University of Thessaly School of Agricultural Sciences Department of Ichthyology and Aquatic Environment Laboratory of Ecohydraulics and Inland Water Management

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University of Thessaly School of Agricultural Sciences Department of Ichthyology and Aquatic Environment Laboratory of Ecohydraulics and Inland Water Management UNIVERSITY OF THESSALY SCHOOL OF AGRICULTURAL SCIENCES DEPARTMENT OF ICHTHYOLOGY AND AQUATIC ENVIRONMENT LABORATORY OF ECOHYDRAULICS AND INLAND WATER MANAGEMENT Ph.D. Thesis Investigation of the Water Quality Parameters of Lake Kastoria from Time-Series Monitoring Data Using Machine Learning Techniques for Simulation and Prediction Lamprini V. Karamoutsou Chemical Engineer MSc Water Resources Engineering Volos, 2020 Institutional Repository - Library & Information Centre - University of Thessaly 11/10/2021 14:38:07 EEST - 170.106.36.133 Investigation of the Water Quality Parameters of Lake Kastoria from Time-Series Monitoring Data Using Machine Learning Techniques for Simulation and Prediction ii Institutional Repository - Library & Information Centre - University of Thessaly 11/10/2021 14:38:07 EEST - 170.106.36.133 Advisory Committee: 1. Aris Psilovikos, Professor of University of Thessaly, Department of Ichthyology and Aquatic Environment, Sustainable Water Resources Management, Head of Laboratory of Ecohydraulics & Inland Water Management 2. Evangelia Farsirotou, Professor of University of Thessaly, Department of Ichthyology and Aquatic Environment, Hydrodynamic and Flood Control Works 3. Evangelos Keramaris, Assistant Professor of University of Thessaly, Department of Civil Engineering, Experimental Hydraulics Examination Committee: 1. Aris Psilovikos, Professor of University of Thessaly, Department of Ichthyology and Aquatic Environment, Sustainable Water Resources Management, Head of Laboratory of Ecohydraulics & Inland Water Management 2. Evangelia Farsirotou, Professor of University of Thessaly, Department of Ichthyology and Aquatic Environment, Hydrodynamic and Flood Control Works 3. Evangelos Keramaris, Assistant Professor of University of Thessaly, Department of Civil Engineering, Experimental Hydraulics 4. Konstantinos Kormas, Professor of University of Thessaly, Department of Ichthyology and Aquatic Environment, Microbial Ecology of the Aquatic Environment 5. Maria Papadopoulou, Professor of National Technical University of Greece, School of Rural & Surveying Engineering, Natural Resources Management & Environmental Planning 6.Athanasios Loukas, Associate Professor of Aristotle University, Department of Rural and Surveying Engineering, Technical Hydrology & Water Resources Management 7. Csilla Farkas, Research Scientist, Norwegian Institute of Bio-economy Research (NIBIO), Norway, Division of Environment and Natural Resources iii Institutional Repository - Library & Information Centre - University of Thessaly 11/10/2021 14:38:07 EEST - 170.106.36.133 L. Karamoutsou Investigation of the Water Quality Parameters of Lake Kastoria from Time-Series Monitoring Data Using Machine Learning Techniques for Simulation and Prediction iv Institutional Repository - Library & Information Centre - University of Thessaly 11/10/2021 14:38:07 EEST - 170.106.36.133 ISBN Lamprini Karamoutsou, 2020, Investigation of the Water Quality Parameters of Lake Kastoria from Time-Series Monitoring Data Using Machine Learning Techniques for Simulation and Prediction Number of preliminary pages: 38 Number of pages of PhD thesis: 219 Number of Tables: 12 Number of Figures: 116 Number of References: 157 v Institutional Repository - Library & Information Centre - University of Thessaly 11/10/2021 14:38:07 EEST - 170.106.36.133 L. Karamoutsou Investigation of the Water Quality Parameters of Lake Kastoria from Time-Series Monitoring Data Using Machine Learning Techniques for Simulation and Prediction Part of this PhD thesis was funded by the scholarships’ project Integrated Marine and Inland Water Management of the Greek State Scholarships Foundation (IKY) and co-funded by 85% of resources FM EEA 2009-2014 and by 15% from the Public Investment Program. vi Institutional Repository - Library & Information Centre - University of Thessaly 11/10/2021 14:38:07 EEST - 170.106.36.133 vii Institutional Repository - Library & Information Centre - University of Thessaly 11/10/2021 14:38:07 EEST - 170.106.36.133 Διερεύνηση των Παραμέτρων της Ποιότητας του Νερού της Λίμνης Καστοριάς από Χρονοσειρές Παρακολούθησης με Χρήση Τεχνικών Μηχανικής Μάθησης για Προσομοίωση και Πρόβλεψη viii Institutional Repository - Library & Information Centre - University of Thessaly 11/10/2021 14:38:07 EEST - 170.106.36.133 Τριμελής Συμβουλευτική Επιτροπή: 1. Άρης Ψιλοβίκος, Καθηγητής Πανεπιστημίου Θεσσαλίας, Τμήμα Γεωπονίας Ιχθυολογίας και Υδάτινου Περιβάλλοντος, Αειφορική Διαχείριση Υδατικών Πόρων, Διευθυντής Εργαστηρίου Οικοϋδραυλικής και Διαχείρισης Εσωτερικών Υδάτων 2. Ευαγγελία Φαρσιρώτου, Καθηγήτρια Πανεπιστημίου Θεσσαλίας, Τμήμα Γεωπονίας Ιχθυολογίας και Υδάτινου Περιβάλλοντος, Υδροδυναμικά και Αντιπλημμυρικά Έργα 3. Ευάγγελος Κεραμάρης, Επίκουρος Καθηγητής Πανεπιστημίου Θεσσαλίας, Τμήμα Πολιτικών Μηχανικών, Πειραματική Υδραυλική Επταμελής Εξεταστική Επιτροπή: 1. Άρης Ψιλοβίκος, Καθηγητής Πανεπιστημίου Θεσσαλίας, Τμήμα Γεωπονίας Ιχθυολογίας και Υδάτινου Περιβάλλοντος, Αειφορική Διαχείριση Υδατικών Πόρων, Διευθυντής Εργαστηρίου Οικοϋδραυλικής και Διαχείρισης Εσωτερικών Υδάτων 2. Ευαγγελία Φαρσιρώτου, Καθηγήτρια Πανεπιστημίου Θεσσαλίας, Τμήμα Γεωπονίας Ιχθυολογίας και Υδάτινου Περιβάλλοντος, Υδροδυναμικά και Αντιπλημμυρικά Έργα 3. Ευάγγελος Κεραμάρης, Επίκουρος Καθηγητής Πανεπιστημίου Θεσσαλίας, Τμήμα Πολιτικών Μηχανικών, Πειραματική Υδραυλική 4. Κωνσταντίνος Κορμάς, Καθηγητής Πανεπιστημίου Θεσσαλίας, Τμήμα Γεωπονίας Ιχθυολογίας και Υδάτινου Περιβάλλοντος, Μικροβιακή Οικολογία Υδάτινου Περιβάλλοντος 5. Μαρία Παπαδοπούλου, Καθηγήτρια Εθνικού Μετσόβιου Πολυτεχνείου, Σχολή Αγρονόμων & Τοπογράφων Μηχανικών, Διαχείριση Φυσικών Πόρων και Περιβαλλοντικός Σχεδιασμός 6. Αθανάσιος Λουκάς, Αναπληρωτής Καθηγητής Αριστοτελείου Πανεπιστημίου Θεσσαλονίκης, Τμήμα Αγρονόμων και Τοπογράφων Μηχανικών, Τεχνική Υδρολογία & Διαχείριση Υδατικών Πόρων 7. Csilla Farkas, Ερευνήτρια, Τομέας: Περιβάλλον και Φυσικοί Πόροι, Νορβηγικό Ινστιτούτο Βιο- Οικονομικών Ερευνών (ΝΙΒΙΟ), Νορβηγία ix Institutional Repository - Library & Information Centre - University of Thessaly 11/10/2021 14:38:07 EEST - 170.106.36.133 Λ. Καραμούτσου Διερεύνηση των Παραμέτρων της Ποιότητας του Νερού της Λίμνης Καστοριάς από Χρονοσειρές Παρακολούθησης με Χρήση Τεχνικών Μηχανικής Μάθησης για Προσομοίωση και Πρόβλεψη x Institutional Repository - Library & Information Centre - University of Thessaly 11/10/2021 14:38:07 EEST - 170.106.36.133 ISBN Λαμπρινή Καραμούτσου, 2020, Διερεύνηση των Παραμέτρων της Ποιότητας του Νερού της Λίμνης Καστοριάς από Χρονοσειρές Παρακολούθησης με Χρήση Τεχνικών Μηχανικής Μάθησης για Προσομοίωση και Πρόβλεψη Αριθμός προκαταρκτικών σελίδων: 38 Συνολικός αριθμός σελίδων Διδακτορικής Διατριβής: 219 Αριθμός Πινάκων: 12 Αριθμός Σχημάτων: 116 Αριθμός Βιβλιογραφικών αναφορών: 157 xi Institutional Repository - Library & Information Centre - University of Thessaly 11/10/2021 14:38:07 EEST - 170.106.36.133 Λ. Καραμούτσου Διερεύνηση των Παραμέτρων της Ποιότητας του Νερού της Λίμνης Καστοριάς από Χρονοσειρές Παρακολούθησης με Χρήση Τεχνικών Μηχανικής Μάθησης για Προσομοίωση και Πρόβλεψη Μέρος της παρούσας διδακτορικής διατριβής πραγματοποιήθηκε μέσω του έργου Υποτροφίες ΙΚΥ στην ολοκληρωμένη Διαχείριση Θαλάσσιων και Εσωτερικών Υδάτων και συγχρηματοδοτήθηκε κατά 85% από τους πόρους του ΧΜ ΕΟΧ περιόδου 2009-2014 και κατά 15% από το πρόγραμμα Δημοσίων Επενδύσεων. xii Institutional Repository - Library & Information Centre - University of Thessaly 11/10/2021 14:38:07 EEST - 170.106.36.133 xiii Institutional Repository - Library & Information Centre - University of Thessaly 11/10/2021 14:38:07 EEST - 170.106.36.133 To the runaway, To the greenhorn, To the one who fights when a menace is born. xiv Institutional Repository - Library & Information Centre - University of Thessaly 11/10/2021 14:38:07 EEST - 170.106.36.133 xv Institutional Repository - Library & Information Centre - University of Thessaly 11/10/2021 14:38:07 EEST - 170.106.36.133 Acknowledgements I would like to express my sincere gratitude to my advisor Prof. Aris Psilovikos for his continuous support, motivation and immense knowledge. His guidance, patience and invaluable contribution of time and ideas helped me a lot duringthe whole process of research and writing of this thesis. Besides my advisor, I would like to acknowledge the other two members of my advisory committee, Prof. Evaggelia Farsirotou and Ass. Prof. Evaggelos Keramaris, for their support and the fruitful exchange of ideas. Finally, I would like to thank the other four members of the examination committee, Prof. Athanasios Loukas, Prof. Konstantinos Kormas, Prof. Maria Papadopoulou and Researcher Csilla Farkas, for their insightful comments and suggestions. My sincere thanks also go to Dr. Per Stålnacke, Director of Research at NIBIO, Norwegian Institute of Bio-economy Research, who provided me with the opportunity to join their team and Dr. Farkas, for her help and guidance during my stay in Norway. Moreover, I would also like to recognize the assistance ofPhD studentsThodoris Papathanasiou, expert on Geographical Information Systems and Konstantinos Liakos, expert on Machine Learning, for their advices and precious help while processing my PhD dissertation. I am also grateful to the friends I have made during my stay at the city of Volos and especially my Georgia for supporting our good and crazy times. Thanks also go to Angeliki, Rymenidi – Ntokouzi family, Fanouria and my “mexican” friend for their support. The last year has not been an easy ride. I would like to thank Akis,
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