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Alaska Analyst & Investor Tour

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Alaska Analyst & Investor Tour Alaska Analyst & Investor Update JULY 16, 2018 Cautionary Statement The following presentation includes forward-looking statements. These statements relate to future events, such as anticipated revenues, earnings, business strategies, competitive position or other aspects of our operations, operating results or the industries or markets in which we operate or participate in general. Actual outcomes and results may differ materially from what is expressed or forecast in such forward-looking statements. These statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve certain risks, uncertainties and assumptions that may prove to be incorrect and are difficult to predict such as operational hazards and drilling risks; potential failure to achieve, and potential delays in achieving expected reserves or production levels from existing and future oil and gas development projects; unsuccessful exploratory activities; difficulties in developing new products and manufacturing processes; unexpected cost increases or technical difficulties in constructing, maintaining or modifying company facilities; international monetary conditions and exchange rate fluctuations; our ability to complete the sale of our announced dispositions on the timeline currently anticipated, if at all; the possibility that regulatory approvals for our announced dispositions will not be received on a timely basis, if at all, or that such approvals may require modification to the terms of our announced dispositions or our remaining business; business disruptions during or following our announced dispositions, including the diversion of management time and attention; our ability to liquidate the common stock issued to us by Cenovus Energy at prices we deem acceptable, or at all; the ability to deploy net proceeds from our announced dispositions in the manner and timeframe we currently anticipate, if at all; potential liability for remedial actions under existing or future environmental regulations or from pending or future litigation; limited access to capital or significantly higher cost of capital related to illiquidity or uncertainty in the domestic or international financial markets; general domestic and international economic and political conditions, and changes in tax, environmental and other laws applicable to ConocoPhillips’ business; the stability and competitiveness of our fiscal framework; and other economic, business, competitive and/or regulatory factors affecting ConocoPhillips’ business generally as set forth in ConocoPhillips’ filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). We caution you not to place undue reliance on our forward-looking statements, which are only as of the date of this presentation or as otherwise indicated, and we expressly disclaim any responsibility for updating such information. Use of non-GAAP financial information – This presentation may include non-GAAP financial measures, which help facilitate comparison of company operating performance across periods and with peer companies. Any non-GAAP measures included herein will be accompanied by a reconciliation to the nearest corresponding GAAP measure either within the presentation or on our website at www.conocophillips.com/nongaap. Cautionary Note to U.S. Investors – The SEC permits oil and gas companies, in their filings with the SEC, to disclose only proved, probable and possible reserves. We use the term "resource" in this presentation that the SEC’s guidelines prohibit us from including in filings with the SEC. U.S. investors are urged to consider closely the oil and gas disclosures in our Form 10-K and other reports and filings with the SEC. Copies are available from the SEC and from the ConocoPhillips website. Opening Comments RYAN LANCE Chairman & CEO Strategy Hitting on All Cylinders Value Proposition Our Unique Principles Disciplined Priorities Characteristics Invest capital to sustain 1st Low Diverse, PRIORITY production and pay existing Financial dividend Sustaining Low CoS Strength Price Portfolio 2nd Annual dividend growth PRIORITY Growing 1 rd Reduce debt to $15B ; Distributions 3 PRIORITY target ‘A’ credit rating RETURNS 4th 20-30% of CFO total PRIORITY shareholder payout annually Strong Disciplined Per- Capital Balance Share CFO Flexibility Sheet Expansion 5th Disciplined investment PRIORITY for CFO expansion Clear, measurable plan to deliver superior returns to shareholders 1By year-end 2018. 5 ConocoPhillips’ Peer-Leading Position in Alaska Largest Producer1 Most Reserves2 Largest Acreage Holder3 1,800 300 1,800 1,600 1,600 250 1,400 1,400 200 1,200 1,200 1,000 1,000 150 MBOED MMBOE 800 800 100 600 Thousand Net Acres 600 400 400 50 200 200 0 0 0 Peers include: BP, Caelus, ENI, Hilcorp and XOM. 1Source: Wood Mackenzie, 2018 FY estimate, adjusted to reflect impact of 2018 ConocoPhillips acquisitions. 2Source: Wood Mackenzie, adjusted to approximate oil reserves as of 01/01/18 and reflect impact of 2018 ConocoPhillips acquisitions. 3Source: Reports from Bureau of Land Management & Alaska Department of Natural Resources dated 05/17/18 and 06/04/18, respectively. Only includes acreage position for federal and state lands. Incorporates ConocoPhillips internal data to reflect impact of Kuparuk acquisition. 6 2013 Alaska Outlook: Facing Headwinds ConocoPhillips’ Alaska Outlook 2013 300 2013 Outlook for Asset • Uncompetitive tax structure • Declining production profile 200 • High cost of supply • Limited investment Production (MBOED) 100 • Focus on Lower 48 unconventionals 0 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2013 Outlook 7 Current Outlook: Strong Future Spurred by Tax Changes & CoS Focus ConocoPhillips’ Alaska Outlook1 2013 vs. Current (excluding(including 20182018 acquisitions)acquisitions) Drivers of Transformation • Senate Bill 21 improved fiscal framework 300 • Technological advancements and innovations target new and bypassed resources • Comprehensive effort to capture value from legacy fields and infrastructure 200 • Renewed focus on exploration yields early success • Company-wide focus on lowering cost of supply Production (MBOED) and shift to liquids has made Alaska competitive 100 within the portfolio 0 STRENGTHENED OUTLOOK 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 supported by recent strategic transactions 2013 Outlook Current Outlook 1Assumes a stablestable andand competitivecompetitive fiscal fiscal framework, framework, includes excludes impact 2018 ofacquisitions, 2018 acquisitions assumes at noworking change interests to current of: Western working Nortinteresth Slope and =excludes 100% / Kuparuk Alaska North = ~95%, Slope and gas excludes sales. Alaska North Slope gas sales. 8 Our Alaska Plan is Good for All Stakeholders Aligns with Supports Creates Value for ConocoPhillips’ Strategy Alaska’s Economy Shareholders ► Drives peer-leading low ► ConocoPhillips provided ► Realized price similar to sustaining price 35% of State of Alaska’s Brent petroleum revenue ‛13-‛17 ► Provides low cost of supply ► >20,0001 jobs created by ► Delivers competitive cash investment opportunities our activity and earnings margins ► Generates profitable growth ► Impactful community ► Leverages ownership in from diversified investments investment & volunteerism existing infrastructure ► Offers significant ► Priority on environmental, ► Integrated value chain exploration running room social and governance provides access to multiple stewardship markets 1Source: The Role of the Oil and Gas Industry in Alaska’s Economy; The McDowell Group; May 2017. 9 Today’s Agenda Al Hirshberg • Low cost of supply, low-decline base production Our Legacy in Alaska • Robust inventory of future projects to drive growth • Future upside from applied technology and innovation • ~$1B/yr capital delivers 225+ MBOED for a decade Matt Fox • 0.5-1.1 BBOE1 of discovered resource2 in Alaska since 2016 Our Future in • Willow confirmed as stand-alone hub Alaska • Willow: $2-3B of capital over 4-5 years required to achieve 1st oil • Significant remaining undrilled resource potential 1Gross discovered resource. 2Discovered resources are known accumulations of quantities of oil and gas estimated to exist in naturally occurring accumulations. 10 Our Legacy in Alaska AL HIRSHBERG EVP, Production, Drilling & Projects Conventional Assets Play Important & Unique Role in Our Portfolio 1.6 BBOE 0.4 BBOE 2.0 BBOE1 25% UNDERLYING IMPROVEMENT Conventional Added Through Total Net Captured Resource in AK 2018 Acquisitions Resource <$40/BBL CoS 2018E vs. 2015 <$50/BBL Cost of Supply2 Resource ANS Cash-Balanced Price3 ($/BBL) (as of Nov. 2017) 50 55 40 21 42 30 13 20 Cost of Supply ($/BBL) Supply of Cost 34 10 29 0 0 5 10 15 Net Resources (BBOE) 2015 2018E Unconventional Conventional LNG & Oil Sands Costs Capital 1Excludes exploration resources. 2Cost of supply is the WTI equivalent price that generates a 10 percent after-tax return on a point-forward and fully burdened basis. Fully burdened includes capital infrastructure, foreign exchange, price-related inflation and G&A. Resource based on Petroleum Resources Management System, developed by industry to classify recoverable hydrocarbons as commercial or sub-commercial to reflect their status at the time of reporting. 3The realized price at which revenues from commodity sales equal costs (operating costs, taxes, general & administrative costs and tariffs) plus capital (base, development, projects and exploration) expenditures. 12 Legacy Position Sets Foundation for Future Growth Western Kuparuk Prudhoe Bay Miles NATIONAL PETROLEUM North
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