Generic Viagra Online
Total Page:16
File Type:pdf, Size:1020Kb
PRIME-ARY PERSPECTIVE: CONNECTICUT, MINNESOTA, VERMONT, WISCONSIN PRIME-ARY Perspectives is a series that will give you an overview of the most noteworthy results from each state's primary election, focusing on congressional districts that are likely to be most competitive in November, as well as those that will have new representation in 2019 because of retirements. We continue to watch the vote in Ohio's 12th District from last week, and as soon as there is a final determination, we will send out a Perspective on it. However, as an update to our edition last week, Kansas Gov. Jeff Colyer conceded last night, so Kris Kobach will be the Republican nominee in November. As always, please do not hesitate to reach out to us with questions! CONNECTICUT Connecticut has become a reliably blue state at all levels in recent years. However, a deeply unpopular Governor could give Republicans a pick-up opportunity, though today's endorsement of their candidate by President Trump is likely to make things harder, not easier as the President's popularity is significantly underwater (by some 16 points) in the state. There is one open House race, as well as a Senate race, that Democrats are significantly favored to win. GUBERNATORIAL Two-term Democratic Gov. Daniel Malloy chose not to pursue reelection. Connecticut is in bad financial shape with the current budget deficit being large enough to trigger a law requiring the Governor to take cost cutting measures. Malloy has dismal approval ratings and the Republicans view this as an opportunity to win a Democratic-held governorship. Connecticut is typically a Democratic state with a Cook PVI score of D+6, but the Cook Political Report views this seat as a toss-up. Ned Lamont (D) Ned Lamont easily defeated Bridgeport mayor and ex-convict Joe Ganim winning the Democratic nomination with 81% of the vote. In 2006 Lamont defeated then-veteran U.S. Sen. JoeL ieberman in the Democratic primary, but later lost in the general election when Lieberman ran as an independent. Lamont promises to stand up to Donald Trump, more funding for education, and advocates for a $15 an hour minimum wage. Bob Stefanowski (R) Stefanowski defeated a crowded a field of candidates winning the Republican nomination with 29% of the vote. Stfanowski is a former investment banker and ex-Democrat. The political newcomer defeated the party's endorsed candidate Danbury Mayor Mark Boughton, consultant and Navy veteran Steve Obsitnik, local GOP official Tim Herbst and hedge fund manager David Stemerman to win the nomination. Stefanowski has pledged to fix the state's fiscal woes and eliminate the personal income tax. SENATE Incumbent Sen. Chris Murphy ran unopposed will be seeking his second term in office. Murphy won this seat in 2012 with 55 percent of the vote, despite being outspent by a nearly 5-1 margin by former WWE CEO Linda McMahon. His bid for a second term should be even easier as he lacks serious opposition. Cook Political Report rates this seat as a Solid Democrat seat. Matthew Corey (R) Matthew Corey defeated Dominic Rapini winning 76.5% of the vote. Corey was the party's endorsed candidate and is a Navy veteran who has lost twice against Rep. John Larson in congressional races. Corey supports President Trump's policies and believes that Sen. Chris Murphy is taking the state in the wrong direction. Corey faces an uphill battle to defeat Murphy. CT-05 Rep. Elizabeth Esty announced in April that she would not be seeking a fourth term in office after receiving criticism for allegedly mishandling sexual harassment accusations against one of her staffers. Cook Political Report rates this district as a Solid Democratic seat and the district has a PVI score of D+2. Jahana Hayes (D) Jahana Hayes defeated Mary Glassman winning with 62.2% of the vote. Hayes was a 2016 national teacher of the year and would be the state's first black Democrat to serve in Congress. Hayes ran on a progressive platform and will be a strong favorite to win in November. Manny Santos (R) Manny Santos defeated former college professor Ruby Corby O'Neill and business executive Rich DuPont winning with 51.7% of the vote. Santos is the former mayor of Meriden and won the party's endorsement. Santos faces a tough race in November. MINNESOTA President Trump came strikingly close to winning the state in 2016, which was perhaps more of a surprise than his success in other states in the Midwest. Strikingly, there almost every federal and statewide race is expected to be competitive this year (with perhaps the exception of Sen. Amy Klobuchar's). There will also be two Senate seats on the Minnesota ballot in November after the resignation of Sen. Al Franken for sexual harrassment allegations triggered a special election. Also, as a note, candidates in this state labeled as "DFL" should be looked at as Democrats, as the state's Democratic-Farm-Labor Party is affiliated with the national Democratic Party but maintains its own designation. GUBERNATORIAL Governor Mark Dayton (D) decided not to run for a third term in the governor's mansion; a state where there is no limit to the number of terms for which a governor can serve. This opened up the door to competitive primaries on both Republican and Democratic sides. Tim Walz (D) With 41% percent of the vote, Democrat Tim Walz triumphed over the close progressive rivals Erin Murphy and Lori Swanson for the Democratic nomination for governor. Walz, a former high school teacher, has been a popular, slightly left-of-center representative since 2007. His district was a Trump stronghold in the 2016 election, yet reelected Walz for a sixth term. Walz' bid to keep the governor's mansion under Democratic control will be competitive in a race that Cook considers a Toss-Up. Jeff Johnson (R) Many national Republicans expected to see former Governor Tim Pawlenty reignite his political career in yesterday's Republican primary for governor. Yet despite the name recognition and the campaign cash advantage, Minnesota Republicans went with Jeff Johnson by just 9% over the former governor and presidential candidate. Johnson, a Detroit Lakes, MN native and Georgetown Law graduate, is a former Hennepin County commissioner, small business owner, and former member of the Minnesota House of Representatives from 2000-2006. SENATE Incumbent Senator Amy Klobuchar, who was first elected to the U.S. Senate in 2006, overwhelmingly won over her Democratic primary opponents with 95% of the vote. She is regularly polled as one of the most popular politicians in the country. This race is rated as "Solid Democratic." Jim Newberger (R) Republican Jim Newberger won his primary by nearly 70% to challenge the popular incumbent, Amy Klobuchar. Newberger has served in the Minnesota House of Representatives since 2013. Because both Minnesota senators were on the ballot this primary cycle, Republican candidates wishing to flip a Minnesota senate seat had to declare which Democratic opponent they'd be challenging. Given the popularity and incumbency of Amy Klobuchar, Newberger's bid to flip this seat will be a much tougher endeavor in November. SENATE When Senator Al Franken (D) resigned over accusations of sexual misconduct in January, Minnesota Governor Mark Dayton appointed his lieutenant governor, Tina Smith to replace Franken. This U.S. Senate special election is taking place to determine who will serve for the remainder of Franken's term in office, which expires on January 3, 2021. With five other Democrats running against Smith in the special election primary, including former Republican and Bush administration official Richard Painter, Smith easily won the primary with a 76% percent majority. Smith is the endorsed candidate of the Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party and has deep war chest of nearly $2 million. Polling suggests that she is the favorite to face Republican Karin Housley in the November general election. Karin Housley (R) Taking 62% of the vote yesterday evening, Republican Karin Housley won Minnesota's Republican primary for the U.S. Senate special election race. Housley runs a real estate business and has also served in the Minnesota State Senate since 2012. She previously ran unsuccessfully in the Republican primary for lieutenant governor in 2014. It will be a tough race for Housley in November, as Cook rates this seat as Likely Democratic. MN-01 In most congressional districts rated by Cook as Toss-ups in 2018, the majority of those are favorable for Democrats to flip. Minnesota, however, has several blue seats that serve as outliers. The state's geographically large and rural congressional seats are largely held by Democrats, despite their conservative leanings. MN-01 voted for Donald Trump by a margin of 15%, yet re- elected Democrat Tim Walz by a narrow 0.8%. With Walz' decision to run for governor and not seek reelection, MN-01 becomes one of the best pick-up opportunities for Republicans in November. Dan Feehan (DFL) Taking a commanding 83% of the vote, Democrat Dan Feehan won Tuesday night's two-way Democratic primary for MN-01. Feehan was viewed as the establishment choice, running as a moderate and gaining support from the state and national party. He's an Iraq War veteran who also served in the Pentagon under the Obama Administration as an acting Assistant Secretary of Defense. Despite the district's conservative lean, Democratic turnout was overall higher by around 5,000 votes. Feehan will need to preserve this enthusiasm in order to keep this seat under Democratic control. The district is largely rural and agriculture-focused, but includes the rapidly-growing urban area of Rochester.