Themes

Business development

Information is taken from the ‘Non-Residential Land Availability Survey 2012’ produced by Essex County Council. Non-residential land monitoring is undertaken by the County Council under a Service Level Agreement.

Size Threshold Threshold sizes are applied; only developments above the following sizes are monitored and recorded by the ECC development progress system: • Use Class A1 and A2: 250 square metres • Use Class B1a (Business): 1,000 square metres • Use Class B1-B8: 100 square metres • Use Class D: 1,000 square metres

The Base Date The information set out in these results represents sites identified at 31 March 2012 involving additional development, or loss of, the land uses listed above. Planning permissions granted or development that has occurred after this base date will be taken into account in future monitoring.

Results Summary

Table 56 provides information on the completed non-residential floorspace for the whole of the District, in square metres by use class, in the survey year 2011/12, and also shows the amount of additional floorspace on previously developed land.

Table 56: Non residential floorspace completed 2011/12 Use Class B1, B2, B8 Use Class Use Class Use Class (other than Total A1/A2 B1a Offices D – Leisure specified as B1a) Gross Floorspace developed 1,967 1,222 3,918 0 7,107 2011/12, sq m

of which previously developed 1,508 1,222 3,297 6,027 0 land (PDL) (Gross) (77%) (100%) (84%) (85%)

Floorspace losses 2011/12, 837 2,573 1,888 2,069 7,367 sq m

Floorspace redevelopment 0 1,228 1,780 2,069 5,077 Non-Res to Non-Res

Floorspace loss Non-Res to 837 1,345 108 0 2,290 Res

Net additional floorspace 1,130 -1,351 2,030 -2,069 -260 2011/12, sq m

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Table 57 and Figure 29 summarise the development of floorspace (gross) by location of development and by use class.

Table 57: Location of development by Use Class 2011/12 Use Class B1, B2, Use Class Use Class Use Class B8 (other B1a D - Total A1/A2 than Offices Leisure specified as B1a) Braintree, Bocking, Gt 1967 0 440 0 2407 Notley

Witham 0 0 1884 0 1884

Halstead 0 0 450 0 450

Bumpstead (Haverhill Ind. 0 0 0 0 0 Estate)

Total Urban 1967 0 2774 0 4741

Rural Areas 0 1222 1144 0 2366

Total District 1967 1222 3918 0 7107

Figure 29: Location of Development by Use Class

2500

2000 Use Class A1/A2 1500

1000 Use Class B1a Offices

Square Square Metres 500 Use Class B1, B2, B8 0 (other than specified as B1a) Braintree, Witham Halstead Bumpstead Rural Areas Use Class D - Leisure Bocking, Gt (Haverhill Notley Ind. Estate) Location

The floorspace developed in rural areas was generally located at existing business parks and industrial areas on former airfields.

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Employment development in previous years

Tables 58 to 60 provide information on net development in employment floorspace, for A1-B8 Use Classes in square metres, over the five-year period 2007-2012.

Table 58: Net retail development: 2007-2012 A1 Retail & A2 Financial and Professional Services 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010 -11 2011 -12 2007-2012 Net fspace -33 2,280 2,245 937 1130 6,559 developed

Table 59: Net office development: 2007-2012 B1a Offices 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010 -11 2011 -12 2007-2012 Net fspace 4,646 0 -1,092 -148 -1,351 2,055 developed

Table 60: Net B1/B2/B8 development: 2007-2012 B1/B2/B8 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010 -11 2011 -12 2007-2012 Net fspace 23,782 4873 -20,020 6,816 2,030 17,481 developed

The net change in floorspace from development by use class and survey year is illustrated in Figures 30 and 31.

Figure 30: Net change in floorspace from development, Braintree District

40000

30000

20000

10000 B1/B2/B8 B1a 0 A1 & A2 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2007 - SquareMetres -10000 2012 -20000

-30000 Survey Year

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Figure 31: Net development of floorspace 2007-2012

30000

20000

10000 A1 & A2 0 B1a 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 B1/B2/B8 -10000 Square Square Metres

-20000

-30000 Survey Year

The particularly large loss of B1/B2/B8 floorspace that occurred in the 2009- 2010 survey year consisted, in the main, of the demolition of obsolete non- original factory buildings (15,600 sq m) on the former Crittall Works site in Silver End, which is identified for regeneration in the Core Strategy.

Outstanding permissions for future development

Table 61 provides information on potential non-residential floorspace with planning permission for the whole of the District, in square metres by use class, and also shows the amount of potential additional floorspace with planning permission on previously developed land.

Table 61: Potential non-residential floorspace (with planning permission) identified as at 31 st March 2012 by Use Class B1, B2, B8 (other than A1/A2 B1a Offices D - Leisure Total specified as B1a) Outstanding fspace with 14,776 40,267 50,308 3,935 109,286 planning permission, sq m 6,190 283 18,516 3,935 28,924 of which PDL (Gross) (42%) (1%) (37%) (100%) (26%) Outstanding floorspace redevelopment/losses with 0 1,263 17,786 0 19,049 planning permission, sq m Potential Floorspace redevelopment Non-Res to 0 357 16,019 0 16,376 Non-Res Potential Floorspace loss 0 906 1,767 0 2,673 Non-Res to Res Net additional floorspace outstanding with planning 14,776 39,004 32,522 3,935 90,237 permission

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Although the percentage of potential development on previously developed land is low, the development with planning permission that is to take place on greenfield land is, in the main, on sites allocated for such purposes through the development plan; for example the business park and neighbourhood centre at Maltings Lane, Witham, and Skyline 100 Business Park, Great Notley. (These figures do not include sites allocated in the development plan that have yet to secure planning permission.)

Whilst redundant employment sites can provide a source of brownfield sites for housing and reduce the need for greenfield housing sites, it is important to monitor and review the loss of commercial sites to consider the impact on employment land availability, and there are policy objectives on protecting employment sites from change of use. This is considered further in the update of the Employment Land Review.

Location of potential floorspace with planning permission

Table 62 and Figure 32 summarise the floorspace capacity for potential development and losses on sites with planning permission by location and use class, as at April 2012.

Table 62: Location of potential non-residential floorspace (with planning permission) identified as at 31 st March 2012 Use Class B1, B2, Use Class Use Class Use Class B8 (other B1a D - Total A1/A2 than Offices Leisure specified as B1a) Braintree, Bocking, Gt 7,587 -309 20,970 0 28,248 Notley

Witham 6,621 37,031 3,518 3,935 51,105

Halstead 0 0 650 0 650

Bumpstead (Haverhill Ind. 0 0 936 0 936 Estate)

Total Urban 14,208 36,722 26,074 3,935 80,939

Rural Areas 568 2,282 6,448 0 9,298

Total District 14,776 39,004 32,522 3,935 90,237

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Figure 32: Location of Potential Development (with planning permission) by Use Class

40000

35000

30000 Use Class A1/A2 25000 Use Class B1a Offices 20000

15000 Use Class B1, B2, B8 (other than specified as B1a)

Square Square Metres 10000 Use Class D - Leisure 5000

0 Braintree, Witham Halstead Bumpstead Rural Areas -5000 Bocking, Gt (Haverhill Notley Ind. Estate) Location

Potential development from sites without planning permission

In addition to sites with outstanding planning permission, as at April 2012, a further 41.09 hectares of land that have not yet secured planning permission is identified for employment purposes through the development plan: this is summarised in this document in the schedule ‘Vacant sites with a specific employment/comprehensive development area allocation in the Local Plan Review/Core Strategy’.

33.5 hectares of employment sites are set out in Core Strategy Table CS4.

Total remaining land identified for non-residential uses

Table 63: Total remaining land identified for non-residential uses as at 31 st March 2012 Vacant Allocated Outstanding floorspace with Employment Land permission (A1-B8 uses) (hectares) Braintree, Bocking, Gt Notley 28,248 35.8 Witham 51,105 0.79 Halstead 650 2.06 Bumpstead (Haverhill Ind. Estate) 936 2.33 Total Urban 80,939 40.98 Rural Areas 9,298 0.11 Total District 90,237 41.09

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Town Centres:

Total floorspace for 'town centre uses'* developed in town centre areas * town centre uses are here defined as Use Class Orders A1, A2, B1a, & D2; town centre boundaries are as defined in the adopted Local Plan

Floorspace figures taken ‘Non-Residential Land Availability Survey 2012’

Table 64: Braintree, Halstead and Witham town centres: Development of 'town centre uses' floorspace (sq m) 2011/12 A1 A2 B1a D2 gross 0 0 0 0 Braintree net 0 0 0 0 gross -256 0 0 0 Halstead net -256 0 0 0 gross 0 0 0 0 Witham net 0 0 0 0 Sum of 3 gross -256 0 0 0 Town Centres net -256 0 0 0

Table 65: Braintree, Halstead and Witham town centres: Development sites: Use Class A1 as at 31st March 2012 Town Centre Outstanding Outstanding Net additional Potential Sites floorspace floorspace floorspace losses, sites without PP, with PP, sq losses with outstanding without PP, hectares m PP, sq m with PP, sq m hectares Braintree 0 0 0 0 0 Halstead 0 0 0 0 0 Witham 971 0 971 0 0 Sum of 3 971 0 971 0 0 town centres

Table 66: Braintree, Halstead and Witham town centres: Development sites: Use Class A2 as at 31st March 2012 Town Centre Outstanding Outstanding Net additional Potential Sites floorspace floorspace floorspace losses, sites without PP, with PP, sq losses with outstanding without PP, hectares m PP, sq m with PP, sq m hectares Braintree 0 0 0 0 0

Halstead 0 0 0 0 0

Witham 0 0 0 0 0 Sum of 3 0 0 0 0 0 town centres

- 77 - 78

Table 67: Braintree, Halstead and Witham town centres: Development sites: Use Class B1a as at 31 st March 2012 Town Centre Outstanding Outstanding Net additional Potential Sites floorspace floorspace floorspace losses, sites without PP, with PP, sq losses with outstanding without PP, hectares m PP, sq m with PP, sq m hectares Braintree 0 -919 -919 0 0

Halstead 0 0 0 0 0

Witham 0 0 0 0 0 Sum of 3 0 -919 -919 0 0 town centres

Table 68: Braintree, Halstead and Witham town centres: Development sites: Use Class D2 as at 31 st March 2012 Town Centre Outstanding Outstanding Net additional Potential Sites floorspace floorspace floorspace losses, sites without PP, with PP, sq losses with outstanding without PP, hectares m PP, sq m with PP, sq m hectares Braintree 0 0 0 0 0 Halstead 0 0 0 0 0 Witham 0 0 0 0 0 Sum of 3 0 0 0 0 0 town centres

Vacant town centre retail units, Braintree District

The table below shows the number of town centre retail units that were vacant in 2012, compared with the position in the years 2007 to 2011. This information was obtained from Council surveys undertaken in September/October/November.

The number of vacant units had declined in Coggeshall, but had increased in Braintree and Halstead, and remained the same in Witham. The total vacant units in the sum of the four town centres has increased. The trend is illustrated in the following chart.

Table 69: Vacant town centre retail units 2007-2012 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Braintree 23 24 28 24 27 30 Witham 24 21 21 25 21 21 Halstead 12 16 11 12 18 19 Coggeshall 3 5 4 5 4 2 Total 4 town 62 66 64 66 70 72 centres Source: Braintree District Council survey, Planning Policy

- 78 - 79

Figure 33: Vacant town centre retail units 2007-2012, Braintree District

35

30 25

20

15

10

5

0 Braintree Witham Halstead Coggeshall

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

35

30

25

20

15

10

5

0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Braintree Witham Halstead Coggeshall

- 79 - 80

The surveys of the four towns have been carried out from 2007. Prior to that, surveys were carried out in the three main town centres, Braintree Witham and Halstead, and the results from 2001 are shown in the table below.

Table 70: Vacant town centre retail units

Total 3 main Year Braintree Witham Halstead Town Centres

2001 28 16 16 60

2002 29 17 13 59

2003 25 12 10 47

2004 26 12 7 45

2005 23 19 10 52

2006 26 19 16 61

2007 23 24 12 59

2008 24 21 16 61

2009 28 21 11 60

2010 24 25 12 61

2011 27 18 18 66

2012 30 21 19 70

Source: Braintree District Council survey, Planning Policy

- 80 - 81

Figure 34: Vacant town centre retail units 2001-2012, Braintree Witham and Halstead

35

30

25

20

15

10

5

0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Braintree Witham Halstead

Source: Braintree District Council survey, Planning Policy

- 81 - 82

Employment change

The Local Development Framework Core Strategy sets out a target of a net additional 14,000 jobs in the District between 2001 and 2026 (an average of 560 per year). The Core Strategy Monitoring Framework breaks down this target further to a target of 7,000 net additional jobs between 2001 and 2013 and 7,000 net additional jobs between 2014 and 2026. The performance measure is defined as the annual number of jobs created.

The overall target for 2001-26 relates to a 25 year period, which as an odd number could not be split into two equal parts as monitoring relies on annual data. The definition of the two periods as 2001-2013 and 2014-2026 is not contiguous and leaves out the year 2013/2014.

Accurate and comparable data on employment is difficult to establish at district level. The Census of Population provides the only detailed baseline data describing the relationship between employed residents and workplace populations. Directly comparable data to the 2001 Census figure will not be available for some time, when the workplace statistics from the 2011 Census are released by ONS. It is possible that there will not be a 2021 Census and that some other form of survey or surveys will be relied upon instead; this raises issues about comparability of future data on employment. For the years between the 2001 and 2011 Census, the only measures of employment in the District are based on sample surveys.

The Labour Force Survey (LFS) and the more recent Annual Population Survey (APS) are household sample surveys which indicate numbers of employed residents. Since 2004 the survey has also published workplace population estimates, enabling the resident/workplace balance to be monitored. As a sample survey, and particularly since the sample size has been reduced, the results show a volatility at district level which is in part due to the confidence interval associated with the sample size.

The Annual Business Inquiry was an annual survey of employee jobs which excluded most self employed jobs. The Office for National Statistics drew attention to discontinuities in the Annual Business Inquiry from year to year and advised against its use for monitoring purposes. The ABI was replaced in 2008 by the Business Register and Employment Survey (BRES) for the years 2008, 2009 and 2010. The figures are rounded to the nearest hundred. BRES is based on a sample survey of businesses, so estimates are subject to sampling errors which need to be taken into account when interpreting the data. At district level, the results are subject to a greater co-efficient of variation than at higher geographies. The co-efficient of variation for Braintree District in 2009 and 2010 was 1.3%, and the standard error was 580 in 2009 and 610 in 2010.

According to the 2001 Census, the workplace population of Braintree District in April 2001 was 50,479. This compared with 64,318 residents in employment.

- 82 - 83

Estimated employment in Braintree District according to the BRES is summarised in Table 71. If the estimate of total employment in 2010 is accurate at 48,900, this suggests that employment has been declining since 2008 and that employment in 2010 was an estimated 1,800 less than employment in the District in 2001. If the target of 14,000 net additional jobs assumed a constant rate of change, this implies an average annual increase of 560 jobs in the District 2001-2026. Taking into account the indicative employment change suggested by the 2010 BRES data, the residual target for 2010-2026 is 15,800 jobs, or approximately 990 per year.

The BRES data suggests that the biggest reductions have been in full time employment. The Insight East report “Structural weaknesses and challenges”, March 2011, found that although the East of England has historically had a stronger labour market than many other regions, it had been badly affected by the recession. A number of places are exposed to impacts of public sector job losses and the recent recovery in employment in the region has been slower than all other regions. The East of England forecasting model estimated that the region will suffer another decrease in total employment between 2010 and 2011, and in addition there are people who are working either part time or short hours despite wanting full time employment. The heaviest job losses have been amongst the lower skilled, which increases the concern about skill and qualification levels in the District.

Table 71: Estimated employment, Braintree District, BRES 2008-2010 2008 2009 2010 change Full time employees, public sector 3,600 4,000 3,800 200 Full time employees, private sector 28,200 26,400 25,300 - 2,900 All full time employees 31,800 30,400 29,200 - 2,600 Par t time employees, public sector 3,700 4,500 4,400 700 Part time employees, private sector 13,300 12,000 11,600 - 1,700 All part time employees 16,900 16,500 16,000 - 900 Total employees, public sector 7,300 8,500 8,200 900 Total employees, private sec tor 41,400 38,400 37,000 - 4,400 All employees 48,700 46,800 45,200 - 3,500 Total employment, public sector 7,300 8,500 8,200 900 Total employment, private sector 45,000 42,500 40,700 - 4,300 Total all employment 52,300 50,900 48,900 - 3,400 Source: Nomis

The Workforce Jobs estimates suggested that total jobs in the District increased by 7,500 (13.9%) over the period 2001 to 2009, compares with a regional average increase of 4.0%. This is in contrast to the information from the BRES estimates which suggested a decline in jobs over that period. In the neighbouring districts of Chelmsford and Colchester, the report indicated

- 83 - 84 total employment increased by 14,900 (19.1%) and 2,500 (3.0%) respectively, whilst employment in Uttlesford was estimated to have declined by 300.

Table 72, below, sets out information from the East of England Annual Monitoring Report 2009 on employment, comparing change in the number of employees according to the Annual Business Inquiry December 2000 and September 2008 with the change in total jobs as measured by the regional Workforce Jobs analysis for March 2001 and March 2009. This provides additional evidence on employment change in the District, but it also demonstrates the variation between different sources.

Whilst the time periods differ, and the ABI survey does not include self employment, it is likely that these are not the only factors in the differences (residence based figures on self employment for the District show 10,900 self employed residents in 2001 according to the Census, and 10,500 residents in 2008/2009 according to the Annual Population Survey). The BRES estimate of employment in the District in 2009 was 50,900, 10,500 less than the regional model estimate for 2009.

Table 72: ABI data on Employees compared to Workforce Total Jobs data, Braintree District ABI survey employees Dec 2000 43,900 ABI survey employees Sept 2008 49,000 Change in employees 2000-2008 according to ABI survey +5,000 Workforce jobs, total jobs March 2001 53,900 Workforce jobs, total jobs March 2009 61,400 Change in total jobs according to WFJ estimates +7,500 Source: EERA; note, figures may not add due to rounding)

Table 73: Employment change 2003-2008, Braintree District compared to Essex, East of England and England, from ABI data 2003 2008 Net change Per cent change Braintree District 48,400 49,000 600 + 1.2% Essex + 2.1% East of England Region + 3.8% England + 3.8%

Source: Insight East, from Nomis, Annual Business Inquiry, figures rounded to nearest 100.

The table below compares data on change in the number of jobs in the District. These figures are taken from work done as part of the evidence base for the review of the East of England Plan.

- 84 - 85

Table 74: Employment change in Braintree District: Comparison between data sources Annual Business Inquiry data, employees Dec 2000 43,900 Annual Business Inquiry employees Sept 2008 49,000 ABI employees change 2000-2008 + 5,000 Workforce Jobs Total Jobs March 2001 53,900 Workforce Jobs total jobs March 2009 61,400 Workforce Jobs total jobs change 2001-2009 +7,500 Percentage change in Workforce Jobs total jobs 2001-2009 + 13.9% Employed Residents 2000/2001, Labour Force Survey 64,000 Employed Residents 2008/2009, Annual Population Survey 65,600 Change in employed residents 2000/01 to 2008/09 + 1,600 Change in net out commuting April 2001 to 2008/09 - 5,300 Estimated change in Workplace population 2000/01 to 2008/09 + 6,900

Source: EERA Technical Report

Forecast future employment change

The Insight East's East of England Forecasting Model Autumn 2010 provides forecasts of future net employment change by District. The forecasts for Braintree District for 2001-2026 are summarised in Table 75.

Table 75: Forecast employment Braintree District according to the Autumn 2010 East of England Model Baseline Forecasts Year Total employment (jobs) Change over 5 yr period 2001 55,100 2006 61,100 + 6,000 2011 60,600 - 500 2016 63,400 + 2,800 2021 64,000 + 600 2026 63,600 - 400 Forecast 2001-2026 change + 8,500 Source: Insight East, East of England Forecasting Model Autumn 2010

Figure 35 compares the growth needed to achieve the Councils target of 14,000 net additional jobs 2001-2026 with forecast employment change in the District to 2026 according to the Baseline Forecasts in the Autumn 2010 run of the East of England Forecasting Model.

- 85 - 86

Figure 35: East of England Model Baseline Forecasts Autumn 2010 compared with the Council’s Jobs Target

14000

12000

10000

8000 6000

4000

2000

0

02 04 06 08 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 026 20 2

Cumulative net additional jobs target (14,000 total) EERA Baseline Model Autumn 2010 cumulative jobs change from 2001

Source: Insight East, East of England Forecasting Model Baseline Forecasts Autumn 2010

The forecasting model uses 2008 employment data at District level; at regional level data was available up to 2010. The Baseline Forecasts reflect Oxford Economics view, as a best estimate at that time, of likely economic change taking into account the local economic structure and performance (but not proposed policy interventions). The model shows employment growth levelling off after the period of relatively high growth in 2001-2006, and shows a net loss of jobs over the periods 2006-2011 and 2021-2026. The model forecasts an increase in employment over the whole period 2001-2026 of 8,500 jobs (an average of +340 per year) compared to the target of 14,000 (an average of +560 per year), and forecasts employment change 2011-2026 as an additional 3,000 jobs (an average of +200 per year).

The model is now managed by Cambridgeshire County Council under a service level agreement with the East of England Local Government Association, and with a Steering Group of Strategic Authority representatives. Oxford Economics has been commissioned to carry out further work with the model and produce an annual set of forecasts. The forecast sectoral change in the updates may be not directly comparable with the 2010 model as the industrial classification is being updated to reflect the 2007 Industrial Classification instead of the 2003 Industrial Classification. Updated forecasts as at Autumn 2012 are being published in Spring 2013.

The headline figures from the Autumn 2012 Baseline forecasts are:

Total workplace employed people Forecast to increase 2001-2026 by 8,600 jobs (an average of 344 per year); performance against the target of 14,000 additional jobs 61%;

- 86 - 87

Forecast increase 2001-13 3,600 jobs (an average of 299 p.a.); a shortfall of 3,400 against target, and a performance against target of 51%.

Forecast change 2014-26 estimated at 4,200, an average of 348 p.a.; a shortfall of 2,800 jobs and performance of 60% against target.

Forecast change over the Core Strategy period 2009-26 +2,900 jobs, an average of 193 per year.

Net out commuting forecast to increase 2001-26 by 5,100; over the Core Strategy period 2009-26 net out commuting forecast to increase by 7,700.

Table 76 sets out information from other sources on employment change in the District. The 2001 Census contains information on the number of people working in the District from the Special Workplace Statistics; in due course information will be available from the 2011 Census. Information for 2008, 2009 and 2010 from the Business Register and Employment Survey, published by ONS, is an estimate of the number of jobs for those years. The figures for the number of jobs in the District according to the BRES surveys are markedly lower than the figures for those years in the East of England Forecasting Model estimates, and the gap between those two sources is widening. This may be in part explained by the difference between jobs and workers, with some jobs being shared by people working part time, and/or by some workers having two or more jobs (e.g. two part time jobs), and by the number of people working part time or doing more than one job increasing.

Table 76: Employment in the District 2001, 2008, 2009,2010: comparison of data sources According to 2001 Census/BRES According to East of England Difference Survey Autumn 2010 Model 2001 Census, people 50,479 Estimated number 55,100 +4,621 working in the District of jobs 2001 (9%) BRES survey estimate 52,300 Estimated number 61,900 +9,600 total jobs 2008 of jobs 2008 (18%) BRES survey estimate 50,900 Estimated number 61,300 +10,400 total jobs 2009 of jobs 2009 (20%) BRES survey estimate 48,900 Estimated number 61,000 +12,100 total jobs 2010 of jobs 2010 (25%) BRES estimated - 3,400 Estimated change - 900 (- +2,500 change 2008-2010 (-1,700/yr) 2008-10 450/yr)

- 87 - 88

Hotel Bedrooms

The number of hotel bedrooms in the District totalled 521 in 2011: White Hart Braintree 3 stars 31 rooms Hampton by Hilton Braintree Upper Tier Budget (3 stars) 76 rooms Premier Inn Braintree (A120) Budget 60 rooms Premier Inn Braintree (Freeport) Budget 48 rooms The Old House Hotel Braintree n/a 6 rooms White Hart Witham n/a 18 rooms The Bull Hotel Halstead 3 stars 16 rooms Rivenhall Hotel 3 stars 55 rooms Prested Hall Feering 3 stars 12 rooms Travelodge Feering Budget 39 rooms The Essex Earls Colne 3 stars 42 rooms Drapers Hotel Earls Colne 3 stars 9 rooms White Hart Hotel Coggeshall 3 stars 18 rooms Days Inn Bumpstead Rd Sturmer n/a 80 rooms

Over the monitoring year, planning permission was granted for a further 137 beds; 95 at the Rivenhall Hotel, and 42 (on appeal) at Long Green Cressing. The LDF Core Strategy proposes a new hotel site as part of the Skyline 2 Growth Location at Great Notley, and a hotel is proposed as part of the mixed use town centre regeneration development at land rear of the Town Hall in Braintree. In addition, there is a vacant hotel with potential for expansion at Woodlands Manor Black Notley (adjacent the Great Leighs Racecourse site; planning permission was granted for an extension but was not implemented and has now expired).

- 88 - 89

Housing

Plan period and housing targets

The relevant development plan for the housing target as at April 2012 was the Braintree District Local Development Framework Core Strategy (adopted in September 2011).

The Plan Period for the Local Development Framework Core Strategy is 2009-2026.

The housing target

• The housing provision for the District in Policy CS1 over the period 2009-2026 is 4,637 dwellings

• Taking into account dwellings built 2009/2012 (1,179), the residual housing provision to fulfil the target is 3,458 dwellings for the period 2012-2026, which represents an annual average of 247 dwellings.

Net additional dwellings – in previous years

The chart below presents information on net dwelling stock change by year for the previous five years (i.e. 2007-2012), based on annual site checks.

Figure 36: Net dwelling stock change Braintree District 2007 to 2012

700

600

500

400

300

200

100

0 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12

Policy target:

The draft housing target from 2009 is an annual average of 273 dwellings (4,637 divided by 17).

- 89 - 90

Performance against target:

Performance has exceeded the target for the period 2009-2012. The annual average number of dwellings completed over the period 2009-2012 was 393. Performance measured 144% against the target of annual average of 273 dwellings. If a constant rate of supply was assumed from the Plan target over the period 2009-2026, based on this pro rata measure the District was ahead by 360 dwellings by April 2012, despite the current recession.

Commentary

The planned rate of growth for Braintree District set out in the Local Development Framework Core Strategy provides for a slowing down of growth from 2001 compared to the high rates experienced in the past. The past high rates of housing and population growth have led to worsening housing- employment alignment and pressure on infrastructure.

Housing development rates in the District have been much higher than proposed - and local labour market estimates published by the Office for National Statistics indicate that housing-employment alignment remains an issue of concern.

In the short term, the exceptional housing market conditions have slowed down delivery, as development has been restricted by the housing market and availability of mortgage finance.

Nonetheless, housing supply 2011/2012 was higher than the annual average required to fulfil the Local Development Framework Core Strategy.

Using the definition of small sites as sites of less than 10 dwellings (as used in the LDF Core Strategy), a net total of 88 dwellings were completed on small sites in the year 2011/2012 (this compares with a net total of 76 dwellings in the year 2010/2011). An average of 94 dwellings per year were completed on small sites over the period 2001-2012. Supply from small sites formed 29% of supply in 2011/2012, and 17% of supply over the period 2001-2011.

The main large sites that contributed to dwelling supply in 2011/2012 are listed below:

• Former Convent site Bocking North 14 dwellings • Land at Deerleap Way Bocking Blackwater 13 dwellings • Plumbase site Braintree Central 16 dwellings • Water Tower site Braintree Central 14 dwellings • Former Riverside Centre Braintree South 46 dwellings • Land south of Mill Hill Braintree South 12 dwellings • Priory Hall Halstead St Andrews 24 dwellings • Gladys Malpass House Halstead St Andrews 11 dwellings • Rayne Foundry site Rayne 21 dwellings

- 90 - 91

Net additional dwellings for 2011/2012

The net addition to the dwelling stock for the reporting year, 2011/2012, was 301 dwellings.

Policy target:

The Local Development Framework Core Strategy provides for an annual average of 273 dwellings (minimum) over the period 2009-2026. Taking into account the 878 dwellings added to the stock in 2009/2011, leaving a residual of 3,759 dwellings to be built 2011-2026, the annual average needed at April 2011 to meet the housing provision target to 2026 (the “managed delivery target”) was 251 dwellings.

Performance against target:

According to the Local Development Framework Core Strategy target (adopted September 2011), performance exceeded the policy target by 50 dwellings. Performance (301) against target (251) in the year 2011/2012 was 120%.

Commentary:

Housing growth since 2001 in Braintree District had been one of the highest performers in relation to the East of England Plan targets.

Housing supply 2011/2012 (301 dwellings), despite the continued recession, exceeded the forecast supply set out in the 2011 Local Development Framework Annual Monitoring Report (221 dwellings). Supply 2011/2012 exceeded the policy target set out in the Local Development Framework Core Strategy. Despite the recession, the District has exceeded the pro-rata level of housing supply required over the three years 2009-2012 by 360 dwellings, building more than 4 years worth of housing over that 3 year period (1,179 achieved compared with a target of 819, based on three years at the average annual target from 2009 of 273 dwellings). This confirms that the Council has continued to have a good record of housing delivery against housing requirements.

Net additional dwellings in future years

The Council has assessed future supply in the District using information from the annual residential land survey, from planning permissions granted and sites in the development pipeline, and taking into account the draft allocations bring proposed by the Council for future development as set out in the Local Development Framework Draft Site Allocations.

- 91 - 92

The strategic housing allocations of the three large Growth Location sites at Braintree and Witham, and the two main regeneration sites at Sible Hedingham and Silver End are already adopted allocations via the LDF Core Strategy. The timing of the development of the Growth Locations will, in accordance with Core Strategy Policy CS1, be phased to ensure that the requirement for a continuous supply of housing land is met. They are proposed to be developed in the later part of the Plan Period, and Policy CS1 provides for the possibility of bringing them forward earlier if monitoring of the 5-year supply of housing land in the District shows that this is needed. Master Plans were approved by the Council in 2012 for the development of the North West Braintree Growth Location, and for the Premdor regeneration site in Sible Hedingham.

Government policy guidance on housing supply in the National Planning Policy Framework allows local planning authorities to make a realistic allowance for windfall sites, including in the five year supply assessment, and the Council has examined the evidence that this will contribute to housing supply in the District and supplement the identified sites. On the basis of past experience it would be expected that windfalls will, in practice, come forward and supplement identified supply.

In overview, the total outstanding dwelling sites with permission in April 2007 was 1,881 (source Essex County Council, 2006/2007 Residential Land Availability summary tables). Net dwelling stock change 2007-2012 totalled 2,149, and the total potential dwelling supply on sites with planning permission in April 2012 as set out in the housing trajectory in this report was 1,041. This means that in broad terms, the supply on sites with planning permission increased over the five year period 2007-2012 by 1,309 (1,041 + 2,149, - 1881), an average of 262 dwellings per year. A total of 871 of this increase was on sites shown as allocated in the Review Local Plan and without planning permission in April 2007, which means that there was a net total increase of 871 in the supply of dwelling sites with permission, other than from sites allocated in the Review Local Plan (an annual average of 174 dwellings).

Monitoring of windfall sites by Essex County Council examined the increase in supply from windfall sites on previously developed land (using the definition of previously developed land in place at April 2010). This monitoring indicated that a total of 1,492 dwelling sites were added to supply from brownfield windfall sites over the nine year period 2001 to 2011, an average of 149 per year.

The recession has affected windfall supply in recent years, as it has housing supply generally in the District as in the country, but even so windfall sites, and previously developed windfall sites, have continued to add to housing supply. Assuming that there will be some recovery in the housing market in future years, the scale of additional supply from windfall sites will increase in terms of market housing. In terms of affordable/social housing, the main social housing provider the in the district (Greenfields Community Gateway housing association) is actively pursuing a comprehensive programme of identifying, bringing forward and developing windfall sites such as garage

- 92 - 93 courts and other surplus land, and redevelopment of sheltered units with shared facilities (Use Class C2) to provide dwellings with improved and independent facilities (Use Class C3).

Monitoring shows that the rate of windfalls, and in particular the rate of brownfield windfalls, is now recovering. A total of 62 additional potential dwellings on brownfield windfall sites have been identified from planning permissions or approvals over the 8 month period from April to the end of November 2012 (with permission granted for a further 20 dwellings on Greenfield sites over this period); and an estimated further 54 dwellings have been identified on previously developed sites “in the pipeline” which are the subject of current planning applications or pre-application discussions with Greenfields Community Gateway alone.

Dwelling completions on windfall sites over the five year period 2007-2012 totalled an average of 198 per year, of which an average of 146 per year were on previously developed land. As would be expected, the development rate from windfall sites declined with the recession, as did dwelling completion rates overall, but nonetheless over the three year period 2009-2012 an average of 192 dwellings per year were achieved from windfall sites, of which 141 were on previously developed land.

Taking the above information into account, it would be realistic to expect an estimated contribution from windfall sites (as referred to in paragraph 48 of the National Planning Policy Framework) of an average of 110 dwellings per year.

The projections of housing supply in the District are based on information on:

Large sites (sites of 10 dwellings or more): The forecasts of supply from large sites prepared in consultation with stakeholders, including landowners, developers and agents as part of work on the Strategic Housing Land Availability Assessment, were reviewed against the results of monitoring and current information on the sites.

Small sites (sites of less than 10 dwellings): The housing trajectory demonstrates that there are very many small sites in the District. For the small sites, site forecasts were made taking into account the planning status and a review of the current information on the sites (including Discharge of Conditions and Building Control information).

Projected dwelling completions for a 5 year period from April 2013

The projected supply of housing over the 5-year period 2013-2018 has been assessed, based on housing sites that are readily available for development. The sites included in the 5-year supply are available, suitable and achievable.

- 93 - 94

Appendix 1 to this report lists sites included in the 5 year supply assessment. In terms of the current exceptional housing market conditions, the assessment assumes that housing development rates in the District will be lower than experienced prior to 2008. Despite this, the projected completion rates meet the development plan housing targets and satisfy the requirement for a 5-year supply of land, and the forecast marked reduction in development rates in the short term brings the District into closer alignment with the scale of growth for the District set out in the Local Development Framework Core Strategy. Many of these sites are with planning permission.

Some sites did not yet have planning permission as at April 2012, but are expected to be developed within the five year period to 2018; the comments in the schedule demonstrate that many of the sites without permission at 2012 are already coming forward and now have planning permission, and some are already under construction.

Table 77: Braintree District housing provision: Summary of progress so far, Local Development Framework Core Strategy Dwellings to build 2001-2026 9,625 Annual average 385 Dwellings built 2001-2012 6,167 Annual average 561 Dwellings to build 2012-2026 3,458 Annual average 247

The table set out below illustrates the projected supply of housing in the District over the period to 2018. This is then compared with the annual average number of number of dwellings needed 2013-2018 to meet the housing provision in the Core Strategy after taking into account the number of dwellings already completed by 2012 (the Managed Delivery Target).

Although Year 1 of the 5 year supply is 2013/2014, the residual annual average requirement is based on the position as at 2012 and is not adjusted to take into account forecast completions 2012/2013 (termed the “reporting year”).

Table 78: Forecast supply over the 5-year supply period 2013-18

2012/13 Sum Year 1: Year 2: Year 3: Year 4: Year 5: (reporting years 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 year) 1-5

Projected 171 259 265 307 392 361 1,584 completions

Annual target, LDF 247 1,235 Core Strategy

If dwelling completion rates are as projected, the managed delivery target would change as shown in the table below.

- 94 - 95

Table 79: The Managed Delivery Target over the 5-year supply period 2012/13 Year 1: Year 2: Year 3: Year 4: Year 5: (reporting 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 year) Projected completions 171 259 265 307 392 361 Annual target at start of year, taking into account past 247 253 252 251 246 229 completions

Policy target:

According to Government Guidance, the level of housing provision to be delivered should be based on the housing provision in the Development Plan adjusted to reflect the level of housing that has already been delivered. The policy target for Braintree District is set out in the adopted Local Development Framework Core Strategy. The housing provision in the Local Development Framework Core Strategy is based upon the rate of growth for the District that was set out in the East of England Plan, extended to 2026.

As at April 2012, the residual housing provision from the Core Strategy was an annual average of 247 dwellings, and a 5 year supply target of 1,235 dwellings.

Performance:

The projected housing supply over the period 2013-2018 was a total of 1,584 dwellings. This would more than satisfy the requirement to identify a potential buffer of an additional 5% to ensure delivery of the target (the target plus 5% amounts to 1,298 dwellings).

Performance against target: 128% (1,584/1,235)

Note: Government guidance allows for the inclusion of forecast supply from windfall sites (sites not currently specifically identified) in the assessment of supply. The evidence discussed earlier demonstrates that the identified supply set out in Appendix 2 of this Monitoring Report will be supplemented by windfall sites which will come forward in the District over the remainder of the Plan Period. Supply from these future windfall sites will be in addition to the forecast supply set out above.

- 95 - 96

Projected dwelling completions for the remainder of the Plan Period

This aspect of the trajectory should illustrate the level of net additional housing expected to come forward over the longer term, for the remainder of the Plan Period. This assessment should be based on developable sites.

Managing housing supply, including the timing of future large site allocations coming forward, is a key issue for the Local Development Framework.

The supply assessment includes sites with planning permission, draft allocations proposed in the LDF Draft Site Allocations consultation, and other small sites identified as coming forward, as indicated in the trajectory.

Table 80: Projected dwelling completions 2012-2026

Year Projected dwelling Year Projected dwelling completions completions 2012/2013 171 2019/2020 427 2013/2014 259 2020/2021 339 2014/2015 265 2021/2022 234 2015/2016 307 2022/2023 255 2016/2017 392 2023/2024 265 2017/2018 361 2024/2025 301 2018/2019 433 2025/2026 265 Supply to end of Plan Period 4,274 2012/2026 Compared with target 2012/2026 based on LDF Core 3,458 Strategy:

The supply requirement for the period 2012/2026 is 3,458 (an annual average of 247 dwellings). The forecast supply for the period 2012/2026 is 4,274 (an annual average of 305 dwellings).

The details of the housing supply forecasts are shown in the schedule in Appendix 3.

- 96 - 97

The Managed Delivery Target

The Development Plan Target

The Development Plan Target in the East of England Plan for the Plan Period 2001-2021 was an annual average of 385 dwellings per year, with provision for development beyond 2021 to be at the same average rate. The Braintree District Local Development Framework Core Strategy retained this annual average target and extended the Plan Period to 2026. The housing target 2001-2026 according to both sources is the same, the Local Development Framework being consistent with the East of England Plan.

The Managed Delivery Target

The Managed Delivery Target takes into account actual and projected housing delivery and compares the cumulative effect of this delivery with the annual average target set out in the Development Plan.

In the case of a District where supply had been falling short of the annual average target, this would have the effect of increasing the target for the future.

In the case of Braintree District, supply so far has substantially exceeded the annual average set out in the development plan, and this has the effect of decreasing the target in future years to meet the minimum housing provision for the plan period.

As at April 2012, the Managed Delivery Target to 2026 was an average of 247dwellings per year.

The schedule and chart overleaf illustrate the changes to the Managed Delivery Target from 2001 to 2026, taking into account actual and then projected dwelling completions.

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Table 81: The Managed Delivery (MD) Target and the LDF Core Strategy

No. of Managed Delivery No. of Cumulative dwellings target for Dwellings Projected Cumulative years left Development above following year, completed completions completions in Plan Plan target cumulative taking account of Period target completions 2001- 647 647 385 262 374 25 2002 2002- 659 1,306 770 536 362 24 2003 2003- 854 2,160 1,155 1,005 339 23 2004 2004- 693 2,853 1,540 1,313 322 22 2005 2005- 507 3,360 1,925 1,435 313 21 2006 2006- 658 4,018 2,310 1,708 295 20 2007 2007- 628 4,646 2,695 1,951 277 19 2008 2008- 342 4,988 3,080 1,908 273 18 2009 2009- 428 5,416 3,465 1,951 263 17 2010 2010- 450 5,866 3,850 2,016 251 16 2011 2011- 301 6,167 4,235 1,932 247 15 2012 2012- 171 6,338 4,620 1,718 253 14 2013 2013- 259 6,597 5,005 1,592 252 13 2014 2014- 265 6,862 5,390 1,472 251 12 2015 2015- 307 7,169 5,775 1,394 246 11 2016 2016- 392 7,561 6,160 1,401 229 10 2017 2017- 361 7,922 6,545 1,377 213 9 2018 2018- 433 8,355 6,930 1,425 181 8 2019 2019- 427 8,782 7,315 1,467 141 7 2020 2020- 339 9,121 7,700 1,421 101 6 2021 2021- 234 9,355 8,085 1,270 68 5 2022 2022- 255 9,610 8,470 1,140 5 4 2023 2023- 265 9,875 8,855 1020 -125 3 2024 2024- 301 10,176 9,240 936 -551 2 2025 2025- 265 10,441 9,625 816 1 2026

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Figure 37: The Managed Delivery Target 2001-2026 Braintree District

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Dw ellings completed Projected completions Plan Target Managed Delivery Target

Policy target:

The Local Development Framework Core Strategy Development Plan target supply target for 2012-2026, taking into account housing supply achieved up to April 2012, is 3,458 dwellings.

Calculation as follows:

9,625 LDF Core Strategy provision for the period 2001-2026 - 6,167 net dwelling supply 2001-2012 = 3,458 residual dwelling supply needed 2012-2026

Performance:

The projected housing supply 2012-2026 is 4,274 dwellings.

Performance against target:

Forecast performance exceeds the target minimum by 816 dwellings.

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Forecast performance against target is 124% for the period 2012-2026, and 108% for the whole of the plan period 2001-2026.

Note: Government guidance allows for the inclusion of forecast supply from windfall sites (sites not currently specifically identified) in the assessment of supply. The evidence discussed earlier demonstrates that the identified supply set out in Appendix 3 of this Monitoring Report will be supplemented by windfall sites which will come forward in the District over the remainder of the Plan Period. Supply from these future windfall sites will be in addition to the forecast supply set out above.

Distribution of supply within the District

The Local Development Framework Core Strategy, Table CS1, sets out a distribution of housing provision within the District. The information in the table below is intended to assist in monitoring the distribution of supply against the distribution of provision in Table CS1, updating the information to 2012 from the Core Strategy base date of 2009.

The Council is currently preparing for consultation on the Site Allocations Document. Draft site allocations proposed by the Council in the Site Allocations consultation are included in the assessment of supply. Future monitoring will take into account changes that take place as the Site Allocations Document moves towards adoption, in terms of deletion or addition of sites.

The scale and distribution of supply is subject to change; there are likely to be windfall sites; additional sites may be identified through the Site Allocations Document consultation; the estimated capacity of some sites currently identified may change, and some sites currently identified may be not included in future assessments of supply. These caveats should be borne in mind in interpreting the results of this 2012 review of the distribution of supply against Table CS1.

The requirement for a five year supply of readily available land does not apply below District level.

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Table 82: Monitoring and review of distribution of housing provision in Table CS1 of the LDF Core Strategy

Housing provision Residual dwellings to Proposed revision Proposed revised Net Dwelling supply CS1 policy area 2009-2026, provide to CS1 provision CS1 provision 2009-2012 Table CS1 2012-2026 Braintree (Braintree, Bocking, Gt Notley, 1,300 555 745 Stileman’s Wood; excl. Growth Location) Braintree NW Growth Location 600 0 600 Witham (excluding Growth Locations) 800 -100 700 204 496 Witham SW Growth Location 600 +100 700 0 700 Witham NE Growth Location 300 0 300 Halstead 300 124 176 Key Service Villages 600 99 501 Other Villages 300 197 103 District Total 4,800 1,179 3,621

% of CS1 2009-26 Residual Estimated housing supply for development 2012-2026, Dwellings built 2009- provision identified, dwellings to by planning status 2012 plus capacity CS1 policy area and forecast provide 2012- identified for future Full Outline Without variance from CS1 2026 Total development permission permission permission provision 2009-26 Braintree (Braintree, Bocking, Gt Notley; 745 365 64 545 974 1,529 118%, + 229 Stileman’s Wood; excl. Growth Location) Braintree NW Growth Location 600 0 0 600 600 600 100%, 0 Witham (excluding Growth Locations) 496 23 230 246 499 703 100%, + 3 Witham SW Growth Location 700 0 0 700 700 700 100%, 0 Witham NE Growth Location 300 0 0 300 300 300 100%, 0 Halstead 176 103 7 162 272 396 131%, + 96 Key Service Villages 501 82 6 573 661 760 127%, + 160 Other Villages 103 147 21 100 268 465 155%, + 165 District Total 3,621 720 328 3,221 4,274 5,453 114%, + 653

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Dwellings built on previously developed land

This indicator shows the gross number of completions (new build dwellings plus gains from changes of use and conversions) on previously developed land, as a percentage of all gross dwelling completions. The results for Braintree District 2011/2012 were as follows:

• Total gross dwelling completions 2011/2012: 322 • Gross dwelling completions on previously developed land: 206 • Percentage of gross dwelling completions which were on previously developed land: 63.98%%

In June 2010, the Government changed the definition of previously developed land so as to exclude development in part of the garden of an existing dwelling (so called "garden-grabbing"). The 2012 Monitoring Report uses the new definition, and permissions granted before June 2010 have been reclassified to allow a consistent approach, although there remains some uncertainty on the technical details of how the new definition is applied (primarily in relation to sites that include redevelopment or conversion). As a result, and bearing in mind that some local planning authorities are not reclassifying pre-June 2010 permissions, it is not possible to directly compare one district with another on this indicator. It is also difficult to directly compare performance in Braintree District over time on this indicator because of the change in definition, as Annual Monitoring Reports prior to 2011 used the pre-June 2010 definition of previously developed land.

The table below demonstrates the proportion of gross dwelling completions that were on previously developed land for the years 2009/10 (translated to reflect the new definition); 2010/11 and 2011/12.

Table 83: Dwelling completions on Previously Developed Land Braintree District 2009-2012, according to the revised definition issued in June 2010 Total Gross Number that were % that were on (% that would Dwelling on previously previously have been on completions developed land developed land PDL under the old definition) 2009/10 449 276 61.57% (92.87%) 2010/11 480 342 71.25% (77.29%) 2011/12 322 206 63.98% (75.78%)

Policy target:

The Government has abolished the national policy target on this indicator, and has stated that local planning authorities are not now required to monitor performance against this national target, it being for local authorities to consider what is appropriate for their own area. The target in the East of England Plan was that 60% of the housing supply in the region should be from previously developed

- 102 - 103 land, but the Plan recognised that the extent to which this was achieved would vary across the region. Again, that target was set in the context of the previous definition of previously developed land. The overall spatial strategy set out in the East of England Plan Policy SS2 asked Local Development Documents to adopt an approach to the location of major development which prioritises the re-use of previously developed land in or around urban areas to the fullest extent possible while ensuring an adequate supply of land.

There was not a target for this indicator in the Adopted Review Braintree District Local Plan; the Inspector considered that the draft target should be deleted and this recommendation was accepted by the Council. The Plan does, however, set out a general development principle in the supporting text of “a target of 40% of housing completions to be on previously developed land between 1996 and 2011, with 50% to be achieved between 2001 and 2011”.

The LDF Core Strategy did not set a locally defined target for the District, and although Monitoring Framework set out in Chapter 10 of the Core Strategy lists the national target of 60% (based on the old definition) as a performance target to be monitored, it should be borne in mind that this national target has now been abolished and the definition has changed, so that the equivalent proportion of the 60% under the old definition, translated to the new definition, would have been lower.

Performance against target:

Performance 2011/2012 at 71.25% exceeded 60%.

It is expected that performance on this indicator in Braintree District will reduce in the future as the proposed new large site allocations – which are mainly greenfield sites – are developed, as these sites form a substantial part of proposed future housing supply.

Future performance will also be affected by the change in definition of previously developed land.

The change in definition of previously developed land has made geographic and over-time comparisons difficult. There are technical complications on the definition with some sites which have led to differences in the way the definition is being interpreted, and also many local planning authorities have not reclassified permissions granted prior to the change in definition in June 2010.

The information on projected future completions on previously developed land in Braintree District, as set out in this report, does incorporate reclassification of sites with permission prior to June 2010. The chart below illustrates the projected trajectory of net housing supply from previously developed sites 2012-2026 in comparison with projected net supply from greenfield sites.

This trajectory does not take into account possible future windfall sites which may come forward during the plan period, some of which would be on previously developed land.

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Figure 38: Forecast housing supply 2012-26: forecast supply from previously developed sites (June 2010 definition) compared with forecast supply from greenfield sites, number of dwellings by year.

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previously developed land greenfield sites

The Council has examined the potential from previously developed land in urban areas, including large sites at the former Premdor Works at Sible Hedingham and at the former Crittall Works site at Silver End. However, the full extent of supply that needed to be identified could not be met wholly from previously developed land and the three major growth locations proposed in the Local Development Framework Core Strategy are all greenfield sites.

Table 84: Projected proportion of dwelling completions on previously developed land (June 2010 definition ) 2012-2026 Year % of supply from PDL sites Year % of supply from PDL sites 2012/13 56.7% 2019/20 21.1% 2013/14 81.5% 2020/21 22.1% 2014/15 51.7% 2021/22 13.7% 2015/16 55.4% 2022/23 7.8% 2016/17 49.2% 2023/24 3.8% 2017/18 37.4% 2024/25 12.0% 2018/19 24.7% 2025/26 5.7%

Forecast performance on this indicator declines over the plan period (subject to the caveat that future, as yet unidentified, windfall sites are not included in this analysis). On the basis of sites currently identified, the trajectory indicates that the proportion of housing supply from previously developed land 2012-26 would be 30%, and the proportion from 2009-26 would be 39%. The trajectory forecasts supply from the proposed new large growth locations as being timed from 2017/2018, being brought forward then to maintain housing supply.

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Housing Location and Density:

The table below sets out information on the density of housing development in 2010/2011, and a comparison with the results for the previous four years. The results are based on analysis of sites of 10 or more dwellings.

Table 85: Percentage of new dwellings built at densities of Density (dwellings per hectare) 2011/12 2010/11 2009/10 2008/09 2007/08 2006/07 Less than 30 dwellings 23.4% 3.6% 0% 0% 2.0% 0% Between 30 and 50 dwellings 50.2% 32.7% 29.3% 16.7% 21.9% 44.2% Above 50 dwellings 26.4% 63.7% 70.7% 83.3% 76.0% 55.8% Source: Essex County Council Planning Development Monitoring 2012 Policy target: There is no longer a national policy target on density.

The LDF Core Strategy (adopted September 2011) discusses density in paragraphs 5.12-5.16. The Council does not set a density target in the Core Strategy, considering that this is too crude a measure and not likely to be the best way of getting the best quality housing in all locations. The appropriate density will vary with the particular location, site and type of development.

Commentary: The proportion of completions on sites with densities above 50 dwellings per hectare has decreased, and the proportion that is below 30 dwellings per hectare has increased to over 1 in 4 of dwellings built 2011/12 (on the sites assessed).

Location: Geography of completions

The table below sets out information on the distribution of dwelling supply within the District over the reporting year; since the start of the Core Strategy period in 2009, and since 2001. The figures for the town of Braintree also include Bocking and Great Notley. The six key service village parishes are Coggeshall; Earls Colne; Hatfield Peverel; Kelvedon; Sible Hedingham and Silver End (as defined in the Local Development Framework Core Strategy).

Table 86: Location: Geography of net dwelling completions Settlement % of District total % of District total % of District total 2011/2012 2009-2012 2001-2012 Braintree (incl. also 52.8% 47.0% 51.0% Bocking & Gt Notley) Witham 1.7% 17.2% 22.5% Halstead 16.6% 10.5% 7.5% Urban areas total 71.1% 74.7% 81.0% Key Service Villages 4.0% 8.6% 8.9% Other Villages 24.9% 16.8% 10.1% Source: Essex County Council Planning Development Monitoring 2012

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A high proportion of completions in 2010/11 occurred in the urban areas of the 3 main towns (71.1%), with a further 4% occurring in the 6 key service villages. The proportion of development in the non-key-service village rural areas has increased; the recession may have had less impact on development of small sites in the rural areas than on other sites in the district.

Analysis of dwelling completions against accessibility criteria by Essex County Council indicated that the proportion of dwelling completions in the monitoring year within 30 minutes passenger transport travel time of the following services facilities as:

Table 87: Accessibility of dwelling completions 2011/2012: Within 30 minutes passenger transport travelling % of gross % of net time of: completions completions A primary school 94.41 95.35 A secondary school 93.79 95.02 Post 16 education 92.86 94.02 A major retail centre 90.37 91.36 A GP 90.37 91.36 A hospital 90.37 91.36 An employment area employing 500+ persons 93.79 95.02

Source: ECC Development Monitoring, 2012

The proportion that met this standard has reduced compared with the previous year, reflecting the findings on the geography of dwelling completions (above).

Policy target:

There is no target percentage, but the Local Development Framework Core Strategy seeks to concentrate development at the main urban areas.

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Gypsies and Travellers

According to the 2011 Census, in March 2011 there were 132 people in the District who defined their ethnic group as White, Gypsy or Irish Traveller.

The adopted Core Strategy Policy CS3 sets out the following requirements for Gypsies and Travellers and Travelling Showpersons in Braintree District: • A minimum of 50 authorised gypsy and traveller residential pitches by 2011 • A minimum of 67 authorised gypsy and traveller residential pitches by 2021 • 5 gypsy and traveller transit pitches by 2013 • 6 gypsy and traveller transit pitches by 2021 • I additional travelling showpersons plot by 2021

The number of gypsy and traveller caravans in Braintree District for the last 5 counts, between January 2010 and January 2012, is shown in Table 88, based on figures published by the Department for Communities and Local Government.

The details of the results of the January 2012 survey of Gypsy, Traveller and Travelling Showpeople sites are set out in Table 89. As at January 2012, the provision totalled 38 authorised gypsy and traveller pitches, and 21 unauthorised gypsy and traveller pitches, making a total of 59 pitches.

Table 88: Number of gypsy and traveller caravans, last 5 counts Jan July Jan July Jan 2010 2010 2011 2011 2012 Socially rented 36 40 51 51 49 Private caravans with planning 9 7 20 21 28 permission Caravans on Gypsies’ own land: 0 Tolerated 1 1 0 0 24 Not tolerated 24 12 31 31 Caravans on land not owned by Gypsies: 1 Tolerated 0 0 0 1 0 Not tolerated 0 0 1 0 Total All Caravans 70 60 103 104 102 Source: Communities and Local Government, 2012

Future provision

In 2008 the Council agreed to take steps to authorise the existing site as Twin Oaks, Stisted which would provide 21 authorised pitches, when highway improvements are secured. If the Twin Oaks site had achieved authorisation, the target of 50 authorised pitches by 2011 would have been met. The number of pitches identified as authorised or with planning permission, plus the Twin Oaks site when authorised, leaves a balance of 8 pitches to be provided during the period to 2021, to be identified through the Local Development Framework or development control processes. Proposals for sites will be considered as part of the Site Allocations Document consultation in 2013.

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Table 89: Braintree District Council Gypsy and Traveller and Travelling Showperson Count as at January 2012 Location OS Grid No. of No. of No. of Reference Sites Pitches/ Caravans Privately funded sites with permanent planning permPlotsission or temporary planning permission Half Acre Cressing 578129E/ 1 4 7 221763N Station Road Earls Colne 584681E/ 1 2 10 229704N Ferriers Farm Road Bures 589982E/ 1 1 3 233944N Paddock Farm Hatfield 581697 E/ 1 1 1 Peverel 210980N Socially Rented Sites with planning permission Sandiacres Cressing 1 14 33 Ridgewell 1 12 16 Total with planning permission 6 34 70 Established Uses which are authorised in planning terms Cust Hall Toppesfield 573697E/ 1 1 1 236496N The lay-by Blake End 570194E/ 1 1 3 Great Saling 224055N Compasses Lane 582062E/ 1 2 3 Pattiswick Bradwell 224700N Total Authorised Sites Jan 2012 3 4 7 Unauthorised Sites without planning permission Twin Oaks Stisted 578890E/ 2 21 24 223393N Total Unauthorised Sites Jan 2012 2 21 24 Total sites with planning permission; Authorised, and Unauthorised Sites at 11 59 101 Jan 2012 (i.e. sum of above sites) Travelling Showpersons Authorised Sites Blackwater Lane Witham 582501E/ 1 2 6 213974N Fair Rest Rivenhall End 584064E/ 1 4 7 216271N Total Travelling Showpersons Jan 2 6 13 2012 Total Gypsy, Traveller & Travelling Showpersons sites, With planning 11 44 90 permission/Authorised at Jan 2012 Sum total GT&TS with permission; authorised, and unauthorised sites at 13 65 114 Jan 2012

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Affordable Housing Completions

A total of 61 affordable dwellings were completed in the District over the year 2011/12, as reported from Planning site checks and Building Control records. This amounts to 20% of total net dwelling completions and compares with 86 affordable completions in 2010/11 and 157 affordable completions in 2009/2010. The affordable housing completions according to the Planning monitoring process are listed in Table 90 below.

Table 90: Net dwelling completions, affordable housing Housing Association rented properties; conversion from Gladys Malpass House Halstead 11 sheltered units with shared facilities, identified from Building Control completion records. Housing Association rented Riverside, Braintree 20 properties, reported by NHBC as Housing Association completions Reported by NHBC as private Riverside, Braintree 9 sector completions but purchased for rental post planning process Reported by NHBC as private Riverside, Braintree 9 sector completions but shared ownership Reported via Building Control as Mill Park Drive, Braintree 12 private sector completions but rental Total Planning based affordable housing additions to housing 61 supply 2011/2012 Total net dwelling completions 301 2011/2012 Proportion of net dwelling completions that were affordable 20.27% housing

The Council’s Strategic Housing Service reported 67 affordable housing completions in the year 2011/2012, using a definition that includes mortgage Rescue and First Buy (a scheme that provides a loan to help first time buyers buy property).

In terms of future development, affordable housing units on sites forecast to start in the year 2012/12, according to the Council’s Strategic Housing Service records, are:

• Prospect Close Hatfield Peverel (5 dwellings) • Capel Close Rayne (7 dwellings) • Park Court Sible Hedingham (8 dwellings) • Sunday Market Site Witham (28 dwellings) • 64 Braintree Road Witham (9 dwellings)

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• Braintree Road Great Bardfield (12 dwellings) • 19/21 Bocking End Braintree (6 dwellings) • Tabor Avenue Braintree (6 dwellings)

The Strategic Housing Service records indicate dwelling completions (affordable rental, intermediate rental, and shared equity) in the year 2012/13 on the following sites:

• Station Approach Braintree (4 rental, 13 shared equity) • Braintree Road Great Bardfield (12 rental) • Capel Close Rayne (7 rental) • Prospect Close Hatfield Peverel (5 rental) • Riverside Braintree (29 rental)

Policy target:

In planning policy terms, the affordable housing policy that will apply to future development is set out in the Local Development Framework Core Strategy as follows.

• A target of 40% affordable housing provision on sites in rural areas, excluding the parishes of Sible Hedingham and Great Notley and the proposed growth location in the parish of Rivenhall. • A target of 30% affordable housing provision on sites in the urban wards of Braintree and Bocking; and Witham, including the proposed growth locations; and in Halstead, the parishes of Sible Hedingham and Great Notley and the proposed growth location in the parish of Rivenhall • A threshold of 5 dwellings or 0.16 ha. in the rural areas, that is the whole of the District excluding the urban wards of Braintree and Bocking, Witham and Halstead • Where it is impractical to achieve on site provision, off site provision, or a financial contribution in lieu of broadly equivalent value, may be accepted. • The Local Planning Authority will take economic viability into account where it is proved to be necessary to do so.

This policy will apply to the housing site allocations that are being considered in the Local Development Framework Site Allocations and Development Management Policies consultation in 2013.

In addition, small affordable housing sites are coming forward via the development management process, such as the redevelopment schemes involving garage courts, sheltered housing with shared facilities, and unity flats.

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Net dwelling completions by size of dwelling

The chart below illustrates gross dwelling completions by dwelling type in the Braintree District 2010/2011 (source: Essex County Council Planning)

Figure 39: Dwelling completions by dwelling type (number of bedrooms) Braintree District 2011/2012

not know n 5% 1 bed 4+ bed 22% 19%

3 bed 19%

2 bed 35%

The table below compares the percentage split in the monitoring year compared with the previous two years.

Table 138: Dwelling completions by size of dwelling Dwelling type 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012 1 bedroom 18% 15% 22% 2 bedrooms 51% 36% 35% 3 bedrooms 13% 20% 19% 4 or more bedrooms 16% 27% 19% Not known 2% 2% 5% Source: ECC Development Monitoring

Policy target:

The Review Local Plan states that the District Council will seek the provision of a range of house types and sizes from one development site to another and within individual sites, in order to meet the local needs of the different household types.

Performance against target:

A range of house types have been delivered in the District over the year. The largest category of house types completed was 2 bedroom dwellings, although 1 in 5 dwelling completions had 4 or more bedroom dwellings.

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Environmental Quality

Table 92: Planning Permissions Granted Contrary to Environment Agency Advice) Flooding Quality Total 0 0 0

The Environment Agency initially objected to one planning application on water quality grounds and four planning applications on flood risk grounds that were determined during the monitoring period; see table below for further details.

Table 93: Planning applications against which the Environment Agency had objected on flood risk grounds, 2011/2012 EA originally objected: Insufficient information – BTE/11/1349, Former Ambrose Garage, water quality; objection subsequently removed 7 - 9 Colchester Road, Bures Hamlet, subject to condition; application approved Continued use of vehicle washing facility. December 2011.

BTE/11/0398, The Golden Hunter, North EA originally objected: Unsatisfactory FRA/FCA End, Little Yeldham, Change of use of submitted; objection subsequently withdrawn existing public house to residential subject to condition; application withdrawn July dwelling. 2011

BTE/11/0687 Mobile Caravan, The EA objected: Sequential Test: Vulnerability not Slades, Cuthedge Lane, Bradwell, appropriate to flood zone; application refused Retention of mobile home for leisure and subsequently dismissed on appeal February purposes. 2012. BTE/11/0744 Land South East Of EA objected: No sequential test, unsatisfactory Northwood, North End Road, Little FRA/FCA submitted; application refused Yeldham, Erection of 2 no. four bedroom September 2011. dwellings with attached garages. BTE/11/1169 Westrope Haulage Yard, Sturmer Road, Birdbrook, Hybrid planning application for redevelopment of site (in part) in two phases: Phase 1 - Full EA originally objected: Unsatisfactory FRA/FCA planning permission sought for the submitted (surface water); objection subsequently erection of 2 no. detached buildings for withdrawn subject to condition; application A1 (Retail), A2 (Financial & Professional approved April 2012 Services) and/or B1 (Business, including Offices, Research & Development and/or Light Industry) Source: 'Monitoring Local Development Frameworks' www.environment-agency.gov.uk

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Braintree District has 4 Sites of Special Scientific Interest (SSSIs)

The four SSSIs are assessed by Natural England and the results are shown below. Two of the sites are currently owned by the Forestry Commission.

Unfavourable no change: The special interest is not being conserved and will not reach favourable condition unless there are changes to site management or external pressures. The longer the site remains in this condition, the more difficult it is to achieve recovery.

Unfavourable recovering: Not yet fully conserved but all the necessary management measures are in place. Provided that the recovery work is sustained, the SSSI will reach favourable condition. In many cases, restoration takes time. Woodland that has been neglected for 50 years will take several years to bring back into a working coppice cycle.

Note: These assessments were made before the concern about ash die back disease arose, which may affect both the assessments and management practices such as coppicing.

Table 142: Sites of Special Scientific Interest Braintree District Glemsford Pits: Assessed: 10/2010 : Condition: 100% Unfavourable recovering Notes: The SSSI includes a series of flooded gravel pits and a stretch of the River Stour. At least 18 species of Odonata (dragonflies and damselflies) now breed in the SSSI, 5 more than were recorded when the site was notified in 1988. The habitat structure is less than ideal, mainly because the water margins are in part overshadowed by bankside trees and scrub, and there are still signs of nutrient enrichment in the pits. The increase in recorded species-richness is probably partly due to climate change, but improved water quality in the Stour and greater recording effort may also be involved. Water pollution from agriculture/run- off, siltation. Unit 3 (6.86 ha.) contains several small ponds and pits (rather than one or two large pits) and it only includes a short stretch of the river. As a result the unit is probably more sensitive to shading and enrichment. However, it has also received more tree and scrub management in the last decade to keep areas of terrestrial and water-edge habitat open. Chalkney Wood Assessed: 07/2011: Condition: Favourable Unit 1 Condition: 25.63 ha. Unit 2 Favourable (improved): 48.09ha Favourable Notes: Under good management. The conifer plantations have been removed, and the Forestry Commission is re-establishing broadleaved woodland . Bovingdon Hall Woods Assessed: 11/2010 Condition: 93.3% favourable (66.55 hectares); 6.7% (4.78 hectares) unfavourable no change. Notes: The unfavourable designation relates to Unit 5, a recent oak and ask plantation at the western end with a rather low species diversity and poor structure, and a narrow but much more diverse strip of older woodland; deer grazing/browsing results in insufficient regeneration of oak and ash. Belcher's and Broadfield Woods Assessed: 08/2010 Condition: 100% (14.41hectares) Unfavourable recoveri ng Notes: The site shows an increasingly variable quality of ground flora; the southern section (Broadfield wood) is diversifying slightly, with Circaea lutetiana now co-dominant, but large areas of Belcher's Wood have only patches of Mercurialis perennis or are entirely bare. The high deer population is still having a major impact on regeneration, and EWT confirm that coppicing has ceased until ongoing deer population management measures have been successful. The ongoing work to clear out the ponds has clearly been successful in several instances, with more light getting in and water quality and emergent vegetation improving.

Source: www.naturalengland.org.uk

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Braintree District has 8 Local Nature Reserves:-

• Brickfields/Long Meadow, Earls Colne (designated 1998) • Brockwell Meadows, Kelvedon (designated 1983) • Colne Valley (dismantled railway), White Colne (designated 2002) • Whetmead, Witham (designated 1991) • Bocking Blackwater (designated Jan 2008) • Cuckoo Wood, Great Notley (designated Jan 2008) • Former Gravel Pits, Gosfield (designated 2009) • Rodbridge Picnic Site, Foxearth on the District border is part of the Suffolk County Council Local Nature Reserve at Rodbridge

Work is underway towards the designation of Hoppit Mead, Braintree and an extension to the Bocking Blackwater reserve. A further Local Nature Reserve is also proposed at land adjacent River Colne, Sible Hedingham.

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The Essex Biodiversity Action Plan (EBAP) is currently being re-written, and the original 1999 Action Plan is now withdrawn. The new format will include targets and actions which are intended to be realistic and achievable. Habitat groups have been formed to frame the review process: Lowland Grassland, Lakes and Ponds, Rivers, Wetlands, Coastal, Marine, Urban and Brownfield. Each Group contains sub-plans for more specific habitats. There will be no Species Action Plans as species will be addressed within the habitats where they are found. The draft Essex Biodiversity Action Plan 2011, for 2010- 2020, can be viewed on http://www.essexbiodiversity.org.uk/biodiversity-action-plan In addition to the recognition of priority species within the EBAP there is also a comprehensive inventory of species that are threatened with extinction. Nationally these are compiled into Red Data Books based on specific groups of animals or plants. An Essex wide Red Data List has been compiled and lists over 6,000 species including those on the national list and also species that are present only in a small number of sites in Essex or are in decline. The species in the Red Data Books are found in a number of different types of areas across Essex. Hotspots include the Halstead and Sible Hedingham area. Brownfield sites are also considered potentially valuable habitats.

Table 95: Species and Habitats Requiring Action in Braintree District Plants: • Native Black Poplar • Oxlip Mammals: • Brown Hare • Dormouse • European Otter • Pipistrelle • Water Vole Birds: • Grey Partridge • Skylark • Song Thrush Invertebrates: • Shining Ramshorn Snail • Stag Beetle • White Clawed Cray Fish Other: • Great Crested Newt Habitats: • Ancient and/or Species Rich Hedgerows and Green Lanes • Ancient Woodland • Cereal Field Margins • Heathland • Old Orchards • Urban Areas

Source: www.essexbiodiversity.org.uk , and Essex Replacement Minerals Local Plan: Pre-Submission Draft Sustainability Appraisal and SEA Environmental Report: Annex B – Baseline Information November 2012

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Air Quality

Braintree District Council has undertaken a process of ‘Air Quality Review and Assessment’ to identify areas where it is considered that the government’s air quality objectives will be exceeded.

The main air quality issues in the District are nitrogen dioxide, and particulate matter PM 10 emissions from vehicles travelling on the A12 and A120. Braintree District Council monitored Nitrogen Dioxide at passive diffusion tubes at 12 locations in 2011 (see map below).

Based on diffusion tube results for 2011 there were no measured annual mean concentrations predicted to exceed the 40 µg/m 3 annual mean NO2 objective in 2012. Sites which are measuring exceedances have been corrected using the distance correction algorithm to estimate what the receptor levels are. For sites with at least 5 years data there are no noticeable trends as levels fluctuate. The recession will have affected trends from 2008, as expected growth in traffic levels (and particularly HGV traffic levels) has been depressed by the recession ( see Sriram Subramanian and Serbjeet Kohli, Imperial College London and Steer Davies Gleave, September 2012. “How accurate are the pre-recession models” )

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Table 96: Results of Nitrogen Dioxide Diffusion Tubes (2007-2011) Annual mean concentration µµµg/m 3 Site Location 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Blamford House London Rd Braintree 34.5 36.7 34.9 36.7 34.3 White Hart PH Coggeshall Rd 24.1 30.5 25.1 25.8 25.6 Braintree Beckers Green Road Braintree 19.7 23.5 21.8 22.1 21.2 Churchyard Colchester Road Halstead 28.8 32.8 27.9 31.5 31.5 A12 at Hatfield Peverel 42.4 49.9 44.3 45.6 31.0 (d) High Street Kelvedon: 30.9 34.1 29.4 30 29.1 The Street (A120) Bradwell 33.1 39.5 37.8 32.2(d)(a) 31.7(d) Railway Street Braintree 29.5 32.4 28.8 Stilemans Wood Braintree (adj A120) 31.6 32.6 37.1(a) Chipping Hill Witham 49.2 37.3(d) 38.1(d) Foxden Rivenhall (A12 N-bound) 31.8(d)(a) 33.4(d) Rivenhall Hotel (A12 S-bound) 38.5(d)(a) 39.2(d) Key d=distance corrected a=annualised m= measured Source: BDC Local Air Quality Management Progress Report 2012, Environmental Services, Braintree District Council Noise

The Environmental Noise (England) Regulations 2006 require the mapping of the number of people exposed to noise levels above 55 dB(A) during daytime and 50 dB(A) during night time from major roads, major railways, major airports and in large urban areas. . Defra has produced environmental noise maps, which indicate noise above the threshold in the vicinity of the main railway line as it passes through the district; part of the A120 at Braintree; and by the A12 as it passes through Hatfield Peverel Witham Rivenhall Kelvedon and Feering.

Open Space

Essex County Council's Great Notley Country Park was awarded a Green Flag for a third time. The awards are reviewed on an annual basis.

The Council adopted its Open Space Supplementary Planning Document (SPD) in November 2009. It came into effect on 1st April 2010. The LDF Core Strategy contains a policy relating to requirements for provision for open space, sport and recreation. The Open Spaces Action Plan underpins the Open Space SPD by indicating which schemes will be supported by Section 106 funds. The Action Plan lists those open spaces that require enhancement and new open spaces that would meet a recognised need. The sites are classified by the sub-areas and wards as used in the Braintree Green Spaces Strategy. In 2012 the Council carried out consultation on an Update to the Open Spaces Action Plan, which will form part of the evidence base of the Council for securing Section 106 contributions from developers towards enhancing open spaces or providing new open spaces. It is planned that the Update will be adopted in 2013.

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Allotments

As at January 2012, there were 13 allotment sites in the District for which the Council had access to waiting list data. There were 280 plots on those 13 sites, and there were 165 people on waiting lists for these sites. Since the 2009 base date of the Core Strategy the number of plots has increased and the number of people on the waiting list has decreased. 25 plots were created on an extension to the site at Cut Throat Lane Witham in 2009/2010, and 18 additional plots were created at John Ray Park Station Road Braintree in 2010/2011. In 2011/2012, the monitoring year, planning permission was additional allotments (46 plots are proposed) at land adjacent to Bocking Cemetery. At Sible Hedingham, the Parish Council is actively seeking land suitable for allotments for the future.

Table 97: Braintree District Council allotments 2009-2012 Number of plots Number of people on waiting list January 2009 216 478 January 2010 221 313 January 2011 248 274 January 2012 280 165

Figure 40: Number of Braintree District Council allotment plots and number of people on the waiting list for an allotment, 2009-2012

600

500

400

300

200

100

0 2009 2010 2011 2012

plots waiting list

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3 Policy Performance Conclusions

Over the past year the recession has continued to have a marked effect on housing supply in the District, and housing supply in the District decreased, although it did continue to meet the plan target for the District.

Forecast development rates are lower than during the housing boom of recent years, and closer aligned to the East of England Plan and Local Development Framework Core Strategy housing provision for the District. Forecast housing supply more than meets the plan targets.

Housing growth has continued to be concentrated at the three main towns, although to a lesser extent than in previous years (small sites in the rural areas have been less affected by the recession).

The proportion of dwelling completions that were on previously built land more than met the previous Government target of 60%.

With business development, 3,918 sq m of floorspace was developed for B1/B2/B8 uses, but taking into account losses the net increase was only 2,030. 1,222 sq m of B1a office floorspace was developed, but taking into account losses the net change was a loss of 1,351 sq m. 1,967 sq m of A1/A2 floorspace was developed, but taking into account losses the net increase was 1,130 sq m. There was a loss of 2,069 sq m of leisure uses floorspace.

Outstanding planning permissions provided for a potential net increase of 14,776 sq m A1/A2 floorspace; 39,004 sq m B1a office floorspace; 32,522 sq m B1/B2/B8 employment floorspace, and 3,935 sq m leisure uses floorspace.

Information from the 2011 Census on employment in the District is not yet available. Forecast employment change in the District according to the Autumn 2012 East of England model Baseline forecasts predict that employment change 2001-2026 will be 8,600, compared to the target of 14,000 additional jobs in the Core Strategy. Jobs density and housing-employment alignment in the District is estimated to have worsened. Net out commuting and unemployment in the District are forecast to increase.

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Appendix 1: Saved and Expired Local Plan Review Policies

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Appendix 1: Saved and Expired Local Plan Review Policies

Government Regulations, relating to the Planning and Compulsory Purchase Act 2004, dealing with the transition from Local Plans to Local Development Frameworks, state that Local Plan policies are only automatically ‘saved’, that is, in force, for three years after the date of adoption of the plan. This three year period ended on 24.7.08.

The Secretary of State for Communities and Local Government decided that the majority of the Braintree District Local Plan Review policies could be ‘saved’ and should continue to apply after 24.7.08, with the exception of the following eleven policies, which expired on that date.

Local Plan Review Policies which expired on 24.7.08 Policy Reference Policy Name RLP23 Provision for Gypsies and Travelling Showpersons RLP43 Atlas Works Site, Earls Colne RLP57 Freeport Special Policy Area RLP66 Flood Risk in Developed and Urban Areas RLP67 Flood Risk in Undeveloped Areas RLP68 Functional Floodplains RLP130 Indoor Sport and Leisure Site, Braintree Retail Park RLP131 Swimming Pool, Millennium Way, Braintree RLP132 Community Swimming Pool, Ramsey School, Halstead RLP156 Community Uses Site, Colchester Road, Halstead RLP165 Monitoring

These eleven policies are out of date, because they have either been implemented, or have been superseded by more recent Government policy guidance.

The following Local Plan Review policies have been superseded by Core Strategy Policies:

• Policy CS1 Housing Provision and Delivery replaces RLP1 Housing Provision • Policy CS2 Affordable Housing replaces RLP5 Affordable Housing in New Developments • (Policy CS3 Gypsies and Travellers and Travelling Showpersons does not replace an existing policy, as RLP 23 Provision for Gypsies and Travelling Showpersons had not been saved.)

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• Policy CS5 The Countryside replaces RLP 78 Countryside • Policy CS6 Town Centre Regeneration and Retailing replaces RLP110 Retail and Town Centre Development - The Sequential Approach and RLP111Retail Development. • Policy CS7 Promoting Accessibility for All replaces RLP60 Braintree Branch Line Improvement and RLP61 New Road Schemes. • Policy CS8 Natural Environment and Biodiversity replaces RLP79 Special Landscape Areas and RLP88 Agricultural Land • Policy CS10 Provision for Open Space, Sport and Recreation replaces • Policy RLP 137 Open Space Standards and RLP 139 Allotments • Policy CS11 Infrastructure, Services and Facilities replaces RLP163 Infrastructure and Community Facilities.

All of the other Local Plan Review policies are ‘saved’ and will continue to remain in force until they are replaced by approved policies in the Development Management Document, which will replace the Local Plan Review in due course.

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Saved Local Plan Review Policies:

Chapter 3 Housing Policy Policy Name Reference RLP2 Town Development Boundaries and Village Envelopes Development within Town Development Boundaries and Village RLP3 Envelopes RLP4 Prevention of Town Cramming RLP6 Affordable Housing in Rural Areas RLP7 Housing and Mixed Use Sites RLP8 House Types RLP9 Design and Layout of Housing and Mixed Use Areas RLP10 Residential Density RLP11 Changes of Use Affecting Residential Areas RLP12 Permanent Agricultural Dwellings RLP13 Temporary Agricultural Dwellings RLP14 Applications for the Removal of Occupancy Conditions RLP15 Replacement of Dwellings in the Countryside RLP16 Hamlets and Small Groups of Dwellings RLP17 Extensions and Alterations to Dwellings in Towns and Villages RLP18 Extensions to Existing Dwellings in the Countryside RLP19 Sheltered Housing RLP20 Residential Institutions in Towns and Villages RLP21 Institutional Uses in the Countryside RLP22 Accessible Housing and Lifetime Housing RLP24 Subdivision of Dwellings RLP25 Garden Extensions within Built-Up Areas RLP26 Garden Extensions into the Countryside Chapter 4 Employment Policy Policy Name Reference RLP27 Location of Employment Land RLP28 Employment Land Provision RLP29 Business Parks

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RLP30 Diversity of Industrial and Commercial Premises RLP31 Design and Layout of Business Parks RLP32 Workplace Nurseries RLP33 Employment Policy Areas RLP34 Buffer Areas between Industry and Housing RLP35 Non-Conforming and Un-Neighbourly Industry RLP36 Industrial and Environmental Standards New Commercial and Industrial Activities within Existing Residential RLP37 Areas RLP38 Conversion of Rural Buildings RLP39 Expansion of Local Firms RLP40 Minor Industrial and Commercial Development in the Countryside RLP41 Employment Allocation, Springwood Drive, Braintree RLP42 Employment Allocation North of Bluebridge Industrial Estate, Halstead RLP44 Rayne Foundry RLP45 Riverside Business Park, Earls Colne RLP46 Earls Colne Airfield RLP47 Employment Allocation Inworth Road, Feering RLP48 Comprehensive Development Area, Kelvedon Chapter 5 Transport Policy Policy Name Reference RLP49 Pedestrian Networks RLP50 Cycleways RLP51 Cycle Parking RLP52 Public Transport RLP53 Generators of Travel Demand RLP54 Transport Assessments RLP55 Travel Plan RLP56 Vehicle Parking RLP58 Galleys Corner Special Policy Area RLP59 Panners Roundabout Special Policy Area Chapter 6 Environmental Resources and Protection Policy Policy Name Reference RLP62 Development Likely to Give Rise to Pollution or the Risk of Pollution RLP63 Air Quality

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RLP64 Contaminated Land RLP65 External Lighting RLP69 Sustainable Drainage RLP70 Water Efficiency RLP71 Water Supply, Sewerage and Land Drainage RLP72 Water Quality RLP73 Waste Minimisation RLP74 Provision of Space for Recycling RLP75 Waste Reprocessing Facilities RLP76 Renewable Energy RLP77 Energy Efficiency Chapter 7 Countryside, Nature Conservation and Landscape Policy Policy Name Reference RLP80 Landscape Features and Habitats RLP81 Trees, Woodlands Grasslands and Hedgerows RLP82 Sites of Special Scientific Interest Local Nature Reserves, Wildlife Sites, and Regionally Important RLP83 Geological/Geomorphological Sites RLP84 Protected Species RLP85 Equestrian Facilities RLP86 River Corridors RLP87 Protected Lanes RLP89 Agricultural Buildings Chapter 8 Design and Heritage Policy Policy Name Reference RLP90 Layout and Design of Development RLP91 Site Appraisal RLP92 Accessibility RLP93 Public Realm RLP94 Public Art RLP95 Preservation and Enhancement of Conservation Areas RLP96 Demolition in Conservation Areas RLP97 Changes of Use in Conservation Area RLP98 Environmental Improvements in Conservation Areas RLP99 Demolition of Listed Buildings

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Alterations and Extensions and Changes of Use to Listed Buildings and RLP100 their settings RLP101 Listed Agricultural Buildings RLP102 Enabling Development RLP103 Parks and Gardens of Special Historic Interest RLP104 Ancient Monuments and Sites of Archaeological Importance RLP105 Archaeological Evaluation RLP106 Archaeological Evacuation and Monitoring RLP107 Outdoor Advertisements RLP108 Fascias and Signs in Conservation Areas RLP109 Illuminated Signs in Conservation Area Chapter 9 Town Centres, Local Centres and Shopping Policy Policy Name Reference RLP112 Town Centre Uses RLP113 Shopping Areas RLP114 Retail Frontage Policy RLP115 Accessibility RLP116 Upper Floors in Shopping Areas RLP117 Shopfronts in Conservation Areas RLP118 Retail Warehouse Development RLP119 Conversions to Retail Warehouse Use RLP120 Braintree Town Centre Improvements RLP121 Land East of Halstead High Street RLP122 Environment Improvements in Halstead RLP123 The Centre, Halstead RLP124 Environmental Improvements in Witham RLP125 Newlands Precinct, Witham RLP126 Local Shopping Facilities RLP127 Additional Village Shopping RLP128 Maintenance of Rural Services and Facilities Chapter 10 Sports, Recreation and Tourism Policy Reference Policy Name RLP129 Sports and Leisure Facilities RLP133 Golf Courses RLP134 Sports Causing Noise or Disturbance RLP135 Floodlighting or Sports Facilities

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RLP136 Formal Recreation Policy RLP139 Allotments RLP140 River Walks/Linear Parks and Disused Railway Lines RLP141 Informal Countryside Recreation Areas RLP142 Country Parks RLP143 Touring Caravan and Camping Sites RLP144 Static Caravans, Chalets or Cabins RLP145 Additional Tourist Attractions RLP146 Tourist Accommodation RLP147 Hotel Policy RLP148 Visitor Facilities in Villages Chapter 11 Community Facilities Policy Reference Policy Name RLP149 Primary School, Witham RLP150 Educational Establishments RLP151 Protection of Community Services RLP152 Cemetery Extension, Bocking RLP153 Community and Village Halls RLP154 Community Uses Site, Coggeshall RLP155 Village Hall Site, Great Yeldham RLP157 Community Uses Site, White Colne RLP158 Community Uses Site, off Maltings Lane, Witham RLP159 Community Uses Site, off Maltings Lane, Witham RLP160 Local Facilities in Rural Areas Chapter 12 Utilities Policy Reference Policy Name RLP161 Utilities Development RLP162 Telecommunications Development Chapter 13 Implementation, Monitoring and Review Policy Reference Policy Name RLP164 Environmental Impact Assessment RLP166 Enforcement

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Appendix 2: Schedule of sites included in assessment of Five Year Supply 2013-2018

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2012 based housing trajectory: Sites in the Five year supply 2013-2018 LDF Type of Forecast allocation site OS OS Grid permission 5 year reference/ Grid Ref (Without, Parish/Ward Name and address of site supply 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 Notes Planning Ref Northing Outline, 2013- application Easting Full) 2018 reference

With Full Planning Permission BTE/08/1400 576780 220614 Full Black Notley 135 Witham Road 4 1 1 1 1 0 Now under construction BTE/10/1466 574640 220892 Full Black Notley Land rear of 227 London Road 1 1 0 0 0 0 Under construction BTE/11/0793 577438 215338 Full Terling Nutshell 1 1 0 0 0 0 Now under construction BTE/04/1481 576468 219037 Full White Notley Elms Farm Barn Green Lane 1 1 0 0 0 0 Under construction BOB38H Bocking Former Health Clinic site Coggeshall 575921 223287 Full 14 0 0 0 0 14 BTE/11/0864 Blackwater Road Bocking BTE/09/0884 575886 223453 Full Rear of 26 Bocking End 1 1 0 0 0 0 Blackwater Bocking BTE/10/0407 577334 224078 Full Land adjacent 28 Cavendish Gardens 1 0 1 0 0 0 Blackwater Bocking BTE/11/1728 576058 223990 Full The Kings Head Inn 52 Bradford Street 5 0 0 5 0 0 Blackwater BON32H Christy House and Chantry House Building Regulations Initial Notice 575753 225496 Full Bocking North 13 4 9 0 0 0 BTE/11/1368 Church Street received BTE/00/0584 574984 225606 Full Bocking North Choats Farm Panfield Lane 1 0 0 0 0 1 Under construction BTE/10/0117 575774 224810 Full Bocking North Malthouse at 123 Church Lane 1 0 1 0 0 0 BTE/05/1741 577004 225802 Full Bocking North 266 Broad Road 2 1 1 0 0 0 BTE/10/1048 576893 225124 Full Bocking North 20 Thistley Green Road 2 2 0 0 0 0 Under construction BTE/11/0439 576854 225138 Full Bocking North 16 Thistley Green Road 1 1 0 0 0 0 Under construction BOS11H 575919 223933 Full Bocking South Land off Williams Drive 4 4 0 0 0 0 Under construction, part completed BTE/06/1912 BTE/11/1211 575696 223341 Full Bocking South Land rear of 19-21 Bocking End (HA) 6 6 0 0 0 0 Under construction BTE/11/0129 575672 223238 Full Bocking South Upper floor 1 Bocking End 1 0 0 0 1 0 BTE/11/0262 575883 224125 Full Bocking South 49 St James Road 1 1 0 0 0 0 Under construction BTE/11/0847 575782 223629 Full Bocking South Part garden 6 St Peters in the Fields 1 1 0 0 0 0 Under construction BTE/09/1254 580722 219705 Full Silver End Garage Court r/o shops Broadway 7 0 0 0 7 0 BTE/11/0799 582560 218321 Full Rivenhall Ford Farm Church Road 1 0 0 0 1 0 BRC37H Braintree Land east of Station Approach (PG 576272 222766 Full 39 39 0 0 0 0 Under construction BTE/10/1701 Central Bones yard) Braintree BTE/11/0041 576175 222821 Full Land rear of 180 South Street 6 0 0 6 0 0 Central Braintree BTE/08/1722 575985 222823 Full 120 South Street 1 0 0 1 0 0 Central Braintree BTE/08/0653 575925 222717 Full Land rear of 36 Station Road 2 2 0 0 0 0 Under construction Central Braintree BTE/06/1210 576555 222961 Full Land to rear of 17-19 Manor Street 4 0 0 4 0 0 Under construction Central Braintree BTE/11/0348 575852 222793 Full Land rear of 68-70 South Street 4 0 0 4 0 0 Under construction Central Braintree BTE/08/1513 575651 223079 Full 51-53 High Street 2 2 0 0 0 0 Under construction Central

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2012 based housing trajectory: Sites in the Five year supply 2013-2018 LDF Type of Forecast allocation site OS OS Grid permission 5 year reference/ Grid Ref (Without, Parish/Ward Name and address of site supply 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 Notes Planning Ref Northing Outline, 2013- application Easting Full) 2018 reference Braintree BTE/11/1252 575762 222842 Full Weavers Cottage 44 South Street 1 0 1 0 0 0 Central Braintree BTE/11/1048 575500 223146 Full 42 Rayne Road 1 0 1 0 0 0 Central Braintree BTE/07/1715 574476 222912 Full Rear of 305 Rayne Road 7 0 0 7 0 0 Work started Central BTE/99/0356 576705 223285 Full Braintree East Rear of 12/14 Cressing Road 2 0 0 0 0 2 Under construction BTE/06/1434 576671 223275 Full Braintree East Land rear of 8a to 8b Cressing Road 1 0 0 0 1 0 Under construction BTE/09/0241 576885 223375 Full Braintree East Land adjacent 324 Coggeshall Road 1 1 0 0 0 0 Under construction BTE/10/0632 576738 223344 Full Braintree East Rear of 272 Coggeshall Road 1 0 0 0 1 0 BTE/10/1112 577510 222618 Full Braintree East Land between 275 – 277 Cressing Road 1 0 0 1 0 0 BTE/11/1122 577258 222900 Full Braintree East 179a/179b Cressing Road -2 0 0 -2 0 0 BRS2H, Under construction, part completed. BRS3H, Current application to revise plans, 575954 222644 Full Braintree South The Riverside St John’s Avenue 48 48 0 0 0 0 BRS4H replace 48 market housing dwellings BTE/10/187 with 55 affordable housing dwellings. BRS26H BTE/99/0003 576882 222659 Full Braintree South Land south of Mill Hill 112 22 22 22 23 23 Under construction, part completed BTE/07/0985 BTE/05/1074 Steeple Site of Old Builders Yard Church St (adj BTE/09/1570 567913 241105 Full 1 0 0 1 0 0 Bumpstead no.16) Steeple Land adj Broadgate House 15 Church BTE/09/0994 567839 241052 Full 3 0 0 1 2 0 Bumpstead Street Steeple BTE/11/0040 569296 239417 Full Wood Farm Old Hall Road 1 1 0 0 0 0 Under construction Bumpstead Helions BTE/09/1300 564543 241320 Full Barn at Helions Farm Sages End Road 1 1 0 0 0 0 Under construction Bumpstead Helions BTE/10/1568 565025 241552 Full Crossroads Water Lane 1 0 0 1 0 0 Bumpstead BTE/10/1248 569578 244008 Full Sturmer The Spinning Wheel Rowley Hill 9 0 0 2 3 4 Steeple BTE/11/0949 569750 242064 Full Rylands Farm Barn, Broad Green 1 0 0 1 0 0 Bumpstead BTE/10/1121 584540 222417 Full Coggeshall The Vineyard West Street 1 0 0 1 0 0 BTE/10/309 584860 222313 Full Coggeshall Part garden Pyghtyle Greenacres 1 0 0 0 1 0 Curds Hall Farm Cut Hedge Lane BTE/11/1149 583245 221723 Full Coggeshall 4 0 0 2 2 0 Kelvedon Rd BTE/11/1036 582409 226422 Full Coggeshall Barn at Great Nuntys Nuntys Lane 1 0 1 0 0 0 Under construction BTE/11/1270 584864 223020 Full Coggeshall Scout and Guide Hall Windmill Fields 1 1 0 0 0 0 Under construction BTE/10/1054 584264 222719 Full Coggeshall The Milking Barn, Highfields West Street 1 0 1 0 0 0 Stablehands Cottage Curds Hall Farm BTE/10/0374 583279 221679 Full Coggeshall 1 1 0 0 0 0 Under construction Cut Hedge Lane Kelvedon Road Former office at The Mill House Kings BTE/10/0428 584852 222585 Full Coggeshall 1 0 1 0 0 0 Acre BTE/11/0444 588100 221382 Full Feering Poplar Hall Little Tey Road 1 0 0 1 0 0

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2012 based housing trajectory: Sites in the Five year supply 2013-2018 LDF Type of Forecast allocation site OS OS Grid permission 5 year reference/ Grid Ref (Without, Parish/Ward Name and address of site supply 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 Notes Planning Ref Northing Outline, 2013- application Easting Full) 2018 reference BTE/11/0938 579260 220938 Full Cressing Ashes Garage The Street 9 0 0 2 7 0 BTE/09/0440 577902 220578 Full Cressing Land adj 1 Jeffrey’s Road 1 1 0 0 0 0 Under construction BTE/09/1326 577703 221329 Full Cressing Lightfoots Braintree Road 1 0 1 0 0 0 BTE/09/1542 577951 220895 Full Cressing Land adjacent 20 Mill Lane 1 0 1 0 0 0 BTE/09/0347 580075 224764 Full Stisted Part garden 64 Sarcel 1 0 0 0 1 0 BTE/09/1080 579951 224699 Full Stisted The Old Post Office The Street 1 0 0 1 0 0 BTE/11/0945 578070 220946 Full Cressing Land Adjacent 8 Wrights Avenue 1 0 0 1 0 0 BTE/11/0552 579261 221086 Full Cressing Mu Dros, Lanham Green Road 1 1 0 0 0 0 Under construction BTE/10/0953 578600 224050 Full Stisted 1 & 2 Jenkins Farm Cottages Kings Lane 2 2 0 0 0 0 BTE/11/1083 578554 229532 Full Gosfield Between 4-12 Greenway 9 2 2 2 2 1 Under construction BTE/09/0807 576254 230860 Full Gosfield Bounces Farm Barn Liston Hall Lane 1 0 0 0 1 0 BTE/10/1571 577442 226634 Full High Garrett Part garden 100 High Garrett 1 0 0 1 0 0 BTE/09/1038 574341 220571 Full Great Notley 176 & land rear of 174 & 176 London Rd 2 1 1 0 0 0 HAS2H Halstead St Balls Chase/Tidings Hill, Ozier Field and BTE/86/0185 581516 229783 Full 24 5 5 5 5 4 Under construction, part completed Andrews Stanstead Road BTE/11/1494 Nether Priors Colchester Road (13 with Halstead St BTE/08/0272 581980 230475 Full permission but revised plans submitted, 2 0 0 2 0 0 Andrews BTE/12/900) HAS22H Under construction, part completed Halstead St BTE/08/1714 582066 230509 Full Priory Hall Colchester Road 24 24 0 0 0 0 (revised plans approved post April 2012 Andrews BTE/10/0509 reduced capacity by 9) Halstead St BTE/11/0462 581408 230683 Full Premaberg House 22-24 High Street 3 0 0 3 0 0 Andrews Halstead St BTE/11/0072 581739 230996 Full Adjacent 1 Sudbury Road 1 0 0 0 1 0 Andrews Halstead St BTE/08/1409 581476 230733 Full 5-7 Market Hill 6 6 0 0 0 0 Under construction Andrews Halstead St BTE/09/0587 581308 230576 Full Premier Travel, 63 High Street 1 0 0 1 0 0 Andrews Halstead St BTE/09/0588 581308 230576 Full Bakehouse R/O 63-65 High Street 1 0 1 0 0 0 Andrews Halstead St BTE/10/1285 581650 230788 Full Former car park at Manfield 4 0 0 4 0 0 Under construction Andrews Halstead St Globe PH and adjacent land Parsonage BTE/11/0405 581642 230486 Full 1 0 0 0 1 0 Andrews Street Halstead St BTE/11/0122 581862 230396 Full First floor 114 Gardeners Road 1 1 0 0 0 0 Andrews Halstead St BTE/11/0009 580847 230560 Full Pitchards Coach House Trinity Street 1 1 0 0 0 0 Andrews BTE/11/0150 581290 229806 Full Halstead Trinity The Great Yard 116-118 Tidings Hill 5 2 3 0 0 0 Under construction SIB6H Sible 578148 234029 Full Coopers Yard Swan Street 12 0 0 12 0 0 BTE/11/0650 Hedingham

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2012 based housing trajectory: Sites in the Five year supply 2013-2018 LDF Type of Forecast allocation site OS OS Grid permission 5 year reference/ Grid Ref (Without, Parish/Ward Name and address of site supply 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 Notes Planning Ref Northing Outline, 2013- application Easting Full) 2018 reference Sible BTE/04/1469 577908 234301 Full Adj The Village Hall 7 0 1 2 2 2 Hedingham Sible BTE/05/0449 578248 233750 Full Land at Alleys Yard adj 45-49 Swan St 1 1 0 0 0 0 Under construction Hedingham Sible BTE/05/0424 577747 233949 Full Adj Sandpipers 83 Alexandra Rd 1 0 0 0 1 0 Under construction Hedingham Sible BTE/10/1182 577803 233444 Full Workshop at Cobbs Fenn 1 0 0 1 0 0 Hedingham Sible BTE/09/0186 578708 232068 Full Barn at Tilekiln Farm A1017 1 0 0 1 0 0 Hedingham Sible BTE/10/1590 578240 233830 Full 73 Swan Street 2 0 0 0 2 0 Hedingham Sible BTE/10/0989 578367 233528 Full First floor 16 Swan Street 1 0 0 0 1 0 Hedingham Sible Barns at Morris Green Farm Morris BTE/11/0652 574548 233566 Full 1 0 1 0 0 0 Under construction Hedingham Green Road Sible BTE/11/1633 577963 234132 Full Park Court Alexandra Road 7 0 7 0 0 0 Hedingham Castle BTE/08/1963 578615 235666 Full Rear of 1 and 3 Castle Lane 1 0 0 0 1 0 Hedingham BTE/11/1387 582174 235760 Full Gestingthorpe Old House Barn Little Maplestead Road 1 0 0 1 0 0 Great BTE/10/0808 581165 233821 Full Land adj 8 Mill Lane 1 0 0 1 0 0 Maplestead Great BTE/09/1218 580173 233353 Full Kilowen Farm Dynes Hall Road 1 0 0 1 0 0 Maplestead Great BTE/10/0879 580719 234401 Full Mount View Church Street 1 0 0 0 1 0 Maplestead Little BTE/11/0748 582168 234187 Full Barn at Maplestead Hall Hall Road 1 0 1 0 0 0 Under construction Maplestead Wickham St BTE/11/0821 582962 236531 Full Shellards Farm Shellards Lane 1 0 0 0 0 1 Paul BTE/10/0528 585976 218873 Full Kelvedon Adj 16 New Road 1 0 0 1 0 0 Under construction BTE/10/1666 585642 218071 Full Kelvedon London Road Garage London Road 2 0 0 0 2 0 BTE/09/0801 586524 219150 Full Kelvedon Part garden 2 Swan Street 1 0 1 0 0 0 BTE/11/0947 586112 218266 Full Kelvedon Barn at Greys Cottage Maldon Road 1 0 1 0 0 0 Under construction BTE/08/1374 585785 218575 Full Kelvedon Part garden 6 Thorne Road 1 0 1 0 0 0 Under construction BTE/06/1428 572208 229233 Full Great Saling Part grounds The Vicarage The Street 1 1 0 0 0 0 Under construction BTE/11/1343 573253 228091 Full Shalford Tan House Barn Iron Bridge Lane 1 0 0 1 0 0 BTE/09/1116 572308 229019 Full Shalford Builders yard Braintree Road 9 1 2 3 3 0 Under construction Tudor Barn Rayne Hall Farm Shalford BTE/09/0731 573147 222976 Full Rayne 1 0 0 1 0 0 Under construction Rd Building Regulations Initial Notice BTE/11/1019 572720 222936 Full Rayne Garage Court at Capel Road Rayne (HA) 7 7 0 0 0 0 received Belchamp St BTE02/2132 577335 24145 Full Wakes Hall Farm Barn 1 1 0 0 0 0 Under construction Paul

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2012 based housing trajectory: Sites in the Five year supply 2013-2018 LDF Type of Forecast allocation site OS OS Grid permission 5 year reference/ Grid Ref (Without, Parish/Ward Name and address of site supply 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 Notes Planning Ref Northing Outline, 2013- application Easting Full) 2018 reference Belchamp BTE/11/0062 579641 239368 Full Northeys Farm Yeldham Road 1 1 0 0 0 0 Under construction Walter BTE/11/0372 584730 243043 Full Borley Barn at Borley Place School Road 1 0 0 1 0 0 Development part implemented (one BTE/08/0239 576732 242419 Full Ovington Upper Farm Barn Clare Road 1 0 1 0 0 0 barn converted) BTE/11/1357 586026 238541 Full Little Henny The Ryes School 1 0 1 0 0 0 BTE/03/0604 587901 239414 Full Middleton Kenneth Bungalow Lower Road 1 0 1 0 0 0 Under construction BTE/09/1189 586210 236507 Full Twinstead Coach House at Twinstead Manor 1 0 1 0 0 0 BTE/09/1195 586429 228722 Full Earls Colne Oxford House Upper Holt Street 1 0 1 0 0 0 Land adjoining Sunnyacre Temperance BTE/12/0129 585901 228805 Full Earls Colne 1 1 0 0 0 0 Under construction Yard BTE/08/1377 585091 230373 Full Colne Engaine Ex Haulage yard at 1 Mill Lane 5 0 0 2 3 0 BTE/11/1647 569484 230600 Full Great Bardfield Chiefs Farm Cottage Walthams Cross 1 0 0 1 0 0 BTE/11/0347 567389 230299 Full Great Bardfield Land adj Place House Dunmow Road 1 0 1 0 0 0 BTE/10/0574 568836 232553 Full Finchingfield Adj Barley Croft Vicarage Road 1 0 0 1 0 0 Hyde Farm Gosfield Road Blackmore BTE/10/1535 573749 230248 Full Wethersfield 1 0 0 1 0 0 End BTE/11/0948 571101 231450 Full Wethersfield Land adj 58 Saffron Gardens 1 0 0 0 1 0 BTE/112/08 575155 243460 Full Ashen Barn at Stours Lower Stokes Rd 2 1 1 0 0 0 Under construction BTE/10/1438 573465 237275 Full Toppesfield Berwick Hall Farm Barns Park Lane 3 0 1 1 1 0 Now under construction Witham BTE/10/0495 582073 214479 Full Chipping Hill & First floor 70 Newland Street 1 0 1 0 0 0 BTE/12/478 Central Witham BTE/10/0777 581895 214276 Full Chipping Hill & Mill Lane stores Mill Lane 2 0 0 2 0 0 Central Witham BTE/11/0567 581776 214670 Full Chipping Hill & Land adj Valley House Guithavon Valley 2 0 0 2 0 0 Central Witham BTE/09/0709 582114 214518 Full Chipping Hill & 58B Newland Street, first floor 1 1 0 0 0 0 Central Witham BTE/11/0130 581879 215515 Full Chipping Hill & Adj 14 Chalks Road 1 0 0 1 0 0 Central Witham BTE/11/0324 581913 214946 Full Chipping Hill & Land rear of 4-8 Guithavon Valley 2 0 0 2 0 0 Central Witham BTE/09/0609 581467 216116 Full Chipping Hill & Cherry Tree Cottage Church Street 3 0 3 0 0 0 Central Witham BTE/10/1505 581800 214559 Full Chipping Hill & Crown PH 53 Guithavon Street 2 0 1 1 0 0 BTE/12/583 Central

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2012 based housing trajectory: Sites in the Five year supply 2013-2018 LDF Type of Forecast allocation site OS OS Grid permission 5 year reference/ Grid Ref (Without, Parish/Ward Name and address of site supply 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 Notes Planning Ref Northing Outline, 2013- application Easting Full) 2018 reference Witham BTE/10/1424 581907 214794 Full Chipping Hill & 3 Guithavon Valley 1 1 0 0 0 0 Under construction Central BTE/10/0032 582118 212740 Full Witham South Olivers Farm Maldon Road 3 3 0 0 0 0 BTE/10/1290 581164 215278 Full Witham West 48 Powers Hall End 1 0 1 0 0 0 BTE/11/0067 576215 238434 Full Great Yeldham Land adj Croft View Leather Lane 2 0 2 0 0 0 BTE/07/1765 576097 238157 Full Great Yeldham Fear God House High Street 2 0 2 0 0 0 BTE/11/0704 576102 238098 Full Great Yeldham The Old Coach House High Street 1 0 1 0 0 0 BTE/11/1197 575864 237854 Full Great Yeldham Hamlet Toppesfield Road 3 1 2 0 0 0

With Outline Planning Permission BTE/11/0295 576732 214995 Outline Terling Land adj Norman House Norman Hill 1 0 0 0 1 0 BTE/11/1592 576425 224705 Outline Bocking North 71 Broad Road 1 0 0 1 0 0 Current application for full permission Former DWP offices Panfield Lane Current planning application for BOS5H 575597 223341 Outline Bocking South (outline permission for 13 dwellings but 32 0 32 0 0 0 sheltered housing; site being marketed BTE/10/1469 since acquired for sheltered housing) by developer as "coming soon" Site (together with adjacent land) BOS10H subject of current application 575897 224403 Outline Bocking South Tenter Close 6 0 0 6 0 0 BTE/09/439 BTE/12/1538 for 19 dwellings (15 net capacity) BRC81H Braintree 575166 222789 Outline Land rear of 37-45 Clare Road 12 0 12 0 0 0 Under construction BTE/11/0411 Central Braintree BTE/11/0080 574725 223012 Outline 271-275 Rayne Road 9 0 0 0 9 0 Central BTE/09/1630 576422 221635 Outline Braintree South Rear of 73 Park Drive 1 0 0 0 1 0 Steeple BTE/10/0305 567921 241321 Outline Garage and land r/o 40-58 North St 5 0 0 0 2 3 Bumpstead BTE/11/1459 584983 223265 Outline Coggeshall Adj 2 Westfield Drive 1 0 0 0 1 0 BTE/12/0073 584986 221976 Outline Coggeshall Adj 5 Kelvedon Road 1 0 0 0 1 0 BTE/09/1629 574350 220520 Outline Great Notley The Laurels 180 London Road 3 0 1 2 0 0 Halstead St BTE/11/1163 581925 230850 Outline Rear of 58 Colne Road 1 0 0 0 1 0 Subsequently full permission granted Andrews Halstead St BTE/11/0645 581916 230837 Outline Land at East Mill 2 0 0 0 0 2 Andrews BTE/08/2213 580708 230493 Outline Halstead Trinity 41 Chapel Hill 4 0 0 0 0 4 BTE/10/0766 579689 211550 Outline Hatfield Peverel Cantabrigia Maldon Road 1 0 0 0 0 1 Sible BTE/10/1137 577987 234760 Outline Garage between 8 and 10 Station Road 1 0 0 0 0 1 Hedingham Sible BTE/10/1472 577866 233983 Outline Part garden 21 Gibson Road 1 0 0 0 1 0 Hedingham BTE/11/1378 573192 227565 Outline Shalford Abbots Farm Water Lane 1 0 0 0 1 0 BTE/11/1258 585142 230379 Outline Colne Engaine Redundant builders yard Church Street 8 0 0 0 4 4 BTE/10/0537 587092 229029 Outline White Colne 41 Colchester Road 1 0 0 0 1 0

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2012 based housing trajectory: Sites in the Five year supply 2013-2018 LDF Type of Forecast allocation site OS OS Grid permission 5 year reference/ Grid Ref (Without, Parish/Ward Name and address of site supply 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 Notes Planning Ref Northing Outline, 2013- application Easting Full) 2018 reference Adjacent Upper Lea Ashen Hill (front part BTE/1029/11 574468 242494 Outline Ashen 1 0 0 1 0 0 of site) Part garden (south of) Upper Lea Ashen BTE/10/0011 574481 242517 Outline Ashen 1 0 0 1 0 0 Hill BTE/10/0214 570940 238899 Outline Stambourne Land adj Penfields, Chapel End Way 3 0 0 1 2 0 Witham BTE/09/1185 581956 215707 Outline Chipping Hill & Cerine 105 Braintree Road 6 0 0 0 6 0 Central Witham BTE/09/1430 582006 214700 Outline Chipping Hill & Cedar House 21A Collingwood Road 3 0 1 2 0 0 Central WIS9H Remainder of part completed new 581249 213244 Outline Witham South Land south of Maltings Lane 213 0 55 55 53 50 BTE/06/1143 neighbourhood site BTE/09/1679 582611 213672 Outline Witham South Land adj 9 Carraways 4 0 4 0 0 0 BTE/10/0322 581929 213172 Outline Witham South Home Farm Howbridge Hall Road 4 0 4 0 0 0

Growth Location Sites, Without Planning Permission South West Witham Growth Location, off Site allocated in Local Development WIS6H 580719 213366 Without Witham South 100 0 0 0 0 100 Hatfield Road Framework Core Strategy

Other sites Without Planning Permission Bocking Former Depot and land to rear of 576699 223385 Without 5 0 0 0 0 5 Blackwater Marlborough Road Bocking Now with full permission, granted July BTE/12/0745 577282 223955 Without 1 Rodney Gardens 1 0 0 1 0 0 Blackwater 2012 Bocking Now with full permission, granted BTE/12/1138 575927 223266 Without Land adjacent 17 Coggeshall Road 2 0 0 0 2 0 Blackwater November 2012 Land at Church Lane Bocking (sheltered BON5H 575905 224838 Without Bocking North 40 0 0 0 40 0 Special needs housing proposed housing) Now with permission; Building BTE/12/0256 577259 225966 Without Bocking North Land adjacent 19 Lyons Hall Road 1 0 0 1 0 0 Regulations Initial Notice received Now with full permission, granted BTE/12/1160 574624 226927 Without Bocking North Bovingdon Hall Barns Bovingdon Road 3 0 0 0 3 0 October 2012 Now with full permission, granted May BTE/12/0352 576826 225325 Without Bocking North Land part garden of Evegate Broad Road 1 0 0 0 1 0 2012 Site (together with adjacent land) BOS10H subject of current application 575932 224511 Without Bocking South Land rear of 49-57 Church Lane 9 0 0 0 9 0 BTE/09/439 BTE/12/1538 for 19 dwellings (15 net capacity) BTE/12/0011 574974 223350 Without Bocking South Ex garage court land S. of 83 Tabor Ave 6 0 0 6 0 0 BTE/12/1034 582399 222206 Now with full permission, granted Bradwell Trout Farm The Slades 1 0 0 1 0 0 Without Bradwell Cuthedge Lane November 2012

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2012 based housing trajectory: Sites in the Five year supply 2013-2018 LDF Type of Forecast allocation site OS OS Grid permission 5 year reference/ Grid Ref (Without, Parish/Ward Name and address of site supply 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 Notes Planning Ref Northing Outline, 2013- application Easting Full) 2018 reference BRC8H Braintree 575307 222648 Without WJC Hospital site London Road 29 0 5 10 14 0 BTE/12/0585 Central Application for 24 dwellings; BRC36H Braintree 576210 222828 Without Former Garage site South Street 24 0 0 24 0 0 BTE/12/1352 approved subject to BTE/12/1352 Central Section 106 Agreement Braintree BRC76H 576216 222788 Without Crossman House Station Approach 10 0 0 10 0 0 Surplus public sector site Central New outline planning application BRC30H Braintree Land adj Telephone Exchange South 575874 222721 Without 14 0 0 0 0 14 approved in principle subject to signing BTE/11/1595 Central Street of Section 106 Agreement Braintree Current application for 14 dwellings; 575495 222838 Without Blandford House site 7 London Road 6 0 0 0 0 6 Central BTE/12/1344 The Rose and Crown PH site Masefield Subsequently granted outline planning BTE/12/0563 576033 221930 Without Braintree South 10 0 0 0 10 0 Road permission Now with permission, Building BTE/12/0761 585395 223067 Without Coggeshall Beaumont House Paycocke Way 16 16 0 0 0 0 Regulations Initial Notice received Part ground floor of the Abbotts Lodging BTE/12/1224 585532 222242 Without Coggeshall 1 0 1 0 0 0 Now with full permission for conversion The Abbey Abbey Lane Allocated for development in adopted plan. Redevelopment of 16 unity flats, garages and adjacent land, for 36 BTE/13/0189 585003 222854 Without Coggeshall Land at Walford Way Coggeshall 20 0 20 0 0 0 affordable dwellings. Exhibition carried out by developer Dec 2012, stating intention to develop with occupation late 2014. Current planning application. Now with permission, granted October Managers’ flats at Unit T18 Avenue East BTE/12/1017 573969 221745 Without Great Notley 2 0 2 0 0 0 2012; Building Regulations Initial Notice Skyline 120 received Permission for a terrace of 9 dwellings as part of the Balls Chase housing BTE/09/0029 estate had expired; developer has Halstead St BTE/08/0470 581664 229832 Without Land off Stanstead Road 9 0 0 0 0 9 recently contacted Building Control Andrews BTE/13/0004 section to discuss proposed development; new planning application now submitted. Halstead St HAS7H 582381 230571 Without The old wood yard site Fenn Road 30 0 0 0 0 30 Andrews Halstead St Now with permission, granted August BTE/12/0870 581659 230691 Without Blomfield House Colchester Road 1 1 0 0 0 0 Andrews 2012, and under construction HTR6H 581066 230357 Without Halstead Trinity Senior Citizens Centre site New Street 10 0 0 0 10 0 Under construction, started December 2012; no planning permission – BTE/12/1437 581163 230252 Without Halstead Trinity The Red Lion 5 New Street 2 2 0 0 0 0 identified via Building Regulations records.

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2012 based housing trajectory: Sites in the Five year supply 2013-2018 LDF Type of Forecast allocation site OS OS Grid permission 5 year reference/ Grid Ref (Without, Parish/Ward Name and address of site supply 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 Notes Planning Ref Northing Outline, 2013- application Easting Full) 2018 reference Castle Barn at Pannell's Ash Farm Sudbury Now with permission, granted April BTE/12/0188 580044 236265 Without 1 0 1 0 0 0 Hedingham Road 2012, and under construction Site allocated in Local Development Framework Core Strategy; Masterplan approved. Planning application now SIB2H Sible 578083 234889 Without Premdor site Station Road 180 0 30 50 50 50 submitted for 194 dwellings on main part BTE/13/0035 Hedingham of site (does not includes Rockways), BTE/13/0035; additional capacity would remain at Rockways Sible Now with permission, granted BTE/12/1221 577921 234741 Without Land adjacent 5 Station Road 1 0 0 0 1 0 Hedingham November 2012 Now with permission and under 1 1 0 0 0 0 BTE/12/0026 585997 218666 Without Kelvedon Land rear of 61 High Street construction Outbuilding at The Red House Church 1 0 0 0 1 0 Now with permission, granted April 2012 BTE/11/1638 585779 218512 Without Kelvedon Street Full planning permission granted June BTE/12/650 586209 234888 Without Alphamstone Kings Farm Barn Bishops Lane 1 0 0 0 1 0 2012 Full planning permission for redevelopment (gross supply 3 BTE/12/1074 584048 240134 Without Bulmer The Bungalow Bulmer Street 2 0 0 2 0 0 dwellings, net supply 2) granted December 2012 Full planning permission granted August BTE/12/0102 567800 230083 Without Great Bardfield Land adjacent 2 Alienor Avenue 1 0 0 0 1 0 2012 EAR21H Now with permission, and Building 585555 229039 Without Earls Colne Harold Sims House Sims Close 13 13 0 0 0 0 BTE/12/0762 Regulations Initial Notice received Now with permission and under BTE/12/1227 573383 231390 Without Wethersfield Brandon Coaches site Blackmore End 1 1 0 0 0 0 construction Now with full permission, granted BTE/12/0729 571117 231319 Without Wethersfield Congregational Church High Street 2 0 0 0 2 0 August 2012 Now with full permission, granted BTE/12/1163 574333 230245 Without Wethersfield Barns at Waver Farm Blackmore End 2 0 0 0 2 0 October 2012 Witham BTE/10/0169 581988 215664 Without Chipping Hill & 64 Braintree Road 8 8 0 0 0 0 Under construction Central Witham Outline planning application approved WCH22H 582369 214885 Without Chipping Hill & Iceni House Newland Street 13 0 0 0 13 0 subject to signing of Section 106 Central Agreement Witham Now with permision, outline permission BTE/12/0263 582384 214049 Without Chipping Hill & Land adjacent 80 Maldon Road 1 0 0 0 1 0 granted June 2012 Central

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2012 based housing trajectory: Sites in the Five year supply 2013-2018 LDF Type of Forecast allocation site OS OS Grid permission 5 year reference/ Grid Ref (Without, Parish/Ward Name and address of site supply 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 Notes Planning Ref Northing Outline, 2013- application Easting Full) 2018 reference Witham Land adjacent Easton House Easton Now with full permission, granted June BTE/12/1131 582030 215127 Without Chipping Hill & 1 0 0 1 0 0 Road Road 2012 Central Surplus public sector site, site cleared in preparation for development for WIN7H 582404 216173 Without Witham North Former Forest Road Community Hall site 15 0 0 0 15 0 affordable housing; development partner identified. Surplus public sector site, approved Land at Dorothy Sayers Drive/Laburnum WIN3CD 582163 216135 Without Witham North 23 0 0 0 23 0 development brief for regeneration Avenue development. New full planning application under WI2H Land between Constance Close and A12 consideration for 94 dwellings, following BTE/12/0815 582650 213574 Without Witham South 70 0 0 10 30 30 Witham by-pass withdrawal of earlier application for 97 BTE/12/1620 dwellings. Garage court and adjacent land Phillip Now with permission; affordable housing BTE/12/0770 581009 214000 Without Witham South 5 0 5 0 0 0 Road development Now with permission; affordable housing BTE/12/0771 581220 213999 Without Witham South Garage court Turstan Road 2 2 0 0 0 0 development Garage court and adjacent land Siward Now with permission; affordable housing BTE/12/0772 580836 213832 Without Witham South 5 5 0 0 0 0 Road development Now with permission and Building Regulations application submitted; site BTE/12/0482 581598 213809 Without Witham South 35 Hatfield Road 4 1 2 1 0 0 currently being marketed by developer as coming soon (Sayers Court)

Total forecast supply 1,584 259 265 307 392 361

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Appendix 3: Schedule of sites included in assessment of supply 2012-2026

- 139 - 2012 by planning status Page 1

Appendix 3 2012 based housing trajectory to 2026 Type of Forecast Total LDF allocation site permission OS Grid Ref OS Grid Ref 5 year Identified reference/ Planning (Without, Parish/Ward Name and address of site 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 Notes Easting Northing supply Supply application reference Outline, 2013-2018 2012-2026 Full)

With Full Planning Permission BTE/08/1400 576780 220614 Full Black Notley 135 Witham Road 4 011110000000004 Now under construction BTE/10/1466 574640 220892 Full Black Notley Land rear of 227 London Road 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 01 Under construction BTE09/0256 574405 220512 Full Black Notley 283 London Road 0 100000000000001 Under construction BTE/11/0076 574789 220372 Full Black Notley Land adj 2 Row Green, Bakers Lane 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 Under construction BTE/07/2620 574683 217425 Full Fairstead Ashcroft Ranks Green 0 100000000000001 Under construction BTE/11/0793 577438 215338 Full Terling Nutshell 1 010000000000001 Now under construction BTE/04/1481 576468 219037 Full White Notley Elms Farm Barn Green Lane 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 01 Under construction BTE/08/0932 578626 218055 Full White Notley Land adj 20 Vicarage Avenue 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 01 Under construction BOB38H 575921 223287 Full Bocking Blackwater Former Health Clinic site Coggeshall Road 14 0 0 0 0 0 14 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 14 BTE/11/0864 BTE/09/0884 575886 223453 Full Bocking Blackwater Rear of 26 Bocking End 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 BTE/10/0407 577334 224078 Full Bocking Blackwater Land adjacent 28 Cavendish Gardens 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 BTE/11/1728 576058 223990 Full Bocking Blackwater The Kings Head Inn 52 Bradford Street 5 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 BON32H Christy House and Chantry House Church 575753 225496 Full Bocking North 13 04900 0000000 0 013 Building Regulations Initial Notice received BTE/11/1368 Street BTE/00/0584 574984 225606 Full Bocking North Choats Farm Panfield Lane 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 01 Under construction BTE/10/0117 575774 224810 Full Bocking North Malthouse at 123 Church Lane 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 01 BTE/05/1741 577004 225802 Full Bocking North 266 Broad Road 2 011000000000002 BTE/10/1048 576893 225124 Full Bocking North 20 Thistley Green Road 2 12000 0000000 0 03 Under construction BTE/11/0439 576854 225138 Full Bocking North 16 Thistley Green Road 1 01000 0000000 0 01 Under construction BOS11H 575919 223933 Full Bocking South Land off Williams Drive 4 5 40000000000009 Under construction, part completed BTE/06/1912 BTE/11/1211 575696 223341 Full Bocking South Land rear of 19-21 Bocking End (HA) 6 0 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 Under construction BTE/11/0129 575672 223238 Full Bocking South Upper floor 1 Bocking End 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 BTE/11/0262 575883 224125 Full Bocking South 49 St James Road 1 010000000000001 Under construction BTE/11/0847 575782 223629 Full Bocking South Part garden 6 St Peters in the Fields 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 Under construction BTE/09/0328 580750 219628 Full Silver End Land adjacent 4 Broadway 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 01 Under construction BTE/09/1254 580722 219705 Full Silver End Garage Court r/o shops Broadway 7 0 0 0 0 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 BTE/11/0799 582560 218321 Full Rivenhall Ford Farm Church Road 1 000010000000001 BTE/11/0987 584082 216600 Full Rivenhall Ivy Cottage The Drive Rivenhall End 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 Under construction BRC37H Land east of Station Approach (PG Bones 576272 222766 Full Braintree Central 39 2539 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 064 Under construction BTE/10/1701 yard) BTE/11/0041 576175 222821 Full Braintree Central Land rear of 180 South Street 6 0 0 0 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 BTE/08/1722 575985 222823 Full Braintree Central 120 South Street 1 00010 0000000 0 01 BTE/02/2109 574851 222738 Full Braintree Central 24 Maple Avenue 0 10000 0000000 0 01 Under construction BTE/08/0653 575925 222717 Full Braintree Central Land rear of 36 Station Road 2 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 Under construction BTE/06/1210 576555 222961 Full Braintree Central Land to rear of 17-19 Manor Street 4 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 Under construction BTE/11/0348 575852 222793 Full Braintree Central Land rear of 68-70 South Street 4 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 Under construction BTE/08/1513 575651 223079 Full Braintree Central 51-53 High Street 2 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 02 Under construction BTE/11/1252 575762 222842 Full Braintree Central Weavers Cottage 44 South Street 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 BTE/11/1048 575500 223146 Full Braintree Central 42 Rayne Road 1 001000000000001 BTE/07/1715 574476 222912 Full Braintree Central Rear of 305 Rayne Road 7 0 0 0 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 07 Work started BTE/99/0356 576705 223285 Full Braintree East Rear of 12/14 Cressing Road 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 02 Under construction BTE/06/1434 576671 223275 Full Braintree East Land rear of 8a to 8b Cressing Road 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 Under construction BTE/09/0241 576885 223375 Full Braintree East Land adjacent 324 Coggeshall Road 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 Under construction BTE/10/0632 576738 223344 Full Braintree East Rear of 272 Coggeshall Road 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 01 BTE/10/1112 577510 222618 Full Braintree East Land between 275 - 277 Cressing Road 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 BTE/11/1122 577258 222900 Full Braintree East 179a/179b Cressing Road -2 0 0 0 -2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2

BRS2H, 3H, 4H Under construction, part completed. Current application 575954 222644 Full Braintree South The Riverside St John's Avenue 48 27 48 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 075 to revise plans, replace 48 market housing dwellings BTE/10/187 with 55 affordable housing dwellings. BRS26H BTE/99/0003/FUL 576882 222659 Full Braintree South Land south of Mill Hill 112 15 22 22 22 23 23 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0127 Under construction, part completed BTE/07/0985/FUL BTE/05/1074/FUL BTE/11/0438 576149 221890 Full Braintree South Rear of 46-56 Challis Lane 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 01 Under construction Site of Old Builders Yard Church St (adj BTE/09/1570 567913 241105 Full Steeple Bumpstead 1 000100000000001 no.16) Land adj Broadgate House 15 Church BTE/09/0994 567839 241052 Full Steeple Bumpstead 3 000120000000003 Street BTE/11/0040 569296 239417 Full Steeple Bumpstead Wood Farm Old Hall Road 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 01 Under construction BTE/11/0949 569750 242064 Full Steeple Bumpstead Rylands Farm Barn, Broad Green 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 BTE/09/1300 564543 241320 Full Helions Bumpstead Barn at Helions Farm Sages End Road 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 Under construction BTE/10/1568 565025 241552 Full Helions Bumpstead Crossroads Water Lane 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 01 BTE/10/1248 569578 244008 Full Sturmer The Spinning Wheel Rowley Hill 9 0 0 0 2 3 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 BTE/10/1121 584540 222417 Full Coggeshall The Vineyard West Street 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 01 BTE/10/309 584860 222313 Full Coggeshall Part garden Pyghtyle Greenacres 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 01 Curds Hall Farm Cut Hedge Lane Kelvedon BTE/11/1149 583245 221723 Full Coggeshall 4 000220000000004 Rd BTE/11/1036 582409 226422 Full Coggeshall Barn at Great Nuntys Nuntys Lane 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 Under construction BTE/08/0281 582710 223969 Full Coggeshall Hovells Farm Barns Potash Farm Road 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 Under construction BTE/11/1270 584864 223020 Full Coggeshall Scout and Guide Hall Windmill Fields 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 Under construction BTE/10/1054 584264 222719 Full Coggeshall The Milking Barn, Highfields West Street 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1

appendix 3 housing trajectory schedule 2012 by planning status Page 2

Appendix 3 2012 based housing trajectory to 2026 Type of Forecast Total LDF allocation site permission OS Grid Ref OS Grid Ref 5 year Identified reference/ Planning (Without, Parish/Ward Name and address of site 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 Notes Easting Northing supply Supply application reference Outline, 2013-2018 2012-2026 Full)

BTE/10/1331 585217 222627 Full Coggeshall 47 and 49 East Street 0 -10000 0000000 0 0-1 Stablehands Cottage Curds Hall Farm Cut BTE/10/0374 583279 221679 Full Coggeshall 1 010000000000001 Under construction Hedge Lane Kelvedon Road BTE/10/0428 584852 222585 Full Coggeshall Former office at The Mill House Kings Acre 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 BTE/11/0444 588100 221382 Full Feering Poplar Hall Little Tey Road 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 01 BTE/11/0938 579260 220938 Full Cressing Ashes Garage The Street 9 000270000000009 BTE/09/0440 577902 220578 Full Cressing Land adj 1 Jeffrey's Road 1 010000000000001 Under construction BTE/09/1326 577703 221329 Full Cressing Lightfoots Braintree Road 1 00100 00000000 01 BTE/09/1542 577951 220895 Full Cressing Land adjacent 20 Mill Lane 1 00100 0000000 0 01 BTE/09/0347 580075 224764 Full Stisted Part garden 64 Sarcel 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 BTE/09/1080 579951 224699 Full Stisted The Old Post Office The Street 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 01 BTE/11/0945 578070 220946 Full Cressing Land Adjacent 8 Wrights Avenue 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 01 BTE/11/0552 579261 221086 Full Cressing Mu Dros, Lanham Green Road 1 01000 0000000 0 01 Under construction BTE/10/0953 578600 224050 Full Stisted 1 & 2 Jenkins Farm Cottages Kings Lane 2 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 BTE/11/1083 578554 229532 Full Gosfield Between 4-12 Greenway 9 022221000000009 Under construction BTE/09/0807 576254 230860 Full Gosfield Bounces Farm Barn Liston Hall Lane 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 01 BTE/05/2192 577646 226831 Full High Garrett Land adj 15 Sunnyfields Road 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 01 Under construction BTE/10/1571 577442 226634 Full High Garrett Part garden 100 High Garrett 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 01 BTE/07/0237 574518 221676 Full Great Notley Land at Maydale Queenborough Lane 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 Under construction BTE/09/1038 574341 220571 Full Great Notley 176 & land rear of 174 & 176 London Rd 2 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 HAS2H Balls Chase/Tidings Hill, Ozier Field and BTE/86/0185 581516 229783 Full Halstead St Andrews 24 25555 4000000 0 026 Under construction, part completed Stanstead Road BTE/11/1494 Nether Priors Colchester Road (13 with BTE/08/0272 581980 230475 Full Halstead St Andrews permission but revised plans submitted, 2 000200000000002 BTE/12/900) HAS22H Under construction, part completed (revised plans BTE/08/1714 582066 230509 Full Halstead St Andrews Priory Hall Colchester Road 24 20 24 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 044 approved post April 2012 reduced capacity by 9) BTE/10/0509 BTE/05/0740 581222 231796 Full Halstead St Andrews The Stables The Howe Howe Chase 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 Under construction BTE/11/0462 581408 230683 Full Halstead St Andrews Premaberg House 22-24 High Street 3 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 BTE/11/0072 581739 230996 Full Halstead St Andrews Adjacent 1 Sudbury Road 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 BTE/08/1409 581476 230733 Full Halstead St Andrews 5-7 Market Hill 6 06000 0000000 0 06 Under construction BTE/09/0587 581308 230576 Full Halstead St Andrews Premier Travel, 63 High Street 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 BTE/09/0588 581308 230576 Full Halstead St Andrews Bakehouse R/O 63-65 High Street 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 BTE/10/1285 581650 230788 Full Halstead St Andrews Former car park at Manfield 4 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 Under construction Globe PH and adjacent land Parsonage BTE/11/0405 581642 230486 Full Halstead St Andrews 1 000010000000001 Street BTE/10/1024 581362 230624 Full Halstead St Andrews 39 High Street (first floor) 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 Under construction BTE/11/0122 581862 230396 Full Halstead St Andrews First floor 114 Gardeners Road 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 BTE/11/0009 580847 230560 Full Halstead St Andrews Pitchards Coach House Trinity Street 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 BTE/06/2111 581003 230303 Full Halstead Trinity Land between 68 and 54 Trinity Road 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 Under construction BTE/07/1509 580800 229762 Full Halstead Trinity 8 Abels Road 0 100000000000001 Under construction BTE/11/0150 581290 229806 Full Halstead Trinity The Great Yard 116-118 Tidings Hill 5 0 2 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 Under construction BTE/09/1410 576863 210904 Full Hatfield Peverel Elmcote London Road 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 01 Under construction BTE/07/0784 579598 211241 Full Hatfield Peverel Adj 107 Church Road 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 02 Under construction BTE/10/1279 579304 211897 Full Hatfield Peverel Arundel House The Street 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 *actually completed Nov 2011 but not identified previously, so not included in reported completions BTE/10/0642 579151 211663 Full Hatfield Peverel Norah Guilder House Strutt Close 0 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 2011/12; now picked up to be included in 2012/13 completions SIB6H BTE/11/0650 578148 234029 Full Sible Hedingham Coopers Yard Swan Street 12 000120 0000000 0 012 BTE/04/1469 577908 234301 Full Sible Hedingham Adj The Village Hall 7 0 0 1 2 2 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 08 BTE/05/0449 578248 233750 Full Sible Hedingham Land at Alleys Yard adj 45-49 Swan St 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 Under construction BTE/05/0424 577747 233949 Full Sible Hedingham Adj Sandpipers 83 Alexandra Rd 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 Under construction BTE/08/1924 576727 234711 Full Sible Hedingham Oaklands High Street Green 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 01 Under construction BTE/10/1182 577803 233444 Full Sible Hedingham Workshop at Cobbs Fenn 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 01 BTE/07/1165 578073 234071 Full Sible Hedingham Land rear of 1 Spurgeon Close 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 Under construction BTE/10/1382 578130 234242 Full Sible Hedingham Land rear of 133/135 Swan Street 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 Under construction BTE/09/0186 578708 232068 Full Sible Hedingham Barn at Tilekiln Farm A1017 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 BTE/10/1590 578240 233830 Full Sible Hedingham 73 Swan Street 2 000020000000002 BTE/10/0989 578367 233528 Full Sible Hedingham First floor 16 Swan Street 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 01 BTE/11/1175 576090 234658 Full Sible Hedingham Carters Court High Street Green 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 Under construction Barns at Morris Green Farm Morris Green BTE/11/0652 574548 233566 Full Sible Hedingham 1 001000000000001 Under construction Road BTE/11/1633 577963 234132 Full Sible Hedingham Park Court Alexandra Road 7 0 0 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 07 BTE/08/1963 578615 235666 Full Castle Hedingham Rear of 1 and 3 Castle Lane 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 BTE/07/2622 582128 236313 Full Gestingthorpe Barn at Tudor Lodge Farm 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 01 Under construction BTE/11/1387 582174 235760 Full Gestingthorpe Old House Barn Little Maplestead Road 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 BTE/09/1417 579315 233268 Full Great Maplestead Hulls Mill Farm Hulls Mill Lane 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 Under construction BTE/10/0808 581165 233821 Full Great Maplestead Land adj 8 Mill Lane 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 01 BTE/09/1218 580173 233353 Full Great Maplestead Kilowen Farm Dynes Hall Road 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 BTE/10/0879 580719 234401 Full Great Maplestead Mount View Church Street 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 01 BTE/11/0748 582168 234187 Full Little Maplestead Barn at Maplestead Hall Hall Road 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 Under construction

appendix 3 housing trajectory schedule 2012 by planning status Page 3

Appendix 3 2012 based housing trajectory to 2026 Type of Forecast Total LDF allocation site permission OS Grid Ref OS Grid Ref 5 year Identified reference/ Planning (Without, Parish/Ward Name and address of site 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 Notes Easting Northing supply Supply application reference Outline, 2013-2018 2012-2026 Full)

BTE/11/0821 582962 236531 Full Wickham St Paul Shellards Farm Shellards Lane 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 BTE/10/0528 585976 218873 Full Kelvedon Adj 16 New Road 1 000100000000001 Under construction BTE/10/1666 585642 218071 Full Kelvedon London Road Garage London Road 2 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 02 BTE/09/0801 586524 219150 Full Kelvedon Part garden 2 Swan Street 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 01 BTE/10/0053 586056 219569 Full Kelvedon Land adjacent 5 Observer Way 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 01 Under construction BTE/11/0947 586112 218266 Full Kelvedon Barn at Greys Cottage Maldon Road 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 Under construction BTE/08/1374 585785 218575 Full Kelvedon Part garden 6 Thorne Road 1 001000000000001 Under construction BTE/06/1428 572208 229233 Full Great Saling Part grounds The Vicarage The Street 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 Under construction Farm buildings adj Perry Childs Farm Hall BTE/06/1645 572747 224962 Full Panfield 0 100000000000001 Under construction Road BTE/11/1343 573253 228091 Full Shalford Tan House Barn Iron Bridge Lane 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 01 BTE/11/0604 570900 227450 Full Shalford Deersbrook Farm Shalford Green Road 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 Under construction BTE/09/1116 572308 229019 Full Shalford Builders yard Braintree Road 9 0 1 2 3 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 09 Under construction BTE/10/0838 572064 229411 Full Shalford Part garden Windyridge Cliff Crescent 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 Under construction BTE/09/0731 573147 222976 Full Rayne Tudor Barn Rayne Hall Farm Shalford Rd 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 Under construction BTE/11/1019 572720 222936 Full Rayne Garage Court at Capel Road Rayne (HA) 7 0 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 Building Regulations Initial Notice received 3 Goss House The Street (change of use BTE/11/1533 572737 222618 Full Rayne 0 100000000000001 Under construction from office) BTE/07/1635 579084 242481 Full Belchamp St Paul Adj Newlands Bakers Road 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 Under construction BTE02/2132 577335 24145 Full Belchamp St Paul Wakes Hall Farm Barn 1 01000 0000000 0 01 Under construction BTE/11/0062 579641 239368 Full Belchamp Walter Northeys Farm Yeldham Road 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 01 Under construction BTE/11/0372 584730 243043 Full Borley Barn at Borley Place School Road 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 BTE/08/0239 576732 242419 Full Ovington Upper Farm Barn Clare Road 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 01 Development part implemented (one barn converted) BTE/08/0359 575462 240171 Full Tilbury Juxta Clare Tilbury Hall Farm Tilbury Hall Rd 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 Under construction BTE/11/0562 587553 235261 Full Alphamstone Sparrow Croft Pebmarsh Road 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 01 Under construction BTE/03/1541 586292 586292 Full Little Henny Granary at Ryes Farm, The Ryes 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 Under construction BTE/11/1357 586026 238541 Full Little Henny The Ryes School 1 001000000000001 BTE/03/0604 587901 239414 Full Middleton Kenneth Bungalow Lower Road 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 01 Under construction BTE/06/0478 239414 233514 Full Pebmarsh Land adj Ivy Cottage Clay Hills 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 Under construction BTE/09/1189 586210 236507 Full Twinstead Coach House at Twinstead Manor 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 01 BTE/09/1195 586429 228722 Full Earls Colne Oxford House Upper Holt Street 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 01 Land adjoining Sunnyacre Temperance BTE/12/0129 585901 228805 Full Earls Colne 1 010000000000001 Under construction Yard BTE/08/1377 585091 230373 Full Colne Engaine Ex Haulage yard at 1 Mill Lane 5 0 0 0 2 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 BTE/10/1631 586775 229124 Full White Colne 7 Colne Park Road (front of site) 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 Under construction BTE/09/1507 586752 229144 Full White Colne 7 Colne Park Road (rear of site) 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 Under construction BTE/09/1495 587076 231936 Full White Colne Baggaretts Farm, Dawes Hall Road 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 Under construction BTE/11/0399 567804 230023 Full Great Bardfield Land at Braintree Road 0 12 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 012 Under construction BTE/11/1647 569484 230600 Full Great Bardfield Chiefs Farm Cottage Walthams Cross 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 BTE/11/0347 567389 230299 Full Great Bardfield Land adj Place House Dunmow Road 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 BTE/10/0574 568836 232553 Full Finchingfield Adj Barley Croft Vicarage Road 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 BTE/10/0856 571241 231315 Full Wethersfield The Dog Inn, High Street 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 02 Under construction BTE/10/1535 573749 230248 Full Wethersfield Hyde Farm Gosfield Road Blackmore End 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 BTE/11/0948 571101 231450 Full Wethersfield Land adj 58 Saffron Gardens 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 01 BTE/09/1580 573698 240773 Full Ridgewell Ridgewell Village Stores Mill Rd 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 BTE/112/08 575155 243460 Full Ashen Barn at Stours Lower Stokes Rd 2 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 Under construction BTE/10/1438 573465 237275 Full Toppesfield Berwick Hall Farm Barns Park Lane 3 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 Now under construction BTE/10/0495 Witham Chipping Hill 582073 214479 Full First floor 70 Newland Street 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 BTE/12/478 & Central Witham Chipping Hill BTE/10/0777 581895 214276 Full Mill Lane stores Mill Lane 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 & Central Witham Chipping Hill BTE/11/0567 581776 214670 Full Land adj Valley House Guithavon Valley 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 & Central Witham Chipping Hill BTE/09/0709 582114 214518 Full 58B Newland Street, first floor 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 & Central Witham Chipping Hill BTE/11/0130 581879 215515 Full Adj 14 Chalks Road 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 01 & Central Witham Chipping Hill BTE/11/0324 581913 214946 Full Land rear of 4-8 Guithavon Valley 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 & Central Witham Chipping Hill BTE/09/0609 581467 216116 Full Cherry Tree Cottage Church Street 3 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 & Central Witham Chipping Hill BTE/09/1576 582283 214480 Full Unit 16A The Grove Centre 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 & Central BTE/10/1505 Witham Chipping Hill 581800 214559 Full Crown PH 53 Guithavon Street 2 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 BTE/12/583 & Central Witham Chipping Hill BTE/10/1424 581907 214794 Full 3 Guithavon Valley 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 01 Under construction & Central Witham Chipping Hill BTE/11/1716 581989 214380 Full 2nd floor 96/98 Newland Street 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 & Central Witham Chipping Hill BTE/11/0366 582551 214333 Full 12 Greenfield 0 100000000000001 Under construction & Central BTE/10/0032 582118 212740 Full Witham South Olivers Farm Maldon Road 3 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 03 BTE/10/1290 581164 215278 Full Witham West 48 Powers Hall End 1 001000000000001 BTE/11/0067 576215 238434 Full Great Yeldham Land adj Croft View Leather Lane 2 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 BTE/07/1765 576097 238157 Full Great Yeldham Fear God House High Street 2 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 02

appendix 3 housing trajectory schedule 2012 by planning status Page 4

Appendix 3 2012 based housing trajectory to 2026 Type of Forecast Total LDF allocation site permission OS Grid Ref OS Grid Ref 5 year Identified reference/ Planning (Without, Parish/Ward Name and address of site 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 Notes Easting Northing supply Supply application reference Outline, 2013-2018 2012-2026 Full)

BTE/08/1254 576236 238443 Full Great Yeldham Land adj Old Oaks Leather Lane 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 Under construction BTE/11/0704 576102 238098 Full Great Yeldham The Old Coach House High Street 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 BTE/11/1197 575864 237854 Full Great Yeldham Hamlet Toppesfield Road 3 0 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 03

With Outline Planning Permission BTE/11/0295 576732 214995 Outline Terling Land adj Norman House Norman Hill 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 BTE/11/1592 576425 224705 Outline Bocking North 71 Broad Road 1 000100000000001 Current application for full permission Former DWP offices Panfield Lane (outline BOS5H Current planning application for sheltered housing; site 575597 223341 Outline Bocking South permission for 13 dwellings but since 32 0 032 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 032 BTE/10/1469 being marketed by developer as "coming soon" acquired for sheltered housing) Site (together with adjacent land) subject of current BOS10H 575897 224403 Outline Bocking South Tenter Close 6 000600000000006 application BTE/12/1538 for 19 dwellings (15 net BTE/09/439 capacity) BRC81H 575166 222789 Outline Braintree Central Land rear of 37-45 Clare Road 12 0 0 12 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 012 Under construction BTE/11/0411 BTE/11/0080 574725 223012 Outline Braintree Central 271-275 Rayne Road 9 0 0 0 0 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 09 BTE/09/1630 576422 221635 Outline Braintree South Rear of 73 Park Drive 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 01 BTE/10/0305 567921 241321 Outline Steeple Bumpstead Garage and land r/o 40-58 North St 5 0 0 0 0 2 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 BTE/10/0434 585164 222889 Outline Coggeshall Rear of 41a Queen Street 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 01 BTE/11/1459 584983 223265 Outline Coggeshall Adj 2 Westfield Drive 1 00001 0000000 0 01 BTE/12/0073 584986 221976 Outline Coggeshall Adj 5 Kelvedon Road 1 00001 00000000 01 BTE/09/1629 574350 220520 Outline Great Notley The Laurels 180 London Road 3 0 0 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 BTE/11/1163 581925 230850 Outline Halstead St Andrews Rear of 58 Colne Road 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 Subsequently full permission granted BTE/11/0645 581916 230837 Outline Halstead St Andrews Land at East Mill 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 02 BTE/08/2213 580708 230493 Outline Halstead Trinity 41 Chapel Hill 4 00000 4000000 0 04 BTE/10/0766 579689 211550 Outline Hatfield Peverel Cantabrigia Maldon Road 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 BTE/10/1137 577987 234760 Outline Sible Hedingham Garage between 8 and 10 Station Road 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 BTE/10/1472 577866 233983 Outline Sible Hedingham Part garden 21 Gibson Road 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 BTE/11/1378 573192 227565 Outline Shalford Abbots Farm Water Lane 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 01 BTE/11/1258 585142 230379 Outline Colne Engaine Redundant builders yard Church Street 8 0 0 0 0 4 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 BTE/10/0537 587092 229029 Outline White Colne 41 Colchester Road 1 0000100000000 01 Adjacent Upper Lea Ashen Hill (front part of BTE/1029/11 574468 242494 Outline Ashen 1 000100000000001 site) BTE/10/0011 574481 242517 Outline Ashen Part garden (south of) Upper Lea Ashen Hill 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 BTE/10/0214 570940 238899 Outline Stambourne Land adj Penfields, Chapel End Way 3 0 0 0 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 Witham Chipping Hill BTE/09/1185 581956 215707 Outline Cerine 105 Braintree Road 6 0 0 0 0 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 & Central Witham Chipping Hill BTE/09/1430 582006 214700 Outline Cedar House 21A Collingwood Road 3 0 0 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 & Central WIS9H BTE/06/1143 581249 213244 Outline Witham South Land south of Maltings Lane 213 0 0 55 55 53 50 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 213 Remainder of part completed new neighbourhood site BTE/09/1679 582611 213672 Outline Witham South Land adj 9 Carraways 4 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 04 BTE/10/0322 581929 213172 Outline Witham South Home Farm Howbridge Hall Road 4 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4

Growth Location Sites, Without Planning Permission Site allocated in Local Development Framework Core BOS6H BOS8H 575171 224503 Without Bocking South West of Panfield Lane 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 70 70 60 60 60 100 90 90600 Strategy NE Witham (in parish Site allocated in Local Development Framework Core RIV2H 582749 216213 Without East of Forest Road Growth Location 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 65 65 50 50 70 300 of Rivenhall) Strategy South West Witham Growth Location, off Site allocated in Local Development Framework Core WIS6H 580719 213366 Without Witham South 100 0 0 0 0 0 100 100 75 75 75 75 75 75 50 700 Hatfield Road Strategy

Other sites Without Planning Permission Former Garage site at Falkland Court/Land BOB20H 576993 223922 Without Bocking Blackwater 0 00000 00001200 0 012 north of Edinburgh Gardens Former Depot and land to rear of 576699 223385 Without Bocking Blackwater 5 000005000000005 Marlborough Road BTE/12/0745 577282 223955 Without Bocking Blackwater 1 Rodney Gardens 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 Now with full permission, granted July 2012 BTE/12/1138 575927 223266 Without Bocking Blackwater Land adjacent 17 Coggeshall Road 2 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 Now with full permission, granted November 2012 BON16H 576330 224695 Without Bocking North Land rear of 45-59 Broad Road 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 11 0 0 0 0 0 31 Land at Church Lane Bocking (sheltered BON5H 575905 224838 Without Bocking North 40 0 0 0 0 40 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 40 Special needs housing proposed housing) Now with permission; Building Regulations Initial BTE/12/0256 577259 225966 Without Bocking North Land adjacent 19 Lyons Hall Road 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 Notice received BTE/12/1160 574624 226927 Without Bocking North Bovingdon Hall Barns Bovingdon Road 3 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 Now with full permission, granted October 2012 BTE/12/0352 576826 225325 Without Bocking North Land part garden of Evegate Broad Road 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 Now with full permission, granted May 2012 Site (together with adjacent land) subject of BOS10H 575932 224511 Without Bocking South Land rear of 49-57 Church Lane 9 0 0 0 0 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 09 current application BTE/12/1538 for 19 dwellings BTE/09/439 (15 net capacity) BOS16H 575750 224070 Without Bocking South Land at Harkilees Way 0 00000 00100000 0 010 BTE/12/0011 574974 223350 Without Bocking South Ex garage court land S. of 83 Tabor Ave 6 0 0 0 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 BTE/12/1034 582399 222206 Bradwell Trout Farm The Slades Cuthedge 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 Now with full permission, granted November 2012 Without Bradwell Lane

appendix 3 housing trajectory schedule 2012 by planning status Page 5

Appendix 3 2012 based housing trajectory to 2026 Type of Forecast Total LDF allocation site permission OS Grid Ref OS Grid Ref 5 year Identified reference/ Planning (Without, Parish/Ward Name and address of site 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 Notes Easting Northing supply Supply application reference Outline, 2013-2018 2012-2026 Full)

Crittall Works and adjoining Finishing Site allocated in Local Development Framework SIL6RG 580083 219575 Without Silver End 0 0 0 0 0 0 0153530 0 0 0 0 080 Company Core Strategy SIL7H 581054 219905 Without Silver End Car park at Sheepcotes Lane 0 0 0 0 0 0 012 0 0 0 0 0 0 012 BRC8H 575307 222648 Without Braintree Central WJC Hospital site London Road 29 0 0 5 10 14 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 029 BTE/12/0585 Land north of Rayne Road, south of Bunyan BRC6H 575561 223245 Without Braintree Central 0 00000 00010000 0 010 Road BRC1H, BRC31H 575792 222758 Without Braintree Central Silks Way off South Street 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 0 0 0 0 10 BRC36H Application for 24 dwellings; BTE/12/1352 approved 576210 222828 Without Braintree Central Former Garage site South Street 24 0 0 0 24 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 24 BTE/12/1352 subject to Section 106 Agreement BRC76H 576216 222788 Without Braintree Central Crossman House Station Approach 10 0 0 0 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 Surplus public sector site BRC30H New outline planning application approved in principle 575874 222721 Without Braintree Central Land adj Telephone Exchange South Street 14 0 0 0 0 0 14 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 14 BTE/11/1595 subject to signing of Section 106 Agreement BRC34H 576014 222813 Without Braintree Central Land at Kwik Fit South Street 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 0 0 0 20 Timber yard east of Crossman House BRC77H 576245 222792 Without Braintree Central 0 00000 00001000 0 010 Station Approach 575495 222838 Without Braintree Central Blandford House site 7 London Road 6 0 0 0 0 0 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 Current application for 14 dwellings; BTE/12/1344 Braintree Football Club site Clockhouse BRE25H 577158 222745 Without Braintree East 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 02525 050 Way BRE26H 577044 222685 Without Braintree East Braintree Tennis Club off Clockhouse Way 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 35 35 BRE1H 576979 222658 Without Braintree East Former playing field Chapel Hill 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 30 0 0 0 30 BRE17H 577602 222336 Without Braintree East 300/302 Cressing Road (Kalestead Works) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 14 0 14 The Rose and Crown PH site Masefield BTE/12/0563 576033 221930 Without Braintree South 10 0 0 0 010 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 010 Subsequently granted outline planning permission Road STE1H 567684 241094 Without Steeple Bumpstead Land at Water Lane 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 6 0 0 0 0 012 COG12H 585659 222622 Without Coggeshall Cookfield, East Street 0 00000002100000 012 Now with permission, Building Regulations Initial Notice BTE/12/0761 585395 223067 Without Coggeshall Beaumont House Paycocke Way 16 0 16 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 16 received Part ground floor of the Abbotts Lodging BTE/12/1224 585532 222242 Without Coggeshall 1 001000000000001 Now with full permission for conversion The Abbey Abbey Lane Allocated for development in adopted plan. Redevelopment of 16 unity flats, garages and adjacent 585003 222854 Without Coggeshall Land at Walford Way Coggeshall 20 0 020 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 020 land, to provide 36 affordable dwellings. Exhibition carried out by developer December 2012, stating intention to develop with occupation late 2014.

Greenstead Green and Froyz Hall Barn and Sophia Rose Cottage Now with permission, granted June 2012, and BTE/12/0368 579605 228560 Without 0 100000000000001 Halstead Rural Greenstead Green & Halstead Rural implemented Land between London Road, Pods Brook BRC7H 574812 222182 Without Great Notley 0 0 0 0 0 0 0505050 0 0 0 0 0150 and A120 Managers' flats at Unit T18 Avenue East Now with permission, granted October 2012; Building BTE/12/1017 573969 221745 Without Great Notley 2 002000000000002 Skyline 120 Regulations Initial Notice received Permission for a terrace of 9 dwellings as part of the BTE/09/0029 Balls Chase housing estate had expired; developer has BTE/08/0470 581664 229832 Without Halstead St Andrews Land off Stanstead Road 9 00000 9000000 0 09 recently contacted Building Control section to discuss BTE/13/0004 proposed development; new planning application now submitted. HAS17H 581480 229875 Without Halstead St Andrews Land at Balls Farm 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 5 015 HAS7H 582381 230571 Without Halstead St Andrews The old wood yard site Fenn Road 30 0 0 0 0 0 30 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 30 HAS28H 582397 230448 Without Halstead St Andrews Fenn Road Depot site 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 15 0 0 0 0 020 HAS11H 582474 230117 Without Halstead St Andrews Central Park site 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 54030 0 0 0 0 075 Now with permission, granted August 2012, and under BTE/12/0870 581659 230691 Without Halstead St Andrews Blomfield House Colchester Road 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 construction HTR6H 581066 230357 Without Halstead Trinity Senior Citizens Centre site New Street 10 0 0 0 0 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 Under construction, started December 2012; no BTE/12/1437 581163 230252 Without Halstead Trinity The Red Lion 5 New Street 2 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 planning permission - identified via Building Regulations records. HAT14H 579259 212090 Without Hatfield Peverel The Vineyards 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 01020 0 0 0 0 030 HAT17H 578776 211835 Without Hatfield Peverel Sorrells Field 0 0 0 0 0 0 02020 0 0 0 0 0 040 Now with permission, granted April 2012, and under BTE/12/0188 580044 236265 Without Castle Hedingham Barn at Pannell's Ash Farm Sudbury Road 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 construction

Site allocated in Local Development Framework Core Strategy; Masterplan approved. Planning application SIB2H BTE/13/0035 578083 234889 Without Sible Hedingham Premdor site Station Road 180 0 0 30 50 50 50 50 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 230 now submitted for 194 dwellings on main part of site (does not includes Rockways), BTE/13/0035; additional capacity would remain at Rockways 577808 234089 Without Sible Hedingham Rectory Meadow Phase 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 2 0 0 0 0 5 BTE/12/1221 577921 234741 Without Sible Hedingham Land adjacent 5 Station Road 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 Now with permission, granted November 2012 Existing Lawful Development Certificate granted BTE/12/1316 583430 234570 Without Little Maplestead Maplecross Sudbury Road 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 December 2012 Works and garage adjacent Kelvedon rail KEL6CD 586365 219280 Without Kelvedon 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 01022 032 station BTE/12/0176 585997 218666 Without Kelvedon Land rear of 61 High Street 1 010000000000001 Now with permission and under construction Outbuilding at The Red House Church 1 000010000000001 Now with permission, granted April 2012 BTE/11/1638 585779 218512 Without Kelvedon Street

appendix 3 housing trajectory schedule 2012 by planning status Page 6

Appendix 3 2012 based housing trajectory to 2026 Type of Forecast Total LDF allocation site permission OS Grid Ref OS Grid Ref 5 year Identified reference/ Planning (Without, Parish/Ward Name and address of site 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 Notes Easting Northing supply Supply application reference Outline, 2013-2018 2012-2026 Full)

Now with permission, granted May 2012, and under BTE/12/0730 586120 218786 Without Kelvedon 97 High Street 0 100000000000001 construction - conversion from office. Land at Inworth Road South of Kings FEE10H 587194 219447 Without Feering 0 0 0 0 0 0 0102020 0 0 0 0 050 Gardens BTE/12/650 586209 234888 Without Alphamstone Kings Farm Barn Bishops Lane 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 01 Full planning permission granted June 2012 Full planning permission for redevelopment (gross BTE/12/1074 584048 240134 Without Bulmer The Bungalow Bulmer Street 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 02 supply 3 dwellings, net supply 2) granted December 2012 BTE/12/0102 567800 230083 Without Great Bardfield Land adjacent 2 Alienor Avenue 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 Full planning permission granted August 2012 EAR1H 585313 228908 Without Earls Colne Land rear of Halstead Road 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 15 15 0 0 0 0 0 030 EAR3H 585472 229265 Without Earls Colne Land at Station Road 0 00000 020280000 0 048 EAR21H Now with permission, and Building Regulations Initial 585555 229039 Without Earls Colne Harold Sims House Sims Close 13 013000 0000000 0 013 BTE/12/0762 Notice received WHC3H 587334 228786 Without White Colne Land at Colchester Road 0 0 0 0 0 0 010 0 0 0 0 0 0 010 BTE/12/1227 573383 231390 Without Wethersfield Brandon Coaches site Blackmore End 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 Now with permission and under construction BTE/12/0729 571117 231319 Without Wethersfield Congregational Church High Street 2 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 Now with full permission, granted August 2012 BTE/12/1163 574333 230245 Without Wethersfield Barns at Waver Farm Blackmore End 2 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 Now with full permission, granted October 2012 RID4H 573190 240814 Without Ridgewell Land at Stambourne Road 0 0 0 0 0 0 010 0 0 0 0 0 0 010 RID1H 573812 241036 Without Ridgewell Land rear of Kings Head PH Chapel Road 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 WCH8H Witham Chipping Hill 582582 215097 Without Land adj Coach House Way 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 BTE/08/1012 & Central Witham Chipping Hill BTE/10/0169 581988 215664 Without 64 Braintree Road 8 0 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 08 Under construction & Central Witham Chipping Hill WCH21H 581993 215087 Without Sherbourne House 71 Collingwood Road 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 & Central Witham Chipping Hill Outline planning application approved subject to signing WCH22H 582369 214885 Without Iceni House Newland Street 13 0 0 0 0 13 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 13 & Central of Section 106 Agreement Witham Chipping Hill Now with permision, outline permission granted June BTE/12/0263 582384 214049 Without Land adjacent 80 Maldon Road 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 & Central 2012 Witham Chipping Hill Land adjacent Easton House Easton Road BTE/12/1131 582030 215127 Without 1 000100000000001 Now with full permission, granted June 2012 & Central Road Witham Chipping Hill Part of regeneration proposals for Newlands / Coach WCH14CD 582040 214542 Without Land at Newlands Centre Newland Street 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 15 0 0 0 0 0 0 15 & Central House Way area Surplus public sector site, site cleared in preparation for WIN7H 582404 216173 Without Witham North Former Forest Road Community Hall site 15 0 0 0 0 15 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 15 development for affordable housing; development partner identified. Land at Dorothy Sayers Drive/Laburnum Surplus public sector site, approved development brief WIN3CD 582163 216135 Without Witham North 23 0 0 0 023 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 023 Avenue for regeneration development. New full planning application under consideration for 94 WI2H BTE/12/0815 Land between Constance Close and A12 582650 213574 Without Witham South 70 0 0 0 10 30 30 24 0 0 0 0 0 0 094 dwellings, following withdrawal of earlier application for BTE/12/1620 Witham by-pass 97 dwellings. BTE/12/0770 581009 214000 Without Witham South Garage court and adjacent land Phillip Road 5 0 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 Now with permission; affordable housing development

BTE/12/0771 581220 213999 Without Witham South Garage court Turstan Road 2 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 02 Now with permission; affordable housing development Garage court and adjacent land Siward BTE/12/0772 580836 213832 Without Witham South 5 050000000000005 Now with permission; affordable housing development Road Now with permission and Building Regulations BTE/12/0482 581598 213809 Without Witham South 35 Hatfield Road 4 0121000000000 04 application submitted; site currently being marketed by developer as coming soon (Sayers Court) Surplus public sector owned site, proposed to be WIW1H 580843 214489 Without Witham West Land off Teign Drive 0 00000 0000000202040 developed for affordable housing; development partner identified.

Total forecast supply 1,584 171 259 265 307 392 361 433 427 339 234 255 265 301 265 4,274

appendix 3 housing trajectory schedule Appendix 4

Local Development Framework Core Strategy Chapter 10

Review of Monitoring Framework Table 3 Performance Targets and Measures

2012 AMR Review of LDF Core Strategy Performance Targets and Measures LDF Core Strategy Target Performance Measures Outcome Housing Provision Minimum of 4,637 net additional Net additional dwellings 2009/10: 428; 2010/11: 450; 2011/12: 301 dwellings to be built between 2009- completed per year (4,637 = Currently exceeding annual average target 2026 annual average 273) Managed annual housing delivery 5 year and longer term housing 2012 trajectory: target supply trajectory 5 year supply: Forecast supply 1,584, against target of 1,235 Longer terms supply (the Core Strategy Plan Period to 2026): Forecast supply 4,274, against target of 3,458 No target defined Vacant dwellings In 2012 there were 1,652 vacant dwellings (2.6% of the stock) of which 700 were long term vacant. Compared with other Essex Districts, Braintree had: the 4 th highest number and 5 th highest proportion of vacant dwellings; and the 3 rd highest proportion of long term vacant dwellings. This is an improvement compared with 2011. National target of at least 60% Dwellings built on previously The national target is cancelled; it was set in the context of a now changed developed land definition of previously developed land; monitoring with the new definition is not applied consistently across districts, and is no longer required to be reported. The result for Braintree 2011/2012, using the new definition, was 63.98% of gross completions, which is a lower proportion than 2010/2011. Affordable Housing Provision Proportion on eligible sites: Net additional affordable The LDF target and performance measure relate to affordable housing negotiated 40% on sites in rural areas dwellings completed per year via Section 106 Agreements under LDF Core Strategy Policy CS2. (excluding Sible Hedingham, Great In 2011/2012, a total of 61 affordable housing dwellings were completed for rental Notley, and the growth locations) or shared ownership (20% of the gross total supply), of which 11 were in Halstead 30% in Braintree, Witham, Halstead, and 50 were in Braintree. Sible Hedingham, Gt Notley and the The affordable housing supply identified by BDC Strategic Housing was 67 growth locations dwellings (this total includes mortgage rescue and First Buy) Site size threshold: 5 dwgs/0.16 ha. in the rural areas 15 dwgs/0.5 ha. in the urban areas

2012 AMR Review of LDF Core Strategy Performance Targets and Measures LDF Core Strategy Target Performance Measures Outcome Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation 50 authorised gypsy and traveller Number of authorised gypsy As at January 2012, there were 38 authorised gypsy and traveller pitches. pitches by 2011 and 67 by 2021 and traveller pitches 5 transit pitches by 2013 and 6 transit Number of authorised transit 0 authorised transit pitches as at January 2012 pitches by 2021 gypsy and traveller pitches 1 additional travelling showpersons Number of authorised travelling As at January 2012 there were 6 travelling showpersons pitches. plot by 2021 showpersons plots No target defined Number of unauthorised gypsy There were 21 unauthorised gypsy and traveller pitches and traveller pitches No target defined Number of unauthorised transit No information gypsy and traveller pitches No target defined Number of unauthorised No information travelling showpersons plots 23 additional authorised pitches by Net additional gypsy and At April 2012 there were 11 additional authorised gypsy and traveller pitches, 2011; 17 additional authorised traveller pitches leaving 29 to be identified 2011-2021. When the Twin Oaks site achieves pitches 2011-2021 authorisation, an additional 8 pitches will need to be identified by 2021. No target defined Gypsy and Traveller annual The number of caravans identified in the January 2012 count was 101 (compared caravan count with 103 in January 2011 and 70 in January 2010) Provision of Employment 7,000 net additional jobs 2001-2013 Annual number of jobs created According to the BRES survey data, employment in the District 2008-10 declined and 7,000 net additional jobs 2014- by 3,400 jobs. According to the East of England Model Autumn 2012 baseline 2026 (an annual average of 560) forecasts, the total workplace employed people was forecast to increase 2001-13 by 3,600 jobs (an average of 299 p.a.), which would be a shortfall of 3,400 against target; performance against target 51%. Forecast change 2014-26 was estimated at 4,200, an average of 348 p.a.; which is a shortfall of 2,800 jobs; performance against target 60%. Forecast change over the Core Strategy period 2009-26 was 2,900 jobs, an average of 193 p.a. Net out commuting was forecast to increase over the period 2001-26 by 5,100; over the Core Strategy period 2009-26 net out commuting was forecast to increase by 7,700. The East of England Model “Lost Decade” scenario run is more pessimistic.

2012 AMR Review of LDF Core Strategy Performance Targets and Measures LDF Core Strategy Target Performance Measures Outcome No target defined Unemployment rate April 2012, claimant count unemployment rate was 2.9%. Number unemployed April 2012 was 2,609 (compared to 2,581 in April 2010) No target defined Proportion of Working Age According to the 2011 Census, the economic active rate for residents aged 16 to population who are 74 was 73.8% in Braintree District compared with regional and England averages economically active of 71.6% and 69.9% respectively. The Annual Population Survey (via Nomis) indicated the economic activity rate for residents of working age in the District in March 2012, based on sample survey data, was 80.2% compared with averages for the region and for Great Britain of 79.7% and 76.5% respectively. Provision of Employment To reduce below 2001 Census level Proportion of people who travel In 2011, 26,701 residents (41.5% of District residents in work as employees or self outside the District to work employed) travelled out of the District to work. Information from the 2011 Census is not yet available for comparison. No target defined Net additional non residential The gross floorspace developed 2011/2012 was: floorspace developed per year A1 retail: 1,967 sq m by use class B1a Offices: 1,222 sq m B1/B2/B8: 3,918 sq m D2 Leisure: 0 sq m The net floorspace change by category, 2011/2012 was: A1 retail: 1,130 sq m B1a Offices: - 1,351 sq m B1/B2/B8: 2,030 sq m D2 Leisure: - 2,069 sq m No target defined Non residential land available by Land with planning permission at April 2012, sq m floorspace, net potential use class additional floorspace: A1 Retail/A2 Financial/Professional Services: 14,776 sq m B1a Offices: 39,004 sq m B1/B2/B8: 32,522 sq m D2 Leisure: 3,935 sq m Further information, including information on land supply without planning permission, is set out in the Non Residential Land Availability Survey 2012.

2012 AMR Review of LDF Core Strategy Performance Targets and Measures No target defined Floorspace developed on Gross floorspace developed 2011/2012 was as follows: previously developed land A1 Retail/A2 Financial/Professional Services: 1,508 sq m (77%) B1a Offices: 1,222 sq m (100% B1/B2/B8: 3,297 sq m (84%) D2 Leisure: - LDF Core Strategy Target Performance Measures Outcome No target defined Proportion of working age The 2001 Census identified 48% of the District population aged 16-64 with no population qualified to NVQ qualifications or qualifications to NVQ Level 1. The 2011 Census results, for Level 2 or equivalent residents aged 16 and over, are not directly comparable,.but show 39% of the population with no qualifications or qualifications to NVQ Level 1, which indicates an improvement. No target defined Net additional hotel beds per The Braintree Hotel Futures survey identified a total of 411 rooms in 11 hotels and annum inns as at January 2010. The Council carried out a review as at 2011 and identified a total of 521 rooms in 15 hotels and inns, but the 2011 survey had identified hotels which were missed in the 2010 survey. The 2010 survey did not include the Districts largest hotel, the Days Inn at Bumpstead Road (it appears it was presumed to be in St Edmundsbury Borough). In the course of the monitoring year, planning permission was granted for an additional 137 rooms, on 2 sites. Three further potential sites without permission have been identified; one consisting of a vacant hotel where permission for an extension had been granted but has now expired; one as part of the Braintree town centre regeneration mixed use development, and one site being part of the LDF Core Strategy Growth Location at Skyline 2. No target defined Non-residential floorspace Gross Floorspace completed 2011/2012: 1,222 sq m B1a; 1,144 sq m B1/B2/B8 completed and lost in the rural Floorspace lost: 315 sq m B1/B2/B8 areas No target defined Non residential land available in Land available with planning permission at March 2012: the rural areas by use class A1/A2: 568 sq m; B1a 2,282 sq m; B1/B2/B8 6,448 sq m gross, potential losses not available

2012 AMR Review of LDF Core Strategy Performance Targets and Measures LDF Core Strategy Target Performance Measures Outcome Town Centre Regeneration and Retailing No target defined Net gain of retail floorspace Retail floorspace developed 2011/2012: 0 sq m Loss of 256 sq m town centre uses in Halstead No target defined Land available for retail Net supply from land with planning permission at April 2012: 971 sq m development floorspace Net supply from land without planning permission at April 2012: 0 hectares No target defined Number of vacant retail The 2011/2012 survey covered Braintree, Witham, Halstead and Coggeshall premises in Braintree, Witham, (future surveys will also include the other 5 Key Service Villages). and Halstead, and in the Key The results for 2012 were (with the previous year, 2010, shown in brackets): Service Villages Braintree: 30 (27) Witham: 21 (21) Halstead: 19 (18) Coggeshall: 2 (4) Transport Completion by December 2011 Completion of Witham Station The new footbridge was opened 31 August 2011 Footbridge Completion by December 2018 Completion of Springwood Drive Future development proposal. A public exhibition is planned for March 2011. to Panfield Lane local link road Completion by December 2012 Completion of Freeport The cycle/footbridge was opened .December 2012 cycle/footbridge Completion by December 2014 Completion of Motts Lane Future development proposal: Construction is due to commence Spring 2013 cycle/footbridge Completion of feasibility study of Feasibility study completed September 2012 Braintree Branch line improvements Average of 500 metres per year Length of additional cyclepath A total of 735 metres of cycleway were constructed on 2 schemes in provision by settlement 2011/2012. Performance against target was 147%. The schemes were: Braintree: Phase 1 John Ray Park – 285 metres Witham: Phase 3 of Blackwater Rail Trail - 450 metres

2012 AMR Review of LDF Core Strategy Performance Targets and Measures LDF Core Strategy Target Performance Measures Outcome Transport Average of 500 metres per year Length of additional cyclepath A total of 735 metres of cycleway were constructed on 2 schemes in provision by settlement 2011/2012. Performance against target was 147%. The schemes were: Braintree: Phase 1 John Ray Park – 285 metres Witham: Phase 3 of Blackwater Rail Trail - 450 metres No target defined Provision of travel plans No information available No target defined Quality Bus Improvements No information available (source would be Essex CC). No target defined Number of households without a In 2001 there were 9,543 households in the District without access to a car car or van or van (18% of total households). The 2011 Census results indicate there were 9,866 households in the District without access to a car or van – an increase of 323 households. The proportion of households without access to a car or van in Braintree District in 2011 had reduced to 16.2%, compared with a regional average of 18.5% and an England average of 25.8%. Braintree District has extensive rural areas and beyond the main towns it is difficult to manage without a car. Sustainable Locations of Housing Land No target defined Amount and percentage of new In 2011/2012. the percentage of gross dwelling completions within 30 housing development within 30 minutes passenger transport travelling time of: minutes public transport time of A primary school: 94.41% key services A secondary school: 93.79% Post 16 education: 92.86% A major retail centre: 90.37% A GP: 90.37% A hospital: 90.37% An employment area employing 500 persons or more: 93.79%

2012 AMR Review of LDF Core Strategy Performance Targets and Measures LDF Core Strategy Target Performance Measures Outcome Environmental Quality Zero Planning permissions granted contrary No planning applications were granted contrary to Environment Agency to Environment Agency advice advice No target defined Amount of green space created Information not available. annually No target defined Number of local nature reserves There are 8. Work is underway towards the designation of Hoppit Mead, Braintree and an extension to the Bocking Blackwater reserve, and a further reserve is proposed at land adjacent River Colne, Sible Hedingham. No deterioration in condition of Condition of SSSIs Information from the Natural England website indicates there has not been a SSSIs decline. Chalkney Wood has improved and is now 100% “favourable”, and the small part of Bovingdon Woods that was “unfavourable declining” is now “unfavourable no change”. The assessments were made before the concern about ash die back disease arose. No target defined Air Quality Based on diffusion tube results for 2011 there were no measured annual mean concentrations predicted to exceed the 40 µg/m 3 annual mean NO2 objective in 2012. The recession will have affected trends from 2008, as expected growth in traffic levels (and particularly HGV traffic levels) has been depressed by the recession. Zero Number of Listed Buildings Information not available. No planning permissions were granted over the demolished monitoring year for demolition of a listed building. Annual Reduction Number of buildings in District on There were 3 Listed Buildings registered as At Risk (including Finchingfield English Heritage’s and Essex County Guidhall which is undergoing restoration, and a parish church at Great Saling Councils Building At Risk Register where the register indicates repair work was nearing completion). There were 4 Ancient Monuments at risk, and 4 Conservation Areas at risk - those at Braintree Town Centre and Bradford Street, Sible Hedingham, Silver End, and Witham Town Centre (2 areas). 3 per year The number of Conservation Area An appraisal of Pebmarsh Conservation Area was carried out in 2011/2012 appraisals carried out. and its boundary was altered in 2012, and an appraisal of Silver End Conservation Area is planned for 2012/2013.

2012 AMR Review of LDF Core Strategy Performance Targets and Measures LDF Core Strategy Target Performance Measures Outcome 3 per year The number of Conservation Area An appraisal of Pebmarsh Conservation Area was carried out in 2011/2012 appraisals carried out. and its boundary was altered in 2012, and an appraisal of Silver End Conservation Area is planned for 2012/2013. No target defined Additional allotment land provided per In 2011/2012, planning permission was additional allotments (46 plots are year proposed) at land adjacent to Bocking Cemetery. A planning application was submitted by the Council in 2011/12 for 785 sq m of allotments at land adjacent to Bocking Cemetery. The number of plots on Council allotments increased from 248 in January 2011 to 280 in January 2012, and the number of people on the waiting list for Council allotments decreased from 274 to 165 over the same period. No target defined Additional playing fields

Appendix 5

East of England Economic Forecast Model, Autumn 2012

Background

The East of England Forecasting Model (EEFM) provides an economic forecasting service for local authorities. The Model captures the interdependence of the economy, population and housing at the local level, as well as reflecting the impact of broader economic trends at a regional level. The employment forecasts take account of the supply and demand for labour and the housing forecasts take account of both economic and demographic factors. This structure allows scenarios which test the impact of variables upon each other – for example, the impact of housing supply on economic variables.

The Model produces forecasts for each local authority in the East of England and has now been extended to take in neighbouring authorities in the LEPs covering the area. Data limitations mean that output for individual districts, particularly for sectors, distant future years etc., should be treated with caution.

In addition, future reviews of the forecasting model will need to review the data against other data sources that become available, notably the 2011 Census. The 2011 Census results so far have indicated that the Model estimates of population, residents in employment, and households in the District will need to be revised. As yet. workplace-based employment data from the 2011 Census has not been released, and this will be an important data source. The claimant count figures for March 2012 (2,685) and January 2013 (2,691) indicate that the model has over-estimated forecast claimant count unemployment in 2012 and 2013 (3,000 and 3,300 respectively).

The 2012 Model run includes scenarios based on high migration (the baseline run uses lower migration assumptions than ONS projections) and a ‘lost decade’, where there is very little economic growth 2008-2018.

Things to remember when using the model: • The EEFM forecasts are based on observed past trends only; • The forecasts are unconstrained; • The forecasts are subject to margins of error; • The forecasts are less robust at smaller geographic areas; • Reality is more complex than any model; and • Forecasting models will not all agree

It must also be noted that forecasts are not minima to be achieved with all policy intervention an addition. Indeed, policies and interventions may be required to make the forecasts a reality. The forecasts offer no guarantees in terms of jobs or housing growth.

The impact of the recession on jobs in Braintree District has been marked. The EEFM suggests that around 5,300 jobs have been lost in Braintree District as a result of the unfavourable economic climate over the five year period 2007-2012 (a loss of 9% of the employment in the District by 2012 compared to the peak of 2007) but as yet it is still unclear how the economy will play out in the future. The current baseline forecasts suggest that total jobs in the District will not reach the pre-recession level of employment in 2007 again until 2025.If the recession continues, the baseline scenario will itself appear over-optimistic.

2.2. In the 25 year period 2001-2026 the model is forecasting an additional 8,600 jobs in Braintree District according to the baseline forecasts. Over the same period the LDF jobs target proposed an additional 14,000 jobs in the District (but it should be remembered that the forecasts are trend based rather than policy based, and also that when the jobs target was set the UK economy was flourishing).

As mentioned above, care is needed in interpreting the results at district level, and the results are influenced by past local trends which may not continue into the future.

For example, in Braintree District the high levels of housebuilding in the district in past years would be expected to have influenced past trends in employment in certain sectors, such as construction for example, and the forecasts – being trend based rather than policy based – do not take into account the impact on employment in construction of changes to the scale and distribution of housing development in the region compared to the past. Past employment in other sectors influenced by demand associated with high levels of population and housing growth (such as education and health) would not necessarily be continued into the future, and future trends in some sectors could be influenced by rationalisation and by policy trends such as centralisation of service delivery in specialist centres. The development of the Freeport leisure and retail centre would be associated with a past increase in employment in retail, entertainment, leisure and restaurants (and as these industries employ a lot of part time workers the increase in the number of jobs may have tended to be higher than for growth in sectors employing mainly full time workers), but this trend will not necessarily be continued into the future if it was associated with particular developments.

GVA per capita: The Autumn 2012 Baseline forecasts indicate GVA per capita in Braintree District was £14,000 in 2012, compared with an average of £18,400 in the East of England region and an average of £19,700 in the UK as a whole. This means that in Braintree District GVA per capita is only 71.1% of the UK average. In 2031, GVA per capita is forecast to be 18,200 in Braintree District, £26,200 in the East of England, and £28,200 in the UK as a whole, suggesting that GVA per capita in Braintree District in 2031 would be only 64.5% of the UK average, and that the gap would have widened.

Workplace based employment forecasts Braintree District 2001-2026:

Baseline Forecasts Scenario and Lost Decade Forecasts Scenario:

Employment trajectory: Forecast employment change compared with Local Development Framework Core Strategy employment change target

Baseline Forecasts Scenario:

16000

14000

12000

10000

8000

6000

4000

2000

0 01-02 03-04 05-06 07-08 09-10 11-12 13-14 15-16 17-18 19-20 21-22 23-24 25-26

Target Baseline forecasts

Lost Decade Forecasts Scenario:

16000

14000

12000

10000

8000

6000

4000

2000

0 01-02 03-04 05-06 07-08 09-10 11-12 13-14 15-16 17-18 19-20 21-22 23-24 25-26

Target Lost decade forecasts

Source: East of England Economic Forecast Model, Autumn 2012, Oxford Economics

Baseline Scenario: Forecast Employment Change by Sector, Braintree District Figures rounded to nearest hundred, and may not sum due to rounding.

Change Change Change 2001- 2001- 2012- Sector 2001 2012 2026 2026 2012 2026 Agriculture 700 900 700 0 200 -200 Food Manufacturing 1,100 1,200 900 -200 0 -200 General Manufacturing 2,800 1,600 1,200 -1,500 -1,100 -400 Chemicals 900 600 500 -500 -300 -200 Pharma 200 200 100 0 0 0 Metals 3,000 1,400 1,000 -1,900 -1,600 -400 Transport 600 400 300 -400 -200 -100 Electronics 1,900 900 600 -1,300 -1,000 -200 Utilities 100 100 100 0 0 0 Waste and remediation 0 300 300 300 300 0 Construction 5,500 6,700 7,900 2,400 1,200 1,200 Wholesale 3,500 4,100 4,500 1,000 500 400 Retail 5,200 5,600 6,300 1,100 400 700 Land Transport 2,300 2,300 2,500 100 0 100 Water and air transport 0 100 100 0 0 0 Hotels and restaurants 2,800 3,100 3,400 700 300 300 Publishing & broadcasting 200 400 400 200 100 0 Telecoms 0 100 100 100 100 0 Computer related activity 600 700 700 0 0 0 Finance 800 700 800 0 -100 0 Real Estate 500 900 1,200 800 400 300 Professional services 4,000 4,900 6,800 2,800 900 1,900 R+D 100 0 0 0 0 0 Business services 1,900 1,900 2,500 600 0 600 Employment activities 1,400 1,200 1,600 200 -200 400 Public Admin incl land forces 2,300 1,600 1,400 -900 -700 -200 Education 4,100 5,700 6,500 2,400 1,700 700 Health and care 4,000 5,900 6,400 2,400 1,900 400 Arts and entertainment 1,400 2,000 2,500 1,100 500 500 Other services 1,900 1,900 2,200 300 100 200 Total 53,900 57,300 63,400 9,400 3,400 6,000

Source: East of England Economic Forecast Model, Autumn 2012, Oxford Economics

Baseline forecasts: 2001 employment structure by sector, Braintree District Figures rounded to nearest hundred, and may not sum due to rounding.

R+D

Utilities

Publishing and broadcasting

Pharma

Real Estate

Computer related activity

Transport

Agriculture

Finance

Chemicals

Food Manufacturing

Arts and entertainment

Employment activities

Other services

Business services

Electronics

Public Administration incl land forces

Land Transport

Hotels and restaurants

General Manufacturing

Metals

Wholesale

Health and care

Professional services

Education

Retail

Construction

0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000

Source: East of England Economic Forecast Model, Autumn 2012, Oxford Economics Baseline forecasts: 2012 employment structure by sector, Braintree District Figures rounded to nearest hundred, and may not sum due to rounding.

Telecoms

Water and air transport

Utilities

Pharma

Waste and remediation

Publishing and broadcasting

Transport

Chemicals

Finance

Computer related activity

Real Estate

Electronics

Agriculture

Employment activities

Food Manufacturing

Metals

Public Administration incl land forces

General Manufacturing

Other services

Business services

Arts and entertainment

Land Transport

Hotels and restaurants

Wholesale

Professional services

Retail

Education

Health and care

Construction

0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000

Source: East of England Economic Forecast Model, Autumn 2012, Oxford Economics Baseline forecasts: 2026 employment structure by sector, Braintree District Figures rounded to nearest hundred, and may not sum due to rounding.

Telecoms

Water and air transport

Utilities

Pharma

Waste and remediation

Transport

Publishing and broadcasting

Chemicals

Electronics

Computer related activity

Agriculture

Finance

Food Manufacturing

Metals

Real Estate

General Manufacturing

Public Administration incl land forces

Employment activities

Other services

Arts and entertainment

Business services

Land Transport

Hotels and restaurants

Wholesale

Retail

Health and care

Education

Professional services

Construction

0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000

Source: East of England Economic Forecast Model, Autumn 2012, Oxford Economics Baseline forecasts: Change in employment 2012-2026 by sector, Braintree District Figures rounded to nearest hundred, and may not sum due to rounding.

Metals

General Manufacturing

Electronics

Public Administration incl land forces

Chemicals

Transport

Food Manufacturing

Telecoms

Land Transport

Employment activities

Publishing and broadcasting

Other services

Waste and remediation

Business services

Hotels and restaurants

Real Estate

Wholesale

Arts and entertainment

Retail

Health and care

Education

Construction

Professional services

-3,000 -2,000 -1,000 0 1,000 2,000 3,000

Source: East of England Economic Forecast Model, Autumn 2012, Oxford Economics

Baseline forecasts: Change in employment 2001-2012 by sector, Braintree District Figures rounded to nearest hundred, and may not sum due to rounding.

Metals

General Manufacturing

Electronics

Public Administration incl land forces

Chemicals

Employment activities

Transport

Finance

Other services

Telecoms

Publishing and broadcasting

Agriculture

Hotels and restaurants

Waste and remediation

Real Estate

Retail

Arts and entertainment

Wholesale

Professional services

Construction

Education

Health and care

-2,000 -1,500 -1,000 -500 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000

Source: East of England Economic Forecast Model, Autumn 2012, Oxford Economics Baseline forecasts: Change in employment 2012-2026 by sector, Braintree District Figures rounded to nearest hundred, and may not sum due to rounding.

Metals

General Manufacturing

Public Administration incl land forces

Electronics

Chemicals

Food Manufacturing

Agriculture

Transport

Land Transport

Other services

Real Estate

Hotels and restaurants

Health and care

Employment activities

Wholesale

Arts and entertainment

Business services

Education

Retail

Construction

Professional services

-500 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000

Source: East of England Economic Forecast Model, Autumn 2012, Oxford Economics Baseline Scenario: Forecast Employment Change by Sector, Braintree District Figures rounded to nearest hundred, and may not sum due to rounding.

Change Change Change 2001- 2001- 2012- 2001 2012 2026 2026 2012 2026 Agriculture 700 900 700 0 200 -200 Mining and Quarrying 0 0 0 0 0 0 Food Manufacturing 1,100 1,200 900 -200 0 -300 General Manufacturing 2,800 1,600 1,200 -1,600 -1,100 -500 Chemicals 900 600 400 -500 -300 -200 Pharma 200 200 100 0 0 0 Metals 3,000 1,400 1,000 -2,000 -1,600 -400 Transport 600 400 300 -400 -200 -100 Electronics 1,900 900 600 -1,300 -1,000 -300 Utilities 100 100 100 0 0 0 Waste and remediation 0 300 300 300 300 -100 Construction 5,500 6,600 7,200 1,800 1,200 600 Wholesale 3,500 4,000 4,100 600 500 100 Retail 5,200 5,500 5,800 600 400 200 Land Transport 2,300 2,300 2,300 -100 0 0 Water and air transport 0 100 100 0 0 0 Hotels and restaurants 2,800 3,100 3,100 400 300 100 Publishing and broadcasting 200 400 400 100 100 0 Telecoms 0 100 100 100 100 0 Computer related activity 600 700 600 0 0 0 Finance 800 700 700 -100 -100 0 Real Estate 500 900 1,100 700 400 200 Professional services 4,000 4,900 6,200 2,200 900 1,300 R+D 100 0 0 0 0 0 Business services 1,900 1,900 2,300 300 0 400 Employment activities 1,400 1,200 1,500 100 -200 200 Public Admin incl land forces 2,300 1,600 1,300 -1,000 -700 -300 Education 4,100 5,700 6,000 1,900 1,600 200 Health and care 4,000 5,900 5,800 1,900 1,900 -100 Arts and entertainment 1,400 2,000 2,300 900 500 300 Other services 1,900 1,900 2,000 200 100 100 Total 53,900 57,100 58,400 4,400 3,100 1,300

Source: East of England Economic Forecast Model, Autumn 2012, Oxford Economics

Lost Decade Scenario forecasts: Change in employment 2001-2026 by sector, Braintree District Figures rounded to nearest hundred, and may not sum due to rounding.

Metals

General Manufacturing

Electronics

Public Administration incl land forces

Chemicals

Transport

Food Manufacturing

Finance

Land Transport

R+D

Computer related activity

Water and air transport

Utilities

Pharma

Mining and Quarrying

Agriculture

Employment activities

Telecoms

Publishing and broadcasting

Other services

Business services

Waste and remediation

Hotels and restaurants

Retail

Wholesale

Real Estate

Arts and entertainment

Construction

Health and care

Education

Professional services

-2,500 -2,000 -1,500 -1,000 -500 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500

Source: East of England Economic Forecast Model, Autumn 2012, Oxford Economics Lost Decade Scenario forecasts: Change in employment 2012-2026 by sector, Braintree District Figures rounded to nearest hundred, and may not sum due to rounding.

General Manufacturing

Metals

Public Administration incl land forces

Electronics

Food Manufacturing

Chemicals

Agriculture

Health and care

Waste and remediation

Transport

Other services

Hotels and restaurants

Wholesale

Education

Employment activities

Real Estate

Retail

Arts and entertainment

Business services

Construction

Professional services

-600 -400 -200 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400

Source: East of England Economic Forecast Model, Autumn 2012, Oxford Economics