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Royal Statistical Scandal
Royal Statistical Scandal False and misleading claims by the Royal Statistical Society Including on human poverty and UN global goals Documentary evidence Matt Berkley Draft 27 June 2019 1 "The Code also requires us to be competent. ... We must also know our limits and not go beyond what we know.... John Pullinger RSS President" https://www.statslife.org.uk/news/3338-rss-publishes-revised-code-of- conduct "If the Royal Statistical Society cannot provide reasonable evidence on inflation faced by poor people, changing needs, assets or debts from 2008 to 2018, I propose that it retract the honour and that the President makes a statement while he holds office." Matt Berkley 27 Dec 2018 2 "a recent World Bank study showed that nearly half of low-and middle- income countries had insufficient data to monitor poverty rates (2002- 2011)." Royal Statistical Society news item 2015 1 "Max Roser from Oxford points out that newspapers could have legitimately run the headline ' Number of people in extreme poverty fell by 137,000 since yesterday' every single day for the past 25 years... Careless statistical reporting could cost lives." President of the Royal Statistical Society Lecture to the Independent Press Standards Organisation April 2018 2 1 https://www.statslife.org.uk/news/2495-global-partnership-for- sustainable-development-data-launches-at-un-summit 2 https://www.statslife.org.uk/features/3790-risk-statistics-and-the-media 3 "Mistaken or malicious misinformation can change your world... When the government is wrong about you it will hurt you too but you may never know how. -
AMSTATNEWS the Membership Magazine of the American Statistical Association •
May 2021 • Issue #527 AMSTATNEWS The Membership Magazine of the American Statistical Association • http://magazine.amstat.org 2021 COPSS AWARD WINNERS ALSO: ASA, International Community Continue to Decry Georgiou Persecution Birth of an ASA Outreach Group: The Origins of JEDI AMSTATNEWS MAY 2021 • ISSUE #527 Executive Director Ron Wasserstein: [email protected] Associate Executive Director and Director of Operations Stephen Porzio: [email protected] features Senior Advisor for Statistics Communication and Media Innovation 3 President’s Corner Regina Nuzzo: [email protected] 5 ASA, International Community Continue to Decry Director of Science Policy Georgiou Persecution Steve Pierson: [email protected] Director of Strategic Initiatives and Outreach 8 What a Year! Practical Significance Celebrates Resilient Donna LaLonde: [email protected] Class of 2021 Director of Education 9 Significance Launches Data Economy Series with April Issue Rebecca Nichols: [email protected] 10 CHANCE Highlights: Spring Issue Features Economic Managing Editor Impact of COVID-19, Kullback’s Career, Sharing Data Megan Murphy: [email protected] 11 Forget March Madness! Students Test Probability Skills Editor and Content Strategist with March Randomness Val Nirala: [email protected] 12 My ASA Story: James Cochran Advertising Manager Joyce Narine: [email protected] 14 StatFest Back for 21st Year in 2021 Production Coordinators/Graphic Designers 15 Birth of an ASA Outreach Group: The Origins of JEDI Olivia Brown: [email protected] Megan Ruyle: [email protected] 18 2021 COPSS Award Winners Contributing Staff Members 23 A Story of COVID-19, Mentoring, and West Virginia Kim Gilliam Amstat News welcomes news items and letters from readers on matters of interest to the association and the profession. -
1Guitar PDF Songs Index
Material on Guitar Website Reference Beginning Guitar Music Guitar Cover Beginning Chords Fingerpicking Bass Runs for Guitar Guitar Christmas Song List Guitar Care Guitar PDF Song Index 1/4/2017 Good Reader Web Downloads to Goodreader How to Use Goodreader Downloading Files to the iPad from iTunes Saving Your Internet Passwords Corrected Guitar and PDF 509 Songs 1/4/2017 A Bushel and a Peck Bad Moon Rising A White Sport Coat Ballad of Davy Crockett All I Ask of You Ballad of Green Berets All My Ex’s Live in Texas Battle Hymn of Aging All My Lovin’ Be Our Guest All My Trials Beautiful Brown Eyes Always On My Mind Because of You Am I That Easy to Forget Beep Beep Amanda - bass runs Beer for My Horses + tab Amazing Grace - D Begin the Beguine A America the Beautiful Besame Mucho American Pie Beyond the Reef Amor Big Rock Candy Mountain And I Love Her Blame It On Bossa Nova And I Love You So Blowin’ in the Wind Annie’s Song Blue Bayou April Love Blue Eyes Crying in the Rain - D, C Aquarius Blue Blue Skies Are You Lonesome Tonight Blueberry Hill Around the World in 80 Days Born to Lose As Tears Go By Both Sides Now Ashokan Farewell Breaking Up Is Hard to Do Autumn Leaves Bridge Over Troubled Water Bring Me Sunshine Moon Baby Blue D, A Bright Lights Big City Back Home Again Bus Stop Bad, Bad Leroy Brown By the Time I Get to Phoenix Bye Bye Love Dream A Little Dream of Me Edelweiss Cab Driver Eight Days A Week Can’t Help Falling El Condor Pasa + tab Can’t Smile Without You Elvira D, C, A Careless Love Enjoy Yourself Charade Eres Tu Chinese Happy -
Higher-Order Asymptotics
Higher-Order Asymptotics Todd Kuffner Washington University in St. Louis WHOA-PSI 2016 1 / 113 First- and Higher-Order Asymptotics Classical Asymptotics in Statistics: available sample size n ! 1 First-Order Asymptotic Theory: asymptotic statements that are correct to order O(n−1=2) Higher-Order Asymptotics: refinements to first-order results 1st order 2nd order 3rd order kth order error O(n−1=2) O(n−1) O(n−3=2) O(n−k=2) or or or or o(1) o(n−1=2) o(n−1) o(n−(k−1)=2) Why would anyone care? deeper understanding more accurate inference compare different approaches (which agree to first order) 2 / 113 Points of Emphasis Convergence pointwise or uniform? Error absolute or relative? Deviation region moderate or large? 3 / 113 Common Goals Refinements for better small-sample performance Example Edgeworth expansion (absolute error) Example Barndorff-Nielsen’s R∗ Accurate Approximation Example saddlepoint methods (relative error) Example Laplace approximation Comparative Asymptotics Example probability matching priors Example conditional vs. unconditional frequentist inference Example comparing analytic and bootstrap procedures Deeper Understanding Example sources of inaccuracy in first-order theory Example nuisance parameter effects 4 / 113 Is this relevant for high-dimensional statistical models? The Classical asymptotic regime is when the parameter dimension p is fixed and the available sample size n ! 1. What if p < n or p is close to n? 1. Find a meaningful non-asymptotic analysis of the statistical procedure which works for any n or p (concentration inequalities) 2. Allow both n ! 1 and p ! 1. 5 / 113 Some First-Order Theory Univariate (classical) CLT: Assume X1;X2;::: are i.i.d. -
Reminiscences of a Statistician Reminiscences of a Statistician the Company I Kept
Reminiscences of a Statistician Reminiscences of a Statistician The Company I Kept E.L. Lehmann E.L. Lehmann University of California, Berkeley, CA 94704-2864 USA ISBN-13: 978-0-387-71596-4 e-ISBN-13: 978-0-387-71597-1 Library of Congress Control Number: 2007924716 © 2008 Springer Science+Business Media, LLC All rights reserved. This work may not be translated or copied in whole or in part without the written permission of the publisher (Springer Science+Business Media, LLC, 233 Spring Street, New York, NY 10013, USA), except for brief excerpts in connection with reviews or scholarly analysis. Use in connection with any form of information storage and retrieval, electronic adaptation, computer software, or by similar or dissimilar methodology now known or hereafter developed is forbidden. The use in this publication of trade names, trademarks, service marks, and similar terms, even if they are not identified as such, is not to be taken as an expression of opinion as to whether or not they are subject to proprietary rights. Printed on acid-free paper. 987654321 springer.com To our grandchildren Joanna, Emily, Paul Jacob and Celia Gabe and Tavi and great-granddaughter Audrey Preface It has been my good fortune to meet and get to know many remarkable people, mostly statisticians and mathematicians, and to derive much pleasure and benefit from these contacts. They were teachers, colleagues and students, and the following pages sketch their careers and our interactions. Also included are a few persons with whom I had little or no direct contact but whose ideas had a decisive influence on my work. -
IMS Bulletin July/August 2004
Volume 33 Issue 4 IMS Bulletin July/August 2004 A Message from the (new) President Louis H Y Chen, Director of the Institute CONTENTS for Mathematical Sciences at the 2-3 Members’ News; National University of Singapore, is the Contacting the IMS IMS President for 2004–05. He says: hen I was approached by the 4 Profi le: C F Jeff Wu WCommittee on Nominations in 5 IMS Election Results: January 2003 and asked if I would be President-Elect and Council willing to be a possible nominee for IMS 7 UK Research Assessment; President-Elect, I felt that it was a great Tweedie Travel Award honor for me. However, I could not help 8 Mini-meeting Reports but think that the outcome of the nomi- nation process would most likely be a 10 Project Euclid & Google nominee who is based in the US, because, 11 Calls Roundup except for Willem van Zwet, Nancy Reid of probabilists and statisticians. 14 IMS Meetings and Bernard Silverman, all the 68 past Although IMS is US-based, its infl u- Presidents of IMS were US-based. When ence goes far beyond the US due to its 20 Other Meetings and I was fi nally chosen as the nominee for several fi rst-rate publications and many Announcements President-Elect, I was pleased, not so high quality meetings. Also, IMS has 23 Employment much because I was chosen, but because I reduced membership dues for individuals Opportunities took it as a sign that the outlook of IMS in developing countries to encourage 25 International Calendar of was becoming more international. -
Agenda and Minutes of the UK Statistics Authority Meeting on 6
UK STATISTICS AUTHORITY Minutes Thursday, 6 June 2013 Boardroom, Titchfield Present UK Statistics Authority Sir Andrew Dilnot (Chair) Professor David Rhind Professor Sir Adrian Smith Mr Richard Alldritt Mr Partha Dasgupta Ms Carolyn Fairbairn Dame Moira Gibb Professor David Hand Dr David Levy Ms Jil Matheson Mr Glen Watson Secretariat Mr Robert Bumpstead Mr Joe Cuddeford Apologies Dr Colette Bowe Other attendees Mr Peter Benton, Mr Alistair Calder and Mr Ian Cope (for item 7) Minutes 1. Apologies 1.1 Apologies were received from Dr Bowe. 2. Declarations of interest 2.1 There were no declarations of interest. 3. Minutes, matters arising from the previous meetings 3.1 The minutes of the previous meeting held on 9 May 2013 were agreed as a true and fair account. 3.2 It was confirmed that a paper from ONS about migration statistics would be considered at the July Authority Board meeting. 4. Authority Chair’s Report 4.1 The Chair had recently attended a meeting of the Cabinet’s Ministerial Committee on Home Affairs to discuss the future provision of population statistics for England and Wales. 4.2 The Chair would be meeting with the Work and Pensions Select Committee on 10 June to discuss official statistics in the Department for Work and Pensions. 4.3 The Chair had written to the Secretary of State for Work and Pensions, Iain Duncan Smith MP, regarding statistics about the benefit cap, and the Chairman of the Conservative Party, Grant Shapps MP, regarding statistics about the Employment and Support Allowance. 5. Reports from Authority Committee Chairs Assessment Committee 5.1 Professor Rhind reported on the meeting of the Assessment Committee held on 16 May. -
International Ecological Classification Standard
INTERNATIONAL ECOLOGICAL CLASSIFICATION STANDARD: TERRESTRIAL ECOLOGICAL CLASSIFICATIONS Groups and Macrogroups of Washington June 26, 2015 by NatureServe (modified by Washington Natural Heritage Program on January 16, 2016) 600 North Fairfax Drive, 7th Floor Arlington, VA 22203 2108 55th Street, Suite 220 Boulder, CO 80301 This subset of the International Ecological Classification Standard covers vegetation groups and macrogroups attributed to Washington. This classification has been developed in consultation with many individuals and agencies and incorporates information from a variety of publications and other classifications. Comments and suggestions regarding the contents of this subset should be directed to Mary J. Russo, Central Ecology Data Manager, NC <[email protected]> and Marion Reid, Senior Regional Ecologist, Boulder, CO <[email protected]>. Copyright © 2015 NatureServe, 4600 North Fairfax Drive, 7th floor Arlington, VA 22203, U.S.A. All Rights Reserved. Citations: The following citation should be used in any published materials which reference ecological system and/or International Vegetation Classification (IVC hierarchy) and association data: NatureServe. 2015. International Ecological Classification Standard: Terrestrial Ecological Classifications. NatureServe Central Databases. Arlington, VA. U.S.A. Data current as of 26 June 2015. Restrictions on Use: Permission to use, copy and distribute these data is hereby granted under the following conditions: 1. The above copyright notice must appear in all documents and reports; 2. Any use must be for informational purposes only and in no instance for commercial purposes; 3. Some data may be altered in format for analytical purposes, however the data should still be referenced using the citation above. Any rights not expressly granted herein are reserved by NatureServe. -
Strength in Numbers: the Rising of Academic Statistics Departments In
Agresti · Meng Agresti Eds. Alan Agresti · Xiao-Li Meng Editors Strength in Numbers: The Rising of Academic Statistics DepartmentsStatistics in the U.S. Rising of Academic The in Numbers: Strength Statistics Departments in the U.S. Strength in Numbers: The Rising of Academic Statistics Departments in the U.S. Alan Agresti • Xiao-Li Meng Editors Strength in Numbers: The Rising of Academic Statistics Departments in the U.S. 123 Editors Alan Agresti Xiao-Li Meng Department of Statistics Department of Statistics University of Florida Harvard University Gainesville, FL Cambridge, MA USA USA ISBN 978-1-4614-3648-5 ISBN 978-1-4614-3649-2 (eBook) DOI 10.1007/978-1-4614-3649-2 Springer New York Heidelberg Dordrecht London Library of Congress Control Number: 2012942702 Ó Springer Science+Business Media New York 2013 This work is subject to copyright. All rights are reserved by the Publisher, whether the whole or part of the material is concerned, specifically the rights of translation, reprinting, reuse of illustrations, recitation, broadcasting, reproduction on microfilms or in any other physical way, and transmission or information storage and retrieval, electronic adaptation, computer software, or by similar or dissimilar methodology now known or hereafter developed. Exempted from this legal reservation are brief excerpts in connection with reviews or scholarly analysis or material supplied specifically for the purpose of being entered and executed on a computer system, for exclusive use by the purchaser of the work. Duplication of this publication or parts thereof is permitted only under the provisions of the Copyright Law of the Publisher’s location, in its current version, and permission for use must always be obtained from Springer. -
MUSC 2019.12.12 Honorbandprog
THE SCHOOL OF MUSIC, THEATRE, AND DANCE PRESENTS 2019 DECEMBER 12–14 COLORADO STATE UNIVERSITY Are you interested in joining the largest, loudest, and most visible student organization on the CSU campus? Our students forge enduring skills and lifelong friendships through their dedication and hard work in service of Colorado State University. JOIN THE MARCHING BAND! • 240 MEMBERS REPRESENT ALL MAJORS • SCHOLARSHIPS FOR EVERY STUDENT AUDITION DEADLINE: JULY 13, 2020* *Color guard and drumline auditions (in-person) June 6, 2020 INFORMATION AND AUDITION SUBMISSION: MUSIC.COLOSTATE.EDU/BANDS/JOIN bands.colostate.edu #csumusic THURSDAY EVENING, DECEMBER 12, 2019 AT 7:30 P.M. COLORADO STATE UNIVERSITY SYMPHONIC BAND PRESENTS: HERstory T. ANDRÉ FEAGIN, conductor SHERIDAN MONROE LOYD, graduate student conductor Early Light (1999) / CAROLYN BREMER Albanian Dance (2005) / SHELLY HANSON Sheridan Monroe Loyd, graduate student conductor Terpsichorean Dances (2009) / JODIE BLACKSHAW One Life Beautiful (2010) / JULIE GIROUX Wind Symphony No. 1 (1996) / NANCY GALBRAITH I. Allegro II. Andante III. Vivace Jingle Them Bells (2011) / JULIE GIROUX NOTES ON THE PROGRAM Early Light (1999) CAROLYN BREMER Born: 1975, Santa Monica, California Died: 2018, Long Beach, California Duration: 6 minutes Early Light was written for the Oklahoma City Philharmonic and received its premiere in July 1995. The material is largely derived from “The Star-Spangled Banner.” One need not attribute an excess of patriotic fervor in the composer as a source for this optimistic homage to our national anthem; Carolyn Bremer, a passionate baseball fan since childhood, drew upon her feelings of happy anticipation at hearing the anthem played before ball games when writing her piece. -
Statistics Making an Impact
John Pullinger J. R. Statist. Soc. A (2013) 176, Part 4, pp. 819–839 Statistics making an impact John Pullinger House of Commons Library, London, UK [The address of the President, delivered to The Royal Statistical Society on Wednesday, June 26th, 2013] Summary. Statistics provides a special kind of understanding that enables well-informed deci- sions. As citizens and consumers we are faced with an array of choices. Statistics can help us to choose well. Our statistical brains need to be nurtured: we can all learn and practise some simple rules of statistical thinking. To understand how statistics can play a bigger part in our lives today we can draw inspiration from the founders of the Royal Statistical Society. Although in today’s world the information landscape is confused, there is an opportunity for statistics that is there to be seized.This calls for us to celebrate the discipline of statistics, to show confidence in our profession, to use statistics in the public interest and to champion statistical education. The Royal Statistical Society has a vital role to play. Keywords: Chartered Statistician; Citizenship; Economic growth; Evidence; ‘getstats’; Justice; Open data; Public good; The state; Wise choices 1. Introduction Dictionaries trace the source of the word statistics from the Latin ‘status’, the state, to the Italian ‘statista’, one skilled in statecraft, and on to the German ‘Statistik’, the science dealing with data about the condition of a state or community. The Oxford English Dictionary brings ‘statistics’ into English in 1787. Florence Nightingale held that ‘the thoughts and purpose of the Deity are only to be discovered by the statistical study of natural phenomena:::the application of the results of such study [is] the religious duty of man’ (Pearson, 1924). -
IMS Bulletin 33(5)
Volume 33 Issue 5 IMS Bulletin September/October 2004 Barcelona: Annual Meeting reports CONTENTS 2-3 Members’ News; Bulletin News; Contacting the IMS 4-7 Annual Meeting Report 8 Obituary: Leopold Schmetterer; Tweedie Travel Award 9 More News; Meeting report 10 Letter to the Editor 11 AoS News 13 Profi le: Julian Besag 15 Meet the Members 16 IMS Fellows 18 IMS Meetings 24 Other Meetings and Announcements 28 Employment Opportunities 45 International Calendar of Statistical Events 47 Information for Advertisers JOB VACANCIES IN THIS ISSUE! The 67th IMS Annual Meeting was held in Barcelona, Spain, at the end of July. Inside this issue there are reports and photos from that meeting, together with news articles, meeting announcements, and a stack of employment advertise- ments. Read on… IMS 2 . IMS Bulletin Volume 33 . Issue 5 Bulletin Volume 33, Issue 5 September/October 2004 ISSN 1544-1881 Member News In April 2004, Jeff Steif at Chalmers University of Stephen E. Technology in Sweden has been awarded Contact Fienberg, the the Goran Gustafsson Prize in mathematics Information Maurice Falk for his work in “probability theory and University Professor ergodic theory and their applications” by Bulletin Editor Bernard Silverman of Statistics at the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences. Assistant Editor Tati Howell Carnegie Mellon The award, given out every year in each University in of mathematics, To contact the IMS Bulletin: Pittsburgh, was named the Thorsten physics, chemistry, Send by email: [email protected] Sellin Fellow of the American Academy of molecular biology or mail to: Political and Social Science. The academy and medicine to a IMS Bulletin designates a small number of fellows each Swedish university 20 Shadwell Uley, Dursley year to recognize and honor individual scientist, consists of GL11 5BW social scientists for their scholarship, efforts a personal prize and UK and activities to promote the progress of a substantial grant.